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IDHO

Idaho 31 at UL Monroe 38

ULM
2014 · Week 2 · Sep 6, 2014 · Malone Stadium
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Win probability · ULM
modelULM aheadIDHO aheadconfidence bandkey playULM scoreIDHO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 4:26 · Austin Rehkow punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Rashon Ceaser at the LaMon 23
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorScore differentialTime remaining
+31.5+15.80−15.8−31.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 32Pregame prior+26.5Home team on offense−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.5Garbage-time factor+0.1Score differential−0.7Time remaining+0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 7:50: Elijhaa Penny run for 3 yds for a TD, (Austin Rehkow KICK) — IDHO win probability +4.3 pts (now 21%) (top driver: IDHO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 6:52: Matt Linehan pass complete to Joshua McCain for 10 yds for a TD, (Austin Rehkow KICK) — IDHO win probability +8.6 pts (now 31%) (top driver: IDHO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 8:36: Centarius Donald run for 21 yds for a TD, (Justin Manton KICK) — ULM win probability +8.7 pts (now 87%) (top driver: ULM has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 4:22: Matt Linehan pass complete to Deon Watson for 32 yds for a TD, (Austin Rehkow KICK) — IDHO win probability +34.3 pts (now 51%) (top driver: IDHO has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:09: Centarius Donald run for 1 yd for a TD, (Justin Manton KICK) — ULM win probability +30.3 pts (now 97%) (top driver: ULM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ULM made the numbers' call on 7 of 9IDHO made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 11:42ULM 4th & 14 at ULM 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.8%−0.1
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:45IDHO 4th & 19 at ULM 46, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.4%−0.2
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    19.5%−0.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    19.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:26IDHO 4th & 11 at IDHO 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.1%−0.3
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.3%
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:36IDHO 4th & 3 at IDHO 42, down 7
    Close callPunted · 18.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.6%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00IDHO 4th & 16 at IDHO 33, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.3%−1.3
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:00ULM 4th & 8 at ULM 15, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.8%−0.8
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:44ULM 4th & 10 at IDHO 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 74.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.3%−0.8
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    74.1%
    74% to make
    Punt
    70.2%−3.9
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:54IDHO 4th & 20 at IDHO 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.5%−2.5
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.0%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:13ULM 4th & 10 at IDHO 10, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 73.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.1%−1.2
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    73.3%
    88% to make
    Punt
    69.1%−4.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 15:00ULM 4th & 12 at IDHO 47, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.7%−1.5
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.1%
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:33ULM 4th & 2 at IDHO 4, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 85.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    85.8%
    50% to convert
    Field goal
    84.9%−0.9
    93% to make
    Punt
    80.0%−5.9
    average punt
  12. Q4 13:59IDHO 4th & 9 at ULM 11, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 13.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.2%−0.8
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    13.0%
    87% to make
    Punt
    7.1%−6.0
    average punt
  13. Q4 13:59ULM 4th & 10 at IDHO 28, up 7
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.1 ptsWent for it · 86.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    85.2%−1.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    86.3%
    60% to make
    Punt
    79.9%−6.4
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:07IDHO 4th & 4 at IDHO 34, down 7
    Close callPunted · 15.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.7%−0.2
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:54ULM 4th & 1 at ULM 27, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.7 ptsPunted · 86.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.5%−2.7
