Try the model
VAN

Vanderbilt 17 at Georgia 44

UGA
2014 · Week 6 · Oct 4, 2014 · Sanford Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · UGA
modelUGA aheadVAN aheadconfidence bandkey playUGA scoreVAN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 2:13 · Colby Cooke punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Geo 38
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+48.0+24.00−24.0−48.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 155Pregame prior+3.4Home team on offense+32.5Score differential+23.3Garbage-time factor+8.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+9.2Blowout margin+1.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:25: Hutson Mason pass complete to Chris Conley for 44 yds for a TD, (Marshall Morgan KICK) — UGA win probability +0.9 pts (now 98%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 6:49: Ralph Webb run for 1 yd for a TD, (Tommy Openshaw KICK) — VAN win probability +2.0 pts (now 4%) (top driver: VAN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:07: Hutson Mason pass complete to Chris Conley for 5 yds for a TD, (Marshall Morgan BLOCKED) — UGA win probability +2.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 11:01: Tommy Openshaw 34 yd FG GOOD — VAN win probability +1.4 pts (now 3%) (top driver: VAN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 5:45: Stephen Rivers pass intercepted for a TD Devin Bowman return for 63 yds for a TD, (Marshall Morgan KICK) — UGA win probability +2.0 pts (now 99%) (top driver: VAN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UGA made the numbers' call on 4 of 6VAN made the numbers' call on 6 of 11
  1. Q1 13:27VAN 4th & 15 at VAN 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.9%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:44VAN 4th & 6 at VAN 37, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.5%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:24UGA 4th & 8 at UGA 19, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.2%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.2%
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:15VAN 4th & 3 at midfield, down 7
    Close callPunted · 4.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.1%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:34VAN 4th & 4 at VAN 24, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.8%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:59VAN 4th & 3 at UGA 32, down 21
    Close callKicked a field goal · 2.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.5%
    53% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    2.4%−0.1
    51% to make
    Punt
    2.3%−0.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:57UGA 4th & 5 at UGA 38, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.5%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.5%
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:25UGA 4th & 6 at UGA 29, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.0%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.1%
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:12VAN 4th & 8 at UGA 42, down 14
    Close callPunted · 5.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.0%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    4.8%−0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    4.9%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:01VAN 4th & 13 at UGA 17, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.6%−0.4
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    2.1%
    80% to make
    Punt
    0.6%−1.5
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:30UGA 4th & 1 at UGA 32, up 17
    Close callPunted · 96.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.8%−0.4
    average punt
  12. Q3 5:45VAN 4th & 2 at UGA 29, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    3.2%−0.6
    58% to make
    Punt
    0.8%−3.0
    average punt
  13. Q3 2:10VAN 4th & 1 at UGA 48, down 24
    Close callPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%−0.3
    average punt
  14. Q4 12:02UGA 4th & 2 at VAN 5, up 24
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.2%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.0%−0.1
    92% to make
    Punt
    98.5%−0.7
    average punt
  15. Q4 8:04VAN 4th & 2 at UGA 22, down 27
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−0.2
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%
    72% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.5
    average punt
  16. Q4 3:53UGA 4th & 3 at UGA 33, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.3%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.3%
    average punt
