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UGA

Georgia 34 at Missouri 0

MIZ
2014 · Week 7 · Oct 11, 2014 · Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · MIZ
modelMIZ aheadUGA aheadconfidence bandkey playMIZ scoreUGA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 2:55 · Collin Barber punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Marcus Murphy at the Misso 28
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+57.5+28.80−28.8−57.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 80Home team on offense−23.8Score differential−9.5Garbage-time factor−4.3Pregame prior−5.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.4
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 2:07: Marshall Morgan 29 yd FG GOOD — UGA win probability +1.5 pts (now 60%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 10:57: Hutson Mason run for 11 yds for a TD, (Marshall Morgan KICK) — UGA win probability +5.4 pts (now 68%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 5:32: Hutson Mason pass complete to Michael Bennett for 9 yds for a TD, (Marshall Morgan KICK) — UGA win probability +12.1 pts (now 83%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q2 1:46: Nick Chubb run for 3 yds to the Misso 47 — UGA win probability +6.6 pts (now 86%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q2 0:31: Timeout GEORGIA, clock 00:31 — MIZ win probability +6.5 pts (now 20%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MIZ made the numbers' call on 6 of 6UGA made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 13:24MIZ 4th & 8 at MIZ 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.8%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:54UGA 4th & 3 at MIZ 29, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 51.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    51.4%−0.1
    58% to make
    Punt
    50.7%−0.8
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:07UGA 4th & 7 at MIZ 11, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 51.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.5%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    51.7%
    87% to make
    Punt
    49.2%−2.5
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:39MIZ 4th & 11 at MIZ 41, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.3%−1.0
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.3%
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:05MIZ 4th & 5 at MIZ 44, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.2%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:45MIZ 4th & 14 at MIZ 15, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.2%−1.8
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:55UGA 4th & 10 at UGA 41, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.0%−0.6
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.6%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:23UGA 4th & 1 at MIZ 41, up 20
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 84.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    84.6%−0.2
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    83.7%−1.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:57UGA 4th & 16 at UGA 35, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.7%−3.2
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.9%
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:07UGA 4th & 7 at UGA 45, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.5%−0.7
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.2%
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:09MIZ 4th & 11 at MIZ 15, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.1%−0.5
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.6%
    average punt
  12. Q4 8:23UGA 4th & 1 at MIZ 14, up 27
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    99.3%−0.3
    84% to make
    Punt
    98.3%−1.3
    average punt
  13. Q4 6:24MIZ 4th & 15 at MIZ 20, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:40UGA 4th & 1 at MIZ 29, up 34
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.1
    58% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UGA made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q2 10:57UGA Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 5:32UGA Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 0:47UGA Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 7:46UGA Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MIZDrive 1FUMBLE
6 plays · 18 yds · 1:2140% → 41%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+16
40.3%
Maty Mauk run for 1 yd to the Misso 22 for a 1ST down GEORGIA Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Misso 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
40.3%
Russell Hansbrough run for 2 yds to the Misso 39Similar
Q1 13:50
2ND & 8
OWN 39
0
40.7%
Maty Mauk pass incomplete to Russell HansbroughSimilar
Q1 13:41
