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LAM

Lamar 3 at Texas A&M 73

TA&M
2014 · Week 2 · Sep 6, 2014 · Kyle Field
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Win probability · TA&M
modelTA&M aheadLAM aheadconfidence bandkey playTA&M scoreLAM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 3:21 · Juan Carranco punt for 40 yds , TEAM returns for no gain to the TexAM 31 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Lamar Xavier Bethany
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 41Pregame prior+46.5Home team on offense+2.8Score differential+1.1Blowout margin+0.3Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 5:55: Kenny Hill pass complete to Ricky Seals-Jones for 24 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambo KICK) — TA&M win probability +0.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 2:15: Kenny Hill pass complete to Sabian Holmes for 51 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambo KICK) — TA&M win probability +0.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 14:41: Josh Lambo 20 yd FG GOOD — TA&M win probability +0.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 7:48: Kenny Hill pass complete to Edward Pope for 9 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambo KICK) — TA&M win probability +0.3 pts (now 100%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TA&M made the numbers' call on 1 of 3LAM made the numbers' call on 11 of 14
  1. Q1 14:16LAM 4th & 10 at LAM 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:10LAM 4th & 13 at TA&M 34, down 7
    Close callWent for it · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.0%−0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    1.1%
    47% to make
    Punt
    1.1%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:00LAM 4th & 3 at TA&M 3, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.3%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    1.2%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    0.7%−0.6
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:21LAM 4th & 12 at LAM 29, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.4%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.5%
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:41LAM 4th & 7 at LAM 28, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:41TA&M 4th & 2 at LAM 2, up 18
    Close callKicked a field goal · 98.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.6%−0.1
    94% to make
    Punt
    98.2%−0.6
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:38LAM 4th & 3 at LAM 32, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:22LAM 4th & 20 at LAM 26, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−0.2
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:52LAM 4th & 12 at LAM 27, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.3
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:26LAM 4th & 11 at TA&M 42, down 28
    Close callWent for it · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.4%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    0.4%
    30% to make
    Punt
    0.3%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 11:13LAM 4th & 10 at LAM 35, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:35TA&M 4th & 7 at LAM 40, up 35
    Close callPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:50LAM 4th & 1 at LAM 45, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.0%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q3 1:56LAM 4th & 4 at TA&M 47, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 11:05LAM 4th & 7 at LAM 28, down 49
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  16. Q4 7:19LAM 4th & 7 at LAM 28, down 56
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  17. Q4 5:30TA&M 4th & 4 at LAM 33, up 56
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−0.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TA&M made the numbers' call on 10 of 10
  1. Q1 13:18TA&M Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:55TA&M Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 2:15TA&M Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 7:48TA&M Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 13:16TA&M Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 7:13TA&M Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 12:51TA&M Touchdown, up 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 8:33TA&M Touchdown, up 55 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 5:30TA&M Touchdown, up 62 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 1:26TA&M Touchdown, up 69 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
LAMDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 0:391% → 1%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
99.5%
Caleb Berry pass complete to Mark Roberts for 19 yds to the Lamar 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:33
