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SDST

South Dakota State 18 at Missouri 38

MIZ
2014 · Week 1 · Aug 30, 2014 · Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · MIZ
modelMIZ aheadSDST aheadconfidence bandkey playMIZ scoreSDST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 7:21 · Christian Brinser punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Je Ryan Butler at the SDkSt 26
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+37.5+18.80−18.8−37.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 105Pregame prior+16.0Home team on offense+11.1Score differential+1.7Garbage-time factor+6.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.4Time remaining−0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 7:38: Maty Mauk pass complete to Darius White for 39 yds for a TD, (Andrew Baggett KICK) — MIZ win probability +1.3 pts (now 87%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 6:31: Russell Hansbrough run for 10 yds for a TD, (Andrew Baggett KICK) — MIZ win probability +2.0 pts (now 88%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 3:58: Justin Syrovatka 39 yd FG GOOD — SDST win probability +1.1 pts (now 14%) (top driver: SDST has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 10:28: Zach Zenner run for 3 yds for a TD, (Two pt pass, Zach Lujan pass to Jason Schneider GOOD) — SDST win probability +12.4 pts (now 28%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  5. TD · Q4 10:18: Maty Mauk pass complete to Bud Sasser for 29 yds for a TD, (Andrew Baggett KICK) — MIZ win probability +6.8 pts (now 97%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MIZ made the numbers' call on 5 of 8SDST made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 12:57MIZ 4th & 7 at MIZ 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.0%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:41SDST 4th & 4 at SDST 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.7%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:19SDST 4th & 6 at SDST 29, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.7%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:08MIZ 4th & 3 at SDST 16, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 85.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.1%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    84.9%−0.2
    81% to make
    Punt
    82.1%−3.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:34SDST 4th & 6 at SDST 24, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.1%−0.3
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:07MIZ 4th & 1 at SDST 36, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 86.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    86.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    84.5%−1.4
    42% to make
    Punt
    84.3%−1.6
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:53MIZ 4th & 19 at SDST 37, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 86.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.1%−0.9
    12% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    86.0%
    40% to make
    Punt
    85.9%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:58SDST 4th & 3 at MIZ 22, down 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 14.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    14.1%−0.3
    72% to make
    Punt
    11.6%−2.7
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:19MIZ 4th & 2 at MIZ 40, up 11
    Close callPunted · 84.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.3%−0.6
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:09SDST 4th & 5 at SDST 36, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.9%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.2%
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:21MIZ 4th & 3 at MIZ 27, up 10
    Close callPunted · 84.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.1%−0.3
    average punt
  12. Q3 0:44SDST 4th & 23 at SDST 35, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.4%−3.1
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.5%
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:53MIZ 4th & 1 at MIZ 42, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 87.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    87.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    86.7%−1.2
