Try the model
ALA

Alabama 34 at Tennessee 20

TENN
2014 · Week 9 · Oct 25, 2014 · Neyland Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · TENN
modelTENN aheadALA aheadconfidence bandkey playTENN scoreALA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:14 · TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Tenn 35
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+48.0+24.00−24.0−48.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 3:12: T.J. Yeldon 1 Yd Run (Adam Griffith Kick) — ALA win probability +3.1 pts (now 87%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 7:03: Josh Malone 9 Yd pass from Joshua Dobbs (Aaron Medley Kick) — TENN win probability +5.3 pts (now 13%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 5:52: Von Pearson 9 Yd pass from Joshua Dobbs (Aaron Medley Kick) — TENN win probability +6.5 pts (now 19%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 0:13: Derrick Henry 28 Yd Run (Adam Griffith Kick) — ALA win probability +9.3 pts (now 95%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 9:42: Aaron Medley 24 Yd Field Goal — TENN win probability +3.2 pts (now 9%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TENN made the numbers' call on 5 of 8ALA made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 12:52TENN 4th & 15 at ALA 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.8%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    17.8%−0.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    17.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:04TENN 4th & 1 at TENN 34, down 6
    Close callPunted · 18.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.2%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:12TENN 4th & 4 at TENN 42, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.3%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.3%
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:30TENN 4th & 9 at ALA 46, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.3%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    14.0%−0.4
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    14.4%
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:07ALA 4th & 10 at ALA 24, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.5%−0.7
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:53ALA 4th & 21 at ALA 29, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.2%−1.4
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:00TENN 4th & 1 at ALA 10, down 20
    Close callKicked a field goal · 11.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    11.8%−0.8
    88% to make
    Punt
    9.4%−3.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:38ALA 4th & 8 at ALA 43, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.3%−0.8
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.1%
    average punt
  9. Q4 14:42TENN 4th & 9 at TENN 26, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.8%−1.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.0%
    average punt
  10. Q4 12:30ALA 4th & 11 at TENN 45, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.9%−0.4
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    93.6%−0.7
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    94.3%
    average punt
  11. Q4 9:42TENN 4th & 5 at ALA 6, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 5.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.4%−0.2
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    5.5%
    91% to make
    Punt
    1.6%−4.0
    average punt
  12. Q4 0:16TENN 4th & 19 at TENN 32, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 2.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.3%−0.1
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.3%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TENN made the numbers' call on 2 of 2ALA made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 12:39ALA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    82.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:55ALA Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 3:12ALA Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 12:03ALA Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 7:03TENN Touchdown, down 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    9.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 5:52TENN Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 0:13ALA Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TENNDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 21 yds · 1:5615% → 16%
