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PRES

Presbyterian 0 at Ole Miss 48

MISS
2014 · Week 11 · Nov 8, 2014 · Vaught-Hemingway Stadium
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Win probability · MISS
modelMISS aheadPRES aheadconfidence bandkey playMISS scorePRES score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:30 · Eugene Brazley run for 1 yd to the Presb 22 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+50.0+25.00−25.0−50.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:21: Vince Sanders 23 Yd pass from Bo Wallace (Andy Pappanastos Kick) — MISS win probability +0.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: MISS has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q2 14:35: Jordan Wilkins run for 9 yds to the Presb 31 — MISS win probability +0.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: MISS has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 10:51: Mark Dodson 65 Yd Run (Andy Pappanastos Kick) — MISS win probability +0.4 pts (now 100%) (top driver: MISS has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 9:14: Bo Wallace 9 Yd Run (Andy Pappanastos Kick) — MISS win probability +0.2 pts (now 100%) (top driver: MISS has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MISS made the numbers' call on 5 of 6PRES made the numbers' call on 6 of 10
  1. Q1 8:58PRES 4th & 6 at MISS 47, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:54MISS 4th & 4 at PRES 24, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.2%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.1%−<0.1
    68% to make
    Punt
    98.8%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:09PRES 4th & 3 at PRES 46, down 7
    Close callPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:45PRES 4th & 9 at PRES 24, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:35MISS 4th & 2 at PRES 8, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.8%
    54% to convert
    Field goal
    98.7%−0.1
    90% to make
    Punt
    98.3%−0.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:03PRES 4th & 6 at PRES 27, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.3%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:23PRES 4th & 21 at PRES 29, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.3
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:15PRES 4th & 8 at MISS 44, down 28
    Close callPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%−0.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:32PRES 4th & 7 at PRES 32, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:50MISS 4th & 3 at MISS 49, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:31PRES 4th & 17 at PRES 9, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.1%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:02MISS 4th & 10 at PRES 20, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%
    75% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.4
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:51MISS 4th & 3 at PRES 28, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−0.1
    60% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.4
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:17PRES 4th & 8 at MISS 38, down 42
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−<0.1
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 7:13PRES 4th & 3 at MISS 48, down 48
    Close callPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:30MISS 4th & 1 at PRES 23, up 48
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    100.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    100.0%−<0.1
    70% to make
    Punt
    99.6%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MISS made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 14:21MISS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:21MISS Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:51MISS Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 9:14MISS Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 1:10MISS Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 8:23MISS Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 10:01MISS Touchdown, up 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MISSDrive 1TD
3 plays · 77 yds · 0:24100% → 100%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+11
99.7%
Bo Wallace pass complete to Cody Core for 11 yds to the Miss 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:21
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+66
99.7%
Vince Sanders 66 Yd pass from Bo Wallace (Andy Pappanastos Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRESDrive 2PUNT
