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TA&M

Texas A&M 52 at South Carolina 28

SC
2014 · Week 1 · Aug 28, 2014 · Williams-Brice Stadium
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Win probability · SC
modelSC aheadTA&M aheadconfidence bandkey playSC scoreTA&M score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 9:42 · Tyler Hull punt for 47 yds , Speedy Noil returns for no gain to the TexAM 20 TEXAS A&M Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the TexAM 10
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+54.5+27.30−27.3−54.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 18Home team on offense−1.0Pregame prior+22.1Score differential−0.2Garbage-time factor−0.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 1:16: Tra Carson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambo KICK) — TA&M win probability +17.0 pts (now 71%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 11:08: Kenny Hill pass complete to Josh Reynolds for 5 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambo KICK) — TA&M win probability +11.8 pts (now 86%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 7:33: Dylan Thompson pass complete to Pharoh Cooper for 5 yds for a TD, (Elliott Fry KICK) — SC win probability +15.7 pts (now 28%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 5:06: Tra Carson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambo KICK) — TA&M win probability +11.7 pts (now 94%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 2:38: Dylan Thompson pass complete to Nick Jones for 10 yds for a TD, (Elliott Fry KICK) — SC win probability +15.5 pts (now 23%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SC made the numbers' call on 4 of 6TA&M made the numbers' call on 1 of 5
  1. Q1 9:42SC 4th & 9 at SC 33, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.6%−0.2
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:02TA&M 4th & 3 at SC 15, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 31.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.4%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    31.3%−0.1
    83% to make
    Punt
    29.5%−1.9
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:50TA&M 4th & 2 at TA&M 48, up 3
    Close callPunted · 30.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.8%−0.4
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:18SC 4th & 12 at SC 45, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.0%−0.7
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 3:35SC 4th & 14 at TA&M 41, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.7%−0.5
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    51.0%−0.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    51.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:05SC 4th & 21 at TA&M 36, down 17
    Close callKicked a field goal · 36.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.7%−1.8
    9% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    36.4%−0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    36.5%
    average punt
  7. Q3 14:23SC 4th & 10 at SC 25, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.4%−1.6
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.0%
    average punt
  8. Q3 1:14TA&M 4th & 2 at TA&M 33, up 17
    Close callPunted · 86.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.9%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q4 10:05SC 4th & 10 at TA&M 27, down 24
    Close callWent for it · 3.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.8%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    2.9%
    62% to make
    Punt
    1.6%−1.3
    average punt
  10. Q4 3:10TA&M 4th & 1 at SC 18, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    99.0%−0.2
    79% to make
    Punt
    98.6%−0.6
    average punt
  11. Q4 0:00TA&M 4th & 1 at SC 6, up 24
    Close callWent for it · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.5%−0.1
    69% to convert
    Field goal
    99.6%
    91% to make
    Punt
    99.2%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SC made the numbers' call on 4 of 4TA&M made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 11:27TA&M Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    26.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    26.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:44SC Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:56TA&M Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 9:47SC Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 7:07TA&M Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 1:16TA&M Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 11:08TA&M Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 7:33SC Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    21.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    20.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 5:06TA&M Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q3 2:38SC Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    12.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    12.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 12:09TA&M Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.0%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.2%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TA&MDrive 1TD
10 plays · 67 yds · 3:1326% → 28%
Q1 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+7
74.1%
Brandon Williams run for 7 yds to the TexAM 40Similar
Q1 14:15
2ND & 3
OWN 40
+13
74.0%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Brandon Williams for 13 yds to the SCaro 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:49
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
73.8%
Kenny Hill pass incomplete to Ricky Seals-JonesSimilar
Q1 13:42
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+7
73.8%
Brandon Williams run for 7 yds to the SCaro 40Similar
Q1 13:22
3RD & 3
OPP 40
+12
73.7%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Cameron Clear for 12 yds to the SCaro 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:53
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
73.5%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Malcome Kennedy for 2 yds to the SCaro 26Similar
Q1 12:15
2ND & 8
OPP 26
+3
73.3%
Tra Carson run for 3 yds to the SCaro 23Similar
Q1 11:47
3RD & 5
