Try the model
SC

South Carolina 38 at Kentucky 45

UK
2014 · Week 6 · Oct 4, 2014 · Kroger Field
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · UK
modelUK aheadSC aheadconfidence bandkey playUK scoreSC score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 5:58 · Tyler Hull punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Demarco Robinson at the Kent 25
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+34.0+17.00−17.0−34.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 161Pregame prior−1.8Home team on offense−22.9Garbage-time factor−10.6Score differential−4.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−3.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−6.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 9:40: Shon Carson 25 Yd Run (Elliott Fry Kick) — SC win probability +16.2 pts (now 61%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 1:48: Pharoh Cooper 12 Yd pass from Dylan Thompson (Elliott Fry Kick) — SC win probability +16.5 pts (now 77%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 8:06: Jojo Kemp 1 Yd Run (Austin MacGinnis Kick) — UK win probability +21.9 pts (now 31%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 2:46: Jojo Kemp 5 Yd Run (Austin MacGinnis Kick) — UK win probability +35.3 pts (now 64%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:29: Alvin Dupree 6 Yd Interception Return (Austin MacGinnis Kick) — UK win probability +38.1 pts (now 87%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UK made the numbers' call on 4 of 4SC made the numbers' call on 3 of 5
  1. Q1 7:04SC 4th & 1 at UK 1, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 64.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    64.8%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    64.3%−0.5
    94% to make
    Punt
    63.0%−1.8
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:00UK 4th & 14 at UK 36, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.1%−0.6
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.7%
    average punt
  3. Q2 12:32UK 4th & 5 at UK 41, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.7%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.0%
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:33SC 4th & 10 at SC 8, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.3%−1.2
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:13SC 4th & 5 at SC 30, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.5%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:45SC 4th & 2 at UK 13, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 69.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.4%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    68.6%−0.8
    85% to make
    Punt
    63.7%−5.7
    average punt
  7. Q3 7:11UK 4th & 13 at SC 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.5%−1.7
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    46.6%−1.5
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    48.1%
    average punt
  8. Q3 0:07UK 4th & 4 at UK 31, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.9%−1.3
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.2%
    average punt
  9. Q4 5:58SC 4th & 3 at SC 39, up 7
    Close callPunted · 83.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.3%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UK made the numbers' call on 6 of 6SC made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 7:04SC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:42SC Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:15UK Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 3:39UK Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 11:45UK Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 9:40SC Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 1:48SC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 11:45SC Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.7%−0.4
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 8:06UK Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    17.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    16.7%−0.7
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 2:46UK Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.2%−2.2
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 2:29UK Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.1%−1.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SCDrive 1TD
20 plays · 79 yds · 7:4568% → 68%
Q1 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+15
32.0%
Mike Davis run for 15 yds to the SCaro 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:32
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
32.1%
Mike Davis run for 9 yds to the SCaro 45Similar
Q1 14:10
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+4
32.2%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Brandon Wilds for 4 yds to the SCaro 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
32.3%
Brandon Wilds run for 6 yds to the Kent 45Similar
Q1 13:13
2ND & 4
OPP 45
+2
32.5%
Brandon Wilds run for 2 yds to the Kent 43Similar
Q1 12:55
3RD & 2
OPP 43
+3
32.6%
Dylan Thompson run for 3 yds to the Kent 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+6
32.7%
Mike Davis run for 6 yds to the Kent 34Similar
Q1 11:56
2ND & 4
OPP 34
+5
32.8%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Nick Jones for 5 yds to the Kent 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:23
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+6
33.0%
Dylan Thompson run for 6 yds to the Kent 23Similar
Q1 11:10
2ND & 4
OPP 23
+6
33.0%
