Try the model
AUB

Auburn 7 at Georgia 34

UGA
2014 · Week 12 · Nov 15, 2014 · Sanford Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · UGA
modelUGA aheadAUB aheadconfidence bandkey playUGA scoreAUB score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 10:48 · Daniel Carlson punt for 38 yds , Isaiah McKenzie returns for no gain to the Geo 9 GEORGIA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Reggie Davis) to the Geo 43
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout marginPregame prior
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 98Home team on offense+10.1Score differential+3.2Garbage-time factor+1.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.5Blowout margin+0.9Pregame prior+1.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 2:15: Hutson Mason pass complete to Malcolm Mitchell for 7 yds for a TD, (Marshall Morgan KICK) — UGA win probability +4.6 pts (now 56%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 8:48: Nick Chubb run for 9 yds for a TD, (Marshall Morgan KICK) — UGA win probability +6.9 pts (now 63%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q2 2:30: Hutson Mason pass complete to Nick Chubb for 21 yds to the GEORGIA 32 for a 1ST down GEORGIA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Malcolm Mitchell) to the Aub 42 for a 1ST down — UGA win probability +4.5 pts (now 68%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 7:28: Todd Gurley run for 3 yds for a TD, (Marshall Morgan KICK) — UGA win probability +11.9 pts (now 91%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  5. FG · Q3 0:55: Marshall Morgan 28 yd FG GOOD — UGA win probability +3.7 pts (now 97%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UGA made the numbers' call on 6 of 6AUB made the numbers' call on 3 of 6
  1. Q1 8:48UGA 4th & 14 at midfield, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.4%−0.3
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:43AUB 4th & 1 at AUB 37, up 7
    Close callPunted · 47.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.7%−0.6
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:17UGA 4th & 13 at UGA 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.6%−1.2
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.8%
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:35AUB 4th & 15 at AUB 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.7%−1.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.8%
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:48UGA 4th & 1 at AUB 9, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 59.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    59.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    57.8%−1.3
    89% to make
    Punt
    54.3%−4.9
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:47AUB 4th & 3 at AUB 35, down 7
    Close callPunted · 32.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.6%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:29UGA 4th & 12 at AUB 15, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 68.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.2%−2.2
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    69.4%
    83% to make
    Punt
    63.3%−6.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:11UGA 4th & 9 at AUB 45, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.8%−0.5
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    73.6%−1.8
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    75.4%
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:48AUB 4th & 18 at AUB 9, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.8%−2.9
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.8%
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:56AUB 4th & 8 at UGA 43, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.7%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    8.6%−1.1
    28% to make
    Punt
    9.6%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 0:55UGA 4th & 10 at AUB 11, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 93.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.4%−0.6
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.1%
    87% to make
    Punt
    89.1%−4.0
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:25AUB 4th & 13 at UGA 15, down 20
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.0 ptsWent for it · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.0%−1.0
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    2.0%
    83% to make
    Punt
    -0.3%−2.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UGA made the numbers' call on 4 of 4AUB made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 10:52AUB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:15UGA Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 8:48UGA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 7:28UGA Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 4:51UGA Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
