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SC

South Carolina 35 at Auburn 42

AUB
2014 · Week 9 · Oct 25, 2014 · Jordan-Hare Stadium
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Win probability · AUB
modelAUB aheadSC aheadconfidence bandkey playAUB scoreSC score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 9:21 · Daniel Carlson punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SCaro 25
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+35.0+17.50−17.5−35.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 16Pregame prior+32.1Home team on offense−0.9Garbage-time factor−0.5Score differential−0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.2Blowout margin−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 2:35: Nick Marshall run for 37 yds for a TD, (Daniel Carlson KICK) — AUB win probability +10.0 pts (now 77%) (top driver: AUB has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 7:40: Dylan Thompson pass complete to Pharoh Cooper for 51 yds for a TD, (Elliott Fry KICK) — SC win probability +16.0 pts (now 36%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 7:29: Ricardo Louis run for 75 yds for a TD, (Daniel Carlson KICK) — AUB win probability +18.7 pts (now 84%) (top driver: AUB has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 2:20: Dylan Thompson pass complete to Nick Jones for 10 yds for a TD, (Elliott Fry KICK) — SC win probability +19.0 pts (now 43%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 11:22: Nick Marshall run for 9 yds for a TD, (Daniel Carlson KICK) — AUB win probability +20.0 pts (now 89%) (top driver: AUB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
AUB made the numbers' call on 1 of 2SC made the numbers' call on 4 of 7
  1. Q1 9:21AUB 4th & 3 at AUB 47, down 7
    Close callPunted · 79.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.8%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q2 14:54SC 4th & 2 at SC 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 22.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    22.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    22.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q2 6:09SC 4th & 12 at SC 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.4%−1.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.5%
    average punt
  4. Q3 4:30SC 4th & 6 at SC 40, down 7
    Close callWent for it · 18.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.8%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    19.2%
    average punt
  5. Q4 14:34SC 4th & 1 at AUB 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 41.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    40.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    36.1%−4.4
    70% to make
    Punt
    23.0%−17.6
    average punt
  6. Q4 10:15SC 4th & 1 at SC 34, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 15.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    13.7%−2.7
    average punt
  7. Q4 8:34SC 4th & 8 at SC 38, down 7
    Close callWent for it · 14.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.1%−0.5
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    13.6%
    average punt
  8. Q4 5:28SC 4th & 14 at AUB 19, down 7
    Numbers favored field goal by 3.8 ptsWent for it · 12.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.8%−3.8
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    13.6%
    77% to make
    Punt
    5.1%−8.5
    average punt
  9. Q4 1:08AUB 4th & 8 at midfield, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.6%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.7%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
AUB made the numbers' call on 6 of 6SC made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 12:34SC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:33AUB Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:14SC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    28.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    28.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 8:19AUB Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 5:05SC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 2:35AUB Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 9:30AUB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 7:40SC Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 7:29AUB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q3 2:20SC Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 11:22AUB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.4%−0.7
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SCDrive 1TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:2015% → 17%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
84.8%
Dylan Thompson pass incomplete to Pharoh CooperSimilar
Q1 14:44
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+24
84.7%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Mike Davis for 24 yds to the SCaro 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:25
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
84.6%
Mike Davis run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 13:42
2ND & 9
50
0
84.4%
Dylan Thompson pass incomplete to Nick JonesSimilar
Q1 13:35
3RD & 9
50
+12
