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CHSO

Charleston Southern 20 at Vanderbilt 21

VAN
2014 · Week 7 · Oct 11, 2014 · FirstBank Stadium
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Win probability · VAN
modelVAN aheadCHSO aheadconfidence bandkey playVAN scoreCHSO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 9:46 · Colby Cooke punt for 39 yds, downed at the ChaSo 22
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+37.0+18.50−18.5−37.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 98Pregame prior+17.2Home team on offense+12.1Score differential+2.6Garbage-time factor+5.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.1Blowout margin−0.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:25: C.J. Duncan 65 Yd pass from Johnny McCrary (Tommy Openshaw Kick) — VAN win probability +3.1 pts (now 85%) (top driver: VAN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 5:06: Dallas Rivers run for 8 yds for a TD, (Two pt pass, Taylor Hudson pass to Andrew East GOOD) — VAN win probability +4.6 pts (now 91%) (top driver: VAN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 5:56: Zachary Frazier run for 10 yds for a TD, (David Kennedy KICK) — CHSO win probability +10.0 pts (now 24%) (top driver: CHSO has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 10:19: David Kennedy 30 yd FG GOOD — CHSO win probability +9.5 pts (now 31%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 0:00: TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the ChaSo 34 — VAN win probability +12.3 pts (now 96%) (top driver: VAN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
VAN made the numbers' call on 5 of 6CHSO made the numbers' call on 6 of 10
  1. Q1 10:57VAN 4th & 2 at CHSO 21, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 82.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    82.4%−0.1
    74% to make
    Punt
    81.9%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:50CHSO 4th & 4 at VAN 40, down 3
    Close callPunted · 18.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    18.6%−0.3
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    18.6%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:23VAN 4th & 13 at VAN 19, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.7%−0.6
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.2%
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:43CHSO 4th & 1 at VAN 39, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    19.3%−0.9
    36% to make
    Punt
    19.4%−0.8
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:53CHSO 4th & 4 at VAN 6, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 20.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    20.7%−0.1
    91% to make
    Punt
    18.5%−2.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:56VAN 4th & 13 at VAN 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.1%−0.7
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.9%
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:52CHSO 4th & 3 at CHSO 39, tied
    Close callPunted · 22.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.9%−0.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:30CHSO 4th & 3 at VAN 32, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 12.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.2%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    11.8%−0.4
    51% to make
    Punt
    11.2%−1.0
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:36VAN 4th & 12 at VAN 37, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.8%−0.5
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.3%
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:46CHSO 4th & 7 at CHSO 28, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.4%−0.6
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.0%
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:46VAN 4th & 5 at VAN 39, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.3%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.5%
    average punt
  12. Q3 7:32CHSO 4th & 5 at VAN 28, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 14.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.0%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    14.0%−<0.1
    60% to make
    Punt
    10.1%−3.9
