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ULM

UL Monroe 0 at LSU 31

LSU
2014 · Week 3 · Sep 13, 2014 · Tiger Stadium (LA)
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Win probability · LSU
modelLSU aheadULM aheadconfidence bandkey playLSU scoreULM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 5:58 · Justin Manton punt for 8 yds, downed at the LaMon 35
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+47.0+23.50−23.5−47.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 104Pregame prior+23.8Home team on offense+18.4Score differential+6.6Garbage-time factor+5.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+6.0Blowout margin+0.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:11: Darrel Williams run for 22 yds for a TD, (Colby Delahoussaye KICK) — LSU win probability +1.0 pts (now 95%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q3 13:21: Pete Thomas pass complete to Rashon Ceaser for 10 yds to the LaMon 26 for a 1ST down — LSU win probability +0.7 pts (now 93%) (top driver: ULM has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 7:22: Darrel Williams run for 1 yd for a TD, (Colby Delahoussaye KICK) — LSU win probability +4.3 pts (now 97%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 6:56: Pete Thomas pass incomplete to Ajalen Holley — ULM win probability +0.7 pts (now 4%) (top driver: ULM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 3:26: Leonard Fournette run for 24 yds for a TD, (Colby Delahoussaye KICK) — LSU win probability +2.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
LSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 7ULM made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 12:54LSU 4th & 1 at LSU 49, tied
    Close callPunted · 95.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.0%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:00ULM 4th & 11 at ULM 4, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.1%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:54LSU 4th & 5 at ULM 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.5%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.5%
    average punt
  4. Q1 9:01ULM 4th & 5 at ULM 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.7%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.8%
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:20LSU 4th & 3 at ULM 5, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 92.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.8%
    45% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    92.7%−0.1
    92% to make
    Punt
    92.2%−0.6
    average punt
  6. Q1 1:49ULM 4th & 5 at ULM 30, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.2%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:41ULM 4th & 2 at ULM 33, down 10
    Close callPunted · 7.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:28LSU 4th & 9 at LSU 19, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.7%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.0%
    average punt
  9. Q2 6:58ULM 4th & 10 at LSU 45, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.4%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    7.2%−0.3
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    7.5%
    average punt
  10. Q2 4:15LSU 4th & 9 at LSU 45, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.3%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.6%
    average punt
  11. Q2 2:09ULM 4th & 8 at ULM 17, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.0%−0.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.4%
    average punt
  12. Q3 10:11ULM 4th & 19 at ULM 17, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.0%−1.5
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.5%
    average punt
  13. Q3 5:58ULM 4th & 11 at ULM 27, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.5%−0.8
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.3%
    average punt
  14. Q3 3:48LSU 4th & 1 at ULM 25, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    95.9%−0.7
    66% to make
    Punt
    93.9%−2.7
    average punt
  15. Q3 2:16ULM 4th & 9 at ULM 19, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  16. Q4 10:13ULM 4th & 1 at ULM 34, down 31
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 8:14LSU 4th & 22 at LSU 23, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
LSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 13:11LSU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
LSUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:5297% → 96%
Q1 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
96.6%
Kenny Hilliard run for no gain to the LSU 40Similar
Q1 14:06
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
96.5%
Kenny Hilliard run for no gain to the LSU 40Similar
