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MISS

Ole Miss 7 at LSU 10

LSU
2014 · Week 9 · Oct 25, 2014 · Tiger Stadium (LA)
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Win probability · LSU
modelLSU aheadMISS aheadconfidence bandkey playLSU scoreMISS score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:19 · Jamie Keehn punt for 45 yds , Markell Pack returns for 1 yd to the Miss 25
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+23.5+11.80−11.8−23.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 161Home team on offense+18.2Pregame prior−0.2Garbage-time factor+12.9Score differential+1.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+1.5
This game in five plays
  1. KEY PLAY · Q4 12:41: Bo Wallace pass incomplete to Vince Sanders — MISS win probability +9.1 pts (now 68%) (top driver: MISS has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 5:07: Logan Stokes 3 Yd pass from Anthony Jennings (Colby Delahoussaye Kick) — LSU win probability +34.2 pts (now 77%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q4 5:00: Jaylen Walton run for 2 yds to the Miss 34 — MISS win probability +6.7 pts (now 35%) (top driver: MISS has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 1:44: LSU Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (NA) to the LSU 33 — LSU win probability +18.0 pts (now 88%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 0:00: Anthony Jennings run for 2 yds to the LSU 4 — LSU win probability +12.5 pts (now 94%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
LSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7MISS made the numbers' call on 8 of 11
  1. Q1 12:41MISS 4th & 11 at MISS 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.6%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:53LSU 4th & 6 at MISS 12, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 46.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.0%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    46.1%
    86% to make
    Punt
    44.8%−1.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:52MISS 4th & 2 at LSU 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 54.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    54.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    53.8%−0.4
    56% to make
    Punt
    53.4%−0.8
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:54MISS 4th & 7 at LSU 36, up 7
    Close callPunted · 60.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.3%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    60.0%−0.3
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    59.8%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 2:47LSU 4th & 4 at MISS 4, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 38.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    37.5%−0.7
    93% to make
    Punt
    30.6%−7.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:38MISS 4th & 7 at MISS 39, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.5%−1.0
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.5%
    average punt
  7. Q3 12:46LSU 4th & 11 at MISS 47, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.2%−1.4
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.6%
    average punt
  8. Q3 7:58MISS 4th & 1 at LSU 43, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 4.4 ptsPunted · 59.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    53.5%−5.9
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    55.0%−4.4
    average punt
  9. Q3 5:55LSU 4th & 3 at LSU 11, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.1%−0.2
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.3%
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:55MISS 4th & 19 at LSU 43, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.5%−3.4
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    61.2%−1.6
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    62.9%
    average punt
  11. Q3 0:52MISS 4th & 15 at MISS 29, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.5%−4.7
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.2%
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:50LSU 4th & 7 at LSU 21, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.6%−2.8
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.4%
    average punt
  13. Q4 13:56MISS 4th & 11 at MISS 34, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.1%−4.6
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.6%