OPP 23
+22
73.2%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Ricky Seals-Jones for 22 yds to the SCaro 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
72.1%
Tra Carson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Josh Lambo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 1:3572% → 71%
Q1 11:17
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
72.3%
Dylan Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:10
2ND & 10
OWN 18
0
72.3%
Dylan Thompson pass incomplete to Pharoh Cooper, broken up by Armani WattsSimilar
Q1 11:04
3RD & 10
OWN 18
+14
72.0%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Deshazor Everett) to the SCaro 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
72.2%
Brandon Wilds run for 2 yds to the SCaro 34Similar
Q1 10:15
2ND & 8
OWN 34
-1
71.9%
Brandon Wilds run for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 33Similar
Q1 9:55
3RD & 9
OWN 33
0
71.5%
Dylan Thompson pass incomplete to Jerell AdamsSimilar
Q1 9:42
4TH & 9
OWN 33
0
71.2%
Tyler Hull punt for 47 yds , Speedy Noil returns for no gain to the TexAM 20 TEXAS A&M Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the TexAM 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 3FG
13 plays · 75 yds · 4:3329% → 32%
Q1 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+15
71.4%
Tra Carson run for 15 yds to the TexAM 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
71.0%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Malcome Kennedy for 1 yd to the TexAM 26Similar
Q1 8:38
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+19
70.6%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Josh Reynolds for 19 yds to the TexAM 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
70.0%
Kenny Hill pass incomplete to Ricky Seals-JonesSimilar
Q1 8:06
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+3
70.0%
Trey Williams run for 3 yds to the TexAM 48Similar
Q1 7:47
3RD & 7
OWN 48
+9
69.7%
Kenny Hill run for 9 yds to the SCaro 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:18
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
69.2%
Brandon Williams run for 3 yds to the SCaro 40Similar
Q1 6:46
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+18
68.9%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Sabian Holmes for 18 yds to the SCaro 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:18
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+3
68.4%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Josh Reynolds for 3 yds to the SCaro 19Similar
Q1 5:30
2ND & 7
OPP 19
+4
68.1%
Tra Carson run for 4 yds to the SCaro 15Similar
Q1 5:07
3RD & 3
OPP 15
0
68.0%
Kenny Hill pass incomplete to Speedy NoilSimilar
Q1 5:02
4TH & 3
OPP 15
+33
68.4%
Josh Lambo 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 4TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 0:5669% → 71%
Q1 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
68.5%
Mike Davis run for 4 yds to the SCaro 29Similar
Q1 4:20
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
68.4%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Shaq Roland for 2 yds to the SCaro 31Similar
Q1 3:44
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+69
70.5%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Nick Jones for 69 yds for a TD, (Elliott Fry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 23 yds · 1:4629% → 30%
Q1 3:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
70.8%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Speedy Noil for 15 yds to the TexAM 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:22
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
70.1%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Speedy Noil for no gain to the TexAM 40Similar
Q1 2:30
2ND & 10
OWN 40
-6
69.6%
Kenny Hill run for a loss of 6 yards to the TexAM 34Similar
Q1 2:17
3RD & 16
OWN 34
+14
70.5%
Trey Williams run for 14 yds to the TexAM 48Similar
Q1 1:50
4TH & 2
OWN 48
+47
69.8%
Drew Kaser punt for 52 yds for a touchback TEXAS A&M Penalty, Illegal Motion (5 Yards)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 2:2270% → 69%
Q1 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
70.0%
Mike Davis run for 4 yds to the SCaro 29Similar
Q1 1:08
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+7
69.9%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Rory Anderson for 7 yds to the SCaro 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
70.1%
Mike Davis run for 4 yds to the SCaro 40Similar
Q1 0:27
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+7
70.7%
Mike Davis run for 7 yds to the SCaro 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
70.7%
Mike Davis run for no gain to the SCaro 47Similar
Q2 14:54
2ND & 10
OWN 47
0
70.5%
Dylan Thompson pass incomplete to Rory AndersonSimilar
Q2 14:35
3RD & 10
OWN 47
-2
69.4%
Dylan Thompson sacked by A.J. Hilliard for a loss of 2 yards to the SCaro 45Similar
Q2 14:18
4TH & 12
OWN 45
0
68.7%
Tyler Hull punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Speedy Noil at the TexAM 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 7TD
10 plays · 85 yds · 2:1531% → 40%
Q2 14:11
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+11
68.7%
Trey Williams run for 11 yds to the TexAM 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:59
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+13
68.5%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Malcome Kennedy for 13 yds to the TexAM 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
67.4%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Malcome Kennedy for 6 yds to the TexAM 45Similar
Q2 13:25
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+21
67.2%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Ricky Seals-Jones for 21 yds to the SCaro 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:57
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+15
66.3%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Edward Pope for 15 yds to the SCaro 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:42
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+7
66.1%
Trey Williams run for 7 yds to the SCaro 12Similar
Q2 12:19
2ND & 3
OPP 12
+9
65.0%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Malcome Kennedy for 9 yds to the SCaro 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
64.9%