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
99.5%
Caleb Berry pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:29
2ND & 10
OWN 44
0
99.5%
Caleb Berry pass incomplete to Mark RobertsSimilar
Q1 14:24
3RD & 10
OWN 44
0
99.5%
Caleb Berry pass incomplete to Mark RobertsSimilar
Q1 14:16
4TH & 10
OWN 44
0
99.5%
Juan Carranco punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexAM 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 2TD
3 plays · 80 yds · 0:48100% → 100%
Q1 14:06
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+44
99.5%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Speedy Noil for 44 yds to the Lamar 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:45
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
99.5%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Josh Reynolds for 3 yds to the Lamar 33Similar
Q1 13:18
2ND & 7
OPP 33
+33
99.5%
Trey Williams run for 33 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAMDrive 3FG
16 plays · 72 yds · 5:101% → 1%
Q1 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.5%
Carl Harris run for no gain to the Lamar 25Similar
Q1 12:50
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+11
99.5%
Carl Harris run for 11 yds to the Lamar 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+23
99.4%
Caleb Berry pass complete to Mark Roberts for 23 yds to the TexAM 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
99.4%
Carl Harris run for no gain to the TexAM 41Similar
Q1 11:10
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+1
99.4%
Caleb Berry pass complete to Reggie Begelton for 1 yd to the TexAM 40Similar
Q1 10:28
3RD & 9
OPP 40
+9
99.4%
Caleb Berry pass complete to Michael Handy for 9 yds to the TexAM 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:11
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
99.3%
Caleb Berry pass incomplete to Devonn BrownSimilar
Q1 10:00
2ND & 10
OPP 31
-3
99.3%
Caleb Berry sacked by Daeshon Hall for a loss of 3 yards to the TexAM 34Similar
Q1 9:25
3RD & 13
OPP 34
0
99.3%
Caleb Berry pass incomplete to Michael HandySimilar
Q1 9:10
4TH & 13
OPP 34
+30
99.3%
Caleb Berry pass complete to Michael Handy for 30 yds to the TexAM 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
99.3%
Carl Harris run for 3 yds to the TexAM 1Similar
Q1 8:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-2
99.2%
Carl Harris run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexAM 3Similar
Q1 8:05
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
99.2%
Caleb Berry pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
99.2%
Josh Davis 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 4TD
8 plays · 63 yds · 2:0599% → 99%
Q1 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-2
99.2%
Trey Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexAM 35Similar
Q1 7:45
2ND & 12
OWN 35
+18
99.2%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Josh Reynolds for 18 yds to the Lamar 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:15
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+11
99.2%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Malcome Kennedy for 11 yds to the Lamar 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:10
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+13
99.2%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Edward Pope for 13 yds to the Lamar 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:18
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
99.1%
Kenny Hill pass incomplete to Edward PopeSimilar
Q1 6:10
2ND & 10
OPP 23
-1
99.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Lamar 24 Mike Matthews fumbled, recovered by TexAMSimilar
Q1 5:55
3RD & 11
OPP 24
+24
99.2%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Ricky Seals-Jones for 24 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAMDrive 5FUMBLE
8 plays · 15 yds · 2:291% → 1%
Q1 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
99.1%
Caleb Berry pass incomplete to Reggie BegeltonSimilar
Q1 5:45
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+2
99.1%
Carl Harris run for 2 yds to the Lamar 16Similar
Q1 5:15
3RD & 8
OWN 16
+15
99.1%
Berry, Caleb pass incomplete, PENALTY TEXASAM roughing passer (Garrett, Myles) 15 yards to the LAMAR31, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN LAMAR. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-2
99.1%
Michael Handy run for a loss of 2 yards to the Lamar 29Similar
Q1 4:00
2ND & 12
OWN 29
0
99.0%
Michael Handy run for no gain to the Lamar 29Similar
Q1 3:45
3RD & 12
OWN 29
0
99.0%
Caleb Berry pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:21
4TH & 12
OWN 29
0
99.1%
Juan Carranco punt for 40 yds , TEAM returns for no gain to the TexAM 31 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Lamar Xavier BethanySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAMDrive 6INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 3:14
