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FUR

Furman 10 at South Carolina 41

SC
2014 · Week 8 · Oct 18, 2014 · Williams-Brice Stadium
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Win probability · SC
modelSC aheadFUR aheadconfidence bandkey playSC scoreFUR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:18 · Antonio Wilcox run for 17 yds to the Furm 32 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+49.0+24.50−24.5−49.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 7:29: Hank McCloud run for 60 yds for a TD, (Hunter Townes KICK) — FUR win probability +0.4 pts (now 2%) (top driver: FUR has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 13:41: Dylan Thompson pass complete to Jerell Adams for 45 yds for a TD, (Elliott Fry KICK) — SC win probability +0.4 pts (now 98%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 2:32: Mike Davis run for 2 yds for a TD, (Elliott Fry KICK) — SC win probability +1.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 9:53: Hunter Townes 29 yd FG GOOD — FUR win probability +1.0 pts (now 2%) (top driver: FUR has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 7:17: Shon Carson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Elliott Fry KICK) — SC win probability +1.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SC made the numbers' call on 7 of 7FUR made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 15:00FUR 4th & 4 at FUR 40, tied
    Close callPunted · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:29FUR 4th & 1 at FUR 34, down 7
    Close callPunted · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.5%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q2 15:00SC 4th & 1 at SC 45, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    96.6%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 6:00FUR 4th & 16 at SC 16, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 3.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.1%−0.3
    14% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    3.4%
    81% to make
    Punt
    2.5%−0.9
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:00SC 4th & 15 at SC 15, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.0%−0.6
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:53FUR 4th & 4 at FUR 41, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.6%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.7%
    average punt
  7. Q3 9:53FUR 4th & 5 at SC 12, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.5%−<0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    1.5%
    86% to make
    Punt
    0.4%−1.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:53SC 4th & 1 at SC 37, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    97.7%−0.5
    average punt
  9. Q3 5:17SC 4th & 5 at FUR 9, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.5%
    89% to make
    Punt
    98.6%−0.9
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:37FUR 4th & 12 at FUR 34, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  11. Q4 12:41SC 4th & 5 at FUR 5, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%
    92% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.5
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:41FUR 4th & 7 at FUR 39, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:35SC 4th & 21 at SC 32, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.2
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    100.0%
    average punt
  14. Q4 6:00FUR 4th & 14 at SC 46, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−<0.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:51SC 4th & 12 at SC 42, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SC made the numbers' call on 5 of 5FUR made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 9:14SC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:29FUR Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 5:29SC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 13:41SC Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 2:32SC Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 7:17SC Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FURDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
98.9%
Antonio Wilcox run for 3 yds to the Furm 24Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 24
+10
98.9%
P.J. Blazejowski pass complete to Andrej Suttles for 10 yds to the Furm 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
98.9%
Ernie Cain run for 3 yds to the Furm 37Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+3
98.9%
P.J. Blazejowski run for 3 yds to the Furm 40Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 40
0
98.9%
P.J. Blazejowski pass incomplete to Andrej Suttles, broken up by Brison WilliamsSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 40
+5
98.9%
Jon Croft Hollingsworth punt for 49 yds , Pharoh Cooper returns for 5 yds to the SCaro 45 SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, illegal block (8 Yards) to the SCaro 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 2TD
8 plays · 92 yds · 3:0199% → 99%
Q1 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+12
