Try the model
UTM

UT Martin 14 at Kentucky 59

UK
2014 · Week 1 · Aug 30, 2014 · Kroger Field
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · UK
modelUK aheadUTM aheadconfidence bandkey playUK scoreUTM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGFUMBLETDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 13:46 · Austin MacGinnis 41 yd FG MISSED
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+43.5+21.80−21.8−43.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Q3Q4Play 94Pregame prior+25.8Home team on offense+28.5Score differential+19.5Blowout margin+8.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+7.1Garbage-time factor+8.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 7:02: Jojo Kemp run for 2 yds for a TD, (Austin MacGinnis KICK) — UK win probability +0.7 pts (now 92%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 1:44: Braylon Heard run for 73 yds for a TD, (Austin MacGinnis KICK) — UK win probability +1.8 pts (now 93%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 13:10: Braylon Heard run for 43 yds for a TD, (Austin MacGinnis KICK) — UK win probability +2.4 pts (now 96%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 8:10: Patrick Towles pass complete to Blake Bone for 29 yds for a TD, (Austin MacGinnis KICK) — UK win probability +1.6 pts (now 98%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 0:54: Mikel Horton run for 18 yds for a TD, (Austin MacGinnis KICK) — UK win probability +0.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UK made the numbers' call on 4 of 5UTM made the numbers' call on 7 of 10
  1. Q1 11:34UK 4th & 3 at UTM 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 89.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    89.2%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    89.1%−0.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    89.1%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:13UTM 4th & 4 at UTM 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.3%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:20UTM 4th & 6 at UK 39, down 7
    Close callPunted · 12.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    12.1%−0.2
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    12.1%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:49UTM 4th & 4 at UTM 31, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.1%−0.2
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:00UTM 4th & 3 at UK 37, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.0%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    5.5%−0.5
    40% to make
    Punt
    5.5%−0.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:00UK 4th & 1 at UTM 30, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    94.3%−0.7
    56% to make
    Punt
    93.9%−1.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:00UTM 4th & 20 at UTM 42, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−1.4
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.9%
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:46UK 4th & 13 at UTM 24, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.0%−0.1
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.1%
    68% to make
    Punt
    98.7%−0.4
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:37UTM 4th & 1 at UTM 46, down 42
    Close callPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:10UK 4th & 3 at UTM 3, up 42
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.7%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    99.2%−0.6
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:08UTM 4th & 1 at UK 33, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−0.2
    49% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−0.2
    average punt
  12. Q4 10:50UK 4th & 5 at UK 30, up 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:12UTM 4th & 1 at UTM 46, down 52
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    -0.0%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 13:15UTM 4th & 13 at UK 35, down 52
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%
    45% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 7:30UTM 4th & 1 at UK 31, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−0.1
    54% to make
    Punt