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+4
98.9%
Caleb Berry pass intercepted Deshazor Everett return for 4 yds to the TexAM 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 7TD
4 plays · 73 yds · 0:4799% → 99%
Q1 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+9
99.0%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Speedy Noil for 9 yds to the TexAM 36Similar
Q1 2:50
2ND & 1
OWN 36
0
99.0%
Kenny Hill pass incomplete to Speedy NoilSimilar
Q1 2:30
3RD & 1
OWN 36
+13
99.0%
James White run for 13 yds to the TexAM 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+51
99.2%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Sabian Holmes for 51 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAMDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:191% → 1%
Q1 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.2%
Caleb Berry pass complete to Payden McVey for 1 yd to the Lamar 26Similar
Q1 1:35
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+2
99.2%
Caleb Berry run for 2 yds to the Lamar 28Similar
Q1 1:30
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
99.2%
Caleb Berry pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:41
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+67
99.2%
Juan Carranco punt for 43 yds , Speedy Noil returns for 67 yds to the Lamar 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 9FG
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:5499% → 99%
Q1 0:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
99.2%
James White run for 3 yds to the Lamar 1Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
99.2%
Kenny Hill run for a loss of 1 yard to the Lamar 2 Kenny Hill fumbled, recovered by TexAM Kenny HillSimilar
Q2 14:50
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
99.1%
Kenny Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:41
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+20
99.3%
Josh Lambo 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAMDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 1:571% → 1%
Q2 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.3%
Michael Handy run for 3 yds to the Lamar 28Similar
Q2 14:10
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-5
99.3%
LAMAR Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the Lamar 23Similar
Q2 13:50
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+7
99.3%
Caleb Berry pass complete to Devonn Brown for 7 yds to the Lamar 30Similar
Q2 13:10
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+2
99.3%
Caleb Berry run for 2 yds to the Lamar 32Similar
Q2 12:38
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
99.3%
Juan Carranco punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Speedy Noil at the TexAM 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 11FUMBLE
6 plays · 43 yds · 1:2599% → 99%
Q2 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
99.4%
Brandon Williams run for 6 yds to the TexAM 37Similar
Q2 11:55
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+3
99.4%
Trey Williams run for 3 yds to the TexAM 40Similar
Q2 11:45
3RD & 1
OWN 40
+17
99.4%
James White run for 17 yds to the Lamar 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+9
99.4%
Trey Williams run for 9 yds to the Lamar 34Similar
Q2 11:19
2ND & 1
OPP 34
0
99.4%
Kenny Hill pass incomplete to Sabian HolmesSimilar
Q2 11:10
3RD & 1
OPP 34
+8
99.4%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Ricky Seals-Jones for 8 yds Ricky Seals-Jones fumbled, recovered by Lamar Montez HunterSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAMDrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 0 yds · 2:231% → 1%
Q2 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
99.3%
Carl Harris run for 2 yds to the Lamar 28Similar
Q2 10:33
2ND & 8
OWN 28
+7
99.3%
Caleb Berry pass complete to Dillon Barrett for 7 yds to the Lamar 35Similar
Q2 10:25
3RD & 1
OWN 35
+1
99.2%
Carl Harris run for 1 yd to the Lamar 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:44
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
99.2%
Caleb Berry pass incomplete to Reggie BegeltonSimilar
Q2 9:35
2ND & 10
OWN 36
-10
99.2%
Caleb Berry run for 5 yds to the Lamar 41 LAMAR Penalty, Illegal Block (-15 Yards) to the Lamar 26Similar
Q2 9:15
2ND & 20
OWN 26
0
99.3%
Michael Handy run for no gain to the Lamar 26Similar
Q2 8:45
3RD & 20
OWN 26
0
99.3%
Caleb Berry pass incomplete to Michael HandySimilar
Q2 8:22
4TH & 20
OWN 26
0
99.2%
Juan Carranco punt for 26 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexAM 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 13TD
3 plays · 52 yds · 0:2799% → 100%
Q2 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+27
99.4%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Edward Pope for 27 yds to the Lamar 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+16