AUBDrive 1TD
11 plays · 70 yds · 4:0847% → 49%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
53.1%
Nick Marshall pass complete to Roc Thomas for 4 yds to the Aub 34Similar
Q1 14:15
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+4
53.2%
Nick Marshall pass complete to Ricardo Louis for 4 yds to the Aub 38Similar
Q1 13:40
3RD & 2
OWN 38
+5
53.2%
Nick Marshall pass complete to Roc Thomas for 5 yds to the Aub 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
53.2%
Nick Marshall run for 1 yd to the Aub 44Similar
Q1 12:50
2ND & 9
OWN 44
0
53.2%
Nick Marshall pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:30
3RD & 9
OWN 44
+12
53.4%
Nick Marshall pass complete to C.J. Uzomah for 12 yds to the Geo 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:15
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+7
53.1%
Cameron Artis-Payne run for 7 yds to the Geo 37Similar
Q1 12:00
2ND & 3
OPP 37
+2
53.1%
Cameron Artis-Payne run for 2 yds to the Geo 35Similar
Q1 11:15
3RD & 1
OPP 35
+9
53.1%
Nick Marshall run for 9 yds to the Geo 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:52
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+26
51.5%
Cameron Artis-Payne 26 Yd Run (Daniel Carlson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 28 yds · 2:0552% → 51%
Q1 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+11
52.1%
Nick Chubb run for 11 yds to the Geo 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+21
52.1%
Hutson Mason pass complete to Chris Conley for 21 yds to the Aub 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:50
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
52.5%
Nick Chubb run for 2 yds to the Aub 44Similar
Q1 9:20
2ND & 8
OPP 44
0
52.4%
Hutson Mason pass incomplete to Kenneth TownsSimilar
Q1 9:10
3RD & 8
OPP 44
0
52.2%
Hutson Mason pass incomplete to Isaiah McKenzieSimilar
Q1 9:00
4TH & 8
OPP 44
-6
51.4%
GEORGIA Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Brandon Kublanow) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 8:48
4TH & 14
50
0
51.2%
Collin Barber punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Quan Bray at the Aub 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 23 yds · 4:0549% → 50%
Q1 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-5
51.3%
AUBURN Penalty, Encroachment (-5 Yards) to the Aub 9Similar
Q1 8:48
1ST & 15
OWN 9
+14
51.3%
Cameron Artis-Payne run for 14 yds to the Aub 23Similar
Q1 8:15
2ND & 1
OWN 23
-2
50.9%
Cameron Artis-Payne run for a loss of 2 yards to the Aub 21Similar
Q1 7:25
3RD & 3
OWN 21
+7
50.9%
Nick Marshall run for 7 yds to the Aub 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+7
50.4%
Cameron Artis-Payne run for 7 yds to the Aub 35Similar
Q1 6:20
2ND & 3
OWN 35
0
50.0%
Cameron Artis-Payne run for no gain to the Aub 35Similar
Q1 5:40
3RD & 3
OWN 35
+2
50.0%
Cameron Artis-Payne run for 2 yds to the Aub 37Similar
Q1 4:43
4TH & 1
OWN 37
0
49.9%
Jimmy Hutchinson punt for 28 yds, downed at the Geo 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 4FUMBLE
4 plays · -3 yds · 1:2650% → 49%
Q1 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
50.4%
Todd Gurley run for a loss of 1 yard to the Geo 34Similar
Q1 4:15
2ND & 11
OWN 34
-2
50.2%
Todd Gurley run for a loss of 2 yards to the Geo 32Similar
Q1 3:50
3RD & 13
OWN 32
0
49.5%
Hutson Mason pass incomplete to Jay RomeSimilar
Q1 3:17
4TH & 13
OWN 32
-4
49.1%
Collin Barber punt for 45 yds , Quan Bray returns for a loss of 4 yards to the Aub 19 Quan Bray fumbled, recovered by Geo Lucas ReddSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 5TD
4 plays · 19 yds · 1:0252% → 56%
Q1 3:17
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+11
51.8%
Todd Gurley run for 11 yds to the Aub 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
51.7%
Todd Gurley run for 1 yd to the Aub 7Similar
Q1 2:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
51.2%
Hutson Mason pass incomplete to Chris ConleySimilar
Q1 2:15
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
55.9%
Hutson Mason pass complete to Malcolm Mitchell for 7 yds for a TD, (Marshall Morgan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 6PUNT
9 plays · 14 yds · 3:4046% → 45%
Q1 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
53.7%
Cameron Artis-Payne run for 2 yds to the Aub 27Similar
Q1 1:30
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+4
53.6%
Nick Marshall pass complete to Marcus Davis for 4 yds to the Aub 31Similar
Q1 0:45
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+13
53.8%
Nick Marshall pass complete to Sammie Coates for 13 yds to the Aub 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
52.6%