Mike Davis run for 6 yds to the Kent 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:39
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
33.2%
Mike Davis run for 3 yds to the Kent 14Similar
Q1 10:10
2ND & 7
OPP 14
+3
33.3%
Dylan Thompson run for 3 yds to the Kent 11Similar
Q1 9:54
3RD & 4
OPP 11
+6
33.6%
Brandon Wilds run for 6 yds to the Kent 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
33.5%
Brandon Wilds run for no gain to the Kent 5Similar
Q1 8:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
33.6%
Brandon Wilds run for 4 yds to the Kent 1 for a 1ST down KENTUCKY Penalty, Personal Foul ( Yards) to the Kent 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
33.9%
Brandon Wilds run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kent 2Similar
Q1 8:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
34.0%
Mike Davis run for 1 yd to the Kent 1Similar
Q1 7:44
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
34.1%
Dylan Thompson run for no gain to the Kent 1Similar
Q1 7:04
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
32.0%
Mike Davis 1 Yd Run (Elliott Fry Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 1:5633% → 32%
Q1 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
32.5%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Demarco Robinson for 15 yds to the Kent 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
33.0%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Ryan Timmons for 5 yds to the Kent 45Similar
Q1 6:00
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+2
33.3%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Demarco Robinson for 2 yds to the Kent 47Similar
Q1 5:19
3RD & 3
OPP 47
-11
33.5%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Ryan Timmons for 4 yds to the KENTUCKY 49 KENTUCKY Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the Kent 36Similar
Q1 5:10
3RD & 14
OWN 36
0
32.3%
Patrick Towles pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:00
4TH & 14
OWN 36
0
32.1%
Landon Foster punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Pharoh Cooper at the SCaro 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 3TD
11 plays · 72 yds · 5:0068% → 74%
Q1 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
32.3%
TEAM run for no gain to the SCaro 10 TEAM fumbled, recovered by SCaroSimilar
Q1 4:13
2ND & 28
OWN 10
+40
32.6%
Mike Davis run for 40 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:54
1ST & 10
50
+5
31.5%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Damiere Byrd for 5 yds to the Kent 45Similar
Q1 3:22
2ND & 5
OPP 45
0
31.5%
Brandon Wilds run for no gain to the Kent 45Similar
Q1 2:49
3RD & 5
OPP 45
+6
31.6%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Damiere Byrd for 6 yds to the Kent 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:25
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+11
31.3%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Pharoh Cooper for 11 yds to the Kent 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:49
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+11
31.0%
Brandon Wilds run for 11 yds to the Kent 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:19
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+8
31.0%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Nick Jones for 8 yds to the Kent 9Similar
Q1 0:36
2ND & 2
OPP 9
+1
30.9%
Mike Davis run for 1 yd to the Kent 8Similar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 1
OPP 8
+6
31.1%
Mike Davis run for 6 yds to the Kent 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
26.1%
Mike Davis 2 Yd Run (Elliott Fry Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 26 yds · 1:5428% → 27%
Q2 14:26
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+6
27.7%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Joey Herrick for 6 yds to the Kent 21Similar
Q2 13:49
2ND & 4
OWN 21
+3
27.4%
Braylon Heard run for 3 yds to the Kent 24Similar
Q2 13:20
3RD & 1
OWN 24
+12
27.3%
Jojo Kemp run for 12 yds to the Kent 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
27.6%
Patrick Towles pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:03
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+5
27.3%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Javess Blue for 5 yds to the Kent 41Similar
Q2 12:45
3RD & 5
OWN 41
0
28.0%
Patrick Towles pass incomplete to Ryan Timmons, broken up by Brison WilliamsSimilar
Q2 12:32
4TH & 5
OWN 41
-4
27.3%
Landon Foster punt for 47 yds , Pharoh Cooper returns for a loss of 4 yards to the SCaro 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 5FUMBLE
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:2774% → 73%
Q2 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
25.9%
Mike Davis run for no gain to the SCaro 8Similar
Q2 11:49
2ND & 10
OWN 8
0
25.6%
Dylan Thompson pass incomplete to Rory Anderson, broken up by A.J. StampsSimilar
Q2 11:43
3RD & 10
OWN 8
0
26.4%
Dylan Thompson pass incomplete to K.J. BrentSimilar
Q2 11:33
4TH & 10
OWN 8
0
26.7%
Tyler Hull punt for 38 yds , TEAM returns for no gain to the Kent 48 TEAM fumbled, recovered by KentSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 6TD
6 plays · 52 yds · 1:5728% → 36%
Q2 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
27.5%
Mikel Horton run for 5 yds to the SCaro 47Similar
Q2 10:54
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+19
27.5%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Javess Blue for 19 yds to the SCaro 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:48
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