84.4%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Pharoh Cooper for 12 yds to the Aub 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:15
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+6
84.2%
Mike Davis run for 6 yds to the Aub 32Similar
Q1 12:34
2ND & 4
OPP 32
+32
83.5%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Shaq Roland for 32 yds for a TD, (Elliott Fry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 22 yds · 3:0384% → 82%
Q1 12:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
83.5%
Cameron Artis-Payne run for 2 yds to the Aub 27Similar
Q1 12:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+3
83.3%
Roc Thomas run for 3 yds to the Aub 30Similar
Q1 11:30
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+10
83.1%
Nick Marshall pass complete to D'haquille Williams for 10 yds to the Aub 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
82.9%
Nick Marshall run for 4 yds to the Aub 44Similar
Q1 10:10
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+3
82.7%
Corey Grant run for 3 yds to the Aub 47Similar
Q1 9:27
3RD & 3
OWN 47
0
82.3%
Nick Marshall pass incomplete to D'haquille WilliamsSimilar
Q1 9:21
4TH & 3
OWN 47
0
82.0%
Daniel Carlson punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SCaro 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 3INT
6 plays · 63 yds · 2:4718% → 21%
Q1 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
81.8%
Mike Davis run for 4 yds to the SCaro 29Similar
Q1 8:30
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+18
81.2%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Pharoh Cooper for 18 yds to the SCaro 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+14
80.6%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Pharoh Cooper for 14 yds to the Aub 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:22
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+28
80.1%
Mike Davis run for 28 yds to the Aub 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:05
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-1
79.8%
Mike Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the Aub 12Similar
Q1 6:28
2ND & 11
OPP 12
+1
79.4%
Dylan Thompson pass intercepted Cassanova McKinzy return for 1 yd to the Aub 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 4TD
12 plays · 92 yds · 4:4880% → 81%
Q1 6:21
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+19
80.0%
Ricardo Louis run for 19 yds to the Aub 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+23
80.0%
Cameron Artis-Payne run for 23 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:57
1ST & 10
50
+1
80.5%
Cameron Artis-Payne run for 1 yd to the SCaro 49Similar
Q1 5:25
2ND & 9
OPP 49
+14
80.1%
Nick Marshall pass complete to D'haquille Williams for 14 yds to the SCaro 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:55
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
80.3%
Cameron Artis-Payne run for 4 yds to the SCaro 31Similar
Q1 4:10
2ND & 6
OPP 31
+18
79.9%
Nick Marshall run for 18 yds to the SCaro 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+5
79.8%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Substitution Infraction (NA) to the SCaro 8Similar
Q1 3:40
1ST & 5
OPP 8
-1
79.6%
Nick Marshall run for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 9Similar
Q1 3:00
2ND & 6
OPP 9
+7
79.3%
Cameron Artis-Payne run for 7 yds to the SCaro 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-2
79.3%
Cameron Artis-Payne run for a loss of 2 yards to the SCaro 4Similar
Q1 2:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
78.6%
Nick Marshall run for 1 yd to the SCaro 3Similar
Q1 1:33
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
81.4%
Nick Marshall pass complete to Brandon Fulse for 3 yds for a TD, (Daniel Carlson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 5TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:1120% → 28%
Q1 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
79.9%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Pharoh Cooper for 7 yds to the SCaro 32Similar
Q1 0:55
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
79.2%
Brandon Wilds run for 2 yds to the SCaro 34Similar
Q1 0:10
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-1
79.1%
Brandon Wilds run for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 33Similar
Q2 14:54
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+18
79.6%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Mike Davis for 18 yds to the Aub 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:30
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
78.0%
Dylan Thompson pass incomplete to Pharoh CooperSimilar
Q2 14:20
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+11
78.1%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Damiere Byrd for 11 yds to the Aub 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:50
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
77.7%
Mike Davis run for 4 yds to the Aub 34Similar
Q2 13:10
2ND & 6
OPP 34
+14
76.9%
Pharoh Cooper pass complete to Dylan Thompson for 14 yds to the Aub 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
76.7%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Shamier Jeffery for 4 yds to the Aub 16Similar
Q2 12:14
2ND & 6
OPP 16
+16