99.4%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Sabian Holmes for 16 yds to the Lamar 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
99.7%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Edward Pope for 9 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAMDrive 14PUNT
9 plays · 9 yds · 2:460% → 0%
Q2 7:38
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
99.7%
Caleb Berry pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:25
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+2
99.7%
Caleb Berry pass complete to Reggie Begelton for 2 yds to the Lamar 20Similar
Q2 7:10
3RD & 8
OWN 20
+9
99.7%
Caleb Berry pass complete to Mark Roberts for 9 yds to the Lamar 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-2
99.7%
Carl Harris run for a loss of 2 yards to the Lamar 27Similar
Q2 6:45
2ND & 12
OWN 27
-5
99.7%
LAMAR Penalty, False Start (Connor Ward) to the Lamar 22Similar
Q2 6:05
2ND & 17
OWN 22
+7
99.7%
Caleb Berry pass complete to Michael Handy for 7 yds to the Lamar 29Similar
Q2 5:50
3RD & 10
OWN 29
-2
99.7%
Caleb Berry sacked by Myles Garrett for a loss of 2 yards to the Lamar 27Similar
Q2 4:52
4TH & 12
OWN 27
0
99.7%
Juan Carranco punt for 52 yds, downed at the TexAM 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 15INT
10 plays · 45 yds · 2:08100% → 100%
Q2 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+10
99.7%
Allen, Kyle pass incomplete to Tabuyo, Jeremy, PENALTY LAMAR holding (Hargis, Mike) 10 yards to the TEXASAM31, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TEXASAM. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
99.7%
Kyle Allen pass incomplete to Sabian HolmesSimilar
Q2 4:30
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+13
99.7%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Ricky Seals-Jones for 13 yds to the TexAM 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+7
99.7%
Brandon Williams run for 7 yds to the Lamar 49Similar
Q2 3:58
2ND & 3
OPP 49
+7
99.7%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Jeremy Tabuyo for 7 yds to the Lamar 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:42
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-9
99.7%
Trey Williams run for 1 yd to the TexAM 41 TEXAS A&M Penalty, Offensive Holding (Cedric Ogbuehi) to the TexAM 49Similar
Q2 3:25
1ST & 19
OWN 49
+4
99.7%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Malcome Kennedy for 4 yds to the Lamar 47Similar
Q2 3:05
2ND & 15
OPP 47
+13
99.7%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Speedy Noil for 13 yds to the Lamar 34Similar
Q2 2:37
3RD & 2
OPP 34
+9
99.7%
Kyle Allen pass intercepted Seth Ellis return for 9 yds to the Lamar 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAMDrive 16DOWNS
11 plays · 42 yds · 2:250% → 0%
Q2 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
99.8%
Caleb Berry run for 2 yds to the Lamar 36Similar
Q2 1:55
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+12
99.8%
Caleb Berry run for 12 yds to the Lamar 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
99.8%
Caleb Berry pass incomplete to Payden McVeySimilar
Q2 1:25
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+11
99.8%
Caleb Berry pass complete to Michael Handy for 11 yds to the TexAM 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-6
99.8%
Caleb Berry sacked by Myles Garrett for a loss of 6 yards to the TexAM 47Similar
Q2 0:50
2ND & 16
OPP 47
+5
99.8%
Caleb Berry pass complete to Michael Handy for 5 yds to the TexAM 42Similar
Q2 0:34
3RD & 11
OPP 42
0
99.8%
Caleb Berry pass incomplete to Dillon BarrettSimilar
Q2 0:26
4TH & 11
OPP 42
+18
99.8%
Caleb Berry pass complete to Reggie Begelton for 18 yds to the TexAM 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:02
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
99.7%
Caleb Berry pass incomplete to Devonn BrownSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+41
99.8%
Josh Davis 41 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 17TD
6 plays · 25 yds · 1:39100% → 100%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+8
99.8%
Trey Williams run for 8 yds to the Lamar 17Similar
Q3 14:25
2ND & 2
OPP 17
+2
99.8%
Trey Williams run for 2 yds to the Lamar 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:25
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-10
99.8%
Hill, Kenny pass incomplete to Kennedy, Malcome, PENALTY TEXASAM holding (Cheek, Joseph) 10 yards to the LAMAR25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:45
1ST & 20
OPP 25
+7
99.8%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Edward Pope for 7 yds to the Lamar 18Similar
Q3 13:16
2ND & 13
OPP 18
+18
99.9%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Malcome Kennedy for 18 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAMDrive 18PUNT
9 plays · 10 yds · 1:570% → 0%
Q3 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.8%
Carl Harris run for 3 yds to the Lamar 28Similar
Q3 12:30