Q1 13:21
3RD & 10
OWN 40
+9
96.3%
Anthony Jennings run for 9 yds to the LSU 49Similar
Q1 12:54
4TH & 1
OWN 49
0
96.3%
Jamie Keehn punt for 46 yds, downed at the LaMon 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:494% → 4%
Q1 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 5
0
96.2%
Tyler Cain run for no gain to the LaMon 5Similar
Q1 11:57
2ND & 10
OWN 5
-1
96.1%
Pete Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaMon 4Similar
Q1 11:14
3RD & 11
OWN 4
0
96.0%
Pete Thomas pass incomplete to Rashon Ceaser, broken up by Christian LaCoutureSimilar
Q1 11:00
4TH & 11
OWN 4
0
96.0%
Justin Manton punt for 50 yds, downed at the LSU 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:5996% → 96%
Q1 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
96.0%
Anthony Jennings pass incomplete to Connor NeighborsSimilar
Q1 10:46
2ND & 10
OWN 46
0
95.9%
Terrence Magee run for no gain to the LSU 46Similar
Q1 10:07
3RD & 10
OWN 46
+5
95.7%
Jennings, Anthony pass incomplete to Diarse, John, PENALTY ULMONROE offside (Johnson, Michael) 5 yards to the ULMONROE49, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:02
3RD & 5
OPP 49
0
95.8%
Anthony Jennings pass incomplete to Trey QuinnSimilar
Q1 9:54
4TH & 5
OPP 49
0
95.7%
Jamie Keehn punt for 27 yds, fair catch by Rashon Ceaser at the LaMon 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:474% → 4%
Q1 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
95.7%
Pete Thomas pass complete to Harley Scioneaux for 5 yds to the LaMon 27Similar
Q1 9:18
2ND & 5
OWN 27
0
95.5%
Pete Thomas pass incomplete to Rashon CeaserSimilar
Q1 9:12
3RD & 5
OWN 27
0
95.6%
Pete Thomas pass incomplete to Tony CookSimilar
Q1 9:01
4TH & 5
OWN 27
+26
95.6%
Justin Manton punt for 49 yds , Tre'Davious White returns for 26 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 5FG
13 plays · 45 yds · 5:3496% → 95%
Q1 8:54
1ST & 10
50
+5
95.6%
Leonard Fournette run for 5 yds to the LaMon 45Similar
Q1 8:25
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+3
95.5%
Leonard Fournette run for 3 yds to the LaMon 42Similar
Q1 7:49
3RD & 2
OPP 42
+3
95.4%
Kenny Hilliard run for 3 yds to the LaMon 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:22
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
95.3%
Kenny Hilliard run for 2 yds to the LaMon 37Similar
Q1 6:42
2ND & 8
OPP 37
+14
95.2%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Travin Dural for 14 yds to the LaMon 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:36
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-4
95.2%
LSU Penalty, False Start (-4 Yards) to the LaMon 27Similar
Q1 6:02
1ST & 14
OPP 27
0
95.0%
Anthony Jennings pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:54
2ND & 14
OPP 27
-8
94.9%
Anthony Jennings sacked by Hunter Kissinger for a loss of 8 yards to the LaMon 35 LSU Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Anthony Jennings) to the LaMon 35Similar
Q1 5:47
3RD & 22
OPP 35
+23
94.8%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to John Diarse for 23 yds to the LaMon 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:19
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+5
94.9%
Terrence Magee run for 5 yds to the LaMon 7Similar
Q1 4:51
2ND & 5
OPP 7
0
94.8%
Terrence Magee run for no gain to the LaMon 7Similar
Q1 4:04
3RD & 5
OPP 7
+2
94.5%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Trey Quinn for 2 yds to the LaMon 5Similar
Q1 3:20
4TH & 3
OPP 5
+21
94.5%
Colby Delahoussaye 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:266% → 6%
Q1 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
94.4%
Centarius Donald run for 3 yds to the LaMon 28Similar
Q1 2:39
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+2
94.2%
Pete Thomas pass complete to Rashon Ceaser for 2 yds to the LaMon 30Similar
Q1 2:02
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
94.1%
Pete Thomas pass incomplete to Rashon CeaserSimilar
Q1 1:49
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+1
94.2%
Justin Manton punt for 56 yds , Tre'Davious White returns for 1 yd to the LSU 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 7TD
10 plays · 85 yds · 3:3294% → 95%
Q1 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+5
93.9%
Kenny Hilliard run for 5 yds to the LSU 20Similar
Q1 1:13
2ND & 5
OWN 20
+6
93.8%
Kenny Hilliard run for 6 yds to the LSU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
93.7%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Travin Dural for 5 yds to the LSU 31Similar
Q1 0:13
2ND & 5
OWN 31
+5
93.6%
Kenny Hilliard run for 5 yds to the LSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+20
93.5%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Leonard Fournette for 20 yds to the LaMon 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:23