71.7%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Pharoh Cooper for 16 yds for a TD, (Elliott Fry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 6TD
10 plays · 93 yds · 3:2673% → 80%
Q2 11:45
2ND & 1
OWN 16
+5
73.1%
Cameron Artis-Payne run for 5 yds to the Aub 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+30
72.8%
Cameron Artis-Payne run for 30 yds to the SCaro 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:40
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
74.0%
Nick Marshall pass complete to Ricardo Louis for 7 yds to the SCaro 42Similar
Q2 10:20
2ND & 3
OPP 42
+12
73.9%
Roc Thomas run for 12 yds to the SCaro 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:05
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+6
74.4%
Roc Thomas run for 6 yds to the SCaro 24Similar
Q2 9:25
2ND & 4
OPP 24
+5
73.7%
Nick Marshall run for 5 yds to the SCaro 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:05
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+8
73.4%
Ricardo Louis run for 8 yds to the SCaro 11Similar
Q2 8:40
2ND & 2
OPP 11
+9
73.2%
Nick Marshall pass complete to Quan Bray for 9 yds to the SCaro 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
79.7%
Cameron Artis-Payne run for 2 yds for a TD, (Daniel Carlson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 7FUMBLE
7 plays · 14 yds · 2:0125% → 25%
Q2 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
75.5%
Pharoh Cooper run for 2 yds to the SCaro 27Similar
Q2 7:45
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+14
75.1%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Jerell Adams for 14 yds to the SCaro 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-2
73.7%
Mike Davis run for a loss of 2 yards to the SCaro 39Similar
Q2 6:32
2ND & 12
OWN 39
0
74.2%
Dylan Thompson pass incomplete to Pharoh CooperSimilar
Q2 6:26
3RD & 12
OWN 39
0
74.7%
Dylan Thompson pass incomplete to Pharoh CooperSimilar
Q2 6:09
4TH & 12
OWN 39
+28
75.4%
Tyler Hull punt for 47 yds , Quan Bray returns for 28 yds to the Aub 42 Quan Bray fumbled, forced by Gerald Dixon Jr., recovered by SCaro Chris MoodySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 8TD
4 plays · 42 yds · 0:5528% → 37%
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
72.3%
Mike Davis run for no gain to the Aub 42Similar
Q2 5:30
2ND & 10
OPP 42
0
72.0%
Dylan Thompson pass incomplete to Nick JonesSimilar
Q2 5:24
3RD & 10
OPP 42
+15
72.7%
AUBURN Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Angelo Blackson) to the Aub 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:05
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+27
63.1%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Mike Davis for 27 yds for a TD, (Elliott Fry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 9TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:2466% → 77%
Q2 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
66.1%
Nick Marshall pass incomplete to Sammie CoatesSimilar
Q2 4:52
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
65.9%
Nick Marshall run for 2 yds to the Aub 27Similar
Q2 4:20
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+17
64.5%
Jonathan Wallace pass complete to Nick Marshall for 17 yds to the Aub 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
67.0%
Cameron Artis-Payne run for 2 yds to the Aub 46Similar
Q2 3:30
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+14
66.7%
Nick Marshall pass complete to Sammie Coates for 14 yds to the SCaro 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:10
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
67.3%
Cameron Artis-Payne run for 3 yds to the SCaro 37Similar
Q2 2:35
2ND & 7
OPP 37
+37
77.3%
Nick Marshall run for 37 yds for a TD, (Daniel Carlson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 10END OF HALF
5 plays · 13 yds · 1:4028% → 30%
Q2 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
72.2%
Mike Davis run for no gain to the SCaro 25Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+13
72.1%
Brandon Wilds run for 13 yds to the SCaro 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
70.6%
Brandon Wilds run for no gain to the SCaro 38Similar
Q2 0:50
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
70.4%
Brandon Wilds run for no gain to the SCaro 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 11TD
14 plays · 88 yds · 5:2074% → 85%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+9
73.7%
Cameron Artis-Payne run for 9 yds to the Aub 21Similar
Q3 14:30
2ND & 1
OWN 21
+4
74.1%
Cameron Artis-Payne run for 4 yds to the Aub 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
73.6%
Cameron Artis-Payne run for 18 yds to the Aub 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
75.4%
Nick Marshall pass complete to Quan Bray for 2 yds to the Aub 45Similar
Q3 13:25
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+24
75.5%
Nick Marshall pass complete to Brandon Fulse for 24 yds to the SCaro 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:01
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+6
76.4%
Cameron Artis-Payne run for 6 yds to the SCaro 25Similar
Q3 12:50
2ND & 4
OPP 25
+2
76.2%
Roc Thomas run for 2 yds to the SCaro 23Similar
Q3 12:15
3RD & 2
OPP 23
+7
74.9%