98.7%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Pharoh Cooper for 12 yds to the SCaro 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
98.7%
Mike Davis run for 3 yds to the SCaro 23Similar
Q1 12:15
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+24
98.7%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Rory Anderson for 24 yds to the SCaro 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
98.7%
Mike Davis run for 4 yds to the Furm 49Similar
Q1 12:15
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+9
98.7%
Mike Davis run for 9 yds to the Furm 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:15
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
98.7%
Dylan Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:15
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+26
98.7%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Pharoh Cooper for 26 yds to the Furm 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:14
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
98.6%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Shaq Roland for 14 yds for a TD, (Elliott Fry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FURDrive 3TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:452% → 2%
Q1 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
98.5%
P.J. Blazejowski pass complete to Andrej Suttles for 3 yds to the Furm 28Similar
Q1 9:14
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+10
98.5%
P.J. Blazejowski run for 10 yds to the Furm 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
98.5%
Antonio Wilcox run for 2 yds to the Furm 40Similar
Q1 7:29
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+60
98.1%
Hank McCloud run for 60 yds for a TD, (Hunter Townes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 4TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:0098% → 98%
Q1 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
98.2%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to K.J. Brent for 1 yd to the SCaro 26Similar
Q1 7:29
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+19
98.2%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to K.J. Brent for 19 yds to the SCaro 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+15
98.2%
Dylan Thompson pass incomplete to Damiere Byrd, PENALTY FUR pass interference (J. Milliken) 15 yards to the FUR40, 1ST DOWN SC, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:29
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+24
98.2%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Jerell Adams for 24 yds to the Furm 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:29
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+11
98.2%
Shon Carson run for 11 yds to the Furm 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
98.3%
Mike Davis run for 5 yds for a TD, (Elliott Fry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FURDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q1 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
98.2%
P.J. Blazejowski run for 4 yds to the Furm 29Similar
Q1 5:29
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
98.2%
Hank McCloud run for 5 yds to the Furm 34Similar
Q1 5:29
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
98.2%
Ernie Cain run for no gain to the Furm 34Similar
Q1 5:29
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
98.2%
Jon Croft Hollingsworth punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SCaro 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 6FUMBLE
5 plays · -11 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q1 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
98.0%
Dylan Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:24
2ND & 10
OWN 37
-5
98.0%
Mike Davis rush for 13 yards to the 50 yardline (John Mackey), PENALTY SC substitution infraction 5 yards to the SC32, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:24
2ND & 15
OWN 32
+7
98.0%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Shon Carson for 7 yds to the SCaro 39Similar
Q1 3:24
3RD & 8
OWN 39
-5
98.0%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SCaro 34Similar
Q1 3:24
3RD & 13
OWN 34
-8
98.0%
Dylan Thompson sacked by Reggie Thomas for a loss of 8 yards to the SCaro 26 Dylan Thompson fumbled, recovered by Furm Ira McCune , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FURDrive 7FUMBLE
3 plays · 15 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q1 2:01
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+1
97.6%
Andrej Suttles run for 1 yd to the SCaro 25Similar
Q1 2:01
2ND & 9
OPP 25
+14
97.6%
P.J. Blazejowski pass complete to Jordan Snellings for 14 yds to the SCaro 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:01
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+1
97.6%
Hank McCloud run for 1 yd to the SCaro 11 Hank McCloud fumbled, forced by Phillip Dukes, recovered by SCaro Michael WashingtonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 8TD
8 plays · 89 yds · 2:2198% → 98%
Q1 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+25
97.7%
Mike Davis run for 25 yds to the SCaro 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
97.7%
Mike Davis run for 2 yds to the SCaro 38Similar
Q1 1:02