Kenny Hill pass incomplete to Sabian Holmes, broken up by T.J. GurleySimilar
Q2 11:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
60.2%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Ricky Seals-Jones for 3 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 8TD
7 plays · 73 yds · 1:5460% → 68%
Q2 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+8
60.0%
Damiere Byrd run for 8 yds to the SCaro 35Similar
Q2 11:23
2ND & 2
OWN 35
+5
60.2%
Brandon Wilds run for 5 yds to the SCaro 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
60.0%
Brandon Wilds run for 1 yd to the SCaro 41Similar
Q2 10:25
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+13
59.6%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Jerell Adams for 13 yds to the TexAM 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:55
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
59.8%
Dylan Thompson pass incomplete to Rory AndersonSimilar
Q2 9:47
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+46
68.1%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Damiere Byrd for 46 yds for a TD, (Elliott Fry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 9TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:2634% → 47%
Q2 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
65.8%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Malcome Kennedy for 7 yds to the TexAM 32Similar
Q2 9:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+1
64.7%
Kenny Hill run for 1 yd to the TexAM 33Similar
Q2 8:41
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+5
65.0%
Brandon Williams run for 5 yds to the TexAM 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+19
64.1%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Ricky Seals-Jones for 19 yds to the SCaro 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:51
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+16
62.2%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Tra Carson for 16 yds to the SCaro 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:27
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+13
60.9%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Josh Reynolds for 13 yds to the SCaro 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:14
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
60.8%
Kenny Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:07
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+14
53.4%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Edward Pope for 14 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 10PUNT
15 plays · 34 yds · 3:3255% → 50%
Q2 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
54.7%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, False Start (Corey Robinson) to the SCaro 20Similar
Q2 7:01
1ST & 15
OWN 20
0
54.4%
Dylan Thompson pass incomplete to Damiere ByrdSimilar
Q2 6:48
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+1
54.2%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Mike Davis for 1 yd to the SCaro 21Similar
Q2 6:12
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+16
52.9%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Donnie Baggs) to the SCaro 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
54.4%
Damiere Byrd run for 6 yds to the SCaro 43Similar
Q2 5:33
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+7
55.0%
Brandon Wilds run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:58
1ST & 10
50
-2
54.9%
Dylan Thompson sacked by Donnie Baggs for a loss of 2 yards to the SCaro 48Similar
Q2 4:36
2ND & 12
OWN 48
+15
53.7%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Victor Davis) to the TexAM 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:27
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-4
53.8%
Mike Davis run for a loss of 4 yards to the TexAM 41Similar
Q2 3:55
2ND & 14
OPP 41
0
52.3%
Dylan Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:49
3RD & 14
OPP 41
0
51.6%
Dylan Thompson pass incomplete to Rory AndersonSimilar
Q2 3:35
4TH & 14
OPP 41
0
49.7%
Tyler Hull punt for 41 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 11TD
12 plays · 80 yds · 2:0949% → 71%
Q2 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
51.2%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Trey Williams for no gain to the TexAM 20Similar
Q2 2:56
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+21
51.1%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Malcome Kennedy for 21 yds to the TexAM 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+9
48.4%
Trey Williams run for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 2:05
2ND & 1
50
0
47.6%
Kenny Hill pass incomplete to Sabian HolmesSimilar
Q2 1:58
3RD & 1
50
+8
47.9%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Malcome Kennedy for 8 yds to the SCaro 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+9
46.8%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Malcome Kennedy for 9 yds to the SCaro 33Similar
Q2 1:30
2ND & 1
OPP 33
+9
45.8%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Malcome Kennedy for 9 yds to the SCaro 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:25
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+11
45.8%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Speedy Noil for 11 yds to the SCaro 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:25
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+11
45.8%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Al Harris Jr.) to the SCaro 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
45.5%
Kenny Hill pass incomplete to Malcome KennedySimilar
Q2 1:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
45.7%
Kenny Hill pass incomplete to Ricky Seals-JonesSimilar
Q2 1:16
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
28.7%
Tra Carson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 12MISSED FG
7 plays · 39 yds · 1:0046% → 46%
Q2 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+24
46.1%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Brandon Wilds for 24 yds to the SCaro 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+26
48.0%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Pharoh Cooper for 26 yds to the TexAM 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:37
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
48.4%
Dylan Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:30
