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UGA

Georgia 35 at South Carolina 38

SC
2014 · Week 3 · Sep 13, 2014 · Williams-Brice Stadium
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Win probability · SC
modelSC aheadUGA aheadconfidence bandkey playSC scoreUGA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDFGTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 9:35 · Todd Gurley run for 4 yds to the SCaro 2 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+24.0+12.00−12.0−24.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 104Home team on offense+9.2Pregame prior−4.5Garbage-time factor+0.7Score differential+4.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.3Blowout margin+0.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 9:23: Todd Gurley run for 2 yds for a TD, (Marshall Morgan KICK) — UGA win probability +18.0 pts (now 48%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  2. TD · Q3 5:07: Dylan Thompson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Elliott Fry KICK) — SC win probability +12.1 pts (now 79%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 14:55: Hutson Mason pass complete to Jay Rome for 5 yds for a TD, (Two pt pass, Hutson Mason pass to Michael Bennett GOOD) — UGA win probability +23.8 pts (now 47%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  4. TD · Q4 13:01: Brandon Wilds run for 24 yds for a TD, (Elliott Fry KICK) — SC win probability +14.5 pts (now 84%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 7:10: Quayvon Hicks run for 1 yd for a TD, (Marshall Morgan KICK) — UGA win probability +27.2 pts (now 43%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SC made the numbers' call on 3 of 4UGA made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 7:25UGA 4th & 3 at SC 19, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 55.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.1%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    54.9%−0.1
    77% to make
    Punt
    53.7%−1.3
    average punt
  2. Q2 14:52UGA 4th & 4 at UGA 46, down 4
    Close callPunted · 50.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.7%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:49SC 4th & 3 at SC 22, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.6%−0.4
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.0%
    average punt
  4. Q2 8:56UGA 4th & 8 at SC 9, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 49.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.6%−0.4
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    49.0%
    89% to make
    Punt
    44.4%−4.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 2:16UGA 4th & 7 at SC 27, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 36.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.6%−0.5
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    36.2%
    62% to make
    Punt
    30.4%−5.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:00SC 4th & 2 at UGA 14, up 8
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsKicked a field goal · 67.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.8%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.6%−1.2
    84% to make
    Punt
    59.9%−8.9
    average punt
  7. Q3 9:35UGA 4th & 1 at SC 6, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 27.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    27.5%
    69% to convert
    Field goal
    24.6%−2.9
    91% to make
    Punt
    16.8%−10.7
    average punt
  8. Q3 3:52UGA 4th & 2 at UGA 33, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.1%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.1%
    average punt
  9. Q3 2:13SC 4th & 24 at SC 12, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.8%−4.5
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.3%
    average punt
  10. Q4 1:22SC 4th & 1 at SC 49, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 89.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    90.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    84.7%−6.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SC made the numbers' call on 5 of 5UGA made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 10:33SC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 10:02UGA Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 2:20SC Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 5:34SC Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 9:23UGA Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 5:07SC Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 14:55UGA Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    36.1%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    35.8%−0.3
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 13:01SC Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 7:10UGA Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    28.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    27.7%−0.5
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SCDrive 1TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:1239% → 43%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
39.2%
Mike Davis run for 2 yds to the SCaro 27Similar
Q1 14:13