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+5
99.8%
Carl Harris run for 5 yds to the Lamar 33Similar
Q3 12:08
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+2
99.8%
Carl Harris run for 2 yds to the Lamar 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
99.8%
Caleb Berry pass incomplete to Devonn BrownSimilar
Q3 11:38
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
99.9%
Caleb Berry pass incomplete to Carl HarrisSimilar
Q3 11:28
3RD & 10
OWN 35
0
99.9%
Caleb Berry pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:13
4TH & 10
OWN 35
0
99.9%
Juan Carranco punt for 45 yds, downed at the TexAM 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 19FUMBLE
8 plays · 40 yds · 2:38100% → 100%
Q3 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
99.9%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Speedy Noil for 5 yds to the TexAM 25Similar
Q3 10:45
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+22
99.9%
Kenny Hill run for 7 yds to the TexAM 32 for a 1ST down LAMAR Penalty, Personal Foul (Michael Handy) to the TexAM 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+8
99.9%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Sabian Holmes for 8 yds to the Lamar 45Similar
Q3 9:45
2ND & 2
OPP 45
+2
99.9%
Brandon Williams run for 2 yds to the Lamar 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:20
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
99.9%
Brandon Williams run for 3 yds to the Lamar 40Similar
Q3 9:10
2ND & 7
OPP 40
0
99.9%
Kenny Hill pass incomplete to Sabian HolmesSimilar
Q3 8:45
3RD & 7
OPP 40
0
99.9%
Kenny Hill pass incomplete to Malcome KennedySimilar
Q3 8:35
4TH & 7
OPP 40
+24
99.9%
Drew Kaser punt for 24 yds , Devonn Brown returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Lamar 15 Devonn Brown fumbled, recovered by TexAM Clay HoneycuttSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 20TD
6 plays · 15 yds · 1:17100% → 100%
Q3 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
99.9%
Kenny Hill pass incomplete to Speedy NoilSimilar
Q3 8:15
2ND & 10
OPP 15
0
99.9%
Kenny Hill pass incomplete to Malcome KennedySimilar
Q3 8:00
3RD & 10
OPP 15
+12
99.9%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Josh Reynolds for 12 yds to the Lamar 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
99.9%
Kenny Hill pass incomplete to Speedy NoilSimilar
Q3 7:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
99.9%
James White run for 2 yds to the Lamar 1Similar
Q3 7:13
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
James White run for 1 yd for a TD, (Josh Lambo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAMDrive 21DOWNS
13 plays · 42 yds · 4:590% → 0%
Q3 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+8
99.9%
Carl Harris run for 8 yds to the Lamar 19Similar
Q3 6:15
2ND & 2
OWN 19
+4
99.9%
Carl Harris run for 4 yds to the Lamar 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
99.9%
Caleb Berry pass incomplete to Gratian GladneySimilar
Q3 5:45
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+13
99.9%
Caleb Berry run for 13 yds to the Lamar 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
99.9%
Emmitt Raleigh run for 9 yds to the Lamar 45Similar
Q3 5:02
2ND & 1
OWN 45
0
99.9%
Emmitt Raleigh run for no gain to the Lamar 45Similar
Q3 4:30
3RD & 1
OWN 45
0
99.9%
Carl Harris run for no gain to the Lamar 45Similar
Q3 3:50
4TH & 1
OWN 45
+2
99.9%
Carl Harris run for 2 yds to the Lamar 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
99.9%
Emmitt Raleigh run for 1 yd to the Lamar 48Similar
Q3 2:38
2ND & 9
OWN 48
+5
99.9%
Caleb Berry pass complete to Emmitt Raleigh for 5 yds to the TexAM 47Similar
Q3 2:04
3RD & 4
OPP 47
0
99.9%
Caleb Berry pass incomplete to Mark RobertsSimilar
Q3 1:56
4TH & 4
OPP 47
0
99.9%
Caleb Berry pass incomplete to Michael HandySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 22TD
13 plays · 53 yds · 3:54100% → 100%
Q3 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+8
99.9%
James White run for 8 yds to the Lamar 45Similar
Q3 1:20
2ND & 2
OPP 45
+5
99.9%
James White run for 5 yds to the Lamar 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:55
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+9
99.9%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Jamal Jeffery for 9 yds to the Lamar 31Similar
Q3 0:30
2ND & 1
OPP 31
0
99.9%
Kyle Allen pass incomplete to Edward PopeSimilar
Q3 0:22
3RD & 1
OPP 31
+3
99.9%
James White run for 3 yds to the Lamar 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:03
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+5
99.9%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Boone Niederhofer for 15 yds to the Lamar 13 TEXAS A&M Penalty, Illegal Block (LaQuvionte Gonzalez) to the Lamar 23Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 5
OPP 23
0
99.9%
Kyle Allen pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 5
OPP 23
+4