2ND & 10
OPP 25
0
48.7%
Dylan Thompson pass incomplete to Nick Jones, broken up by Armani WattsSimilar
Q2 0:24
3RD & 10
OPP 25
-11
47.3%
Dylan Thompson sacked by Myles Garrett for a loss of 11 yards to the TexAM 36 SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Dylan Thompson) to the TexAM 36Similar
Q2 0:05
4TH & 21
OPP 36
+54
46.0%
Elliott Fry 54 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 13END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0070% → 70%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
30.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexAM 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:3035% → 33%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
35.1%
Dylan Thompson pass incomplete to Pharoh CooperSimilar
Q3 14:45
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
34.7%
Dylan Thompson pass incomplete to Shaq Roland, broken up by Deshazor EverettSimilar
Q3 14:38
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
33.9%
Dylan Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:23
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+7
33.4%
Tyler Hull punt for 48 yds , Speedy Noil returns for 7 yds to the TexAM 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 15TD
8 plays · 66 yds · 3:0268% → 86%
Q3 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+21
32.0%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Speedy Noil for 21 yds to the SCaro 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:54
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+19
30.0%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Josh Reynolds for 19 yds to the SCaro 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:34
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+6
29.5%
Kenny Hill run for 6 yds to the SCaro 20Similar
Q3 12:50
2ND & 4
OPP 20
-9
28.0%
Kenny Hill sacked by Skai Moore for a loss of 9 yards to the SCaro 29Similar
Q3 12:25
3RD & 13
OPP 29
+24
28.7%
Brandon Williams run for 24 yds to the SCaro 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
26.2%
Kenny Hill run for no gain to the SCaro 5Similar
Q3 11:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
25.4%
Kenny Hill pass incomplete to Sabian HolmesSimilar
Q3 11:08
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
13.7%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Josh Reynolds for 5 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 16TD
11 plays · 81 yds · 3:1516% → 28%
Q3 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+6
15.8%
Dylan Thompson run for 6 yds to the SCaro 25Similar
Q3 10:31
2ND & 4
OWN 25
0
15.7%
Dylan Thompson pass incomplete to Rory AndersonSimilar
Q3 10:25
3RD & 4
OWN 25
+6
15.4%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Nick Jones for 6 yds to the SCaro 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+11
14.6%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Nick Jones for 11 yds to the SCaro 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+14
14.2%
Brandon Wilds run for 14 yds to the TexAM 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:18
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
13.5%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, Substitution Infraction (5 Yards) to the TexAM 39Similar
Q3 8:55
1ST & 5
OPP 39
+17
13.7%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Nick Jones for 17 yds to the TexAM 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:12
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
13.5%
Shon Carson run for 2 yds to the TexAM 20Similar
Q3 7:38
2ND & 8
OPP 20
+15
12.5%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Devonta Burns) to the TexAM 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
28.2%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Pharoh Cooper for 5 yds for a TD, (Elliott Fry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 17TD
9 plays · 42 yds · 2:2179% → 94%
Q3 7:27
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
21.3%
Kenny Hill pass incomplete to Speedy NoilSimilar
Q3 7:20
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+14
21.3%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Sabian Holmes for 14 yds to the SCaro 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:58
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
20.2%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Malcome Kennedy for 3 yds to the SCaro 25Similar
Q3 6:30
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+8
19.2%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Speedy Noil for 8 yds to the SCaro 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:05
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+11
18.8%
Trey Williams run for 11 yds to the SCaro 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
18.3%
Kenny Hill pass incomplete to Speedy NoilSimilar
Q3 5:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
17.8%
Kenny Hill run for 4 yds to the SCaro 2Similar
Q3 5:06
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
6.1%
Tra Carson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 18TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:188% → 23%
Q3 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+27
7.8%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Jerell Adams for 27 yds to the TexAM 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:18
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
7.9%
Brandon Wilds run for 5 yds to the TexAM 43Similar
Q3 3:44
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+6
7.8%
Brandon Wilds run for 6 yds to the TexAM 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:18
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
7.4%
Dylan Thompson pass incomplete to Damiere ByrdSimilar
Q3 3:08
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+27
7.3%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Pharoh Cooper for 27 yds to the TexAM 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
22.8%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Nick Jones for 10 yds for a TD, (Elliott Fry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:0887% → 87%
Q3 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
13.5%
Brandon Williams run for 2 yds to the TexAM 27Similar
Q3 2:01
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
12.9%
