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ALA

Alabama 20 at LSU 13

LSU
2014 · Week 11 · Nov 8, 2014 · Tiger Stadium (LA)
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Win probability · LSU
modelLSU aheadALA aheadconfidence bandkey playLSU scoreALA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTDTDFGFGFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 6:50 · Jamie Keehn punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Christion Jones at the Alab 11
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialTime remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+27.0+13.50−13.5−27.0Q1Q2Q3Q4OTPlay 26Pregame prior−18.2Home team on offense+0.4Score differential−0.2Time remaining+0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.1Garbage-time factor−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 5:40: Amari Cooper 23 Yd pass from Blake Sims (Adam Griffith Kick) — ALA win probability +13.0 pts (now 64%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q4 1:10: Terrence Magee run for no gain to the Alab 6 LSU Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Vadal Alexander) to the Alab 21 — LSU win probability +14.7 pts (now 64%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q4 0:50: Colby Delahoussaye 39 Yd Field Goal — LSU win probability +32.1 pts (now 93%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 0:03: Adam Griffith 27 Yd Field Goal — ALA win probability +41.6 pts (now 63%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
  5. TD · OT 0:00: DeAndrew White 6 Yd pass from Blake Sims (Adam Griffith Kick) — ALA win probability +18.2 pts (now 78%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
LSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 11ALA made the numbers' call on 11 of 12
  1. Q1 12:32ALA 4th & 7 at LSU 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.2%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:21LSU 4th & 19 at LSU 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.5%−0.4
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:35ALA 4th & 2 at ALA 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.8%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.8%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:50LSU 4th & 4 at LSU 49, tied
    Close callPunted · 39.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.1%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 6:10ALA 4th & 8 at ALA 13, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.1%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.4%
    average punt
  6. Q1 0:41ALA 4th & 10 at ALA 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.4%−0.8
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 14:46LSU 4th & 2 at LSU 38, up 7
    Close callPunted · 46.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.7%−0.5
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:59ALA 4th & 5 at LSU 10, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 49.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.2%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    49.3%
    88% to make
    Punt
    43.3%−6.0
    average punt
  9. Q2 7:27LSU 4th & 11 at LSU 19, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.1%−1.2
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.3%
    average punt
  10. Q2 6:18ALA 4th & 4 at LSU 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 46.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    46.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    45.9%−1.0
    51% to make
    Punt
    44.8%−2.0
    average punt
  11. Q2 2:26LSU 4th & 4 at ALA 49, tied
    Close callPunted · 47.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.1%−0.7
    average punt
  12. Q2 1:21ALA 4th & 10 at ALA 12, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.3%−2.7
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.0%
    average punt
  13. Q2 0:09ALA 4th & 3 at LSU 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 58.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.9%−1.2
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    58.1%
    72% to make
    Punt
    53.8%−4.3
    average punt
  14. Q3 9:20LSU 4th & 6 at ALA 18, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 42.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.8%−0.8
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    42.6%
    79% to make
    Punt
    32.9%−9.7
    average punt
  15. Q3 7:58ALA 4th & 1 at ALA 44, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.8 ptsPunted · 54.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.7%−2.8
    average punt
  16. Q3 3:58LSU 4th & 1 at LSU 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 49.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    51.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    49.1%−2.2
    average punt
