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MISS

Ole Miss 35 at Texas A&M 20

TA&M
2014 · Week 7 · Oct 11, 2014 · Kyle Field
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Win probability · TA&M
modelTA&M aheadMISS aheadconfidence bandkey playTA&M scoreMISS score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · Kenny Hill pass complete to Sabian Holmes for 13 yds for a TD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+54.0+27.00−27.0−54.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 2:04: Bo Wallace run for 10 yds for a TD, (Gary Wunderlich KICK) — MISS win probability +4.9 pts (now 59%) (top driver: MISS has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 11:56: Cody Prewitt 75 Yd Interception Return (Gary Wunderlich Kick) — MISS win probability +10.5 pts (now 70%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 7:05: Trey Williams run for 3 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambo KICK) — TA&M win probability +11.1 pts (now 25%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 0:13: Bo Wallace pass complete to Quincy Adeboyejo for 33 yds for a TD, (Gary Wunderlich KICK) — MISS win probability +9.2 pts (now 97%) (top driver: MISS has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 14:48: Keith Lewis 21 Yd Fumble Return (Gary Wunderlich Kick) — MISS win probability +3.1 pts (now 98%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TA&M made the numbers' call on 5 of 9MISS made the numbers' call on 3 of 8
  1. Q1 12:43MISS 4th & 20 at MISS 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.3%−0.2
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:57TA&M 4th & 4 at TA&M 20, tied
    Close callPunted · 54.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.4%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:13TA&M 4th & 7 at TA&M 42, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.4%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.7%
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:11TA&M 4th & 1 at TA&M 36, down 21
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 30.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.2%−1.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:18MISS 4th & 1 at MISS 42, up 21
    Close callPunted · 77.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.3%−0.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:06MISS 4th & 1 at MISS 42, up 21
    Close callPunted · 77.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.6%−0.8
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:09TA&M 4th & 8 at MISS 27, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 22.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    21.9%−0.5
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    22.4%
    62% to make
    Punt
    19.4%−2.9
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:22MISS 4th & 5 at MISS 45, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.5%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.7%
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:22TA&M 4th & 1 at TA&M 45, down 21
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.0 ptsPunted · 20.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.4%−1.0
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:09TA&M 4th & 2 at midfield, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 16.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.2%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    15.8%−1.4
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:44MISS 4th & 2 at MISS 27, up 14
    Close callPunted · 80.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.3%−1.0
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:17TA&M 4th & 9 at TA&M 17, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.8%−1.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.0%
    average punt
  13. Q4 13:28TA&M 4th & 29 at TA&M 6, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−0.2
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%
    average punt
  14. Q4 10:44MISS 4th & 17 at MISS 41, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.2%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.4%
    average punt
  15. Q4 6:27MISS 4th & 1 at MISS 34, up 21
    Close callPunted · 98.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.4%−0.3
    average punt
  16. Q4 4:45TA&M 4th & 2 at TA&M 40, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.1%−0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:50MISS 4th & 1 at MISS 29, up 21
