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UTC

Chattanooga 10 at Tennessee 45

TENN
2014 · Week 7 · Oct 11, 2014 · Neyland Stadium
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Win probability · TENN
modelTENN aheadUTC aheadconfidence bandkey playTENN scoreUTC score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 3:49 · Matt Darr punt for 54 yds , C.J. Board returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Chatt 14 C.J. Board fumbled, recovered by Tenn Cortez McDowell
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+46.0+23.00−23.0−46.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 151Pregame prior+4.6Home team on offense+35.9Score differential+28.2Blowout margin+11.9Garbage-time factor+13.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+12.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 9:20: Marquez North 5 Yd pass from Justin Worley (Aaron Medley Kick) — TENN win probability +0.2 pts (now 95%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 13:48: Justin Worley 8 Yd Run (Aaron Medley Kick) — TENN win probability +2.1 pts (now 96%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 2:17: Henrique Ribeiro 27 Yd Field Goal — UTC win probability +0.7 pts (now 6%) (top driver: UTC has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:15: Johnathon Johnson 21 Yd pass from Justin Worley (Aaron Medley Kick) — TENN win probability +3.9 pts (now 98%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 14:08: Johnathon Johnson 19 Yd pass from Justin Worley (Aaron Medley Kick) — TENN win probability +1.5 pts (now 100%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TENN made the numbers' call on 4 of 6UTC made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 12:26UTC 4th & 5 at UTC 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.0%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:14UTC 4th & 13 at UTC 22, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.3%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:02TENN 4th & 18 at TENN 46, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.6%−0.3
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:38UTC 4th & 2 at UTC 28, down 7
    Close callPunted · 8.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.3%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:22TENN 4th & 5 at UTC 8, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 91.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.0%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.0%
    90% to make
    Punt
    89.8%−1.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:38UTC 4th & 1 at UTC 34, down 17
    Close callPunted · 6.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.9%−0.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:15TENN 4th & 1 at TENN 37, up 17
    Close callPunted · 94.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.1%−0.6
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:44UTC 4th & 15 at UTC 24, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.0%−1.0
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.0%
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:17UTC 4th & 7 at TENN 9, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 6.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.8%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    6.0%
    89% to make
    Punt
    3.4%−2.6
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:28UTC 4th & 8 at UTC 27, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.2
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:52TENN 4th & 26 at TENN 23, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.3%−0.3
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%
    average punt
  12. Q3 0:04UTC 4th & 1 at TENN 25, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−0.1
    66% to make
    Punt
    -0.3%−0.5
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:13TENN 4th & 2 at UTC 25, up 35
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.8%−0.1
    66% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.5
    average punt
  14. Q4 3:49TENN 4th & 5 at TENN 31, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    100.0%
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:15UTC 4th & 8 at UTC 27, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TENN made the numbers' call on 6 of 6UTC made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 9:20TENN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:48TENN Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:15TENN Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 14:08TENN Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 4:47TENN Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 6:38UTC Touchdown, down 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 3:40TENN Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UTCDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 2:144% → 5%
Q1 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
95.8%