  17. Q3 0:18LSU 4th & 8 at ALA 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.7%−0.9
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.6%
    average punt
  18. Q4 14:04ALA 4th & 4 at ALA 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.1%−0.3
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.3%
    average punt
  19. Q4 6:57LSU 4th & 10 at LSU 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.2%−2.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.5%
    average punt
  20. Q4 5:10ALA 4th & 6 at ALA 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.7%−1.9
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.6%
    average punt
  21. Q4 3:38LSU 4th & 4 at LSU 39, tied
    Close callPunted · 55.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  22. Q4 2:40ALA 4th & 8 at ALA 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.8%−5.0
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.8%
    average punt
  23. Q4 1:56LSU 4th & 3 at LSU 42, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 4.4 ptsPunted · 55.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.6%−4.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
LSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1ALA made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 2:07LSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 5:40ALA Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ALADrive 1PUNT
9 plays · 28 yds · 2:2371% → 70%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+14
29.5%
Blake Sims pass complete to DeAndrew White for 14 yds to the Alab 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:25
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
29.7%
T.J. Yeldon run for 2 yds to the Alab 40Similar
Q1 14:12
2ND & 8
OWN 40
0
29.7%
Blake Sims pass incomplete to Amari CooperSimilar
Q1 14:05
3RD & 8
OWN 40
+9
29.8%
Blake Sims pass complete to O.J. Howard for 9 yds to the Alab 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
29.9%
T.J. Yeldon run for 3 yds to the LSU 48Similar
Q1 13:18
2ND & 7
OPP 48
0
30.0%
Blake Sims run for no gain to the LSU 48Similar
Q1 12:40
3RD & 7
OPP 48
0
30.3%
Blake Sims pass incomplete to O.J. HowardSimilar
Q1 12:32
4TH & 7
OPP 48
0
30.5%
JK Scott punt for 48 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 6 yds · 3:0231% → 32%
Q1 12:23
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
30.7%
Kenny Hilliard run for 7 yds to the LSU 27Similar
Q1 12:15
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+2
30.7%
Kenny Hilliard run for 2 yds to the LSU 29Similar
Q1 11:02
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+6
31.2%
Kenny Hilliard run for 6 yds to the LSU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
31.5%
Leonard Fournette run for no gain to the LSU 35Similar
Q1 10:05
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
31.7%
Anthony Jennings pass incomplete to Travin DuralSimilar
Q1 9:45
3RD & 10
OWN 35
-9
31.7%
Anthony Jennings sacked by Jonathan Allen for a loss of 9 yards to the LSU 26Similar
Q1 9:21
4TH & 19
OWN 26
0
31.6%
Jamie Keehn punt for 49 yds, downed at the Alab 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:4268% → 68%
Q1 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
32.0%
Blake Sims pass incomplete to Derrick HenrySimilar
Q1 9:14
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
32.0%
Blake Sims pass incomplete to Derrick HenrySimilar
Q1 9:05
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+8
32.3%
Blake Sims pass complete to Christion Jones for 8 yds to the Alab 33Similar
Q1 8:35
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
32.3%
JK Scott punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LSU 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 24 yds · 1:3932% → 33%
Q1 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
32.4%
Terrence Magee run for 1 yd to the LSU 26Similar
Q1 7:53
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+17
32.6%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Terrence Magee for 17 yds to the LSU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
33.3%
Terrence Magee run for 6 yds to the LSU 49Similar
Q1 7:00
2ND & 4
OWN 49
0
33.7%
Anthony Jennings pass incomplete to Travin DuralSimilar
Q1 6:58
3RD & 4
OWN 49
0
33.5%
Anthony Jennings pass incomplete to Malachi DupreSimilar
Q1 6:50
4TH & 4
OWN 49
0
33.2%
Jamie Keehn punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Christion Jones at the Alab 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:3367% → 66%
Q1 6:43
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+2
33.1%
Blake Sims pass complete to ArDarius Stewart for 2 yds to the Alab 13Similar
Q1 6:30
2ND & 8
OWN 13
0
33.2%
Blake Sims pass incomplete to Amari CooperSimilar
Q1 6:23
3RD & 8
OWN 13
0
33.5%
Blake Sims pass incomplete to Christion JonesSimilar
Q1 6:10
4TH & 8
OWN 13
+18
33.9%
JK Scott punt for 46 yds , Tre'Davious White returns for 18 yds to the Alab 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 6TD