    average punt
  16. Q4 4:22ULM 4th & 20 at ULM 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.5%−12.6
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.2%
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:19IDHO 4th & 8 at IDHO 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.6%−10.5
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ULM made the numbers' call on 5 of 5IDHO made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 11:42IDHO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:03ULM Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 3:32ULM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 0:20ULM Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 7:50IDHO Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 6:52IDHO Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    23.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    23.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 8:36ULM Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 4:22IDHO Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.7%−0.3
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.0%
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 0:09ULM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.6%−1.9
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IDHODrive 1TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:1819% → 21%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+40
81.4%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Richard Montgomery for 40 yds to the LaMon 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+7
81.4%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Justin Podrabsky for 7 yds to the LaMon 28Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 28
+1
81.4%
Jerrel Brown run for 1 yd to the LaMon 27Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 27
-10
81.4%
Matt Linehan pass right pass complete to J Podrabsky for 7 yards to the ULM20, PENALTY IDAHO holding (Elijhaa Penny) 10 yards to the ULM37, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 12
OPP 37
+23
81.4%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Joshua McCain for 23 yds to the LaMon 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+5
81.4%
Jerrel Brown run for 5 yds to the LaMon 9Similar
Q1 11:42
2ND & 5
OPP 9
+9
79.4%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Joshua McCain for 9 yds for a TD, (Austin Rehkow KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:0080% → 80%
Q1 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
79.7%
Pete Thomas pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 11:42
2ND & 10
OWN 34
-4
79.7%
Centarius Donald run for a loss of 4 yards to the LaMon 30Similar
Q1 11:42
3RD & 14
OWN 30
0
79.6%
Pete Thomas pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 11:42
4TH & 14
OWN 30
0
79.5%
Justin Manton punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 0:0021% → 21%
Q1 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+17
79.0%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Deon Watson for 17 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:45
1ST & 10
50
+13
78.8%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Joshua McCain for 13 yds to the LaMon 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:45
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-8
78.8%
Matt Linehan sacked by Hunter Kissinger for a loss of 8 yards to the LaMon 45Similar
Q1 10:45
2ND & 18
OPP 45
-5
78.9%
IDAHO Penalty, false start (Deon Watson) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 10:45
2ND & 23
50
+4
79.0%
Jerrel Brown run for 4 yds to the LaMon 46Similar
Q1 10:45
3RD & 19
OPP 46
0
79.1%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Jacob SannonSimilar
Q1 10:45
4TH & 19
OPP 46
+13
79.2%
Austin Rehkow punt for 40 yds , Rashon Ceaser returns for 13 yds to the LaMon 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 4TD
5 plays · 81 yds · 2:0378% → 80%
Q1 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+13
77.6%
Pete Thomas pass complete to Alec Osborne for 13 yds to the LaMon 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
77.7%
Pete Thomas pass complete to Ajalen Holley for 2 yds to the LaMon 34Similar
Q1 8:06
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+10
77.7%
Centarius Donald run for 10 yds to the LaMon 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+54
78.0%
Pete Thomas pass complete to Ajalen Holley for 54 yds to the Idaho 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
79.6%
Pete Thomas pass complete to Alec Osborne for 2 yds for a TD, (Justin Manton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 5PUNT
7 plays · -1 yds · 1:3722% → 21%
Q1 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-1
78.5%
Jerrel Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the Idaho 29Similar
Q1 6:03
2ND & 11
OWN 29
+5
