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TROY

Troy 0 at Georgia 66

UGA
2014 · Week 4 · Sep 20, 2014 · Sanford Stadium
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Win probability · UGA
modelUGA aheadTROY aheadconfidence bandkey playUGA scoreTROY score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:01 · Collin Barber punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Teddy Ruben at the Troy 33
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+49.0+24.50−24.5−49.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 155Pregame prior+1.7Home team on offense+34.4Score differential+31.5Blowout margin+18.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+17.7Garbage-time factor+12.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 7:59: Sony Michel run for 6 yds for a TD, (Marshall Morgan KICK) — UGA win probability +0.1 pts (now 98%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 6:10: Hutson Mason pass complete to Kenneth Towns for 9 yds for a TD, (Marshall Morgan KICK) — UGA win probability +0.2 pts (now 98%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q1 2:32: Sony Michel run for 8 yds for a TD, (Marshall Morgan KICK) — UGA win probability +0.6 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 12:29: Marshall Morgan 37 yd FG GOOD — UGA win probability +0.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 7:31: Sony Michel run for 18 yds for a TD, (Marshall Morgan KICK) — UGA win probability +0.2 pts (now 100%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UGA made the numbers' call on 3 of 5TROY made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 3:05TROY 4th & 12 at TROY 35, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.7%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 0:50TROY 4th & 11 at TROY 11, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.9%−0.2
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.1%
    average punt
  3. Q2 12:29UGA 4th & 3 at TROY 19, up 21
    Close callKicked a field goal · 98.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.1%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.0%−0.1
    77% to make
    Punt
    97.4%−0.7
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:48TROY 4th & 17 at TROY 18, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.5%−0.3
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.8%
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:05TROY 4th & 3 at TROY 32, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:51TROY 4th & 14 at UGA 43, down 38
    Close callWent for it · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.3%−<0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    0.4%−<0.1
    28% to make
    Punt
    0.4%
    average punt
  7. Q3 10:27TROY 4th & 13 at TROY 38, down 52
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:01UGA 4th & 3 at UGA 13, up 52
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  9. Q3 1:42UGA 4th & 1 at UGA 40, up 52
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 14:55TROY 4th & 2 at TROY 24, down 52
    Close callPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 11:15UGA 4th & 2 at TROY 15, up 52
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.1
    83% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.5
    average punt
  12. Q4 8:27TROY 4th & 7 at TROY 27, down 59
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 3:08TROY 4th & 7 at TROY 40, down 66
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:01UGA 4th & 2 at UGA 30, up 66
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UGA made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 7:59UGA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:10UGA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 2:32UGA Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 7:31UGA Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:15UGA Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 13:04UGA Touchdown, up 51 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 10:35UGA Touchdown, up 58 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 6:18UGA Touchdown, up 65 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TROYDrive 1MISSED FG
15 plays · 68 yds · 4:331% → 2%
Q1 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-1
98.7%
Teddy Ruben run for a loss of 1 yard to the Troy 22Similar
Q1 14:05
2ND & 11
OWN 22
+2
98.7%
Dontreal Pruitt pass complete to Chandler Worthy for 2 yds to the Troy 24Similar
Q1 13:45
3RD & 9
OWN 24
+15
98.6%
GEORGIA Penalty, Personal Foul (J.J. Green) to the Troy 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-1
98.6%
Khary Franklin run for a loss of 1 yard to the Troy 38Similar