  17. Q4 2:13VAN 4th & 10 at VAN 31, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UGA made the numbers' call on 5 of 5VAN made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 11:11UGA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:51UGA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 1:25UGA Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 6:49VAN Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 5:45UGA Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 6:16VAN Touchdown, down 21 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.8%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.9%
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 0:28UGA Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
VANDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 1:282% → 2%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
98.0%
Ralph Webb run for 2 yds to the Vandy 27Similar
Q1 14:15
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
98.0%
Wade Freebeck pass incomplete to C.J. DuncanSimilar
Q1 14:05
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-7
97.9%
Wade Freebeck sacked by Leonard Floyd for a loss of 7 yards to the Vandy 20Similar
Q1 13:27
4TH & 15
OWN 20
0
97.9%
Colby Cooke punt for 42 yds, downed at the Geo 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 2TD
7 plays · 62 yds · 2:0498% → 98%
Q1 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+8
97.9%
Hutson Mason pass complete to Isaiah McKenzie for 8 yds to the Geo 46Similar
Q1 12:50
2ND & 2
OWN 46
+12
97.8%
Todd Gurley run for 12 yds to the Vandy 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:27
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+20
97.8%
Hutson Mason pass complete to Jeb Blazevich for 20 yds to the Vandy 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:20
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
97.8%
Hutson Mason pass incomplete to Michael BennettSimilar
Q1 12:09
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+5
97.7%
Todd Gurley run for 5 yds to the Vandy 17Similar
Q1 11:54
3RD & 5
OPP 17
+12
97.7%
Hutson Mason pass complete to Isaiah McKenzie for 12 yds to the Vandy 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
97.8%
Todd Gurley run for 5 yds for a TD, (Marshall Morgan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 2:102% → 3%
Q1 10:54
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
97.7%
Ralph Webb run for 2 yds to the Vandy 22Similar
Q1 10:14
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+11
97.6%
Ralph Webb run for 11 yds to the Vandy 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
97.5%
Wade Freebeck pass complete to C.J. Duncan for 4 yds to the Vandy 37Similar
Q1 9:04
2ND & 6
OWN 37
0
97.5%
Wade Freebeck pass incomplete to Steven ScheuSimilar
Q1 8:57
3RD & 6
OWN 37
0
97.5%
Wade Freebeck pass incomplete to Chandler DorrellSimilar
Q1 8:44
4TH & 6
OWN 37
-6
97.5%
Colby Cooke punt for 40 yds , Isaiah McKenzie returns for a loss of 6 yards to the Geo 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:0997% → 97%
Q1 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+1
97.4%
Todd Gurley run for 1 yd to the Geo 18Similar
Q1 8:09
2ND & 9
OWN 18
+1
97.4%
Hutson Mason pass complete to Quayvon Hicks for 1 yd to the Geo 19Similar
Q1 7:34
3RD & 8
OWN 19
0
97.3%
Hutson Mason pass incomplete to Malcolm MitchellSimilar
Q1 7:24
4TH & 8
OWN 19
0
97.2%
Collin Barber punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Trey Ellis at the Vandy 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 2:043% → 3%
Q1 7:19
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
97.3%
C.J. Duncan run for 2 yds to the Vandy 45Similar
Q1 6:36
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+4
97.1%
Jerron Seymour run for 4 yds to the Vandy 49Similar
Q1 5:56
3RD & 4
OWN 49
+1
97.0%
Jerron Seymour run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 5:15
4TH & 3
50
0
97.0%
Colby Cooke punt for 24 yds, downed at the Geo 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 6TD
7 plays · 74 yds · 2:1797% → 98%
Q1 5:08
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
97.1%
Brice Ramsey pass incomplete to Michael BennettSimilar
Q1 4:58
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+13
97.0%
Todd Gurley run for 13 yds to the Geo 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+16
97.0%
Brice Ramsey pass complete to Jeb Blazevich for 16 yds to the Vandy 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:08
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
97.0%
Todd Gurley run for 3 yds to the Vandy 42Similar
Q1 3:38
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+15
97.0%
Brice Ramsey pass complete to Todd Gurley for 15 yds to the Vandy 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:14
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+13
97.0%
Todd Gurley run for 13 yds to the Vandy 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:51
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
97.5%
Todd Gurley run for 14 yds for a TD, (Marshall Morgan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:563% → 3%
Q1 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
97.2%
Wade Freebeck pass incomplete to Steven ScheuSimilar