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+3
97.8%
Mike Davis run for 3 yds to the SCaro 41Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+4
97.6%
Mike Davis run for 4 yds to the SCaro 45Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 45
+10
97.6%
Mike Davis run for 10 yds to the Furm 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
97.7%
Dylan Thompson pass incomplete to Pharoh Cooper, broken up by Marcus McMorrisSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 45
0
97.7%
Dylan Thompson pass incomplete to Shon CarsonSimilar
Q2 13:41
3RD & 10
OPP 45
+45
98.1%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Jerell Adams for 45 yds for a TD, (Elliott Fry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FURDrive 9MISSED FG
16 plays · 59 yds · 7:412% → 3%
Q2 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
97.9%
Issac Garcia run for 15 yds to the Furm 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
97.9%
Issac Garcia run for 8 yds to the Furm 48Similar
Q2 13:41
2ND & 2
OWN 48
+8
97.8%
P.J. Blazejowski run for 8 yds to the SCaro 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:41
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-5
97.8%
Issac Garcia rush for 5 yards to the SC39 (J.T. Surratt), PENALTY FUR illegal motion 5 yards to the SC49, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:41
1ST & 15
OPP 49
+4
97.9%
Issac Garcia run for 4 yds to the SCaro 45Similar
Q2 13:41
2ND & 11
OPP 45
+23
97.9%
P.J. Blazejowski pass complete to Duncan Fletcher for 8 yds to the SCaro 37 for a 1ST down SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, roughing the passer (Skai Moore) to the SCaro 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:04
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-8
97.5%
P.J. Blazejowski run for 2 yds to the SCaro 20 FURMAN Penalty, Offensive holding (NA) to the SCaro 30Similar
Q2 10:04
1ST & 18
OPP 30
+2
97.7%
Hank McCloud run for 2 yds to the SCaro 28Similar
Q2 10:04
2ND & 16
OPP 28
+24
97.7%
P.J. Blazejowski pass complete to Duncan Fletcher for 24 yds to the SCaro 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
97.5%
P.J. Blazejowski pass complete to Andrej Suttles for no gain to the SCaro 4Similar
Q2 10:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
97.5%
Chad Scott run for 2 yds to the SCaro 2Similar
Q2 10:04
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
-5
97.6%
FURMAN Penalty, false start (Duncan Fletcher) to the SCaro 7Similar
Q2 10:04
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
-9
97.6%
P.J. Blazejowski sacked by Sharrod Golightly for a loss of 9 yards to the SCaro 16Similar
Q2 6:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 16
+33
97.5%
Hunter Townes 33 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 0:0098% → 97%
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
97.6%
Pharoh Cooper run for no gain to the SCaro 20Similar
Q2 6:00
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-15
97.6%
Dylan Thompson sacked by John Mackey for a loss of 15 yards to the SCaro 5Similar
Q2 6:00
3RD & 25
OWN 5
+10
97.5%
David Williams run for 10 yds to the SCaro 15Similar
Q2 6:00
4TH & 15
OWN 15
0
97.4%
Tyler Hull punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Furm 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FURDrive 11FUMBLE
2 plays · -13 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-15
97.1%
Blazejowski pass incomplete to Andrej Suttles, PENALTY FUR personal foul (Matthew Schmidt) 15 yards to the FUR33, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:40
1ST & 25
OWN 33
+7
97.3%
Antonio Wilcox run for a loss of 1 yard to the Furm 28 Antonio Wilcox fumbled, recovered by SCaro Skai Moore , return for 7 yds to the Furm 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 12TD
3 plays · 28 yds · 0:5098% → 99%
Q2 3:22
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
97.6%
Mike Davis run for 2 yds to the Furm 26Similar
Q2 3:22
2ND & 8
OPP 26
+24
97.6%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Mike Davis for 24 yds to the Furm 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.0%
Mike Davis run for 2 yds for a TD, (Elliott Fry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FURDrive 13PUNT
10 plays · 16 yds · 1:391% → 2%
Q2 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
98.7%
Hank McCloud run for 5 yds to the Furm 30Similar
Q2 2:23
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+5
98.6%
Hank McCloud run for 5 yds to the Furm 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
98.6%
P.J. Blazejowski run for no gain to the Furm 35Similar
Q2 2:23
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+6
98.7%
Hank McCloud run for 6 yds to the Furm 41Similar
Q2 0:58
3RD & 4
OPP 0
0
98.3%
Hank McCloud run for no gain to the Furm 41 SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting (NA) to the Furm 41Similar
Q2 0:53
4TH & 4
OWN 41
+4
98.5%
Jon Croft Hollingsworth punt for 48 yds , Pharoh Cooper returns for 4 yds to the SCaro 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 14END OF HALF
4 plays · 43 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+5
99.0%
Mike Davis run for 5 yds to the SCaro 20Similar