Q1 13:10
2ND & 11
OWN 38
+5
98.6%
GEORGIA Penalty, Encroachment (5 Yards) to the Troy 43Similar
Q1 12:50
2ND & 6
OWN 43
0
98.5%
Dontreal Pruitt pass incomplete to Brandon BurksSimilar
Q1 12:34
3RD & 6
OWN 43
+25
98.5%
Dontreal Pruitt pass complete to Chandler Worthy for 25 yds to the Geo 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:15
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-4
98.5%
Chandler Worthy run for a loss of 4 yards to the Geo 36Similar
Q1 11:40
2ND & 14
OPP 36
+7
98.4%
Dontreal Pruitt pass complete to Trey Page for 7 yds to the Geo 29Similar
Q1 11:10
3RD & 7
OPP 29
+19
98.4%
Dontreal Pruitt pass complete to Kinderick Dent for 19 yds to the Geo 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
98.3%
K.D. Edenfield pass incomplete to Bryan HolmesSimilar
Q1 10:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
98.3%
Dontreal Pruitt pass incomplete to K.D. EdenfieldSimilar
Q1 10:40
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
98.3%
Jordan Chunn run for 1 yd to the Geo 9Similar
Q1 10:07
4TH & 0
OPP 9
+26
98.2%
Ryan Kay 26 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 2TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 1:4698% → 98%
Q1 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
98.2%
Todd Gurley run for 5 yds to the Geo 25Similar
Q1 9:20
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+48
98.2%
Todd Gurley run for 48 yds to the Troy 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:10
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+10
98.2%
Todd Gurley run for 10 yds to the Troy 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:55
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+7
98.2%
Todd Gurley run for 7 yds to the Troy 10Similar
Q1 8:25
2ND & 3
OPP 10
+4
98.1%
Sony Michel run for 4 yds to the Troy 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
98.3%
Sony Michel run for 6 yds for a TD, (Marshall Morgan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 3FUMBLE
2 plays · 19 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q1 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+19
98.2%
Dontreal Pruitt pass complete to Tommy Blevins for 19 yds Tommy Blevins fumbled, forced by Rico Johnson, recovered by Geo Aaron Davis , return for 11 yds to the Troy 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 4TD
4 plays · 27 yds · 1:1098% → 98%
Q1 7:20
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+15
98.2%
TROY Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the Troy 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
98.2%
Todd Gurley run for 2 yds to the Troy 10Similar
Q1 6:30
2ND & 8
OPP 10
+1
98.1%
Todd Gurley run for 1 yd to the Troy 9Similar
Q1 6:10
3RD & 7
OPP 9
+9
98.4%
Hutson Mason pass complete to Kenneth Towns for 9 yds for a TD, (Marshall Morgan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 5PUNT
9 plays · 10 yds · 3:002% → 2%
Q1 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.3%
Dontreal Pruitt pass incomplete to Josh AndersonSimilar
Q1 5:55
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
98.3%
Dontreal Pruitt pass complete to Brandon Burks for 8 yds to the Troy 33Similar
Q1 5:25
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+4
98.2%
Brandon Burks run for 4 yds to the Troy 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-8
98.2%
Dontreal Pruitt pass complete to Brandon Burks for a loss of 8 yards to the Troy 29Similar
Q1 4:20
2ND & 18
OWN 29
-5
98.2%
Khary Franklin run for a loss of 5 yards to the Troy 24Similar
Q1 3:40
3RD & 23
OWN 24
+11
98.1%
Dontreal Pruitt run for 11 yds to the Troy 35Similar
Q1 3:05
4TH & 12
OWN 35
+1
98.1%
Ryan Kay punt for 49 yds , Isaiah McKenzie returns for 1 yd to the Geo 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 6TD
2 plays · 83 yds · 0:2098% → 99%
Q1 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+75
98.1%
Sony Michel run for 75 yds to the Troy 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
98.7%
Sony Michel run for 8 yds for a TD, (Marshall Morgan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:201% → 1%
Q1 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
98.6%
Jordan Chunn run for no gain to the Troy 12Similar
Q1 1:47
2ND & 10
OWN 12
0
98.6%
Dontreal Pruitt pass incomplete to Teddy RubenSimilar
Q1 1:30
3RD & 10
OWN 12
-1
98.6%
Dontreal Pruitt pass complete to K.D. Edenfield for a loss of 1 yard to the Troy 11Similar
Q1 0:50
4TH & 11
OWN 11
0
98.6%
Ryan Kay punt for 49 yds, downed at the Geo 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 8FG
9 plays · 41 yds · 3:0699% → 99%
Q1 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
98.6%