Kenny Hill pass incomplete to Malcome KennedySimilar
Q3 1:35
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+6
13.2%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Malcome Kennedy for 6 yds to the TexAM 33Similar
Q3 1:14
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
12.8%
Drew Kaser punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SCaro 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 20INT
4 plays · 25 yds · 1:0218% → 17%
Q3 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+16
17.6%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Rory Anderson for 16 yds to the SCaro 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+9
16.9%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Shon Carson for 9 yds to the SCaro 48Similar
Q3 0:10
2ND & 1
OWN 48
0
17.8%
Dylan Thompson pass incomplete to Pharoh Cooper, broken up by Devonta BurnsSimilar
Q3 0:03
3RD & 1
OWN 48
0
17.2%
Dylan Thompson pass intercepted Armani Watts return for no gain to the TexAM 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 21TD
10 plays · 83 yds · 2:5189% → 98%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+1
11.3%
Brandon Williams run for 1 yd to the TexAM 18Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 9
OWN 18
0
11.4%
Kenny Hill pass incomplete to Malcome KennedySimilar
Q4 14:44
3RD & 9
OWN 18
+10
11.2%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Malcome Kennedy for 10 yds to the TexAM 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:26
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+17
10.3%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Josh Reynolds for 17 yds to the TexAM 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
8.8%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Ricky Seals-Jones for 2 yds to the TexAM 47Similar
Q4 13:11
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+33
8.6%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Malcome Kennedy for 33 yds to the SCaro 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:53
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
7.9%
Kenny Hill pass incomplete to Jeremy TabuyoSimilar
Q4 12:30
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+3
7.7%
Trey Williams run for 3 yds to the SCaro 17Similar
Q4 12:14
3RD & 7
OPP 17
+15
7.6%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Edward Pope for 15 yds to the SCaro 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
2.4%
Trey Williams run for 2 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 22DOWNS
8 plays · 56 yds · 1:553% → 3%
Q4 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
3.1%
Brandon Wilds run for 6 yds to the SCaro 31Similar
Q4 11:28
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+13
3.1%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to K.J. Brent for 13 yds to the SCaro 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+29
3.1%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Rory Anderson for 29 yds to the TexAM 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:31
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
3.4%
Dylan Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:24
2ND & 10
OPP 27
0
3.2%
Dylan Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:16
3RD & 10
OPP 27
0
3.0%
Dylan Thompson pass incomplete to Rory AndersonSimilar
Q4 10:05
4TH & 10
OPP 27
+8
2.9%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Brandon Wilds for 8 yds to the TexAM 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 23END OF GAME
19 plays · 78 yds · 9:5598% → 100%
Q4 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
2.0%
Brandon Williams run for 3 yds to the TexAM 22Similar
Q4 9:21
2ND & 7
OWN 22
0
1.9%
Kenny Hill pass incomplete to Malcome KennedySimilar
Q4 9:13
3RD & 7
OWN 22
+31
1.9%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Edward Pope for 31 yds to the SCaro 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:13
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-15
1.7%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Edward Pope) to the TexAM 38Similar
Q4 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
1.5%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Boone Niederhofer for 4 yds to the TexAM 42Similar
Q4 8:15
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+5
1.5%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the TexAM 47Similar
Q4 7:50
2ND & 1
OWN 47
+3
1.3%
Tra Carson run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:15
1ST & 10
50
+5
1.3%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Boone Niederhofer for 5 yds to the SCaro 45Similar
Q4 6:45
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+7
1.0%
Trey Williams run for 7 yds to the SCaro 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:10
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
0.9%
Trey Williams run for 2 yds to the SCaro 36Similar
Q4 5:23
2ND & 8
OPP 36
+9
0.9%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Boone Niederhofer for 9 yds to the SCaro 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:46
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
0.8%
Kenny Hill pass incomplete to LaQuvionte GonzalezSimilar
Q4 4:30
2ND & 10
OPP 27
-1
0.8%
Brandon Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 28Similar
Q4 3:35
3RD & 11
OPP 28
+10
0.7%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Frank Iheanacho for 10 yds to the SCaro 18Similar
Q4 3:10
4TH & 1
OPP 18
+3
0.7%
Brandon Williams run for 3 yds to the SCaro 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:25
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
0.6%
Brandon Williams run for 3 yds to the SCaro 12Similar
Q4 1:35
2ND & 7
OPP 12
+3
0.4%
Trey Williams run for 3 yds to the SCaro 9Similar
Q4 0:50
3RD & 4
OPP 9
+3
0.4%
Trey Williams run for 3 yds to the SCaro 6Similar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 1
OPP 6
+3
0.4%
Trey Williams run for 3 yds to the SCaro 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:16
Tra Carson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambo KICK)
-17
TD · Q3 7:33
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Pharoh Cooper for 5 yds for a TD, (Elliott Fry KICK)
+15.7
TD · Q3 2:38
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Nick Jones for 10 yds for a TD, (Elliott Fry KICK)
+15.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com