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MIZ

Missouri 34 at Texas A&M 27

TA&M
2014 · Week 12 · Nov 15, 2014 · Kyle Field
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Win probability · TA&M
modelTA&M aheadMIZ aheadconfidence bandkey playTA&M scoreMIZ score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 1:34 · Christian Brinser punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Speedy Noil at the TexAM 18
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+35.0+17.50−17.5−35.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 44Pregame prior+16.5Home team on offense−0.4Garbage-time factor+0.1Score differential−1.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 11:47: Darius White 16 Yd pass from Maty Mauk (Andrew Baggett Kick) — MIZ win probability +16.0 pts (now 44%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 9:07: Russell Hansbrough 49 Yd Run (Andrew Baggett Kick) — MIZ win probability +17.6 pts (now 43%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 5:41: Russell Hansbrough 45 Yd Run (Andrew Baggett Kick) — MIZ win probability +20.3 pts (now 63%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 0:43: Ish Witter 16 Yd Run (Andrew Baggett Kick) — MIZ win probability +16.3 pts (now 85%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 11:04: Malcome Kennedy 4 Yd pass from Kyle Allen (Josh Lambo Kick) — TA&M win probability +21.0 pts (now 40%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TA&M made the numbers' call on 8 of 9MIZ made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 13:29TA&M 4th & 7 at TA&M 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.9%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:53MIZ 4th & 12 at TA&M 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 32.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.4%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    32.7%
    74% to make
    Punt
    31.9%−0.8
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:18TA&M 4th & 7 at MIZ 22, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 66.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.6%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    66.6%
    72% to make
    Punt
    65.8%−0.9
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:59MIZ 4th & 14 at MIZ 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.0%−0.4
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.5%
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:34MIZ 4th & 10 at MIZ 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.7%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:12TA&M 4th & 12 at TA&M 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.5%−0.6
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:00MIZ 4th & 6 at TA&M 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 36.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    36.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    35.8%−0.3
    45% to make
    Punt
    35.4%−0.7
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:22TA&M 4th & 12 at TA&M 45, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.2%−0.5
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.7%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:03TA&M 4th & 3 at MIZ 45, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 68.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    69.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    67.2%−2.0
    25% to make
    Punt
    68.6%−0.7
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:34TA&M 4th & 1 at TA&M 34, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.7 ptsPunted · 61.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.0%−1.7
    average punt
  11. Q3 4:01TA&M 4th & 12 at TA&M 43, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.0%−3.4
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.3%
    average punt
  12. Q4 13:00TA&M 4th & 5 at MIZ 39, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 18.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.1%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    17.0%−1.1
    36% to make
    Punt
    16.8%−1.4
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:30MIZ 4th & 1 at TA&M 39, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 78.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    78.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    73.2%−4.9
    36% to make
    Punt
    73.3%−4.8
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:30MIZ 4th & 4 at TA&M 31, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsKicked a field goal · 83.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    82.2%−1.3
    54% to make
    Punt
    79.9%−3.6
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:47TA&M 4th & 1 at MIZ 2, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 26.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    23.5%
    60% to convert
    Field goal
    17.4%−6.1
    94% to make
    Punt