Derrick Craine run for 3 yds to the Chatt 28Similar
Q1 14:05
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
95.7%
Derrick Craine run for 6 yds to the Chatt 34Similar
Q1 14:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-4
95.6%
CHATTANOOGA Penalty, False Start (Chris Mayes) to the Chatt 30Similar
Q1 13:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
95.5%
Derrick Craine run for no gain to the Chatt 30Similar
Q1 12:26
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+42
95.4%
Nick Pollard punt for 50 yds , Cameron Sutton returns for 42 yds to the Chatt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 2TD
8 plays · 38 yds · 2:4095% → 95%
Q1 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+7
95.3%
Jalen Hurd run for 7 yds to the Chatt 31Similar
Q1 11:30
2ND & 3
OPP 31
+11
95.3%
Justin Worley pass complete to Marquez North for 11 yds to the Chatt 20 for a 1ST down Similar
Q1 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
95.3%
Jalen Hurd run for no gain to the Chatt 20 Similar
Q1 11:00
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+5
95.2%
Justin Worley pass complete to Von Pearson for 5 yds to the Chatt 15 Similar
Q1 11:00
3RD & 5
OPP 15
+9
95.1%
Justin Worley pass complete to Jason Croom for 9 yds to the Chatt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-1
95.0%
Derrell Scott run for a loss of 1 yard to the Chatt 7Similar
Q1 10:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
95.0%
Justus Pickett run for 2 yds to the Chatt 5Similar
Q1 9:20
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
95.2%
Marquez North 5 Yd pass from Justin Worley (Aaron Medley Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTCDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:465% → 5%
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
95.0%
Richardre Bagley run for a loss of 5 yards to the Chatt 20Similar
Q1 8:20
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+7
95.0%
Jacob Huesman pass complete to Richardre Bagley for 7 yds to the Chatt 27Similar
Q1 8:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-5
94.9%
Jacob Huesman sacked by Chris Weatherd for a loss of 5 yards to the Chatt 22Similar
Q1 7:14
4TH & 13
OWN 22
0
94.9%
Nick Pollard punt for 39 yds, downed at the Tenn 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 7 yds · 2:5895% → 94%
Q1 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
94.8%
Justin Worley pass complete to Marquez North for 5 yds to the Tenn 44Similar
Q1 6:30
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+1
94.8%
Derrell Scott run for 1 yd to the Tenn 45Similar
Q1 5:50
3RD & 4
OWN 45
+9
94.7%
Justin Worley pass complete to Von Pearson for 9 yds to the Chatt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
94.7%
Justin Worley pass incomplete to Marquez NorthSimilar
Q1 5:00
2ND & 10
OPP 46
-3
94.6%
Justus Pickett run for a loss of 3 yards to the Chatt 49Similar
Q1 4:40
3RD & 13
OPP 49
-10
94.4%
Justin Worley sacked by Derrick Lott for a loss of 10 yards to the Tenn 41Similar
Q1 4:40
4TH & 23
OWN 41
+5
94.2%
CHATTANOOGA Penalty, Neutral Zone Infraction (Dale Warren) to the Tenn 46Similar
Q1 4:02
4TH & 18
OWN 46
0
94.1%
Matt Darr punt for 54 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTCDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:526% → 6%
Q1 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
94.2%
Jacob Huesman run for 3 yds to the Chatt 23Similar
Q1 3:20
2ND & 7
OWN 23
0
94.1%
Jacob Huesman pass incomplete, broken up by Derek BarnettSimilar
Q1 3:00
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+5
94.2%
Jacob Huesman run for 5 yds to the Chatt 28Similar
Q1 2:38
4TH & 2
OWN 28
0
94.2%
Nick Pollard punt for 58 yds, downed at the Tenn 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 6FG
11 plays · 78 yds · 3:0994% → 94%
Q1 2:31
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
94.1%
Devrin Young run for no gain to the Tenn 14Similar
Q1 2:24
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+10
94.1%
Justin Worley pass complete to Devrin Young for 10 yds to the Tenn 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+14
94.0%
Justin Worley run for 14 yds to the Tenn 38 for a 1ST down CHATTANOOGA Penalty, Defensive Offside (Keionta Davis) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
94.1%
Justin Worley pass complete to Marquez North for 5 yds to the Tenn 43Similar
Q1 1:15
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+30
94.2%
Justin Worley pass complete to Jason Croom for 30 yds to the Chatt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
94.2%
Devrin Young run for no gain to the Chatt 27Similar
Q1 0:30
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+14
94.1%
Justin Worley pass complete to Jason Croom for 14 yds to the Chatt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-3
94.1%
Derrell Scott run for a loss of 3 yards to the Chatt 16Similar
Q2 14:50
2ND & 13
OPP 16
+8
94.0%
Justin Worley run for 8 yds to the Chatt 8Similar
Q2 14:50
3RD & 5
OPP 8
0
93.9%