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:06MISS 4th & 3 at MISS 42, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 66.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.8%−1.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 6:56LSU 4th & 1 at MISS 36, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 38.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    38.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    31.1%−7.5
    42% to make
    Punt
    28.2%−10.4
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:44MISS 4th & 1 at LSU 47, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 29.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    26.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    15.1%−11.4
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:19LSU 4th & 12 at LSU 31, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.5%−8.9
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.4%
    average punt
  18. Q4 0:46MISS 4th & 8 at MISS 27, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 16.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.5%
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    7.1%−3.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
LSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1MISS made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 0:07MISS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 5:07LSU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.6%−0.7
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MISSDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 2:0959% → 58%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
40.8%
Jaylen Walton run for 2 yds to the Miss 27Similar
Q1 14:30
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+19
40.9%
Bo Wallace pass complete to Laquon Treadwell for 19 yds to the Miss 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:52
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
41.0%
Bo Wallace pass incomplete to Vince SandersSimilar
Q1 13:45
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+1
41.0%
Bo Wallace pass complete to Jaylen Walton for 1 yd to the Miss 47Similar
Q1 13:03
3RD & 9
OWN 47
-2
41.3%
Bo Wallace sacked by Tre'Davious White for a loss of 2 yards to the Miss 45Similar
Q1 12:41
4TH & 11
OWN 45
0
41.6%
Will Gleeson punt for 30 yds, downed at the LSU 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 2MISSED FG
11 plays · 63 yds · 5:2242% → 44%
Q1 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
41.7%
Leonard Fournette run for 2 yds to the LSU 27Similar
Q1 12:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+2
41.8%
Anthony Jennings run for 2 yds to the LSU 29Similar
Q1 11:20
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+32
41.8%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Terrence Magee for 32 yds to the Miss 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:45
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+11
42.7%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Travin Dural for 11 yds to the Miss 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
43.0%
Terrence Magee run for 4 yds to the Miss 24Similar
Q1 9:30
2ND & 6
OPP 24
+5
43.4%
Leonard Fournette run for 5 yds to the Miss 19Similar
Q1 8:45
3RD & 1
OPP 19
+3
43.2%
Anthony Jennings run for 3 yds to the Miss 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+4
43.9%
Leonard Fournette run for 4 yds to the Miss 12Similar
Q1 7:15
2ND & 6
OPP 12
0
44.1%
Anthony Jennings pass incomplete to Connor NeighborsSimilar
Q1 7:00
3RD & 6
OPP 12
0
43.9%
Anthony Jennings pass incomplete to Trey QuinnSimilar
Q1 6:53
4TH & 6
OPP 12
+28
43.6%
Colby Delahoussaye 28 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 3DOWNS
9 plays · 50 yds · 2:4357% → 56%
Q1 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+30
43.1%
Cody Core run for 30 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:30
1ST & 10
50
0
42.3%
Bo Wallace pass incomplete to Laquon Treadwell, broken up by Jamal AdamsSimilar
Q1 6:15
2ND & 10
50
+9
42.5%
Bo Wallace run for 9 yds to the LSU 41Similar
Q1 5:30
3RD & 1
OPP 41
+3
42.4%
Jeremy Liggins run for 3 yds to the LSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
42.5%
I'Tavius Mathers run for 1 yd to the LSU 37Similar
Q1 4:50
2ND & 9
OPP 37
+8
42.6%
Jaylen Walton run for 8 yds to the LSU 29Similar
Q1 4:30
3RD & 1
OPP 29
-1
42.6%