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:46SDST 4th & 4 at SDST 12, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.9%−0.2
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.0%
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:13MIZ 4th & 7 at SDST 26, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.4%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.5%
    64% to make
    Punt
    97.8%−0.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MIZ made the numbers' call on 4 of 4SDST made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 14:10MIZ Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 13:57SDST Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    17.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    17.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 7:38MIZ Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 6:31MIZ Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 10:28SDST Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    23.9%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    23.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 10:18MIZ Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MIZDrive 1TD
3 plays · 65 yds · 0:4287% → 87%
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+19
87.2%
Russell Hansbrough run for 19 yds to the SDkSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:30
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
87.1%
Russell Hansbrough run for 2 yds to the SDkSt 44Similar
Q1 14:10
2ND & 8
OPP 44
+44
87.2%
Darius White 44 Yd pass from Maty Mauk (Andrew Baggett Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSTDrive 2TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q1 13:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
86.9%
Zach Zenner run for 75 yds for a TD, (Justin Syrovatka KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 0:5187% → 87%
Q1 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
86.9%
Marcus Murphy run for 12 yds to the Misso 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
86.8%
Marcus Murphy run for 3 yds to the Misso 40Similar
Q1 13:11
2ND & 7
OWN 40
0
86.8%
Maty Mauk pass incomplete to Jimmie HuntSimilar
Q1 13:06
3RD & 7
OWN 40
0
86.7%
Maty Mauk pass incomplete to Jimmie HuntSimilar
Q1 12:57
4TH & 7
OWN 40
0
86.6%
Christian Brinser punt for 48 yds, downed at the SDkSt 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSTDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 22 yds · 2:5214% → 14%
Q1 12:33
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-1
86.5%
Brady Mengarelli run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDkSt 11Similar
Q1 12:15
2ND & 11
OWN 11
+17
86.4%
Austin Sumner run for 17 yds to the SDkSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
86.3%
Austin Sumner pass complete to Zach Zenner for no gain to the SDkSt 28Similar
Q1 11:01
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+7
86.0%
Austin Sumner pass complete to Zach Zenner for 7 yds to the SDkSt 35Similar
Q1 10:15
3RD & 3
OWN 35
-1
85.8%
Brady Mengarelli run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDkSt 34Similar
Q1 9:41
4TH & 4
OWN 34
+2
85.8%
Ethan Sawyer punt for 37 yds , Marcus Murphy returns for 2 yds to the Misso 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 5TD
6 plays · 69 yds · 1:4286% → 87%
Q1 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
85.6%
Russell Hansbrough run for 3 yds to the Misso 34Similar
Q1 9:02
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+6
85.5%
Russell Hansbrough run for 6 yds to the Misso 40Similar
Q1 8:34
3RD & 1
OWN 40
+6
85.4%
Russell Hansbrough run for 6 yds to the Misso 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:07
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
85.5%
Marcus Murphy run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 7:53
2ND & 6
50
+11
85.5%
Marcus Murphy run for 11 yds to the SDkSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:38
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+39
86.7%
Maty Mauk pass complete to Darius White for 39 yds for a TD, (Andrew Baggett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSTDrive 6INT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:3914% → 14%