Justin Worley pass incomplete to Jason CroomSimilar
Q2 14:22
4TH & 5
OPP 8
+25
93.9%
Aaron Medley 25 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTCDrive 7FUMBLE
2 plays · -5 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q2 14:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
93.9%
Jacob Huesman run for a loss of 5 yards to the Chatt 20 Jacob Huesman fumbled, recovered by Tenn Derek BarnettSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 8TD
3 plays · 20 yds · 0:1294% → 96%
Q2 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+8
94.2%
Pig Howard run for 8 yds to the Chatt 12Similar
Q2 13:50
2ND & 2
OPP 12
+4
94.1%
Justus Pickett run for 4 yds to the Chatt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
96.3%
Justin Worley 8 Yd Run (Aaron Medley Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTCDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:524% → 4%
Q2 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
95.6%
Derrick Craine run for 1 yd to the Chatt 26Similar
Q2 13:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+8
95.6%
Derrick Craine run for 8 yds to the Chatt 34Similar
Q2 12:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
95.5%
Jacob Huesman run for no gain to the Chatt 34Similar
Q2 11:38
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
95.6%
Nick Pollard punt for 38 yds, downed at the Tenn 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:5696% → 96%
Q2 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
96.2%
Justin Worley pass complete to Jason Croom for 4 yds to the Tenn 32Similar
Q2 11:02
2ND & 6
OWN 32
0
96.2%
Justin Worley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:45
3RD & 6
OWN 32
+5
96.2%
Justin Worley pass complete to Pig Howard for 5 yds to the Tenn 37Similar
Q2 10:15
4TH & 1
OWN 37
+6
96.1%
Matt Darr punt for 52 yds , C.J. Board returns for 6 yds to the Chatt 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTCDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 7 yds · 3:164% → 5%
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-2
95.6%
Jacob Huesman run for a loss of 2 yards to the Chatt 15Similar
Q2 9:15
2ND & 12
OWN 15
+10
95.7%
Jacob Huesman pass complete to Alphonso Stewart for 10 yds to the Chatt 25Similar
Q2 8:45
3RD & 2
OWN 25
+4
95.5%
Derrick Craine run for 4 yds to the Chatt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:07
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+7
95.4%
Jacob Huesman run for 7 yds to the Chatt 36Similar
Q2 7:36
2ND & 3
OWN 36
0
95.1%
Jacob Huesman pass incomplete to Xavier BorishadeSimilar
Q2 7:00
3RD & 3
OWN 36
-5
95.2%
Derrick Craine run for a loss of 10 yards to the Chatt 26 fumbled, recovered by Jacob Huesman, run for a loss of 2 yards to the Chatt 24Similar
Q2 6:44
4TH & 15
OWN 24
0
95.5%
Nick Pollard punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Tenn 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 12FUMBLE
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:5496% → 96%
Q2 6:37
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
96.1%
Justin Worley pass incomplete to Johnathon JohnsonSimilar
Q2 5:55
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+3
96.1%
Justin Worley run for 3 yds to the Tenn 32Similar
Q2 5:43
3RD & 7
OWN 32
-5
95.8%
Justin Worley sacked by Keionta Davis for a loss of 5 yards to the Tenn 27 Justin Worley fumbled, forced by Keionta Davis, recovered by Chatt Josh Freeman , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTCDrive 13FG
7 plays · 18 yds · 3:136% → 6%
Q2 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+7
94.4%
Derrick Craine run for 7 yds to the Tenn 20Similar
Q2 4:44
2ND & 3
OPP 20
0
94.3%
Derrick Craine run for no gain to the Tenn 20Similar
Q2 4:00
3RD & 4
OPP 20
+8
94.6%
Jacob Huesman run for 8 yds to the Tenn 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:45
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
94.3%
Jacob Huesman pass complete to Faysal Shafaat for 2 yds to the Tenn 10Similar
Q2 3:00
2ND & 8
OPP 10
0
94.2%
Jacob Huesman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:30
3RD & 8
OPP 10
+1
94.5%
Jacob Huesman pass complete to Derrick Craine for 1 yd to the Tenn 9Similar
Q2 2:17
4TH & 7
OPP 9
+27
93.9%
Henrique Ribeiro 27 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 14TD
9 plays · 71 yds · 1:4595% → 98%
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
94.5%
Justin Worley pass complete to Johnathon Johnson for 6 yds to the Tenn 35Similar
Q2 1:45
2ND & 4
OWN 35
+16
94.5%
Justin Worley pass complete to Ethan Wolf for 16 yds to the Chatt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
94.8%
Justin Worley pass incomplete to Jason CroomSimilar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+15
94.7%
Derrell Scott run for 15 yds to the Chatt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-6
94.8%
Justin Worley sacked by Josh Freeman for a loss of 6 yards to the Chatt 40Similar
Q2 0:33
2ND & 16
OPP 40
+4
94.6%
Justin Worley pass complete to Jason Croom for 4 yds to the Chatt 36Similar