Cameron Artis-Payne run for 7 yds to the SCaro 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:55
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+6
75.8%
Cameron Artis-Payne run for 6 yds to the SCaro 10Similar
Q3 11:15
2ND & 4
OPP 10
+3
75.6%
Roc Thomas run for 3 yds to the SCaro 7Similar
Q3 10:40
3RD & 1
OPP 7
+2
74.3%
Cameron Artis-Payne run for 2 yds to the SCaro 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
75.3%
Cameron Artis-Payne run for 1 yd to the SCaro 4Similar
Q3 9:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
85.2%
Nick Marshall run for 4 yds for a TD, (Daniel Carlson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 12TD
6 plays · 72 yds · 1:4019% → 36%
Q3 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
80.9%
Dylan Thompson pass incomplete to Mike DavisSimilar
Q3 9:15
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+2
81.3%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Mike Davis for 2 yds to the SCaro 30Similar
Q3 9:00
3RD & 8
OWN 30
+13
81.9%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Nick Jones for 13 yds to the SCaro 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
79.9%
Mike Davis run for 6 yds to the SCaro 49Similar
Q3 7:40
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+51
63.8%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Pharoh Cooper for 51 yds for a TD, (Elliott Fry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 13TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0084% → 84%
Q3 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
84.0%
Ricardo Louis run for 75 yds for a TD, (Daniel Carlson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 14TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 5:0219% → 43%
Q3 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
80.9%
Pharoh Cooper run for 8 yds to the SCaro 33Similar
Q3 6:50
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
79.1%
Pharoh Cooper pass incomplete to Shaq RolandSimilar
Q3 6:46
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+3
80.5%
Mike Davis run for 3 yds to the SCaro 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
79.9%
Mike Davis run for 2 yds to the SCaro 38Similar
Q3 5:44
2ND & 8
OWN 38
-5
79.4%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, False Start (Brandon Shell) to the SCaro 33Similar
Q3 5:25
2ND & 13
OWN 33
0
80.8%
Dylan Thompson pass incomplete to Damiere ByrdSimilar
Q3 5:15
3RD & 13
OWN 33
+12
81.7%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Shaq Roland for 12 yds to the SCaro 45Similar
Q3 4:53
4TH & 1
OWN 45
-5
80.1%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, False Start (Cody Gibson) to the SCaro 40Similar
Q3 4:30
4TH & 6
OWN 40
+9
81.6%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Pharoh Cooper for 9 yds to the SCaro 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+23
78.4%
Mike Davis run for 23 yds to the Aub 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:30
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
76.1%
Mike Davis run for no gain to the Aub 28Similar
Q3 2:49
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+18
76.4%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Shaq Roland for 18 yds to the Aub 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
57.5%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Nick Jones for 10 yds for a TD, (Elliott Fry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 15INT
14 plays · 37 yds · 3:5641% → 45%
Q3 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
58.9%
Dylan Thompson pass incomplete to Shaq RolandSimilar
Q3 2:06
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+11
59.9%
Brandon Wilds run for 11 yds to the Aub 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:46
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
57.5%
Dylan Thompson pass incomplete to Pharoh CooperSimilar
Q3 1:41
2ND & 10
OPP 44
0
57.6%
Dylan Thompson pass incomplete to Brandon WildsSimilar
Q3 1:34
3RD & 10
OPP 44
+12
59.1%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Nick Jones for 12 yds to the Aub 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:55
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+6
55.1%
Mike Davis run for 6 yds to the Aub 26Similar
Q3 0:25
2ND & 4
OPP 26
+1
54.1%
Mike Davis run for 1 yd to the Aub 25Similar
Q4 14:55
3RD & 3
OPP 25
+2
55.8%
Mike Davis run for 2 yds to the Aub 23Similar
Q4 14:34
4TH & 1
OPP 23
+3
57.7%
Mike Davis run for 3 yds to the Aub 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:05
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
52.9%
Mike Davis run for 2 yds to the Aub 18Similar
Q4 13:22
2ND & 8
OPP 18
0
52.3%
Dylan Thompson pass incomplete to Pharoh CooperSimilar
Q4 13:17
3RD & 8
OPP 18
0
55.0%
Dylan Thompson pass intercepted, touchback. Jonathan Jones return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 16TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 1:4964% → 89%
Q4 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+13
64.1%
Cameron Artis-Payne run for 13 yds to the Aub 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+7
64.7%
Cameron Artis-Payne run for 7 yds to the Aub 40Similar
Q4 12:45
2ND & 3
OWN 40
+20
67.8%
Nick Marshall pass complete to Quan Bray for 20 yds to the SCaro 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:20