Q2 0:40
2ND & 5
OWN 20
+7
99.0%
Mike Davis run for 7 yds to the SCaro 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+31
99.0%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Shaq Roland for 31 yds to the Furm 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
99.1%
Dylan Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 15FUMBLE
7 plays · 28 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
98.9%
Mike Davis run for 9 yds to the SCaro 34Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
98.9%
Dylan Thompson pass incomplete to Damiere ByrdSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
98.9%
Mike Davis run for 3 yds to the SCaro 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
98.9%
Mike Davis run for 6 yds to the SCaro 43Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+6
99.0%
Mike Davis run for 6 yds to the SCaro 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
99.0%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Damiere Byrd for 5 yds Damiere Byrd fumbled, forced by Thomas Brown, recovered by Furm Marcus McMorris SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Defensive holding (NA) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FURDrive 16FG
10 plays · 41 yds · 3:201% → 2%
Q3 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
98.6%
Hank McCloud run for 1 yd to the Furm 48Similar
Q3 13:13
2ND & 9
OWN 48
+20
98.6%
P.J. Blazejowski pass complete to Duncan Fletcher for 20 yds to the SCaro 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:13
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+9
98.4%
Hank McCloud run for 9 yds to the SCaro 23Similar
Q3 13:13
2ND & 1
OPP 23
+6
98.4%
P.J. Blazejowski run for 6 yds to the SCaro 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:59
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
98.5%
P.J. Blazejowski pass incomplete to Andrej Suttles, broken up by Gerald DixonSimilar
Q3 10:59
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+5
98.6%
P.J. Blazejowski run for 5 yds to the SCaro 12Similar
Q3 10:59
3RD & 5
OPP 0
0
98.6%
Blazejowski pass incomplete, PENALTY FUR intentional grounding off-setting, PENALTY SC offside off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:59
3RD & 5
OPP 12
0
98.6%
P.J. Blazejowski pass incomplete to Duncan FletcherSimilar
Q3 9:53
4TH & 5
OPP 12
+29
97.6%
Hunter Townes 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 17TD
9 plays · 84 yds · 2:3698% → 100%
Q3 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+6
98.4%
Mike Davis run for 6 yds to the SCaro 22Similar
Q3 9:53
2ND & 4
OWN 22
+6
98.5%
Shon Carson run for 6 yds to the SCaro 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
98.5%
Dylan Thompson pass incomplete to K.J. BrentSimilar
Q3 9:53
2ND & 10
OWN 28
0
98.4%
Dylan Thompson pass incomplete to Shaq RolandSimilar
Q3 9:53
3RD & 10
OWN 28
+9
98.4%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Pharoh Cooper for 9 yds to the SCaro 37Similar
Q3 9:53
4TH & 1
OWN 37
+6
98.4%
Shon Carson run for 6 yds to the SCaro 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+56
98.5%
Shon Carson run for 56 yds to the Furm 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.6%
Shon Carson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Elliott Fry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FURDrive 18INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+26
99.4%
Tanner Skogen pass intercepted Chris Moody return for 26 yds to the Furm 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 19FG
5 plays · 27 yds · 1:46100% → 100%
Q3 7:03
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+22
99.6%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Jerell Adams for 22 yds to the Furm 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:03
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
99.6%
David Williams run for no gain to the Furm 14Similar
Q3 7:03
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+5
99.6%
David Williams run for 5 yds to the Furm 9Similar
Q3 7:03
3RD & 5
OPP 9
0
99.6%
Perry Orth pass incomplete to Jerell Adams, broken up by Thomas BrownSimilar
Q3 5:17
4TH & 5
OPP 9
+27
99.9%
Elliott Fry 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FURDrive 20PUNT
8 plays · 9 yds · 2:400% → 0%
Q3 5:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.9%
Hank McCloud run for 6 yds to the Furm 31Similar
Q3 5:17
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+5
99.8%
Hank McCloud run for 5 yds to the Furm 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:17
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
99.8%
Hank McCloud run for 2 yds to the Furm 38Similar
Q3 5:17
2ND & 8
OWN 38
-4
99.8%
P.J. Blazejowski pass complete to Hank McCloud for a loss of 4 yards to the Furm 34Similar
Q3 5:17
3RD & 12
OWN 34
0
99.9%
P.J. Blazejowski pass incomplete to Chad ScottSimilar
Q3 2:37
4TH & 12
OWN 34
+8
99.9%
Jon Croft Hollingsworth punt for 41 yds , Nick Jones returns for 8 yds to the SCaro 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 21FG
9 plays · 62 yds · 4:45100% → 100%
Q3 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+14
99.9%