Q1 2:24
2ND & 10
OWN 18
0
97.2%
Wade Freebeck pass incomplete to Ralph WebbSimilar
Q1 2:03
3RD & 10
OWN 18
+6
97.2%
Ralph Webb run for 6 yds to the Vandy 24Similar
Q1 1:34
4TH & 4
OWN 24
0
97.2%
Taylor Hudson punt for 20 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Vandy 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 8TD
1 play · 44 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q1 1:25
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+44
98.1%
Hutson Mason pass complete to Chris Conley for 44 yds for a TD, (Marshall Morgan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 9MISSED FG
9 plays · 43 yds · 2:562% → 2%
Q1 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
98.0%
Ralph Webb run for 1 yd to the Vandy 26Similar
Q1 0:31
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+21
98.1%
Wade Freebeck pass complete to Steven Scheu for 21 yds to the Vandy 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:04
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+9
98.0%
Ralph Webb run for 9 yds to the Geo 44Similar
Q2 14:54
2ND & 1
OPP 44
+5
98.0%
Ralph Webb run for 5 yds to the Geo 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:22
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
98.0%
Ralph Webb run for 2 yds to the Geo 37Similar
Q2 13:33
2ND & 8
OPP 37
+5
98.0%
Wade Freebeck pass complete to Trey Wilkins for 5 yds to the Geo 32Similar
Q2 13:08
3RD & 3
OPP 32
0
98.0%
Wade Freebeck pass incomplete to Trey WilkinsSimilar
Q2 12:59
4TH & 3
OPP 32
+49
98.0%
Tommy Openshaw 49 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:5798% → 98%
Q2 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+1
98.2%
Todd Gurley run for 1 yd to the Geo 34Similar
Q2 12:16
2ND & 9
OWN 34
+3
98.2%
Todd Gurley run for 3 yds to the Geo 37Similar
Q2 11:34
3RD & 6
OWN 37
-10
98.2%
Mason, Hutson pass complete to Blazevich, Jeb for 10 yards to the GEORGIA47, PENALTY GEORGIA holding (Kublanow, Brandon) 10 yards to the GEORGIA27, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:07
3RD & 16
OWN 27
+11
98.1%
Hutson Mason pass complete to Malcolm Mitchell for 11 yds to the Geo 38Similar
Q2 10:57
4TH & 5
OWN 38
+6
98.1%
Collin Barber punt for 34 yds , Trey Ellis returns for 6 yds to the Vandy 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 11TD
8 plays · 66 yds · 3:482% → 4%
Q2 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
98.1%
Stephen Rivers pass complete to Latevius Rayford for 2 yds to the Vandy 36Similar
Q2 9:57
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+20
98.1%
Stephen Rivers pass complete to Latevius Rayford for 20 yds to the Geo 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:39
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
98.0%
Ralph Webb run for 3 yds to the Geo 41Similar
Q2 8:55
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+2
98.0%
Ralph Webb run for 2 yds to the Geo 39Similar
Q2 8:03
3RD & 5
OPP 39
+36
98.0%
Stephen Rivers pass complete to Chandler Dorrell for 36 yds to the Geo 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
97.8%
GEORGIA Penalty, Substitution Infraction (2 Yards) to the Geo 1Similar
Q2 7:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
97.8%
Ralph Webb run for no gain to the Geo 1Similar
Q2 6:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
95.8%
Ralph Webb run for 1 yd for a TD, (Tommy Openshaw KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:1396% → 96%
Q2 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
96.4%
Hutson Mason pass complete to Isaiah McKenzie for no gain to the Geo 25Similar
Q2 6:02
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
96.3%
Hutson Mason pass complete to Nick Chubb for 4 yds to the Geo 29Similar
Q2 5:36
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
96.2%
Hutson Mason pass incomplete to Chris ConleySimilar
Q2 5:25
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
96.0%
Collin Barber punt for 29 yds, downed at the Vandy 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 2:004% → 4%
Q2 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
96.0%
Stephen Rivers pass complete to Steven Scheu for 7 yds to the Vandy 49Similar
Q2 4:39
2ND & 3
OWN 49
+6
95.7%
Ralph Webb run for 6 yds to the Geo 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:07
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
95.7%
Ralph Webb run for 3 yds to the Geo 42Similar
Q2 3:26
2ND & 7
OPP 42
0
95.6%
Stephen Rivers pass incomplete to Jerron SeymourSimilar
Q2 3:19
3RD & 7
OPP 42
0
95.6%
Stephen Rivers pass incomplete to C.J. DuncanSimilar
Q2 3:12
4TH & 8
OPP 42
0
95.9%
Colby Cooke punt for 42 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 14TD
8 plays · 80 yds · 2:5196% → 99%
Q2 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
96.2%
Todd Gurley run for 3 yds to the Geo 23Similar
Q2 2:04
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+50
96.1%
