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TA&M

Texas A&M 0 at Alabama 59

ALA
2014 · Week 8 · Oct 18, 2014 · Bryant-Denny Stadium
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Win probability · ALA
modelALA aheadTA&M aheadconfidence bandkey playALA scoreTA&M score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · Trey Williams run for 4 yds to the TexAM 28
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 4:38: T.J. Yeldon run for 9 yds for a TD, (Adam Griffith KICK) — ALA win probability +2.2 pts (now 83%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 13:36: T.J. Yeldon run for 1 yd for a TD, (Adam Griffith KICK) — ALA win probability +5.6 pts (now 88%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 11:06: Blake Sims run for 43 yds for a TD, (Adam Griffith KICK) — ALA win probability +4.0 pts (now 93%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 5:26: Derrick Henry run for 8 yds for a TD, (Adam Griffith KICK) — ALA win probability +3.3 pts (now 97%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 4:10: Blake Sims pass complete to Amari Cooper for 24 yds for a TD, (Adam Griffith KICK) — ALA win probability +0.4 pts (now 98%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ALA made the numbers' call on 4 of 6TA&M made the numbers' call on 8 of 11
  1. Q1 11:07ALA 4th & 4 at TA&M 4, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 78.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    78.5%−<0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    78.0%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:30TA&M 4th & 7 at TA&M 28, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.3%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:19TA&M 4th & 5 at TA&M 30, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.1%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.3%
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:36ALA 4th & 1 at TA&M 1, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 79.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    79.5%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    78.0%−1.5
    94% to make
    Punt
    74.1%−5.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:51TA&M 4th & 9 at TA&M 39, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.2%−0.7
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:07TA&M 4th & 4 at TA&M 46, down 24
    Close callPunted · 8.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.6%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:15TA&M 4th & 17 at TA&M 15, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.3%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.5%
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:13TA&M 4th & 1 at TA&M 31, down 38
    Close callPunted · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.6%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:00TA&M 4th & 11 at TA&M 16, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:02TA&M 4th & 9 at ALA 35, down 52
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.5%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    0.5%−<0.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    0.4%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:47ALA 4th & 1 at ALA 41, up 52
    Close callPunted · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.5%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 5:14TA&M 4th & 3 at TA&M 31, down 52
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  13. Q3 4:13ALA 4th & 7 at ALA 28, up 52
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%
    average punt
  14. Q4 10:24ALA 4th & 14 at ALA 40, up 52
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  15. Q4 8:57TA&M 4th & 5 at TA&M 9, down 52
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
  16. Q4 2:44TA&M 4th & 10 at ALA 23, down 59
    Close callWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%
    70% to make
    Punt
    -0.0%−0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 0:23ALA 4th & 5 at ALA 28, up 59
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ALA made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 4:38ALA Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:36ALA Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:06ALA Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 5:26ALA Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 4:10ALA Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:22ALA Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 11:47ALA Touchdown, up 51 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 4:16ALA Touchdown, up 58 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ALADrive 1FG
10 plays · 71 yds · 3:3382% → 81%
Q1 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
81.8%
Blake Sims pass complete to DeAndrew White for 17 yds to the Alab 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:26
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+8
81.7%
Blake Sims pass complete to Amari Cooper for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 14:08
2ND & 2
50
+22
81.7%