Keith Marshall run for 3 yds to the Geo 43Similar
Q1 0:25
2ND & 7
OWN 43
0
98.6%
Hutson Mason pass incomplete to Isaiah McKenzieSimilar
Q1 0:20
3RD & 7
OWN 43
+18
98.6%
Hutson Mason pass complete to Michael Bennett for 18 yds to the Troy 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+13
98.7%
Hutson Mason pass complete to Jeb Blazevich for 13 yds to the Troy 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+5
98.7%
Hutson Mason pass complete to Sony Michel for 5 yds to the Troy 21Similar
Q2 14:15
2ND & 5
OPP 21
-5
98.7%
GEORGIA Penalty, False Start (Kolton Houston) to the Troy 26Similar
Q2 13:40
2ND & 10
OPP 26
-5
98.8%
Hutson Mason pass complete to Keith Marshall for a loss of 5 yards to the Troy 31Similar
Q2 13:00
3RD & 15
OPP 31
+12
98.7%
Hutson Mason pass complete to Blake Tibbs for 12 yds to the Troy 19Similar
Q2 12:29
4TH & 3
OPP 19
+37
98.9%
Marshall Morgan 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 9PUNT RETURN TD
5 plays · -7 yds · 1:361% → 1%
Q2 12:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.6%
Dontreal Pruitt pass incomplete to Chandler WorthySimilar
Q2 12:15
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
98.7%
Jordan Chunn run for 2 yds to the Troy 27Similar
Q2 11:20
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-9
98.7%
Dontreal Pruitt sacked by Jordan Jenkins for a loss of 9 yards to the Troy 18Similar
Q2 10:48
4TH & 17
OWN 18
+52
98.7%
Ryan Kay punt for 34 yds , Isaiah McKenzie returns for 52 yds for a TD, (Marshall Morgan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:221% → 1%
Q2 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
98.6%
Tim Longmire run for 2 yds to the Troy 27Similar
Q2 10:05
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
98.4%
Dontreal Pruitt pass complete to K.D. Edenfield for 5 yds to the Troy 32Similar
Q2 9:19
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
99.1%
Dontreal Pruitt pass incomplete to Chandler WorthySimilar
Q2 9:05
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
99.1%
Ryan Kay punt for 48 yds, downed at the Geo 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 11TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 1:1999% → 100%
Q2 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+35
99.2%
Hutson Mason pass complete to Shakenneth Williams for 35 yds to the Troy 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
99.1%
Hutson Mason pass incomplete to Shakenneth WilliamsSimilar
Q2 8:30
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+13
99.2%
Sony Michel run for 13 yds to the Troy 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
99.4%
Hutson Mason pass incomplete to Isaiah McKenzieSimilar
Q2 7:45
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+14
99.4%
Sony Michel run for 14 yds to the Troy 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:31
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
99.5%
Sony Michel run for 18 yds for a TD, (Marshall Morgan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 12DOWNS
12 plays · 40 yds · 4:240% → 0%
Q2 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
99.6%
Dontreal Pruitt pass incomplete to Chandler WorthySimilar
Q2 7:00
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+12
99.6%
Dontreal Pruitt pass complete to Brandon Burks for 12 yds to the Troy 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
99.6%
Brandon Burks run for no gain to the Troy 33Similar
Q2 6:14
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+5
99.6%
GEORGIA Penalty, Defensive Offside (Davin Bellamy) to the Troy 38Similar
Q2 5:55
2ND & 5
OWN 38
-8
99.6%
Dontreal Pruitt sacked by Toby Johnson for a loss of 8 yards to the Troy 30Similar
Q2 5:23
3RD & 13
OWN 30
+31
99.7%
Dontreal Pruitt pass complete to Brandon Brooks for 31 yds to the Geo 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:04
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
99.6%
Dontreal Pruitt pass incomplete to Jarvis BentleySimilar
Q2 4:40
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+2
99.6%
Brandon Burks run for 2 yds to the Geo 37Similar
Q2 4:15
3RD & 8
OPP 37
-10
99.6%
TROY Penalty, Offensive Holding (Tommy Stephens) to the Geo 47Similar
Q2 3:35
3RD & 18
OPP 47
+4
99.7%
Dontreal Pruitt run for 4 yds to the Geo 43Similar
Q2 2:51
4TH & 14
OPP 43
+4
99.7%
Dontreal Pruitt pass complete to Bryan Holmes for 4 yds to the Geo 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 13TD
9 plays · 61 yds · 2:29100% → 100%
Q2 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
99.7%
Brice Ramsey pass incomplete to Jeb BlazevichSimilar
Q2 2:30
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+19
99.7%