Q1 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-1
86.3%
Zach Zenner run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDkSt 20Similar
Q1 6:52
2ND & 11
OWN 20
0
86.3%
Austin Sumner pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:43
3RD & 11
OWN 20
+19
86.5%
Austin Sumner pass intercepted Duron Singleton return for 19 yds to the SDkSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 7TD
1 play · 10 yds · 0:0088% → 88%
Q1 6:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
88.4%
Russell Hansbrough run for 10 yds for a TD, (Andrew Baggett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSTDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:0312% → 12%
Q1 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
87.8%
Zach Zenner run for 3 yds to the SDkSt 28Similar
Q1 5:39
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+1
87.7%
Austin Sumner run for 1 yd to the SDkSt 29Similar
Q1 5:25
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
87.8%
Zach Lujan pass incomplete to Jake WienekeSimilar
Q1 5:19
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
87.9%
Ethan Sawyer punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Marcus Murphy at the Misso 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 9MISSED FG
9 plays · 51 yds · 2:5788% → 88%
Q1 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+15
88.3%
Maty Mauk pass complete to Marcus Murphy for 15 yds to the Misso 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+7
88.6%
Marcus Murphy run for 7 yds to the SDkSt 45Similar
Q1 4:44
2ND & 3
OPP 45
+11
88.7%
Maty Mauk run for 11 yds to the SDkSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:01
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+9
88.7%
Maty Mauk pass complete to Jimmie Hunt for 9 yds to the SDkSt 25Similar
Q1 3:53
2ND & 1
OPP 25
+2
88.7%
Russell Hansbrough run for 2 yds to the SDkSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:04
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-5
88.8%
Russell Hansbrough run for a loss of 5 yards to the SDkSt 28Similar
Q1 2:48
2ND & 15
OPP 28
+12
88.7%
Maty Mauk pass complete to Jimmie Hunt for 12 yds to the SDkSt 16Similar
Q1 2:12
3RD & 3
OPP 16
0
88.6%
Maty Mauk pass incomplete to Marcus MurphySimilar
Q1 2:08
4TH & 3
OPP 16
+34
88.4%
Andrew Baggett 34 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSTDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:2612% → 12%
Q1 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-3
87.7%
Zach Lujan run for a loss of 3 yards to the SDkSt 17 Zach Lujan fumbled, recovered by SDkSt Zach LujanSimilar
Q1 1:30
2ND & 13
OWN 17
0
87.9%
Zach Lujan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:00
3RD & 13
OWN 17
+7
88.0%
Zach Lujan run for 7 yds to the SDkSt 24Similar
Q1 0:34
4TH & 6
OWN 24
0
88.0%
Ethan Sawyer punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Marcus Murphy at the Misso 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 11MISSED FG
11 plays · 23 yds · 4:2289% → 89%
Q1 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
88.9%
Russell Hansbrough run for 7 yds to the Misso 47Similar
Q2 14:45
2ND & 3
OWN 47
+8
89.0%
Maty Mauk pass complete to Bud Sasser for 8 yds to the SDkSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:29
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
89.1%
Russell Hansbrough run for 1 yd to the SDkSt 44Similar
Q2 13:56
2ND & 9
OPP 44
+5
89.1%
Maty Mauk pass complete to Wesley Leftwich for 5 yds to the SDkSt 39Similar
Q2 13:30
3RD & 4
OPP 39
+3
89.0%
Marcus Murphy run for 3 yds to the SDkSt 36Similar
Q2 13:07
4TH & 1
OPP 36
+8
88.7%
Marcus Murphy run for 8 yds to the SDkSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-10
89.3%
MISSOURI Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the SDkSt 38Similar
Q2 12:00
1ST & 20
OPP 38
+4
89.2%
Maty Mauk run for 4 yds to the SDkSt 34Similar
Q2 11:55
2ND & 16
OPP 34
0
89.2%
Maty Mauk pass incomplete to Wesley LeftwichSimilar
Q2 11:05
3RD & 16
OPP 34
-3
89.0%
Maty Mauk pass complete to Russell Hansbrough for a loss of 3 yards to the SDkSt 37Similar
Q2 10:53
4TH & 19
OPP 37
+55
88.5%
Andrew Baggett 55 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSTDrive 12FG
12 plays · 41 yds · 6:4512% → 14%
Q2 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
87.8%