    -0.0%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UK made the numbers' call on 6 of 6UTM made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 7:02UK Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:44UK Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 13:10UK Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 8:10UK Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:54UK Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 12:02UK Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 4:13UTM Touchdown, down 46 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UKDrive 1DOWNS
10 plays · 36 yds · 3:2193% → 93%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+9
93.3%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Steven Borden for 9 yds to the Kent 38Similar
Q1 14:40
2ND & 1
OWN 38
+3
93.3%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Ryan Timmons for 3 yds to the Kent 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
93.2%
Stanley Williams run for 6 yds to the Kent 47Similar
Q1 13:45
2ND & 4
OWN 47
-2
93.1%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Javess Blue for a loss of 2 yards to the Kent 45Similar
Q1 13:00
3RD & 6
OWN 45
+13
92.9%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Garrett Johnson for 13 yds to the TnMar 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
92.9%
Patrick Towles pass incomplete to Garrett JohnsonSimilar
Q1 12:45
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+8
92.9%
Jojo Kemp run for 8 yds to the TnMar 34Similar
Q1 12:20
3RD & 2
OPP 34
-1
92.8%
Mikel Horton run for a loss of 1 yard to the TnMar 35Similar
Q1 11:34
4TH & 3
OPP 35
0
92.6%
Patrick Towles pass incomplete to Dorian BakerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTMDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:218% → 8%
Q1 11:34
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
92.5%
Abou Toure run for 3 yds to the TnMar 39Similar
Q1 11:00
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+2
92.2%
Abou Toure run for 2 yds to the TnMar 41Similar
Q1 10:28
3RD & 5
OWN 41
0
92.1%
Jarod Neal pass incomplete to Ben AxlineSimilar
Q1 10:13
4TH & 4
OWN 41
0
92.1%
James Satterfield punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Demarco Robinson at the Kent 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 3TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:1192% → 92%
Q1 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
92.2%
Josh Clemons run for 4 yds to the Kent 29Similar
Q1 9:45
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+4
92.0%
Stanley Williams run for 4 yds to the Kent 33Similar
Q1 9:15
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+12
91.9%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Joey Herrick for 12 yds to the Kent 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
91.9%
Patrick Towles pass incomplete to Demarco RobinsonSimilar
Q1 8:50
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+7
91.8%
Jojo Kemp run for 7 yds to the TnMar 48Similar
Q1 8:15
3RD & 3
OPP 48
+6
91.8%
Patrick Towles run for 6 yds to the TnMar 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:48
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-5
91.7%
KENTUCKY Penalty, False Start (Jordan Swindle) to the TnMar 47Similar
Q1 7:30
1ST & 15
OPP 47
+44
91.5%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Javess Blue for 44 yds to the TnMar 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:06
1ST & 0
OPP 3
+1
91.7%
Towles, Patrick pass incomplete to Robinson, Demarco, PENALTY TENNMARTIN pass interference (Landry, Jordan) 1 yards to the TENNMARTIN2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN KENTUCKY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
92.4%
Jojo Kemp run for 2 yds for a TD, (Austin MacGinnis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTMDrive 4PUNT
9 plays · 32 yds · 4:428% → 9%
Q1 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
92.1%
Abou Toure run for 3 yds to the TnMar 32Similar
Q1 6:20
2ND & 7
OWN 32
+13
91.9%
Abou Toure run for 13 yds to the TnMar 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
91.7%
Abou Toure run for 6 yds to the Kent 49Similar
Q1 5:05
2ND & 4
OPP 49
+6
91.5%
Abou Toure run for 6 yds to the Kent 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:40
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
91.4%
Trent Garland run for 1 yd to the Kent 42Similar
Q1 4:00
2ND & 9
OPP 42
+4
91.2%
Trent Garland run for 4 yds to the Kent 38Similar
Q1 3:15
3RD & 5
OPP 38
-1
91.1%
Jarod Neal pass complete to Trent Garland for a loss of 1 yard to the Kent 39Similar
Q1 2:20
4TH & 6
OPP 39
0
91.0%
Jarod Neal punt for 39 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 5TD
2 plays · 80 yds · 0:3691% → 93%
Q1 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