    8.8%−14.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TA&M made the numbers' call on 3 of 3MIZ made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q2 9:40TA&M Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 11:47MIZ Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 10:46TA&M Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 9:07MIZ Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 5:41MIZ Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 0:43MIZ Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 11:04TA&M Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    24.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    24.4%−0.4
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TA&MDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 13 yds · 1:1571% → 71%
Q1 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
71.1%
Kyle Allen run for 7 yds to the TexAM 37Similar
Q1 14:28
2ND & 3
OWN 37
0
71.1%
Kyle Allen pass incomplete to Ricky Seals-JonesSimilar
Q1 14:20
3RD & 3
OWN 37
+3
71.0%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Edward Pope for 3 yds to the TexAM 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
71.0%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Ricky Seals-Jones for 3 yds to the TexAM 43Similar
Q1 13:45
2ND & 7
OWN 43
0
71.0%
Kyle Allen pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:37
3RD & 7
OWN 43
0
70.9%
Kyle Allen pass incomplete to Ricky Seals-JonesSimilar
Q1 13:29
4TH & 7
OWN 43
0
70.8%
Drew Kaser punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Marcus Murphy at the Misso 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 2FG
14 plays · 60 yds · 4:0729% → 30%
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+11
70.8%
Maty Mauk pass complete to Bud Sasser for 11 yds to the Misso 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
70.7%
Maty Mauk run for 5 yds to the Misso 35Similar
Q1 12:30
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+4
70.6%
Marcus Murphy run for 4 yds to the Misso 39Similar
Q1 11:58
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+1
70.4%
Marcus Murphy run for 1 yd to the Misso 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+11
70.3%
Maty Mauk pass complete to Marcus Murphy for 11 yds to the TexAM 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:52
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+15
70.1%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Deshazor Everett) to the TexAM 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:44
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+15
69.9%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Devonta Burns) to the TexAM 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:44
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-5
69.9%
MISSOURI Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TexAM 24Similar
Q1 10:32
1ST & 15
OPP 24
+3
69.9%
Russell Hansbrough run for 3 yds to the TexAM 21Similar
Q1 10:02
2ND & 12
OPP 21
+5
69.8%
Russell Hansbrough run for 5 yds to the TexAM 16Similar
Q1 9:30
3RD & 7
OPP 16
-5
69.8%
MISSOURI Penalty, False Start (Connor McGovern) to the TexAM 21Similar
Q1 9:02
3RD & 12
OPP 21
0
69.8%
Maty Mauk pass incomplete to Marcus MurphySimilar
Q1 8:53
4TH & 12
OPP 21
+38
69.8%
Andrew Baggett 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 3FG
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:0571% → 70%
Q1 8:23
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-3
70.5%
Brandon Williams run for a loss of 3 yards to the Misso 28Similar
Q1 8:04
2ND & 13
OPP 28
0
70.3%
Kyle Allen pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:52
3RD & 13
OPP 28
+6
69.7%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Brandon Williams for 6 yds to the Misso 22Similar
Q1 7:18
4TH & 7
OPP 22
+40
70.4%
Josh Lambo 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 4PUNT
9 plays · 24 yds · 3:1330% → 31%
Q1 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
69.7%
Maty Mauk pass complete to Darius White for 10 yds to the Misso 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
69.5%
Russell Hansbrough run for 2 yds to the Misso 37Similar
Q1 6:06
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+7
69.3%
Maty Mauk pass complete to Bud Sasser for 7 yds to the Misso 44Similar
Q1 5:32
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+9
68.8%
Russell Hansbrough run for 9 yds to the TexAM 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:09
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
68.5%
Maty Mauk pass incomplete to Ish WitterSimilar
Q1 5:01
2ND & 10
OPP 47
-2
68.5%
Marcus Murphy run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexAM 49Similar
Q1 4:20
3RD & 12
OPP 49
-2
68.9%
Maty Mauk pass complete to Marcus Murphy for a loss of 2 yards to the Misso 49Similar
Q1 3:59
4TH & 14
OWN 49
0
69.4%
Christian Brinser punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexAM 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 5INT
3 plays · 19 yds · 0:5169% → 70%