27.9%
Mikel Horton run for 4 yds to the SCaro 24Similar
Q2 10:07
2ND & 6
OPP 24
+7
27.8%
Patrick Towles run for 7 yds to the SCaro 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:40
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+14
27.6%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Joey Herrick for 14 yds to the SCaro 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
36.4%
Jojo Kemp 3 Yd Run (Austin MacGinnis Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:5567% → 67%
Q2 9:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
32.8%
Dylan Thompson pass incomplete to Pharoh Cooper, broken up by A.J. StampsSimilar
Q2 9:02
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
33.2%
Dylan Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:52
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+5
33.6%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Nick Jones for 5 yds to the SCaro 30Similar
Q2 8:13
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+11
32.8%
Tyler Hull punt for 41 yds , Demarco Robinson returns for 11 yds to the Kent 41 KENTUCKY Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the Kent 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 8FUMBLE
6 plays · 4 yds · 1:5233% → 33%
Q2 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
32.8%
Braylon Heard run for 5 yds to the Kent 35Similar
Q2 7:38
2ND & 5
OWN 35
0
33.4%
Patrick Towles pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:20
3RD & 5
OWN 35
+6
32.2%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Garrett Johnson for 6 yds to the Kent 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
33.8%
Patrick Towles pass incomplete to Steven Borden, broken up by D.J. SmithSimilar
Q2 6:45
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+4
33.1%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Ryan Timmons for 4 yds to the Kent 45Similar
Q2 6:20
3RD & 6
OWN 45
-10
33.4%
Patrick Towles sacked by Larenz Bryant for a loss of 10 yards to the Kent 34 Patrick Towles fumbled, recovered by SCaroSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 9FG
6 plays · 21 yds · 1:2570% → 71%
Q2 6:10
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+8
29.6%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Pharoh Cooper for 8 yds to the Kent 26Similar
Q2 6:00
2ND & 2
OPP 26
+5
29.5%
Mike Davis run for 5 yds to the Kent 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
29.5%
Dylan Thompson pass incomplete to Damiere ByrdSimilar
Q2 5:00
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+8
29.5%
Mike Davis run for 8 yds to the Kent 13Similar
Q2 4:52
3RD & 2
OPP 13
0
29.8%
Dylan Thompson pass incomplete to Mike DavisSimilar
Q2 4:45
4TH & 2
OPP 13
+31
29.0%
Elliott Fry 31 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 10TD
4 plays · 73 yds · 0:4929% → 42%
Q2 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+15
29.4%
Braylon Heard run for 15 yds to the Kent 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+20
30.1%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Demarco Robinson for 20 yds to the SCaro 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:39
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+38
42.1%
Braylon Heard 38 Yd Run (Austin MacGinnis Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 11INT
13 plays · 60 yds · 3:0662% → 61%
Q2 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
38.0%
Mike Davis run for 3 yds to the SCaro 28Similar
Q2 2:57
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+4
37.9%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Mike Davis for 4 yds to the SCaro 32Similar
Q2 2:20
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+9
37.9%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Damiere Byrd for 9 yds to the SCaro 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+10
35.5%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Nick Jones for 10 yds to the Kent 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:34
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+10
35.1%
Dylan Thompson run for 10 yds to the Kent 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:28
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
34.5%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Rory Anderson for 5 yds to the Kent 34Similar
Q2 1:22
2ND & 5
OPP 34
0
32.0%
Dylan Thompson pass incomplete to Nick JonesSimilar
Q2 1:03
3RD & 5
OPP 34
+4
33.9%
David Williams run for 4 yds to the Kent 30Similar
Q2 0:36
4TH & 1
OPP 30
+15
35.5%
Thompson, Dylan pass incomplete to Cooper, Pharoh, PENALTY KENTUCKY pass interference 15 yards to the KENTUCKY15, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN SOCAROLINA. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+65
38.7%
Dylan Thompson pass intercepted A.J. Stamps return for 50 yds to the SCaro 42. KENTUCKY Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Kent 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 12END OF HALF
5 plays · 27 yds · 0:2041% → 50%
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
40.9%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Blake Bone for 4 yds to the Kent 47Similar
Q2 0:10
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+23
40.5%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Garrett Johnson for 23 yds to the SCaro 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:05
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
42.8%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+47
49.5%
Austin MacGinnis 47 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 13TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:0045% → 62%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