    Close callPunted · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.3%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TA&M made the numbers' call on 1 of 2MISS made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 9:32MISS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:04MISS Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:56MISS Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 7:05TA&M Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    20.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    20.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 0:13MISS Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 14:48MISS Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 8:47TA&M Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.1%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.2%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MISSDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 2:0348% → 48%
Q1 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+13
51.6%
Jaylen Walton run for 13 yds to the TexAM 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:24
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
51.6%
Bo Wallace run for 1 yd to the TexAM 46Similar
Q1 13:52
2ND & 9
OPP 46
+1
51.6%
Jaylen Walton run for 1 yd to the TexAM 45Similar
Q1 12:59
3RD & 8
OPP 45
-12
51.7%
Bo Wallace sacked by Myles Garrett for a loss of 12 yards to the Miss 43Similar
Q1 12:43
4TH & 20
OWN 43
0
52.0%
Will Gleeson punt for 43 yds, downed at the TexAM 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:3952% → 52%
Q1 12:36
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+5
52.0%
Brandon Williams run for 5 yds to the TexAM 19Similar
Q1 11:57
2ND & 5
OWN 19
+4
52.1%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Cameron Clear for 4 yds to the TexAM 23Similar
Q1 11:29
3RD & 1
OWN 23
-3
52.0%
Kenny Hill run for a loss of 3 yards to the TexAM 20Similar
Q1 10:57
4TH & 4
OWN 20
0
51.9%
Drew Kaser punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Markell Pack at the Miss 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 3TD
5 plays · 69 yds · 1:1648% → 50%
Q1 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+13
52.0%
Cody Core run for 13 yds to the Miss 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:19
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
51.8%
Bo Wallace pass incomplete to Laquon TreadwellSimilar
Q1 10:10
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+21
51.9%
Bo Wallace pass complete to Laquon Treadwell for 21 yds to the TexAM 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:41
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+31
51.6%
Bo Wallace pass complete to Quincy Adeboyejo for 31 yds to the TexAM 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
49.7%
Bo Wallace run for 4 yds for a TD, (Gary Wunderlich KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 4PUNT
9 plays · 14 yds · 3:0150% → 49%
Q1 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
50.3%
Brandon Williams run for 2 yds to the TexAM 30Similar
Q1 8:47
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+4
50.0%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Speedy Noil for 4 yds to the TexAM 34Similar
Q1 8:11
3RD & 4
OWN 34
+5
49.8%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Josh Reynolds for 5 yds to the TexAM 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
50.1%
Tra Carson run for 5 yds to the TexAM 44Similar
Q1 7:29
2ND & 5
OWN 44
-10
50.4%
Carson, Tra rush for 2 yards to the TEXASAM46, PENALTY TEXASAM holding (Harrison, Jarvis) 10 yards to the TEXASAM34, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:09
2ND & 15
OWN 34
+3
49.5%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Speedy Noil for 3 yds to the TexAM 37Similar
Q1 6:44
3RD & 12
OWN 37
+5
49.2%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Trey Williams for 5 yds to the TexAM 42Similar
Q1 6:13
4TH & 7
OWN 42
0
49.1%
Drew Kaser punt for 57 yds, downed at the Miss 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 5TD
9 plays · 99 yds · 4:0151% → 59%
Q1 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+11
49.2%
Jaylen Walton run for 11 yds to the Miss 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+18
49.0%
Bo Wallace pass complete to Evan Engram for 18 yds to the Miss 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
48.5%
Jaylen Walton run for 7 yds to the Miss 37Similar
Q1 4:31
2ND & 3
OWN 37
+7
48.0%
Jaylen Walton run for 7 yds to the Miss 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+11
47.5%
Bo Wallace pass complete to Laquon Treadwell for 11 yds to the TexAM 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:34
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
47.2%
Bo Wallace pass complete to Laquon Treadwell for 5 yds to the TexAM 40Similar
Q1 2:51
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+12
46.8%
Bo Wallace run for 12 yds to the TexAM 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:14
