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TENN

Tennessee 45 at South Carolina 42

SC
2014 · Week 10 · Nov 1, 2014 · Williams-Brice Stadium
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Win probability · SC
modelSC aheadTENN aheadconfidence bandkey playSC scoreTENN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 1:20 · Elliott Fry 37 yd FG MISSED
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+27.0+13.50−13.5−27.0Q1Q2Q3Q4OTPlay 84Home team on offense+1.2Pregame prior+8.8Garbage-time factor−0.6Score differential−0.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.4Time remaining−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 9:06: Brandon Wilds run for 5 yds for a TD, (Elliott Fry KICK) — SC win probability +16.6 pts (now 67%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 0:09: Dylan Thompson pass complete to Pharoh Cooper for 12 yds for a TD, (Elliott Fry KICK) — SC win probability +21.0 pts (now 86%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 1:50: Joshua Dobbs run for 3 yds for a TD, (Aaron Medley KICK) — TENN win probability +15.6 pts (now 21%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 0:11: Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Jason Croom for 9 yds for a TD, (Aaron Medley KICK) — TENN win probability +48.1 pts (now 63%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
  5. FG · OT 0:00: Aaron Medley 32 yd FG GOOD — TENN win probability +15.2 pts (now 72%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SC made the numbers' call on 4 of 6TENN made the numbers' call on 3 of 8
  1. Q1 12:48SC 4th & 3 at TENN 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 71.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    71.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    71.1%−0.2
    23% to make
    Punt
    71.2%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:21TENN 4th & 14 at SC 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.0%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:31TENN 4th & 1 at SC 1, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 27.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    27.7%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    27.2%−0.5
    94% to make
    Punt
    25.9%−1.8
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:03SC 4th & 6 at TENN 39, tied
    Close callPunted · 69.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    68.8%−0.3
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    68.9%−0.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 5:16TENN 4th & 3 at TENN 36, tied
    Close callPunted · 35.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.8%−0.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:20SC 4th & 14 at TENN 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 64.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.3%−1.7
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    65.1%
    75% to make
    Punt
    60.3%−4.8
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:07TENN 4th & 3 at SC 36, tied
    Close callWent for it · 39.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    39.4%−0.8
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    40.2%
    42% to make
    Punt
    38.5%−1.7
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:08TENN 4th & 3 at SC 25, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsKicked a field goal · 54.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    53.9%−1.1
    66% to make
    Punt
    45.8%−9.2
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:40TENN 4th & 1 at SC 27, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.8 ptsKicked a field goal · 43.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    39.2%−3.8
    62% to make
    Punt
    29.7%−13.4
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:50SC 4th & 1 at SC 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 61.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    62.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    59.7%−3.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:21TENN 4th & 6 at TENN 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.2%−0.8
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.0%
    average punt
  12. Q4 8:33SC 4th & 2 at SC 12, up 14
    Close callPunted · 95.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.3%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 6:34TENN 4th & 6 at SC 21, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 6.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.5%−0.6
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    6.2%
    74% to make
    Punt
    3.1%−3.0
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:23SC 4th & 12 at TENN 45, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.8%−0.2
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    93.8%−0.2