    average punt
  13. Q3 0:30CHSO 4th & 10 at VAN 28, down 4
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.1 ptsWent for it · 26.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    24.7%−1.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    25.8%
    60% to make
    Punt
    18.4%−7.4
    average punt
  14. Q4 13:36VAN 4th & 12 at VAN 26, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.4%−4.4
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.9%
    average punt
  15. Q4 10:19CHSO 4th & 13 at VAN 13, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 26.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.8%−2.5
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    27.3%
    85% to make
    Punt
    16.0%−11.3
    average punt
  16. Q4 6:00CHSO 4th & 6 at CHSO 44, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.1%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.5%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
VAN made the numbers' call on 1 of 2CHSO made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 10:25VAN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 5:06VAN Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    87.3%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    87.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 5:56CHSO Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    24.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    24.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
VANDrive 1FG
9 plays · 39 yds · 3:4387% → 86%
Q1 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
86.6%
Wade Freebeck pass complete to Ralph Webb for 6 yds to the Vandy 46Similar
Q1 14:25
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+8
86.5%
Wade Freebeck pass complete to C.J. Duncan for 8 yds to the ChaSo 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:40
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+7
86.4%
Ralph Webb run for 7 yds to the ChaSo 39Similar
Q1 13:13
2ND & 3
OPP 39
+10
86.3%
Ralph Webb run for 10 yds to the ChaSo 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-1
86.2%
Dallas Rivers run for a loss of 1 yard to the ChaSo 30Similar
Q1 12:00
2ND & 11
OPP 30
+2
86.0%
Wade Freebeck pass complete to C.J. Duncan for 2 yds to the ChaSo 28Similar
Q1 11:30
3RD & 9
OPP 28
+7
85.9%
Wade Freebeck pass complete to Steven Scheu for 7 yds to the ChaSo 21Similar
Q1 10:57
4TH & 2
OPP 21
+39
85.8%
Tommy Openshaw 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CHSODrive 2FUMBLE
14 plays · 35 yds · 4:5514% → 16%
Q1 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
85.6%
Ben Robinson run for 4 yds to the ChaSo 29Similar
Q1 10:03
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+11
85.4%
Austin Brown pass complete to Mike Holloway for 11 yds to the ChaSo 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
85.3%
Darius Hammond run for 4 yds to the ChaSo 44Similar
Q1 9:50
2ND & 6
OWN 44
-5
85.2%
CHARLESTON SOU Penalty, False Start (Nathan Prater) to the ChaSo 39Similar
Q1 9:09
2ND & 11
OWN 39
-5
85.3%
CHARLESTON SOU Penalty, False Start (Erik Austell) to the ChaSo 34Similar
Q1 9:09
2ND & 16
OWN 34
+11
85.4%
Mike Holloway run for 11 yds to the ChaSo 45Similar
Q1 8:16
3RD & 5
OWN 45
-6
85.0%
Mike Holloway run for a loss of 6 yards to the ChaSo 39Similar
Q1 8:16
4TH & 11
OWN 39
+15
85.4%
VANDERBILT Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (- Team) to the Vandy 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
84.7%
Darius Hammond run for 4 yds to the Vandy 42Similar
Q1 7:05
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+4
84.5%
Austin Brown run for 4 yds to the Vandy 38Similar
Q1 6:32
3RD & 2
OPP 38
-2
84.4%
Darius Hammond run for a loss of 2 yards to the Vandy 40Similar
Q1 5:50
4TH & 4
OPP 40
0
84.4%
Truett Burns punt for 21 yds , Ryan White returns for no gain to the Vandy 22 Ryan White fumbled, recovered by Vandy Darreon Herring , return for 3 yds to the Vandy 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 2:1785% → 83%
Q1 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
84.5%
Ralph Webb run for 5 yds to the Vandy 27Similar
Q1 5:00
2ND & 5
OWN 27
-5
84.3%
Ralph Webb run for 5 yds to the Vandy 32 VANDERBILT Penalty, Illegal Block (C.J. Duncan) to the Vandy 22Similar