Blake Sims pass complete to Amari Cooper for 22 yds to the TexAM 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:41
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
81.6%
Blake Sims pass complete to DeAndrew White for 4 yds to the TexAM 24Similar
Q1 13:05
2ND & 6
OPP 24
+5
81.5%
T.J. Yeldon run for 5 yds to the TexAM 19Similar
Q1 12:13
3RD & 1
OPP 19
+13
81.3%
T.J. Yeldon run for 7 yds to the TexAM 12 for a 1ST down TEXAS A&M Penalty, Illegal Use of Hands (Alonzo Williams) to the TexAM 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
81.4%
Blake Sims pass incomplete to O.J. HowardSimilar
Q1 11:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
81.3%
T.J. Yeldon run for 2 yds to the TexAM 4Similar
Q1 11:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
81.1%
Blake Sims pass incomplete to Amari Cooper, broken up by Deshazor EverettSimilar
Q1 11:07
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
81.2%
Adam Griffith 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:3019% → 19%
Q1 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
81.0%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Malcome Kennedy for 3 yds to the TexAM 28Similar
Q1 10:15
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
80.8%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Malcome Kennedy for 3 yds to the TexAM 31Similar
Q1 9:55
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-3
80.8%
Kenny Hill sacked by Xzavier Dickson and Jonathan Allen for a loss of 3 yards to the TexAM 28Similar
Q1 9:30
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
81.0%
Drew Kaser punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Christion Jones at the Alab 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 3TD
11 plays · 72 yds · 4:3781% → 83%
Q1 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
80.7%
T.J. Yeldon run for 4 yds to the Alab 32Similar
Q1 8:50
2ND & 6
OWN 32
+1
80.5%
Blake Sims run for 1 yd to the Alab 33Similar
Q1 8:20
3RD & 5
OWN 33
+8
80.3%
Blake Sims pass complete to Amari Cooper for 8 yds to the Alab 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:47
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
80.5%
Blake Sims pass incomplete to DeAndrew WhiteSimilar
Q1 7:41
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+5
80.4%
T.J. Yeldon run for 5 yds to the Alab 46Similar
Q1 7:10
3RD & 5
OWN 46
+7
80.3%
Blake Sims pass complete to Amari Cooper for 7 yds to the TexAM 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:32
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+17
80.6%
Blake Sims pass complete to T.J. Yeldon for 17 yds to the TexAM 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:57
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
80.6%
Blake Sims pass incomplete to Amari CooperSimilar
Q1 5:48
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+9
80.5%
T.J. Yeldon run for 9 yds to the TexAM 21Similar
Q1 5:11
3RD & 1
OPP 21
+12
80.2%
Blake Sims pass complete to Jalston Fowler for 12 yds to the TexAM 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
82.5%
T.J. Yeldon run for 9 yds for a TD, (Adam Griffith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:0619% → 18%
Q1 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
81.3%
Tra Carson run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexAM 24Similar
Q1 3:59
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+6
81.4%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Speedy Noil for 6 yds to the TexAM 30Similar
Q1 3:27
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
81.7%
Kenny Hill pass incomplete to Tra Carson, broken up by Trey DePriestSimilar
Q1 3:19
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+1
82.1%
Drew Kaser punt for 55 yds , Christion Jones returns for 1 yd to the Alab 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 5TD
10 plays · 84 yds · 4:3682% → 88%
Q1 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+9
81.9%
Blake Sims run for 9 yds to the Alab 25Similar
Q1 2:43
2ND & 1
OWN 25
+5
82.1%
Derrick Henry run for 5 yds to the Alab 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+17
81.7%
Blake Sims pass complete to T.J. Yeldon for 17 yds to the Alab 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+11
82.2%
Derrick Henry run for 11 yds to the TexAM 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:55
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+7
82.3%
Derrick Henry run for 7 yds to the TexAM 35Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 3
OPP 35
+31
82.4%
T.J. Yeldon run for 31 yds to the TexAM 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
82.4%
T.J. Yeldon run for 2 yds to the TexAM 2Similar
Q2 14:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
82.4%
Blake Sims run for 1 yd to the TexAM 1Similar
Q2 13:40
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
82.1%
Blake Sims pass incomplete to Amari Cooper, broken up by Deshazor EverettSimilar
Q2 13:36
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
87.6%
T.J. Yeldon run for 1 yd for a TD, (Adam Griffith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 1:3413% → 12%
Q2 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
87.0%