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
69.0%
Roc Thomas run for 3 yds to the SCaro 37Similar
Q4 12:00
2ND & 7
OPP 37
+28
68.9%
Nick Marshall pass complete to Corey Grant for 28 yds to the SCaro 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
88.9%
Nick Marshall run for 9 yds for a TD, (Daniel Carlson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 17DOWNS
19 plays · 56 yds · 5:4217% → 11%
Q4 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
83.5%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Mike Davis for 9 yds to the SCaro 34Similar
Q4 10:50
2ND & 1
OWN 34
-1
81.3%
Mike Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 33Similar
Q4 10:30
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
82.8%
Mike Davis run for 1 yd to the SCaro 34Similar
Q4 10:15
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+2
83.6%
Dylan Thompson run for 2 yds to the SCaro 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
81.8%
Dylan Thompson pass incomplete to Pharoh CooperSimilar
Q4 9:45
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+5
82.2%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Shon Carson for 5 yds to the SCaro 41Similar
Q4 9:15
3RD & 5
OWN 41
-3
81.7%
Shon Carson run for a loss of 3 yards to the SCaro 38 Shon Carson fumbled, recovered by SCaro Shon CarsonSimilar
Q4 8:34
4TH & 8
OWN 38
+15
84.4%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Jerell Adams for 15 yds to the Aub 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:10
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
79.2%
Dylan Thompson pass incomplete to Pharoh CooperSimilar
Q4 8:03
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+11
80.4%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to K.J. Brent for 11 yds to the Aub 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:40
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+5
79.5%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Mike Davis for 5 yds to the Aub 31Similar
Q4 7:10
2ND & 5
OPP 31
+1
78.6%
Brandon Wilds run for 1 yd to the Aub 30Similar
Q4 6:27
3RD & 4
OPP 30
+15
83.9%
AUBURN Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Jonathan Jones) to the Aub 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
82.0%
Dylan Thompson pass incomplete to Pharoh CooperSimilar
Q4 6:10
2ND & 10
OPP 15
-4
82.0%
Dylan Thompson run for a loss of 4 yards to the Aub 19Similar
Q4 5:34
3RD & 14
OPP 19
0
86.2%
Dylan Thompson pass incomplete to Jerell AdamsSimilar
Q4 5:28
4TH & 14
OPP 19
0
88.7%
Dylan Thompson pass incomplete to Shaq RolandSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 18PUNT
11 plays · 31 yds · 4:1391% → 96%
Q4 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+7
90.8%
Cameron Artis-Payne run for 7 yds to the Aub 26Similar
Q4 4:37
2ND & 3
OWN 26
+10
91.0%
Nick Marshall run for 10 yds to the Aub 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-4
93.4%
Cameron Artis-Payne run for a loss of 4 yards to the Aub 32Similar
Q4 3:20
2ND & 14
OWN 32
+6
92.6%
Roc Thomas run for 6 yds to the Aub 38Similar
Q4 2:40
3RD & 8
OWN 38
+10
94.0%
Nick Marshall pass complete to D'haquille Williams for 10 yds to the Aub 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-2
94.8%
Nick Marshall pass complete to Quan Bray for a loss of 2 yards to the Aub 46Similar
Q4 1:26
2ND & 12
OWN 46
-1
95.6%
Roc Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the Aub 45Similar
Q4 1:18
3RD & 13
OWN 45
+5
96.3%
Cameron Artis-Payne run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 1:08
4TH & 8
50
+7
96.2%
Daniel Carlson punt for 42 yds , Pharoh Cooper returns for 7 yds to the SCaro 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 19INT
8 plays · 44 yds · 1:007% → 10%
Q4 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-1
92.8%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Brandon Wilds for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 14Similar
Q4 0:35
2ND & 11
OWN 14
-5
93.4%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (NA) to the SCaro 9Similar
Q4 0:30
2ND & 16
OWN 9
+8
93.9%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Nick Jones for 8 yds to the SCaro 17Similar
Q4 0:21
3RD & 8
OWN 17
+13
93.6%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Jerell Adams for 13 yds to the SCaro 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:18
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
92.4%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:11
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
93.1%
Dylan Thompson pass incomplete to Damiere ByrdSimilar
Q4 0:07
3RD & 10
OWN 30
+29
93.5%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Shaq Roland for 13 yds to the Aub 43 for a 1ST down AUBURN Penalty, Personal Foul (NA) to the Aub 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
90.3%
Dylan Thompson pass intercepted, touchback. Jonathan Jones return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 11:22
Nick Marshall run for 9 yds for a TD, (Daniel Carlson KICK)
+20
TD · Q3 2:20
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Nick Jones for 10 yds for a TD, (Elliott Fry KICK)
-19
TD · Q3 7:29
Ricardo Louis run for 75 yds for a TD, (Daniel Carlson KICK)
+18.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com