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Kentucky 3 at LSU 41

LSU
2014 · Week 8 · Oct 18, 2014 · Tiger Stadium (LA)
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Win probability · LSU
modelLSU aheadUK aheadconfidence bandkey playLSU scoreUK score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGTDTDFGTDTDEnd of GameTD+3.6LSU 81.1%Tre'Davious White 67 Yd Punt Return(Colby Delahoussaye Kick)AWAY 0 - HOME 17 · Q1 5:47
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 5:47 · Tre'Davious White 67 Yd Punt Return (Colby Delahoussaye Kick)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+37.0+18.50−18.5−37.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 26Home team on offense+4.2Pregame prior+23.0Score differential+1.4Garbage-time factor+0.4Blowout margin+0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 12:09: Leonard Fournette 1 Yd Run (Colby Delahoussaye Kick) — LSU win probability +0.6 pts (now 77%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 5:47: Tre'Davious White 67 Yd Punt Return (Colby Delahoussaye Kick) — LSU win probability +3.6 pts (now 81%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  3. FG · Q1 1:15: Austin MacGinnis 33 yd FG GOOD — UK win probability +1.7 pts (now 20%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:44: Travin Dural 32 Yd pass from Anthony Jennings (Colby Delahoussaye Kick) — LSU win probability +7.8 pts (now 96%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 10:37: Terrence Magee 9 Yd Run (Colby Delahoussaye Kick) — LSU win probability +3.0 pts (now 99%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
LSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 5UK made the numbers' call on 12 of 12
  1. Q1 11:00UK 4th & 13 at UK 22, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.1%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:30LSU 4th & 4 at UK 4, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 77.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    77.9%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    76.8%−1.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:47UK 4th & 10 at UK 18, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.7%−0.3
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:15UK 4th & 7 at LSU 16, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 17.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.6%−0.4
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    17.0%
    81% to make
    Punt
    12.6%−4.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:27LSU 4th & 5 at UK 45, up 14
    Close callPunted · 82.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.2%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    82.2%−1.0
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    83.0%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:04UK 4th & 8 at UK 45, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.8%−0.4
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:39LSU 4th & 25 at LSU 20, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.6%−2.4
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.0%
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:16UK 4th & 2 at LSU 29, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 16.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    15.9%−0.8
    58% to make
    Punt
    13.2%−3.6
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:36LSU 4th & 4 at LSU 37, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.4%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.5%
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:33UK 4th & 7 at UK 26, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.8%−0.5
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.4%
    average punt
  11. Q3 13:03UK 4th & 5 at UK 30, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.2%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.3%
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:00UK 4th & 12 at UK 39, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  13. Q3 6:11LSU 4th & 1 at LSU 35, up 31
    Close callPunted · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.5%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q3 4:19UK 4th & 5 at UK 29, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  15. Q3 0:06UK 4th & 1 at LSU 42, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−0.2
    30% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.2
    average punt
  16. Q4 13:12UK 4th & 3 at LSU 9, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%−<0.1
    89% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.4
    average punt
  17. Q4 6:18UK 4th & 10 at UK 20, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
LSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 12:09LSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:47LSU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:44LSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 10:37LSU Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 3:27LSU Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
LSUDrive 1TD
8 plays · 29 yds · 2:3877% → 77%
Q1 14:47
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
76.8%