Todd Gurley pass complete to Jeb Blazevich for 50 yds to the Vandy 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:36
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-1
96.5%
Faton Bauta run for a loss of 1 yard to the Vandy 28Similar
Q2 0:48
2ND & 11
OPP 28
+1
96.4%
Todd Gurley run for 1 yd to the Vandy 27Similar
Q2 0:48
3RD & 10
OPP 27
+14
96.2%
VANDERBILT Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Torren McGaster) to the Vandy 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-1
96.4%
Todd Gurley run for a loss of 1 yard to the Vandy 14Similar
Q2 0:12
2ND & 11
OPP 14
+9
96.3%
Hutson Mason pass complete to Todd Gurley for 9 yds to the Vandy 5Similar
Q2 0:07
3RD & 2
OPP 5
+5
98.7%
Hutson Mason pass complete to Chris Conley for 5 yds for a TD, (Marshall Morgan BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 15END OF HALF
2 plays · 14 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+14
98.3%
Ralph Webb run for 14 yds to the Vandy 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 16INT
5 plays · 12 yds · 0:5399% → 99%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
98.7%
Todd Gurley run for 8 yds to the Geo 33Similar
Q3 14:43
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
98.7%
Hutson Mason pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:35
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+4
98.7%
Todd Gurley run for 4 yds to the Geo 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:01
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+35
98.8%
Hutson Mason pass intercepted Jahmel McIntosh return for 35 yds to the Geo 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 17FG
7 plays · 7 yds · 2:542% → 3%
Q3 13:55
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+7
98.2%
Ralph Webb run for 7 yds to the Geo 17Similar
Q3 13:16
2ND & 3
OPP 17
+3
98.3%
Ralph Webb run for 3 yds to the Geo 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:22
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-4
97.9%
Stephen Rivers run for a loss of 4 yards to the Geo 18Similar
Q3 12:07
2ND & 14
OPP 18
-5
98.1%
VANDERBILT Penalty, Substitution Infraction (-5 Yards) to the Geo 23Similar
Q3 11:48
2ND & 19
OPP 23
0
98.1%
Stephen Rivers pass incomplete to Ralph WebbSimilar
Q3 11:37
3RD & 19
OPP 23
+6
98.1%
Jerron Seymour run for 6 yds to the Geo 17Similar
Q3 11:01
4TH & 13
OPP 17
+34
96.7%
Tommy Openshaw 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:1197% → 97%
Q3 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
97.2%
Nick Chubb run for 2 yds to the Geo 25Similar
Q3 10:11
2ND & 8
OWN 25
0
97.2%
Hutson Mason pass incomplete to Chris ConleySimilar
Q3 9:58
3RD & 8
OWN 25
+7
97.1%
Hutson Mason pass complete to Nick Chubb for 7 yds to the Geo 32Similar
Q3 9:30
4TH & 1
OWN 32
0
97.2%
Adam Erickson punt for 32 yds, downed at the Vandy 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 19INT TD
9 plays · 35 yds · 3:364% → 1%
Q3 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
96.1%
Stephen Rivers pass complete to Steven Scheu for 9 yds to the Vandy 45Similar
Q3 8:40
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+6
95.8%
Jerron Seymour run for 6 yds to the Geo 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:40
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
95.7%
Jerron Seymour run for 6 yds to the Geo 43Similar
Q3 7:25
2ND & 4
OPP 43
+6
96.0%
Stephen Rivers pass complete to Kellen Williams for 6 yds to the Geo 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:54
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
96.2%
Stephen Rivers pass incomplete to Kris KenteraSimilar
Q3 6:47
2ND & 10
OPP 37
0
96.2%
Stephen Rivers pass incomplete to Latevius RayfordSimilar
Q3 6:34
3RD & 10
OPP 37
+8
96.7%
Stephen Rivers pass complete to C.J. Duncan for 8 yds to the Geo 29Similar
Q3 5:45
4TH & 2
OPP 29
+63
98.7%
Stephen Rivers pass intercepted for a TD Devin Bowman return for 63 yds for a TD, (Marshall Morgan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 26 yds · 3:111% → 1%
Q3 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+9
98.8%
Jerron Seymour run for 9 yds to the Vandy 35Similar
Q3 4:56
2ND & 1
OWN 35
+8
98.9%
Dallas Rivers run for 8 yds to the Vandy 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:51
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+7
98.9%
Jerron Seymour run for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 3:30
2ND & 3
50
+2
98.8%
Jerron Seymour run for 2 yds to the Geo 48Similar
Q3 2:59
3RD & 1
OPP 48
0
98.9%
Jerron Seymour run for no gain to the Geo 48Similar
Q3 2:10
4TH & 1
OPP 48
0
99.1%
Colby Cooke punt for 36 yds, downed at the Geo 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 21FG
12 plays · 83 yds · 5:00100% → 100%
Q3 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+2
99.5%
Todd Gurley run for 2 yds to the Geo 14Similar
Q3 1:15
2ND & 8
OWN 14
+14
99.5%
Todd Gurley run for 14 yds to the Geo 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