I'Tavius Mathers run for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 30Similar
Q1 3:52
4TH & 2
OPP 30
0
43.7%
Bo Wallace pass incomplete to Jaylen WaltonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 4FUMBLE
6 plays · 69 yds · 2:2645% → 48%
Q1 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
44.8%
Terrence Magee run for 7 yds to the LSU 37Similar
Q1 3:05
2ND & 3
OWN 37
+3
45.7%
Terrence Magee run for 3 yds to the LSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+40
45.8%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Leonard Fournette for 40 yds to the Miss 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:20
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
47.2%
Leonard Fournette run for 3 yds to the Miss 17Similar
Q1 1:35
2ND & 7
OPP 17
+14
47.6%
Leonard Fournette run for 14 yds to the Miss 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
47.8%
Leonard Fournette run for 2 yds Leonard Fournette fumbled, recovered by Miss Cody PrewittSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 5TD
7 plays · 80 yds · 1:0355% → 62%
Q1 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
44.6%
Jaylen Walton run for no gain to the Miss 20Similar
Q1 0:40
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+43
44.8%
Bo Wallace pass complete to Jaylen Walton for 43 yds to the LSU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:25
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+27
43.2%
Bo Wallace pass complete to Laquon Treadwell for 27 yds to the LSU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
42.8%
Bo Wallace pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
42.8%
Jordan Wilkins pass incomplete to Bo WallaceSimilar
Q1 0:13
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
-5
43.4%
OLE MISS Penalty, False Start (Fahn Cooper) to the LSU 15Similar
Q1 0:07
3RD & GOAL
OPP 15
+15
38.4%
Cody Core 15 Yd pass from Bo Wallace (Gary Wunderlich Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 6FUMBLE
5 plays · 20 yds · 1:5040% → 41%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
40.0%
Terrence Magee run for 2 yds to the LSU 34Similar
Q2 14:15
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+6
39.9%
Terrence Magee run for 6 yds to the LSU 40Similar
Q2 14:00
3RD & 2
OWN 40
+4
40.7%
Terrence Magee run for 4 yds to the LSU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+8
40.8%
Terrence Magee run for 8 yds to the Miss 48 Terrence Magee fumbled, forced by Cody Prewitt, recovered by Miss C.J. JohnsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 1:1162% → 62%
Q2 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+13
38.0%
I'Tavius Mathers run for 13 yds to the LSU 39 I'Tavius Mathers fumbled, recovered by Miss I'Tavius Mathers for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
37.7%
LSU Penalty, Defensive Offside (NA) to the LSU 34Similar
Q2 12:45
1ST & 5
OPP 34
0
37.4%
Bo Wallace pass incomplete to Vince SandersSimilar
Q2 12:20
2ND & 15
OPP 44
+8
38.1%
Jaylen Walton run for 8 yds to the LSU 36Similar
Q2 12:03
3RD & 7
OPP 36
0
37.8%
Bo Wallace pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:54
4TH & 7
OPP 36
0
38.5%
Will Gleeson punt for 30 yds, downed at the LSU 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 8FG
20 plays · 90 yds · 8:5839% → 43%
Q2 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+6
39.3%
Leonard Fournette run for 6 yds to the LSU 12Similar
Q2 11:00
2ND & 4
OWN 12
+2
39.4%
Leonard Fournette run for 2 yds to the LSU 14Similar
Q2 10:30
3RD & 2
OWN 14
+4
38.7%
Terrence Magee run for 4 yds to the LSU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
38.9%
Anthony Jennings pass incomplete to Travin DuralSimilar
Q2 9:40
2ND & 10
OWN 18
-1
38.9%
Terrence Magee run for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 17Similar
Q2 9:00
3RD & 11
OWN 17
+13
38.0%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Terrence Magee for 13 yds to the LSU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+25
39.1%
Terrence Magee run for 25 yds to the Miss 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:40
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+8
39.0%
Terrence Magee run for 8 yds to the Miss 37Similar
Q2 7:15
2ND & 2
OPP 37
+5
39.0%
Melvin Jones run for 5 yds to the Miss 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:25
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
39.9%
Leonard Fournette run for 5 yds to the Miss 27Similar
Q2 5:45
2ND & 5
OPP 27
+7
39.9%