Brice Ramsey pass complete to Chris Conley for 19 yds to the Troy 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:10
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
99.7%
Brice Ramsey pass incomplete to Kenneth TownsSimilar
Q2 2:04
2ND & 10
OPP 42
0
99.7%
Brice Ramsey pass incomplete to Keith MarshallSimilar
Q2 1:50
3RD & 10
OPP 42
+39
99.7%
Brice Ramsey pass complete to Chris Conley for 39 yds to the Troy 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
99.7%
Keith Marshall run for 1 yd to the Troy 2Similar
Q2 0:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
99.7%
Keith Marshall run for 1 yd to the Troy 1Similar
Q2 0:27
3RD & 0
OPP 1
-5
99.7%
GEORGIA Penalty, Substitution Infraction (-5 Yards) to the Troy 6Similar
Q2 0:15
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
99.7%
Brice Ramsey pass complete to Michael Bennett for 6 yds for a TD, (Marshall Morgan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · 12 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
99.7%
Jordan Chunn run for 12 yds to the Troy 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 15TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:51100% → 100%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+49
99.8%
Isaiah McKenzie run for 49 yds to the Troy 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:10
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+5
99.8%
Sony Michel run for 5 yds to the Troy 21Similar
Q3 13:50
2ND & 5
OPP 21
+6
99.8%
Sony Michel run for 6 yds to the Troy 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:25
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+5
99.8%
TROY Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Troy 10Similar
Q3 13:04
1ST & 5
OPP 10
+10
99.8%
Hutson Mason pass complete to Michael Bennett for 10 yds for a TD, (Marshall Morgan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 2:160% → 0%
Q3 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
99.9%
Khary Franklin run for 16 yds to the Troy 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-1
99.9%
Khary Franklin run for a loss of 1 yard to the Troy 40Similar
Q3 11:30
2ND & 11
OWN 40
-5
99.9%
Dontreal Pruitt run for a loss of 5 yards to the Troy 35Similar
Q3 10:45
3RD & 16
OWN 35
+3
99.9%
Dontreal Pruitt pass complete to Jarvis Bentley for 3 yds to the Troy 38Similar
Q3 10:27
4TH & 13
OWN 38
0
99.9%
Ryan Kay punt for 56 yds, downed at the Geo 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:09100% → 100%
Q3 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+5
99.8%
Keith Marshall run for 5 yds to the Geo 11Similar
Q3 9:52
2ND & 5
OWN 11
0
99.8%
Brice Ramsey pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:35
3RD & 5
OWN 11
+2
99.8%
Brice Ramsey pass complete to Jay Rome for 2 yds to the Geo 13Similar
Q3 9:01
4TH & 3
OWN 13
0
99.8%
Collin Barber punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Geo 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 18INT
6 plays · 35 yds · 2:320% → 0%
Q3 8:35
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+21
99.9%
Dontreal Pruitt pass complete to Tommy Blevins for 21 yds to the Geo 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+7
99.9%
Dontreal Pruitt pass complete to Teddy Ruben for 7 yds to the Geo 17Similar
Q3 7:26
2ND & 3
OPP 17
+3
99.9%
Tim Longmire run for 3 yds to the Geo 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:35
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+4
99.9%
Dontreal Pruitt pass complete to John Johnson for 4 yds to the Geo 10Similar
Q3 6:11
2ND & 6
OPP 10
0
99.9%
Dontreal Pruitt pass incomplete to Brandon BrooksSimilar
Q3 6:03
3RD & 6
OPP 10
0
99.9%
Dontreal Pruitt pass intercepted, touchback. Tramel Terry return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 3:53100% → 100%
Q3 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
99.9%
Nick Chubb run for 3 yds to the Geo 23Similar
Q3 5:15
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+2
99.9%
Nick Chubb run for 2 yds to the Geo 25Similar
Q3 4:40
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+6
99.9%
Sony Michel run for 6 yds to the Geo 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
99.9%
Nick Chubb run for 5 yds to the Geo 36Similar
Q3 3:08
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+4
99.9%
Keith Marshall run for 4 yds to the Geo 40Similar
Q3 2:30
3RD & 1
OWN 40
0
99.9%
Nick Chubb run for no gain to the Geo 40Similar
Q3 1:42
4TH & 1
OWN 40
0
99.9%
Collin Barber punt for 44 yds , Bryan Holmes returns for no gain to the Troy 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:250% → 0%
Q3 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
99.9%
Jordan Chunn run for 2 yds to the Troy 18Similar
Q3 0:54
2ND & 8
OWN 18
0