Leonard Fournette run for no gain to the Kent 29Similar
Q1 14:32
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+15
76.8%
Jennings, Anthony pass incomplete, PENALTY KENTUCKY roughing passer 15 yards to the KENTUCKY14, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN LSU. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:01
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+5
76.8%
Leonard Fournette run for 5 yds to the Kent 9Similar
Q1 13:41
2ND & 5
OPP 9
+4
76.7%
Leonard Fournette run for 4 yds to the Kent 5Similar
Q1 13:11
3RD & 1
OPP 5
+3
76.6%
Anthony Jennings run for 3 yds to the Kent 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
76.6%
Melvin Jones run for 1 yd to the Kent 1Similar
Q1 12:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
77.2%
Leonard Fournette 1 Yd Run (Colby Delahoussaye Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:0723% → 23%
Q1 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
76.9%
Patrick Towles pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:44
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
77.0%
Braylon Heard run for 3 yds to the Kent 28Similar
Q1 11:18
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-6
77.0%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Braylon Heard for a loss of 6 yards to the Kent 22Similar
Q1 11:00
4TH & 13
OWN 22
+17
77.2%
Landon Foster punt for 47 yds , Tre'Davious White returns for 17 yds to the LSU 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 3FG
8 plays · 48 yds · 3:1677% → 77%
Q1 10:46
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
77.4%
Leonard Fournette run for no gain to the LSU 48Similar
Q1 10:05
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+4
77.4%
Leonard Fournette run for 4 yds to the Kent 48Similar
Q1 9:30
3RD & 6
OPP 48
+27
77.4%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Travis Dickson for 27 yds to the Kent 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:03
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+11
77.7%
Terrence Magee run for 11 yds to the Kent 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
77.6%
Terrence Magee run for 2 yds to the Kent 8Similar
Q1 8:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
77.7%
Terrence Magee run for 4 yds to the Kent 4Similar
Q1 7:33
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
77.5%
Anthony Jennings pass incomplete to Connor NeighborsSimilar
Q1 7:30
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
77.4%
Colby Delahoussaye 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 4PUNT TD
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:3023% → 19%
Q1 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
77.1%
Stanley Williams run for no gain to the Kent 18Similar
Q1 6:42
2ND & 10
OWN 18
0
77.2%
Patrick Towles pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:10
3RD & 10
OWN 18
0
77.5%
Patrick Towles run for no gain to the Kent 18Similar
Q1 5:47
4TH & 10
OWN 18
+67
81.1%
Tre'Davious White 67 Yd Punt Return (Colby Delahoussaye Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 5FG
16 plays · 66 yds · 4:1619% → 20%
Q1 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
81.0%
Patrick Towles run for no gain to the Kent 18Similar
Q1 5:16
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+17
81.1%
Braylon Heard run for 2 yds to the Kent 20 for a 1ST down LSU Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (NA) to the Kent 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
81.2%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Stanley Williams for 8 yds to the Kent 43Similar
Q1 4:28
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+1
80.9%
Jojo Kemp run for 1 yd to the Kent 44Similar
Q1 3:43
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+2
81.2%
Jojo Kemp run for 2 yds to the Kent 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
81.6%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Ryan Timmons for 1 yd to the Kent 47Similar
Q1 2:48
2ND & 9
OWN 47
0
81.9%
Patrick Towles pass incomplete to Blake BoneSimilar
Q1 2:42
3RD & 9
OWN 47
+14
82.0%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Garrett Johnson for 14 yds to the LSU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:36
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
81.5%
Towles, Patrick pass incomplete to Williams, Stanley, PENALTY LSU substitution infraction 5 yards to the LSU34, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:26
1ST & 5
OPP 34
+15
81.1%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Demarco Robinson for 15 yds to the LSU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
81.2%
Patrick Towles pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:12
2ND & 10
OPP 19
0
81.3%
Patrick Towles pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:00
3RD & 10
OPP 19
+8
81.8%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Ryan Timmons for 8 yds to the LSU 11Similar
Q1 1:19
4TH & 2
OPP 11
-5
81.9%
KENTUCKY Penalty, Delay of Game (NA) to the LSU 16Similar
Q1 1:15
4TH & 7
OPP 16
+33
80.2%
Austin MacGinnis 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 6PUNT
11 plays · 30 yds · 2:3882% → 82%
Q1 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