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+18
46.3%
Bo Wallace pass complete to Cody Core for 18 yds to the TexAM 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
41.4%
Bo Wallace run for 10 yds for a TD, (Gary Wunderlich KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 6INT TD
13 plays · 31 yds · 4:5343% → 30%
Q1 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
42.8%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Trey Williams for 6 yds to the TexAM 30Similar
Q1 1:16
2ND & 4
OWN 30
+1
42.9%
Trey Williams run for 1 yd to the TexAM 31Similar
Q1 0:45
3RD & 3
OWN 31
+4
42.5%
Kenny Hill run for 4 yds to the TexAM 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
42.1%
Brandon Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexAM 34Similar
Q2 14:49
2ND & 11
OWN 34
+10
41.8%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Speedy Noil for 10 yds to the TexAM 44Similar
Q2 14:29
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+5
42.6%
Brandon Williams run for 5 yds to the TexAM 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:57
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
42.2%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Cameron Clear for 6 yds to the Miss 45Similar
Q2 13:39
2ND & 4
OPP 45
+5
42.1%
Tra Carson run for 5 yds to the Miss 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:16
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
41.8%
Tra Carson run for no gain to the Miss 40Similar
Q2 12:45
2ND & 10
OPP 40
0
41.6%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Edward Pope for no gain to the Miss 40Similar
Q2 12:23
3RD & 10
OPP 40
-5
40.9%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, False Start (Jarvis Harrison) to the Miss 45Similar
Q2 11:56
3RD & 15
OPP 45
+75
30.4%
Cody Prewitt 75 Yd Interception Return (Gary Wunderlich Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:2529% → 28%
Q2 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
29.4%
Tra Carson run for 1 yd to the TexAM 28Similar
Q2 10:59
2ND & 9
OWN 28
+8
28.7%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Ricky Seals-Jones for 8 yds to the TexAM 36Similar
Q2 10:46
3RD & 1
OWN 36
0
29.2%
Tra Carson run for no gain to the TexAM 36Similar
Q2 10:11
4TH & 1
OWN 36
0
28.4%
Drew Kaser punt for 59 yds, fair catch by Markell Pack at the Miss 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 8PUNT
12 plays · 37 yds · 3:5974% → 75%
Q2 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+2
25.6%
Jaylen Walton run for 2 yds to the Miss 7Similar
Q2 9:32
2ND & 8
OWN 7
+4
25.0%
Bo Wallace run for 4 yds to the Miss 11Similar
Q2 9:00
3RD & 4
OWN 11
+6
24.8%
Bo Wallace pass complete to Vince Sanders for 6 yds to the Miss 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:22
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+4
23.3%
Bo Wallace pass complete to Quintavius Burdette for 4 yds to the Miss 21Similar
Q2 7:55
2ND & 6
OWN 21
+12
24.1%
Bo Wallace run for 12 yds to the Miss 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
23.6%
I'Tavius Mathers run for 6 yds to the Miss 39Similar
Q2 6:50
2ND & 4
OWN 39
0
22.5%
Bo Wallace pass incomplete to Evan EngramSimilar
Q2 6:40
3RD & 4
OWN 39
+3
25.8%
Bo Wallace run for 3 yds to the Miss 42Similar
Q2 6:18
4TH & 1
OWN 42
+4
25.7%
Will Gleeson punt for 45 yds , Speedy Noil returns for 4 yds to the TexAM 17Similar
Q2 6:06
4TH & 1
OWN 42
+4
25.5%
Will Gleeson punt for 45 yds , Speedy Noil returns for 4 yds to the TexAM 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 9DOWNS
13 plays · 55 yds · 4:4925% → 22%
Q2 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+13
24.8%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Cameron Clear for 13 yds to the TexAM 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-5
24.4%
Trey Williams run for a loss of 5 yards to the TexAM 25Similar
Q2 4:58
2ND & 15
OWN 25
+5
23.7%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Trey Williams for 5 yds to the TexAM 30Similar
Q2 4:16
3RD & 10
OWN 30
+14
23.1%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Trey Williams for 14 yds to the TexAM 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
24.6%
Trey Williams run for 1 yd to the TexAM 45Similar
Q2 3:46
2ND & 9
OWN 45
+6
24.4%
Brandon Williams run for 6 yds to the Miss 49Similar
Q2 3:16
3RD & 3
OPP 49
+5
24.4%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Speedy Noil for 5 yds to the Miss 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:49
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
23.9%
Kenny Hill run for 1 yd to the Miss 43Similar
Q2 2:17
2ND & 9
OPP 43
+14
23.3%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Ricky Seals-Jones for 14 yds to the Miss 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:52