99.9%
Dontreal Pruitt pass incomplete to Teddy RubenSimilar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 8
OWN 18
+6
100.0%
Dontreal Pruitt run for 6 yds to the Troy 24Similar
Q4 14:55
4TH & 2
OWN 24
0
100.0%
Ryan Kay punt for 38 yds, downed at the Geo 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 21TD
9 plays · 62 yds · 3:50100% → 100%
Q4 14:25
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+12
99.9%
Brendan Douglas run for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:00
1ST & 10
50
+9
99.9%
Brendan Douglas run for 9 yds to the Troy 41Similar
Q4 13:45
2ND & 1
OPP 41
+5
99.9%
TROY Penalty, Defensive Offside (Garrett Peek) to the Troy 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:15
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+13
99.9%
Faton Bauta pass complete to Jeb Blazevich for 13 yds to the Troy 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
99.9%
Brendan Douglas run for 4 yds to the Troy 19Similar
Q4 12:05
2ND & 6
OPP 19
0
99.9%
Faton Bauta pass incomplete to Shakenneth WilliamsSimilar
Q4 11:50
3RD & 6
OPP 19
+4
99.9%
Faton Bauta pass complete to Michael Erdman for 4 yds to the Troy 15Similar
Q4 11:15
4TH & 2
OPP 15
+8
99.9%
Brendan Douglas run for 8 yds to the Troy 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
99.9%
Faton Bauta run for 7 yds for a TD, (Marshall Morgan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:230% → 0%
Q4 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
100.0%
Tim Longmire run for 1 yd to the Troy 25Similar
Q4 9:05
2ND & 9
OWN 25
+2
100.0%
Tim Longmire run for 2 yds to the Troy 27Similar
Q4 8:50
3RD & 7
OWN 27
0
100.0%
Dallas Tidwell pass incomplete to Kinderick DentSimilar
Q4 8:27
4TH & 7
OWN 27
+51
100.0%
Ryan Kay punt for 42 yds , Reggie Davis returns for 51 yds to the Troy 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 23TD
5 plays · 18 yds · 1:37100% → 100%
Q4 7:55
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+5
100.0%
Isaiah McKenzie run for 5 yds to the Troy 13Similar
Q4 7:30
2ND & 5
OPP 13
+6
100.0%
Brendan Douglas run for 6 yds to the Troy 7 for a 1ST down TROY Penalty, Defensive Offside ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
100.0%
Faton Bauta run for 2 yds to the Troy 5Similar
Q4 6:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
100.0%
Faton Bauta run for 4 yds to the Troy 1Similar
Q4 6:18
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
100.0%
Faton Bauta run for 1 yd for a TD, (Marshall Morgan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 24PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 2:570% → 0%
Q4 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
100.0%
Dallas Tidwell pass complete to Tim Longmire for 8 yds to the Troy 33Similar
Q4 5:10
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+1
100.0%
Tim Longmire run for 1 yd to the Troy 34Similar
Q4 4:20
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
100.0%
Jordan Chunn run for 3 yds to the Troy 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:06
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
100.0%
Dallas Tidwell pass incomplete to Kinderick DentSimilar
Q4 3:59
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
100.0%
Dallas Tidwell pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:25
3RD & 10
OWN 37
+3
100.0%
Dallas Tidwell pass complete to Emanuel Thompson for 3 yds to the Troy 40Similar
Q4 3:08
4TH & 7
OWN 40
0
100.0%
Ryan Kay punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Isaiah McKenzie at the Geo 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:29100% → 100%
Q4 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
100.0%
Brendan Douglas run for 2 yds to the Geo 24Similar
Q4 1:55
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+5
100.0%
Brendan Douglas run for 5 yds to the Geo 29Similar
Q4 1:20
3RD & 3
OWN 29
+1
100.0%
Brendan Douglas run for 1 yd to the Geo 30Similar
Q4 1:01
4TH & 2
OWN 30
0
100.0%
Collin Barber punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Teddy Ruben at the Troy 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 26END OF GAME
2 plays · 9 yds · 0:400% → 0%
Q4 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
100.0%
Keith Johnson run for 5 yds to the Troy 38Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+4
100.0%
Marquell Beckwith run for 4 yds to the Troy 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 2:32
Sony Michel run for 8 yds for a TD, (Marshall Morgan KICK)
+0.6
TD · Q1 6:10
Hutson Mason pass complete to Kenneth Towns for 9 yds for a TD, (Marshall Morgan KICK)
+0.2
FG · Q2 12:29
Marshall Morgan 37 yd FG GOOD
+0.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com