Q1 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+17
69.4%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Malcome Kennedy for 17 yds to the TexAM 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
69.8%
Trey Williams run for 2 yds to the TexAM 40Similar
Q1 2:59
2ND & 8
OWN 40
0
70.0%
Kyle Allen pass intercepted Ian Simon return for no gain to the Misso 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:5632% → 31%
Q1 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
67.7%
Marcus Murphy run for 3 yds to the Misso 45Similar
Q1 2:19
2ND & 7
OWN 45
-5
67.4%
MISSOURI Penalty, False Start (Mitch Morse) to the Misso 40Similar
Q1 2:00
2ND & 12
OWN 40
0
68.0%
Maty Mauk pass incomplete to Bud SasserSimilar
Q1 1:53
3RD & 12
OWN 40
+2
68.3%
Marcus Murphy run for 2 yds to the Misso 42Similar
Q1 1:34
4TH & 10
OWN 42
0
68.6%
Christian Brinser punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Speedy Noil at the TexAM 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 12 yds · 2:1369% → 68%
Q1 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+6
69.3%
Trey Williams run for 6 yds to the TexAM 24Similar
Q1 0:52
2ND & 4
OWN 24
+8
69.4%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Josh Reynolds for 8 yds to the TexAM 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:29
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
69.4%
Tra Carson run for 2 yds to the TexAM 34Similar
Q1 0:15
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+1
69.3%
Kyle Allen run for 1 yd to the TexAM 35Similar
Q2 14:35
3RD & 7
OWN 35
-5
68.8%
Kyle Allen sacked by Markus Golden for a loss of 5 yards to the TexAM 30 Kyle Allen fumbled, recovered by TexAMSimilar
Q2 14:12
4TH & 12
OWN 30
+2
68.0%
Drew Kaser punt for 40 yds , Marcus Murphy returns for 2 yds to the Misso 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 8DOWNS
6 plays · 33 yds · 2:5733% → 34%
Q2 13:57
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
67.4%
Russell Hansbrough run for 2 yds to the Misso 34Similar
Q2 13:29
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+27
67.3%
Maty Mauk pass complete to Jimmie Hunt for 27 yds to the TexAM 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:09
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-1
65.9%
Maty Mauk pass complete to Darius White for a loss of 1 yard to the TexAM 40Similar
Q2 12:29
2ND & 11
OPP 40
+5
65.7%
Russell Hansbrough run for 5 yds to the TexAM 35Similar
Q2 12:17
3RD & 6
OPP 35
0
65.8%
Russell Hansbrough run for no gain to the TexAM 35Similar
Q2 11:00
4TH & 6
OPP 35
0
66.4%
Maty Mauk pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 9TD
6 plays · 64 yds · 1:1169% → 76%
Q2 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
69.1%
Tra Carson pass incomplete to Kyle AllenSimilar
Q2 10:30
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+5
68.9%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Ricky Seals-Jones for 5 yds to the TexAM 41Similar
Q2 10:20
3RD & 5
OWN 41
0
69.1%
Kyle Allen pass incomplete to Ricky Seals-JonesSimilar
Q2 10:10
4TH & 5
OWN 41
+15
68.1%
MISSOURI Penalty, Roughing the Kicker (15 Yards) to the Misso 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:52
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+20
70.4%
Tra Carson run for 20 yds to the Misso 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:40
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
76.2%
Josh Reynolds 24 Yd pass from Kyle Allen (Josh Lambo Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 10FG
18 plays · 58 yds · 5:0426% → 30%
Q2 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+28
74.3%
Maty Mauk pass complete to Bud Sasser for 28 yds to the TexAM 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:07
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
72.6%
Marcus Murphy run for 5 yds to the TexAM 42Similar
Q2 8:31
2ND & 5
OPP 42
+4
72.5%
Marcus Murphy run for 4 yds to the TexAM 38Similar
Q2 8:06
3RD & 1
OPP 38
+4
73.1%
Russell Hansbrough run for 4 yds to the TexAM 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:42
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
72.2%
Maty Mauk pass incomplete to Bud SasserSimilar
Q2 7:17
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+7
72.3%
Maty Mauk run for 7 yds to the TexAM 27Similar
Q2 7:01
3RD & 3
OPP 27
+12
73.1%
Russell Hansbrough run for 12 yds to the TexAM 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:42
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
72.1%
Maty Mauk pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:34
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+13
72.1%
Marcus Murphy run for 13 yds to the TexAM 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-5
72.2%
MISSOURI Penalty, Illegal Shift (-5 Yards) to the TexAM 7Similar
Q2 6:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-5
72.1%
MISSOURI Penalty, Illegal Shift (-5 Yards) to the TexAM 12Similar
Q2 5:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 12