Q1 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+12
15.3%
Jalen Hurd run for 12 yds to the Tenn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:34
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+8
15.4%
Nathan Peterman pass complete to Von Pearson for 8 yds to the Alab 47Similar
Q1 14:16
2ND & 2
OPP 47
+6
15.6%
Jalen Hurd run for 6 yds to the Alab 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:01
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
15.7%
Nathan Peterman pass incomplete, broken up by Jarrick WilliamsSimilar
Q1 13:55
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+3
15.7%
Jalen Hurd run for 3 yds to the Alab 38Similar
Q1 13:30
3RD & 7
OPP 38
-8
16.0%
Nathan Peterman sacked by Xzavier Dickson for a loss of 8 yards to the Alab 46Similar
Q1 12:52
4TH & 15
OPP 46
0
16.1%
Matt Darr punt for 46 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 2TD
1 play · 80 yds · 0:0084% → 84%
Q1 12:39
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+80
16.1%
Amari Cooper 80 Yd pass from Blake Sims (Adam Griffith PAT failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:3116% → 17%
Q1 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
16.1%
Nathan Peterman pass incomplete to Jason CroomSimilar
Q1 12:27
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
16.1%
Jalen Hurd run for 7 yds to the Tenn 32Similar
Q1 11:47
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+2
16.4%
Nathan Peterman pass complete to Jalen Hurd for 2 yds to the Tenn 34Similar
Q1 11:04
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
16.5%
Matt Darr punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Cyrus Jones at the Alab 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 4TD
8 plays · 79 yds · 2:0483% → 85%
Q1 10:59
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
16.7%
Blake Sims pass incomplete to T.J. YeldonSimilar
Q1 10:54
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+3
16.7%
T.J. Yeldon run for 3 yds to the Alab 24Similar
Q1 10:16
3RD & 7
OWN 24
+13
17.1%
Blake Sims pass complete to Amari Cooper for 13 yds to the Alab 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:11
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
16.9%
Blake Sims pass incomplete to Chris BlackSimilar
Q1 10:00
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+6
17.0%
T.J. Yeldon run for 6 yds to the Alab 43Similar
Q1 9:33
3RD & 4
OWN 43
-5
17.1%
ALABAMA Penalty, Substitution Infraction (NA) to the Alab 38Similar
Q1 9:06
3RD & 9
OWN 38
+21
17.4%
Blake Sims pass complete to Amari Cooper for 21 yds to the Tenn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:55
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+41
15.4%
Amari Cooper 41 Yd pass from Blake Sims (Adam Griffith Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 1:3516% → 17%
Q1 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
16.2%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Jalen Hurd for 11 yds to the Tenn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
16.3%
Von Pearson run for 1 yd to the Tenn 37Similar
Q1 8:00
2ND & 9
OWN 37
0
16.3%
Joshua Dobbs pass incomplete to Ethan Wolf, broken up by Reggie RaglandSimilar
Q1 7:50
3RD & 9
OWN 37
+5
16.3%
Joshua Dobbs run for 5 yds to the Tenn 42Similar
Q1 7:12
4TH & 4
OWN 42
0
16.6%
Matt Darr punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Cyrus Jones at the Alab 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 6TD
11 plays · 90 yds · 4:0084% → 87%
Q1 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+15
15.9%
TENNESSEE Penalty, Personal Foul (NA) to the Alab 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
15.8%
T.J. Yeldon run for 1 yd to the Alab 26Similar
Q1 6:33
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+15
16.0%
T.J. Yeldon run for 15 yds to the Alab 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+8
15.7%
Blake Sims pass complete to DeAndrew White for 8 yds to the Alab 49Similar
Q1 5:57
2ND & 2
OWN 49
+17
15.7%
Blake Sims pass complete to DeAndrew White for 17 yds to the Tenn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:35
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
15.7%
Derrick Henry run for 3 yds to the Tenn 31Similar
Q1 5:01
2ND & 7
OPP 31
+30
15.7%
Blake Sims pass complete to Amari Cooper for 30 yds to the Tenn 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-3
15.8%