91.3%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Steven Borden for 7 yds to the Kent 27Similar
Q1 1:44
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+73
93.1%
Braylon Heard run for 73 yds for a TD, (Austin MacGinnis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTMDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:557% → 8%
Q1 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
92.6%
Ladevin Fair run for a loss of 3 yards to the TnMar 22Similar
Q1 1:05
2ND & 13
OWN 22
0
92.6%
Jarod Neal pass complete to Ladevin Fair for no gain to the TnMar 22Similar
Q1 0:30
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+9
92.7%
Najee Ray run for 9 yds to the TnMar 31Similar
Q2 14:49
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+3
92.5%
James Satterfield punt for 42 yds , Demarco Robinson returns for 3 yds to the Kent 34 KENTUCKY Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the Kent 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 7TD
5 plays · 80 yds · 1:3993% → 96%
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+16
93.0%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Ryan Timmons for 16 yds to the Kent 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+15
93.1%
Towles, Patrick pass incomplete to Williams, T.V., PENALTY TENNMARTIN pass interference 15 yards to the TENNMARTIN49, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN KENTUCKY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:15
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+8
93.3%
Jojo Kemp run for 8 yds to the TnMar 41Similar
Q2 13:55
2ND & 2
OPP 41
-2
93.3%
Jojo Kemp run for a loss of 2 yards to the TnMar 43Similar
Q2 13:10
3RD & 4
OPP 43
+43
95.6%
Braylon Heard run for 43 yds for a TD, (Austin MacGinnis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTMDrive 8INT
10 plays · 43 yds · 2:345% → 5%
Q2 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
95.3%
Dylan Favre pass incomplete to Taylor HiggasonSimilar
Q2 13:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
95.5%
Ladevin Fair run for 3 yds to the TnMar 28Similar
Q2 12:30
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+18
95.5%
Dylan Favre pass complete to Rod Wright for 18 yds to the TnMar 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+10
95.4%
Ladevin Fair run for 10 yds to the Kent 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
95.3%
Dylan Favre run for 4 yds to the Kent 40Similar
Q2 11:25
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+3
95.3%
Najee Ray run for 3 yds to the Kent 37Similar
Q2 11:10
3RD & 3
OPP 37
0
95.3%
Dylan Favre pass incomplete to Rod WrightSimilar
Q2 11:00
4TH & 3
OPP 37
+5
95.5%
Dylan Favre pass complete to Kyle Kerrick for 5 yds to the Kent 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:36
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
95.2%
Dylan Favre pass intercepted A.J. Stamps return for no gain to the Kent 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 9TD
10 plays · 90 yds · 2:2696% → 98%
Q2 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-5
95.8%
Williams, Stanley rush for 8 yards to the KENTUCKY18, PENALTY KENTUCKY holding (West, Zach) 5 yards to the KENTUCKY5, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:20
1ST & 15
OWN 5
+56
95.8%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Ryan Timmons for 56 yds to the TnMar 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-2
96.6%
Stanley Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the TnMar 41Similar
Q2 9:40
2ND & 12
OPP 41
0
96.6%
Patrick Towles pass incomplete to Demarco RobinsonSimilar
Q2 9:20
3RD & 12
OPP 41
+11
96.6%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Garrett Johnson for 11 yds to the TnMar 30Similar
Q2 9:00
4TH & 1
OPP 30
+1
96.6%
Patrick Towles run for 1 yd to the TnMar 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
96.8%
Patrick Towles pass incomplete to Demarco RobinsonSimilar
Q2 8:25
2ND & 10
OPP 29
0
96.8%
Patrick Towles pass incomplete to Ryan TimmonsSimilar
Q2 8:10
3RD & 10
OPP 29
+29
98.4%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Blake Bone for 29 yds for a TD, (Austin MacGinnis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTMDrive 10PUNT
9 plays · 17 yds · 4:102% → 1%
Q2 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
98.2%
Abou Toure run for 5 yds to the TnMar 30Similar
Q2 7:45
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+10
98.6%
Abou Toure run for 10 yds to the TnMar 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+12
98.7%