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    94.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SC made the numbers' call on 5 of 6TENN made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 8:34SC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:37TENN Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    30.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:58TENN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 6:35SC Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:07TENN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 9:06SC Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 0:09SC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 13:22SC Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 6:34TENN Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    10.4%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.4%
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 4:52SC Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.9%−0.6
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.5%
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 1:50TENN Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.1%−0.4
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 0:11TENN Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.2%−1.9
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SCDrive 1DOWNS
7 plays · 31 yds · 2:0267% → 67%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
67.0%
Mike Davis run for 2 yds to the SCaro 25Similar
Q1 14:20
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+22
66.9%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Damiere Byrd for 22 yds to the SCaro 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
67.0%
Dylan Thompson pass incomplete to Damiere ByrdSimilar
Q1 13:35
2ND & 10
OWN 47
0
67.0%
Dylan Thompson pass incomplete to Mike DavisSimilar
Q1 13:20
3RD & 10
OWN 47
+7
66.8%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Nick Jones for 7 yds to the Tenn 46Similar
Q1 12:48
4TH & 3
OPP 46
0
66.9%
Dylan Thompson pass incomplete to Pharoh CooperSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 1:1934% → 33%
Q1 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+10
66.5%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Jalen Hurd for 10 yds to the SCaro 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:29
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-5
66.5%
TENNESSEE Penalty, False Start (Jashon Robertson) to the SCaro 48Similar
Q1 12:12
1ST & 15
OPP 48
+1
66.5%
Pig Howard run for 1 yd to the SCaro 47Similar
Q1 11:35
2ND & 14
OPP 47
0
66.4%
Joshua Dobbs pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:29
3RD & 14
OPP 47
0
66.6%
Joshua Dobbs pass incomplete to Marquez NorthSimilar
Q1 11:21
4TH & 14
OPP 47
0
66.7%
Matt Darr punt for 25 yds, fair catch by Pharoh Cooper at the SCaro 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 3TD
7 plays · 78 yds · 2:4167% → 69%
Q1 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
66.6%
Mike Davis run for 3 yds to the SCaro 25Similar
Q1 10:55
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+9
66.6%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Jerell Adams for 9 yds to the SCaro 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+34
66.6%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Mike Davis for 34 yds to the Tenn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+15
67.2%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Pharoh Cooper for 15 yds to the Tenn 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
67.2%
Mike Davis run for 3 yds to the Tenn 14Similar
Q1 9:10
2ND & 7
OPP 14
+3
67.2%
Mike Davis run for 3 yds to the Tenn 11Similar
Q1 8:34
3RD & 4
OPP 11
+11
68.9%
Pharoh Cooper run for 11 yds for a TD, (Elliott Fry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 4DOWNS
9 plays · 74 yds · 2:5932% → 32%
Q1 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
68.4%
Marlin Lane run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 24Similar
Q1 7:57
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+11
68.6%
Jalen Hurd run for 11 yds to the Tenn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
68.4%
Joshua Dobbs run for 4 yds to the Tenn 39Similar
Q1 7:10
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+52
67.9%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Von Pearson for 42 yds to the SOCAROLINA 19 for a 1ST down SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Face Mask (10 yards) (10 Yards) to the SCaro 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
67.6%
Jalen Hurd run for 4 yds to the SCaro 5Similar
Q1 6:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
67.6%
Joshua Dobbs run for 4 yds to the SCaro 1Similar
Q1 6:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
68.0%
Jalen Hurd run for no gain to the SCaro 1Similar
Q1 5:31
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
68.5%
Jalen Hurd run for no gain to the SCaro 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 5INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0069% → 69%
Q1 5:17
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+19
69.1%
Dylan Thompson pass intercepted Justin Coleman return for 5 yds to the SCaro 6 TENNESSEE Penalty, Illegal Block (14 Yards) to the SCaro 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 6TD
8 plays · 40 yds · 2:3532% → 36%
Q1 5:12
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+16
68.2%
Jalen Hurd run for 16 yds to the SCaro 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-4
67.7%
Joshua Dobbs run for a loss of 4 yards to the SCaro 28 Joshua Dobbs fumbled, recovered by Tenn Joshua DobbsSimilar