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+21
39.4%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Nick Jones for 21 yds to the SCaro 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:46
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+20
39.7%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Rory Anderson for 20 yds to the Geo 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:20
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
39.9%
Mike Davis run for 5 yds to the Geo 27Similar
Q1 12:30
2ND & 5
OPP 27
-1
40.4%
Pharoh Cooper run for a loss of 1 yard to the Geo 28Similar
Q1 12:20
3RD & 6
OPP 28
+13
40.5%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Shaq Roland for 13 yds to the Geo 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:35
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+6
41.0%
Mike Davis run for 6 yds to the Geo 9Similar
Q1 11:10
2ND & 4
OPP 9
-1
41.2%
Mike Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the Geo 10Similar
Q1 10:33
3RD & 5
OPP 10
+10
42.9%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Shaq Roland for 10 yds for a TD, (Elliott Fry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 2TD
3 plays · 69 yds · 0:1958% → 60%
Q1 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+36
42.1%
Hutson Mason pass complete to Isaiah McKenzie for 36 yds to the SCaro 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:02
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+33
40.2%
Hutson Mason pass complete to Sony Michel for 33 yds for a TD, (Marshall Morgan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 3FUMBLE
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:5841% → 41%
Q1 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
41.1%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Connor McLaurin for no gain to the SCaro 25Similar
Q1 9:25
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
41.2%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Brandon Wilds for 3 yds to the SCaro 28Similar
Q1 8:47
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-2
41.2%
Brandon Wilds run for a loss of 2 yards to the SCaro 26 Brandon Wilds fumbled, recovered by Geo Lorenzo CarterSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 4FG
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:1260% → 59%
Q1 8:37
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-10
40.4%
GEORGIA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Brandon Kublanow) to the SCaro 36Similar
Q1 8:20
1ST & 20
OPP 36
+7
40.9%
Todd Gurley run for 7 yds to the SCaro 29Similar
Q1 8:05
2ND & 13
OPP 29
+10
40.8%
Todd Gurley run for 10 yds to the SCaro 19Similar
Q1 7:29
3RD & 3
OPP 19
0
40.8%
Hutson Mason pass incomplete to Michael BennettSimilar
Q1 7:25
4TH & 3
OPP 19
+36
40.8%
Marshall Morgan 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 5TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 4:5541% → 47%
Q1 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
41.1%
Mike Davis run for a loss of 5 yards to the SCaro 20Similar
Q1 6:41
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+17
41.1%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Shaq Roland for 17 yds to the SCaro 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
41.6%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Mike Davis for 8 yds to the SCaro 45Similar
Q1 5:49
2ND & 2
OWN 45
+4
42.1%
Mike Davis run for 4 yds to the SCaro 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
42.2%
Mike Davis run for 2 yds to the Geo 49Similar
Q1 4:54
2ND & 8
OPP 49
+10
42.5%
Dylan Thompson run for 10 yds to the Geo 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:20
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
42.8%
Brandon Wilds run for 1 yd to the Geo 38Similar
Q1 3:49
2ND & 9
OPP 38
0
43.0%
Dylan Thompson pass incomplete to Jerell AdamsSimilar
Q1 3:41
3RD & 9
OPP 38
+5
42.7%
GEORGIA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Devin Bowman) to the Geo 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:15
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
43.7%
Mike Davis run for 3 yds to the Geo 30Similar
Q1 2:30
2ND & 7
OPP 30
+22
44.0%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Pharoh Cooper for 13 yds to the Geo 17 for a 1ST down GEORGIA Penalty, Roughing Passer (9 Yards) to the Geo 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
47.1%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Pharoh Cooper for 8 yds for a TD, (Elliott Fry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 2:2254% → 51%
Q1 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+13
45.8%
Todd Gurley run for 13 yds to the Geo 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
46.9%
Hutson Mason run for 6 yds to the Geo 46Similar
Q1 1:04
2ND & 4
OWN 46
-10
46.9%
GEORGIA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Brandon Kublanow) to the Geo 36Similar
Q1 0:50
2ND & 14
OWN 36
+12
48.4%
Nick Chubb run for 12 yds to the Geo 48Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 2
OWN 48
-2
47.5%
Nick Chubb run for a loss of 2 yards to the Geo 46Similar
Q2 14:52
4TH & 4
OWN 46
0
48.8%
Collin Barber punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SCaro 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:5947% → 47%