Derrick Henry run for a loss of 3 yards to the Tenn 4Similar
Q1 3:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
15.8%
T.J. Yeldon run for 3 yds to the Tenn 1 T.J. Yeldon fumbled, recovered by Alab T.J. YeldonSimilar
Q1 3:12
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
12.6%
T.J. Yeldon 1 Yd Run (Adam Griffith Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 31 yds · 1:3013% → 13%
Q1 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
13.4%
Joshua Dobbs run for 5 yds to the Tenn 28Similar
Q1 2:27
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+25
13.3%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Alex Ellis for 25 yds to the Alab 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:06
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
13.6%
Joshua Dobbs pass incomplete to Josh MaloneSimilar
Q1 1:59
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+1
13.6%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Jalen Hurd for 1 yd to the Alab 46Similar
Q1 1:40
3RD & 9
OPP 46
0
13.5%
Joshua Dobbs pass incomplete to Josh MaloneSimilar
Q1 1:30
4TH & 9
OPP 46
0
13.2%
Matt Darr punt for 36 yds, downed at the Alab 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 8FUMBLE
6 plays · 14 yds · 1:1888% → 88%
Q1 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
12.0%
Derrick Henry run for 2 yds to the Alab 12Similar
Q1 0:50
2ND & 8
OWN 12
+12
11.9%
Derrick Henry run for 12 yds to the Alab 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
11.8%
Blake Sims pass incomplete to DeAndrew WhiteSimilar
Q1 0:22
2ND & 10
OWN 24
0
11.8%
Blake Sims pass incomplete to Derrick HenrySimilar
Q1 0:18
3RD & 10
OWN 24
0
12.0%
Blake Sims pass incomplete to Amari Cooper, broken up by Cameron SuttonSimilar
Q1 0:07
4TH & 10
OWN 24
-4
11.8%
JK Scott punt for 60 yds , Cameron Sutton returns for a loss of 4 yards to the Tenn 12 Cameron Sutton fumbled, recovered by Tenn Michael WilliamsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 9FUMBLE
6 plays · 23 yds · 2:1413% → 13%
Q1 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+2
12.8%
Joshua Dobbs run for 2 yds to the Tenn 14Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 8
OWN 14
+3
12.7%
Marlin Lane run for 3 yds to the Tenn 17Similar
Q2 14:20
3RD & 5
OWN 17
+30
12.5%
Joshua Dobbs run for 30 yds to the Tenn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-5
13.2%
TENNESSEE Penalty, False Start (Brett Kendrick) to the Tenn 42Similar
Q2 13:41
1ST & 15
OWN 42
-1
12.9%
Jalen Hurd run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 41Similar
Q2 12:48
2ND & 16
OWN 41
+2
12.6%
Joshua Dobbs run for 2 yds to the Tenn 43 Joshua Dobbs fumbled, forced by Reggie Ragland, recovered by Alab Eddie Jackson , return for 16 yds to the Tenn 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 10TD
4 plays · 19 yds · 0:4590% → 91%
Q2 12:48
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-15
10.4%
ALABAMA Penalty, Personal Foul (NA) to the Tenn 34Similar
Q2 12:42
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
10.4%
Blake Sims pass incomplete to Amari CooperSimilar
Q2 12:36
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+6
10.4%
T.J. Yeldon run for 6 yds to the Tenn 28Similar
Q2 12:03
3RD & 4
OPP 28
+28
9.4%
Blake Sims 28 Yd Run (Adam Griffith Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 11TD
11 plays · 84 yds · 4:498% → 13%
Q2 11:52
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
8.3%
Joshua Dobbs run for no gain to the Tenn 16Similar
Q2 11:24
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+9
8.0%
Jalen Hurd run for 9 yds to the Tenn 25Similar
Q2 10:51
3RD & 1
OWN 25
+1
7.8%
Jalen Hurd run for 1 yd to the Tenn 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-4
7.8%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Jalen Hurd for a loss of 4 yards to the Tenn 22Similar
Q2 9:34
2ND & 14
OWN 22
+1
7.3%
Jalen Hurd run for 1 yd to the Tenn 23Similar
Q2 8:53
3RD & 13
OWN 23
+28
7.0%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Pig Howard for 28 yds to the Alab 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:29
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+44
7.9%
Marlin Lane run for 44 yds to the Alab 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-1
8.3%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Pig Howard for a loss of 1 yard to the Alab 6Similar
Q2 7:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
-3
8.0%
Joshua Dobbs run for a loss of 3 yards to the Alab 9Similar