3RD & 8
OWN 39
0
40.6%
Maty Mauk pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:24
4TH & 8
OWN 39
+12
40.7%
Christian Brinser punt for 47 yds , Isaiah McKenzie returns for 12 yds to the Geo 26 Isaiah McKenzie fumbled, recovered by GeoSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 2FG
12 plays · 45 yds · 4:2159% → 59%
Q1 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
40.8%
Nick Chubb run for 4 yds to the Geo 30Similar
Q1 12:49
2ND & 6
OWN 30
+7
40.9%
Nick Chubb run for 7 yds to the Geo 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:39
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
40.9%
MISSOURI Penalty, Defensive Offside (Harold Brantley) to the Geo 42Similar
Q1 12:21
1ST & 5
OWN 42
0
40.8%
Nick Chubb run for no gain to the Geo 42Similar
Q1 11:47
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+12
40.9%
Hutson Mason pass complete to Nick Chubb for 12 yds to the Misso 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:34
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
40.9%
Nick Chubb run for 4 yds to the Misso 42Similar
Q1 11:06
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+3
41.0%
Hutson Mason run for 3 yds to the Misso 39Similar
Q1 10:51
3RD & 3
OPP 39
+3
41.0%
Nick Chubb run for 3 yds to the Misso 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+8
41.2%
Hutson Mason pass complete to Chris Conley for 8 yds Chris Conley fumbled, recovered by GeoSimilar
Q1 10:02
2ND & 2
OPP 28
-1
41.1%
Nick Chubb run for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 29Similar
Q1 9:26
3RD & 3
OPP 29
0
41.4%
Nick Chubb run for no gain to the Misso 29Similar
Q1 8:54
4TH & 3
OPP 29
+47
41.4%
Marshall Morgan 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 3INT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:1042% → 41%
Q1 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
41.5%
Marcus Murphy run for 3 yds to the Misso 26Similar
Q1 8:09
2ND & 7
OWN 26
-1
41.7%
Marcus Murphy run for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 25Similar
Q1 7:27
3RD & 8
OWN 25
0
41.4%
Maty Mauk pass intercepted Quincy Mauger return for no gain to the Misso 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:5859% → 58%
Q1 7:19
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+14
41.1%
Hutson Mason pass complete to Michael Bennett for 14 yds to the Misso 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:09
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
40.9%
Nick Chubb run for 1 yd to the Misso 32Similar
Q1 6:38
2ND & 9
OPP 32
0
41.1%
Hutson Mason pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:38
3RD & 9
OPP 32
-12
41.4%
Hutson Mason sacked by Harold Brantley for a loss of 12 yards to the Misso 44 GEORGIA Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Hutson Mason) to the Misso 44Similar
Q1 6:21
3RD & 21
OPP 44
+9
42.0%
Adam Erickson punt for 35 yds , Marcus Murphy returns for 9 yds to the Misso 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 5INT
2 plays · 6 yds · 0:3142% → 42%
Q1 6:13
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+6
41.9%
Marcus Murphy run for 6 yds to the Misso 24Similar
Q1 5:42
2ND & 4
OWN 24
0
41.9%
Maty Mauk pass intercepted Damian Swann return for no gain to the Misso 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 6FG
7 plays · 14 yds · 3:2559% → 60%
Q1 5:32
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-3
41.0%
Nick Chubb run for a loss of 3 yards to the Misso 28Similar
Q1 4:55
2ND & 13
OPP 28
+6
41.4%
Hutson Mason pass complete to Nick Chubb for 6 yds to the Misso 22Similar
Q1 4:24
3RD & 7
OPP 22
+8
41.5%
Hutson Mason pass complete to Nick Chubb for 8 yds to the Misso 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:53
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-2
41.1%
Nick Chubb run for a loss of 2 yards to the Misso 16Similar
Q1 3:21
2ND & 12
OPP 16
-1
41.3%
Nick Chubb run for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 17Similar
Q1 2:38
3RD & 13
OPP 17
+6
41.5%
Hutson Mason pass complete to Jeb Blazevich for 6 yds to the Misso 11Similar
Q1 2:07
4TH & 7
OPP 11
+29
40.0%
Marshall Morgan 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 1:1841% → 40%
Q1 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
40.8%
Maty Mauk pass complete to J'Mon Moore for 17 yds to the Misso 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
41.8%
Maty Mauk pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:23
2ND & 10
OWN 42
-1
41.2%
Russell Hansbrough run for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 41Similar
Q1 0:56
3RD & 11
OWN 41
0
40.6%
Maty Mauk pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:39
4TH & 11
OWN 41
+13
40.1%
Christian Brinser punt for 43 yds , Isaiah McKenzie returns for 13 yds to the Geo 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 8TD
13 plays · 71 yds · 4:3560% → 68%