Leonard Fournette run for 7 yds to the Miss 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:05
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+6
39.9%
Leonard Fournette run for 6 yds to the Miss 14Similar
Q2 4:35
2ND & 4
OPP 14
+5
39.9%
Leonard Fournette run for 5 yds to the Miss 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
39.8%
Leonard Fournette run for 4 yds to the Miss 5Similar
Q2 3:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
39.8%
Leonard Fournette run for 1 yd to the Miss 4Similar
Q2 2:50
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
39.2%
Anthony Jennings pass incomplete to Malachi Dupre, broken up by Mike HiltonSimilar
Q2 2:47
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
42.7%
Colby Delahoussaye 21 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 9PUNT
10 plays · 30 yds · 1:4259% → 59%
Q2 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+7
41.3%
I'Tavius Mathers run for 7 yds to the Miss 16Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 3
OWN 16
0
40.9%
Bo Wallace pass incomplete to Vince Sanders, broken up by Jalen CollinsSimilar
Q2 1:55
3RD & 3
OWN 16
+7
41.7%
Bo Wallace run for 7 yds to the Miss 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
40.5%
Bo Wallace pass incomplete to Evan EngramSimilar
Q2 1:20
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+13
41.0%
I'Tavius Mathers run for 13 yds to the Miss 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
39.3%
I'Tavius Mathers run for 3 yds to the Miss 39Similar
Q2 0:54
2ND & 7
OWN 39
0
38.5%
Bo Wallace pass incomplete to Evan EngramSimilar
Q2 0:49
3RD & 7
OWN 39
0
39.3%
Bo Wallace pass incomplete to Laquon TreadwellSimilar
Q2 0:38
4TH & 7
OWN 39
+3
41.1%
Will Gleeson punt for 42 yds , Tre'Davious White returns for 3 yds to the LSU 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 10END OF HALF
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0040% → 40%
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
39.7%
Leonard Fournette run for no gain to the LSU 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 2:0442% → 41%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+22
42.3%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Trey Quinn for 22 yds to the Miss 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:20
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
45.6%
Terrence Magee run for 4 yds to the Miss 42Similar
Q3 14:00
2ND & 6
OPP 42
-5
45.7%
Anthony Jennings run for a loss of 5 yards to the Miss 47 Anthony Jennings fumbled, recovered by LSU Anthony JenningsSimilar
Q3 13:00
3RD & 11
OPP 47
0
42.8%
Anthony Jennings pass incomplete to Travin Dural LSU Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jerald Hawkins) declinedSimilar
Q3 12:46
4TH & 11
OPP 47
0
40.9%
Jamie Keehn punt for 45 yds, downed at the Miss 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 12PUNT
11 plays · 55 yds · 4:3759% → 60%
Q3 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 2
0
40.9%
Bo Wallace run for no gain to the Miss 2Similar
Q3 12:20
2ND & 10
OWN 2
+15
41.2%
Bo Wallace pass complete to Cody Core for 15 yds to the Miss 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+2
40.3%
Bo Wallace run for 2 yds to the Miss 19Similar
Q3 11:00
2ND & 8
OWN 19
+3
40.6%
Jaylen Walton run for 3 yds to the Miss 22Similar
Q3 10:25
3RD & 5
OWN 22
+12
41.6%
Bo Wallace run for 12 yds to the Miss 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
39.6%
Bo Wallace pass complete to Cody Core for 6 yds to the Miss 40Similar
Q3 9:25
2ND & 4
OWN 40
+8
38.1%
Jaylen Walton run for 8 yds to the Miss 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
37.8%
Jaylen Walton run for no gain to the Miss 48Similar
Q3 8:25
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
37.9%
Bo Wallace pass incomplete to Laquon TreadwellSimilar
Q3 8:00
3RD & 10
OWN 48
+9
39.2%
Bo Wallace run for 9 yds to the LSU 43Similar
Q3 7:58
4TH & 1
OPP 43
0
39.6%
Will Gleeson punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Tre'Davious White at the LSU 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:4540% → 38%
Q3 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+3
39.7%
Leonard Fournette run for 3 yds to the LSU 7Similar
Q3 7:10
2ND & 7
OWN 7
+3
39.5%
Leonard Fournette run for 3 yds to the LSU 10Similar
Q3 6:00
3RD & 4
OWN 10
+1
38.5%
Darrel Williams run for 1 yd to the LSU 11Similar
Q3 5:55
4TH & 3
OWN 11
0
37.7%