Q2 7:03
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
13.3%
Josh Malone 9 Yd pass from Joshua Dobbs (Aaron Medley Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 1 yds · 2:5991% → 91%
Q2 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
9.5%
Blake Sims pass incomplete to DeAndrew WhiteSimilar
Q2 6:40
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+9
9.5%
Blake Sims pass complete to Amari Cooper for 9 yds to the Alab 37Similar
Q2 6:05
3RD & 1
OWN 37
+3
9.5%
Jalston Fowler run for 3 yds to the Alab 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-9
9.0%
Amari Cooper run for a loss of 9 yards to the Alab 31Similar
Q2 4:36
2ND & 19
OWN 31
-2
9.2%
T.J. Yeldon run for a loss of 2 yards to the Alab 29Similar
Q2 4:01
3RD & 21
OWN 29
0
9.4%
Blake Sims pass incomplete to T.J. YeldonSimilar
Q2 3:53
4TH & 21
OWN 29
0
9.5%
JK Scott punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Cameron Sutton at the Tenn 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 13END OF HALF
15 plays · 59 yds · 3:4711% → 13%
Q2 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
11.1%
Joshua Dobbs pass incomplete to Pig HowardSimilar
Q2 3:40
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+8
11.0%
Joshua Dobbs run for 8 yds to the Tenn 39Similar
Q2 3:11
3RD & 2
OWN 39
+6
11.3%
Joshua Dobbs run for 6 yds to the Tenn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:43
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
11.5%
Jalen Hurd run for 1 yd to the Tenn 46Similar
Q2 2:19
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+15
11.3%
Dobbs, Joshua pass incomplete to North, Marquez, PENALTY ALABAMA pass interference (Jones, Cyrus) 15 yards to the ALABAMA39, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TENNESSEE. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:12
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
11.7%
Jalen Hurd run for no gain to the Alab 39Similar
Q2 1:46
2ND & 10
OPP 39
0
11.5%
Joshua Dobbs pass incomplete to Ethan WolfSimilar
Q2 1:40
3RD & 10
OPP 39
+20
11.3%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Marquez North for 20 yds to the Alab 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:37
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-5
12.1%
TENNESSEE Penalty, False Start (Colton Jumper) to the Alab 24Similar
Q2 1:28
1ST & 15
OPP 24
+9
11.9%
Joshua Dobbs run for 9 yds to the Alab 15Similar
Q2 0:55
2ND & 6
OPP 15
+5
12.0%
Jalen Hurd run for 5 yds to the Alab 10Similar
Q2 0:42
3RD & 1
OPP 10
0
10.9%
A.J. Johnson run for no gain to the Alab 10Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 1
OPP 10
+27
12.8%
Aaron Medley 27 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 2:1189% → 89%
Q3 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+18
11.0%
Blake Sims pass complete to DeAndrew White for 18 yds to the Alab 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:34
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+9
10.4%
T.J. Yeldon run for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 14:03
2ND & 1
50
-1
10.0%
DeAndrew White run for a loss of 1 yard to the Alab 49Similar
Q3 13:16
3RD & 2
OWN 49
-6
10.5%
T.J. Yeldon run for a loss of 6 yards to the Alab 43Similar
Q3 12:38
4TH & 8
OWN 43
0
10.9%
JK Scott punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Cameron Sutton at the Tenn 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 15TD
16 plays · 84 yds · 6:3811% → 19%
Q3 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+7
11.3%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Pig Howard for 7 yds to the Tenn 23Similar
Q3 11:59
2ND & 3
OWN 23
+3
11.4%
Jalen Hurd run for 3 yds to the Tenn 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-1
11.3%
Joshua Dobbs run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 25Similar
Q3 10:55
2ND & 11
OWN 25
+4
11.1%
Jalen Hurd run for 4 yds to the Tenn 29Similar
Q3 10:22
3RD & 7
OWN 29
+22
10.7%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Marquez North for 22 yds to the Alab 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:12
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
12.1%
Jalen Hurd run for 3 yds to the Alab 46Similar
Q3 9:33
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+5
11.9%
Joshua Dobbs run for 5 yds to the Alab 41Similar
Q3 9:05
3RD & 2
OPP 41
+10
12.0%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Ethan Wolf for 10 yds to the Alab 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:46
