Try the model
SAV

Savannah State 9 at Georgia Southern 83

GASO
2014 · Week 2 · Sep 6, 2014 · Allen E. Paulson Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · GASO
modelGASO aheadSAV aheadconfidence bandkey playGASO scoreSAV score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:03 · Ker-Sean Wilson pass incomplete to Detorrius McDonald, broken up by Ken Butler Jr.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 10:00: Matt Breida run for 14 yds for a TD, (Alex Hanks KICK) — SAV win probability +0.2 pts (now 1%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 2:34: Favian Upshaw run for 6 yds for a TD, (Alex Hanks KICK) — GASO win probability +0.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 14:35: Favian Upshaw pass complete to Kentrellis Showers for 43 yds for a TD, (Alex Hanks KICK) — GASO win probability +0.5 pts (now 100%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 10:02: Montay Crockett run for 8 yds for a TD, (Alex Hanks KICK) — GASO win probability +0.2 pts (now 100%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 3:09: Devin Scott run for 1 yd for a TD, (Alex Hanks KICK) — GASO win probability +0.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SAV made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 15:00SAV 4th & 14 at SAV 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−0.2
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:54SAV 4th & 3 at SAV 37, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:52SAV 4th & 7 at SAV 28, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.4%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.5%
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:21SAV 4th & 12 at SAV 23, down 41
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 3:04SAV 4th & 7 at SAV 32, down 48
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  6. Q3 3:38SAV 4th & 10 at SAV 12, down 69
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  7. Q4 9:07SAV 4th & 21 at GASO 22, down 76
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.1%−0.1
    8% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.0%
    72% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
GASO made the numbers' call on 11 of 11
  1. Q1 10:00GASO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:52GASO Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 2:34GASO Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 14:35GASO Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 10:02GASO Touchdown, up 40 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 3:09GASO Touchdown, up 47 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 12:27GASO Touchdown, up 54 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 6:55GASO Touchdown, up 61 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 3:46GASO Touchdown, up 68 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 14:50GASO Touchdown, up 75 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 5:19GASO Touchdown, up 79 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SAVDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · -4 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 15:00
4TH & 14
OWN 31
0
99.2%
Jacob Thomas punt for 35 yds , Brandan Thomas returns for no gain to the GeoSo 34Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
99.2%
Tino Smith pass complete to Anthony Criswell for 2 yds to the SavSt 37Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 37
0
99.2%
Tino Smith run for no gain to the SavSt 37Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 37
-5
99.2%
SAVANNAH ST Penalty, false start (N/A) to the SavSt 32Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 13
OWN 32
-1
99.2%
Tino Smith pass complete to Jeremiah Harris for a loss of 1 yard to the SavSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 2TD
7 plays · 66 yds · 5:0099% → 99%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+8
99.2%
Matt Breida run for 8 yds to the GeoSo 42Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 42
+5
99.2%
Matt Breida run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
99.2%
Kevin Ellison run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 49Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+5
99.2%
Kevin Ellison pass complete to Zach Walker for 5 yds to the SavSt 46Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 46
+32
99.2%
Kevin Ellison run for 32 yds to the SavSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+11
99.2%
Matt Breida run for 11 yds to the GeoSo 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
99.0%
Matt Breida run for 14 yds for a TD, (Alex Hanks KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SAVDrive 3DOWNS
9 plays · 20 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+5