11 plays · 36 yds · 5:120% → 1%
Q1 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
99.7%
Demarcus Rouse run for 3 yds to the Presb 20Similar
Q1 13:40
2ND & 7
OWN 20
+4
99.7%
Heys McMath pass complete to Jordan Hallums for 4 yds to the Presb 24Similar
Q1 12:54
3RD & 3
OWN 24
+4
99.7%
Heys McMath pass complete to Jordan Hallums for 4 yds to the Presb 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-3
99.6%
Demarcus Rouse run for a loss of 3 yards to the Presb 25Similar
Q1 11:40
2ND & 13
OWN 25
+8
99.6%
Heys McMath pass complete to Jeremiah McKie for 8 yds to the Presb 33Similar
Q1 10:50
3RD & 5
OWN 33
+16
99.6%
OLE MISS Penalty, Face Mask (16 yards) (Mike Hilton) to the Presb 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
99.6%
Demarcus Rouse run for no gain to the Presb 49Similar
Q1 9:45
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+4
99.6%
Heys McMath run for 4 yds to the Miss 47Similar
Q1 9:08
3RD & 6
OPP 47
0
99.5%
Heys McMath pass incomplete to Tobi AntighaSimilar
Q1 8:58
4TH & 6
OPP 47
+23
99.5%
Stephen Doar punt blocked by C.J. Moore and recovered by Miss TEAM at Presb 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 3MISSED FG
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:49100% → 100%
Q1 8:43
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
99.6%
Bo Wallace run for no gain to the Presb 30Similar
Q1 8:25
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+6
99.5%
Bo Wallace run for 6 yds to the Presb 24Similar
Q1 8:00
3RD & 4
OPP 24
0
99.5%
Bo Wallace pass incomplete to Quintavius BurdetteSimilar
Q1 7:54
4TH & 4
OPP 24
+42
99.5%
Andy Pappanastos 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRESDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 2:361% → 1%
Q1 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.5%
Blake Roberts run for 2 yds to the Presb 27Similar
Q1 7:10
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+12
99.5%
Jeremiah McKie run for 12 yds to the Presb 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
99.5%
Heys McMath pass incomplete to Tobi AntighaSimilar
Q1 6:35
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+2
99.5%
Blake Roberts run for 2 yds to the Presb 41Similar
Q1 5:55
3RD & 8
OWN 41
+5
99.4%
Heys McMath pass complete to Blake Roberts for 5 yds to the Presb 46Similar
Q1 5:09
4TH & 3
OWN 46
-2
99.4%
Stephen Doar punt for 48 yds , Markell Pack returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Miss 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 5TD
9 plays · 96 yds · 3:3499% → 99%
Q1 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+50
99.4%
Jordan Wilkins run for 50 yds to the Presb 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:40
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
99.4%
Bo Wallace run for no gain to the Presb 46Similar
Q1 4:10
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+9
99.4%
Bo Wallace pass complete to Quincy Adeboyejo for 9 yds to the Presb 37Similar
Q1 3:40
3RD & 1
OPP 37
+3
99.4%
Jeremy Liggins run for 3 yds to the Presb 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:20
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+6
99.3%
Jeremy Liggins run for 6 yds to the Presb 28Similar
Q1 2:46
2ND & 4
OPP 28
+7
99.3%
Bo Wallace pass complete to Quincy Adeboyejo for 7 yds to the Presb 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-3
99.3%
Bo Wallace pass complete to Cody Core for a loss of 3 yards to the Presb 24Similar
Q1 1:55
2ND & 13
OPP 24
+1
99.3%
Mark Dodson run for 1 yd to the Presb 23Similar
Q1 1:21
3RD & 12
OPP 23
+23
99.4%
Vince Sanders 23 Yd pass from Bo Wallace (Andy Pappanastos Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRESDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:201% → 1%
Q1 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
99.3%
Darrell Bridges run for 2 yds to the Presb 25Similar
Q1 0:33
2ND & 8
OWN 25
0
99.3%
Heys McMath pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 8
OWN 25
-1
99.3%
Heys McMath pass complete to Tobi Antigha for a loss of 1 yard to the Presb 24Similar
Q2 14:45
4TH & 9
OWN 24
+30
99.3%
Stephen Doar punt for 46 yds , Markell Pack returns for 30 yds to the Presb 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 7DOWNS
7 plays · 32 yds · 2:0099% → 99%
Q2 14:35
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+9
99.3%
Jordan Wilkins run for 9 yds to the Presb 31Similar
Q2 14:16
2ND & 1
OPP 31
+15
99.3%
PRESBYTERIAN Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Ed Britt) to the Presb 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:10
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+5
99.3%