Q1 4:30
2ND & 10
OWN 22
-9
84.1%
Wade Freebeck sacked by Zack Johnson for a loss of 9 yards to the Vandy 13Similar
Q1 3:58
3RD & 19
OWN 13
+6
83.7%
Ralph Webb run for 6 yds to the Vandy 19Similar
Q1 3:23
4TH & 13
OWN 19
0
83.4%
Colby Cooke punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Vandy 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CHSODrive 4FG
9 plays · 42 yds · 3:1317% → 19%
Q1 3:06
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
83.3%
Ben Robinson run for 2 yds to the Vandy 46Similar
Q1 2:35
2ND & 8
OPP 46
+5
82.9%
Mike Holloway run for 5 yds to the Vandy 41Similar
Q1 2:02
3RD & 3
OPP 41
+2
82.8%
Austin Brown pass complete to Kenny Dinkins for 2 yds to the Vandy 39Similar
Q1 1:43
4TH & 1
OPP 39
+2
83.0%
Mike Holloway run for 2 yds to the Vandy 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:08
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+25
82.4%
Mike Holloway run for 25 yds to the Vandy 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:34
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
81.8%
Austin Brown pass incomplete to Nathan PereraSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+6
81.6%
Ben Robinson run for 6 yds to the Vandy 6Similar
Q2 14:57
3RD & 4
OPP 6
0
82.0%
Austin Brown pass incomplete to Colton KornSimilar
Q2 14:53
4TH & 4
OPP 6
+23
81.0%
David Kennedy 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:4782% → 81%
Q2 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
82.3%
Wade Freebeck pass incomplete to Latevius RayfordSimilar
Q2 14:37
2ND & 10
OWN 26
0
82.1%
Wade Freebeck pass incomplete to Latevius RayfordSimilar
Q2 14:20
3RD & 10
OWN 26
-3
81.6%
Wade Freebeck pass complete to Ralph Webb for a loss of 3 yards to the Vandy 23Similar
Q2 13:56
4TH & 13
OWN 23
0
81.1%
Colby Cooke punt for 45 yds , Darius Hammond returns for no gain to the ChaSo 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CHSODrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:5519% → 20%
Q2 13:47
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
80.7%
Mike Holloway run for 1 yd to the ChaSo 33Similar
Q2 13:10
2ND & 9
OWN 33
+4
80.6%
Alexander Cruz run for 4 yds to the ChaSo 37Similar
Q2 12:28
3RD & 5
OWN 37
+2
80.1%
Daniel Croghan III pass complete to Kenny Dinkins for 2 yds to the ChaSo 39Similar
Q2 11:52
4TH & 3
OWN 39
0
80.3%
Truett Burns punt for 32 yds, downed at the Vandy 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 7TD
3 plays · 71 yds · 1:0581% → 85%
Q2 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
81.2%
Ralph Webb run for 5 yds to the Vandy 34Similar
Q2 11:11
2ND & 5
OWN 34
+1
81.5%
Ralph Webb run for 1 yd to the Vandy 35Similar
Q2 10:25
3RD & 4
OWN 35
+65
84.7%
C.J. Duncan 65 Yd pass from Johnny McCrary (Tommy Openshaw Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CHSODrive 8INT
7 plays · 13 yds · 1:2416% → 15%
Q2 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
84.5%
Austin Brown pass incomplete to Colton KornSimilar
Q2 9:58
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+11
84.6%
Austin Brown run for 11 yds to the ChaSo 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
84.1%
Ben Robinson run for 2 yds to the ChaSo 38Similar
Q2 8:51
2ND & 8
OWN 38
0
83.9%
Austin Brown pass incomplete to Nathan PereraSimilar
Q2 8:41
3RD & 8
OWN 38
+21
85.0%
Austin Brown pass intercepted Taurean Ferguson return for 21 yds to the ChaSo 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 9TD
8 plays · 34 yds · 3:0986% → 91%
Q2 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
86.1%
Dallas Rivers run for 4 yds to the ChaSo 30Similar
Q2 7:50
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+2
86.5%
Dallas Rivers run for 2 yds to the ChaSo 28Similar
Q2 7:18
3RD & 4
OPP 28
-5
86.1%
VANDERBILT Penalty, False Start (Joe Townsend) to the ChaSo 33Similar
Q2 6:49
3RD & 9
OPP 33
+18
85.9%
Johnny McCrary run for 3 yds to the ChaSo 30 for a 1ST down CHARLESTON SOU Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Demaris Freeman) to the ChaSo 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:25
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+5
86.5%
Dallas Rivers run for 5 yds to the ChaSo 10Similar
Q2 5:40
2ND & 5
OPP 10
+2
86.4%
Dallas Rivers run for 2 yds to the ChaSo 8Similar
Q2 5:06