98.9%
Ker-Sean Wilson pass complete to Arshon Spaulding for 5 yds to the SavSt 23Similar
Q1 9:54
2ND & 5
OWN 23
-5
98.9%
SAVANNAH ST Penalty, false start (N/A) to the SavSt 18Similar
Q1 9:54
2ND & 10
OWN 18
0
98.9%
Ker-Sean Wilson pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 9:54
3RD & 10
OWN 18
+14
98.9%
Ker-Sean Wilson run for a loss of 2 yards to the SavSt 30 Ker-Sean Wilson fumbled, recovered by SavSt Ker-Sean Wilson for a 1ST down , return for 14 yds to the SavSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
98.9%
Joshua Berry run for 2 yds to the SavSt 32Similar
Q1 9:54
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+1
98.9%
Anthony Criswell run for 1 yd to the SavSt 33Similar
Q1 9:54
3RD & 7
OWN 33
+4
98.9%
Ker-Sean Wilson pass complete to Detorrius McDonald for 4 yds to the SavSt 37Similar
Q1 9:54
4TH & 3
OWN 37
+1
98.9%
Ker-Sean Wilson run for 1 yd to the SavSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 4TD
1 play · 38 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q1 6:52
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+38
98.9%
Kevin Ellison pass complete to Kentrellis Showers for 38 yds for a TD, (Alex Hanks KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SAVDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.9%
Tino Smith pass incomplete to Joshua BerrySimilar
Q1 6:52
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
98.9%
Tino Smith pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 6:52
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+5
98.9%
Tino Smith run for 5 yds to the SavSt 28 Tino Smith fumbled, forced by Valdon Cooper, recovered by SavSt Joshua Berry , return for 2 yds to the SavSt 28Similar
Q1 6:52
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
98.9%
Jacob Thomas punt for 22 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 6TD
9 plays · 50 yds · 3:4199% → 99%
Q1 6:15
1ST & 10
50
+5
98.9%
Favian Upshaw run for 5 yds to the SavSt 45Similar
Q1 6:15
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+4
98.9%
Alfred Ramsby run for 4 yds to the SavSt 41Similar
Q1 6:15
3RD & 1
OPP 41
+5
98.9%
Alfred Ramsby run for 5 yds to the SavSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
98.9%
Favian Upshaw run for 2 yds to the SavSt 34Similar
Q1 6:15
2ND & 8
OPP 34
+10
98.9%
Favian Upshaw pass complete to Kentrellis Showers for 10 yds to the SavSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+16
98.9%
Favian Upshaw run for 16 yds to the SavSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
98.9%
Matt Breida run for 2 yds to the SavSt 6Similar
Q1 6:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
98.9%
Favian Upshaw pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 2:34
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
99.0%
Favian Upshaw run for 6 yds for a TD, (Alex Hanks KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SAVDrive 7INT
6 plays · -5 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.0%
Ker-Sean Wilson pass complete to Cantrell Frazier for 4 yds to the SavSt 29Similar
Q1 2:34
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-5
99.0%
SAVANNAH ST Penalty, false start (Cantrell Frazier) to the SavSt 24Similar
Q1 2:34
2ND & 11
OWN 24
-4
99.0%
SAVANNAH ST Penalty, false start (N/A) to the SavSt 20Similar
Q1 2:34
2ND & 15
OWN 20
0
99.0%
Ker-Sean Wilson pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 2:34
3RD & 15
OWN 20
0
99.0%
Ker-Sean Wilson pass intercepted Deion Stanley return for no gain to the GeoSo 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 8TD
4 plays · 58 yds · 1:3799% → 100%
Q1 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
99.0%
Devin Scott run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 47Similar
Q1 1:12
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+3
99.0%
Favian Upshaw run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
50
+7
99.0%
Alfred Ramsby run for 7 yds to the SavSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:35
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+43
99.5%
Favian Upshaw pass complete to Kentrellis Showers for 43 yds for a TD, (Alex Hanks KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 10TD
4 plays · 29 yds · 0:44100% → 99%
Q2 14:25
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+25
99.5%
Matt Breida run for 25 yds to the SavSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
99.5%
Matt Breida run for 3 yds to the SavSt 1Similar
Q2 13:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.4%
Matt Breida run for 1 yd for a TD, (Alex Hanks MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SAVDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · -8 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-4
99.6%