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+9
93.7%
Trey Quinn run for 9 yds to the LaMon 35Similar
Q2 14:00
2ND & 1
OPP 35
+4
93.6%
Kenny Hilliard run for 4 yds to the LaMon 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:36
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
93.6%
Anthony Jennings pass incomplete to Travin Dural, broken up by Trey CaldwellSimilar
Q2 13:28
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+9
93.5%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Travin Dural for 9 yds to the LaMon 22Similar
Q2 13:11
3RD & 1
OPP 22
+22
94.5%
Darrel Williams run for 22 yds for a TD, (Colby Delahoussaye KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:236% → 6%
Q2 13:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
94.4%
Centarius Donald run for 6 yds to the LaMon 31Similar
Q2 12:38
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
94.2%
Pete Thomas pass incomplete to Ajalen HolleySimilar
Q2 12:29
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+2
94.3%
Pete Thomas pass complete to Harley Scioneaux for 2 yds to the LaMon 33Similar
Q2 11:41
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
94.2%
Justin Manton punt for 50 yds, downed at the LSU 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 9PUNT
3 plays · 0 yds · 2:0294% → 94%
Q2 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+7
94.1%
Terrence Magee run for 7 yds to the LSU 25Similar
Q2 11:03
2ND & 3
OWN 25
-2
94.1%
Anthony Jennings run for a loss of 2 yards to the LSU 23Similar
Q2 9:31
3RD & 5
OWN 23
-4
93.6%
Anthony Jennings sacked by Michael Johnson and Ray Stovall for a loss of 4 yards to the LSU 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 10PUNT
1 play · -4 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q2 9:28
4TH & 9
OWN 19
+6
93.3%
Jamie Keehn punt for 59 yds , Rashon Ceaser returns for 6 yds to the LaMon 25 LSU Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (-15 Yards) to the LaMon 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 12 yds · 2:246% → 6%
Q2 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
93.6%
Tyler Cain run for 2 yds to the LaMon 45Similar
Q2 8:47
2ND & 8
OWN 45
0
93.4%
Pete Thomas pass incomplete to Tyler CainSimilar
Q2 8:39
3RD & 8
OWN 45
+10
93.6%
Pete Thomas pass complete to Rashon Ceaser for 10 yds to the LSU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:19
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-2
93.2%
Tyler Cain run for a loss of 2 yards to the LSU 47Similar
Q2 7:45
2ND & 12
OPP 47
0
93.3%
Pete Thomas pass incomplete to Alec OsborneSimilar
Q2 7:39
3RD & 12
OPP 47
+2
93.8%
Pete Thomas pass complete to Alec Osborne for 2 yds to the LSU 45Similar
Q2 6:58
4TH & 10
OPP 45
0
93.9%
Justin Manton punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Tre'Davious White at the LSU 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 34 yds · 2:3594% → 93%
Q2 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+9
93.8%
Leonard Fournette run for 9 yds to the LSU 20Similar
Q2 6:25
2ND & 1
OWN 20
+2
93.8%
Darrel Williams run for 2 yds to the LSU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+22
93.7%
Anthony Jennings run for 22 yds to the LSU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
94.0%
Anthony Jennings pass incomplete to Trey QuinnSimilar
Q2 5:11
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+1
93.9%
Leonard Fournette run for 1 yd to the LSU 45Similar
Q2 4:30
3RD & 9
OWN 45
0
93.5%
Anthony Jennings pass incomplete to Trey QuinnSimilar
Q2 4:15
4TH & 9
OWN 45
0
93.2%
Jamie Keehn punt for 50 yds , Rashon Ceaser returns for no gain to the LaMon 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 12 yds · 1:596% → 6%
Q2 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+5
93.8%
Pete Thomas pass complete to Rashon Ceaser for 5 yds to the LaMon 10Similar
Q2 3:30
2ND & 5
OWN 10
+5
93.5%
Pete Thomas pass complete to Centarius Donald for 5 yds to the LaMon 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
93.4%
Centarius Donald run for 2 yds to the LaMon 17Similar
Q2 2:26
2ND & 8
OWN 17
0
93.4%
Pete Thomas pass incomplete to Centarius DonaldSimilar
Q2 2:21
3RD & 8
OWN 17
0
93.6%
Pete Thomas pass incomplete to Rashon Ceaser, broken up by Ronald MartinSimilar
Q2 2:09
4TH & 8
OWN 17
+2
93.7%
Justin Manton punt for 46 yds , Tre'Davious White returns for 2 yds to the LSU 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 14INT
5 plays · 24 yds · 1:2094% → 94%
Q2 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
93.8%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Travin Dural for 5 yds to the LSU 44Similar
Q2 1:30
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+16
