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USA

South Alabama 12 at South Carolina 37

SC
2014 · Week 13 · Nov 22, 2014 · Williams-Brice Stadium
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Win probability · SC
modelSC aheadUSA aheadconfidence bandkey playSC scoreUSA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDFGTDFGFGFGTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 15:00 · Brandon McKee punt for 76 yds , Pharoh Cooper returns for 7 yds to the SCaro 16
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+46.0+23.00−23.0−46.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 90Pregame prior+29.6Home team on offense+7.5Score differential+2.3Garbage-time factor−0.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.9Blowout margin+0.7
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 5:19: Aleem Sunanon 20 yd FG GOOD — USA win probability +1.9 pts (now 7%) (top driver: USA has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 11:18: Aleem Sunanon 29 yd FG GOOD — USA win probability +2.0 pts (now 9%) (top driver: USA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 8:58: Hunter Vaughn pass intercepted for a TD Brison Williams return for 21 yds for a TD, (Elliott Fry KICK) — SC win probability +2.4 pts (now 93%) (top driver: USA has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 0:02: Aleem Sunanon 20 yd FG GOOD — USA win probability +2.4 pts (now 10%) (top driver: USA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 10:20: Pharoh Cooper pass complete to Dylan Thompson for 7 yds for a TD, (Elliott Fry KICK) — SC win probability +2.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SC made the numbers' call on 4 of 4USA made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 12:02SC 4th & 8 at USA 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 93.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.6%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.6%
    66% to make
    Punt
    93.2%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:19USA 4th & 2 at SC 3, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 8.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.1%
    49% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    7.9%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    7.3%−0.8
    average punt
  3. Q2 11:18USA 4th & 12 at SC 12, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 9.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.7%−0.4
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    9.0%
    86% to make
    Punt
    7.5%−1.5
    average punt
  4. Q2 0:02USA 4th & 1 at SC 2, down 11
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsKicked a field goal · 9.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.5%
    60% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    9.2%−1.3
    94% to make
    Punt
    6.4%−4.1
    average punt
  5. Q3 15:00USA 4th & 10 at USA 15, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.7%−1.0
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.7%
    average punt
  6. Q3 12:15USA 4th & 7 at SC 48, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.8%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.0%
    average punt
  7. Q3 7:21SC 4th & 17 at USA 29, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 88.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.0%−1.7
    14% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    88.7%
    58% to make
    Punt
    84.7%−4.0
    average punt
  8. Q3 3:22SC 4th & 7 at USA 7, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 91.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.1%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.3%
    91% to make
    Punt
    88.3%−3.1
    average punt
  9. Q4 15:00USA 4th & 25 at midfield, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.7%−1.4
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.1%
    average punt
  10. Q4 4:24USA 4th & 7 at SC 14, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.2%
    84% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.2
    average punt
  11. Q4 4:24SC 4th & 7 at SC 40, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SC made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 2:41SC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 8:58SC Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 10:20SC Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 8:11SC Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SCDrive 1FG
11 plays · 49 yds · 2:5896% → 95%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
95.6%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Nick Jones for 5 yds to the SCaro 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 31
+10
95.6%
Pharoh Cooper run for 10 yds to the SCaro 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
95.6%
Dylan Thompson pass incomplete to Pharoh CooperSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
95.6%
Dylan Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 41
+19
95.6%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Nick Jones for 19 yds to the SAlab 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+13
95.6%