Q2 0:20
3RD & 12
OPP 36
+15
94.4%
Justin Worley pass complete to Jason Croom for 15 yds to the Chatt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:15
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
98.2%
Johnathon Johnson 21 Yd pass from Justin Worley (Aaron Medley Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTCDrive 15END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
97.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Chatt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 16TD
3 plays · 19 yds · 0:2898% → 100%
Q3 14:36
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
98.0%
Derrell Scott run for no gain to the Chatt 19Similar
Q3 14:08
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+19
99.5%
Johnathon Johnson 19 Yd pass from Justin Worley (Aaron Medley Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTCDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:331% → 1%
Q3 14:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
99.4%
Derrick Craine run for a loss of 2 yards to the Chatt 23Similar
Q3 13:21
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+4
99.5%
Derrick Craine run for 4 yds to the Chatt 27Similar
Q3 12:39
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
99.5%
Jacob Huesman pass incomplete to Alphonso StewartSimilar
Q3 12:28
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+2
99.5%
Nick Pollard punt for 46 yds , Jacob Carter returns for 2 yds to the Tenn 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 18PUNT
8 plays · -6 yds · 3:28100% → 100%
Q3 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
99.5%
Justin Worley pass complete to Vic Wharton for 5 yds to the Tenn 34Similar
Q3 11:56
2ND & 5
OWN 34
+4
99.6%
Justus Pickett run for 4 yds to the Tenn 38Similar
Q3 11:32
3RD & 1
OWN 38
+1
99.5%
Justus Pickett run for 1 yd to the Tenn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:54
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
99.6%
Justus Pickett run for 3 yds to the Tenn 42Similar
Q3 10:23
2ND & 7
OWN 42
-7
99.6%
Justin Worley sacked by Josh Freeman for a loss of 7 yards to the Tenn 35Similar
Q3 9:54
3RD & 14
OWN 35
-5
99.7%
TENNESSEE Penalty, False Start (Coleman Thomas) to the Tenn 30Similar
Q3 9:28
3RD & 19
OWN 30
-7
99.7%
Justin Worley sacked by Davis Tull for a loss of 7 yards to the Tenn 23Similar
Q3 8:52
4TH & 26
OWN 23
0
99.7%
Matt Darr punt for 40 yds , C.J. Board returns for no gain to the Chatt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTCDrive 19INT
7 plays · 19 yds · 2:110% → 0%
Q3 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-10
99.7%
CHATTANOOGA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Richardre Bagley) to the Chatt 27Similar
Q3 8:13
1ST & 20
OWN 27
+3
99.7%
Richardre Bagley run for 3 yds to the Chatt 30Similar
Q3 7:30
2ND & 17
OWN 30
0
99.7%
Jacob Huesman pass incomplete to C.J. BoardSimilar
Q3 7:20
3RD & 17
OWN 30
+32
99.7%
Jacob Huesman pass complete to Faysal Shafaat for 32 yds to the Tenn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:56
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-6
99.7%
CHATTANOOGA Penalty, Substitution Infraction (-6 Yards) to the Tenn 44Similar
Q3 6:19
1ST & 16
OPP 44
0
99.7%
Jacob Huesman pass intercepted Justin Coleman return for 53 yds to the Chatt 31 CHATTANOOGA Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Corey Levin) to the Chatt 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 20TD
4 plays · 16 yds · 1:23100% → 100%
Q3 6:10
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+5
99.8%
Pig Howard run for 5 yds to the Chatt 11Similar
Q3 5:33
2ND & 5
OPP 11
+9
99.8%
Justus Pickett run for 9 yds to the Chatt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
99.8%
Justus Pickett run for 1 yd to the Chatt 1Similar
Q3 4:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.8%
Justin Worley 1 Yd Run (Aaron Medley Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTCDrive 21DOWNS
10 plays · 47 yds · 4:280% → 0%
Q3 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
99.8%
Jacob Huesman pass complete to Derrick Craine for no gain to the Chatt 28Similar
Q3 4:01
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+8
99.9%
Derrick Craine run for 8 yds to the Chatt 36Similar
Q3 3:40
3RD & 2
OWN 36
+4
99.8%
Derrick Craine run for 4 yds to the Chatt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+12
99.9%
Jacob Huesman pass complete to C.J. Board for 12 yds to the Tenn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:41
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+14
99.9%
Jacob Huesman run for 14 yds to the Tenn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:03
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
99.9%
Derrick Craine run for 1 yd to the Tenn 33Similar
Q3 1:24
2ND & 9
OPP 33
+8
99.9%
Jacob Huesman pass complete to Xavier Borishade for 8 yds to the Tenn 25Similar
Q3 0:43
3RD & 1
OPP 25
0
99.9%
Derrick Craine run for no gain to the Tenn 25Similar
Q3 0:04
4TH & 1
OPP 25
0
99.8%