Q1 4:25
2ND & 14
OPP 28
+8
68.3%
Joshua Dobbs run for 8 yds to the SCaro 20Similar
Q1 3:57
3RD & 6
OPP 20
+7
68.2%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Chris Lammons) to the SCaro 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:48
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+10
67.7%
Jalen Hurd run for 6 yds to the SCaro 7 for a 1ST down SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Personal Foul (Jonathan Walton) to the SCaro 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
67.7%
Marlin Lane run for 2 yds to the SCaro 1Similar
Q1 3:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
67.7%
Joshua Dobbs run for no gain to the SCaro 1Similar
Q1 2:37
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
63.6%
Pig Howard run for 1 yd for a TD, (Aaron Medley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 7PUNT
11 plays · 40 yds · 3:3466% → 66%
Q1 2:37
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-5
65.6%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Substitution Infraction (Mike Davis) to the SCaro 16Similar
Q1 2:25
1ST & 15
OWN 16
+11
65.5%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Jerell Adams for 11 yds to the SCaro 27Similar
Q1 2:05
2ND & 4
OWN 27
0
65.8%
Mike Davis run for no gain to the SCaro 27Similar
Q1 1:30
3RD & 4
OWN 27
+12
65.1%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Pharoh Cooper for 12 yds to the SCaro 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+8
66.0%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Pharoh Cooper for 8 yds to the SCaro 47Similar
Q1 0:20
2ND & 2
OWN 47
+10
66.6%
David Williams run for 10 yds to the Tenn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
66.8%
David Williams run for 4 yds to the Tenn 39Similar
Q2 14:16
2ND & 6
OPP 39
0
66.8%
Dylan Thompson pass incomplete to Damiere ByrdSimilar
Q2 14:11
3RD & 6
OPP 39
0
66.5%
Dylan Thompson pass incomplete to Jerell AdamsSimilar
Q2 14:03
4TH & 6
OPP 39
0
65.5%
Tyler Hull punt for 39 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 8TD
11 plays · 80 yds · 2:5736% → 46%
Q2 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+13
64.1%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Ethan Wolf for 13 yds to the Tenn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
63.7%
Marlin Lane run for 5 yds to the Tenn 38Similar
Q2 13:15
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+4
62.7%
Joshua Dobbs run for 4 yds to the Tenn 42Similar
Q2 12:35
3RD & 1
OWN 42
+15
62.6%
Joshua Dobbs run for 15 yds to the SCaro 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:15
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
62.0%
Joshua Dobbs pass incomplete to Jalen HurdSimilar
Q2 12:10
2ND & 10
OPP 43
0
62.0%
Joshua Dobbs pass incomplete to Daniel HelmSimilar
Q2 12:01
3RD & 10
OPP 43
+22
62.6%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Pig Howard for 22 yds to the SCaro 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+9
61.2%
Marlin Lane run for 9 yds to the SCaro 12Similar
Q2 11:23
2ND & 1
OPP 12
0
61.1%
Joshua Dobbs pass incomplete to Josh MaloneSimilar
Q2 11:17
3RD & 1
OPP 12
+5
61.7%
Jalen Hurd run for 5 yds to the SCaro 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
54.5%
Joshua Dobbs run for 7 yds for a TD, (Aaron Medley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 9TD
10 plays · 88 yds · 4:1557% → 67%
Q2 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+9
56.7%
Pharoh Cooper run for 9 yds to the SCaro 21Similar
Q2 10:30
2ND & 1
OWN 21
+4
57.0%
Mike Davis run for 4 yds to the SCaro 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
56.5%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Damiere Byrd for 10 yds to the SCaro 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
56.1%
Dylan Thompson run for no gain to the SCaro 35Similar
Q2 8:45
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+16
55.5%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Pharoh Cooper for 16 yds to the Tenn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:05
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-5
56.5%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SCaro 46Similar
Q2 7:47
1ST & 15
OWN 46
+21
54.5%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Pharoh Cooper for 21 yds to the Tenn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:15
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
57.1%
Pharoh Cooper run for 3 yds to the Tenn 30Similar
Q2 6:35
2ND & 7
OPP 30
+30
67.1%
Pharoh Cooper pass complete to Brandon Wilds for 30 yds for a TD, (Elliott Fry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:0439% → 38%
Q2 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
61.0%
Jalen Hurd run for 5 yds to the Tenn 34Similar
Q2 5:50
2ND & 5
OWN 34
+2
60.0%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Jalen Hurd for 2 yds to the Tenn 36Similar
Q2 5:22
3RD & 3
OWN 36
0
60.4%
Joshua Dobbs pass incomplete to Jason CroomSimilar
Q2 5:16
4TH & 3
OWN 36
0
61.6%
Matt Darr punt for 18 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SCaro 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 11MISSED FG
9 plays · 34 yds · 3:5066% → 62%
Q2 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