81.5%
Leonard Fournette run for 3 yds to the LSU 28Similar
Q1 0:26
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+12
81.7%
Leonard Fournette run for 12 yds to the LSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:03
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-11
82.3%
Anthony Jennings sacked by TEAM for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 39 LSU Penalty, Offensive Holding (NA) to the LSU 29Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 21
OWN 29
+4
81.9%
Leonard Fournette run for 4 yds to the LSU 33Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 17
OWN 33
+10
81.9%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Kenny Hilliard for 10 yds to the LSU 43Similar
Q2 14:41
3RD & 7
OWN 43
+7
82.1%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Travin Dural for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:06
1ST & 10
50
0
82.8%
Anthony Jennings pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:52
2ND & 10
50
+5
82.8%
Darrel Williams run for 5 yds to the Kent 45Similar
Q2 13:35
3RD & 5
OPP 45
0
82.6%
Anthony Jennings pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:27
4TH & 5
OPP 45
0
82.2%
Jamie Keehn punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Braylon Heard at the Kent 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 36 yds · 1:1618% → 17%
Q2 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
81.6%
Patrick Towles pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:15
2ND & 10
OWN 9
0
81.7%
Patrick Towles pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:07
3RD & 10
OWN 9
+33
81.9%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Demarco Robinson for 33 yds to the Kent 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
81.0%
Patrick Towles pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:48
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+3
81.2%
Patrick Towles run for 3 yds to the Kent 45Similar
Q2 12:16
3RD & 7
OWN 45
0
82.2%
Patrick Towles pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:04
4TH & 8
OWN 45
+9
82.6%
Landon Foster punt for 42 yds , Tre'Davious White returns for 9 yds to the LSU 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 8PUNT
8 plays · -2 yds · 3:1784% → 84%
Q2 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-3
83.6%
Leonard Fournette run for a loss of 3 yards to the LSU 19Similar
Q2 11:38
2ND & 13
OWN 19
+4
83.6%
Anthony Jennings run for 4 yds to the LSU 23Similar
Q2 11:15
3RD & 9
OWN 23
+12
83.5%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Terrence Magee for 12 yds to the LSU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
84.0%
Terrence Magee run for 3 yds to the LSU 38Similar
Q2 10:26
2ND & 7
OWN 38
0
84.6%
Anthony Jennings pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:53
3RD & 7
OWN 38
-13
84.2%
Anthony Jennings sacked by Za'Darius Smith for a loss of 13 yards to the LSU 25Similar
Q2 9:12
4TH & 20
OWN 25
-5
83.5%
LSU Penalty, False Start (NA) to the LSU 20Similar
Q2 8:39
4TH & 25
OWN 20
0
83.7%
Jamie Keehn punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Demarco Robinson at the Kent 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 9DOWNS
9 plays · 33 yds · 3:1317% → 16%
Q2 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+16
83.4%
Patrick Towles run for 16 yds to the LSU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
82.8%
Stanley Williams run for 6 yds to the LSU 42Similar
Q2 7:45
2ND & 4
OPP 42
+3
82.6%
Stanley Williams run for 3 yds to the LSU 39Similar
Q2 7:11
3RD & 1
OPP 39
+2
82.8%
Jojo Kemp run for 2 yds to the LSU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:48
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
83.0%
Stanley Williams run for 4 yds to the LSU 33Similar
Q2 6:12
2ND & 6
OPP 33
+4
82.4%
Stanley Williams run for 4 yds to the LSU 29Similar
Q2 6:00
3RD & 2
OPP 29
0
83.0%
Patrick Towles pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:16
4TH & 2
OPP 29
-2
83.7%
Jojo Kemp run for a loss of 2 yards to the LSU 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:2485% → 85%
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
85.3%
Leonard Fournette run for 3 yds to the LSU 34Similar
Q2 4:30
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+3
85.6%
Leonard Fournette run for 3 yds to the LSU 37Similar
Q2 4:00
3RD & 4
OWN 37
0
85.6%
Anthony Jennings pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:36
4TH & 4
OWN 37
+1
85.4%
Jamie Keehn punt for 57 yds , Demarco Robinson returns for 1 yd to the Kent 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 1:3914% → 14%
Q2 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+16
85.7%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Garrett Johnson for 16 yds to the Kent 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-1
85.5%
Braylon Heard run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kent 22Similar
Q2 2:33
2ND & 11
OWN 22
-5
85.6%
KENTUCKY Penalty, False Start (NA) to the Kent 17Similar
Q2 2:16
2ND & 16
OWN 17
+4
86.0%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Stanley Williams for 4 yds to the Kent 21Similar
Q2 2:00
3RD & 12
OWN 21
+5
85.8%
LSU Penalty, Defensive Offside (NA) to the Kent 26Similar