Jordan Wilkins run for 5 yds to the Presb 11Similar
Q2 13:45
2ND & 5
OPP 11
+1
99.3%
Bo Wallace pass complete to Quincy Adeboyejo for 1 yd to the Presb 10Similar
Q2 13:15
3RD & 4
OPP 10
+2
99.3%
Bo Wallace pass complete to Quincy Adeboyejo for 2 yds to the Presb 8Similar
Q2 12:35
4TH & 2
OPP 8
0
99.3%
Bo Wallace pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRESDrive 8FUMBLE
5 plays · 19 yds · 1:231% → 1%
Q2 12:26
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+15
99.2%
Tobi Antigha run for 15 yds to the Presb 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
99.2%
Darrell Bridges run for 4 yds to the Presb 27Similar
Q2 11:25
2ND & 6
OWN 27
0
99.2%
Heys McMath pass incomplete to Daryl WilsonSimilar
Q2 11:22
3RD & 6
OWN 27
0
99.2%
Heys McMath pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:03
4TH & 6
OWN 27
-10
99.2%
Stephen Doar punt for 42 yds , Markell Pack returns for a loss of 10 yards to the Miss 35 Markell Pack fumbled, recovered by Miss Kendarius Webster , return for 14 yds to the Miss 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 9TD
1 play · 65 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q2 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+65
99.5%
Mark Dodson 65 Yd Run (Andy Pappanastos Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRESDrive 10INT
3 plays · 2 yds · 0:331% → 1%
Q2 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.5%
Heys McMath pass complete to Tobi Antigha for 2 yds to the Presb 27Similar
Q2 10:07
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+22
99.5%
Heys McMath pass intercepted Serderius Bryant return for 22 yds to the Presb 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 11TD
2 plays · 10 yds · 0:46100% → 100%
Q2 10:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
99.6%
Jordan Wilkins run for 1 yd to the Presb 9Similar
Q2 9:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
99.8%
Bo Wallace 9 Yd Run (Andy Pappanastos Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRESDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 8 yds · 2:370% → 0%
Q2 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+9
99.8%
Demarcus Rouse run for 9 yds to the Presb 30Similar
Q2 8:20
2ND & 1
OWN 30
+10
99.8%
Daryl Wilson run for 10 yds to the Presb 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-3
99.8%
Demarcus Rouse run for a loss of 3 yards to the Presb 37Similar
Q2 7:10
2ND & 13
OWN 37
0
99.8%
Heys McMath pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:00
3RD & 13
OWN 37
-8
99.8%
Heys McMath sacked by Lavon Hooks for a loss of 8 yards to the Presb 29Similar
Q2 6:23
4TH & 21
OWN 29
0
99.8%
Stephen Doar punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Markell Pack at the Miss 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 13INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q2 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
99.8%
Bo Wallace pass intercepted Ed Britt return for no gain to the Presb 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRESDrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 33 yds · 3:550% → 0%
Q2 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
99.8%
Demarcus Rouse run for no gain to the Presb 23Similar
Q2 5:35
2ND & 10
OWN 23
-1
99.8%
Heys McMath run for a loss of 1 yard to the Presb 22Similar
Q2 5:00
3RD & 11
OWN 22
+32
99.8%
Heys McMath pass complete to Tobi Antigha for 32 yds to the Miss 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
99.8%
Demarcus Rouse run for 5 yds to the Miss 41Similar
Q2 4:00
2ND & 5
OPP 41
+1
99.9%
Demarcus Rouse run for 1 yd to the Miss 40Similar
Q2 3:10
3RD & 4
OPP 40
-4
99.8%
Heys McMath pass complete to Demarcus Rouse for a loss of 4 yards to the Miss 44Similar
Q2 2:15
4TH & 8
OPP 44
0
99.9%
Stephen Doar punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Markell Pack at the Miss 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 15TD
6 plays · 90 yds · 0:55100% → 100%
Q2 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
99.8%
Jordan Wilkins run for 4 yds to the Miss 14Similar
Q2 1:43
2ND & 6
OWN 14
+2
99.9%
Bo Wallace pass complete to Quincy Adeboyejo for 2 yds to the Miss 16Similar
Q2 1:34
3RD & 4
OWN 16
+14
99.9%
Bo Wallace pass complete to Cody Core for 14 yds to the Miss 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+8
99.9%
Bo Wallace pass complete to Vince Sanders for 8 yds to the Miss 38Similar
Q2 1:21
2ND & 2
OWN 38
0
99.9%
Bo Wallace pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:10
3RD & 2
OWN 38
+62
99.9%
Mark Dodson 62 Yd Run (Andy Pappanastos Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRESDrive 16END OF HALF