3RD & 3
OPP 8
+8
90.5%
Dallas Rivers run for 8 yds for a TD, (Two pt pass, Taylor Hudson pass to Andrew East GOOD)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CHSODrive 10DOWNS
8 plays · 45 yds · 2:2310% → 11%
Q2 4:53
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+11
89.9%
Austin Brown pass complete to Nathan Perera for 11 yds to the ChaSo 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:22
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+14
89.8%
Mike Holloway run for 14 yds to the ChaSo 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+20
89.4%
Austin Brown pass complete to Nathan Prater for 20 yds to the Vandy 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:35
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
88.7%
Mike Holloway run for 3 yds to the Vandy 36Similar
Q2 3:06
2ND & 7
OPP 36
0
88.7%
Austin Brown pass incomplete to Kenny DinkinsSimilar
Q2 3:06
3RD & 7
OPP 36
-4
88.9%
Austin Brown run for a loss of 4 yards to the Vandy 32 Austin Brown fumbled, recovered by ChaSo Colton KornSimilar
Q2 2:30
4TH & 3
OPP 32
-7
89.3%
Austin Brown run for a loss of 7 yards to the Vandy 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 11PUNT TD
6 plays · -2 yds · 1:2492% → 85%
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
91.7%
Johnny McCrary pass complete to C.J. Duncan for 6 yds to the Vandy 45Similar
Q2 1:30
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+2
91.8%
Ralph Webb run for 2 yds to the Vandy 47Similar
Q2 1:10
3RD & 2
OWN 47
-5
91.5%
VANDERBILT Penalty, False Start (Andrew Jelks) to the Vandy 42Similar
Q2 0:50
3RD & 7
OWN 42
-5
91.6%
McCrary, Johnny pass complete to Duncan, C.J. for 10 yards to the CHASOTHERN48, PENALTY VANDERBILT illegal formation 5 yards to the VANDERBILT37, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:41
3RD & 12
OWN 37
0
91.5%
Johnny McCrary pass complete to Darrius Sims for no gain to the Vandy 37Similar
Q2 0:36
4TH & 12
OWN 37
+17
85.0%
TEAM punt blocked by Lorenzo Mathis, Lorenzo Mathis return for 17 yds for a TD, (David Kennedy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 12END OF HALF
8 plays · 32 yds · 0:2087% → 89%
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+12
87.0%
Johnny McCrary pass complete to C.J. Duncan for 12 yds to the ChaSo 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:15
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
87.1%
Johnny McCrary pass incomplete to Trey WilkinsSimilar
Q2 0:11
2ND & 10
OPP 44
0
87.0%
Johnny McCrary pass incomplete to Steven ScheuSimilar
Q2 0:05
3RD & 10
OPP 44
+20
86.3%
Johnny McCrary pass complete to C.J. Duncan for 20 yds to the ChaSo 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+42
89.2%
Tommy Openshaw 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CHSODrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 1:4413% → 12%
Q3 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
86.9%
Darius Hammond run for 1 yd to the ChaSo 26Similar
Q3 14:05
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+7
87.0%
Darius Hammond run for 7 yds to the ChaSo 33Similar
Q3 13:36
3RD & 2
OWN 33
-5
86.7%
CHARLESTON SOU Penalty, False Start (Erik Austell) to the ChaSo 28Similar
Q3 13:07
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
87.3%
Austin Brown pass incomplete to Nathan PereraSimilar
Q3 12:46
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
87.7%
Truett Burns punt for 38 yds, downed at the Vandy 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 2:5288% → 87%
Q3 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-9
87.5%
Ralph Webb run for 1 yd to the Vandy 35 VANDERBILT Penalty, Offensive Holding (Will Holden) to the Vandy 25Similar
Q3 11:45
1ST & 19
OWN 25
-2
87.4%
Ralph Webb run for a loss of 2 yards to the Vandy 23Similar
Q3 11:15
2ND & 21
OWN 23
+15
87.3%
Johnny McCrary pass complete to Trey Wilkins for 15 yds to the Vandy 38Similar
Q3 10:34
3RD & 6
OWN 38
-10
87.6%
McCrary, Johnny rush for 5 yards to the VANDERBILT43, PENALTY VANDERBILT holding (Taylor, Vince) 10 yards to the VANDERBILT28, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:20
3RD & 16
OWN 28
+11
86.8%
Johnny McCrary pass complete to Latevius Rayford for 11 yds to the Vandy 39Similar
Q3 9:46
4TH & 5
OWN 39
0
87.1%
