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SOU

Southern 6 at Louisiana 45

UL
2014 · Week 1 · Aug 30, 2014 · Cajun Field
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Win probability · UL
modelUL aheadSOU aheadconfidence bandkey playUL scoreSOU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 9:50 · Tyre Bracken run for no gain to the LaLaf 44
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+49.0+24.50−24.5−49.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 73Pregame prior+41.4Home team on offense+7.4Score differential+3.4Garbage-time factor+1.6Blowout margin+0.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:11: Jamal Robinson 32 Yd pass from Terrance Broadway (Hunter Stover Kick) — UL win probability +1.1 pts (now 98%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 7:35: Terrance Broadway pass complete to Jared Johnson for 13 yds for a TD, (Hunter Stover KICK) — UL win probability +0.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 8:54: Ausitn Howard pass complete to Bradley Coleman for 23 yds for a TD, (Kyle Yonke MISSED) — SOU win probability +1.4 pts (now 3%) (top driver: SOU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 4:37: Terrance Broadway pass complete to Jamal Robinson for 7 yds for a TD, (Hunter Stover KICK) — UL win probability +2.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 13:52: Terrance Broadway run for 8 yds for a TD, (Hunter Stover KICK) — UL win probability +0.2 pts (now 100%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UL made the numbers' call on 7 of 7SOU made the numbers' call on 7 of 12
  1. Q1 15:00SOU 4th & 11 at SOU 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.5%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:26SOU 4th & 11 at UL 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.8%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:12UL 4th & 6 at SOU 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.3%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.3%
    83% to make
    Punt
    96.9%−0.4
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:07SOU 4th & 5 at UL 11, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.9%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    2.9%
    87% to make
    Punt
    2.5%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:27SOU 4th & 8 at SOU 37, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.7%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.7%
    average punt
  6. Q1 1:45UL 4th & 7 at UL 40, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.1%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 15:00SOU 4th & 17 at SOU 7, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.8%−0.2
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.0%
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:50SOU 4th & 1 at UL 44, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    1.8%−0.6
    27% to make
    Punt
    2.0%−0.4
    average punt
  9. Q2 7:35SOU 4th & 1 at SOU 18, down 24
    Close callPunted · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.4%−0.2
    average punt
  10. Q2 4:38UL 4th & 6 at UL 23, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.4%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.5%
    average punt
  11. Q2 4:27SOU 4th & 11 at SOU 35, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.4%−0.2
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.6%
    average punt
  12. Q2 1:55UL 4th & 7 at UL 30, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.5%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.6%
    average punt
  13. Q3 15:00UL 4th & 5 at SOU 46, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.7%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    98.5%−0.2
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    98.7%
    average punt
  14. Q3 8:54UL 4th & 1 at SOU 9, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    97.5%−0.5
    89% to make
    Punt
    95.9%−2.0
    average punt
  15. Q3 4:37SOU 4th & 1 at SOU 34, down 25
    Close callPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q3 0:43SOU 4th & 1 at SOU 21, down 25
    Close callPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%−0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 13:52SOU 4th & 3 at SOU 26, down 32
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 6:42UL 4th & 2 at SOU 2, up 32
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.1
    94% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.6
    average punt
  19. Q4 6:42SOU 4th & 10 at UL 20, down 39
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%