Jamie Keehn punt for 23 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LSU 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · -9 yds · 1:4066% → 62%
Q3 5:35
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-2
34.2%
I'Tavius Mathers run for a loss of 2 yards to the LSU 36Similar
Q3 5:00
2ND & 12
OPP 36
-2
35.0%
Bo Wallace run for a loss of 2 yards to the LSU 38Similar
Q3 4:10
3RD & 14
OPP 38
-5
35.3%
Bo Wallace sacked by Danielle Hunter and Jermauria Rasco for a loss of 5 yards to the LSU 43Similar
Q3 3:55
4TH & 19
OPP 43
0
37.6%
Will Gleeson punt for 39 yds, downed at the LSU 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 15INT
4 plays · 13 yds · 1:4237% → 36%
Q3 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+11
37.0%
Kenny Hilliard run for 11 yds to the LSU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-1
37.3%
Kenny Hilliard run for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 14Similar
Q3 1:59
2ND & 11
OWN 14
+3
37.1%
Kenny Hilliard run for 3 yds to the LSU 17Similar
Q3 1:48
3RD & 8
OWN 17
0
35.5%
Anthony Jennings pass intercepted Senquez Golson return for no gain to the Miss 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · -20 yds · 0:2867% → 62%
Q3 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
33.5%
Jaylen Walton run for no gain to the Miss 34Similar
Q3 1:15
2ND & 10
OWN 34
0
34.1%
Bo Wallace pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:05
3RD & 10
OWN 34
0
35.8%
Bo Wallace pass complete to Jaylen Walton for no gain to the Miss 34Similar
Q3 1:00
4TH & 10
OWN 34
-5
36.9%
OLE MISS Penalty, False Start (NA) to the Miss 29Similar
Q3 0:52
4TH & 15
OWN 29
0
37.6%
Will Gleeson punt for 54 yds, downed at the LSU 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:0037% → 34%
Q3 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
37.4%
Leonard Fournette run for 3 yds to the LSU 20Similar
Q3 0:01
2ND & 8
OWN 20
+1
37.1%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Leonard Fournette for 1 yd to the LSU 21Similar
Q4 14:58
3RD & 7
OWN 21
0
35.5%
Anthony Jennings pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:50
4TH & 7
OWN 21
0
34.3%
Jamie Keehn punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Markell Pack at the Miss 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:5467% → 64%
Q4 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
32.8%
Jaylen Walton run for a loss of 1 yard to the Miss 34Similar
Q4 14:10
2ND & 11
OWN 34
0
33.6%
Bo Wallace pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:03
3RD & 11
OWN 34
0
35.0%
Bo Wallace pass incomplete to Cody CoreSimilar
Q4 13:56
4TH & 11
OWN 34
0
36.2%
Gary Wunderlich punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Tre'Davious White at the LSU 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 19INT
3 plays · 22 yds · 0:5837% → 41%
Q4 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
37.4%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Trey Quinn for 20 yds to the LSU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
40.8%
Leonard Fournette run for 2 yds to the LSU 47Similar
Q4 12:47
2ND & 8
OWN 47
0
41.4%
Anthony Jennings pass intercepted Mike Hilton return for no gain to the Miss 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:3568% → 68%
Q4 12:41
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
32.4%
Bo Wallace pass incomplete to Vince SandersSimilar
Q4 12:00
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
32.1%
Jaylen Walton run for no gain to the Miss 35Similar
Q4 11:40
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+7
33.5%
Bo Wallace pass complete to Vince Sanders for 7 yds to the Miss 42Similar
Q4 11:06
4TH & 3
OWN 42
-3
32.3%
Will Gleeson punt for 50 yds , Tre'Davious White returns for a loss of 3 yards to the LSU 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 21TD
13 plays · 95 yds · 5:5336% → 77%
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+2
36.0%
Kenny Hilliard run for 2 yds to the LSU 7Similar
Q4 10:45
2ND & 8
OWN 7
+18
35.8%
Kenny Hilliard run for 18 yds to the LSU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
36.9%
Kenny Hilliard run for 8 yds to the LSU 33Similar
Q4 10:00
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+6
39.9%
Melvin Jones run for 6 yds to the LSU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+16
38.0%
Kenny Hilliard run for 16 yds to the Miss 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:35
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
42.0%
Leonard Fournette run for 5 yds to the Miss 40Similar