Derrick Craine run for no gain to the Tenn 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 22MISSED FG
11 plays · 50 yds · 3:47100% → 100%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.9%
Nathan Peterman pass complete to Vic Wharton for 4 yds to the Tenn 29Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
99.9%
Nathan Peterman pass incomplete to Pig HowardSimilar
Q4 14:49
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+14
99.9%
Nathan Peterman pass complete to Jacob Carter for 14 yds to the Tenn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
99.9%
Derrell Scott run for 4 yds to the Tenn 47Similar
Q4 14:05
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+8
99.9%
Derrell Scott run for 8 yds to the Chatt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:37
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
99.9%
Nathan Peterman run for 6 yds to the Chatt 39Similar
Q4 13:17
2ND & 4
OPP 39
+6
99.9%
Justus Pickett run for 6 yds to the Chatt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:44
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
99.9%
Nathan Peterman pass complete to Vic Wharton for 1 yd to the Chatt 32Similar
Q4 12:05
2ND & 9
OPP 32
+7
99.9%
Nathan Peterman run for 7 yds to the Chatt 25Similar
Q4 11:52
3RD & 2
OPP 25
0
99.9%
Justus Pickett run for no gain to the Chatt 25Similar
Q4 11:13
4TH & 2
OPP 25
+42
99.9%
Aaron Medley 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTCDrive 23TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:280% → 0%
Q4 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.9%
Jacob Huesman run for 2 yds to the Chatt 27Similar
Q4 10:19
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+13
99.9%
Jacob Huesman pass complete to Alphonso Stewart for 13 yds to the Chatt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:44
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+12
99.9%
Jacob Huesman run for 12 yds to the Tenn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:12
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
99.9%
Jacob Huesman pass incomplete to Richardre BagleySimilar
Q4 9:02
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+8
99.9%
Jacob Huesman run for 8 yds to the Tenn 40Similar
Q4 8:19
3RD & 2
OPP 40
+10
99.9%
Richardre Bagley run for 10 yds to the Tenn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:40
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+11
99.9%
Alejandro Bennifield pass complete to Faysal Shafaat for 11 yds to the Tenn 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:09
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
99.9%
Alejandro Bennifield run for 5 yds to the Tenn 14Similar
Q4 6:38
2ND & 5
OPP 14
+14
99.9%
Richardre Bagley 14 Yd Run (Henrique Ribeiro Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 24FUMBLE
7 plays · 17 yds · 2:35100% → 100%
Q4 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+5
99.9%
Nathan Peterman run for 5 yds to the Tenn 19Similar
Q4 5:39
2ND & 5
OWN 19
+7
99.9%
Derrell Scott run for 7 yds to the Tenn 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-6
99.9%
Nathan Peterman run for a loss of 6 yards to the Tenn 20Similar
Q4 4:28
2ND & 16
OWN 20
+11
99.9%
Derrell Scott run for 11 yds to the Tenn 31Similar
Q4 4:01
3RD & 5
OWN 31
0
99.9%
Nathan Peterman pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:49
4TH & 5
OWN 31
+54
99.9%
Matt Darr punt for 54 yds , C.J. Board returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Chatt 14 C.J. Board fumbled, recovered by Tenn Cortez McDowellSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 25TD
1 play · 14 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 3:40
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
100.0%
Nathan Peterman 14 Yd Run (Aaron Medley Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTCDrive 26PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 2:190% → 0%
Q4 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
100.0%
Taharin Tyson run for no gain to the Chatt 25Similar
Q4 2:50
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
100.0%
Taharin Tyson run for no gain to the Chatt 25Similar
Q4 2:07
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+2
100.0%
Taharin Tyson run for 2 yds to the Chatt 27Similar
Q4 1:15
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
100.0%
Nick Pollard punt for 40 yds, downed at the Tenn 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 27END OF GAME
2 plays · 9 yds · 1:13100% → 100%
Q4 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
100.0%
Deanthonie Summerhill run for 5 yds to the Tenn 38Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+4
100.0%
Deanthonie Summerhill run for 4 yds to the Tenn 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:15
Johnathon Johnson 21 Yd pass from Justin Worley (Aaron Medley Kick)
+3.9
TD · Q2 13:48
Justin Worley 8 Yd Run (Aaron Medley Kick)
+2.1
TD · Q3 14:08
Johnathon Johnson 19 Yd pass from Justin Worley (Aaron Medley Kick)
+1.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com