+5
72.3%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, Substitution Infraction (5 Yards) to the TexAM 7Similar
Q2 5:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
72.2%
Maty Mauk pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
72.2%
Marcus Murphy run for 5 yds to the TexAM 2Similar
Q2 4:44
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
-15
73.3%
MISSOURI Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (-15 Yards) to the TexAM 17Similar
Q2 4:34
3RD & GOAL
OPP 17
0
74.6%
Maty Mauk pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:30
4TH & 0
OPP 17
+35
70.4%
Andrew Baggett 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 10 yds · 1:5371% → 70%
Q2 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
71.2%
Brandon Williams run for 2 yds to the TexAM 37Similar
Q2 3:56
2ND & 8
OWN 37
0
71.5%
Kyle Allen pass incomplete to Malcome KennedySimilar
Q2 3:49
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+10
70.8%
Kyle Allen run for 10 yds to the TexAM 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
72.6%
Brandon Williams run for no gain to the TexAM 47Similar
Q2 2:47
2ND & 10
OWN 47
-2
72.4%
Kyle Allen sacked by Markus Golden for a loss of 2 yards to the TexAM 45Similar
Q2 2:32
3RD & 12
OWN 45
0
70.7%
Kyle Allen pass incomplete to Malcome KennedySimilar
Q2 2:22
4TH & 12
OWN 45
0
70.0%
Drew Kaser punt for 55 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 12INT
7 plays · 43 yds · 1:0829% → 32%
Q2 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
71.3%
Maty Mauk pass complete to Bud Sasser for 8 yds to the Misso 28Similar
Q2 1:54
2ND & 2
OWN 28
0
70.3%
Maty Mauk pass incomplete to Nate BrownSimilar
Q2 1:48
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+2
71.3%
Marcus Murphy run for 2 yds to the Misso 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
71.0%
Maty Mauk pass complete to Sean Culkin for 6 yds to the Misso 36Similar
Q2 1:25
2ND & 4
OWN 36
+26
69.6%
Maty Mauk pass complete to Jimmie Hunt for 26 yds to the TexAM 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:11
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
67.8%
Russell Hansbrough run for 1 yd to the TexAM 37Similar
Q2 0:58
2ND & 9
OPP 37
+36
67.8%
Maty Mauk pass intercepted Armani Watts return for 36 yds to the TexAM 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 13END OF HALF
8 plays · 39 yds · 0:4973% → 79%
Q2 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-3
72.8%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Trey Williams for a loss of 3 yards to the TexAM 45Similar
Q2 0:42
2ND & 13
OWN 45
+5
71.5%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Trey Williams for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 0:10
3RD & 8
50
+5
71.5%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Josh Reynolds for 5 yds to the Misso 45Similar
Q2 0:03
4TH & 3
OPP 45
+32
71.2%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Josh Reynolds for 32 yds to the Misso 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+31
78.5%
Josh Lambo 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 14TD
10 plays · 77 yds · 3:0225% → 44%
Q3 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
74.9%
Maty Mauk pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:26
2ND & 10
OWN 23
0
75.1%
Russell Hansbrough run for no gain to the Misso 23Similar
Q3 14:03
3RD & 10
OWN 23
+11
76.0%
Maty Mauk pass complete to Bud Sasser for 11 yds to the Misso 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-5
74.4%
MISSOURI Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (-5 Yards) to the Misso 29Similar
Q3 13:37
1ST & 15
OWN 29
+7
75.1%
Marcus Murphy run for 7 yds to the Misso 36Similar
Q3 12:55
2ND & 8
OWN 36
0
74.3%
Maty Mauk pass complete to Marcus Murphy for no gain to the Misso 36Similar
Q3 12:26
3RD & 8
OWN 36
+15
75.3%
Maty Mauk pass complete to Jimmie Hunt for 15 yds to the TexAM 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:04
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+33
72.5%
Russell Hansbrough run for 33 yds to the TexAM 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:47
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
56.5%
Darius White 16 Yd pass from Maty Mauk (Andrew Baggett Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 15TD
4 plays · 68 yds · 0:4265% → 78%
Q3 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+10
64.5%
Tra Carson run for 10 yds to the TexAM 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:56
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
66.3%
Tra Carson run for 2 yds to the TexAM 44Similar
Q3 10:46
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+56
78.2%
Josh Reynolds 56 Yd pass from Kyle Allen (Josh Lambo Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 16TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:1925% → 43%
Q3 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
75.4%
Marcus Murphy run for 7 yds to the Misso 32Similar
Q3 10:17
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+8