Tino Smith sacked by Antwione Williams for a loss of 4 yards to the SavSt 15Similar
Q2 13:36
2ND & 14
OWN 15
-4
99.6%
Tino Smith sacked by Antwione Williams for a loss of 4 yards to the SavSt 11Similar
Q2 13:36
3RD & 23
OWN 6
+5
99.6%
Tino Smith run for 5 yds to the SavSt 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 12TD
2 plays · 41 yds · 1:0899% → 100%
Q2 11:10
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+10
99.4%
Alfred Ramsby run for 10 yds to the SavSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
99.6%
Montay Crockett run for 8 yds for a TD, (Alex Hanks KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SAVDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 0:340% → 0%
Q2 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.7%
Anthony Criswell run for 1 yd to the SavSt 26Similar
Q2 9:21
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+1
99.8%
Joshua Berry run for 1 yd to the SavSt 27Similar
Q2 9:21
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-4
99.8%
Anthony Criswell run for a loss of 4 yards to the SavSt 23Similar
Q2 9:21
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
99.8%
Jacob Thomas punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the GeoSo 33 , Tray Butler returns for no gain to the GeoSo 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 14TD
10 plays · 67 yds · 4:37100% → 100%
Q2 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-10
99.7%
GA SOUTHERN Penalty, illegal block (-10 Yards) to the GeoSo 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
99.7%
Ean Days run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 28Similar
Q2 7:46
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+27
99.7%
Favian Upshaw run for 27 yds to the SavSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:46
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+7
99.7%
Devin Scott run for 7 yds to the SavSt 38Similar
Q2 7:46
2ND & 3
OPP 38
+4
99.7%
Favian Upshaw run for 4 yds to the SavSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:46
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
99.7%
Ean Days run for 4 yds to the SavSt 30Similar
Q2 7:46
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+3
99.7%
Ean Days run for 3 yds to the SavSt 27Similar
Q2 7:46
3RD & 3
OPP 27
+18
99.7%
Favian Upshaw run for 18 yds to the SavSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+8
99.7%
Devin Scott run for 8 yds to the SavSt 1Similar
Q2 3:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.8%
Devin Scott run for 1 yd for a TD, (Alex Hanks KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SAVDrive 15PUNT
9 plays · 19 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+2
99.8%
Joshua Berry run for 2 yds to the SavSt 15Similar
Q2 3:04
2ND & 8
OWN 15
0
99.8%
Ker-Sean Wilson pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q2 3:04
3RD & 8
OWN 15
+14
99.8%
Ker-Sean Wilson pass complete to Joshua Berry for 14 yds to the SavSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-2
99.8%
Ker-Sean Wilson run for a loss of 2 yards to the SavSt 27Similar
Q2 3:04
2ND & 12
OWN 27
0
99.8%
Ker-Sean Wilson pass incomplete to Detorrius McDonald, broken up by Matt DobsonSimilar
Q2 3:04
3RD & 12
OWN 27
0
99.8%
Ker-Sean Wilson pass incomplete to Arshon Spaulding, broken up by Nick WrightSimilar
Q2 3:04
4TH & 12
OWN 27
+5
99.8%
GA SOUTHERN Penalty, roughing the kicker (Vegas Harley) to the SavSt 32Similar
Q2 3:04
4TH & 7
OWN 32
+2
99.8%
Jacob Thomas punt for 43 yds , Brandan Thomas returns for 2 yds to the GeoSo 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 16END OF HALF
2 plays · 9 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q2 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
99.8%
GA SOUTHERN Penalty, illegal block (N/A) to the GeoSo 27Similar
Q2 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+9
99.8%
Ean Days run for 9 yds to the GeoSo 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 17TD
8 plays · 65 yds · 2:33100% → 100%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
99.8%
Ean Days run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 40Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+3
99.8%
Ean Days run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 43Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+5
99.8%
SAVANNAH ST Penalty, Defensive offside (Marcus Lee) to the GeoSo 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
99.8%
Dennis Pritchard run for 5 yds to the SavSt 47Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+7
99.8%
Brandan Thomas run for 7 yds to the SavSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+37
99.8%
Brandan Thomas run for 37 yds to the SavSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.9%