78.6%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Richard Montgomery for 5 yds to the Idaho 34Similar
Q1 6:03
3RD & 6
OWN 34
-5
78.6%
IDAHO Penalty, false start (N/A) to the Idaho 29Similar
Q1 4:26
3RD & 11
OWN 29
0
78.5%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Justin Podrabsky, broken up by Ajalen HolleySimilar
Q1 4:26
4TH & 11
OWN 29
0
78.8%
Austin Rehkow punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Rashon Ceaser at the LaMon 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 6TD
4 plays · 77 yds · 0:4079% → 82%
Q1 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
78.5%
Pete Thomas run for 4 yds to the LaMon 27Similar
Q1 4:12
2ND & 6
OWN 27
+15
78.6%
Thomas, Pete pass left pass incomplete to Holley, Ajalen, PENALTY IDAHO roughing passer (Q Buckley) 15 yards to the ULM42, 1ST DOWN ULM, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+58
81.8%
Pete Thomas pass complete to Ajalen Holley for 58 yds for a TD, (Justin Manton KICK)Similar
Q1 3:32
1ST & 0
OWN 35
+15
81.6%
IDAHO Penalty, roughing passer (Marc Millan) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 1:5619% → 19%
Q1 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+13
80.9%
Jerrel Brown run for 13 yds to the Idaho 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
80.7%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Jared Klingenberg, broken up by Cordero SmithSimilar
Q1 3:32
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-3
80.8%
Richard Montgomery run for a loss of 3 yards to the Idaho 32Similar
Q1 3:32
3RD & 13
OWN 32
+10
81.2%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Deon Watson for 10 yds to the Idaho 42Similar
Q1 1:36
4TH & 3
OWN 42
0
80.7%
Austin Rehkow punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Rashon Ceaser at the LaMon 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 8TD
4 plays · 83 yds · 1:0581% → 85%
Q1 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+28
80.7%
Pete Thomas pass complete to Tony Cook for 28 yds to the LaMon 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
81.4%
Centarius Donald run for 6 yds to the Idaho 49Similar
Q1 1:25
2ND & 4
OPP 49
+15
81.5%
Thomas, Pete sideline pass incomplete to Jackson, Kenzee, PENALTY IDAHO pass interference (Delency Parham) 15 yards to the IDAHO34, 1ST DOWN ULM, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:20
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+34
85.4%
Centarius Donald run for 34 yds for a TD, (Justin Manton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 8 yds · 0:2016% → 15%
Q1 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
84.2%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Joshua McCain for 5 yds to the Idaho 30Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+9
84.1%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Richard Montgomery for 9 yds to the Idaho 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
84.0%
Jerrel Brown run for no gain to the Idaho 39Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 39
-6
84.1%
Matt Linehan sacked by Lenzy Pipkins for a loss of 6 yards to the Idaho 33Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 16
OWN 33
0
84.5%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 16
OWN 33
0
84.6%
Austin Rehkow punt for 54 yds, fair catch by Rashon Ceaser at the LaMon 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0085% → 85%
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+2
85.2%
Pete Thomas pass complete to Tony Cook for 2 yds Tony Cook fumbled, forced by Jayshawn Jordan, recovered by LaMon Tony CookSimilar
Q2 13:00
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+2
85.1%
Tyler Cain run for 2 yds to the LaMon 15Similar
Q2 13:00
3RD & 8
OWN 15
0
84.8%
Pete Thomas pass incomplete to Ajalen HolleySimilar
Q2 13:00
4TH & 8
OWN 15
+42
84.5%
Justin Manton punt for 42 yds IDAHO Penalty, roughing the kicker ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 11TD
11 plays · 57 yds · 3:4415% → 21%
Q2 11:34
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+13
84.6%
Jerrel Brown run for 13 yds to the LaMon 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:34
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
84.0%
Jerrel Brown run for 2 yds to the LaMon 42Similar
Q2 11:34
2ND & 8
OPP 42
0
84.1%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Deon Watson, broken up by Justin BackusSimilar
Q2 11:34
3RD & 8
OPP 42
+16
84.4%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Joshua McCain for 16 yds to the LaMon 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:34
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-5
83.4%
IDAHO Penalty, false start (N/A) to the LaMon 31Similar
Q2 11:34
1ST & 15
OPP 31
+8
84.1%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Richard Montgomery for 8 yds to the LaMon 23Similar
Q2 11:34
2ND & 7
OPP 23
0
83.4%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Joshua McCain, broken up by Cordero SmithSimilar
Q2 11:34
3RD & 7
OPP 23
+12