Q2 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
47.0%
Dylan Thompson pass incomplete to Pharoh CooperSimilar
Q2 14:30
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+7
47.0%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Shaq Roland for 7 yds to the SCaro 22Similar
Q2 13:56
3RD & 3
OWN 22
0
47.8%
Dylan Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:49
4TH & 3
OWN 22
0
47.0%
Tyler Hull punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Reggie Davis at the Geo 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 8FG
10 plays · 50 yds · 4:3452% → 53%
Q2 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
48.4%
Todd Gurley run for 1 yd to the Geo 42Similar
Q2 13:00
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+4
48.9%
Todd Gurley run for 4 yds to the Geo 46Similar
Q2 12:15
3RD & 5
OWN 46
+15
49.1%
Hutson Mason pass complete to Todd Gurley for no gain to the SCaro 46 SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Jordan Diggs) to the SCaro 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+18
48.4%
Hutson Mason pass complete to Jeb Blazevich for 18 yds to the SCaro 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+2
47.4%
Todd Gurley run for 2 yds to the SCaro 19Similar
Q2 10:40
2ND & 8
OPP 19
+8
47.8%
Isaiah McKenzie run for 8 yds to the SCaro 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
48.0%
Todd Gurley run for 3 yds to the SCaro 8Similar
Q2 9:30
2ND & 7
OPP 8
-1
48.1%
Hutson Mason pass complete to Todd Gurley for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 9Similar
Q2 9:01
3RD & 8
OPP 9
0
49.5%
Hutson Mason pass incomplete to Jeb BlazevichSimilar
Q2 8:56
4TH & 8
OPP 9
+26
46.9%
Marshall Morgan 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 9TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 3:1650% → 63%
Q2 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
49.5%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the SCaro 20Similar
Q2 8:40
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+15
49.4%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Rory Anderson for 15 yds to the SCaro 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
50.9%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Pharoh Cooper for 6 yds to the SCaro 41Similar
Q2 7:45
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+7
52.6%
Mike Davis run for 7 yds to the SCaro 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-14
53.1%
Mike Davis run for 1 yd to the SCaro 49 SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Illegal Block (-15 Yards) to the SCaro 34Similar
Q2 6:50
1ST & 24
OWN 34
+4
51.3%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Rory Anderson for 4 yds to the SCaro 38Similar
Q2 6:37
2ND & 20
OWN 38
+24
51.7%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Damiere Byrd for 24 yds to the Geo 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
54.2%
Dylan Thompson pass incomplete to Damiere ByrdSimilar
Q2 6:10
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+20
54.0%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Nick Jones for 20 yds to the Geo 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
55.3%
Dylan Thompson pass incomplete to Nick JonesSimilar
Q2 5:34
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+18
62.6%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Rory Anderson for 18 yds for a TD, (Elliott Fry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 10MISSED FG
11 plays · 48 yds · 3:0438% → 38%
Q2 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
61.6%
Hutson Mason pass complete to Todd Gurley for 1 yd to the Geo 26Similar
Q2 5:04
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+16
61.9%
Hutson Mason pass complete to Chris Conley for 16 yds to the Geo 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
60.6%
Todd Gurley run for 4 yds to the Geo 46Similar
Q2 4:28
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+13
59.9%
Hutson Mason pass complete to Michael Bennett for 13 yds to the SCaro 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:22
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-5
59.3%
GEORGIA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SCaro 46Similar
Q2 3:58
1ST & 15
OPP 46
+16
61.0%
Hutson Mason pass complete to Reggie Davis for 16 yds to the SCaro 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:30
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
58.4%
Keith Marshall run for 2 yds to the SCaro 28Similar
Q2 2:50
2ND & 8
OPP 28
+1
58.3%
Nick Chubb run for 1 yd to the SCaro 27Similar
Q2 2:21
3RD & 7
OPP 27
0
60.7%
Hutson Mason pass incomplete to Blake TibbsSimilar
Q2 2:16
4TH & 7
OPP 27
+44
62.4%
Marshall Morgan 44 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 11END OF HALF
11 plays · 59 yds · 2:0064% → 69%
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
64.0%
Brandon Wilds run for 2 yds to the SCaro 29Similar
Q2 1:31
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+10
64.3%
Pharoh Cooper run for 10 yds to the SCaro 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+14
65.8%
Damiere Byrd run for 14 yds to the Geo 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:54