    75% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UL made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 2:27UL Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:11UL Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:35UL Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 4:37UL Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 13:52UL Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 6:42UL Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SOUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
98.7%
Deonte Shorts pass incomplete to Randall MenardSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+1
98.7%
Deonte Shorts run for 1 yd to the Sthrn 16Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 16
-2
98.7%
Jamarcus Jarvis run for a loss of 2 yards to the Sthrn 14Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 11
OWN 14
+11
98.7%
Paul Randle Soden punt for 52 yds , Elijah McGuire returns for 11 yds to the LaLaf 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 2INT
4 plays · 12 yds · 1:1699% → 99%
Q1 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
98.6%
Alonzo Harris run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 48Similar
Q1 13:42
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+6
98.6%
Terrance Broadway run for 6 yds to the Sthrn 46Similar
Q1 13:42
3RD & 1
OPP 46
+3
98.6%
Alonzo Harris run for 3 yds to the Sthrn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:26
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+7
98.5%
Terrance Broadway pass intercepted Bryan Anderson return for 7 yds to the Sthrn 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SOUDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q1 12:26
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
98.4%
Deonte Shorts run for 3 yds to the Sthrn 44Similar
Q1 12:26
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+3
98.4%
Lenard Tillery run for 3 yds to the Sthrn 47Similar
Q1 12:26
3RD & 4
OWN 47
+6
98.4%
Lenard Tillery run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:26
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
98.4%
Deonte Shorts pass incomplete, broken up by Remaine DouglasSimilar
Q1 12:26
2ND & 10
OPP 47
-1
98.4%
Lenard Tillery run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaLaf 48Similar
Q1 12:26
3RD & 11
OPP 48
0
98.4%
Deonte Shorts pass incomplete to Willie QuinnSimilar
Q1 12:26
4TH & 11
OPP 48
0
98.4%
Paul Randle Soden punt for 27 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LaLaf 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 4FG
13 plays · 64 yds · 3:5298% → 98%
Q1 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
98.2%
Elijah McGuire run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 26Similar
Q1 10:04
2ND & 5
OWN 26
+4
98.2%
Elijah McGuire run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 30Similar
Q1 10:04
3RD & 1
OWN 30
+7
98.2%
Alonzo Harris run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+16
98.2%
Elijah McGuire run for 16 yds to the Sthrn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:04
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+15
98.2%
Broadway, Terrance deep left pass incomplete to Scott, Devin, PENALTY SUBR pass interference (Bethancourt, Justin) 15 yards to the SUBR32, 1ST DOWN UL, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:04
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
98.2%
Alonzo Harris run for 3 yds to the Sthrn 29Similar
Q1 10:04
2ND & 7
OPP 29
+10
98.2%
Terrance Broadway pass complete to James Butler for 10 yds to the Sthrn 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:04
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+8
98.2%
Terrance Broadway pass complete to Jamal Robinson for 8 yds to the Sthrn 11Similar
Q1 10:04
2ND & 2
OPP 11
+1
98.2%
Alonzo Harris run for 1 yd to the Sthrn 10Similar
Q1 10:04
3RD & 1
OPP 10
-5
98.2%
UL LAFAYETTE Penalty, false start (Alonzo Harris) to the Sthrn 15Similar
Q1 6:20
3RD & 6
OPP 15
0
97.8%
Terrance Broadway pass incomplete to Matthew BarnesSimilar
Q1 6:12
4TH & 6
OPP 15
+31
97.8%
Hunter Stover 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SOUDrive 5MISSED FG
7 plays · 64 yds · 2:052% → 3%
Q1 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
97.8%
Jamarcus Jarvis run for 3 yds to the Sthrn 28Similar
Q1 6:12
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+56
97.8%
Ausitn Howard pass complete to Willie Quinn for 56 yds to the LaLaf 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:12
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+1
97.7%
Ausitn Howard run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 15Similar
Q1 6:12
2ND & 9
OPP 15
+4
97.7%
Jamarcus Jarvis run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 11Similar
Q1 6:12
3RD & 5
OPP 11
0
97.7%
Ausitn Howard pass incomplete to Samuel AltmanSimilar
Q1 4:07
4TH & 5
OPP 11
+29
97.5%
Kyle Yonke 29 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 6TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 1:4098% → 98%