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:580% → 0%
Q2 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-1
99.9%
Demarcus Rouse run for a loss of 1 yard to the Presb 21Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 11
OWN 21
+1
99.9%
Demarcus Rouse run for 1 yd to the Presb 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRESDrive 17PUNT
9 plays · 7 yds · 3:210% → 0%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
99.9%
Demarcus Rouse run for a loss of 1 yard to the Presb 24Similar
Q3 14:16
2ND & 11
OWN 24
-5
99.9%
PRESBYTERIAN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Presb 19Similar
Q3 13:50
2ND & 16
OWN 19
+1
99.9%
Heys McMath run for 1 yd to the Presb 20Similar
Q3 13:21
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+9
99.9%
OLE MISS Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Senquez Golson) to the Presb 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:16
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
99.9%
Heys McMath pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:05
2ND & 10
OWN 29
-6
99.9%
Demarcus Rouse run for a loss of 6 yards to the Presb 23Similar
Q3 12:25
3RD & 16
OWN 23
+9
99.9%
Heys McMath pass complete to Demarcus Rouse for 9 yds to the Presb 32Similar
Q3 11:32
4TH & 7
OWN 32
0
99.9%
Stephen Doar punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Miss 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 18TD
8 plays · 71 yds · 2:52100% → 100%
Q3 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+13
99.9%
DeVante Kincade pass complete to Vince Sanders for 13 yds to the Miss 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
99.9%
DeVante Kincade run for 6 yds to the Miss 48Similar
Q3 10:29
2ND & 4
OWN 48
0
99.9%
DeVante Kincade pass incomplete to Quincy AdeboyejoSimilar
Q3 10:23
3RD & 4
OWN 48
+1
99.9%
DeVante Kincade run for 1 yd to the Miss 49Similar
Q3 9:50
4TH & 3
OWN 49
+8
99.9%
Jordan Wilkins run for 8 yds to the Presb 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+7
99.9%
DeVante Kincade pass complete to Markell Pack for 7 yds to the Presb 36Similar
Q3 9:00
2ND & 3
OPP 36
+5
99.9%
DeVante Kincade pass complete to Derrick Jones for 5 yds to the Presb 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:23
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+31
99.9%
Derrick Jones 31 Yd pass from DeVante Kincade (Andrew Fletcher Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRESDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · -7 yds · 2:390% → 0%
Q3 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
99.9%
Demarcus Rouse run for no gain to the Presb 16Similar
Q3 7:30
2ND & 10
OWN 16
-5
99.9%
PRESBYTERIAN Penalty, False Start (Jacob Nesmith) to the Presb 11Similar
Q3 7:00
2ND & 15
OWN 11
-2
99.9%
Marquel Hines run for a loss of 2 yards to the Presb 9Similar
Q3 6:20
3RD & 17
OWN 9
0
99.9%
Demarcus Rouse run for no gain to the Presb 9Similar
Q3 5:31
4TH & 17
OWN 9
0
99.9%
Stephen Doar punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Eugene Brazley at the Miss 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 20MISSED FG
9 plays · 32 yds · 3:18100% → 100%
Q3 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+12
99.9%
Ryan Buchanan pass complete to Derrick Jones for 12 yds to the Presb 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
99.9%
Jordan Wilkins run for 3 yds to the Presb 37Similar
Q3 4:30
2ND & 7
OPP 37
+6
99.9%
Ryan Buchanan pass complete to Trey Bledsoe for 6 yds to the Presb 31Similar
Q3 4:10
3RD & 1
OPP 31
+11
99.9%
Jordan Wilkins run for 11 yds to the Presb 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:50
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+7
99.9%
Jordan Wilkins run for 7 yds to the Presb 13Similar
Q3 3:20
2ND & 3
OPP 13
-8
99.9%
Ryan Buchanan pass complete to Derrick Jones for 2 yds to the Presb 11 OLE MISS Penalty, Illegal Block (-10 Yards) to the Presb 21Similar
Q3 2:43
2ND & 11
OPP 21
0
99.9%
Ryan Buchanan pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:35
3RD & 11
OPP 21
+1
99.9%
Ryan Buchanan pass complete to Taz Zettergren for 1 yd to the Presb 20Similar
Q3 2:02
4TH & 10
OPP 20
+37
99.9%
Andrew Fletcher 37 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Steve OsonduSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRESDrive 21FUMBLE
2 plays · -9 yds · 0:430% → 0%
Q3 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
99.9%
Jeremiah McKie run for 5 yds to the Presb 49Similar
Q3 1:12
2ND & 5
OWN 49
-6
99.9%
Heys McMath sacked by Channing Ward and Lavon Hooks for a loss of 6 yards to the Presb 35 Heys McMath fumbled, recovered by Miss Christian Russell , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 22DOWNS