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
23.9%
Tra Carson run for 2 yds to the Miss 27Similar
Q2 1:23
2ND & 8
OPP 27
0
23.6%
Kenny Hill pass incomplete to Sabian HolmesSimilar
Q2 1:16
3RD & 8
OPP 27
0
22.6%
Kenny Hill pass incomplete to Sabian HolmesSimilar
Q2 1:09
4TH & 8
OPP 27
-1
22.0%
Conner McQueen run for a loss of 1 yard to the Miss 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 0:3883% → 82%
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+12
16.7%
Bo Wallace pass complete to Laquon Treadwell for 12 yds to the Miss 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
16.1%
Bo Wallace pass incomplete to Laquon TreadwellSimilar
Q2 0:43
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+5
16.1%
Bo Wallace run for 5 yds to the Miss 45Similar
Q2 0:37
3RD & 5
OWN 45
0
17.4%
Bo Wallace pass incomplete to Cody Core, broken up by Deshazor EverettSimilar
Q2 0:22
4TH & 5
OWN 45
+15
18.1%
Will Gleeson punt for 45 yds , Speedy Noil returns for 15 yds to the TEXASAM 25 TEXAS A&M Penalty, Personal Foul (Edward Pope) to the TexAM 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 11END OF HALF
4 plays · 44 yds · 0:1321% → 22%
Q2 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+12
21.1%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Ricky Seals-Jones for 12 yds to the TexAM 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
21.2%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Josh Reynolds for 17 yds to the TexAM 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
21.5%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Josh Reynolds for 13 yds to the Miss 43 for a 1ST down lat. to Ricky Seals-Jones for 2 yds Ricky Seals-Jones fumbled, recovered by TexAM Josh Reynolds for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 1:2919% → 19%
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
18.9%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Speedy Noil for 5 yds to the TexAM 30Similar
Q3 14:29
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+6
19.3%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Boone Niederhofer for 6 yds to the TexAM 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
19.3%
Trey Williams run for 6 yds to the TexAM 42Similar
Q3 13:45
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+3
19.6%
Trey Williams run for 3 yds to the TexAM 45Similar
Q3 13:36
3RD & 1
OWN 45
0
19.6%
Kenny Hill pass incomplete to Speedy NoilSimilar
Q3 13:22
4TH & 1
OWN 45
0
19.3%
Drew Kaser punt for 45 yds, downed at the Miss 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 13PUNT
3 plays · 9 yds · 1:1585% → 88%
Q3 13:16
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
14.8%
Bo Wallace run for no gain to the Miss 10Similar
Q3 12:35
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+8
13.3%
Bo Wallace pass complete to Vince Sanders for 8 yds to the Miss 18Similar
Q3 12:01
3RD & 2
OWN 18
+1
12.4%
Jeremy Liggins run for 1 yd to the Miss 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 14TD
14 plays · 58 yds · 4:0917% → 25%
Q3 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
17.3%
Brandon Williams run for no gain to the TexAM 42Similar
Q3 10:51
2ND & 10
OWN 42
0
16.7%
Kenny Hill pass incomplete to Boone Niederhofer, broken up by Tony ConnerSimilar
Q3 10:51
3RD & 10
OWN 42
+8
16.2%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Ricky Seals-Jones for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 10:09
4TH & 2
50
+5
15.9%
Tra Carson run for 5 yds to the Miss 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-9
15.9%
Tra Carson run for 1 yd to the TexAM 44 TEXAS A&M Penalty, Offensive Holding (Ricky Seals-Jones) to the TexAM 46Similar
Q3 9:23
1ST & 19
OWN 46
+7
14.7%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Boone Niederhofer for 7 yds to the Miss 47Similar
Q3 9:10
2ND & 12
OPP 47
+12
15.2%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Speedy Noil for 12 yds to the Miss 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:59
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
14.7%
Tra Carson run for 5 yds to the Miss 30Similar
Q3 8:39
2ND & 5
OPP 30
+4
14.7%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Ricky Seals-Jones for 4 yds to the Miss 26Similar
Q3 8:18
3RD & 1
OPP 26
+8
13.9%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Edward Pope for 8 yds to the Miss 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:53
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
14.3%
Kenny Hill pass incomplete to Speedy NoilSimilar
Q3 7:44
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+11
14.0%
Kenny Hill run for 11 yds to the Miss 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
13.8%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Boone Niederhofer for 4 yds to the Miss 3Similar