Q4 8:00
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+2
42.2%
Leonard Fournette run for 2 yds to the Miss 38Similar
Q4 7:30
3RD & 3
OPP 38
+2
41.4%
Kenny Hilliard run for 2 yds to the Miss 36Similar
Q4 6:56
4TH & 1
OPP 36
+1
37.5%
Kenny Hilliard run for 1 yd to the Miss 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+22
42.8%
Leonard Fournette run for 22 yds to the Miss 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+10
42.9%
Leonard Fournette run for 6 yds to the Miss 7 for a 1ST down OLE MISS Penalty, Face Mask (4 yards) (NA) to the Miss 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
43.0%
Melvin Jones run for no gain to the Miss 3Similar
Q4 5:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
77.2%
Logan Stokes 3 Yd pass from Anthony Jennings (Colby Delahoussaye Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 22DOWNS
8 plays · 21 yds · 3:1635% → 30%
Q4 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
65.3%
Jaylen Walton run for 2 yds to the Miss 34Similar
Q4 4:15
2ND & 8
OWN 34
-2
65.7%
Bo Wallace pass complete to Jaylen Walton for a loss of 2 yards to the Miss 32Similar
Q4 3:45
3RD & 10
OWN 32
+12
69.6%
Bo Wallace pass complete to Laquon Treadwell for 12 yds to the Miss 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-1
65.6%
Jaylen Walton run for a loss of 1 yard to the Miss 43Similar
Q4 2:30
2ND & 11
OWN 43
+9
70.0%
Bo Wallace pass complete to Cody Core for 9 yds to the LSU 48Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 2
OPP 48
+1
66.9%
I'Tavius Mathers run for 1 yd to the LSU 47Similar
Q4 1:44
4TH & 1
OPP 47
0
69.7%
Bo Wallace run for no gain to the LSU 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 23PUNT
9 plays · -16 yds · 0:2588% → 89%
Q4 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-14
87.7%
LSU Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (NA) to the LSU 33Similar
Q4 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
86.2%
Kenny Hilliard run for 3 yds to the LSU 36Similar
Q4 1:33
2ND & 7
OWN 36
0
88.4%
Kenny Hilliard run for no gain to the LSU 36Similar
Q4 1:32
3RD & 7
OWN 36
-5
87.3%
LSU Penalty, False Start (Vadal Alexander) to the LSU 31Similar
Q4 1:27
3RD & 12
OWN 31
0
87.3%
Kenny Hilliard run for no gain to the LSU 31Similar
Q4 1:19
4TH & 12
OWN 31
+1
88.5%
Jamie Keehn punt for 45 yds , Markell Pack returns for 1 yd to the Miss 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 24INT
12 plays · 45 yds · 0:5813% → 18%
Q4 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
86.6%
Bo Wallace run for 2 yds to the Miss 27Similar
Q4 0:57
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
87.3%
Bo Wallace pass incomplete to Vince SandersSimilar
Q4 0:51
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
88.7%
Bo Wallace pass incomplete to Evan Engram, broken up by Jalen CollinsSimilar
Q4 0:46
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+12
89.2%
Bo Wallace pass complete to Markell Pack for 12 yds to the Miss 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+13
85.9%
Bo Wallace pass complete to Laquon Treadwell for 13 yds to the LSU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:31
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
83.3%
Bo Wallace pass incomplete to Markell PackSimilar
Q4 0:21
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+15
84.6%
LSU Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Jalen Mills) to the LSU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:14
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
80.3%
Bo Wallace pass incomplete to Markell Pack, broken up by Jamal AdamsSimilar
Q4 0:09
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+8
80.7%
Bo Wallace run for 8 yds to the LSU 25Similar
Q4 0:09
3RD & 2
OPP 25
-5
81.7%
OLE MISS Penalty, Delay of Game (NA) to the LSU 30Similar
Q4 0:02
3RD & 7
OPP 30
+1
81.7%
Bo Wallace pass intercepted Ronald Martin return for 1 yd to the LSU 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 25END OF GAME
1 play · 2 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+2
94.2%
Anthony Jennings run for 2 yds to the LSU 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 5:07
Logan Stokes 3 Yd pass from Anthony Jennings (Colby Delahoussaye Kick)
+34.2
KEY PLAY · Q4 1:44
LSU Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (NA) to the LSU 33
+18
KEY PLAY · Q4 0:00
Anthony Jennings run for 2 yds to the LSU 4
+12.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com