Q2 1:45
3RD & 7
OWN 26
0
85.9%
Patrick Towles pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:33
4TH & 7
OWN 26
+21
86.2%
Landon Foster punt for 48 yds , Tre'Davious White returns for 21 yds to the LSU 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 12TD
6 plays · 53 yds · 0:4088% → 96%
Q2 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
87.5%
Leonard Fournette run for 2 yds to the LSU 49Similar
Q2 1:11
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+15
87.6%
Jennings, Anthony pass incomplete, PENALTY KENTUCKY pass interference 15 yards to the KENTUCKY36, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN LSU. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:56
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
87.7%
Anthony Jennings run for 4 yds to the Kent 32Similar
Q2 0:44
2ND & 6
OPP 32
+32
95.9%
Travin Dural 32 Yd pass from Anthony Jennings (Colby Delahoussaye Kick)Similar
Q2 0:44
2ND & 6
OWN 35
-15
95.5%
LSU Penalty, Personal Foul (NA) to the LSU 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 13FG
8 plays · 19 yds · 0:2696% → 96%
Q2 0:33
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+16
95.8%
Anthony Jennings run for 16 yds to the Kent 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:28
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
95.8%
Anthony Jennings pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:22
2ND & 10
OPP 26
-10
95.9%
Jennings, Anthony pass incomplete, PENALTY LSU holding 10 yards to the KENTUCKY36, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:12
2ND & 20
OPP 36
+18
95.7%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Terrence Magee for 18 yds to the Kent 18Similar
Q2 0:07
3RD & 2
OPP 18
+35
95.8%
Colby Delahoussaye 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · -5 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-5
95.7%
Patrick Towles sacked by Jermauria Rasco and Kendell Beckwith for a loss of 5 yards to the Kent 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:476% → 5%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
93.6%
Stanley Williams run for no gain to the Kent 25Similar
Q3 14:10
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
93.9%
Stanley Williams run for 2 yds to the Kent 27Similar
Q3 13:34
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+3
93.6%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Stanley Williams for 3 yds to the Kent 30Similar
Q3 13:03
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
94.7%
Landon Foster punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LSU 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 16TD
6 plays · 64 yds · 2:0895% → 99%
Q3 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
95.3%
Leonard Fournette run for 3 yds to the LSU 39Similar
Q3 11:55
2ND & 7
OWN 39
0
95.7%
Leonard Fournette run for no gain to the LSU 39Similar
Q3 11:24
3RD & 7
OWN 39
+14
95.8%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Terrence Magee for 14 yds to the Kent 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:54
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+38
96.3%
Terrence Magee run for 38 yds to the Kent 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
99.3%
Terrence Magee 9 Yd Run (Colby Delahoussaye Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 10 yds · 2:121% → 1%
Q3 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
99.2%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Demarco Robinson for 4 yds to the Kent 33Similar
Q3 9:48
2ND & 6
OWN 33
+8
99.2%
Mikel Horton run for 8 yds to the Kent 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-1
99.3%
Mikel Horton run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kent 40Similar
Q3 8:46
2ND & 11
OWN 40
0
99.3%
Patrick Towles pass incomplete to Javess BlueSimilar
Q3 8:30
3RD & 11
OWN 40
-1
99.4%
Patrick Towles sacked by Jamal Adams for a loss of 1 yard to the Kent 39Similar
Q3 8:00
4TH & 12
OWN 39
0
99.4%
Landon Foster punt for 35 yds, downed at the LSU 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:34100% → 100%
Q3 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
99.6%
Terrence Magee run for 2 yds to the LSU 28Similar
Q3 6:50
2ND & 8
OWN 28
+7
99.6%
Kenny Hilliard run for 7 yds to the LSU 35Similar
Q3 6:23
3RD & 1
OWN 35
0
99.6%
Kenny Hilliard run for no gain to the LSU 35Similar
Q3 6:11
4TH & 1
OWN 35
0
99.6%
Jamie Keehn punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Demarco Robinson at the Kent 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:411% → 0%
Q3 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
99.5%
Mikel Horton run for 1 yd to the Kent 25Similar
Q3 5:07
2ND & 9
OWN 25
+3
99.6%
Patrick Towles run for 3 yds to the Kent 28Similar
Q3 4:50
3RD & 6
OWN 28
+1
99.6%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Braylon Heard for 1 yd to the Kent 29Similar
Q3 4:19
4TH & 5
OWN 29
0
99.6%
Landon Foster punt for 24 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LSU 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 20TD
4 plays · 53 yds · 0:50100% → 100%
Q3 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-5
99.7%
LSU Penalty, False Start (Terrence Magee) to the LSU 42Similar
Q3 4:12
1ST & 15
OWN 42