Dylan Favre pass complete to Abou Toure for 12 yds to the Kent 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:30
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
98.7%
Najee Ray run for 2 yds to the Kent 46Similar
Q2 6:00
2ND & 8
OPP 46
-5
98.7%
Dylan Favre sacked by Mike Douglas for a loss of 5 yards to the TnMar 49Similar
Q2 5:15
3RD & 13
OWN 49
-5
98.9%
TENN MARTIN Penalty, False Start (Kadarren Bond) to the TnMar 44Similar
Q2 5:00
3RD & 18
OWN 44
-2
99.0%
Dylan Favre pass complete to Najee Ray for a loss of 2 yards to the TnMar 42Similar
Q2 4:00
4TH & 20
OWN 42
+10
99.1%
James Satterfield punt for 50 yds , Demarco Robinson returns for 10 yds to the KENTUCKY 48 KENTUCKY Penalty, Illegal Block (9 Yards) to the Kent 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 11TD
11 plays · 91 yds · 3:0699% → 99%
Q2 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+1
98.8%
Josh Clemons run for 1 yd to the Kent 10Similar
Q2 3:44
2ND & 9
OWN 10
0
98.9%
Patrick Towles pass incomplete to Ryan TimmonsSimilar
Q2 3:30
3RD & 9
OWN 10
+15
98.9%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Dorian Baker for 15 yds to the Kent 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
98.9%
Mikel Horton run for 3 yds to the Kent 28Similar
Q2 3:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+5
98.9%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Dorian Baker for 5 yds to the Kent 33Similar
Q2 2:10
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+4
98.9%
Mikel Horton run for 4 yds to the Kent 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+36
99.0%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Blake Bone for 36 yds to the TnMar 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+9
99.2%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Dorian Baker for 9 yds to the TnMar 18Similar
Q2 0:54
2ND & 1
OPP 18
+18
99.3%
Mikel Horton run for 18 yds for a TD, (Austin MacGinnis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTMDrive 12END OF HALF
3 plays · 6 yds · 0:341% → 1%
Q2 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.5%
Reuben Duckworth run for 4 yds to the TnMar 29Similar
Q2 0:20
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
99.5%
Reuben Duckworth run for 2 yds to the TnMar 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 13MISSED FG
6 plays · 18 yds · 0:5499% → 99%
Q3 14:40
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+21
99.3%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Ronnie Shields for 21 yds to the TnMar 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:25
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-3
99.3%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Ronnie Shields for a loss of 3 yards to the TnMar 24Similar
Q3 14:00
2ND & 13
OPP 24
0
99.3%
Patrick Towles pass incomplete to T.V. WilliamsSimilar
Q3 13:57
3RD & 13
OPP 24
0
99.3%
Patrick Towles pass incomplete to Demarco RobinsonSimilar
Q3 13:46
4TH & 13
OPP 24
+41
99.3%
Austin MacGinnis 41 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTMDrive 14INT
4 plays · 34 yds · 1:051% → 1%
Q3 13:46
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
99.4%
Abou Toure run for 5 yds to the TnMar 29Similar
Q3 13:25
2ND & 5
OWN 29
+7
99.4%
Abou Toure run for 7 yds to the TnMar 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+22
99.4%
Trent Garland run for 22 yds to the Kent 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:41
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+29
99.4%
Dylan Favre pass intercepted Fred Tiller return for 29 yds to the TnMar 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 15TD
3 plays · 43 yds · 0:39100% → 100%
Q3 12:41
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
99.5%
Jojo Kemp run for 4 yds to the TnMar 39Similar
Q3 12:30
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+16
99.5%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Steven Borden for 16 yds to the TnMar 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:02
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+23
99.6%
Patrick Towles run for 23 yds for a TD, (Austin MacGinnis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTMDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 3:250% → 0%
Q3 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.6%
Najee Ray run for 3 yds to the TnMar 28Similar
Q3 11:30
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+9
99.6%
Dylan Favre pass complete to Ben Axline for 9 yds to the TnMar 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
99.6%
Najee Ray run for 3 yds to the TnMar 40Similar