Colby Cooke punt for 39 yds, downed at the ChaSo 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CHSODrive 15TD
11 plays · 78 yds · 3:2913% → 24%
Q3 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+31
87.0%
Austin Brown pass complete to Colton Korn for 31 yds to the Vandy 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:08
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+7
85.4%
Mike Holloway run for 7 yds to the Vandy 40Similar
Q3 8:50
2ND & 3
OPP 40
+7
85.1%
Mike Holloway run for 7 yds to the Vandy 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:25
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
84.6%
Austin Brown pass incomplete to Nathan PraterSimilar
Q3 8:15
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+5
84.6%
Mike Holloway run for 5 yds to the Vandy 28Similar
Q3 7:39
3RD & 5
OPP 28
0
85.2%
Austin Brown pass incomplete to Nathan PereraSimilar
Q3 7:32
4TH & 5
OPP 28
+9
88.1%
Austin Brown pass complete to Colton Korn for 9 yds to the Vandy 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
86.3%
Mike Holloway run for 5 yds to the Vandy 14Similar
Q3 6:24
2ND & 5
OPP 14
+4
86.3%
Austin Brown run for 4 yds to the Vandy 10Similar
Q3 5:56
3RD & 1
OPP 10
+10
76.3%
Zachary Frazier run for 10 yds for a TD, (David Kennedy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 5 yds · 0:5581% → 79%
Q3 5:56
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
81.2%
CHARLESTON SOU Penalty, Defensive Offside (Chris Jenkins) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 5:45
1ST & 5
50
+5
81.8%
Darrius Sims run for 5 yds to the ChaSo 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:04
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
81.8%
Johnny McCrary pass incomplete to C.J. DuncanSimilar
Q3 5:04
2ND & 10
OPP 45
-5
81.6%
VANDERBILT Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 5:01
2ND & 15
50
0
79.8%
Johnny McCrary pass incomplete to Chandler DorrellSimilar
Q3 5:01
3RD & 15
50
0
78.9%
Colby Cooke punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Darius Hammond at the ChaSo 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CHSODrive 17DOWNS
12 plays · 53 yds · 4:0321% → 23%
Q3 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
78.8%
Ben Robinson run for 4 yds to the ChaSo 23Similar
Q3 4:08
2ND & 6
OWN 23
+6
78.4%
Austin Brown pass complete to Nathan Perera for 6 yds to the ChaSo 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+7
78.2%
Mike Holloway run for 7 yds to the ChaSo 36Similar
Q3 3:23
2ND & 3
OWN 36
+4
76.1%
Mike Holloway run for 4 yds to the ChaSo 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+18
76.5%
Ben Robinson run for 18 yds to the Vandy 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:38
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+6
74.7%
Darius Hammond run for 6 yds to the Vandy 36Similar
Q3 2:11
2ND & 4
OPP 36
+8
74.5%
Ben Robinson run for 8 yds to the Vandy 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:59
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-5
73.0%
Brown, Austin pass complete to Perera, Nathan for 9 yards to the VANDERBILT19, PENALTY CHASOTHERN ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the VANDERBILT33, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:45
1ST & 15
OPP 33
0
74.2%
Ben Robinson run for no gain to the Vandy 33Similar
Q3 1:00
2ND & 15
OPP 33
+5
74.8%
Austin Brown pass complete to Nathan Perera for 5 yds to the Vandy 28Similar
Q3 0:34
3RD & 10
OPP 28
0
74.5%
Austin Brown pass incomplete to Kenny DinkinsSimilar
Q3 0:30
4TH & 10
OPP 28
0
77.5%
Austin Brown pass incomplete to Nathan PereraSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:2480% → 77%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+6
79.5%
Johnny McCrary pass complete to C.J. Duncan for 6 yds to the Vandy 34Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 4
OWN 34
-10
80.5%
Webb, Ralph rush for 2 yards to the VANDERBILT36, PENALTY VANDERBILT holding (Townsend, Joe) 10 yards to the VANDERBILT24, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:37
2ND & 14
OWN 24
+2
78.5%
Ralph Webb run for 2 yds to the Vandy 26Similar
Q4 13:57
3RD & 12
OWN 26
0
77.4%
Johnny McCrary pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:36
4TH & 12
OWN 26
+10
76.6%