Nick Marshall run for 4 yds to the Aub 48Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 48
0
52.5%
Nick Marshall pass incomplete to Ricardo LouisSimilar
Q2 14:50
3RD & 6
OWN 48
-10
52.7%
AUBURN Penalty, Offensive Holding (Shon Coleman) to the Aub 38Similar
Q2 14:30
3RD & 16
OWN 38
+1
54.0%
Nick Marshall pass complete to Sammie Coates for 1 yd to the Aub 39Similar
Q2 13:35
4TH & 15
OWN 39
0
54.8%
Daniel Carlson punt for 44 yds, downed at the Geo 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 7TD
12 plays · 83 yds · 4:4755% → 63%
Q2 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+9
55.0%
Todd Gurley run for 9 yds to the Geo 26Similar
Q2 12:55
2ND & 1
OWN 26
+3
55.8%
Todd Gurley run for 3 yds to the Geo 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+11
55.3%
Nick Chubb run for 11 yds to the Geo 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+12
56.3%
Nick Chubb run for 12 yds to the Aub 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:55
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+11
57.1%
Hutson Mason pass complete to Michael Bennett for 11 yds to the Aub 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
57.3%
Hutson Mason pass incomplete to Chris ConleySimilar
Q2 11:20
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+19
57.3%
Nick Chubb run for 19 yds to the Aub 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:55
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
57.9%
Todd Gurley run for 4 yds to the Aub 14Similar
Q2 10:20
2ND & 6
OPP 14
-1
58.0%
Todd Gurley run for a loss of 1 yard to the Aub 15Similar
Q2 9:45
3RD & 7
OPP 15
+6
57.5%
Hutson Mason pass complete to Malcolm Mitchell for 6 yds to the Aub 9Similar
Q2 8:48
4TH & 1
OPP 9
+9
63.3%
Nick Chubb run for 9 yds for a TD, (Marshall Morgan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 8PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 4:0138% → 36%
Q2 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
62.2%
Cameron Artis-Payne run for 3 yds to the Aub 21Similar
Q2 8:00
2ND & 7
OWN 21
+6
63.2%
Cameron Artis-Payne run for 6 yds to the Aub 27Similar
Q2 7:20
3RD & 1
OWN 27
+1
63.1%
Cameron Artis-Payne run for 1 yd to the Aub 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+7
63.0%
Cameron Artis-Payne run for 7 yds to the Aub 35Similar
Q2 6:20
2ND & 3
OWN 35
0
62.0%
Cameron Artis-Payne run for no gain to the Aub 35Similar
Q2 5:40
3RD & 3
OWN 35
0
63.4%
Nick Marshall run for no gain to the Aub 35Similar
Q2 4:47
4TH & 3
OWN 35
0
64.5%
Daniel Carlson punt for 46 yds, downed at the Geo 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 9FG
15 plays · 66 yds · 4:1865% → 70%
Q2 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+6
65.1%
Todd Gurley run for 6 yds to the Geo 25Similar
Q2 4:10
2ND & 4
OWN 25
+5
65.6%
Todd Gurley run for 5 yds to the Geo 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
65.9%
Hutson Mason pass incomplete to Chris ConleySimilar
Q2 3:25
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+2
65.5%
Hutson Mason run for 2 yds to the Geo 32Similar
Q2 2:50
3RD & 8
OWN 32
0
65.0%
Hutson Mason pass incomplete to Reggie DavisSimilar
Q2 2:40
4TH & 8
OWN 32
+15
64.0%
AUBURN Penalty, Roughing the Kicker (Gray King) to the Geo 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+11
68.4%
Hutson Mason pass complete to Nick Chubb for 21 yds to the GEORGIA 32 for a 1ST down GEORGIA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Malcolm Mitchell) to the Aub 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:10
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
68.7%
Nick Chubb run for 3 yds to the Aub 39Similar
Q2 1:50
2ND & 7
OPP 39
+13
68.7%
Hutson Mason pass complete to Michael Bennett for 13 yds to the Aub 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+13
69.2%
Todd Gurley run for 13 yds to the Aub 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
69.3%
Todd Gurley run for 3 yds to the Aub 10Similar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 7
OPP 10
-9
69.5%
Todd Gurley run for 1 yd to the Aub 9 GEORGIA Penalty, Offensive Holding (David Andrews) to the Aub 19Similar
Q2 0:50
2ND & 16
OPP 19
+4
69.2%
Hutson Mason pass complete to Todd Gurley for 4 yds to the Aub 15Similar
Q2 0:40
3RD & 12
OPP 15
0
68.4%
Hutson Mason pass incomplete to Chris ConleySimilar
Q2 0:29
4TH & 12
OPP 15
+32
70.4%
Marshall Morgan 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 10END OF HALF
6 plays · 19 yds · 0:2031% → 30%
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
69.5%
Nick Marshall pass incomplete to Ricardo LouisSimilar
Q2 0:15
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
69.8%
Nick Marshall pass incomplete to Ricardo LouisSimilar
Q2 0:05
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+19
70.7%