45.4%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Braylon Heard for 2 yds to the Kent 27Similar
Q3 14:30
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-8
45.6%
Braylon Heard run for 2 yds to the Kent 29 KENTUCKY Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Kent 19Similar
Q3 14:15
2ND & 16
OWN 19
0
45.2%
Patrick Towles pass incomplete to Javess BlueSimilar
Q3 13:56
3RD & 16
OWN 19
+15
43.9%
Patrick Towles pass incomplete for a 1ST down SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (D.J. Smith) to the Kent 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
46.4%
Jojo Kemp run for no gain to the Kent 34Similar
Q3 13:10
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+12
46.3%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Braylon Heard for 12 yds to the Kent 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
49.0%
Braylon Heard run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 12:30
2ND & 6
50
+2
49.4%
Patrick Towles run for 2 yds to the SCaro 48Similar
Q3 11:45
3RD & 4
OPP 48
+48
62.3%
Ryan Timmons 48 Yd pass from Patrick Towles (Austin MacGinnis Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 14TD
7 plays · 85 yds · 1:5541% → 61%
Q3 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
59.5%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Nick Jones for 4 yds to the SCaro 19Similar
Q3 11:15
2ND & 6
OWN 19
+24
59.8%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Pharoh Cooper for 24 yds to the SCaro 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+16
58.3%
Mike Davis run for 16 yds to the Kent 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+6
57.1%
David Williams run for 6 yds to the Kent 35Similar
Q3 9:50
2ND & 4
OPP 35
+10
55.0%
Thompson, Dylan pass incomplete, PENALTY KENTUCKY holding 10 yards to the KENTUCKY25, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN SOCAROLINA. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:40
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
38.8%
Shon Carson 25 Yd Run (Elliott Fry Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 32 yds · 2:2447% → 47%
Q3 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
47.2%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Braylon Heard for 7 yds to the Kent 32Similar
Q3 9:12
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+6
49.4%
Mikel Horton run for 6 yds to the Kent 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+22
49.2%
Mikel Horton run for 22 yds to the SCaro 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
51.9%
Mikel Horton run for no gain to the SCaro 40Similar
Q3 7:55
2ND & 10
OPP 40
0
52.0%
Patrick Towles pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:30
3RD & 10
OPP 40
-3
50.9%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Jojo Kemp for a loss of 3 yards to the SCaro 43Similar
Q3 7:11
4TH & 13
OPP 43
0
46.7%
Landon Foster punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Pharoh Cooper at the SCaro 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 16TD
12 plays · 91 yds · 5:1255% → 77%
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+9
45.5%
Mike Davis run for 9 yds to the SCaro 18Similar
Q3 6:30
2ND & 1
OWN 18
+3
44.7%
David Williams run for 3 yds to the SCaro 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+9
45.2%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to David Williams for 9 yds to the SCaro 30Similar
Q3 5:30
2ND & 1
OWN 30
+3
43.1%
David Williams run for 3 yds to the SCaro 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+21
44.2%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Pharoh Cooper for 21 yds to the Kent 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:42
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
41.0%
Mike Davis run for 5 yds to the Kent 41Similar
Q3 4:06
2ND & 5
OPP 41
+11
40.7%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Rory Anderson for 11 yds to the Kent 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:46
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+6
39.9%
Mike Davis run for 6 yds to the Kent 24Similar
Q3 3:11
2ND & 4
OPP 24
+6
39.6%
Dylan Thompson run for 6 yds to the Kent 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:41
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
39.7%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Damiere Byrd for 4 yds to the Kent 14Similar
Q3 2:24
2ND & 6
OPP 14
+2
39.8%
Mike Davis run for 2 yds to the Kent 12Similar
Q3 1:48
3RD & 4
OPP 12
+12
23.2%
Pharoh Cooper 12 Yd pass from Dylan Thompson (Elliott Fry Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:3629% → 26%
Q3 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
29.2%
Patrick Towles pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:34
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
29.0%
Mikel Horton run for 6 yds to the Kent 31Similar
Q3 0:47
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
28.7%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Ryan Timmons for no gain to the Kent 31Similar
Q3 0:07
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
25.6%
Landon Foster punt for 42 yds, downed at the SCaro 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 18TD
8 plays · 72 yds · 3:1576% → 93%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
24.5%
Mike Davis run for no gain to the SCaro 27Similar
Q4 14:45
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+27
24.9%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Cody Gibson for 27 yds to the Kent 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:17