66.1%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Brandon Wilds for no gain to the SCaro 46Similar
Q2 4:29
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+8
65.2%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Pharoh Cooper for 8 yds to the Tenn 46Similar
Q2 4:05
3RD & 2
OPP 46
+5
66.0%
Brandon Wilds run for 5 yds to the Tenn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:32
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
66.6%
Dylan Thompson pass incomplete to Damiere ByrdSimilar
Q2 3:23
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+25
66.5%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Pharoh Cooper for 25 yds to the Tenn 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-4
66.9%
Dylan Thompson sacked by Derek Barnett for a loss of 4 yards to the Tenn 20Similar
Q2 2:15
2ND & 14
OPP 20
0
66.1%
Mike Davis run for no gain to the Tenn 20Similar
Q2 1:26
3RD & 14
OPP 20
0
64.2%
Dylan Thompson pass incomplete to Nick JonesSimilar
Q2 1:20
4TH & 14
OPP 20
+37
62.3%
Elliott Fry 37 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 12TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 1:0740% → 56%
Q2 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+13
59.8%
Joshua Dobbs run for 13 yds to the Tenn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+24
59.2%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Alex Ellis for 24 yds to the SCaro 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:57
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-4
56.2%
Joshua Dobbs run for 6 yds to the SCaro 37 TENNESSEE Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the SCaro 47Similar
Q2 0:32
1ST & 14
OPP 47
0
57.3%
Joshua Dobbs pass incomplete to Marquez NorthSimilar
Q2 0:24
2ND & 14
OPP 47
+11
57.8%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Jason Croom for 11 yds to the SCaro 36Similar
Q2 0:17
3RD & 3
OPP 36
0
55.7%
Joshua Dobbs pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:07
4TH & 3
OPP 36
+36
44.2%
Joshua Dobbs run for 36 yds for a TD, (Aaron Medley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · 16 yds · 0:0047% → 47%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+16
47.2%
Mike Davis run for 16 yds to the SCaro 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 14MISSED FG
9 plays · 50 yds · 2:4754% → 57%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
46.0%
Joshua Dobbs run for 5 yds to the Tenn 30Similar
Q3 14:25
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+11
44.8%
Jalen Hurd run for 11 yds to the Tenn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+12
43.3%
Joshua Dobbs run for 12 yds to the SCaro 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:37
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+15
42.3%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Rico McWilliams) to the SCaro 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:25
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
41.9%
Jalen Hurd run for 5 yds to the SCaro 27Similar
Q3 12:58
2ND & 5
OPP 27
0
41.5%
Joshua Dobbs pass incomplete to Ryan JenkinsSimilar
Q3 12:50
3RD & 5
OPP 27
+2
42.1%
Joshua Dobbs run for 2 yds to the SCaro 25Similar
Q3 12:08
4TH & 3
OPP 25
+43
43.2%
Aaron Medley 43 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 15TD
8 plays · 74 yds · 2:5446% → 67%
Q3 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+18
45.9%
Mike Davis run for 18 yds to the SCaro 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
47.9%
Pharoh Cooper pass incomplete to Damiere ByrdSimilar
Q3 11:30
2ND & 10
OWN 44
0
46.8%
Dylan Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:24
3RD & 10
OWN 44
+16
45.4%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Jerell Adams for 16 yds to the Tenn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:44
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
48.9%
Brandon Wilds run for 4 yds to the Tenn 36Similar
Q3 10:00
2ND & 6
OPP 36
+26
48.6%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Pharoh Cooper for 26 yds to the Tenn 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
50.1%
Brandon Wilds run for 5 yds to the Tenn 5Similar
Q3 9:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
66.7%
Brandon Wilds run for 5 yds for a TD, (Elliott Fry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 16MISSED FG
12 plays · 48 yds · 4:2041% → 45%
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
58.7%
Joshua Dobbs run for 4 yds to the Tenn 29Similar
Q3 8:45
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+8
57.8%
Jalen Hurd run for 8 yds to the Tenn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
57.3%
Von Pearson run for 9 yds to the Tenn 46Similar
Q3 8:00
2ND & 1
OWN 46
0
54.7%
Jalen Hurd run for no gain to the Tenn 46Similar
Q3 7:30
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+6
55.4%
Joshua Dobbs run for 6 yds to the SCaro 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
54.2%
Jalen Hurd run for 3 yds to the SCaro 45Similar
Q3 6:35
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+9
54.1%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Marlin Lane for 9 yds to the SCaro 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+9
53.9%
Pig Howard run for 9 yds to the SCaro 27Similar
Q3 5:47
2ND & 1
OPP 27
0
52.1%