Brandon Wilds run for 13 yds to the SAlab 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
95.6%
Brandon Wilds run for 2 yds to the SAlab 25Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 25
0
95.6%
Brandon Wilds run for no gain to the SAlab 25Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 25
0
95.6%
Dylan Thompson pass incomplete, broken up by Maleki HarrisSimilar
Q1 12:02
4TH & 8
OPP 25
+42
95.1%
Elliott Fry 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 2FG
15 plays · 70 yds · 6:435% → 7%
Q1 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
95.1%
Hunter Vaughn pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:02
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+4
95.1%
Terrance Timmons run for 4 yds to the SAlab 31Similar
Q1 12:02
3RD & 6
OWN 31
+10
95.1%
Hunter Vaughn pass complete to Jereme Jones for 10 yds to the SAlab 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+12
95.0%
Hunter Vaughn pass complete to Shavarez Smith for 12 yds to the SCaro 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:02
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
95.0%
Kendall Houston run for 2 yds to the SCaro 45Similar
Q1 12:02
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+9
95.0%
Hunter Vaughn pass complete to Shavarez Smith for 9 yds to the SCaro 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:02
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
95.0%
Kendall Houston run for 4 yds to the SCaro 32Similar
Q1 12:02
2ND & 6
OPP 32
+2
95.0%
Hunter Vaughn pass complete to Braedon Bowman for 2 yds to the SCaro 30Similar
Q1 12:02
3RD & 4
OPP 30
+6
95.0%
Hunter Vaughn pass complete to Wes Saxton for 6 yds to the SCaro 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:02
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+13
95.0%
Hunter Vaughn run for 3 yds to the SCaro 21 for a 1ST down SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, face mask (10 yards) (Skai Moore) to the SCaro 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:02
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+7
95.0%
Hunter Vaughn pass complete to Shavarez Smith for 7 yds to the SCaro 4Similar
Q1 12:02
2ND & 3
OPP 4
+1
95.0%
Trey Fetner run for 1 yd to the SCaro 3Similar
Q1 12:02
3RD & 2
OPP 3
0
95.0%
Hunter Vaughn pass incomplete to Shavarez SmithSimilar
Q1 5:19
4TH & 2
OPP 3
+20
93.2%
Aleem Sunanon 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 3TD
7 plays · 73 yds · 2:3893% → 94%
Q1 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+9
93.4%
Damiere Byrd run for 9 yds to the SCaro 36Similar
Q1 5:19
2ND & 1
OWN 36
+3
93.5%
Brandon Wilds run for 3 yds to the SCaro 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
93.4%
Dylan Thompson run for 1 yd to the SCaro 40Similar
Q1 5:19
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+28
93.4%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Mike Davis for 28 yds to the SAlab 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:19
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
93.7%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Pharoh Cooper for 3 yds to the SAlab 29Similar
Q1 2:41
2ND & 7
OPP 29
+29
94.1%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Nick Jones for 29 yds for a TD, (Elliott Fry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 4FG
15 plays · 63 yds · 6:236% → 9%
Q1 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
93.7%
Hunter Vaughn run for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 24Similar
Q1 2:41
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+1
93.7%
Hunter Vaughn pass complete to Jereme Jones for 1 yd to the SAlab 25Similar
Q1 2:41
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+16
93.8%
Hunter Vaughn pass complete to Wes Saxton for 16 yds to the SAlab 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
93.6%
Terrance Timmons run for 3 yds to the SAlab 44Similar
Q1 2:41
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+7
93.5%
Hunter Vaughn pass complete to Cameron Broadnax for 7 yds to the SCaro 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
92.7%
Terrance Timmons run for 7 yds to the SCaro 42Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 42
+7
92.7%
Kendall Houston run for 7 yds to the SCaro 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-13
92.5%
Shavarez Smith sacked by T.J. Holloman for a loss of 13 yards to the SCaro 48Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 23
OPP 48
+2
93.0%
Hunter Vaughn run for 2 yds to the SCaro 46Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 21
OPP 46
+40
93.1%
Hunter Vaughn pass complete to Shavarez Smith for 40 yds to the SCaro 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-10
92.5%
Hunter Vaughn sacked by Jordan Diggs for a loss of 10 yards to the SCaro 16 SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, intentional grounding (Hunter Vaughn) to the SCaro 16Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 16
0
92.7%
Hunter Vaughn pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 16
+4
93.0%
Terrance Timmons run for 4 yds to the SCaro 12Similar
Q2 11:18
4TH & GOAL
OPP 12
+29
91.0%
Aleem Sunanon 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 5FUMBLE
5 plays · 41 yds · 0:0091% → 92%