99.9%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Boone Niederhofer for 4 yds to the Lamar 19Similar
Q4 14:50
3RD & 1
OPP 19
+2
99.9%
Brice Dolezal run for 2 yds to the Lamar 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:45
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+6
100.0%
James White run for 6 yds to the Lamar 11Similar
Q4 13:30
2ND & 4
OPP 11
+1
100.0%
James White run for 1 yd to the Lamar 10Similar
Q4 13:05
3RD & 3
OPP 10
+7
100.0%
Kyle Allen pass complete to James White for 7 yds to the Lamar 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
100.0%
James White run for 3 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAMDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:400% → 0%
Q4 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
100.0%
Caleb Berry pass complete to Carl Harris for a loss of 1 yard to the Lamar 24Similar
Q4 12:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+4
100.0%
Carl Harris run for 4 yds to the Lamar 28Similar
Q4 11:26
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
100.0%
Caleb Berry pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:05
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+30
100.0%
Juan Carranco punt for 41 yds , Nick Harvey returns for 30 yds to the Lamar 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 24TD
6 plays · 39 yds · 2:17100% → 100%
Q4 10:50
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+12
100.0%
Kyle Allen pass complete to LaQuvionte Gonzalez for 12 yds to the Lamar 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+9
100.0%
Brice Dolezal run for 9 yds to the Lamar 18Similar
Q4 9:55
2ND & 1
OPP 18
+3
100.0%
Brice Dolezal run for 3 yds to the Lamar 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+9
100.0%
Brice Dolezal run for 9 yds to the Lamar 6Similar
Q4 8:55
2ND & 1
OPP 6
+4
100.0%
Brice Dolezal run for 4 yds to the Lamar 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
100.0%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Boone Niederhofer for 2 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAMDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:070% → 0%
Q4 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
100.0%
Caleb Berry pass incomplete to Dillon BarrettSimilar
Q4 8:15
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
100.0%
Emmitt Raleigh run for 3 yds to the Lamar 28Similar
Q4 7:32
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
100.0%
Caleb Berry pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:19
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
100.0%
Juan Carranco punt for 11 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Lamar 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 26TD
4 plays · 39 yds · 1:35100% → 100%
Q4 7:05
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
100.0%
Brice Dolezal run for 4 yds to the Lamar 35Similar
Q4 6:45
2ND & 6
OPP 35
-1
100.0%
Brice Dolezal run for a loss of 1 yard to the Lamar 36Similar
Q4 6:15
3RD & 7
OPP 36
+3
100.0%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Jamal Jeffery for 3 yds to the Lamar 33Similar
Q4 5:30
4TH & 4
OPP 33
+33
100.0%
Kyle Allen pass complete to LaQuvionte Gonzalez for 33 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAMDrive 27PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:550% → 0%
Q4 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Lamar 24 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Lamar Emmitt RaleighSimilar
Q4 5:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
100.0%
Emmitt Raleigh run for no gain to the Lamar 24Similar
Q4 4:30
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
100.0%
Caleb Berry pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 28TD
4 plays · 56 yds · 1:59100% → 100%
Q4 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
100.0%
Brice Dolezal run for 4 yds to the TexAM 48Similar
Q4 2:55
2ND & 6
OWN 48
0
100.0%
Brice Dolezal run for no gain to the TexAM 48Similar
Q4 2:05
3RD & 6
OWN 48
+11
100.0%
Brice Dolezal run for 11 yds to the Lamar 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:26
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+41
100.0%
Brice Dolezal run for 41 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAMDrive 29END OF GAME
3 plays · 9 yds · 0:450% → 0%
Q4 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
100.0%
Emmitt Raleigh run for 1 yd to the Lamar 26Similar
Q4 0:30
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+8
100.0%
Carl Harris run for 8 yds to the Lamar 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 2:15
Kenny Hill pass complete to Sabian Holmes for 51 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambo KICK)
+0.3
TD · Q2 7:48
Kenny Hill pass complete to Edward Pope for 9 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambo KICK)
+0.3
FG · Q2 14:41
Josh Lambo 20 yd FG GOOD
+0.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com