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
12.2%
Von Pearson run for 2 yds to the Alab 29Similar
Q3 8:10
2ND & 8
OPP 29
0
12.3%
Joshua Dobbs pass incomplete to Josh Malone, broken up by Cyrus JonesSimilar
Q3 8:01
3RD & 8
OPP 29
+15
11.8%
Joshua Dobbs run for 15 yds to the Alab 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:40
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+11
12.2%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Jalen Hurd for 11 yds to the Alab 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-6
12.6%
Joshua Dobbs run for a loss of 6 yards to the Alab 9Similar
Q3 6:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
12.1%
Joshua Dobbs run for no gain to the Alab 9Similar
Q3 5:52
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
18.6%
Von Pearson 9 Yd pass from Joshua Dobbs (Aaron Medley Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 16TD
14 plays · 76 yds · 5:2483% → 95%
Q3 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
17.2%
Blake Sims pass incomplete to Amari CooperSimilar
Q3 5:30
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+6
17.5%
T.J. Yeldon run for 6 yds to the Alab 30Similar
Q3 5:04
3RD & 4
OWN 30
+5
16.4%
T.J. Yeldon run for 5 yds to the Alab 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
15.8%
T.J. Yeldon run for no gain to the Alab 35Similar
Q3 4:01
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+7
15.9%
Blake Sims pass complete to Amari Cooper for 7 yds to the Alab 42Similar
Q3 3:37
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+5
15.2%
T.J. Yeldon run for 5 yds to the Alab 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
14.6%
Blake Sims pass incomplete to Amari CooperSimilar
Q3 3:18
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+1
14.7%
Derrick Henry run for 1 yd to the Alab 48Similar
Q3 2:37
3RD & 9
OWN 48
+9
15.0%
Blake Sims run for 9 yds to the Tenn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:02
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
14.4%
Derrick Henry run for 3 yds to the Tenn 40Similar
Q3 1:19
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+3
14.5%
Blake Sims pass complete to T.J. Yeldon for 3 yds to the Tenn 37Similar
Q3 0:45
3RD & 4
OPP 37
+9
14.4%
Blake Sims pass complete to Amari Cooper for 9 yds to the Tenn 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:13
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+28
5.1%
Derrick Henry 28 Yd Run (Adam Griffith Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:238% → 8%
Q3 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
8.3%
Jalen Hurd run for 1 yd to the Tenn 26Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
8.2%
Joshua Dobbs pass incomplete to Ethan WolfSimilar
Q4 14:50
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
8.0%
Joshua Dobbs pass incomplete to Von PearsonSimilar
Q4 14:42
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
7.8%
Matt Darr punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Alab 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 15 yds · 2:0595% → 95%
Q4 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+16
5.2%
Blake Sims pass complete to DeAndrew White for 16 yds to the Tenn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:02
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
5.0%
Derrick Henry run for 4 yds to the Tenn 40Similar
Q4 13:46
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+1
4.7%
Derrick Henry run for 1 yd to the Tenn 39Similar
Q4 13:09
3RD & 5
OPP 39
-6
4.9%
Blake Sims sacked by Curt Maggitt for a loss of 6 yards to the Tenn 45Similar
Q4 12:30
4TH & 11
OPP 45
0
5.4%
JK Scott punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Cameron Sutton at the Tenn 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 19INT
3 plays · 11 yds · 0:346% → 6%
Q4 12:23
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+4
6.2%
Jalen Hurd run for 4 yds to the Tenn 20Similar
Q4 12:05
2ND & 6
OWN 20
+7
5.6%
Joshua Dobbs run for 7 yds to the Tenn 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-5
5.7%
Joshua Dobbs pass intercepted Cyrus Jones return for a loss of 5 yards to the Alab 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 20FUMBLE
2 plays · -7 yds · 0:0495% → 95%
Q4 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-5
4.8%
ALABAMA Penalty, False Start (O.J. Howard) to the Alab 25Similar
Q4 11:45
1ST & 15
OWN 25
-2
4.9%