Ean Days run for 3 yds for a TD, (Younghoe Koo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SAVDrive 18MISSED FG
15 plays · 67 yds · 5:170% → 0%
Q3 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
99.9%
Tino Smith pass complete to Kris Drummond for 10 yds to the SavSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
99.9%
Tino Smith pass complete to Jeremiah Harris for 8 yds to the SavSt 43Similar
Q3 12:27
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+4
99.9%
Joshua Berry run for 4 yds to the SavSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+10
99.9%
Tino Smith run for 10 yds to the GeoSo 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:27
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+7
99.9%
Tino Smith run for 7 yds to the GeoSo 36Similar
Q3 12:27
2ND & 3
OPP 36
+19
99.9%
Tino Smith pass complete to Kris Drummond for 19 yds to the GeoSo 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:27
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+1
99.9%
Joshua Berry run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 16Similar
Q3 12:27
2ND & 9
OPP 16
+12
99.9%
Tino Smith run for 12 yds to the GeoSo 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
99.9%
Nicholas Bentley run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 3Similar
Q3 12:27
2ND & 0
OPP 3
-5
99.8%
SAVANNAH ST Penalty, delay of game (N/A) to the GeoSo 8Similar
Q3 7:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
99.9%
Tino Smith pass incomplete to Kris DrummondSimilar
Q3 7:24
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
99.9%
Tino Smith pass incomplete to Arshon Spaulding, broken up by Steve WilliamsSimilar
Q3 7:10
4TH & 0
OPP 8
+25
99.9%
John Barron 25 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 19TD
1 play · 80 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+80
99.9%
Ean Days run for 80 yds for a TD, (Younghoe Koo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SAVDrive 20FUMBLE
4 plays · 32 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
99.9%
Ker-Sean Wilson run for 8 yds to the SavSt 33Similar
Q3 6:55
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+19
99.9%
Ker-Sean Wilson run for 19 yds to the GeoSo 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:55
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
99.9%
Joshua Berry run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 43 Joshua Berry fumbled, forced by Rashad Williams, recovered by GeoSo Rashad WilliamsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 21TD
5 plays · 57 yds · 3:09100% → 100%
Q3 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
99.9%
SAVANNAH ST Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
99.9%
Dennis Pritchard run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 46Similar
Q3 6:55
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+20
99.9%
Dennis Pritchard run for 20 yds to the SavSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:55
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
99.9%
Brandan Thomas run for 5 yds to the SavSt 29Similar
Q3 3:46
2ND & 5
OPP 29
+29
99.9%
Brandan Thomas run for 29 yds for a TD, (Younghoe Koo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SAVDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
100.0%
Anthony Criswell run for no gain to the SavSt 12Similar
Q3 3:38
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+3
100.0%
Tino Smith pass complete to Arshon Spaulding for 3 yds to the SavSt 15Similar
Q3 3:38
3RD & 7
OWN 15
-3
100.0%
Tino Smith run for a loss of 3 yards to the SavSt 12Similar
Q3 3:38
4TH & 10
OWN 12
+5
100.0%
Jacob Thomas punt for 37 yds , Tray Butler returns for 5 yds to the SavSt 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 23TD
3 plays · 44 yds · 1:35100% → 100%
Q3 1:25
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
99.9%
Ezayi Youyoute run for 3 yds to the SavSt 41Similar
Q3 1:25
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+4
99.9%
Ezayi Youyoute run for 4 yds to the SavSt 37Similar
Q4 14:50
3RD & 3
OPP 37
+37
100.0%
Ezayi Youyoute run for 37 yds for a TD, (Younghoe Koo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SAVDrive 24FG
13 plays · 53 yds · 5:430% → 0%
Q4 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
100.0%
Ker-Sean Wilson pass complete to Joshua Berry for 14 yds to the SavSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
100.0%
Ker-Sean Wilson pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q4 14:50
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+15
100.0%
Ker-Sean Wilson pass complete to Cantrell Frazier for 15 yds to the GeoSo 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:50
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
100.0%
Ker-Sean Wilson run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 44Similar