84.1%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Justin Podrabsky for 12 yds to the LaMon 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:34
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
83.4%
Jerrel Brown run for 2 yds to the LaMon 9Similar
Q2 11:34
2ND & 8
OPP 9
+6
83.4%
Jerrel Brown run for 6 yds to the LaMon 3Similar
Q2 7:50
3RD & 2
OPP 3
+3
79.0%
Elijhaa Penny run for 3 yds for a TD, (Austin Rehkow KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 12INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0081% → 81%
Q2 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+42
80.9%
Pete Thomas pass intercepted Chris Edwards return for 42 yds to the LaMon 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 13TD
3 plays · 15 yds · 0:4522% → 31%
Q2 7:37
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+5
78.1%
Jerrel Brown run for 5 yds to the LaMon 10Similar
Q2 7:37
2ND & 5
OPP 10
0
78.1%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Jared KlingenbergSimilar
Q2 6:52
3RD & 5
OPP 10
+10
69.5%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Joshua McCain for 10 yds for a TD, (Austin Rehkow KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 14MISSED FG
13 plays · 54 yds · 3:0874% → 73%
Q2 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
74.1%
Pete Thomas pass complete to Kenzee Jackson for 10 yds to the LaMon 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
74.4%
UL MONROE Penalty, false start (Chase Regian) to the LaMon 30Similar
Q2 6:52
1ST & 15
OWN 30
-7
74.1%
Pete Thomas sacked by Quayshawne Buckley for a loss of 7 yards to the LaMon 23Similar
Q2 6:52
2ND & 22
OWN 23
+32
73.9%
Pete Thomas pass complete to Ajalen Holley for 32 yds to the Idaho 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:52
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+8
76.1%
Centarius Donald run for 8 yds to the Idaho 37Similar
Q2 6:52
2ND & 2
OPP 37
+3
76.2%
Centarius Donald run for 3 yds to the Idaho 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 0
+2
74.2%
Centarius Donald run for 2 yds to the Idaho 32 IDAHO Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting ( Yards) to the Idaho 32Similar
Q2 6:52
2ND & 8
OPP 32
+11
76.6%
Tyler Cain run for 11 yds to the Idaho 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:52
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
76.6%
Pete Thomas pass incomplete to Alec OsborneSimilar
Q2 6:52
2ND & 10
OPP 21
0
76.6%
Pete Thomas pass incomplete to Kenzee JacksonSimilar
Q2 6:52
3RD & 10
OPP 21
0
75.9%
Pete Thomas pass incomplete to Tony CookSimilar
Q2 3:44
4TH & 10
OPP 21
+38
73.4%
Justin Manton 38 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 3 yds · 1:5030% → 29%
Q2 3:44
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+9
70.1%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Joshua McCain for 9 yds to the Idaho 30Similar
Q2 3:44
2ND & 1
OWN 30
+4
68.8%
Jerrel Brown run for 4 yds to the Idaho 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:44
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-8
69.5%
Matt Linehan sacked by Gerrand Johnson and Ray Stovall for a loss of 8 yards to the Idaho 26Similar
Q2 3:44
2ND & 18
OWN 26
-9
70.6%
Matt Linehan sacked by Ray Stovall for a loss of 9 yards to the Idaho 17Similar
Q2 2:01
3RD & 27
OWN 17
+7
69.9%
Jerrel Brown run for 7 yds to the Idaho 24Similar
Q2 1:54
4TH & 20
OWN 24
-2
70.8%
Austin Rehkow punt for 45 yds , Rashon Ceaser returns for a loss of 2 yards to the LaMon 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 16FG
13 plays · 61 yds · 1:3272% → 75%
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
71.7%
Pete Thomas pass complete to Tyler Cain for 3 yds to the LaMon 32Similar
Q2 1:45
2ND & 7
OWN 32
+8
71.7%
Pete Thomas run for 8 yds to the LaMon 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
73.1%
Pete Thomas pass complete to Kenzee Jackson for 9 yds to the LaMon 49Similar
Q2 1:45
2ND & 1
OWN 49
0
73.9%
Pete Thomas pass complete to Tyler Cain for no gain to the LaMon 49Similar
Q2 1:45
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+11
72.9%
Pete Thomas run for 11 yds to the Idaho 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
74.3%
Pete Thomas pass incomplete to Kenzee JacksonSimilar
Q2 1:45
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+16
74.1%
Pete Thomas pass complete to Kenzee Jackson for 16 yds to the Idaho 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
74.9%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:45
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+14
74.8%
Pete Thomas pass complete to Kenzee Jackson for 14 yds to the Idaho 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
74.9%
Pete Thomas pass incomplete to Tony CookSimilar
Q2 1:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
74.9%
Pete Thomas pass incomplete to Tony CookSimilar
Q2 1:45
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
0
73.8%
Pete Thomas pass incomplete to Kenzee JacksonSimilar
Q2 0:13
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+27