Blake Sims run for a loss of 2 yards to the Alab 23 Blake Sims fumbled, recovered by Tenn Corey VereenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 21FG
6 plays · 17 yds · 1:587% → 9%
Q4 11:40
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
6.9%
Von Pearson run for 4 yds to the Alab 19Similar
Q4 11:10
2ND & 7
OPP 19
+8
6.9%
Joshua Dobbs run for 8 yds to the Alab 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:50
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+1
6.0%
Marlin Lane run for 1 yd to the Alab 10Similar
Q4 10:21
2ND & 9
OPP 10
+4
5.9%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Marquez North for 4 yds to the Alab 6Similar
Q4 9:48
3RD & 5
OPP 6
0
5.7%
Joshua Dobbs pass incomplete to Marquez NorthSimilar
Q4 9:42
4TH & 5
OPP 6
+24
8.9%
Aaron Medley 24 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 22FUMBLE
16 plays · 78 yds · 7:0195% → 98%
Q4 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+14
5.3%
Blake Sims pass complete to Amari Cooper for 14 yds to the Alab 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
5.1%
Derrick Henry run for 4 yds to the Alab 39Similar
Q4 8:10
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+1
4.7%
Derrick Henry run for 1 yd to the Alab 40Similar
Q4 7:28
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+8
4.5%
Blake Sims run for 8 yds to the Alab 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
4.1%
Derrick Henry run for 4 yds to the Tenn 48Similar
Q4 5:56
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+8
3.8%
Sims, Blake pass incomplete to White, DeAndrew, PENALTY TENNESSEE pass interference (Coleman, Justin) 8 yards to the TENNESSEE40, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ALABAMA. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:39
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+7
3.8%
Derrick Henry run for 7 yds to the Tenn 33Similar
Q4 4:59
2ND & 3
OPP 33
+5
2.9%
Blake Sims run for 5 yds to the Tenn 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:34
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
2.7%
Derrick Henry run for 3 yds to the Tenn 25Similar
Q4 3:53
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+3
2.3%
Derrick Henry run for 3 yds to the Tenn 22Similar
Q4 3:22
3RD & 4
OPP 22
+5
2.0%
Derrick Henry run for 5 yds to the Tenn 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:38
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-5
1.9%
ALABAMA Penalty, Delay of Game (NA) to the Tenn 22Similar
Q4 2:29
1ST & 15
OPP 22
+21
1.9%
Jalston Fowler run for 21 yds to the Tenn 1 Jalston Fowler fumbled, forced by Cameron Sutton, recovered by Tenn Jalen Reeves-MaybinSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 23DOWNS
11 plays · 31 yds · 2:073% → 1%
Q4 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+4
2.5%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Von Pearson for 4 yds to the Tenn 5Similar
Q4 1:52
2ND & 6
OWN 5
+15
2.1%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Pig Howard for 15 yds to the Tenn 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+10
2.2%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Marquez North for 10 yds to the Tenn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
2.2%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Jalen Hurd for 6 yds to the Tenn 36Similar
Q4 1:16
2ND & 4
OWN 36
0
2.2%
Joshua Dobbs pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:09
3RD & 4
OWN 36
+5
2.2%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Vic Wharton for 5 yds to the Tenn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
2.2%
Joshua Dobbs pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:51
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
2.2%
Joshua Dobbs run for no gain to the Tenn 41Similar
Q4 0:41
3RD & 10
OWN 41
-9
1.2%
Joshua Dobbs sacked by Da'Shawn Hand for a loss of 9 yards to the Tenn 32Similar
Q4 0:16
4TH & 19
OWN 32
0
1.2%
Joshua Dobbs pass incomplete to Pig HowardSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 24END OF GAME
1 play · -3 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 0:14
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-3
1.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Tenn 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 0:13
Derrick Henry 28 Yd Run (Adam Griffith Kick)
-9.3
TD · Q3 5:52
Von Pearson 9 Yd pass from Joshua Dobbs (Aaron Medley Kick)
+6.5
TD · Q2 7:03
Josh Malone 9 Yd pass from Joshua Dobbs (Aaron Medley Kick)
+5.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com