Colby Cooke punt for 68 yds , Darius Hammond returns for 10 yds to the ChaSo 36 CHARLESTON SOU Penalty, Illegal Block (8 Yards) to the ChaSo 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CHSODrive 19FG
11 plays · 79 yds · 2:5622% → 31%
Q4 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+11
78.5%
Mike Holloway run for 11 yds to the ChaSo 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+2
77.3%
Mike Holloway run for 2 yds to the ChaSo 21Similar
Q4 12:30
2ND & 8
OWN 21
0
77.3%
Mike Holloway run for no gain to the ChaSo 21Similar
Q4 12:15
3RD & 8
OPP 21
+44
73.4%
Austin Brown pass complete to Mike Holloway for 59 yds to the VANDERBILT 20 for a 1ST down CHARLESTON SOU Penalty, Sideline Interference (-15 Yards) to the Vandy 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:25
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+25
71.0%
Austin Brown pass complete to Nathan Perera for 25 yds to the Vandy 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
70.5%
Mike Holloway run for 2 yds to the Vandy 8Similar
Q4 10:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
75.3%
Austin Brown pass incomplete to Nathan PereraSimilar
Q4 10:29
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
-5
77.3%
CHARLESTON SOU Penalty, Delay of Game (Austin Brown) to the Vandy 13Similar
Q4 10:22
3RD & GOAL
OPP 13
0
79.0%
Austin Brown pass incomplete to Nathan PereraSimilar
Q4 10:19
4TH & GOAL
OPP 13
+30
69.4%
David Kennedy 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 20INT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:1871% → 69%
Q4 10:03
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-3
71.4%
Ralph Webb run for a loss of 3 yards to the Vandy 14Similar
Q4 9:19
2ND & 13
OWN 14
+9
70.5%
Johnny McCrary pass complete to Chandler Dorrell for 9 yds to the Vandy 23Similar
Q4 8:45
3RD & 4
OWN 23
-3
69.4%
Johnny McCrary pass intercepted Davion Anderson return for a loss of 3 yards to the ChaSo 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CHSODrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 2:3035% → 33%
Q4 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-5
65.1%
Holloway, Mike rush for 5 yards to the CHASOTHERN45, PENALTY CHASOTHERN illegal formation 5 yards to the CHASOTHERN35, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:40
1ST & 15
OWN 35
-2
67.9%
Ben Robinson run for a loss of 2 yards to the ChaSo 33Similar
Q4 7:20
2ND & 17
OWN 33
+9
67.0%
Austin Brown pass complete to Mike Holloway for 9 yds to the ChaSo 42Similar
Q4 7:00
3RD & 8
OWN 42
+2
64.4%
Austin Brown run for 2 yds to the ChaSo 44Similar
Q4 6:00
4TH & 6
OWN 44
0
66.9%
Truett Burns punt for 53 yds, downed at the Vandy 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 22END OF GAME
12 plays · 63 yds · 5:3569% → 96%
Q4 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+1
69.1%
Ralph Webb run for 1 yd to the Vandy 4Similar
Q4 5:00
2ND & 9
OWN 4
+25
69.0%
Johnny McCrary pass complete to Nathan Marcus for 25 yds to the Vandy 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-1
70.6%
Ralph Webb run for a loss of 1 yard to the Vandy 28Similar
Q4 3:48
2ND & 11
OWN 28
+9
69.4%
Dallas Rivers run for 9 yds to the Vandy 37Similar
Q4 3:20
3RD & 2
OWN 37
+7
72.4%
Dallas Rivers run for 7 yds to the Vandy 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
76.0%
Dallas Rivers run for 2 yds to the Vandy 46Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 8
OPP 46
+7
78.2%
Ralph Webb run for 17 yds to the VANDERBILT 37 VANDERBILT Penalty, Offensive Holding (Kris Kentera) to the ChaSo 47Similar
Q4 1:45
2ND & 1
OPP 47
+2
78.4%
Dallas Rivers run for 2 yds to the ChaSo 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:13
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+7
82.3%
Dallas Rivers run for 7 yds to the ChaSo 38Similar
Q4 0:50
2ND & 3
OPP 38
+5
83.9%
Kellen Williams run for 5 yds to the ChaSo 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-1
96.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the ChaSo 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
KEY PLAY · Q4 0:00
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the ChaSo 34
+12.3
TD · Q3 5:56
Zachary Frazier run for 10 yds for a TD, (David Kennedy KICK)
-10
FG · Q4 10:19
David Kennedy 30 yd FG GOOD
-9.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com