75.3%
Justin Manton 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 17END OF HALF
3 plays · 7 yds · 0:0027% → 26%
Q2 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-5
73.2%
Matt Linehan sideline pass complete to Joshua McCain for 7 yards to the IDAHO41 (Pipkins, Lenzy), PENALTY IDAHO illegal shift (R Montgomery) 5 yards to the IDAHO29, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:13
1ST & 15
OWN 29
+12
73.9%
Jerrel Brown run for 12 yds to the Idaho 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 18PUNT
11 plays · 33 yds · 0:0074% → 73%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
74.3%
Centarius Donald run for 6 yds to the LaMon 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+5
74.5%
Centarius Donald run for 5 yds to the LaMon 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
74.6%
Centarius Donald run for no gain to the LaMon 31Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+12
74.4%
Pete Thomas pass complete to Centarius Donald for 12 yds to the LaMon 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
76.1%
Centarius Donald run for 3 yds to the LaMon 46Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+9
76.3%
Pete Thomas pass complete to Kenzee Jackson for 9 yds to the Idaho 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-2
76.7%
Tyler Cain run for a loss of 2 yards to the Idaho 47Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 12
OPP 47
0
75.8%
Pete Thomas pass incomplete, broken up by Quinton BradleySimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 12
OPP 47
0
74.7%
Pete Thomas pass incomplete to Kenzee JacksonSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 12
OPP 47
0
73.1%
Justin Manton punt for 47 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 19INT
6 plays · 18 yds · 0:4127% → 28%
Q3 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
73.0%
Jerrel Brown run for 1 yd to the Idaho 21Similar
Q3 10:34
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+11
74.0%
Matt Linehan run for 11 yds to the Idaho 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
73.2%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Elijhaa PennySimilar
Q3 10:34
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+6
73.6%
Jerrel Brown run for 6 yds to the Idaho 38Similar
Q3 10:34
3RD & 4
OWN 38
+4
72.3%
Matt Linehan pass intercepted Hunter Kissinger return for 4 yds to the Idaho 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 20TD
2 plays · 21 yds · 0:3879% → 87%
Q3 9:14
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
78.8%
Centarius Donald run for no gain to the Idaho 21Similar
Q3 8:36
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+21
87.4%
Centarius Donald run for 21 yds for a TD, (Justin Manton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 21FUMBLE
8 plays · 41 yds · 0:0014% → 15%
Q3 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
86.0%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Justin Podrabsky for 3 yds to the Idaho 18Similar
Q3 8:30
2ND & 7
OWN 18
0
85.9%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Deon WatsonSimilar
Q3 8:30
3RD & 7
OWN 18
+12
86.4%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Deon Watson for 12 yds to the Idaho 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
85.6%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Richard MontgomerySimilar
Q3 8:30
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+18
85.8%
Jerrel Brown run for 18 yds to the Idaho 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
84.6%
Jerrel Brown run for no gain to the Idaho 48Similar
Q3 8:30
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+7
84.9%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Joshua McCain for 7 yds Joshua McCain fumbled, forced by Cordero Smith, recovered by LaMon Cody RobinsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 22DOWNS
11 plays · 53 yds · 0:0088% → 87%
Q3 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+18
87.8%
Pete Thomas pass complete to Ajalen Holley for 18 yds to the Idaho 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:33
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-3
88.0%
Pete Thomas sacked by Maxx Forde for a loss of 3 yards to the Idaho 41Similar
Q3 6:33
2ND & 13
OPP 41
+5
87.5%
Pete Thomas run for 5 yds to the Idaho 36Similar
Q3 6:33
3RD & 8
OPP 36
+11
87.4%
Pete Thomas pass complete to Ajalen Holley for 11 yds to the Idaho 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:33
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
88.5%
Tyler Cain run for 5 yds to the Idaho 20Similar
Q3 6:33
2ND & 5
OPP 20
+8
88.5%
Tyler Cain run for 8 yds to the Idaho 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:33
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
88.5%
Tyler Cain run for 2 yds to the Idaho 10Similar
Q3 6:33
2ND & 8
OPP 10
+1
88.5%
Tyler Cain run for 1 yd to the Idaho 9Similar
Q3 6:33
3RD & 7
OPP 9
+5
87.8%
Pete Thomas pass complete to Tony Cook for 5 yds to the Idaho 4Similar