Q1 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
40.0%
Nick Chubb run for 2 yds to the Geo 31Similar
Q1 0:07
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+7
39.9%
Hutson Mason pass complete to Michael Bennett for 7 yds to the Geo 38Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 1
OWN 38
+6
39.3%
Nick Chubb run for 6 yds to the Geo 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+8
39.1%
Hutson Mason pass complete to Malcolm Mitchell for 8 yds to the Misso 48Similar
Q2 14:31
2ND & 2
OPP 48
+8
38.8%
Nick Chubb run for 8 yds to the Misso 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:15
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
38.8%
Hutson Mason pass complete to Malcolm Mitchell for 5 yds to the Misso 35Similar
Q2 13:44
2ND & 5
OPP 35
+1
37.8%
Nick Chubb run for 1 yd to the Misso 34Similar
Q2 13:10
3RD & 4
OPP 34
+8
38.0%
Hutson Mason pass complete to Jay Rome for 8 yds to the Misso 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:49
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
37.6%
Hutson Mason pass incomplete to Malcolm MitchellSimilar
Q2 12:41
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+4
37.7%
Nick Chubb run for 4 yds to the Misso 22Similar
Q2 11:57
3RD & 6
OPP 22
+8
37.7%
Hutson Mason pass complete to Reggie Davis for 8 yds to the Misso 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:23
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
37.2%
Hutson Mason pass complete to Jay Rome for 3 yds to the Misso 11Similar
Q2 10:57
2ND & 7
OPP 11
+11
31.8%
Hutson Mason run for 11 yds for a TD, (Marshall Morgan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:3534% → 33%
Q2 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
34.3%
Marcus Murphy run for no gain to the Misso 39Similar
Q2 10:15
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+5
34.0%
Maty Mauk pass complete to Jimmie Hunt for 5 yds to the Misso 44Similar
Q2 9:44
3RD & 5
OWN 44
0
33.5%
Maty Mauk run for no gain to the Misso 44Similar
Q2 9:05
4TH & 5
OWN 44
+21
32.9%
Christian Brinser punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Reggie Davis at the MISSOURI 20 MISSOURI Penalty, Kick Catching Interference (-15 Yards) to the Geo 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 10TD
11 plays · 65 yds · 3:2668% → 83%
Q2 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
32.0%
Hutson Mason pass complete to Malcolm Mitchell for 5 yds to the Geo 40Similar
Q2 8:31
2ND & 5
OWN 40
0
31.2%
Hutson Mason pass incomplete to Michael BennettSimilar
Q2 8:25
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+11
31.4%
Hutson Mason pass complete to Michael Bennett for 11 yds to the Misso 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:10
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-1
31.8%
Hutson Mason pass complete to Malcolm Mitchell for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 7:35
2ND & 11
50
+18
30.8%
Nick Chubb run for 18 yds to the Misso 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:20
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
30.5%
Nick Chubb run for 4 yds to the Misso 28Similar
Q2 6:45
2ND & 6
OPP 28
+4
30.2%
Brendan Douglas run for 4 yds to the Misso 24Similar
Q2 6:28
3RD & 2
OPP 24
+4
30.5%
Brendan Douglas run for 4 yds to the Misso 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:12
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
30.0%
MISSOURI Penalty, Defensive Offside (Josh Augusta) to the Misso 15Similar
Q2 5:56
1ST & 5
OPP 15
+6
29.3%
Hutson Mason pass complete to Malcolm Mitchell for 6 yds to the Misso 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
17.2%
Hutson Mason pass complete to Michael Bennett for 9 yds for a TD, (Marshall Morgan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:3421% → 20%
Q2 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
21.4%
Maty Mauk pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:11
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+4
20.9%
Russell Hansbrough run for 4 yds to the Misso 23Similar
Q2 4:33
3RD & 6
OWN 23
-8
20.4%
Maty Mauk sacked by Toby Johnson and Jordan Jenkins for a loss of 8 yards to the Misso 15Similar
Q2 3:45
4TH & 14
OWN 15
+13
19.8%
Christian Brinser punt for 57 yds , Isaiah McKenzie returns for 13 yds to the Geo 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:4184% → 83%
Q2 3:36
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
16.4%
Nick Chubb run for no gain to the Geo 41Similar
Q2 3:12
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
16.2%
Hutson Mason pass incomplete to Michael BennettSimilar
Q2 3:05
3RD & 10
OWN 41
0
16.6%
Hutson Mason pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:55
4TH & 10
OWN 41
0
17.2%
Collin Barber punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Marcus Murphy at the Misso 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 13FUMBLE
4 plays · 22 yds · 0:5220% → 21%