Marlin Lane run for no gain to the SCaro 27Similar
Q3 5:20
3RD & 1
OPP 27
0
53.5%
Jalen Hurd run for no gain to the SCaro 27Similar
Q3 4:40
4TH & 1
OPP 27
+45
54.9%
Aaron Medley 45 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 17TD
10 plays · 72 yds · 4:2461% → 86%
Q3 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
61.1%
Mike Davis run for 3 yds to the SCaro 31Similar
Q3 3:50
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+5
61.2%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Pharoh Cooper for 5 yds to the SCaro 36Similar
Q3 3:30
3RD & 2
OWN 36
+1
61.8%
Mike Davis run for 1 yd to the SCaro 37Similar
Q3 2:50
4TH & 1
OWN 37
+3
58.9%
Mike Davis run for 3 yds to the SCaro 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
62.7%
Dylan Thompson run for 9 yds to the SCaro 49Similar
Q3 1:40
2ND & 1
OWN 49
+2
64.0%
Brandon Wilds run for 2 yds to the Tenn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
64.3%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Jerell Adams for 5 yds to the Tenn 44Similar
Q3 0:45
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+32
64.6%
Brandon Wilds run for 32 yds to the Tenn 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:09
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
85.6%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Pharoh Cooper for 12 yds for a TD, (Elliott Fry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:3923% → 21%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
77.2%
Jalen Hurd run for no gain to the Tenn 25Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
77.6%
Jalen Hurd run for 4 yds to the Tenn 29Similar
Q4 14:34
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
77.6%
Joshua Dobbs pass incomplete to Alex EllisSimilar
Q4 14:21
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
79.4%
Matt Darr punt for 55 yds, downed at the SCaro 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 19TD
3 plays · 84 yds · 0:5383% → 93%
Q4 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-1
83.0%
Dylan Thompson run for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 15Similar
Q4 13:35
2ND & 11
OWN 15
0
83.0%
Dylan Thompson pass incomplete to Shaq RolandSimilar
Q4 13:22
3RD & 11
OWN 15
+85
92.9%
Pharoh Cooper 85 Yd pass from Dylan Thompson (Elliott Fry Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 20INT
8 plays · 53 yds · 2:2410% → 12%
Q4 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
90.4%
Joshua Dobbs run for 12 yds to the Tenn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+18
89.4%
Pig Howard run for 18 yds to the SCaro 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
88.8%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Von Pearson for 5 yds to the SCaro 40Similar
Q4 11:58
2ND & 5
OPP 40
-6
88.9%
TENNESSEE Penalty, False Start (-6 Yards) to the SCaro 46Similar
Q4 11:34
2ND & 11
OPP 46
+12
89.6%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Daniel Helm for 12 yds to the SCaro 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:10
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+12
89.1%
Jalen Hurd run for 12 yds to the SCaro 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:51
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+1
88.5%
Joshua Dobbs pass intercepted Brison Williams return for 1 yd to the SCaro 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 2:0794% → 95%
Q4 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+2
94.2%
Mike Davis run for 2 yds to the SCaro 6Similar
Q4 10:10
2ND & 8
OWN 6
+5
94.3%
Mike Davis run for 5 yds to the SCaro 11Similar
Q4 9:20
3RD & 3
OWN 11
+1
94.9%
Dylan Thompson run for 1 yd to the SCaro 12Similar
Q4 8:33
4TH & 2
OWN 12
0
94.8%
Tyler Hull punt for 35 yds, downed at the SCaro 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 22TD
6 plays · 47 yds · 1:519% → 18%
Q4 8:25
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+9
91.1%
Jalen Hurd run for 9 yds to the SCaro 38Similar
Q4 8:08
2ND & 1
OPP 38
+13
90.6%
Jalen Hurd run for 13 yds to the SCaro 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:55
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
90.0%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Von Pearson for 3 yds to the SCaro 22Similar
Q4 7:23
2ND & 7
OPP 22
+2
90.1%
Joshua Dobbs run for 2 yds to the SCaro 20Similar
Q4 7:10
3RD & 5
OPP 20
-1
91.4%
Joshua Dobbs run for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 21Similar
Q4 6:34
4TH & 6
OPP 21
+21
81.8%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Jalen Hurd for 21 yds for a TD, (Aaron Medley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 23TD
6 plays · 82 yds · 1:3088% → 97%
Q4 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
87.7%
Dylan Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:21
2ND & 10
OWN 18
-5
87.4%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, False Start (Will Sport) to the SCaro 13Similar
Q4 6:00
2ND & 15
OWN 13
-3
87.9%
Dylan Thompson sacked by Curt Maggitt for a loss of 3 yards to the SCaro 10Similar
Q4 5:30
3RD & 18
OWN 10
+20
88.0%
Dylan Thompson run for 20 yds to the SCaro 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+70
96.8%
Brandon Wilds run for 70 yds for a TD, (Elliott Fry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 24TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 2:536% → 21%