Q3 6:33
4TH & 2
OPP 4
+1
87.2%
Centarius Donald run for 1 yd to the Idaho 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 23FG
13 plays · 86 yds · 3:5111% → 15%
Q3 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 3
0
89.2%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Joshua McCainSimilar
Q3 2:50
2ND & 10
OWN 3
+10
89.3%
Matt Linehan run for 10 yds to the Idaho 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+5
88.6%
Kristoffer Olugbode run for 5 yds to the Idaho 18Similar
Q3 2:50
2ND & 5
OWN 18
+11
88.5%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Deon Watson for 11 yds to the Idaho 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
88.2%
Kristoffer Olugbode run for 6 yds to the Idaho 35Similar
Q3 2:50
2ND & 4
OWN 35
+12
87.5%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Justin Podrabsky for 12 yds to the Idaho 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+26
87.2%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Jacob Sannon for 26 yds to the LaMon 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
85.3%
Kristoffer Olugbode run for no gain to the LaMon 27Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+15
87.5%
Joshua McCain pass incomplete to Deon Watson, PENALTY ULM pass interference (Caldwell, Trey) 15 yards to the ULM12, 1ST DOWN IDAHO, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
87.2%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Jayshawn JordanSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+1
87.2%
Kristoffer Olugbode run for 1 yd to the LaMon 11Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 11
0
88.4%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Joshua McCain, broken up by Trey CaldwellSimilar
Q4 13:59
4TH & 9
OPP 11
+28
85.1%
Austin Rehkow 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 24DOWNS
9 plays · 26 yds · 0:0089% → 88%
Q4 13:59
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
89.4%
Centarius Donald run for 2 yds to the LaMon 48Similar
Q4 13:59
2ND & 8
OWN 48
-1
89.4%
Pete Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaMon 47Similar
Q4 13:59
3RD & 9
OWN 47
+15
88.5%
Thomas, Pete sideline pass incomplete to Holley, Ajalen (Kris Olugbode), PENALTY IDAHO pass interference (Kris Olugbode) 15 yards to the IDAHO38, 1ST DOWN ULM, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:59
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+10
89.6%
Pete Thomas pass complete to Centarius Donald for 10 yds to the Idaho 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:59
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-3
90.3%
Centarius Donald run for a loss of 3 yards to the Idaho 31Similar
Q4 13:59
2ND & 13
OPP 31
+3
89.9%
Pete Thomas run for 3 yds to the Idaho 28Similar
Q4 13:59
3RD & 10
OPP 28
0
89.2%
Pete Thomas pass incomplete to Tony CookSimilar
Q4 13:59
4TH & 10
OPP 28
0
88.0%
Pete Thomas pass incomplete to Ajalen HolleySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0013% → 12%
Q4 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
86.8%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Richard Montgomery for 2 yds to the Idaho 30Similar
Q4 11:07
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+4
86.8%
Jerrel Brown run for 4 yds to the Idaho 34Similar
Q4 11:07
3RD & 4
OWN 34
0
87.0%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Joshua McCainSimilar
Q4 11:07
4TH & 4
OWN 34
0
87.7%
Austin Rehkow punt for 58 yds, downed at the LaMon 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 26PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 0:0089% → 89%
Q4 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+10
88.9%
Centarius Donald run for 10 yds to the LaMon 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
89.3%
Pete Thomas pass incomplete to Kenzee JacksonSimilar
Q4 9:54
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+3
89.1%
Centarius Donald run for 3 yds to the LaMon 21Similar
Q4 9:54
3RD & 7
OWN 21
+6
88.7%
Pete Thomas pass complete to Alec Osborne for 6 yds to the LaMon 27Similar
Q4 9:54
4TH & 1
OWN 0
0
88.2%
Manton, Justin punt 56 yards to the IDAHO17, David Ungerer return to the IDAHO30, PENALTY IDAHO personal foul off-setting, PENALTY ULM personal foul off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:54
4TH & 1
OWN 27
+2
88.6%
Justin Manton punt for 39 yds , David Ungerer returns for 2 yds to the Idaho 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 27TD
12 plays · 64 yds · 3:2713% → 51%
Q4 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
87.2%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Jacob Sannon, broken up by Ray StovallSimilar
Q4 7:49
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+9
87.4%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Richard Montgomery for 9 yds to the Idaho 45Similar
Q4 7:49
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+1
85.8%
Matt Linehan run for 1 yd to the Idaho 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
86.0%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Justin PodrabskySimilar