Nick Marshall pass complete to Cameron Artis-Payne for 19 yds to the Aub 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
70.1%
Nick Marshall pass incomplete to Ricardo LouisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 27 yds · 2:4972% → 73%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
72.1%
Hutson Mason pass complete to Michael Bennett for 5 yds Michael Bennett fumbled, forced by Robenson Therezie, recovered by Geo Michael BennettSimilar
Q3 14:40
2ND & 5
OWN 33
+11
72.7%
Todd Gurley run for 11 yds to the Geo 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+10
73.8%
Todd Gurley run for 10 yds to the Aub 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:45
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
74.4%
Todd Gurley run for 1 yd to the Aub 45Similar
Q3 13:15
2ND & 9
OPP 45
+4
74.5%
Todd Gurley run for 4 yds to the Aub 41Similar
Q3 12:45
3RD & 5
OPP 41
-4
74.8%
Todd Gurley run for a loss of 4 yards to the Aub 45Similar
Q3 12:11
4TH & 9
OPP 45
0
73.2%
Collin Barber punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Quan Bray at the Aub 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 1:2327% → 24%
Q3 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
73.5%
Nick Marshall pass incomplete to Sammie CoatesSimilar
Q3 12:00
2ND & 10
OWN 17
0
74.0%
Nick Marshall pass incomplete to Ricardo LouisSimilar
Q3 11:50
3RD & 10
OWN 17
-8
75.0%
AUBURN Penalty, Offensive Holding (Shon Coleman) to the Aub 9Similar
Q3 11:30
3RD & 18
OWN 9
0
75.5%
Cameron Artis-Payne run for no gain to the Aub 9Similar
Q3 10:48
4TH & 18
OWN 9
0
76.5%
Daniel Carlson punt for 38 yds , Isaiah McKenzie returns for no gain to the Geo 9 GEORGIA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Reggie Davis) to the Geo 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 13TD
7 plays · 57 yds · 3:2076% → 91%
Q3 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
76.4%
Nick Chubb run for 6 yds to the Geo 49Similar
Q3 10:20
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+13
76.9%
Nick Chubb run for 13 yds to the Aub 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:50
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+7
77.5%
Nick Chubb run for 7 yds to the Aub 31Similar
Q3 9:20
2ND & 3
OPP 31
+20
78.1%
Nick Chubb run for 20 yds to the Aub 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+5
78.2%
Nick Chubb run for 5 yds to the Aub 6Similar
Q3 8:20
2ND & 5
OPP 6
+3
78.6%
Todd Gurley run for 3 yds to the Aub 3Similar
Q3 7:28
3RD & 2
OPP 3
+3
90.5%
Todd Gurley run for 3 yds for a TD, (Marshall Morgan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 14DOWNS
8 plays · 26 yds · 2:3212% → 10%
Q3 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+11
87.9%
Nick Marshall run for 11 yds to the Aub 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
87.9%
Nick Marshall run for 5 yds to the Aub 47Similar
Q3 6:45
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+8
87.9%
Cameron Artis-Payne run for 8 yds to the Geo 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:30
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
88.2%
Cameron Artis-Payne run for 2 yds to the Geo 43Similar
Q3 5:55
2ND & 8
OPP 43
0
88.6%
Nick Marshall pass incomplete to Marcus DavisSimilar
Q3 5:40
3RD & 8
OPP 43
0
89.0%
Nick Marshall run for no gain to the Geo 43Similar
Q3 4:56
4TH & 8
OPP 43
0
90.2%
Nick Marshall pass incomplete to C.J. UzomahSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 15FG
11 plays · 46 yds · 4:0192% → 97%
Q3 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
91.9%
Todd Gurley run for 2 yds to the Geo 45Similar
Q3 4:30
2ND & 8
OWN 45
0
92.0%
Todd Gurley run for no gain to the Geo 45Similar
Q3 3:50
3RD & 8
OWN 45
+15
91.9%
AUBURN Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Robenson Therezie) to the Aub 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:50
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-5
92.3%
GEORGIA Penalty, False Start (Michael Bennett) to the Aub 45Similar
Q3 3:40
1ST & 15
OPP 45
+2
92.3%
Todd Gurley run for 2 yds to the Aub 43Similar
Q3 2:50
2ND & 13
OPP 43
+5
92.6%
Todd Gurley run for 5 yds to the Aub 38Similar
Q3 2:40
3RD & 8
OPP 38
+27
92.6%
Hutson Mason pass complete to Nick Chubb for 27 yds to the Aub 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
93.2%
Nick Chubb run for no gain to the Aub 11Similar
Q3 1:30
2ND & 10
OPP 11
0
93.5%
Nick Chubb run for no gain to the Aub 11Similar
Q3 1:05
3RD & 10
OPP 11
0
93.5%
Hutson Mason pass incomplete to Malcolm MitchellSimilar
Q3 0:55
4TH & 10
OPP 11
+28
97.2%
Marshall Morgan 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 16INT
14 plays · 60 yds · 4:303% → 2%
Q3 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
97.1%
Ricardo Louis run for 4 yds to the Aub 29Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+15
97.3%