Q1 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+36
97.5%
Terrance Broadway pass complete to Jamal Robinson for 36 yds to the ULLAFAYTTE 44 for a 1ST down SOUTHERN Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:07
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
97.6%
Alonzo Harris run for 2 yds to the Sthrn 42Similar
Q1 4:07
2ND & 8
OPP 42
0
97.6%
Terrance Broadway pass incomplete to Al Riles, broken up by Kentavious PrestonSimilar
Q1 4:07
3RD & 8
OPP 42
+14
97.6%
Terrance Broadway pass complete to Alonzo Harris for 14 yds to the Sthrn 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:07
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+20
97.6%
Terrance Broadway pass complete to Nick Byrne for 12 yds to the Sthrn 16 for a 1ST down SOUTHERN Penalty, personal foul (Arthur Miley) to the Sthrn 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
97.8%
Elijah McGuire run for 8 yds for a TD, (Hunter Stover KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SOUDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q1 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
97.7%
Ausitn Howard pass complete to Willie Quinn for 2 yds to the Sthrn 37Similar
Q1 2:27
2ND & 8
OWN 37
0
97.7%
Ausitn Howard pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 2:27
3RD & 8
OWN 37
0
97.7%
Ausitn Howard pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 2:27
4TH & 8
OWN 37
0
97.7%
Paul Randle Soden punt for 55 yds, downed at the LaLaf 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 32 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q1 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+16
97.6%
Elijah McGuire run for 16 yds to the LaLaf 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
97.6%
Elijah McGuire run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 26Similar
Q1 1:45
2ND & 8
OWN 26
+11
97.6%
Terrance Broadway pass complete to Jared Johnson for 11 yds to the LaLaf 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
97.6%
Alonzo Harris run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 40Similar
Q1 1:45
2ND & 7
OWN 40
0
97.7%
Terrance Broadway pass incomplete to Larry PettisSimilar
Q1 1:45
3RD & 7
OWN 40
0
97.6%
Terrance Broadway pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:45
4TH & 7
OWN 40
0
97.6%
Daniel Cadona punt for 46 yds, downed at the Sthrn 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SOUDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · -7 yds · 0:003% → 2%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-6
97.4%
Deonte Shorts run for a loss of 6 yards to the Sthrn 2 Deonte Shorts fumbled, forced by Boris Anyama, recovered by Sthrn Deonte ShortsSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 22
OWN 2
+3
97.5%
Tyre Bracken run for 3 yds to the Sthrn 5Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 19
OWN 5
+2
97.5%
Tyre Bracken run for 2 yds to the Sthrn 7Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 17
OWN 7
0
97.6%
Paul Randle Soden punt for 36 yds, downed at the Sthrn 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 10TD
4 plays · 43 yds · 0:5897% → 98%
Q2 13:09
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
97.3%
Terrance Broadway pass incomplete to James Butler, broken up by Dionte McDuffySimilar
Q2 13:09
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+3
97.3%
Terrance Broadway run for 3 yds to the Sthrn 40Similar
Q2 13:09
3RD & 7
OPP 40
+8
97.3%
Terrance Broadway pass complete to Larry Pettis for 8 yds to the Sthrn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:11
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+32
98.4%
Jamal Robinson 32 Yd pass from Terrance Broadway (Hunter Stover Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SOUDrive 11DOWNS
11 plays · 21 yds · 2:212% → 2%
Q2 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
98.0%
Tyre Bracken run for 4 yds to the Sthrn 39Similar
Q2 12:11
2ND & 6
OWN 39
0
98.0%
Deonte Shorts pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q2 11:41
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+8
97.9%
Tyre Bracken run for 8 yds to the Sthrn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-5
97.9%
SOUTHERN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Sthrn 42Similar
Q2 11:41
1ST & 15
OWN 42
+5
98.0%
Lenard Tillery run for 5 yds to the Sthrn 47Similar
Q2 11:41
2ND & 10
OWN 47
0
97.9%
Deonte Shorts pass incomplete to Willie QuinnSimilar
Q2 11:41
3RD & 10
OWN 47
+9
97.9%
Deonte Shorts pass complete to Mike Jones for 9 yds to the LaLaf 44Similar
Q2 9:50
4TH & 1
OPP 44
0
97.8%
Tyre Bracken run for no gain to the LaLaf 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 12TD
6 plays · 56 yds · 2:0999% → 99%
Q2 9:44
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+9
98.8%
Alonzo Harris run for 9 yds to the Sthrn 47Similar
Q2 9:44
2ND & 1
OPP 47
+1
98.8%