99.5%
Todd Gurley run for 1 yd to the Geo 29Similar
Q3 0:28
2ND & 9
OWN 29
+15
99.5%
Todd Gurley run for 15 yds to the Geo 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
99.6%
VANDERBILT Penalty, Defensive Offside (Jay Woods) to the Geo 49Similar
Q3 0:05
1ST & 5
OWN 49
+26
99.6%
Todd Gurley run for 26 yds to the Vandy 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
99.6%
Todd Gurley run for 2 yds to the Vandy 23Similar
Q4 14:40
2ND & 8
OPP 23
+10
99.6%
Todd Gurley run for 10 yds to the Vandy 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:45
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
99.6%
Todd Gurley run for 4 yds to the Vandy 9Similar
Q4 13:06
2ND & 6
OPP 9
+5
99.6%
Todd Gurley run for 5 yds to the Vandy 4Similar
Q4 12:23
3RD & 1
OPP 4
-1
99.6%
Todd Gurley run for a loss of 1 yard to the Vandy 5Similar
Q4 12:02
4TH & 2
OPP 5
+22
99.9%
Marshall Morgan 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 22TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 5:390% → 1%
Q4 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.9%
Wade Freebeck pass complete to C.J. Duncan for 5 yds to the Vandy 30Similar
Q4 11:01
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+14
99.9%
Wade Freebeck pass complete to Darrius Sims for 14 yds to the Vandy 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:46
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-5
99.9%
Freebeck, Wade pass incomplete to Sims, Darrius, PENALTY VANDERBILT illegal shift 5 yards to the VANDERBILT39, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:40
1ST & 15
OWN 39
0
99.9%
Wade Freebeck pass incomplete to Trey WilkinsSimilar
Q4 10:09
2ND & 15
OWN 39
+31
99.9%
Wade Freebeck pass complete to Steven Scheu for 31 yds to the Geo 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:50
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
99.9%
Wade Freebeck pass incomplete to Steven ScheuSimilar
Q4 9:37
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+2
99.9%
Wade Freebeck run for 2 yds to the Geo 28Similar
Q4 8:52
3RD & 8
OPP 28
+6
99.9%
Wade Freebeck pass complete to Steven Scheu for 6 yds to the Geo 22Similar
Q4 8:04
4TH & 2
OPP 22
+7
99.9%
Wade Freebeck pass complete to Latevius Rayford for 7 yds to the Geo 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:04
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
99.9%
Dallas Rivers run for 2 yds to the Geo 13Similar
Q4 6:28
2ND & 8
OPP 13
+7
99.9%
Wade Freebeck pass complete to Caleb Scott for 7 yds to the Geo 6Similar
Q4 6:16
3RD & 1
OPP 6
+6
99.4%
Dallas Rivers run for 6 yds for a TD, (Tommy Openshaw KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 23PUNT
9 plays · 17 yds · 1:5599% → 100%
Q4 5:48
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+8
99.4%
Nick Chubb run for 8 yds to the Geo 24Similar
Q4 5:15
2ND & 2
OWN 24
+2
99.5%
Nick Chubb run for 2 yds to the Geo 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
99.5%
Nick Chubb run for 2 yds to the Geo 28Similar
Q4 4:09
2ND & 8
OWN 28
+5
99.5%
Nick Chubb run for 5 yds to the Geo 33Similar
Q4 4:02
3RD & 3
OWN 33
0
99.8%
Brice Ramsey pass incomplete to Jeb Blazevich GEORGIA Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Isaiah Wynn) declinedSimilar
Q4 3:53
4TH & 3
OWN 33
0
99.8%
Collin Barber punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Trey Ellis at the Vandy 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:270% → 0%
Q4 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-1
99.6%
Dallas Rivers run for a loss of 1 yard to the Vandy 30Similar
Q4 2:36
2ND & 11
OWN 30
+1
99.6%
Wade Freebeck run for 1 yd to the Vandy 31Similar
Q4 2:23
3RD & 10
OWN 31
0
99.6%
Wade Freebeck pass incomplete to Dallas RiversSimilar
Q4 2:13
4TH & 10
OWN 31
0
99.6%
Colby Cooke punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Geo 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 25TD
4 plays · 62 yds · 1:21100% → 100%
Q4 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+21
99.8%
Nick Chubb run for 21 yds to the Vandy 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:35
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
99.8%
Nick Chubb run for 5 yds to the Vandy 36Similar
Q4 0:56
2ND & 5
OPP 36
+3
99.8%
Quayvon Hicks run for 3 yds to the Vandy 33Similar
Q4 0:28
3RD & 2
OPP 33
+33
100.0%
Nick Chubb run for 33 yds for a TD, (Marshall Morgan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 26END OF GAME
2 plays · 5 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+5
100.0%
Dallas Rivers run for 5 yds to the Vandy 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:07
Hutson Mason pass complete to Chris Conley for 5 yds for a TD, (Marshall Morgan BLOCKED)
+2.3
TD · Q2 6:49
Ralph Webb run for 1 yd for a TD, (Tommy Openshaw KICK)
-2
TD · Q3 5:45
Stephen Rivers pass intercepted for a TD Devin Bowman return for 63 yds for a TD, (Marshall Morgan KICK)
+2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com