Q2 11:18
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+19
91.2%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Pharoh Cooper for 19 yds to the SAlab 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:18
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+9
91.7%
Pharoh Cooper run for 9 yds to the SAlab 39Similar
Q2 11:18
2ND & 1
OPP 39
0
91.7%
Dylan Thompson pass incomplete to Pharoh CooperSimilar
Q2 11:18
3RD & 1
OPP 39
+8
91.6%
Mike Davis run for 8 yds to the SAlab 26 Mike Davis fumbled, forced by Maleki Harris, recovered by SAlab E.J. MaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 6INT TD
2 plays · 4 yds · 0:5010% → 7%
Q2 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
90.5%
Kendall Houston run for 4 yds to the SAlab 30Similar
Q2 8:58
2ND & 6
OWN 30
+21
92.9%
Hunter Vaughn pass intercepted for a TD Brison Williams return for 21 yds for a TD, (Elliott Fry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 7INT
10 plays · 34 yds · 0:007% → 8%
Q2 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
93.0%
SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SAlab 20Similar
Q2 8:58
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+2
93.1%
Kendall Houston run for 2 yds to the SAlab 22Similar
Q2 8:58
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+14
93.1%
Hunter Vaughn pass complete to Shavarez Smith for 14 yds to the SAlab 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
92.8%
Terrance Timmons run for 4 yds to the SAlab 40Similar
Q2 8:58
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+1
92.7%
Terrance Timmons run for 1 yd to the SAlab 41Similar
Q2 8:58
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+5
92.8%
Hunter Vaughn pass complete to Jereme Jones for 5 yds to the SAlab 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
92.6%
Kendall Houston run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 8:58
2ND & 6
50
+9
92.5%
Hunter Vaughn pass complete to Ryan Onkka for 9 yds to the SCaro 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:58
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
92.5%
Hunter Vaughn pass intercepted Brison Williams return for no gain to the SCaro 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 8INT
5 plays · 27 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q2 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+5
92.7%
Brandon Wilds run for 5 yds to the SCaro 16Similar
Q2 4:32
2ND & 5
OWN 16
+10
92.7%
Dylan Thompson pass incomplete to Jerell Adams, PENALTY USA holding (Brigham, Trrell) 10 yards to the SC26, 1ST DOWN SC, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
92.8%
Pharoh Cooper run for 4 yds to the SCaro 30Similar
Q2 4:32
2ND & 6
OWN 30
+8
92.8%
Brandon Wilds run for 8 yds to the SCaro 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+28
93.1%
Dylan Thompson pass intercepted Devon Earl return for 28 yds to the SCaro 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 9INT
2 plays · 5 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q2 2:39
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+5
91.6%
Kendall Houston run for 5 yds to the SCaro 16Similar
Q2 2:39
2ND & 5
OPP 16
+39
91.6%
Hunter Vaughn pass intercepted Skai Moore return for 29 yds to the SCaro 0 SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, illegal block (Jonathan Walton) to the SCaro 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 10FUMBLE
1 play · 13 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q2 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
93.0%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Mike Davis for 13 yds Mike Davis fumbled, forced by Montell Garner, recovered by SAlab Devon EarlSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 11FG
11 plays · 36 yds · 1:258% → 10%
Q2 1:27
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+7
91.7%
Terrance Timmons run for 7 yds to the SCaro 31Similar
Q2 1:27
2ND & 3
OPP 31
+7
91.2%
Terrance Timmons run for 7 yds to the SCaro 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:27
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+6
91.2%
Terrance Timmons run for 6 yds to the SCaro 18Similar
Q2 0:40
2ND & 4
OPP 18
+7
91.8%
Kendall Houston run for 7 yds to the SCaro 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+7
91.8%
Kendall Houston run for 7 yds to the SCaro 4Similar
Q2 0:14
2ND & 3
OPP 4
+2
91.9%
Terrance Timmons run for 2 yds to the SCaro 2Similar
Q2 0:09
3RD & 1
OPP 2
0
92.8%
Brandon Bridge pass incomplete to Shavarez Smith SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, illegal formation ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 0:02
4TH & 1
OPP 2
+20
90.4%
Aleem Sunanon 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:009% → 8%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
91.1%
Terrance Timmons run for no gain to the SAlab 15Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 15
0
91.2%
Brandon Bridge pass incomplete to Danny WoodsonSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 15
0
91.6%
Brandon Bridge pass incomplete to Wes SaxtonSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 10
OWN 15
+7
91.8%