8 plays · 41 yds · 3:5334% → 41%
Q1 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+6
34.4%
Leonard Fournette run for 6 yds to the Alab 35Similar
Q1 5:17
2ND & 4
OPP 35
+2
35.0%
Leonard Fournette run for 2 yds to the Alab 33Similar
Q1 4:37
3RD & 2
OPP 33
+4
35.0%
Leonard Fournette run for 4 yds to the Alab 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:07
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+13
36.2%
Leonard Fournette run for 13 yds to the Alab 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:36
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
36.6%
Anthony Jennings run for no gain to the Alab 16Similar
Q1 2:45
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+2
37.2%
Leonard Fournette run for 2 yds to the Alab 14Similar
Q1 2:07
3RD & 8
OPP 14
+14
41.4%
Malachi Dupre 14 Yd pass from Anthony Jennings (Colby Delahoussaye Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:1460% → 58%
Q1 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
40.3%
Blake Sims pass complete to Amari Cooper for 9 yds to the Alab 34Similar
Q1 1:50
2ND & 1
OWN 34
-9
39.6%
Blake Sims sacked by Kwon Alexander for a loss of 9 yards to the Alab 25Similar
Q1 0:50
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
41.8%
Blake Sims pass incomplete to DeAndrew WhiteSimilar
Q1 0:41
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
42.4%
JK Scott punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Tre'Davious White at the LSU 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:4642% → 42%
Q1 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
42.1%
Leonard Fournette run for 6 yds to the LSU 36Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 4
OWN 36
+2
43.3%
Leonard Fournette run for 2 yds to the LSU 38Similar
Q2 14:54
3RD & 2
OWN 38
0
43.1%
Anthony Jennings pass incomplete to Travin DuralSimilar
Q2 14:46
4TH & 2
OWN 38
0
42.3%
Jamie Keehn punt for 62 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 9MISSED FG
17 plays · 70 yds · 5:3758% → 53%
Q2 14:36
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
42.4%
T.J. Yeldon run for 6 yds to the Alab 26Similar
Q2 14:15
2ND & 4
OWN 26
0
42.4%
T.J. Yeldon run for no gain to the Alab 26Similar
Q2 13:31
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+12
43.7%
T.J. Yeldon run for 12 yds to the Alab 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:17
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
42.8%
Blake Sims pass incomplete to Amari CooperSimilar
Q2 13:00
2ND & 10
OWN 38
-8
43.2%
Derrick Henry run for 2 yds to the Alab 40 ALABAMA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Cam Robinson) to the Alab 30Similar
Q2 12:50
2ND & 18
OWN 30
0
44.1%
Blake Sims pass incomplete to O.J. HowardSimilar
Q2 12:26
3RD & 18
OWN 30
+18
45.2%
T.J. Yeldon run for 18 yds to the Alab 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
43.0%
T.J. Yeldon run for 4 yds to the LSU 48Similar
Q2 11:55
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+1
42.9%
Derrick Henry run for 1 yd to the LSU 47Similar
Q2 11:09
3RD & 5
OPP 47
+20
43.8%
Blake Sims pass complete to Amari Cooper for 20 yds to the LSU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:43
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+1
42.9%
Derrick Henry run for 1 yd to the LSU 26Similar
Q2 10:29
2ND & 9
OPP 26
0
43.2%
Blake Sims pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:10
3RD & 9
OPP 26
+11
44.5%
Blake Sims pass complete to Amari Cooper for 11 yds to the LSU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:53
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
43.8%
Blake Sims pass incomplete to DeAndrew WhiteSimilar
Q2 9:48
2ND & 10
OPP 15
0
43.8%
Blake Sims pass incomplete to Amari CooperSimilar
Q2 9:36
3RD & 10
OPP 15
+5
45.2%
Blake Sims pass complete to T.J. Yeldon for 5 yds to the LSU 10Similar
Q2 8:59
4TH & 5
OPP 10
+27
46.8%
Adam Griffith 27 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:2348% → 49%
Q2 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-3
48.3%
Terrence Magee run for a loss of 3 yards to the LSU 17Similar
Q2 8:14
2ND & 13
OWN 17
+2
49.4%
Terrence Magee run for 2 yds to the LSU 19Similar
Q2 7:34
3RD & 11
OWN 19
0
49.4%
Anthony Jennings pass incomplete to Travin DuralSimilar
Q2 7:27
4TH & 11
OWN 19
0
48.7%
Jamie Keehn punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Alab 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 11TD
8 plays · 51 yds · 1:4052% → 64%
Q2 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+13
47.7%
Blake Sims run for 13 yds to the LSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:49
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+6
47.8%
Derrick Henry run for 6 yds to the LSU 32Similar
Q2 6:28
2ND & 4
OPP 32
0
46.8%
Blake Sims pass incomplete to DeAndrew WhiteSimilar
Q2 6:23
3RD & 4
OPP 32
0
48.2%