Q4 7:49
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+4
86.7%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Deon Watson for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 7:49
3RD & 6
50
+5
85.5%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to J Podrabsky (Smith, Cordero), PENALTY ULM pass interference (Smith, Cordero) 5 yards to the ULM45, 1ST DOWN IDAHO, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:49
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-4
84.8%
Matt Linehan run for a loss of 4 yards to the LaMon 47 Matt Linehan fumbled, recovered by Idaho Matt LinehanSimilar
Q4 7:49
2ND & 12
OPP 47
0
86.1%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to David Ungerer, broken up by Cordero SmithSimilar
Q4 7:49
3RD & 12
OPP 47
+12
87.0%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Deon Watson for 12 yds to the LaMon 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:49
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
83.3%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Deon WatsonSimilar
Q4 7:49
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+3
83.3%
Jerrel Brown run for 3 yds to the LaMon 32Similar
Q4 4:22
3RD & 7
OPP 32
+32
49.1%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Deon Watson for 32 yds for a TD, (Austin Rehkow KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 28PUNT
9 plays · 4 yds · 0:0062% → 58%
Q4 4:22
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
62.2%
Pete Thomas pass incomplete to Rashon CeaserSimilar
Q4 4:22
2ND & 10
OWN 24
-1
61.8%
Pete Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaMon 23Similar
Q4 4:22
3RD & 11
OWN 23
+15
59.7%
Thomas, Pete pass incomplete to Jackson, Kenzee, PENALTY IDAHO roughing passer (Armond Hawkins) 15 yards to the ULM38, 1ST DOWN ULM, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:22
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-10
64.5%
Thomas, Pete sideline pass complete to Holley, Ajalen for 20 yards to the IDAHO42, out-of-bounds, PENALTY ULM holding (Mitchell, Colby) 10 yards to the ULM28, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:22
1ST & 20
OWN 28
0
62.0%
Pete Thomas pass incomplete to Tyler CainSimilar
Q4 4:22
2ND & 20
OWN 28
+7
61.4%
Pete Thomas pass complete to Rashon Ceaser for 7 yds to the LaMon 35Similar
Q4 4:22
3RD & 13
OWN 35
-7
60.1%
Pete Thomas sacked by Anthony Rice for a loss of 7 yards to the LaMon 28Similar
Q4 4:22
4TH & 20
OWN 28
0
58.3%
Justin Manton punt for 53 yds, fair catch by David Ungerer at the Idaho 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 29PUNT
7 plays · 2 yds · 0:2747% → 44%
Q4 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-10
53.3%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Deon Watson for 11 yards to the IDAHO30, out-of-bounds (Lewis, R), PENALTY IDAHO holding (Steven Matlock) 10 yards to the IDAHO9, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:46
1ST & 20
OWN 9
0
55.4%
Jerrel Brown run for no gain to the Idaho 9Similar
Q4 1:31
2ND & 20
OWN 9
0
55.2%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Richard MontgomerySimilar
Q4 1:31
3RD & 20
OWN 9
+12
56.8%
Jerrel Brown run for 12 yds to the Idaho 21Similar
Q4 1:19
4TH & 8
OWN 21
0
56.3%
Austin Rehkow punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Rashon Ceaser at the LaMon 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 30TD
7 plays · 73 yds · 1:0257% → 97%
Q4 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
56.8%
Pete Thomas pass incomplete to Rashon CeaserSimilar
Q4 1:11
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+29
55.6%
Pete Thomas pass complete to Kenzee Jackson for 29 yds to the Idaho 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:11
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
63.4%
Pete Thomas pass incomplete to Rashon CeaserSimilar
Q4 1:11
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+36
63.0%
Pete Thomas pass complete to Tyler Cain for 36 yds to the Idaho 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:11
1ST & 0
OPP 8
+4
72.9%
TEAM pass incomplete, PENALTY IDAHO substitution infraction 4 yards to the IDAHO4, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
66.6%
Centarius Donald run for 3 yds to the Idaho 1Similar
Q4 0:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
96.8%
Centarius Donald run for 1 yd for a TD, (Justin Manton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 31INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q4 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
90.3%
Matt Linehan pass intercepted Cody Robinson return for no gain to the LaMon 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 4:22
Matt Linehan pass complete to Deon Watson for 32 yds for a TD, (Austin Rehkow KICK)
-34.3
TD · Q4 0:09
Centarius Donald run for 1 yd for a TD, (Justin Manton KICK)
+30.3
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+9.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com