Kenny Hill pass incomplete to Sabian Holmes, broken up by Jonathan AllenSimilar
Q2 13:09
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+15
87.1%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Josh Reynolds for 15 yds to the TexAM 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-3
86.9%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Malcome Kennedy for a loss of 3 yards to the TexAM 35Similar
Q2 12:19
2ND & 13
OWN 35
+4
87.4%
Kenny Hill run for 4 yds to the TexAM 39Similar
Q2 12:01
3RD & 9
OWN 39
0
87.3%
Kenny Hill pass incomplete to Malcome Kennedy, broken up by Nick PerrySimilar
Q2 11:51
4TH & 9
OWN 39
0
87.6%
Drew Kaser punt for 25 yds, downed at the Alab 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 7TD
4 plays · 64 yds · 0:3889% → 93%
Q2 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
88.6%
Blake Sims pass incomplete to O.J. HowardSimilar
Q2 11:40
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
88.6%
Blake Sims pass incomplete to DeAndrew WhiteSimilar
Q2 11:25
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+21
88.4%
Blake Sims pass complete to Amari Cooper for 21 yds to the TexAM 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:06
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+43
92.5%
Blake Sims run for 43 yds for a TD, (Adam Griffith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 1:469% → 8%
Q2 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
91.5%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Speedy Noil for 15 yds to the TexAM 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
91.3%
Tra Carson run for 3 yds to the TexAM 43Similar
Q2 10:00
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+4
91.6%
Tra Carson run for 4 yds to the TexAM 47Similar
Q2 9:43
3RD & 3
OWN 47
-1
91.5%
Tra Carson run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexAM 46Similar
Q2 9:07
4TH & 4
OWN 46
0
91.9%
Drew Kaser punt for 54 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 9TD
11 plays · 80 yds · 3:3493% → 97%
Q2 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
92.9%
Blake Sims pass incomplete to T.J. YeldonSimilar
Q2 8:48
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+5
93.2%
Blake Sims pass complete to Amari Cooper for 5 yds to the Alab 25Similar
Q2 8:17
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+9
93.3%
Blake Sims pass complete to DeAndrew White for 9 yds to the Alab 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+25
93.2%
T.J. Yeldon run for 25 yds to the TexAM 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:32
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
93.6%
Derrick Henry run for 5 yds to the TexAM 36Similar
Q2 7:13
2ND & 5
OPP 36
+6
93.7%
Derrick Henry run for 6 yds to the TexAM 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:39
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
93.9%
Blake Sims pass incomplete to Amari CooperSimilar
Q2 6:25
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+11
93.9%
T.J. Yeldon run for 11 yds to the TexAM 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:03
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
94.1%
Blake Sims pass incomplete to Brian Vogler, broken up by Howard MatthewsSimilar
Q2 5:55
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+11
94.1%
Blake Sims pass complete to T.J. Yeldon for 11 yds to the TexAM 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
97.4%
Derrick Henry run for 8 yds for a TD, (Adam Griffith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · -7 yds · 0:413% → 2%
Q2 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+6
97.5%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Boone Niederhofer for 6 yds to the TexAM 28Similar
Q2 4:38
2ND & 4
OWN 28
-13
97.7%
Kenny Hill sacked by Tim Williams and Reggie Ragland for a loss of 13 yards to the TexAM 15 TEXAS A&M Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Kenny Hill) to the TexAM 15Similar
Q2 4:32
3RD & 17
OWN 15
0
98.0%
Kenny Hill pass incomplete to Malcome KennedySimilar
Q2 4:15
4TH & 17
OWN 15
+47
98.0%
Drew Kaser punt for 56 yds , Christion Jones returns for 47 yds to the TexAM 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 11TD
1 play · 24 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q2 4:10
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
98.4%
Blake Sims pass complete to Amari Cooper for 24 yds for a TD, (Adam Griffith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:361% → 1%
Q2 3:49
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
98.7%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Speedy Noil for 5 yds to the TexAM 27Similar
Q2 3:10
2ND & 5
OWN 27
+1
98.8%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Josh Reynolds for 1 yd to the TexAM 28Similar
Q2 2:45
3RD & 4
OWN 28
+3
98.8%
Kenny Hill run for 3 yds to the TexAM 31Similar
Q2 2:13
4TH & 1
OWN 31
0
98.8%
Drew Kaser punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Alab 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 13TD
5 plays · 60 yds · 1:4099% → 99%
Q2 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
98.8%
T.J. Yeldon run for 3 yds to the Alab 43Similar
Q2 1:55