Blake Sims pass incomplete to T.J. YeldonSimilar
Q2 6:18
4TH & 4
OPP 32
+9
51.1%
Blake Sims pass complete to Amari Cooper for 9 yds to the LSU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:47
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
48.8%
Blake Sims pass incomplete to DeAndrew WhiteSimilar
Q2 5:40
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+23
35.8%
Amari Cooper 23 Yd pass from Blake Sims (Adam Griffith Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 3:0143% → 45%
Q2 5:27
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
43.2%
Anthony Jennings run for 5 yds to the LSU 39Similar
Q2 5:02
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+2
45.0%
Leonard Fournette run for 2 yds to the LSU 41Similar
Q2 4:22
3RD & 3
OWN 41
+4
44.6%
Terrence Magee run for 4 yds to the LSU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
45.8%
Terrence Magee run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 3:13
2ND & 5
50
+1
46.7%
Leonard Fournette run for 1 yd to the Alab 49Similar
Q2 2:34
3RD & 4
OPP 49
0
46.5%
Anthony Jennings pass incomplete to Trey QuinnSimilar
Q2 2:26
4TH & 4
OPP 49
0
45.1%
Jamie Keehn punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Christion Jones at the Alab 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 13FUMBLE
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:5659% → 57%
Q2 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
41.1%
T.J. Yeldon run for no gain to the Alab 12Similar
Q2 1:38
2ND & 10
OWN 12
0
41.2%
Blake Sims pass incomplete to Amari CooperSimilar
Q2 1:34
3RD & 10
OWN 12
0
42.1%
T.J. Yeldon run for no gain to the Alab 12Similar
Q2 1:21
4TH & 10
OWN 12
-2
43.1%
JK Scott punt for 55 yds to the LSU 33, Tre'Davious White returns 0 yards to the LSU 33, Tre'Davious White fumbled, recovered by LSU T. White at the LSU 27. T. White to the LSU 31 for 4 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 14INT
3 plays · 11 yds · 0:1245% → 45%
Q2 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+11
44.5%
Anthony Jennings run for 11 yds to the LSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
46.2%
Anthony Jennings pass incomplete to Terrence MageeSimilar
Q2 1:03
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+18
45.2%
Anthony Jennings pass intercepted Eddie Jackson return for 18 yds to the LSU 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 15FG
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:2665% → 66%
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+7
35.1%
T.J. Yeldon run for 7 yds to the LSU 22Similar
Q2 0:20
2ND & 3
OPP 22
0
35.0%
Blake Sims pass incomplete to DeAndrew WhiteSimilar
Q2 0:13
3RD & 3
OPP 22
0
36.2%
Blake Sims pass complete to Amari Cooper for no gain to the LSU 22Similar
Q2 0:09
4TH & 3
OPP 22
+39
34.1%
Adam Griffith 39 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 16END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0037% → 37%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-1
37.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 17FG
13 plays · 57 yds · 5:3437% → 48%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
37.4%
Leonard Fournette run for 3 yds to the LSU 28Similar
Q3 14:15
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+10
37.3%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Connor Neighbors for 10 yds to the LSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:51
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
38.6%
Leonard Fournette run for 1 yd to the LSU 39Similar
Q3 13:12
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+12
38.6%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Travin Dural for 12 yds to the Alab 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:38
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+10
40.7%
Leonard Fournette run for 10 yds to the Alab 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:08
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
41.1%
Leonard Fournette run for 3 yds to the Alab 36Similar
Q3 11:28
2ND & 7
OPP 36
-1
41.4%
Anthony Jennings run for a loss of 1 yard to the Alab 37Similar
Q3 10:45
3RD & 8
OPP 37
+15
40.8%
Anthony Jennings run for 15 yds to the Alab 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:13
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
43.1%
Anthony Jennings pass incomplete to Travin DuralSimilar
Q3 10:05
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+4
43.2%
Terrence Magee run for 4 yds to the Alab 18Similar
Q3 9:24
3RD & 6
OPP 18
0
41.8%
Anthony Jennings pass incomplete to Malachi DupreSimilar
Q3 9:20
4TH & 6
OPP 18
+35
47.6%
Colby Delahoussaye 35 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:0558% → 58%
Q3 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
42.1%
T.J. Yeldon run for 2 yds to the Alab 37Similar
Q3 8:23
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+7
42.1%
Blake Sims pass complete to Amari Cooper for 7 yds to the Alab 44Similar