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:21100% → 100%
Q3 1:12
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-5
99.9%
OLE MISS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Presb 40Similar
Q3 1:00
1ST & 15
OPP 40
+4
99.9%
DeVante Kincade pass complete to Markell Pack for 4 yds to the Presb 36Similar
Q3 0:30
2ND & 11
OPP 36
+5
99.9%
DeVante Kincade pass complete to Derrick Jones for 5 yds to the Presb 31Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 6
OPP 31
+3
99.9%
DeVante Kincade run for 3 yds to the Presb 28Similar
Q4 14:51
4TH & 3
OPP 28
+2
99.9%
DeVante Kincade run for 2 yds to the Presb 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRESDrive 23PUNT
7 plays · 36 yds · 3:250% → 0%
Q4 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+22
99.9%
Blake Roberts run for 22 yds to the Presb 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+9
99.9%
Blake Roberts run for 9 yds to the Miss 43Similar
Q4 13:30
2ND & 1
OPP 43
+3
99.9%
Blake Roberts run for 3 yds to the Miss 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-2
99.9%
Daryl Wilson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Miss 42Similar
Q4 12:10
2ND & 12
OPP 42
0
99.9%
Kaleb Griffin pass incomplete to Joseph PurterSimilar
Q4 12:00
3RD & 12
OPP 42
+4
99.9%
Blake Roberts run for 4 yds to the Miss 38Similar
Q4 11:17
4TH & 8
OPP 38
0
100.0%
Stephen Doar punt for 38 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 24TD
3 plays · 80 yds · 1:09100% → 100%
Q4 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
99.9%
Ryan Buchanan pass complete to Quintavius Burdette for 3 yds to the Miss 23Similar
Q4 10:45
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+4
99.9%
Ryan Buchanan pass complete to Quintavius Burdette for 4 yds to the Miss 27Similar
Q4 10:01
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+73
100.0%
Jordan Wilkins 73 Yd Run (Andy Pappanastos PAT failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRESDrive 25PUNT
7 plays · 24 yds · 2:320% → 0%
Q4 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+9
100.0%
Daryl Wilson run for 9 yds to the Presb 37Similar
Q4 9:10
2ND & 1
OWN 37
+8
100.0%
Kaleb Griffin pass complete to Daryl Wilson for 8 yds to the Presb 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
100.0%
Blake Roberts run for 4 yds to the Presb 49Similar
Q4 8:00
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+3
100.0%
Blake Roberts run for 3 yds to the Miss 48Similar
Q4 7:24
3RD & 3
OPP 48
0
100.0%
Kaleb Griffin pass incomplete to Darquez WatsonSimilar
Q4 7:13
4TH & 3
OPP 48
0
100.0%
Stephen Doar punt for 42 yds, downed at the Miss 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 26END OF GAME
14 plays · 72 yds · 6:35100% → 100%
Q4 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+5
100.0%
Eugene Brazley run for 5 yds to the Miss 11Similar
Q4 6:40
2ND & 5
OWN 11
+3
100.0%
Eugene Brazley run for 3 yds to the Miss 14Similar
Q4 6:00
3RD & 2
OWN 14
+8
100.0%
DeVante Kincade run for 8 yds to the Miss 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+7
100.0%
Eugene Brazley run for 7 yds to the Miss 29Similar
Q4 5:05
2ND & 3
OWN 29
+9
100.0%
Eugene Brazley run for 9 yds to the Miss 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
100.0%
Eugene Brazley run for 5 yds to the Miss 43Similar
Q4 4:03
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+12
100.0%
DeVante Kincade run for 12 yds to the Presb 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:50
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
100.0%
DeVante Kincade run for 2 yds to the Presb 43Similar
Q4 3:10
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+5
100.0%
DeVante Kincade pass complete to Johnathan Ratliffe for 5 yds to the Presb 38Similar
Q4 2:30
3RD & 3
OPP 38
+6
100.0%
Eugene Brazley run for 6 yds to the Presb 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:10
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+7
100.0%
Eugene Brazley run for 7 yds to the Presb 25Similar
Q4 1:40
2ND & 3
OPP 25
+1
100.0%
Eugene Brazley run for 1 yd to the Presb 24Similar
Q4 1:05
3RD & 2
OPP 24
+1
100.0%
Eugene Brazley run for 1 yd to the Presb 23Similar
Q4 0:30
4TH & 1
OPP 23
+1
100.0%
Eugene Brazley run for 1 yd to the Presb 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 10:51
Mark Dodson 65 Yd Run (Andy Pappanastos Kick)
+0.4
TD · Q2 9:14
Bo Wallace 9 Yd Run (Andy Pappanastos Kick)
+0.2
TD · Q1 1:21
Vince Sanders 23 Yd pass from Bo Wallace (Andy Pappanastos Kick)
+0.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com