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
20.4%
Shon Carson run for 5 yds to the Kent 41Similar
Q4 13:51
2ND & 5
OPP 41
0
19.8%
Dylan Thompson pass incomplete to Rory AndersonSimilar
Q4 13:44
3RD & 5
OPP 41
+7
20.4%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Pharoh Cooper for 7 yds to the Kent 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:08
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
19.3%
David Williams run for 3 yds to the Kent 31Similar
Q4 12:25
2ND & 7
OPP 31
+5
19.0%
Dylan Thompson run for 5 yds to the Kent 26Similar
Q4 11:45
3RD & 2
OPP 26
+26
7.3%
Mike Davis 26 Yd Run (Elliott Fry Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 19TD
9 plays · 47 yds · 3:1914% → 31%
Q4 11:25
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
13.7%
Jojo Kemp run for 3 yds to the SCaro 44Similar
Q4 11:10
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+3
13.7%
Jojo Kemp run for 3 yds to the SCaro 41Similar
Q4 10:30
3RD & 4
OPP 41
+7
11.1%
Jojo Kemp run for 7 yds to the SCaro 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:55
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+16
12.1%
Jojo Kemp run for 16 yds to the SCaro 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-5
10.9%
Horton, Mikel rush for loss of 1 yard to the SOCAROLINA19, PENALTY KENTUCKY illegal formation 5 yards to the SOCAROLINA23, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:05
1ST & 15
OPP 23
+15
10.2%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Javess Blue for 15 yds to the SCaro 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+7
9.4%
Jojo Kemp run for 7 yds to the SCaro 1Similar
Q4 8:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
31.4%
Jojo Kemp 1 Yd Run (Austin MacGinnis Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 1:4781% → 84%
Q4 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+13
19.2%
Mike Davis run for 13 yds to the SCaro 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
17.6%
Shon Carson run for 5 yds to the SCaro 37Similar
Q4 7:00
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+2
16.8%
Shon Carson run for 2 yds to the SCaro 39Similar
Q4 6:06
3RD & 3
OWN 39
0
14.6%
Dylan Thompson pass incomplete to Damiere ByrdSimilar
Q4 5:58
4TH & 3
OWN 39
0
16.3%
Tyler Hull punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Demarco Robinson at the Kent 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 21TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 3:0321% → 64%
Q4 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
20.6%
Mikel Horton run for no gain to the Kent 25Similar
Q4 5:16
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+11
20.0%
Jojo Kemp run for 11 yds to the Kent 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
21.9%
Jojo Kemp run for 9 yds to the Kent 45Similar
Q4 4:20
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+6
25.5%
Jojo Kemp run for 6 yds to the SCaro 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:42
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+43
25.4%
Jojo Kemp run for 43 yds to the SCaro 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
28.5%
Mikel Horton run for 1 yd to the SCaro 5Similar
Q4 2:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
63.8%
Jojo Kemp 5 Yd Run (Austin MacGinnis Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 22INT TD
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:0751% → 13%
Q4 2:36
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
49.0%
Dylan Thompson pass incomplete to Mike Davis, broken up by Josh ForrestSimilar
Q4 2:29
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+6
87.2%
Alvin Dupree 6 Yd Interception Return (Austin MacGinnis Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 23INT
6 plays · 14 yds · 0:4614% → 12%
Q4 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
86.2%
Dylan Thompson pass incomplete to Pharoh CooperSimilar
Q4 1:50
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+4
88.3%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Mike Davis for 4 yds to the SCaro 31Similar
Q4 1:39
3RD & 6
OWN 31
+15
87.8%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Rory Anderson for 15 yds to the SCaro 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-5
85.3%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, False Start (Brandon Shell) to the SCaro 41Similar
Q4 1:31
1ST & 15
OWN 41
+8
87.7%
Dylan Thompson pass intercepted Ashely Lowery return for 8 yds to the Kent 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 24END OF GAME
8 plays · 9 yds · 1:3195% → 97%
Q4 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
94.5%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Substitution Infraction (5 Yards) to the Kent 43Similar
Q4 1:26
1ST & 5
OWN 43
+1
95.2%
Jojo Kemp run for 1 yd to the Kent 44Similar
Q4 1:20
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+3
96.6%
Jojo Kemp run for 3 yds to the Kent 47Similar
Q4 1:05
3RD & 1
OWN 47
+1
96.6%
Jojo Kemp run for 1 yd to the Kent 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-1
96.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kent 47Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 11
OWN 47
0
96.7%
TEAM run for no gain to the Kent 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 2:29
Alvin Dupree 6 Yd Interception Return (Austin MacGinnis Kick)
+38.1
TD · Q4 2:46
Jojo Kemp 5 Yd Run (Austin MacGinnis Kick)
+35.3
TD · Q4 8:06
Jojo Kemp 1 Yd Run (Austin MacGinnis Kick)
+21.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com