93.8%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to John Diarse for 16 yds to the LaMon 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:54
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
93.9%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Kenny Hilliard for 3 yds to the LaMon 37Similar
Q2 0:42
2ND & 7
OPP 37
0
93.5%
Anthony Jennings pass intercepted Mitch Lane return for no gain to the LaMon 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 15END OF HALF
1 play · 3 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q2 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+3
92.9%
Centarius Donald run for 3 yds to the LaMon 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 16PUNT
9 plays · 7 yds · 4:338% → 7%
Q3 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
92.3%
Pete Thomas pass complete to Centarius Donald for 4 yds to the LaMon 14Similar
Q3 14:03
2ND & 6
OWN 14
+2
92.2%
Centarius Donald run for 2 yds to the LaMon 16Similar
Q3 13:21
3RD & 4
OWN 16
+10
92.9%
Pete Thomas pass complete to Rashon Ceaser for 10 yds to the LaMon 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-6
92.3%
Centarius Donald run for 4 yds to the LaMon 30 UL MONROE Penalty, Illegal Block (Kenzee Jackson) to the LaMon 20Similar
Q3 12:18
1ST & 16
OWN 20
+2
92.4%
Centarius Donald run for 2 yds to the LaMon 22Similar
Q3 11:34
2ND & 14
OWN 22
-5
92.3%
Pete Thomas sacked by Jermauria Rasco for a loss of 5 yards to the LaMon 17Similar
Q3 10:51
3RD & 19
OWN 17
0
92.5%
Centarius Donald run for no gain to the LaMon 17Similar
Q3 10:11
4TH & 19
OWN 17
+2
92.7%
Justin Manton punt for 39 yds , Tre'Davious White returns for 2 yds to the LSU 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 17TD
8 plays · 54 yds · 2:4393% → 97%
Q3 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
92.8%
Kenny Hilliard run for 7 yds to the LaMon 47Similar
Q3 9:44
2ND & 3
OPP 47
-8
92.9%
Kenny Hilliard run for 7 yds to the LSU 40 LSU Penalty, Personal Foul (Elliott Porter) to the LSU 45Similar
Q3 9:26
2ND & 11
OWN 45
+32
92.5%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Travin Dural for 32 yds to the LaMon 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:10
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
92.9%
Terrence Magee run for 3 yds to the LaMon 20Similar
Q3 8:55
2ND & 7
OPP 20
+2
92.9%
Terrence Magee run for 2 yds to the LaMon 18Similar
Q3 8:17
3RD & 6
OPP 18
+10
92.4%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Trey Quinn for 10 yds to the LaMon 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+7
92.7%
Kenny Hilliard run for 7 yds to the LaMon 1Similar
Q3 7:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
97.0%
Darrel Williams run for 1 yd for a TD, (Colby Delahoussaye KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:584% → 4%
Q3 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
96.1%
Pete Thomas pass incomplete to Ajalen HolleySimilar
Q3 6:49
2ND & 10
OWN 28
-1
96.3%
Pete Thomas pass complete to Tyler Cain for a loss of 1 yard to the LaMon 27Similar
Q3 6:11
3RD & 11
OWN 27
0
96.4%
Pete Thomas pass incomplete to Alec OsborneSimilar
Q3 5:58
4TH & 11
OWN 27
0
96.5%
Justin Manton punt for 8 yds, downed at the LaMon 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 19TD
5 plays · 34 yds · 2:2397% → 99%
Q3 5:49
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
97.0%
Anthony Jennings run for 2 yds to the LaMon 32Similar
Q3 5:09
2ND & 8
OPP 32
+6
97.0%
Leonard Fournette run for 6 yds to the LaMon 26Similar
Q3 4:26
3RD & 2
OPP 26
+1
97.0%
Leonard Fournette run for 1 yd to the LaMon 25Similar
Q3 3:48
4TH & 1
OPP 25
+1
96.7%
Anthony Jennings run for 1 yd to the LaMon 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:26
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
99.0%
Leonard Fournette run for 24 yds for a TD, (Colby Delahoussaye KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:541% → 1%
Q3 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
98.7%
Pete Thomas pass incomplete to Harley Scioneaux, broken up by Kendell BeckwithSimilar
Q3 3:02
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+1
98.7%
Pete Thomas pass complete to Rashon Ceaser for 1 yd to the LaMon 19Similar
Q3 2:27
3RD & 9
OWN 19
0
98.8%
Pete Thomas pass incomplete, broken up by Quentin ThomasSimilar
Q3 2:16
4TH & 9
OWN 19
0
98.9%
Justin Manton punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LSU 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 21TD
11 plays · 58 yds · 4:5199% → 100%
Q3 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
99.1%
Terrence Magee run for 2 yds to the LSU 44Similar
Q3 1:31
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+7
99.1%
Terrence Magee run for 7 yds to the LaMon 49Similar
Q3 0:53
3RD & 1
OPP 49
+3
99.1%