Alonzo Harris run for 1 yd to the Sthrn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:44
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
98.8%
Terrance Broadway pass complete to Matthew Barnes for 4 yds to the Sthrn 42Similar
Q2 9:44
2ND & 6
OPP 42
0
98.8%
Alonzo Harris run for no gain to the Sthrn 42Similar
Q2 9:44
3RD & 6
OPP 42
+29
98.7%
Terrance Broadway pass complete to Jamal Robinson for 29 yds to the Sthrn 13 for a 1ST down SOUTHERN Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:35
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
99.0%
Terrance Broadway pass complete to Jared Johnson for 13 yds for a TD, (Hunter Stover KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SOUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
98.6%
Deonte Shorts pass incomplete to Willie QuinnSimilar
Q2 7:35
2ND & 10
OWN 9
+1
98.6%
Tyre Bracken run for 1 yd to the Sthrn 10Similar
Q2 7:35
3RD & 9
OWN 10
+8
98.6%
Tyre Bracken run for 8 yds to the Sthrn 18Similar
Q2 7:35
4TH & 1
OWN 18
0
98.6%
Paul Randle Soden punt for 63 yds, downed at the LaLaf 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:1199% → 99%
Q2 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+1
98.9%
Elijah McGuire run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 20Similar
Q2 5:49
2ND & 9
OWN 20
+3
98.9%
Elijah McGuire run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 23Similar
Q2 5:49
3RD & 6
OWN 23
0
98.9%
Terrance Broadway pass incomplete to Matthew BarnesSimilar
Q2 4:38
4TH & 6
OWN 23
0
98.8%
Daniel Cadona punt for 77 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SOUDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 4:27
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
98.5%
Deonte Shorts run for 4 yds to the Sthrn 24Similar
Q2 4:27
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+12
98.5%
Deonte Shorts pass complete to Willie Quinn for 12 yds to the Sthrn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:27
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
98.5%
Deonte Shorts pass incomplete to Mike JonesSimilar
Q2 4:27
2ND & 10
OWN 36
-3
98.5%
Tyre Bracken run for a loss of 3 yards to the Sthrn 33Similar
Q2 4:27
4TH & 11
OWN 35
0
98.6%
Paul Randle Soden punt for 48 yds, downed at the LaLaf 17Similar
Q2 4:27
3RD & 13
OWN 33
+7
98.6%
Deonte Shorts run for 7 yds to the Sthrn 40Similar
Q2 4:27
4TH & 6
OWN 40
-5
98.5%
SOUTHERN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Sthrn 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q2 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+4
98.9%
Terrance Broadway pass complete to Nick Byrne for 4 yds to the LaLaf 21Similar
Q2 1:55
2ND & 6
OWN 21
+6
98.9%
Terrance Broadway pass complete to James Butler for 6 yds to the LaLaf 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
98.9%
Terrance Broadway run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 34Similar
Q2 1:55
2ND & 3
OWN 34
0
98.9%
Terrance Broadway pass incomplete to James Butler, broken up by Danny JohnsonSimilar
Q2 1:55
4TH & 7
OWN 30
0
98.8%
Daniel Cadona punt for 50 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Sthrn 20Similar
Q2 1:55
3RD & 3
OWN 34
+1
98.9%
Terrance Broadway pass complete to Nick Byrne for 1 yd to the LaLaf 35Similar
Q2 1:55
4TH & 2
OWN 35
-5
98.9%
UL LAFAYETTE Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the LaLaf 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SOUDrive 17END OF HALF
1 play · 0 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
98.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Sthrn 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+10
98.9%
Alonzo Harris run for 10 yds to the LaLaf 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
98.9%
Terrance Broadway pass incomplete to Jamal RobinsonSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+7
98.9%
Terrance Broadway pass complete to Evan Tatford for 7 yds to the Sthrn 44Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 44
-2
98.9%
Alonzo Harris run for a loss of 2 yards to the Sthrn 46Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 5
OPP 46
0
98.8%
Daniel Cadona punt for 46 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SOUDrive 19TD
12 plays · 80 yds · 4:131% → 3%
Q3 13:07
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
98.7%
Ausitn Howard pass complete to Mike Jones for 5 yds to the Sthrn 25Similar
Q3 13:07
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+8
98.6%
Ausitn Howard pass complete to Willie Quinn for 8 yds to the Sthrn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:07
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
98.6%
Tyre Bracken run for no gain to the Sthrn 33Similar
Q3 13:07
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+8
98.6%
Lenard Tillery run for 8 yds to the Sthrn 41Similar
Q3 13:07
3RD & 2
OWN 41
+4
98.6%