Q4 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
94.0%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Jalen Hurd for 9 yds to the Tenn 34Similar
Q4 4:25
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+6
94.3%
Joshua Dobbs run for 6 yds to the Tenn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
94.4%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Ethan Wolf for 1 yd to the Tenn 41Similar
Q4 3:30
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+12
94.4%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Pig Howard for 12 yds to the SCaro 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:12
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
94.5%
Joshua Dobbs pass incomplete to Josh MaloneSimilar
Q4 2:45
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+5
94.5%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Von Pearson for 5 yds to the SCaro 42Similar
Q4 2:34
3RD & 5
OPP 42
+13
94.5%
Joshua Dobbs run for 13 yds to the SCaro 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:12
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
93.8%
Joshua Dobbs pass incomplete to Jason CroomSimilar
Q4 2:04
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+26
94.3%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Pig Howard for 26 yds to the SCaro 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
78.7%
Joshua Dobbs run for 3 yds for a TD, (Aaron Medley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 25PUNT
8 plays · -2 yds · 0:2295% → 95%
Q4 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
95.0%
Mike Davis run for 4 yds to the Tenn 39Similar
Q4 1:39
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+2
95.3%
Mike Davis run for 2 yds to the Tenn 37Similar
Q4 1:33
3RD & 4
OPP 37
-8
95.3%
Dylan Thompson sacked by Derek Barnett for a loss of 8 yards to the Tenn 45Similar
Q4 1:23
4TH & 12
OPP 45
0
95.4%
Tyler Hull punt for 30 yds, downed at the Tenn 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 26TD
10 plays · 85 yds · 1:047% → 63%
Q4 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+31
93.0%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Pig Howard for 31 yds to the Tenn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
91.5%
Joshua Dobbs pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:55
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+9
92.1%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Jalen Hurd for 9 yds to the SCaro 45Similar
Q4 0:49
3RD & 1
OPP 45
+8
90.2%
Joshua Dobbs run for 8 yds to the SCaro 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:43
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+18
89.5%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Pig Howard for 18 yds to the SCaro 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:26
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
85.1%
Joshua Dobbs pass incomplete to Pig HowardSimilar
Q4 0:19
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+10
86.0%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Jalen Hurd for 10 yds to the SCaro 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
84.9%
Joshua Dobbs pass incomplete to Pig HowardSimilar
Q4 0:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
36.8%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Jason Croom for 9 yds for a TD, (Aaron Medley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 27END OF GAME
2 plays · 20 yds · 0:0059% → 59%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+20
59.0%
Brandon Wilds run for 20 yds to the Tenn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 28FG
6 plays · 11 yds · 0:0060% → 72%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
40.5%
Joshua Dobbs run for 1 yd to the SCaro 24Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 9
OPP 24
+10
40.5%
Jalen Hurd run for 10 yds to the SCaro 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
40.5%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Jalen Hurd for -3 yards to the 17Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 14
0
40.5%
Jalen Hurd run for 3 yards to the SCaro 14Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 14
0
43.7%
Joshua Dobbs pass incompleteSimilar
OT 0:00
4TH & 10
OPP 14
+32
28.5%
Aaron Medley 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 29MISSED FG
4 plays · -15 yds · 0:0041% → 20%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-9
41.3%
Dylan Thompson sacked by Curt Maggitt for a loss of 9 yards to the Tenn 34Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 19
OPP 34
-6
31.1%
Dylan Thompson sacked by Derek Barnett for a loss of 6 yards to the Tenn 40Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 25
OPP 40
0
22.3%
Dylan Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
OT 0:00
4TH & 25
OPP 40
+58
20.2%
Elliott Fry 58 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:11
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Jason Croom for 9 yds for a TD, (Aaron Medley KICK)
-48.1
TD · Q3 0:09
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Pharoh Cooper for 12 yds for a TD, (Elliott Fry KICK)
+21
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-20.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com