Q3 10:15
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+5
99.6%
Abou Toure run for 5 yds to the TnMar 45Similar
Q3 9:45
3RD & 2
OWN 45
+1
99.6%
Abou Toure run for 1 yd to the TnMar 46Similar
Q3 8:37
4TH & 1
OWN 46
0
99.7%
James Satterfield punt for 41 yds, downed at the Kent 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 17FG
6 plays · 84 yds · 2:27100% → 100%
Q3 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+79
99.7%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Demarco Robinson for 79 yds to the TnMar 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
99.7%
Jojo Kemp run for 5 yds to the TnMar 3Similar
Q3 7:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
99.7%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Garrett Johnson for 1 yd to the TnMar 2Similar
Q3 6:52
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
99.7%
Jojo Kemp run for a loss of 1 yard to the TnMar 3Similar
Q3 6:10
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
99.8%
Austin MacGinnis 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTMDrive 18FUMBLE TD
13 plays · 64 yds · 4:570% → 0%
Q3 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.8%
Jarod Neal pass complete to Ladevin Fair for 6 yds to the TnMar 31Similar
Q3 5:50
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
99.8%
Ladevin Fair run for 3 yds to the TnMar 34Similar
Q3 5:25
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+9
99.8%
Jarod Neal pass complete to James Ratliff for 9 yds to the TnMar 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+15
99.8%
Fair, Ladevin rush for no gain to the TENNMARTIN43, PENALTY KENTUCKY face mask (Henderson, Khalid) 15 yards to the KENTUCKY42, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TENNMARTIN. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-6
99.8%
Jarod Neal sacked by Regie Meant for a loss of 6 yards to the Kent 48Similar
Q3 4:10
2ND & 16
OPP 48
+5
99.8%
Ladevin Fair run for 5 yds to the Kent 43Similar
Q3 3:45
3RD & 11
OPP 43
+10
99.8%
Jarod Neal pass complete to William Tanner for 10 yds to the Kent 33Similar
Q3 3:08
4TH & 1
OPP 33
+3
99.8%
Abou Toure run for 3 yds to the Kent 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:35
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-7
99.9%
Jarod Neal pass complete to Kyle Kerrick for 3 yds to the Kent 27 TENN MARTIN Penalty, Offensive Holding (Corey Jordan) to the Kent 37Similar
Q3 2:00
1ST & 20
OPP 37
+22
99.9%
Abou Toure run for 7 yds to the Kent 30 for a 1ST down KENTUCKY Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Kent 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:13
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+89
99.9%
Jarod Neal pass complete to Ladevin Fair for 5 yds for a TD Ladevin Fair fumbled, recovered by Kent Khalid Henderson , return for 89 yds, (Austin MacGinnis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 19TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:17100% → 100%
Q4 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.9%
Reese Phillips pass complete to T.V. Williams for 3 yds to the Kent 28Similar
Q4 11:30
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+2
99.9%
Stanley Williams run for 2 yds to the Kent 30Similar
Q4 11:05
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
99.9%
Reese Phillips pass incomplete to T.V. WilliamsSimilar
Q4 10:50
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
99.9%
Landon Foster punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TnMar 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTMDrive 20PUNT TD
18 plays · 5 yds · 4:060% → 0%
Q3 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.9%
Trent Garland run for 4 yds to the TnMar 29Similar
Q3 1:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+8
99.9%
Jarod Neal pass complete to Caylon Weathers for 8 yds to the TnMar 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
99.9%
Trent Garland run for 3 yds to the TnMar 40Similar
Q3 0:05
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+3
99.9%
Trent Garland run for 3 yds to the TnMar 43Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 43
-5
99.9%
TENN MARTIN Penalty, False Start (Rod Wright) to the TnMar 38Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 38
+8
99.9%
Jarod Neal run for 8 yds to the TnMar 46Similar
Q4 14:12
4TH & 1
OWN 46
+22
99.9%
Jarod Neal pass complete to Corey Jordan for 22 yds to the Kent 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:55
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
99.9%