Darrel Williams run for 3 yds to the LaMon 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:18
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
99.2%
Brandon Harris pass incomplete to John DiarseSimilar
Q3 0:11
2ND & 10
OPP 46
-2
99.2%
Terrence Magee run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaMon 48Similar
Q4 14:52
3RD & 12
OPP 48
+14
99.1%
Brandon Harris pass complete to Travin Dural for 14 yds to the LaMon 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:33
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
99.2%
UL MONROE Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the LaMon 29Similar
Q4 14:02
1ST & 5
OPP 29
+5
99.2%
Terrence Magee run for 5 yds to the LaMon 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:27
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+12
99.3%
Terrence Magee run for 12 yds to the LaMon 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:52
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+8
99.3%
Brandon Harris run for 8 yds to the LaMon 4Similar
Q4 12:19
2ND & 2
OPP 4
+4
99.9%
Kenny Hilliard run for 4 yds for a TD, (Colby Delahoussaye KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:590% → 0%
Q4 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Centarius Donald run for no gain to the LaMon 25Similar
Q4 11:56
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.9%
Centarius Donald run for 2 yds to the LaMon 27Similar
Q4 11:11
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+7
99.9%
Pete Thomas pass complete to Rashon Ceaser for 7 yds to the LaMon 34Similar
Q4 10:13
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
99.9%
Justin Manton punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LSU 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · -12 yds · 1:52100% → 100%
Q4 10:06
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
99.9%
Leonard Fournette run for 3 yds to the LSU 38Similar
Q4 10:05
2ND & 7
OWN 38
-15
99.9%
LSU Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the LSU 23Similar
Q4 9:38
2ND & 22
OWN 23
+2
99.9%
Leonard Fournette run for 2 yds to the LSU 25Similar
Q4 9:03
3RD & 20
OWN 25
-2
99.9%
Leonard Fournette run for a loss of 2 yards to the LSU 23Similar
Q4 8:14
4TH & 22
OWN 23
0
99.9%
Jamie Keehn punt for 57 yds, downed at the LaMon 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 24FUMBLE
8 plays · 23 yds · 4:200% → 0%
Q4 8:07
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
99.9%
Tyler Cain run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaMon 18Similar
Q4 7:39
2ND & 12
OWN 18
+2
99.9%
Pete Thomas run for 2 yds to the LaMon 20Similar
Q4 6:48
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+12
99.9%
Pete Thomas pass complete to Kenzee Jackson for 12 yds to the LaMon 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:13
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+8
99.9%
Pete Thomas pass complete to Harley Scioneaux for 8 yds to the LaMon 40Similar
Q4 5:29
2ND & 2
OWN 40
0
99.9%
Pete Thomas pass complete to Tyler Cain for no gain to the LaMon 40Similar
Q4 4:41
3RD & 2
OWN 40
+5
99.9%
Pete Thomas pass complete to Ajalen Holley for 5 yds to the LaMon 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
100.0%
Pete Thomas pass incomplete to Kenzee JacksonSimilar
Q4 3:47
2ND & 10
OWN 45
-4
100.0%
Pete Thomas run for a loss of 4 yards to the LaMon 43 Pete Thomas fumbled, recovered by LSU Ronnie FeistSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 25END OF GAME
8 plays · 21 yds · 3:08100% → 100%
Q4 3:41
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
99.9%
Brandon Harris run for 3 yds to the LaMon 40Similar
Q4 3:09
2ND & 7
OPP 40
0
100.0%
Darrel Williams run for no gain to the LaMon 40Similar
Q4 2:38
3RD & 7
OPP 40
-5
100.0%
LSU Penalty, Offensive Offside (D.J. Chark) to the LaMon 45Similar
Q4 2:01
3RD & 12
OPP 45
+15
100.0%
UL MONROE Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the LaMon 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:56
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
100.0%
Terrence Magee run for 2 yds to the LaMon 28Similar
Q4 1:23
2ND & 8
OPP 28
+6
100.0%
Darrel Williams run for 6 yds to the LaMon 22Similar
Q4 0:49
3RD & 2
OPP 22
+3
100.0%
Darrel Williams run for 3 yds to the LaMon 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:33
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-3
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the LaMon 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 7:22
Darrel Williams run for 1 yd for a TD, (Colby Delahoussaye KICK)
+4.3
TD · Q3 3:26
Leonard Fournette run for 24 yds for a TD, (Colby Delahoussaye KICK)
+2.3
TD · Q2 13:11
Darrel Williams run for 22 yds for a TD, (Colby Delahoussaye KICK)
+1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com