Q3 7:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
24.8%
Trey Williams run for 3 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:0982% → 82%
Q3 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+7
18.3%
Jaylen Walton run for 7 yds to the Miss 26Similar
Q3 6:41
2ND & 3
OWN 26
+1
18.0%
Jaylen Walton run for 1 yd to the Miss 27Similar
Q3 6:03
3RD & 2
OWN 27
0
18.2%
Bo Wallace pass incomplete to Markell Pack, broken up by Howard MatthewsSimilar
Q3 5:44
4TH & 2
OWN 27
+57
18.4%
Will Gleeson punt for 47 yds TEXAS A&M Penalty, Offensive Holding (James White) to the TexAM 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:1720% → 18%
Q3 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-1
19.9%
Brandon Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexAM 15Similar
Q3 5:06
2ND & 11
OWN 15
+2
18.9%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Edward Pope for 2 yds to the TexAM 17Similar
Q3 4:26
3RD & 9
OWN 17
0
17.9%
Kenny Hill pass incomplete to Josh ReynoldsSimilar
Q3 4:17
4TH & 9
OWN 17
0
17.8%
Drew Kaser punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Markell Pack at the Miss 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 17TD
9 plays · 65 yds · 3:5384% → 97%
Q3 4:06
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
16.3%
Bo Wallace run for 2 yds to the Miss 37Similar
Q3 3:33
2ND & 8
OWN 37
0
15.5%
Bo Wallace pass incomplete to Quincy Adeboyejo, broken up by Tommy SandersSimilar
Q3 3:25
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+9
15.8%
Bo Wallace run for 9 yds to the Miss 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+9
14.0%
I'Tavius Mathers run for 9 yds to the TexAM 45Similar
Q3 2:20
2ND & 1
OPP 45
+2
13.3%
I'Tavius Mathers run for 2 yds to the TexAM 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:42
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
13.3%
Bo Wallace pass complete to Laquon Treadwell for 4 yds to the TexAM 39Similar
Q3 1:03
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+6
12.6%
Bo Wallace run for 6 yds to the TexAM 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:32
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
12.2%
Jaylen Walton run for no gain to the TexAM 33Similar
Q3 0:13
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+33
3.0%
Bo Wallace pass complete to Quincy Adeboyejo for 33 yds for a TD, (Gary Wunderlich KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 18FUMBLE RETURN TD
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:145% → 2%
Q3 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
5.0%
Kenny Hill pass incomplete to Brandon WilliamsSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 18
0
4.8%
Kenny Hill pass incomplete to Josh ReynoldsSimilar
Q4 14:48
3RD & 10
OWN 18
-21
1.7%
Keith Lewis 21 Yd Fumble Return (Gary Wunderlich Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · -19 yds · 0:582% → 1%
Q4 14:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
1.7%
Tra Carson run for no gain to the TexAM 25Similar
Q4 14:14
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
1.6%
Kenny Hill pass incomplete to Josh Reynolds, broken up by Mike HiltonSimilar
Q4 14:14
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-5
1.6%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, False Start (Cedric Ogbuehi) to the TexAM 20Similar
Q4 13:52
3RD & 15
OWN 20
-14
1.1%
Kenny Hill sacked by Marquis Haynes for a loss of 14 yards to the TexAM 6Similar
Q4 13:28
4TH & 29
OWN 6
0
1.0%
Drew Kaser punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Markell Pack at the Miss 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 2:3699% → 99%
Q4 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
0.8%
Mark Dodson run for 3 yds to the TexAM 49Similar
Q4 12:45
2ND & 7
OPP 49
-10
0.7%
Wallace, Bo rush for 5 yards to the TEXASAM44, PENALTY OLEMISS holding (Conyers, Robert) 10 yards to the OLEMISS41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:03
2ND & 17
OWN 41
-6
0.7%
Bo Wallace sacked by Ivan Robinson for a loss of 6 yards to the Miss 35Similar
Q4 11:26
3RD & 23
OWN 35
+6
0.7%
Jordan Wilkins run for 6 yds to the Miss 41Similar
Q4 10:44
4TH & 17
OWN 41
0
0.7%
Will Gleeson punt for 46 yds, downed at the TexAM 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 21TD
7 plays · 87 yds · 1:510% → 3%
Q4 10:38
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+9
0.4%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Josh Reynolds for 9 yds to the TexAM 22Similar
Q4 10:22
2ND & 1
OWN 22
+5
0.4%
Trey Williams run for 5 yds to the TexAM 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:06
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+33