73.7%
Maty Mauk pass complete to Marcus Murphy for 8 yds to the Misso 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
74.1%
Maty Mauk pass complete to Darius White for 4 yds to the Misso 44Similar
Q3 9:27
2ND & 6
OWN 44
0
73.2%
Maty Mauk pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:21
3RD & 6
OWN 44
+7
74.5%
Maty Mauk pass complete to Jimmie Hunt for 7 yds to the TexAM 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:07
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+49
56.9%
Russell Hansbrough 49 Yd Run (Andrew Baggett Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:1864% → 62%
Q3 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
63.6%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Brandon Williams for 3 yds to the TexAM 28Similar
Q3 8:25
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+4
63.8%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Edward Pope for 4 yds to the TexAM 32Similar
Q3 7:59
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+2
63.0%
Brandon Williams run for 2 yds to the TexAM 34Similar
Q3 7:34
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
62.1%
Drew Kaser punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Marcus Murphy at the Misso 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 18TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 1:4640% → 63%
Q3 7:27
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
60.0%
Maty Mauk pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:18
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+5
60.3%
Marcus Murphy run for 5 yds to the Misso 25Similar
Q3 6:35
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+21
60.8%
Maty Mauk pass complete to Darius White for 21 yds to the Misso 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
56.3%
Maty Mauk pass incomplete to Jimmie HuntSimilar
Q3 5:59
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+9
57.1%
Ish Witter run for 9 yds to the TexAM 45Similar
Q3 5:41
3RD & 1
OPP 45
+45
36.8%
Russell Hansbrough 45 Yd Run (Andrew Baggett Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 1:1443% → 39%
Q3 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+17
43.2%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Speedy Noil for 17 yds to the TexAM 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:51
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
44.9%
Trey Williams run for 4 yds to the TexAM 49Similar
Q3 4:45
2ND & 6
OWN 49
0
46.0%
Kyle Allen pass incomplete to Speedy NoilSimilar
Q3 4:15
3RD & 6
OWN 49
-6
43.9%
Kyle Allen sacked by Shane Ray and Markus Golden for a loss of 6 yards to the TexAM 43Similar
Q3 4:01
4TH & 12
OWN 43
0
39.3%
Drew Kaser punt for 37 yds , Marcus Murphy returns for no gain to the Misso 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 20TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 3:0562% → 85%
Q3 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
37.6%
Russell Hansbrough run for 7 yds to the Misso 27Similar
Q3 3:18
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+18
35.4%
Maty Mauk pass complete to Bud Sasser for 18 yds to the Misso 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+9
34.1%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (9 Yards) to the TexAM 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:52
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+7
33.2%
Ish Witter run for 7 yds to the TexAM 39Similar
Q3 2:06
2ND & 3
OPP 39
+2
32.4%
Ish Witter run for 2 yds to the TexAM 37Similar
Q3 1:51
3RD & 1
OPP 37
+4
32.5%
Russell Hansbrough run for 4 yds to the TexAM 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:29
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+11
31.5%
Russell Hansbrough run for 11 yds to the TexAM 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:13
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+6
31.1%
Maty Mauk pass complete to Marcus Murphy for 6 yds to the TexAM 16Similar
Q3 0:43
2ND & 4
OPP 16
+16
14.8%
Ish Witter 16 Yd Run (Andrew Baggett Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 21TD
14 plays · 57 yds · 4:1621% → 40%
Q3 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+7
20.8%
Tra Carson run for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 0:02
2ND & 3
50
+2
21.3%
Tra Carson run for 2 yds to the Misso 48Similar
Q4 14:53
3RD & 1
OPP 48
+4
21.2%
Tra Carson run for 4 yds to the Misso 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:29
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
20.9%
Tra Carson run for 1 yd to the Misso 43Similar
Q4 14:03
2ND & 9
OPP 43
+3
20.2%
Brandon Williams run for 3 yds to the Misso 40Similar
Q4 13:28
3RD & 6
OPP 40
+1
19.8%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Malcome Kennedy for 1 yd to the Misso 39Similar
Q4 13:00
4TH & 5
OPP 39
+6
18.2%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Speedy Noil for 6 yds to the Misso 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:33
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