Q2 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+11
19.5%
Maty Mauk pass complete to Bud Sasser for 11 yds to the Misso 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:37
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
20.3%
Maty Mauk pass complete to Lawrence Lee for 5 yds to the Misso 44Similar
Q2 2:21
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+11
20.4%
Russell Hansbrough run for 11 yds to the Geo 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:55
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-5
20.6%
Maty Mauk sacked by Leonard Floyd for a loss of 5 yards to the 50 yard line Maty Mauk fumbled, forced by Leonard Floyd, recovered by Geo Jordan Jenkins , return for 0 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:2386% → 80%
Q2 1:46
1ST & 10
50
+3
14.0%
Nick Chubb run for 3 yds to the Misso 47Similar
Q2 1:18
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+5
13.5%
Hutson Mason pass complete to Nick Chubb for 5 yds to the Misso 42Similar
Q2 1:10
3RD & 2
OPP 42
+1
13.6%
Nick Chubb run for 1 yd to the Misso 41Similar
Q2 0:23
4TH & 1
OPP 41
0
20.2%
Adam Erickson punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Marcus Murphy at the Misso 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 15END OF HALF
3 plays · 26 yds · 0:1720% → 21%
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+13
19.7%
Marcus Murphy run for 13 yds to the Misso 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
19.8%
Maty Mauk pass complete to Marcus Murphy for 13 yds to the Misso 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
20.5%
Maty Mauk pass incomplete to Wesley LeftwichSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 10 yds · 2:4085% → 88%
Q3 14:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
15.4%
Nick Chubb run for 1 yd to the Geo 26Similar
Q3 14:18
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+3
15.2%
Nick Chubb run for 3 yds to the Geo 29Similar
Q3 13:38
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+12
15.8%
Hutson Mason pass complete to Jeb Blazevich for 12 yds to the Geo 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:19
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
14.2%
Nick Chubb run for 1 yd to the Geo 42Similar
Q3 12:44
2ND & 9
OWN 42
0
11.6%
Hutson Mason pass incomplete to Chris ConleySimilar
Q3 12:38
3RD & 9
OWN 42
-7
11.7%
Hutson Mason sacked by Charles Harris for a loss of 7 yards to the Geo 35Similar
Q3 11:57
4TH & 16
OWN 35
0
12.2%
Collin Barber punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Marcus Murphy at the Misso 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 17INT
3 plays · 32 yds · 0:4015% → 15%
Q3 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+8
14.7%
Russell Hansbrough run for 8 yds to the Misso 34Similar
Q3 11:16
2ND & 2
OWN 34
+24
13.8%
Maty Mauk pass complete to Jimmie Hunt for 24 yds to the Geo 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:02
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
14.6%
Maty Mauk pass intercepted Quincy Mauger return for no gain to the Geo 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 15 yds · 1:4790% → 91%
Q3 10:54
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+12
10.4%
Nick Chubb run for 12 yds to the Geo 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
9.9%
Hutson Mason pass complete to Malcolm Mitchell for 4 yds to the Geo 46Similar
Q3 10:15
2ND & 6
OWN 46
-1
9.3%
Nick Chubb run for a loss of 1 yard to the Geo 45Similar
Q3 9:41
3RD & 7
OWN 45
0
9.0%
Hutson Mason pass complete to Jay Rome for no gain to the Geo 45Similar
Q3 9:07
4TH & 7
OWN 45
0
9.3%
Collin Barber punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Misso 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 19INT
10 plays · 45 yds · 3:1912% → 11%
Q3 8:56
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+3
12.2%
Maty Mauk pass complete to Bud Sasser for 3 yds to the Misso 19Similar
Q3 8:34
2ND & 7
OWN 19
+5
11.9%
GEORGIA Penalty, Defensive Offside (Toby Johnson) to the Misso 24Similar
Q3 8:13
2ND & 2
OWN 24
+7
12.2%
Marcus Murphy run for 7 yds to the Misso 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
12.0%
Maty Mauk run for 6 yds to the Misso 37Similar
Q3 7:31
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+6
11.7%
Marcus Murphy run for 6 yds to the Misso 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
12.2%
Maty Mauk pass incomplete to Bud SasserSimilar
Q3 7:00
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+16
11.9%
Maty Mauk pass complete to J'Mon Moore for 16 yds to the Geo 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+7
11.0%
Russell Hansbrough run for 7 yds to the Geo 34Similar
Q3 6:20
2ND & 3
OPP 34
-5
11.8%
MISSOURI Penalty, False Start (Taylor Chappell) to the Geo 39Similar
Q3 5:37
2ND & 8
OPP 39
+22
10.5%