0.4%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Speedy Noil for 33 yds to the Miss 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:49
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
0.4%
Brandon Williams run for no gain to the Miss 40Similar
Q4 9:33
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+7
0.4%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Edward Pope for 7 yds to the Miss 33Similar
Q4 9:06
3RD & 3
OPP 33
+9
0.4%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Speedy Noil for 9 yds to the Miss 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:47
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
3.3%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Josh Reynolds for 24 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 2:1498% → 99%
Q4 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
1.7%
I'Tavius Mathers run for 1 yd to the Miss 26Similar
Q4 7:49
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+7
1.6%
Bo Wallace pass complete to Quintavius Burdette for 7 yds to the Miss 33Similar
Q4 7:07
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
1.1%
Jordan Wilkins run for 1 yd to the Miss 34Similar
Q4 6:27
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
0.9%
Will Gleeson punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Speedy Noil at the TexAM 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 23INT
6 plays · 39 yds · 2:142% → 2%
Q4 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-12
1.5%
Kenny Hill sacked by Marquis Haynes for a loss of 12 yards to the TexAM 20Similar
Q4 5:40
2ND & 22
OWN 20
+5
1.4%
Tra Carson run for 5 yds to the TexAM 25Similar
Q4 5:07
3RD & 17
OWN 25
+15
1.3%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Ricky Seals-Jones for 15 yds to the TexAM 40Similar
Q4 4:45
4TH & 2
OWN 40
+10
1.3%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Speedy Noil for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:26
1ST & 10
50
+21
1.3%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Ricky Seals-Jones for 21 yds to the Miss 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:58
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
1.5%
Kenny Hill pass intercepted, touchback. Senquez Golson return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 24PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:5899% → 100%
Q4 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
0.6%
Mark Dodson run for no gain to the Miss 20Similar
Q4 3:06
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-10
0.5%
Wallace, Bo rush for 20 yards to the OLEMISS40, PENALTY OLEMISS holding (Morris, Aaron) 10 yards to the OLEMISS10, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:39
2ND & 20
OWN 10
+3
0.6%
Mark Dodson run for 3 yds to the Miss 13Similar
Q4 2:27
3RD & 17
OWN 13
+16
0.6%
Mark Dodson run for 16 yds to the Miss 29Similar
Q4 1:50
4TH & 1
OWN 29
0
0.4%
Gary Wunderlich punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Speedy Noil at the TexAM 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 25END OF GAME
8 plays · 77 yds · 1:381% → 3%
Q4 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
0.8%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Speedy Noil for 1 yd to the TexAM 24Similar
Q4 1:19
2ND & 9
OWN 24
+13
0.7%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Speedy Noil for 13 yds to the TexAM 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
0.8%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Josh Reynolds for 6 yds to the TexAM 43Similar
Q4 0:47
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+11
0.8%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Trey Williams for 11 yds to the Miss 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:34
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+14
0.8%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Brandon Williams for 14 yds to the Miss 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:26
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+13
1.0%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Edward Pope for 13 yds to the Miss 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:08
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+6
0.9%
Kenny Hill run for 6 yds to the Miss 13Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 4
OPP 13
+13
3.2%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Sabian Holmes for 13 yds for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 7:05
Trey Williams run for 3 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambo KICK)
+11.1
TD · Q2 11:56
Cody Prewitt 75 Yd Interception Return (Gary Wunderlich Kick)
-10.5
TD · Q3 0:13
Bo Wallace pass complete to Quincy Adeboyejo for 33 yds for a TD, (Gary Wunderlich KICK)
-9.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com