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
67.0%
Pharoh Cooper run for no gain to the Geo 47Similar
Q2 0:48
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+25
66.1%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Nick Jones for 25 yds to the Geo 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:43
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
67.0%
Dylan Thompson pass incomplete to Pharoh CooperSimilar
Q2 0:38
2ND & 10
OPP 22
0
67.0%
Dylan Thompson pass incomplete to Jerell AdamsSimilar
Q2 0:20
3RD & 10
OPP 22
+8
65.8%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Mike Davis for 8 yds to the Geo 14Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 2
OPP 14
+32
68.8%
Elliott Fry 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 12TD
12 plays · 85 yds · 5:2232% → 48%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
68.0%
Todd Gurley run for 2 yds to the Geo 17Similar
Q3 14:00
2ND & 8
OWN 17
+6
68.7%
Hutson Mason pass complete to Chris Conley for 6 yds to the Geo 23Similar
Q3 13:41
3RD & 2
OWN 23
+8
69.1%
Hutson Mason pass complete to Kenneth Towns for 8 yds to the Geo 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
68.5%
Hutson Mason pass complete to Todd Gurley for 4 yds to the Geo 35Similar
Q3 12:29
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+40
68.7%
Todd Gurley run for 40 yds to the SCaro 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:14
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+10
65.7%
Sony Michel run for 10 yds to the SCaro 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:35
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+4
66.2%
Sony Michel run for 4 yds to the SCaro 11Similar
Q3 10:55
2ND & 6
OPP 11
+3
66.6%
Sony Michel run for 3 yds to the SCaro 8Similar
Q3 10:15
3RD & 3
OPP 8
+2
68.5%
Hutson Mason run for no gain to the SCaro 8 Hutson Mason fumbled, recovered by Geo Hutson Mason, run for 2 yds to the SCaro 6Similar
Q3 9:35
4TH & 1
OPP 6
+4
70.5%
Todd Gurley run for 4 yds to the SCaro 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
52.5%
Todd Gurley run for 2 yds for a TD, (Marshall Morgan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 13TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:0260% → 79%
Q3 9:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
60.2%
Mike Davis run for 10 yds to the SCaro 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:56
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+21
60.7%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Nick Jones for 21 yds to the Geo 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
64.1%
Brandon Wilds run for 3 yds to the Geo 41Similar
Q3 7:42
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+10
64.3%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Rory Anderson for 10 yds to the Geo 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:10
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+7
65.7%
Brandon Wilds run for 7 yds to the Geo 24Similar
Q3 6:36
2ND & 3
OPP 24
+5
66.1%
Brandon Wilds run for 5 yds to the Geo 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:55
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+9
66.6%
Brandon Wilds run for 9 yds to the Geo 10Similar
Q3 5:16
2ND & 1
OPP 10
+9
67.0%
Brandon Wilds run for 9 yds to the Geo 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
79.0%
Dylan Thompson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Elliott Fry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:0323% → 21%
Q3 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
76.8%
Hutson Mason pass complete to Chris Conley for 5 yds to the Geo 30Similar
Q3 4:30
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+3
76.2%
Todd Gurley run for 3 yds to the Geo 33Similar
Q3 4:01
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
77.3%
Hutson Mason pass incomplete to Reggie Davis, broken up by Gerald DixonSimilar
Q3 3:52
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
79.5%
Collin Barber punt for 41 yds , Pharoh Cooper returns for no gain to the SCaro 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · -14 yds · 1:2779% → 79%
Q3 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-1
79.4%
Mike Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 25Similar
Q3 3:05
2ND & 11
OWN 25
-13
80.2%
Dylan Thompson sacked by Amarlo Herrera for a loss of 13 yards to the SCaro 12Similar
Q3 2:25
3RD & 24
OWN 12
0
79.7%
Dylan Thompson pass incomplete to Shaq Roland, broken up by Aaron DavisSimilar
Q3 2:13
4TH & 24
OWN 12
+27
79.1%
Tyler Hull punt for 43 yds, downed at the Geo 45, SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Mason Zandi) to the SCaro 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 16TD
7 plays · 39 yds · 1:5023% → 47%
Q3 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-3
77.2%
Hutson Mason sacked by Darius English for a loss of 3 yards to the SCaro 42Similar
Q3 1:20
2ND & 13
OPP 42
+2
78.7%
Todd Gurley run for 2 yds to the SCaro 40Similar
Q3 0:50
3RD & 11
OPP 40
-5
79.1%
GEORGIA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SCaro 45Similar
Q3 0:25
3RD & 16
OPP 45
+17
81.1%