Ausitn Howard pass complete to Bradley Coleman for 4 yds to the Sthrn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:07
1ST & 10
OPP 0
0
98.4%
Howard, Austin deep right pass incomplete to Jones, Mike, PENALTY SUBR holding off-setting, PENALTY UL pass interference off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:07
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
98.6%
Ausitn Howard run for 3 yds to the Sthrn 48Similar
Q3 13:07
2ND & 7
OWN 48
0
98.6%
Ausitn Howard pass incomplete to Lenard TillerySimilar
Q3 13:07
3RD & 7
OWN 48
+7
98.6%
Ausitn Howard pass complete to Willie Quinn for 7 yds to the LaLaf 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:07
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+15
98.6%
Howard, Austin rush for loss of 7 yards to the SUBR48 (Prater, Chris), PENALTY UL face mask (Prater, Chris) 15 yards to the UL30, 1ST DOWN SUBR, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:07
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+7
98.5%
Ausitn Howard pass complete to Bradley Coleman for 7 yds to the LaLaf 23Similar
Q3 8:54
2ND & 3
OPP 23
+23
97.1%
Ausitn Howard pass complete to Bradley Coleman for 23 yds for a TD, (Kyle Yonke MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 20TD
13 plays · 65 yds · 4:1798% → 100%
Q3 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+19
98.2%
Elijah McGuire run for 19 yds to the Sthrn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:54
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
98.3%
Elijah McGuire run for 3 yds to the Sthrn 43Similar
Q3 8:54
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+13
98.2%
Terrance Broadway pass complete to Gabe Fuselier for 13 yds to the Sthrn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:54
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
98.3%
Terrance Broadway pass incomplete to Gabe FuselierSimilar
Q3 8:54
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+8
98.3%
Torrey Pierce run for 8 yds to the Sthrn 22Similar
Q3 8:54
3RD & 2
OPP 22
-5
98.2%
Broadway, Terrance deep left pass complete to Robinson, Jamal for 22 yards to the SUBR0, clock 08:54, PENALTY UL ineligible downfield on pass (Quave, Mykhael) 5 yards to the SUBR27, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:54
3RD & 7
OPP 27
+9
98.2%
Terrance Broadway run for 9 yds to the Sthrn 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:54
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+5
98.3%
Alonzo Harris run for 5 yds to the Sthrn 13Similar
Q3 8:54
2ND & 5
OPP 13
0
98.3%
Terrance Broadway pass incomplete to James ButlerSimilar
Q3 8:54
3RD & 5
OPP 13
+4
98.2%
Terrance Broadway pass complete to James Butler for 4 yds to the Sthrn 9Similar
Q3 8:54
4TH & 1
OPP 9
+2
98.1%
Alonzo Harris run for 2 yds to the Sthrn 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
99.6%
Terrance Broadway pass complete to Jamal Robinson for 7 yds for a TD, (Hunter Stover KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SOUDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.3%
Tyre Bracken run for 4 yds to the Sthrn 29Similar
Q3 4:37
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
99.3%
Ausitn Howard pass complete to Montrell Jones for 5 yds to the Sthrn 34Similar
Q3 4:37
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
99.3%
Lenard Tillery run for no gain to the Sthrn 34Similar
Q3 4:37
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
99.3%
Paul Randle Soden punt for 39 yds , C.J. Bates returns for no gain to the LaLaf 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 22INT
5 plays · 24 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
99.6%
Terrance Broadway pass complete to Gabe Fuselier for 7 yds to the LaLaf 34Similar
Q3 2:35
2ND & 3
OWN 34
+5
99.6%
Elijah McGuire run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
99.6%
Elijah McGuire run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 40Similar
Q3 2:35
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+11
99.6%
Terrance Broadway pass complete to Torrey Pierce for 11 yds to the Sthrn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:35
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
99.6%
Terrance Broadway pass intercepted Danny Johnson return for 4 yds to the Sthrn 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SOUDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
99.5%
Ausitn Howard pass incomplete to Reggie TravisSimilar
Q3 0:43
2ND & 10
OWN 12
0
99.5%
Ausitn Howard pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q3 0:43
3RD & 10
OWN 12
+9
99.5%
Ausitn Howard pass complete to Willie Quinn for 9 yds to the Sthrn 21Similar
Q3 0:43
4TH & 1
OWN 21
0
99.5%
Paul Randle Soden punt for 38 yds , C.J. Bates returns for no gain to the LaLaf 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 24TD