Q3 8:06
3RD & 1
OWN 44
0
40.5%
Blake Sims pass incomplete to DeAndrew WhiteSimilar
Q3 7:58
4TH & 1
OWN 44
0
42.1%
JK Scott punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Tre'Davious White at the LSU 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 19PUNT
15 plays · 40 yds · 7:3147% → 50%
Q3 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+1
46.5%
Terrence Magee run for 1 yd to the LSU 12Similar
Q3 7:08
2ND & 9
OWN 12
+2
46.7%
Terrence Magee run for 2 yds to the LSU 14Similar
Q3 6:25
3RD & 7
OWN 14
+9
45.4%
Anthony Jennings run for 9 yds to the LSU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-1
47.8%
Anthony Jennings run for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 22Similar
Q3 4:51
2ND & 11
OWN 22
+8
47.6%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Darrel Williams for 8 yds to the LSU 30Similar
Q3 4:19
3RD & 3
OWN 30
+2
47.2%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Travin Dural for 2 yds to the LSU 32Similar
Q3 3:58
4TH & 1
OWN 32
+3
46.8%
Anthony Jennings run for 3 yds to the LSU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:44
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
49.0%
Darrel Williams run for 3 yds to the LSU 38Similar
Q3 3:03
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+2
51.5%
Darrel Williams run for 2 yds to the LSU 40Similar
Q3 2:18
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+9
50.8%
Anthony Jennings run for 9 yds to the LSU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
53.7%
Anthony Jennings pass incomplete to Travin DuralSimilar
Q3 1:45
2ND & 10
OWN 49
-5
52.8%
LSU Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the LSU 44Similar
Q3 1:38
2ND & 15
OWN 44
+5
50.5%
Anthony Jennings run for 5 yds to the LSU 49Similar
Q3 0:50
3RD & 10
OWN 49
+2
50.5%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Travis Dickson for 2 yds to the Alab 49Similar
Q3 0:18
4TH & 8
OPP 49
0
49.5%
Jamie Keehn punt for 49 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:0654% → 51%
Q3 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
46.0%
Blake Sims pass incomplete to Amari CooperSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-2
46.5%
T.J. Yeldon run for a loss of 2 yards to the Alab 18Similar
Q4 14:50
3RD & 12
OWN 18
+8
48.7%
Blake Sims pass complete to Christion Jones for 8 yds to the Alab 26Similar
Q4 14:04
4TH & 4
OWN 26
0
49.4%
JK Scott punt for 66 yds, downed at the LSU 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 21PUNT
12 plays · 40 yds · 6:5650% → 52%
Q4 13:53
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+8
49.9%
Leonard Fournette run for 8 yds to the LSU 16Similar
Q4 13:18
2ND & 2
OWN 16
+5
50.9%
Leonard Fournette run for 5 yds to the LSU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
51.3%
Leonard Fournette run for 3 yds to the LSU 24Similar
Q4 12:30
2ND & 7
OWN 24
+1
51.8%
Leonard Fournette run for 1 yd to the LSU 25Similar
Q4 11:19
3RD & 6
OWN 25
+11
50.0%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Travin Dural for 11 yds to the LSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
54.0%
Terrence Magee run for 3 yds to the LSU 39Similar
Q4 10:15
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+4
56.1%
Terrence Magee run for 4 yds to the LSU 43Similar
Q4 9:33
3RD & 3
OWN 43
+5
55.7%
Darrel Williams run for 5 yds to the LSU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
57.8%
Darrel Williams run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 8:12
2ND & 8
50
+2
58.6%
Darrel Williams run for 2 yds to the Alab 48Similar
Q4 7:11
3RD & 6
OPP 48
-4
58.0%
Anthony Jennings sacked by Xzavier Dickson and D.J. Pettway for a loss of 4 yards to the LSU 48Similar
Q4 6:57
4TH & 10
OWN 48
0
52.2%
Jamie Keehn punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Christion Jones at the Alab 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 1:3452% → 48%
Q4 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+3
48.4%
Blake Sims run for 3 yds to the Alab 13Similar
Q4 6:23
2ND & 7
OWN 13
+11
48.6%
T.J. Yeldon run for 11 yds to the Alab 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
47.9%
Blake Sims pass incomplete to Amari CooperSimilar
Q4 5:49
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+4
48.3%
Blake Sims pass complete to Amari Cooper for 4 yds to the Alab 28Similar
Q4 5:25
3RD & 6
OWN 28
0
49.2%
Blake Sims pass incomplete to DeAndrew WhiteSimilar
Q4 5:10
4TH & 6
OWN 28
+12
51.8%
JK Scott punt for 51 yds , Tre'Davious White returns for 12 yds to the LSU 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:2255% → 54%
Q4 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
55.4%
Leonard Fournette run for 6 yds to the LSU 39Similar
Q4 4:27
2ND & 4
OWN 39
0
59.4%
Leonard Fournette run for no gain to the LSU 39Similar
Q4 3:45
3RD & 4
OWN 39
0
57.4%
Anthony Jennings pass incomplete to Trey QuinnSimilar
Q4 3:38