Todd Gurley run for 17 yds to the SCaro 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:02
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
76.5%
Hutson Mason pass incomplete to Chris ConleySimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+23
77.0%
Nick Chubb run for 23 yds to the SCaro 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
53.2%
Hutson Mason pass complete to Jay Rome for 5 yds for a TD, (Two pt pass, Hutson Mason pass to Michael Bennett GOOD)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 17TD
5 plays · 58 yds · 1:3968% → 84%
Q4 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+16
67.6%
Mike Davis run for 16 yds to the Geo 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:05
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
69.3%
Mike Davis run for 3 yds to the Geo 39Similar
Q4 13:33
2ND & 7
OPP 39
+15
69.6%
Brandon Wilds run for 15 yds to the Geo 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:01
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
84.1%
Brandon Wilds run for 24 yds for a TD, (Elliott Fry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 18TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 5:4018% → 43%
Q4 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
82.1%
Todd Gurley run for no gain to the Geo 25Similar
Q4 12:30
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-1
82.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Geo 24 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Geo Hutson MasonSimilar
Q4 12:00
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+22
84.0%
Hutson Mason pass complete to Chris Conley for 22 yds to the Geo 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+9
80.2%
Hutson Mason pass complete to Michael Bennett for 9 yds to the SCaro 45Similar
Q4 10:40
2ND & 1
OPP 45
+5
79.2%
Todd Gurley run for 5 yds to the SCaro 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
82.7%
Todd Gurley run for no gain to the SCaro 40Similar
Q4 9:40
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+9
83.9%
Todd Gurley run for 9 yds to the SCaro 31Similar
Q4 9:06
3RD & 1
OPP 31
+25
83.8%
Quayvon Hicks run for 25 yds to the SCaro 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
82.8%
Quayvon Hicks run for 4 yds to the SCaro 2Similar
Q4 7:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
84.6%
Sony Michel run for 1 yd to the SCaro 1Similar
Q4 7:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
57.5%
Quayvon Hicks run for 1 yd for a TD, (Marshall Morgan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 19INT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:0671% → 69%
Q4 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+4
70.7%
Mike Davis run for 4 yds to the SCaro 18Similar
Q4 6:00
2ND & 6
OWN 18
+1
71.0%
Mike Davis run for 1 yd to the SCaro 19Similar
Q4 5:58
3RD & 5
OWN 19
-5
69.2%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, False Start (Brandon Shell) to the SCaro 14Similar
Q4 5:24
3RD & 10
OWN 14
+15
69.2%
Dylan Thompson pass intercepted Damian Swann return for 18 yds to the SCaro 6 SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Illegal Block (Shaq Roland) to the SCaro 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 20MISSED FG
4 plays · -7 yds · 0:5143% → 36%
Q4 5:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-10
56.9%
Hutson Mason sacked by Gerald Dixon for a loss of 10 yards to the SCaro 14 GEORGIA Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Hutson Mason) to the SCaro 14Similar
Q4 4:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 14
+3
59.8%
Todd Gurley run for 3 yds to the SCaro 11Similar
Q4 4:38
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
0
60.6%
Hutson Mason pass incomplete to Todd GurleySimilar
Q4 4:24
4TH & 0
OPP 11
+28
63.8%
Marshall Morgan 28 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 21END OF GAME
13 plays · 25 yds · 4:1077% → 95%
Q4 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
77.2%
Mike Davis run for 9 yds to the SCaro 29Similar
Q4 3:34
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+11
79.1%
Brandon Wilds run for 11 yds to the SCaro 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
85.5%
Brandon Wilds run for 2 yds to the SCaro 42Similar
Q4 2:06
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+1
85.9%
Brandon Wilds run for 1 yd to the SCaro 43Similar
Q4 1:51
3RD & 7
OWN 43
+6
87.4%
Brandon Wilds run for 6 yds to the SCaro 49Similar
Q4 1:22
4TH & 1
OWN 49
+1
88.4%
Dylan Thompson run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:17
1ST & 10
50
-1
91.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 49Similar
Q4 0:40
2ND & 11
OWN 49
-1
93.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 48Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 12
OWN 48
-3
94.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the SCaro 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 7:10
Quayvon Hicks run for 1 yd for a TD, (Marshall Morgan KICK)
-27.2
TD · Q4 14:55
Hutson Mason pass complete to Jay Rome for 5 yds for a TD, (Two pt pass, Hutson Mason pass to Michael Bennett GOOD)
-23.8
TD · Q3 9:23
Todd Gurley run for 2 yds for a TD, (Marshall Morgan KICK)
-18
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com