Nick Marshall pass complete to Corey Grant for 15 yds to the Aub 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
97.3%
Cameron Artis-Payne run for 3 yds to the Aub 47Similar
Q4 14:30
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+17
97.4%
Nick Marshall pass complete to Sammie Coates for 17 yds to the Geo 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:10
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-9
97.7%
Cameron Artis-Payne run for 1 yd to the Geo 35 AUBURN Penalty, Offensive Holding (Chad Slade) to the Geo 45Similar
Q4 13:50
1ST & 19
OPP 45
+4
98.0%
Nick Marshall run for 4 yds to the Geo 41Similar
Q4 13:20
2ND & 15
OPP 41
+18
98.1%
Nick Marshall pass complete to C.J. Uzomah for 18 yds to the Geo 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+9
97.9%
Corey Grant run for 9 yds to the Geo 14Similar
Q4 12:50
2ND & 1
OPP 14
+2
97.9%
Corey Grant run for 2 yds to the Geo 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:15
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-3
98.0%
Cameron Artis-Payne run for a loss of 3 yards to the Geo 15Similar
Q4 11:50
2ND & 13
OPP 15
0
98.2%
Nick Marshall pass incomplete to Sammie CoatesSimilar
Q4 11:40
3RD & 13
OPP 15
0
98.3%
Nick Marshall pass incomplete to Sammie CoatesSimilar
Q4 11:25
4TH & 13
OPP 15
0
98.4%
Nick Marshall pass intercepted Amarlo Herrera return for no gain to the Geo 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 17TD
11 plays · 98 yds · 6:3498% → 100%
Q4 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+3
98.4%
Todd Gurley run for 3 yds to the Geo 5Similar
Q4 10:40
2ND & 7
OWN 5
+4
98.4%
Todd Gurley run for 4 yds to the Geo 9Similar
Q4 10:00
3RD & 3
OWN 9
+31
98.5%
Todd Gurley run for 31 yds to the Geo 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
98.7%
Hutson Mason pass complete to Quayvon Hicks for 8 yds to the Geo 48Similar
Q4 8:50
2ND & 2
OPP 48
+18
98.8%
Nick Chubb run for 3 yds to the GEORGIA 49 for a 1ST down AUBURN Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Montravius Adams) to the Aub 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
98.8%
Nick Chubb run for 1 yd to the Aub 33Similar
Q4 7:20
2ND & 9
OPP 33
+4
98.9%
Nick Chubb run for 4 yds to the Aub 29Similar
Q4 6:50
3RD & 5
OPP 29
+7
99.0%
Nick Chubb run for 7 yds to the Aub 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:10
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+5
99.1%
Todd Gurley run for 5 yds to the Aub 17Similar
Q4 5:30
2ND & 5
OPP 17
+6
99.2%
Todd Gurley run for 6 yds to the Aub 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:51
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
99.9%
Nick Chubb run for 11 yds for a TD, (Marshall Morgan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 18FUMBLE
9 plays · 48 yds · 2:500% → 0%
Q4 4:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
99.9%
Jeremy Johnson sacked by Leonard Floyd for a loss of 5 yards to the Aub 20 Jeremy Johnson fumbled, forced by Leonard Floyd, recovered by Aub Chad Slade , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 4:00
2ND & 15
OWN 20
0
99.9%
Jeremy Johnson pass incomplete to C.J. UzomahSimilar
Q4 3:50
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+25
99.9%
Jeremy Johnson pass complete to Melvin Ray for 25 yds to the Aub 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
99.9%
Roc Thomas run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 3:00
2ND & 5
50
+5
99.9%
Jeremy Johnson pass complete to Roc Thomas for 5 yds to the Geo 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:40
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+9
99.9%
Jeremy Johnson pass complete to C.J. Uzomah for 9 yds to the Geo 36Similar
Q4 2:20
2ND & 1
OPP 36
+8
99.9%
Roc Thomas run for 8 yds to the Geo 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:01
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+1
99.9%
Jeremy Johnson pass complete to Quan Bray for 1 yd Quan Bray fumbled, forced by Malkom Parrish, recovered by Geo Davin BellamySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 19END OF GAME
3 plays · 5 yds · 2:01100% → 100%
Q4 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
99.9%
Brendan Douglas run for 3 yds to the Geo 40Similar
Q4 1:00
2ND & 7
OWN 40
-3
100.0%
Brendan Douglas run for a loss of 3 yards to the Geo 37 Brendan Douglas fumbled, recovered by Geo Brendan DouglasSimilar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 10
OWN 37
+5
100.0%
Brendan Douglas run for 5 yds to the Geo 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 7:28
Todd Gurley run for 3 yds for a TD, (Marshall Morgan KICK)
+11.9
TD · Q2 8:48
Nick Chubb run for 9 yds for a TD, (Marshall Morgan KICK)
+6.9
TD · Q1 2:15
Hutson Mason pass complete to Malcolm Mitchell for 7 yds for a TD, (Marshall Morgan KICK)
+4.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com