0
99.7%
Anthony Jennings pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:03
2ND & 15
OWN 42
+35
99.7%
Terrence Magee run for 35 yds to the Kent 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:27
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+23
99.7%
Terrence Magee 23 Yd Run (Colby Delahoussaye Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 21DOWNS
14 plays · 66 yds · 5:040% → 0%
Q3 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
99.8%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Mikel Horton for a loss of 2 yards to the Kent 23Similar
Q3 2:35
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+9
99.8%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Blake Bone for 9 yds to the Kent 32Similar
Q3 1:53
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+17
99.8%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Ryan Timmons for 17 yds to the Kent 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
99.8%
Patrick Towles pass incomplete to Blake BoneSimilar
Q3 1:25
2ND & 10
OWN 49
-2
99.8%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Ryan Timmons for a loss of 2 yards to the Kent 47Similar
Q3 0:42
3RD & 12
OWN 47
+11
99.9%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Javess Blue for 11 yds to the LSU 42Similar
Q3 0:06
4TH & 1
OPP 42
+6
99.8%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Darrell Warren for 6 yds to the LSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+20
99.9%
Mikel Horton run for 20 yds to the LSU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+1
99.8%
Mikel Horton run for 1 yd to the LSU 15Similar
Q4 13:51
2ND & 9
OPP 15
+6
99.9%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Blake Bone for 6 yds to the LSU 9Similar
Q4 13:18
3RD & 3
OPP 9
0
99.9%
Patrick Towles pass incomplete to Ronnie ShieldsSimilar
Q4 13:12
4TH & 3
OPP 9
0
99.8%
Patrick Towles pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 22INT
11 plays · 66 yds · 5:53100% → 100%
Q4 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 9
-4
99.9%
LSU Penalty, False Start (Elliott Porter) to the LSU 5Similar
Q4 13:02
1ST & 14
OWN 5
+6
99.9%
Darrel Williams run for 6 yds to the LSU 11Similar
Q4 12:18
2ND & 8
OWN 11
+3
99.9%
Darrel Williams run for 3 yds to the LSU 14Similar
Q4 11:34
3RD & 5
OWN 14
+17
99.9%
Darrel Williams run for 17 yds to the LSU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:58
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+31
99.9%
Anthony Jennings run for 31 yds to the Kent 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:32
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
99.9%
Darrel Williams run for 5 yds to the Kent 33Similar
Q4 9:44
2ND & 5
OPP 33
+10
99.9%
Darrel Williams run for 10 yds to the Kent 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:09
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
99.9%
Darrel Williams run for no gain to the Kent 23Similar
Q4 8:16
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+3
99.9%
Darrel Williams run for 3 yds to the Kent 20Similar
Q4 7:45
3RD & 7
OPP 20
-5
99.9%
LSU Penalty, Substitution Infraction (NA) to the Kent 25Similar
Q4 7:19
3RD & 12
OPP 25
0
99.9%
Brandon Harris pass intercepted, touchback. Marcus McWilson return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:570% → 0%
Q4 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
100.0%
Josh Clemons run for no gain to the Kent 20Similar
Q4 6:36
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
100.0%
Patrick Towles pass incomplete to T.V. WilliamsSimilar
Q4 6:29
3RD & 10
OWN 20
0
100.0%
Patrick Towles pass incomplete to T.V. WilliamsSimilar
Q4 6:18
4TH & 10
OWN 20
0
100.0%
Landon Foster punt for 45 yds, downed at the LSU 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 24END OF GAME
9 plays · 39 yds · 5:45100% → 100%
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
99.9%
Kenny Hilliard run for 5 yds to the LSU 40Similar
Q4 5:29
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+7
99.9%
Kenny Hilliard run for 7 yds to the LSU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:46
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
100.0%
Kenny Hilliard run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 3:57
2ND & 7
50
+1
100.0%
Kenny Hilliard run for 1 yd to the Kent 49Similar
Q4 3:12
3RD & 6
OPP 49
+8
100.0%
Brandon Harris run for 8 yds to the Kent 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:28
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
100.0%
Darrel Williams run for 5 yds to the Kent 36Similar
Q4 1:35
2ND & 5
OPP 36
+7
100.0%
Darrel Williams run for 7 yds to the Kent 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:55
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+6
100.0%
Kenny Hilliard run for 6 yds to the Kent 23Similar
Q4 0:15
2ND & 4
OPP 23
-3
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Kent 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:44
Travin Dural 32 Yd pass from Anthony Jennings (Colby Delahoussaye Kick)
+7.8
TD · Q1 5:47
Tre'Davious White 67 Yd Punt Return (Colby Delahoussaye Kick)
+3.6
TD · Q3 10:37
Terrence Magee 9 Yd Run (Colby Delahoussaye Kick)
+3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com