Zach Lujan run for 3 yds to the SDkSt 40Similar
Q2 10:00
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+9
87.7%
Zach Zenner run for 9 yds to the SDkSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
87.6%
Zach Lujan pass complete to Cam Jones for 3 yds to the Misso 48Similar
Q2 8:44
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+2
87.6%
Zach Zenner run for 2 yds to the Misso 46Similar
Q2 7:39
3RD & 5
OPP 46
+1
87.8%
Zach Lujan run for 1 yd to the Misso 45Similar
Q2 7:19
4TH & 4
OPP 45
+5
88.1%
Sawyer, Ethan punt 33 yards to the MISSOURI12, fair catch by Murphy, Marcus, PENALTY MISSOURI running into kicker 5 yards to the MISSOURI40, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN SODAKOTAST. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:01
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+9
87.7%
Zach Zenner run for 9 yds to the Misso 31Similar
Q2 6:32
2ND & 1
OPP 31
+2
87.1%
Zach Zenner run for 2 yds to the Misso 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:55
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-2
87.1%
Zach Zenner run for a loss of 2 yards to the Misso 31Similar
Q2 5:16
2ND & 12
OPP 31
+8
87.5%
Zach Lujan pass complete to Jake Wieneke for 8 yds to the Misso 23Similar
Q2 4:37
3RD & 4
OPP 23
+1
87.6%
Zach Zenner run for 1 yd to the Misso 22Similar
Q2 3:58
4TH & 3
OPP 22
+39
86.5%
Justin Syrovatka 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:0387% → 87%
Q2 3:22
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-2
87.3%
Maty Mauk pass complete to Marcus Murphy for a loss of 2 yards to the Misso 30Similar
Q2 2:57
2ND & 12
OWN 30
+10
87.1%
Maty Mauk pass complete to Jimmie Hunt for 10 yds to the Misso 40Similar
Q2 2:27
3RD & 2
OWN 40
0
87.5%
Maty Mauk pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:19
4TH & 2
OWN 40
0
87.0%
Christian Brinser punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Je Ryan Butler at the SDkSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSTDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:5113% → 13%
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
87.0%
Zach Lujan pass complete to Zach Zenner for 6 yds to the SDkSt 37Similar
Q2 1:35
2ND & 4
OWN 37
-5
86.6%
Zach Lujan sacked by Markus Golden and Kenya Dennis for a loss of 5 yards to the SDkSt 32Similar
Q2 1:25
3RD & 9
OWN 32
+4
87.6%
Zach Lujan pass complete to Zach Zenner for 4 yds to the SDkSt 36Similar
Q2 1:09
4TH & 5
OWN 36
+4
87.2%
Ethan Sawyer punt for 38 yds , Marcus Murphy returns for 4 yds to the Misso 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 15END OF HALF
6 plays · 5 yds · 0:5987% → 87%
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
87.4%
Maty Mauk pass complete to Marcus Murphy for 7 yds to the Misso 37Similar
Q2 0:40
2ND & 3
OWN 37
+2
87.8%
Maty Mauk run for 2 yds to the Misso 39Similar
Q2 0:35
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+5
87.6%
Marcus Murphy run for 5 yds to the Misso 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-7
88.2%
Maty Mauk run for a loss of 7 yards to the Misso 33 Maty Mauk fumbled, recovered by MissoSimilar
Q2 0:01
2ND & 21
OWN 33
+2
87.2%
Russell Hansbrough run for 2 yds to the Misso 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSTDrive 16TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:2313% → 28%
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
87.2%
Zach Zenner run for no gain to the SDkSt 25Similar
Q3 14:12
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
87.3%
Zach Zenner run for 2 yds to the SDkSt 27Similar
Q3 13:32
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+11
87.6%
Zach Lujan pass complete to Zach Zenner for 11 yds to the SDkSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:01
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
86.5%
Zach Lujan pass incomplete to Jason SchneiderSimilar
Q3 12:54
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+12
86.7%
Zach Lujan pass complete to Matt Raymond for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:15
1ST & 10
50
-1
85.8%
Zach Zenner run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDkSt 49Similar
Q3 11:25
2ND & 11
OWN 49
+27
86.3%
Zach Lujan pass complete to Jason Schneider for 27 yds to the Misso 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:03