Connor Mitch pass complete to David Williams for 14 yds to the SCaro 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+37
99.9%
David Williams run for 37 yds to the Furm 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:26
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+7
99.9%
David Williams run for 7 yds to the Furm 9Similar
Q3 2:26
2ND & 3
OPP 9
+2
99.9%
Connor Mitch run for 2 yds to the Furm 7Similar
Q3 2:26
3RD & 1
OPP 7
+4
99.9%
David Williams run for 4 yds to the Furm 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-10
99.9%
Connor Mitch sacked by Shawn Boone and Ira McCune for a loss of 10 yards to the Furm 13Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 13
+3
99.9%
David Williams run for 3 yds to the Furm 10Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
99.9%
Connor Mitch run for 5 yds to the Furm 5Similar
Q4 12:41
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+23
99.9%
Elliott Fry 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FURDrive 22PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 12:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
100.0%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the Furm 30Similar
Q4 12:41
1ST & 5
OWN 30
-1
100.0%
P.J. Blazejowski run for a loss of 1 yard to the Furm 29Similar
Q4 12:41
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+7
100.0%
P.J. Blazejowski pass complete to Kevin Mall for 7 yds to the Furm 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:41
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
100.0%
P.J. Blazejowski pass complete to Duncan Fletcher for 3 yds to the Furm 39Similar
Q4 12:41
2ND & 7
OWN 39
0
100.0%
P.J. Blazejowski run for no gain to the Furm 39Similar
Q4 12:41
3RD & 7
OWN 39
0
100.0%
P.J. Blazejowski pass incomplete to Jordan Snellings, broken up by Brison WilliamsSimilar
Q4 12:41
4TH & 7
OWN 39
+10
100.0%
Jon Croft Hollingsworth punt for 43 yds , Nick Jones returns for 10 yds to the SCaro 49 SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the SCaro 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 23PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+7
99.9%
David Williams run for 7 yds to the SCaro 25Similar
Q4 9:35
2ND & 3
OWN 25
+2
99.9%
David Williams run for 2 yds to the SCaro 27Similar
Q4 9:35
3RD & 1
OWN 27
+16
99.9%
David Williams run for 16 yds to the SCaro 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
99.9%
Shon Carson run for 2 yds to the SCaro 45Similar
Q4 9:35
2ND & 8
OWN 45
0
99.9%
Perry Orth pass incomplete, broken up by Byron JohnsonSimilar
Q4 9:35
3RD & 8
OWN 45
-13
99.9%
Perry Orth sacked by James Elliott for a loss of 13 yards to the SCaro 32Similar
Q4 9:35
4TH & 21
OWN 32
0
99.9%
Patrick Fish punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Andrej Suttles at the Furm 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FURDrive 24PUNT
9 plays · 21 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+12
100.0%
Andrej Suttles run for 12 yds to the Furm 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
100.0%
Dillon Woodruff pass complete to Andrej Suttles for 6 yds to the SCaro 49Similar
Q4 6:00
2ND & 4
OPP 49
+3
100.0%
Tanner Skogen run for 3 yds to the SCaro 46Similar
Q4 6:00
3RD & 1
OPP 46
+4
100.0%
Issac Garcia run for 4 yds to the SCaro 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
100.0%
Dillon Woodruff pass incomplete to Duncan FletcherSimilar
Q4 6:00
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+1
100.0%
Tanner Skogen run for 1 yd to the SCaro 41Similar
Q4 6:00
3RD & 9
OPP 41
0
100.0%
Dillon Woodruff pass incomplete, broken up by Brison WilliamsSimilar
Q4 6:00
4TH & 9
OPP 41
-5
100.0%
FURMAN Penalty, delay of game (NA) to the SCaro 46Similar
Q4 6:00
4TH & 14
OPP 46
0
100.0%
Jon Croft Hollingsworth punt for 46 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 25PUNT
7 plays · 22 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
100.0%
Connor Mitch pass complete to Shamier Jeffery for 5 yds to the SCaro 25Similar
Q4 2:51
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+19
100.0%
David Williams run for 19 yds to the SCaro 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
100.0%
Connor Mitch pass incomplete to David WilliamsSimilar
Q4 2:51
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+3
100.0%
Shon Carson run for 3 yds to the SCaro 47Similar
Q4 2:51
3RD & 7
OWN 47
0
100.0%
Connor Mitch pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:51
4TH & 7
OWN 47
-5
100.0%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, delay of game (Connor Mitch) to the SCaro 42Similar
Q4 2:51
4TH & 12
OWN 42
0
100.0%
Patrick Fish punt for 43 yds, downed at the Furm 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FURDrive 26END OF GAME
1 play · 17 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:18
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+17
100.0%
Antonio Wilcox run for 17 yds to the Furm 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 2:32
Mike Davis run for 2 yds for a TD, (Elliott Fry KICK)
+1.5
TD · Q3 7:17
Shon Carson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Elliott Fry KICK)
+1.1
FG · Q3 9:53
Hunter Townes 29 yd FG GOOD
-1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com