3 plays · 59 yds · 1:08100% → 100%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+46
99.7%
Elijah McGuire run for 46 yds to the Sthrn 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+5
99.7%
Terrance Broadway run for 5 yds to the Sthrn 8Similar
Q4 13:52
2ND & 5
OPP 8
+8
99.9%
Terrance Broadway run for 8 yds for a TD, (Hunter Stover KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SOUDrive 25PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 13:52
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+3
99.9%
Ausitn Howard pass complete to Willie Quinn for 3 yds to the Sthrn 11Similar
Q4 13:52
2ND & 7
OWN 11
0
99.9%
Tyre Bracken run for no gain to the Sthrn 11Similar
Q4 13:52
3RD & 7
OWN 11
+8
99.9%
Ausitn Howard pass complete to Willie Quinn for 8 yds to the Sthrn 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:52
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
99.9%
Ausitn Howard pass incomplete to Mike JonesSimilar
Q4 13:52
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+7
99.9%
Ausitn Howard pass complete to Bradley Coleman for 7 yds to the Sthrn 26Similar
Q4 13:52
3RD & 3
OWN 26
0
99.9%
Ausitn Howard pass incomplete to Reggie Travis, broken up by Boris AnyamaSimilar
Q4 13:52
4TH & 3
OWN 26
+9
99.9%
Paul Randle Soden punt for 38 yds , Torrey Pierce returns for 9 yds to the LaLaf 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 26TD
10 plays · 55 yds · 4:53100% → 100%
Q4 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
99.9%
Torrey Pierce run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 48Similar
Q4 11:35
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+6
99.9%
Brooks Haack pass complete to Torrey Pierce for 6 yds to the Sthrn 46Similar
Q4 11:35
3RD & 1
OPP 46
+10
99.9%
Effrem Reed run for 10 yds to the Sthrn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:35
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+15
99.9%
Brooks Haack pass complete to C.J. Bates for 15 yds to the Sthrn 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:35
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+8
99.9%
Effrem Reed run for 8 yds to the Sthrn 13Similar
Q4 11:35
2ND & 2
OPP 13
+3
99.9%
Effrem Reed run for 3 yds to the Sthrn 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
99.9%
Torrey Pierce run for 2 yds to the Sthrn 8Similar
Q4 11:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
99.9%
Torrey Pierce run for 2 yds to the Sthrn 6Similar
Q4 11:35
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
99.9%
Brooks Haack pass complete to Torrey Pierce for 4 yds to the Sthrn 2Similar
Q4 6:42
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.9%
Brooks Haack pass complete to Larry Pettis for 2 yds for a TD, (Hunter Stover KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SOUDrive 27DOWNS
15 plays · 56 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
100.0%
Tyre Bracken run for 3 yds to the Sthrn 27Similar
Q4 6:42
2ND & 7
OWN 27
0
100.0%
Tyre Bracken run for no gain to the Sthrn 27Similar
Q4 6:42
3RD & 7
OWN 27
+10
100.0%
Ausitn Howard pass complete to Chuck Baker for 10 yds to the Sthrn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
99.9%
Ausitn Howard pass complete to Justin Morgan for 7 yds to the Sthrn 44Similar
Q4 6:42
2ND & 3
OWN 44
+6
99.9%
Ausitn Howard pass complete to Justin Morgan for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:42
1ST & 10
50
+9
99.9%
Ausitn Howard pass complete to Dillon Beard for 9 yds to the LaLaf 41Similar
Q4 6:42
2ND & 1
OPP 41
+9
99.9%
Tyre Bracken run for 9 yds to the LaLaf 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:42
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+7
99.9%
Tyre Bracken run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 25Similar
Q4 6:42
2ND & 3
OPP 25
0
99.9%
Ausitn Howard pass incomplete to Reggie TravisSimilar
Q4 6:42
3RD & 3
OPP 25
+5
99.9%
Ausitn Howard pass complete to William Waddel for 5 yds to the LaLaf 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:42
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
99.9%
Ausitn Howard pass incomplete to William WaddelSimilar
Q4 6:42
2ND & 10
OPP 20
0
99.9%
Ausitn Howard pass incomplete to Chuck BakerSimilar
Q4 6:42
3RD & 10
OPP 20
0
99.9%
Ausitn Howard pass incomplete to Reggie TravisSimilar
Q4 6:42
4TH & 10
OPP 20
0
99.9%
Ausitn Howard pass incomplete to Reggie TravisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 28END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaLaf 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 4:37
Terrance Broadway pass complete to Jamal Robinson for 7 yds for a TD, (Hunter Stover KICK)
+2.1
TD · Q3 8:54
Ausitn Howard pass complete to Bradley Coleman for 23 yds for a TD, (Kyle Yonke MISSED)
-1.4
TD · Q2 12:11
Jamal Robinson 32 Yd pass from Terrance Broadway (Hunter Stover Kick)
+1.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com