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+10
84.8%
Zach Lujan pass complete to Jason Schneider for 10 yds to the Misso 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:38
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+11
84.7%
Zach Lujan pass complete to Zach Zenner for 11 yds to the Misso 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
72.3%
Zach Zenner run for 3 yds for a TD, (Two pt pass, Zach Lujan pass to Jason Schneider GOOD)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSTDrive 17INT
5 plays · 53 yds · 0:5214% → 16%
Q3 9:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+45
86.4%
Zach Lujan pass complete to Jake Wieneke for 45 yds to the Misso 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:16
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+8
84.1%
Zach Lujan pass complete to Jake Wieneke for 8 yds to the Misso 22Similar
Q3 8:55
2ND & 2
OPP 22
0
83.8%
Zach Lujan pass intercepted, touchback. Aarion Penton return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:1887% → 86%
Q3 8:39
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-4
86.6%
Russell Hansbrough run for a loss of 4 yards to the Misso 16Similar
Q3 7:58
2ND & 14
OWN 16
+11
86.4%
Maty Mauk run for 11 yds to the Misso 27Similar
Q3 7:28
3RD & 3
OWN 27
0
86.2%
Maty Mauk pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:21
4TH & 3
OWN 27
0
86.0%
Christian Brinser punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Je Ryan Butler at the SDkSt 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSTDrive 19PUNT
12 plays · 9 yds · 6:1514% → 12%
Q3 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
86.4%
Zach Zenner run for 1 yd to the SDkSt 27Similar
Q3 6:59
2ND & 9
OWN 27
+5
86.5%
MISSOURI Penalty, Defensive Offside (Harold Brantley) to the SDkSt 32Similar
Q3 5:49
2ND & 4
OWN 32
0
85.9%
Zach Lujan sacked by Shane Ray for 0 yards to the SDkSt 32Similar
Q3 5:29
3RD & 4
OWN 32
+5
86.6%
Zach Lujan pass complete to Jake Wieneke for 5 yds to the SDkSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
86.2%
Zach Lujan pass incomplete to Zach ZennerSimilar
Q3 4:31
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+2
86.3%
Zach Lujan pass complete to Zach Zenner for 2 yds to the SDkSt 39Similar
Q3 3:58
3RD & 8
OWN 39
+9
86.5%
Zach Lujan pass complete to Dallas Goedert for 9 yds to the SDkSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:36
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-5
85.4%
SO DAKOTA ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the SDkSt 43Similar
Q3 3:03
1ST & 15
OWN 43
0
86.6%
Zach Zenner run for no gain to the SDkSt 43Similar
Q3 1:50
2ND & 15
OWN 43
-1
86.8%
Reginald Gandy run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDkSt 42Similar
Q3 1:35
3RD & 16
OWN 42
-7
87.3%
Zach Lujan sacked by Markus Golden for a loss of 7 yards to the SDkSt 35Similar
Q3 0:44
4TH & 23
OWN 35
-5
88.5%
Ethan Sawyer punt for 45 yds , Marcus Murphy returns for a loss of 5 yards to the Misso 30 MISSOURI Penalty, Offensive Holding (Kenya Dennis) to the Misso 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 20PUNT
9 plays · 38 yds · 1:4288% → 89%
Q3 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+25
88.1%
Russell Hansbrough run for 25 yds to the Misso 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+7
88.3%
Russell Hansbrough run for 7 yds to the Misso 40Similar
Q3 0:10
2ND & 3
OWN 40
0
89.5%
Maty Mauk pass incomplete to Sean CulkinSimilar
Q3 0:01
3RD & 3
OWN 40
+2
88.8%
Russell Hansbrough run for 2 yds to the Misso 42Similar
Q4 14:53
4TH & 1
OWN 42
+3
88.2%
Russell Hansbrough run for 3 yds to the Misso 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:31
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
89.2%
Russell Hansbrough run for 1 yd to the Misso 46Similar
Q4 14:10
2ND & 9
OWN 46
0
89.1%
Maty Mauk pass incomplete to Sean CulkinSimilar
Q4 14:03
3RD & 9
OWN 46
0
88.2%
MISSOURI Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Marcus Murphy) to the Misso 46Similar
Q4 13:54
3RD & 9
OWN 46
0
88.6%
Christian Brinser punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Je Ryan Butler at the SDkSt 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSTDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:4411% → 10%
Q4 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 6