Maty Mauk pass intercepted Dominick Sanders return for 22 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 20TD
9 plays · 50 yds · 4:4295% → 98%
Q3 5:29
1ST & 10
50
-3
5.5%
Isaiah McKenzie run for a loss of 3 yards to the Geo 47Similar
Q3 4:49
2ND & 13
OWN 47
+7
4.7%
Nick Chubb run for 7 yds to the Misso 46Similar
Q3 4:11
3RD & 6
OPP 46
+7
4.3%
Hutson Mason run for 7 yds to the Misso 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:45
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+7
4.1%
Nick Chubb run for 7 yds to the Misso 32Similar
Q3 3:03
2ND & 3
OPP 32
+5
3.8%
Nick Chubb run for 5 yds to the Misso 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:27
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+7
3.6%
Nick Chubb run for 7 yds to the Misso 20Similar
Q3 2:02
2ND & 3
OPP 20
+2
3.5%
Nick Chubb run for 2 yds to the Misso 18Similar
Q3 1:24
3RD & 1
OPP 18
+3
3.5%
Brendan Douglas run for 3 yds to the Misso 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:47
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
2.1%
Brendan Douglas run for 15 yds for a TD, (Marshall Morgan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:214% → 4%
Q3 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+3
3.7%
Maty Mauk pass complete to Marcus Murphy for 3 yds to the Misso 19Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 7
OWN 19
0
3.8%
Maty Mauk run for no gain to the Misso 19Similar
Q4 14:53
3RD & 7
OWN 19
-4
3.7%
Russell Hansbrough run for a loss of 4 yards to the Misso 15Similar
Q4 14:09
4TH & 11
OWN 15
+1
3.5%
Christian Brinser punt for 38 yds , Isaiah McKenzie returns for 1 yd to the Geo 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 22TD
12 plays · 52 yds · 6:0399% → 100%
Q4 13:49
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-10
0.7%
Chubb, Nick rush for 3 yards to the MISSOURI49, PENALTY GEORGIA holding (Andrews, David) 10 yards to the GEORGIA38, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:35
1ST & 20
OWN 38
+12
0.7%
Hutson Mason pass complete to Michael Bennett for 12 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 12:52
2ND & 8
50
+5
0.7%
Nick Chubb run for 5 yds to the Misso 45Similar
Q4 12:14
3RD & 3
OPP 45
+12
0.5%
Nick Chubb run for 12 yds to the Misso 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:37
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
0.5%
Brendan Douglas run for 1 yd to the Misso 32Similar
Q4 10:52
2ND & 9
OPP 32
+9
0.5%
Brendan Douglas run for 9 yds to the Misso 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-4
0.3%
Nick Chubb run for a loss of 4 yards to the Misso 27Similar
Q4 9:34
2ND & 14
OPP 27
+6
0.3%
Nick Chubb run for 6 yds to the Misso 21Similar
Q4 8:50
3RD & 8
OPP 21
+7
0.3%
Nick Chubb run for 7 yds to the Misso 14Similar
Q4 8:23
4TH & 1
OPP 14
+5
0.3%
Nick Chubb run for 5 yds to the Misso 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
0.2%
Nick Chubb run for 9 yds for a TD, (Marshall Morgan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 1:140% → 0%
Q4 7:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
0.2%
Russell Hansbrough run for 3 yds to the Misso 28Similar
Q4 7:08
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-8
0.2%
Maty Mauk sacked by Lorenzo Carter for a loss of 8 yards to the Misso 20Similar
Q4 6:37
3RD & 15
OWN 20
0
0.2%
Maty Mauk pass incomplete to Wesley LeftwichSimilar
Q4 6:24
4TH & 15
OWN 20
+4
0.2%
Christian Brinser punt for 43 yds , Isaiah McKenzie returns for 4 yds to the Geo 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 24END OF GAME
9 plays · 45 yds · 6:15100% → 100%
Q4 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
0.2%
Brendan Douglas run for 2 yds to the Geo 43Similar
Q4 5:34
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+6
0.2%
Brendan Douglas run for 6 yds to the Geo 49Similar
Q4 4:53
3RD & 2
OWN 49
+13
0.2%
Brice Ramsey pass complete to Quayvon Hicks for 13 yds to the Misso 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:08
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
0.1%
Brendan Douglas run for 4 yds to the Misso 34Similar
Q4 3:21
2ND & 6
OPP 34
+3
0.1%
Brendan Douglas run for 3 yds to the Misso 31Similar
Q4 2:33
3RD & 3
OPP 31
+2
0.1%
Brendan Douglas run for 2 yds to the Misso 29Similar
Q4 1:40
4TH & 1
OPP 29
+6
0.1%
Brendan Douglas run for 6 yds to the Misso 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:49
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
0.1%
Quayvon Hicks run for 3 yds to the Misso 20Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 20
+6
0.1%
Brendan Douglas run for 6 yds to the Misso 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 5:32
Hutson Mason pass complete to Michael Bennett for 9 yds for a TD, (Marshall Morgan KICK)
-12.1
KEY PLAY · Q2 1:46
Nick Chubb run for 3 yds to the Misso 47
-6.6
KEY PLAY · Q2 0:31
Timeout GEORGIA, clock 00:31
+6.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com