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+13
98.8%
Derrick Henry run for 13 yds to the TexAM 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:05
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
98.9%
Derrick Henry run for 3 yds to the TexAM 41Similar
Q2 0:34
2ND & 7
OPP 41
0
99.1%
Blake Sims pass incomplete to Christion JonesSimilar
Q2 0:22
3RD & 7
OPP 41
+41
99.1%
Blake Sims pass complete to Derrick Henry for 41 yds for a TD, (Adam Griffith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 14END OF HALF
3 plays · 4 yds · 0:091% → 1%
Q2 0:09
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
99.2%
Kenny Hill pass incomplete to Speedy NoilSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+4
99.3%
Kenny Hill run for 4 yds to the TexAM 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:421% → 1%
Q3 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+6
99.0%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Speedy Noil for 6 yds to the TexAM 23Similar
Q3 14:03
2ND & 4
OWN 23
-3
99.1%
Kenny Hill sacked by Maurice Smith and Jonathan Allen for a loss of 3 yards to the TexAM 20Similar
Q3 13:30
3RD & 7
OWN 20
-4
99.2%
Kenny Hill sacked by D.J. Pettway for a loss of 4 yards to the TexAM 16Similar
Q3 13:00
4TH & 11
OWN 16
0
99.3%
Drew Kaser punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Christion Jones at the Alab 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 16TD
3 plays · 57 yds · 1:0099% → 99%
Q3 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
99.2%
Derrick Henry run for 3 yds to the Alab 46Similar
Q3 12:27
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+9
99.3%
Derrick Henry run for 9 yds to the TexAM 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:47
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+45
99.4%
Blake Sims pass complete to Amari Cooper for 45 yds for a TD, (Adam Griffith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 17DOWNS
10 plays · 52 yds · 2:300% → 0%
Q3 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+1
99.6%
Brandon Williams run for 1 yd to the TexAM 18Similar
Q3 11:13
2ND & 9
OWN 18
+15
99.6%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Boone Niederhofer for 15 yds to the TexAM 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+14
99.6%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Edward Pope for 14 yds to the TexAM 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+9
99.6%
Brandon Williams run for 9 yds to the Alab 44Similar
Q3 10:04
2ND & 1
OPP 44
+8
99.6%
Brandon Williams run for 8 yds to the Alab 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:42
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+1
99.6%
Kenny Hill run for 1 yd to the Alab 35Similar
Q3 9:19
2ND & 9
OPP 35
0
99.6%
Kenny Hill pass incomplete to Josh Reynolds, broken up by Landon CollinsSimilar
Q3 9:12
3RD & 9
OPP 35
0
99.6%
Kenny Hill pass incomplete to Edward Pope, broken up by Nick PerrySimilar
Q3 9:02
4TH & 9
OPP 35
+4
99.6%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Sabian Holmes for 4 yds to the Alab 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 2:01100% → 100%
Q3 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
99.5%
Altee Tenpenny run for 3 yds to the Alab 35Similar
Q3 8:16
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+5
99.6%
Tyren Jones run for 5 yds to the Alab 40Similar
Q3 7:34
3RD & 2
OWN 40
+1
99.6%
Altee Tenpenny run for 1 yd to the Alab 41Similar
Q3 6:47
4TH & 1
OWN 41
+18
99.6%
JK Scott punt for 53 yds , Nick Harvey returns for 18 yds to the TexAM 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:210% → 0%
Q3 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
99.7%
James White run for 4 yds to the TexAM 28Similar
Q3 6:01
2ND & 6
OWN 28
0
99.7%
Kenny Hill pass incomplete to Malcome KennedySimilar
Q3 5:50
3RD & 6
OWN 28
+3
99.7%
Kenny Hill run for 3 yds to the TexAM 31Similar
Q3 5:14
4TH & 3
OWN 31
+5
99.7%
Drew Kaser punt for 49 yds , Christion Jones returns for 5 yds to the Alab 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:53100% → 100%
Q3 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.7%
Altee Tenpenny run for 3 yds to the Alab 28Similar
Q3 4:27
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
99.7%
Jake Coker pass incomplete to Chris BlackSimilar
Q3 4:19
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
99.7%
Jake Coker pass incomplete to Michael NysewanderSimilar
Q3 4:13
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
99.7%
JK Scott punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexAM 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 21INT
9 plays · 54 yds · 3:220% → 0%
Q3 3:56
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-3
99.8%
Kenny Hill sacked by Reuben Foster for a loss of 3 yards to the TexAM 26Similar
Q3 3:38
2ND & 13
OWN 26
+5
99.8%
Trey Williams run for 5 yds to the TexAM 31Similar
Q3 3:10
3RD & 8
OWN 31
+13
99.8%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Boone Niederhofer for 13 yds to the TexAM 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
99.8%
Trey Williams run for 3 yds to the TexAM 47Similar
Q3 2:19
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+8