-2
88.8%
Zach Zenner run for a loss of 2 yards to the SDkSt 4Similar
Q4 13:02
2ND & 12
OWN 4
+6
88.9%
Zach Lujan pass complete to Jason Schneider for 6 yds to the SDkSt 10Similar
Q4 12:27
3RD & 6
OWN 10
+2
89.5%
Zach Zenner run for 2 yds to the SDkSt 12Similar
Q4 11:46
4TH & 4
OWN 12
0
89.9%
Ethan Sawyer punt for 20 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SDkSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 22TD
3 plays · 32 yds · 1:1790% → 97%
Q4 11:35
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
90.2%
Russell Hansbrough run for 2 yds to the SDkSt 30Similar
Q4 10:55
2ND & 8
OPP 30
+1
90.3%
Marcus Murphy run for 1 yd to the SDkSt 29Similar
Q4 10:18
3RD & 7
OPP 29
+29
97.0%
Maty Mauk pass complete to Bud Sasser for 29 yds for a TD, (Andrew Baggett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSTDrive 23FUMBLE
10 plays · 64 yds · 4:073% → 3%
Q4 10:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
96.8%
SO DAKOTA ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Nick Carr) to the SDkSt 15Similar
Q4 9:45
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+1
96.9%
Reginald Gandy run for 1 yd to the SDkSt 16Similar
Q4 8:55
2ND & 19
OWN 16
+5
97.0%
Zach Lujan pass complete to Jason Schneider for 5 yds to the SDkSt 21Similar
Q4 8:05
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+25
97.1%
Zach Lujan pass complete to Jake Wieneke for 25 yds to the SDkSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
96.8%
Zach Lujan pass incomplete to Dallas GoedertSimilar
Q4 7:15
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+3
96.9%
Reginald Gandy run for 3 yds to the SDkSt 49Similar
Q4 7:00
3RD & 7
OWN 49
+16
96.9%
Zach Lujan pass complete to Jake Wieneke for 16 yds to the Misso 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:30
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
96.7%
Zach Lujan pass complete to Reginald Gandy for 2 yds to the Misso 33Similar
Q4 5:56
2ND & 8
OPP 33
+22
96.7%
Zach Lujan pass complete to Jason Schneider for 22 yds Jason Schneider fumbled, forced by Ian Simon, recovered by Misso Eddie PrintzSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 24FG
9 plays · 60 yds · 4:1798% → 100%
Q4 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+13
97.7%
Russell Hansbrough run for 13 yds to the Misso 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+24
97.7%
Russell Hansbrough run for 24 yds to the SDkSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
98.0%
Ish Witter run for 5 yds to the SDkSt 44Similar
Q4 4:00
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+5
98.1%
Maty Mauk pass complete to Wesley Leftwich for 5 yds to the SDkSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:30
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+10
98.3%
Ish Witter run for 10 yds to the SDkSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
98.3%
Tyler Hunt run for 5 yds to the SDkSt 24Similar
Q4 1:55
2ND & 5
OPP 24
+4
98.6%
Tyler Hunt run for 4 yds to the SDkSt 20Similar
Q4 1:25
3RD & 1
OPP 20
-6
98.6%
Ish Witter run for a loss of 6 yards to the SDkSt 26Similar
Q4 1:13
4TH & 7
OPP 26
+44
99.5%
Andrew Baggett 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSTDrive 25END OF HALF
7 plays · -4 yds · 0:581% → 0%
Q4 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
99.5%
SO DAKOTA ST Penalty, Substitution Infraction (-5 Yards) to the SDkSt 20Similar
Q4 1:07
1ST & 15
OWN 20
0
99.5%
Zach Lujan pass incomplete to Trevor WesleySimilar
Q4 0:56
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+5
99.5%
Zach Lujan pass complete to Brady Mengarelli for 5 yds to the SDkSt 25Similar
Q4 0:44
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-5
99.5%
SO DAKOTA ST Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (-5 Yards) to the SDkSt 20Similar
Q4 0:15
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+1
99.6%
Zach Lujan run for 1 yd to the SDkSt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 10:28
Zach Zenner run for 3 yds for a TD, (Two pt pass, Zach Lujan pass to Jason Schneider GOOD)
-12.4
TD · Q4 10:18
Maty Mauk pass complete to Bud Sasser for 29 yds for a TD, (Andrew Baggett KICK)
+6.8
TD · Q1 6:31
Russell Hansbrough run for 10 yds for a TD, (Andrew Baggett KICK)
+2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com