Reuben Duckworth run for 2 yds to the Kent 30Similar
Q4 13:30
2ND & 8
OPP 30
0
99.9%
Jarod Neal pass incomplete to Matt StewartSimilar
Q4 13:25
3RD & 8
OPP 30
-5
99.9%
TENN MARTIN Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Kent 35Similar
Q4 13:20
3RD & 13
OPP 35
0
99.9%
Jarod Neal pass incomplete to Trent GarlandSimilar
Q4 13:15
4TH & 13
OPP 35
+20
99.9%
Jarod Neal pass complete to William Tanner for 20 yds to the Kent 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
99.9%
Jarod Neal pass incomplete to Rod WrightSimilar
Q4 12:39
2ND & 10
OPP 15
0
99.9%
Jarod Neal pass incomplete to Rod WrightSimilar
Q4 12:10
3RD & 10
OPP 15
+14
100.0%
Jarod Neal pass complete to Corey Jordan for 14 yds to the Kent 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.8%
Najee Ray run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jackson Redditt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 21TD
5 plays · 76 yds · 1:27100% → 100%
Q4 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
100.0%
Mikel Horton run for 4 yds to the Kent 44Similar
Q4 5:00
2ND & 6
OWN 44
0
100.0%
Reese Phillips pass incomplete to Dorian BakerSimilar
Q4 4:30
3RD & 6
OWN 44
+42
100.0%
Reese Phillips pass complete to T.V. Williams for 42 yds to the TnMar 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:13
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
100.0%
Mikel Horton run for 14 yds for a TD, (Austin MacGinnis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTMDrive 22TD
12 plays · 60 yds · 5:010% → 0%
Q4 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
100.0%
Abou Toure run for 3 yds to the TnMar 27Similar
Q4 10:15
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+20
100.0%
Jarod Neal pass complete to William Tanner for 20 yds to the TnMar 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-2
100.0%
Abou Toure run for a loss of 2 yards to the TnMar 45Similar
Q4 9:30
2ND & 12
OWN 45
+11
100.0%
Jarod Neal pass complete to Matt Stewart for 11 yds to the Kent 44Similar
Q4 9:00
3RD & 1
OPP 44
+4
100.0%
Abou Toure run for 4 yds to the Kent 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-2
100.0%
Jarod Neal pass complete to Tyriq Patrick for a loss of 2 yards to the Kent 42Similar
Q4 8:30
2ND & 12
OPP 42
+10
100.0%
Jarod Neal pass complete to Corey Jordan for 10 yds to the Kent 32Similar
Q4 8:00
3RD & 2
OPP 32
+1
100.0%
Trent Garland run for 1 yd to the Kent 31Similar
Q4 7:30
4TH & 1
OPP 31
+3
99.9%
Reuben Duckworth run for 3 yds to the Kent 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:30
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
100.0%
Jarod Neal pass incomplete to Kyle KerrickSimilar
Q4 6:20
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+13
100.0%
Jarod Neal pass complete to Corey Jordan for 13 yds to the Kent 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:49
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
100.0%
Caylon Weathers 15 Yd pass from Jarod Neal (Jackson Redditt Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 23FUMBLE
3 plays · 24 yds · 1:25100% → 100%
Q4 2:05
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
100.0%
Mikel Horton run for 3 yds to the TnMar 31Similar
Q4 1:30
2ND & 7
OPP 31
-3
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the TnMar 34Similar
Q4 0:40
3RD & 10
OPP 34
0
100.0%
TEAM run for no gain to the TnMar 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTMDrive 24END OF HALF
7 plays · 0 yds · 2:080% → 0%
Q4 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+8
100.0%
Reuben Duckworth run for 8 yds to the TnMar 18Similar
Q4 3:45
2ND & 2
OWN 18
+5
100.0%
Reuben Duckworth run for 5 yds to the TnMar 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
100.0%
Jarod Neal pass incomplete to Taylor HiggasonSimilar
Q4 2:45
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+11
100.0%
Jarod Neal pass complete to William Tanner for 11 yds to the TnMar 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
100.0%
Reuben Duckworth run for 3 yds to the TnMar 37Similar
Q4 2:05
2ND & 7
OWN 37
-3
100.0%
Jarod Neal sacked by Regie Meant for a loss of 3 yards to the TnMar 34 Jarod Neal fumbled, recovered by Kent Jabari Johnson , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 13:10
Braylon Heard run for 43 yds for a TD, (Austin MacGinnis KICK)
+2.4
TD · Q1 1:44
Braylon Heard run for 73 yds for a TD, (Austin MacGinnis KICK)
+1.8
TD · Q2 8:10
Patrick Towles pass complete to Blake Bone for 29 yds for a TD, (Austin MacGinnis KICK)
+1.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com