4TH & 4
OWN 39
0
53.9%
Jamie Keehn punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Alab 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:5051% → 47%
Q4 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
48.6%
Derrick Henry run for 2 yds to the Alab 26Similar
Q4 3:00
2ND & 8
OWN 26
0
48.7%
Blake Sims pass incomplete to Amari CooperSimilar
Q4 2:52
3RD & 8
OWN 26
0
50.8%
Blake Sims pass incomplete to Christion JonesSimilar
Q4 2:40
4TH & 8
OWN 26
0
53.1%
JK Scott punt for 39 yds, downed at the LSU 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:3857% → 54%
Q4 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
56.6%
Anthony Jennings pass incomplete to Trey QuinnSimilar
Q4 2:29
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+7
55.0%
Brandon Harris run for 7 yds to the LSU 42Similar
Q4 2:06
3RD & 3
OWN 42
0
57.8%
Anthony Jennings pass incomplete to Trey QuinnSimilar
Q4 1:56
4TH & 3
OWN 42
0
53.5%
Jamie Keehn punt for 57 yds, downed at the Alab 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 26FUMBLE
2 plays · 8 yds · 0:3752% → 51%
Q4 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+5
48.5%
T.J. Yeldon run for 5 yds to the Alab 6Similar
Q4 1:13
2ND & 5
OWN 6
+3
49.5%
T.J. Yeldon run for 3 yds to the Alab 9 T.J. Yeldon fumbled, forced by Lamar Louis, recovered by LSU Kendell Beckwith at the Alab 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 27FG
8 plays · -16 yds · 0:2064% → 93%
Q4 1:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-15
64.2%
Terrence Magee run for no gain to the Alab 6 LSU Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Vadal Alexander) to the Alab 21Similar
Q4 0:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 21
+1
63.1%
Leonard Fournette run for 1 yd to the Alab 20Similar
Q4 0:54
3RD & GOAL
OPP 20
-2
57.5%
Anthony Jennings run for a loss of 2 yards to the Alab 22Similar
Q4 0:50
4TH & 0
OPP 22
+39
93.1%
Colby Delahoussaye 39 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 28DOWNS
10 plays · 55 yds · 0:4214% → 63%
Q4 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
86.3%
Blake Sims pass complete to O.J. Howard for 6 yds to the Alab 41Similar
Q4 0:38
2ND & 4
OWN 41
0
84.1%
Blake Sims pass incomplete to DeAndrew WhiteSimilar
Q4 0:30
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+5
85.0%
Blake Sims run for 5 yds to the Alab 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
84.5%
Blake Sims pass complete to O.J. Howard for 6 yds to the LSU 48Similar
Q4 0:21
2ND & 4
OPP 48
0
82.3%
Blake Sims pass incomplete to Amari CooperSimilar
Q4 0:13
3RD & 4
OPP 48
+22
83.5%
Blake Sims pass complete to Christion Jones for 22 yds to the LSU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:12
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
77.5%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:08
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+16
79.1%
Blake Sims pass complete to DeAndrew White for 16 yds to the LSU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+27
37.4%
Adam Griffith 27 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 30TD
8 plays · 25 yds · 0:0060% → 78%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+24
40.5%
Blake Sims pass complete to Brandon Greene for 24 yds to the LSU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-14
40.6%
ALABAMA Penalty, Personal Foul (Leon Brown) to the LSU 15Similar
OT 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 15
+8
40.8%
Derrick Henry run for 8 yds to the LSU 7Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 2
OPP 7
+1
40.5%
Derrick Henry run for 1 yd to the LSU 6Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 1
OPP 6
+2
42.6%
Jalston Fowler run for 2 yds to the LSU 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
40.5%
Derrick Henry run for 3 yds to the LSU 1Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
40.5%
ALABAMA Penalty, False Start (Leon Brown) to the LSU 6Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
22.3%
DeAndrew White 6 Yd pass from Blake Sims (Adam Griffith Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 31Uncategorized
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0028% → 18%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
28.1%
Anthony Jennings pass incomplete to Melvin JonesSimilar
OT 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 25
0
24.0%
Anthony Jennings pass incomplete to Malachi DupreSimilar
OT 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 25
0
21.2%
Anthony Jennings pass incomplete to Travin DuralSimilar
OT 0:00
4TH & 10
OPP 25
0
17.7%
Anthony Jennings pass incomplete to Malachi DupreSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 0:03
Adam Griffith 27 Yd Field Goal
-41.6
FG · Q4 0:50
Colby Delahoussaye 39 Yd Field Goal
+32.1
TD · OT 0:00
DeAndrew White 6 Yd pass from Blake Sims (Adam Griffith Kick)
-18.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com