Q4 14:50
2ND & 8
OPP 44
0
100.0%
Ker-Sean Wilson pass incomplete to Anthony CriswellSimilar
Q4 14:50
3RD & 8
OPP 44
+22
100.0%
Ker-Sean Wilson pass complete to Anthony Criswell for 22 yds to the GeoSo 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:50
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+3
100.0%
Ker-Sean Wilson pass complete to Kris Drummond for 3 yds to the GeoSo 19Similar
Q4 14:50
2ND & 7
OPP 19
+8
100.0%
Joshua Berry run for 8 yds to the GeoSo 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:50
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
100.0%
Nicholas Bentley run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 8Similar
Q4 14:50
2ND & 7
OPP 8
-6
100.0%
Ker-Sean Wilson sacked by Jamal Johnson and Ryan George for a loss of 6 yards to the GeoSo 14Similar
Q4 14:50
3RD & 13
OPP 14
-8
100.0%
Ker-Sean Wilson sacked by Ryan George for a loss of 8 yards to the GeoSo 22Similar
Q4 9:07
4TH & 21
OPP 22
+39
100.0%
John Barron 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 25TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:48100% → 100%
Q4 9:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
100.0%
Brandan Thomas run for 15 yds to the GeoSo 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:07
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+12
100.0%
Dennis Pritchard run for 12 yds to the SavSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:07
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+16
100.0%
Dennis Pritchard run for 16 yds to the SavSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:07
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+7
100.0%
Brandan Thomas run for 7 yds to the SavSt 25Similar
Q4 9:07
2ND & 3
OPP 25
+17
100.0%
Brandan Thomas run for 17 yds to the SavSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
100.0%
Dennis Pritchard run for 3 yds to the SavSt 5Similar
Q4 5:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
100.0%
Dennis Pritchard run for 5 yds for a TD, (Younghoe Koo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SAVDrive 26TD
15 plays · 79 yds · 4:420% → 0%
Q4 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+11
100.0%
Tino Smith pass complete to Detorrius McDonald for 11 yds to the SavSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
100.0%
Anthony Criswell run for 3 yds to the SavSt 35Similar
Q4 5:11
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+5
100.0%
Tino Smith pass complete to Detorrius McDonald for 5 yds to the SavSt 40Similar
Q4 5:11
3RD & 2
OWN 40
+3
100.0%
Tino Smith run for 3 yds to the SavSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
100.0%
Tino Smith pass incomplete to Cantrell Frazier, broken up by DeVonte LewisSimilar
Q4 5:11
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+9
100.0%
Tino Smith pass complete to Roosevelt Isom for 9 yds to the GeoSo 48Similar
Q4 5:11
3RD & 1
OPP 48
+4
100.0%
Anthony Criswell run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:11
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
100.0%
Tino Smith pass complete to Detorrius McDonald for 5 yds to the GeoSo 39Similar
Q4 5:11
2ND & 5
OPP 39
0
100.0%
Tino Smith pass incomplete to Joshua BerrySimilar
Q4 5:11
3RD & 5
OPP 39
+8
100.0%
Tino Smith pass complete to Jeremiah Harris for 8 yds to the GeoSo 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:51
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
100.0%
Tino Smith pass incomplete to Arshon Spaulding, broken up by Laderrick RobertsSimilar
Q4 0:51
2ND & 10
OPP 31
0
100.0%
Tino Smith pass incomplete to Jeremiah HarrisSimilar
Q4 0:29
3RD & 10
OPP 31
+31
100.0%
Tino Smith pass complete to Cantrell Frazier for 31 yds for a TD, (John Barron BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SAVDrive 27END OF GAME
7 plays · 17 yds · 0:260% → 0%
Q4 0:29
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
100.0%
Ker-Sean Wilson pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q4 0:29
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+17
100.0%
Ker-Sean Wilson pass complete to Roosevelt Isom for 17 yds to the GeoSo 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:12
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
100.0%
Ker-Sean Wilson run for no gain to the GeoSo 37Similar
Q4 0:03
2ND & 10
OPP 37
0
100.0%
Ker-Sean Wilson pass incomplete to Detorrius McDonald, broken up by Ken Butler Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 14:35
Favian Upshaw pass complete to Kentrellis Showers for 43 yds for a TD, (Alex Hanks KICK)
+0.5
TD · Q1 10:00
Matt Breida run for 14 yds for a TD, (Alex Hanks KICK)
-0.2
TD · Q2 10:02
Montay Crockett run for 8 yds for a TD, (Alex Hanks KICK)
+0.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com