19.6%
Brandon Williams run for 4 yds to the Misso 29Similar
Q4 11:53
2ND & 6
OPP 29
+3
19.5%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Ricky Seals-Jones for 3 yds to the Misso 26Similar
Q4 11:33
3RD & 3
OPP 26
+7
18.7%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Boone Niederhofer for 7 yds to the Misso 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:18
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+15
19.1%
MISSOURI Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the Misso 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
19.0%
Kyle Allen pass incomplete to Josh ReynoldsSimilar
Q4 11:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
39.9%
Malcome Kennedy 4 Yd pass from Kyle Allen (Josh Lambo Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 22MISSED FG
15 plays · 44 yds · 5:2573% → 83%
Q4 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
27.4%
Maty Mauk pass incomplete to Marcus MurphySimilar
Q4 10:43
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
28.0%
Marcus Murphy run for 9 yds to the Misso 34Similar
Q4 10:08
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+8
24.5%
Marcus Murphy run for 8 yds to the Misso 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
21.5%
Maty Mauk pass complete to Darius White for 5 yds to the Misso 47Similar
Q4 9:05
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+5
20.7%
Russell Hansbrough run for 5 yds to the TexAM 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:36
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
19.7%
Marcus Murphy run for 3 yds to the TexAM 45Similar
Q4 8:09
2ND & 7
OPP 45
0
19.5%
Maty Mauk pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:57
3RD & 7
OPP 45
+6
19.8%
Maty Mauk run for 6 yds to the TexAM 39Similar
Q4 7:30
4TH & 1
OPP 39
+2
21.9%
Russell Hansbrough run for 2 yds to the TexAM 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:11
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
17.8%
Maty Mauk pass incomplete to Bud SasserSimilar
Q4 6:42
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+4
17.4%
Marcus Murphy run for 4 yds to the TexAM 33Similar
Q4 5:54
3RD & 6
OPP 33
+2
16.2%
Marcus Murphy run for 2 yds to the TexAM 31Similar
Q4 5:30
4TH & 4
OPP 31
+49
17.0%
Andrew Baggett 49 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 23DOWNS
11 plays · 66 yds · 2:1924% → 25%
Q4 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
23.6%
Tra Carson run for 3 yds to the TexAM 34Similar
Q4 4:54
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+10
23.1%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Tra Carson for 10 yds to the TexAM 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
25.9%
Tra Carson run for 5 yds to the TexAM 49Similar
Q4 4:07
2ND & 5
OWN 49
+4
26.8%
MISSOURI Penalty, Defensive Offside (4 Yards) to the Misso 47Similar
Q4 3:42
2ND & 1
OPP 47
+23
28.5%
Trey Williams run for 23 yds to the Misso 24 Trey Williams fumbled, recovered by TexAMSimilar
Q4 3:33
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+13
31.2%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Speedy Noil for 13 yds to the Misso 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:14
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
31.0%
Kyle Allen pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:09
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+9
30.9%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Ricky Seals-Jones for 9 yds to the Misso 2Similar
Q4 2:54
3RD & 1
OPP 2
0
28.7%
Brandon Williams run for no gain to the Misso 2Similar
Q4 2:47
4TH & 1
OPP 2
-1
24.6%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Cameron Clear for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 24END OF GAME
11 plays · 10 yds · 2:4789% → 94%
Q4 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 3
-1
11.5%
MISSOURI Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-1 Yards) to the Misso 2Similar
Q4 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 2
0
12.1%
Russell Hansbrough run for no gain to the Misso 2Similar
Q4 1:59
2ND & 10
OWN 2
-1
10.0%
MISSOURI Penalty, False Start (Taylor Chappell) to the Misso 1Similar
Q4 1:42
2ND & 11
OWN 1
+10
6.9%
Maty Mauk pass complete to Jimmie Hunt for 10 yds to the Misso 11Similar
Q4 1:30
3RD & 1
OWN 11
+2
6.4%
Marcus Murphy run for 2 yds to the Misso 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+4
6.0%
Marcus Murphy run for 4 yds to the Misso 17Similar
Q4 0:51
2ND & 6
OWN 17
-2
5.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Misso 15Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 8
OWN 15
-2
5.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Misso 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 11:04
Malcome Kennedy 4 Yd pass from Kyle Allen (Josh Lambo Kick)
+21
TD · Q3 5:41
Russell Hansbrough 45 Yd Run (Andrew Baggett Kick)
-20.3
TD · Q3 9:07
Russell Hansbrough 49 Yd Run (Andrew Baggett Kick)
-17.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com