99.8%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Edward Pope for 8 yds to the Alab 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:52
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
99.8%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Malcome Kennedy for 1 yd to the Alab 44Similar
Q3 1:29
2ND & 9
OPP 44
+1
99.9%
Tra Carson run for 1 yd to the Alab 43Similar
Q3 0:52
3RD & 8
OPP 43
+26
99.9%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Josh Reynolds for 26 yds Josh Reynolds fumbled, forced by Geno Smith, recovered by TexAMSimilar
Q3 0:34
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+1
99.8%
Kenny Hill pass intercepted Reggie Ragland return for 1 yd to the Alab 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 22PUNT
9 plays · 22 yds · 4:36100% → 100%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+1
99.8%
Altee Tenpenny run for 1 yd to the Alab 19Similar
Q4 14:51
2ND & 9
OWN 19
+13
99.8%
Altee Tenpenny run for 13 yds to the Alab 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:17
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
99.8%
Altee Tenpenny run for no gain to the Alab 32Similar
Q4 13:32
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+8
99.9%
Jake Coker pass complete to ArDarius Stewart for 8 yds to the Alab 40Similar
Q4 13:05
3RD & 2
OWN 40
+4
99.9%
Altee Tenpenny run for 4 yds to the Alab 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:13
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-2
99.9%
Jake Coker pass complete to Cam Sims for a loss of 2 yards to the Alab 42Similar
Q4 11:45
2ND & 12
OWN 42
+2
99.9%
Tyren Jones run for 2 yds to the Alab 44Similar
Q4 10:59
3RD & 10
OWN 44
-4
99.9%
Jake Coker sacked by Daeshon Hall for a loss of 4 yards to the Alab 40Similar
Q4 10:24
4TH & 14
OWN 40
0
99.9%
JK Scott punt for 56 yds, downed at the TexAM 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:200% → 0%
Q4 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 4
0
99.9%
Kyle Allen pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:02
2ND & 10
OWN 4
+3
99.9%
Brandon Williams run for 3 yds to the TexAM 7Similar
Q4 9:35
3RD & 7
OWN 7
+2
99.9%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Brandon Williams for 2 yds to the TexAM 9Similar
Q4 8:57
4TH & 5
OWN 9
0
100.0%
Drew Kaser punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Christion Jones at the Alab 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 24TD
9 plays · 57 yds · 4:36100% → 100%
Q4 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
99.9%
Jake Coker pass incomplete to Robert FosterSimilar
Q4 8:35
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+12
99.9%
Tyren Jones run for 12 yds to the TexAM 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:02
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+8
99.9%
Jake Coker pass complete to Cam Sims for 8 yds to the TexAM 37Similar
Q4 7:30
2ND & 2
OPP 37
+1
99.9%
Tyren Jones run for 1 yd to the TexAM 36Similar
Q4 6:34
3RD & 1
OPP 36
+6
99.9%
Tyren Jones run for 6 yds to the TexAM 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:09
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
99.9%
Altee Tenpenny run for 5 yds to the TexAM 25Similar
Q4 5:45
2ND & 5
OPP 25
+8
99.9%
Jake Coker pass complete to Cam Sims for 8 yds to the TexAM 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:58
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
100.0%
Tyren Jones run for 3 yds to the TexAM 14Similar
Q4 4:16
2ND & 7
OPP 14
+14
100.0%
Jake Coker pass complete to Ty Flournoy-Smith for 14 yds for a TD, (JK Scott KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 25DOWNS
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:080% → 0%
Q4 3:52
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+1
100.0%
Kyle Allen pass complete to James White for 1 yd to the Alab 22Similar
Q4 3:20
2ND & 9
OPP 22
-1
100.0%
Kyle Allen sacked by Da'Shawn Hand for a loss of 1 yard to the Alab 23Similar
Q4 2:51
3RD & 10
OPP 23
0
100.0%
Kyle Allen pass incomplete to Edward PopeSimilar
Q4 2:44
4TH & 10
OPP 23
0
100.0%
Kyle Allen pass incomplete to Sabian HolmesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 26PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 2:10100% → 100%
Q4 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-3
100.0%
Tyren Jones run for a loss of 3 yards to the Alab 20Similar
Q4 1:57
2ND & 13
OWN 20
+7
100.0%
Tyren Jones run for 7 yds to the Alab 27Similar
Q4 1:05
3RD & 6
OWN 27
+1
100.0%
Tyren Jones run for 1 yd to the Alab 28Similar
Q4 0:23
4TH & 5
OWN 28
0
100.0%
JK Scott punt for 48 yds , Nick Harvey returns for no gain to the TexAM 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 27END OF GAME
1 play · 4 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
100.0%
Trey Williams run for 4 yds to the TexAM 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 13:36
T.J. Yeldon run for 1 yd for a TD, (Adam Griffith KICK)
+5.6
TD · Q2 11:06
Blake Sims run for 43 yds for a TD, (Adam Griffith KICK)
+4
TD · Q2 5:26
Derrick Henry run for 8 yds for a TD, (Adam Griffith KICK)
+3.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com