Brandon McKee punt for 76 yds , Pharoh Cooper returns for 7 yds to the SCaro 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 14FUMBLE
6 plays · 35 yds · 1:1792% → 91%
Q3 13:57
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+19
91.5%
David Williams run for 19 yds to the SCaro 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:57
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+10
91.6%
Pharoh Cooper run for 10 yds to the SCaro 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:57
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
92.3%
David Williams run for 4 yds to the SCaro 49Similar
Q3 12:40
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+5
91.7%
David Williams run for 5 yds to the SAlab 46Similar
Q3 12:40
3RD & 1
OPP 46
-3
91.4%
David Williams run for a loss of 3 yards to the SAlab 49 David Williams fumbled, recovered by SAlab Maleki HarrisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0011% → 10%
Q3 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
88.9%
Brandon Bridge pass incomplete to Danny WoodsonSimilar
Q3 12:15
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+3
89.3%
Kendall Houston run for 3 yds to the SCaro 48Similar
Q3 12:15
3RD & 7
OPP 48
0
89.1%
Brandon Bridge pass incomplete to Shavarez SmithSimilar
Q3 12:15
4TH & 7
OPP 48
0
90.1%
Brandon McKee punt for 37 yds , Pharoh Cooper returns for no gain to the SCaro 13 Pharoh Cooper fumbled, recovered by SCaro Pharoh CooperSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 16FG
8 plays · 58 yds · 3:4790% → 91%
Q3 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+9
90.3%
David Williams run for 9 yds to the SCaro 22Similar
Q3 11:08
2ND & 1
OWN 22
+2
90.5%
David Williams run for 2 yds to the SCaro 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+9
90.4%
Pharoh Cooper run for 9 yds to the SCaro 33Similar
Q3 11:08
2ND & 1
OWN 33
+45
90.8%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Damiere Byrd for 45 yds to the SAlab 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:08
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+3
91.7%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Damiere Byrd for 3 yds to the SAlab 19Similar
Q3 11:08
2ND & 7
OPP 19
+5
91.7%
David Williams run for 5 yds to the SAlab 14Similar
Q3 11:08
3RD & 2
OPP 14
-15
91.3%
David Williams run for no gain to the SAlab 14 SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Rory Anderson) to the SAlab 29Similar
Q3 7:21
4TH & 17
OPP 29
+47
90.9%
Elliott Fry 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 17FUMBLE
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:009% → 10%
Q3 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
91.0%
Brandon Bridge pass complete to Jereme Jones for 12 yds to the SAlab 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
90.5%
Kendall Houston run for 4 yds to the SAlab 41Similar
Q3 7:21
2ND & 6
OWN 41
0
90.2%
Kendall Houston run for no gain to the SAlab 41Similar
Q3 7:21
3RD & 6
OWN 41
-9
90.5%
Brandon Bridge sacked by Mason Harris for a loss of 9 yards to the SAlab 32 Brandon Bridge fumbled, recovered by SCaro Phillip Dukes , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 18FG
9 plays · 25 yds · 2:2692% → 94%
Q3 5:48
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
92.1%
Brandon Wilds run for 2 yds to the SAlab 30Similar
Q3 5:48
2ND & 8
OPP 30
+12
92.1%
Brandon Wilds run for 12 yds to the SAlab 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:48
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+17
92.1%
Brandon Wilds run for 17 yds to the SAlab 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
92.1%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SAlab 6Similar
Q3 5:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-1
92.1%
Brandon Wilds run for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 7Similar
Q3 5:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
92.1%
Dylan Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:30
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
92.4%
Dylan Thompson pass incomplete to Pharoh CooperSimilar
Q3 3:22
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+24
94.2%
Elliott Fry 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 19PUNT
15 plays · 25 yds · 3:227% → 5%
Q3 3:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
93.4%
Brandon Bridge pass incomplete to Jereme Jones, broken up by Chris MoodySimilar
Q3 3:12
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+13
94.4%
Bridge, Brandon pass incomplete to Woodson, Danny, PENALTY SC pass interference (Chris Lammons) 13 yards to the USA38, 1ST DOWN USA, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
93.7%
Kendall Houston run for 7 yds to the SAlab 45Similar
Q3 3:12
2ND & 3
OWN 45
+4
93.4%
Kendall Houston run for 4 yds to the SAlab 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+7
93.3%
Brandon Bridge pass complete to Claude Garrett for 7 yds to the SCaro 44Similar
Q3 3:12
2ND & 3
OPP 44
+1
92.6%
Terrance Timmons run for 1 yd to the SCaro 43Similar
Q3 3:12
3RD & 2
OPP 43
+8
92.7%
Kendall Houston run for 8 yds to the SCaro 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:12
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
92.4%
Brandon Bridge pass incomplete to Danny WoodsonSimilar
Q3 3:12
2ND & 10
OPP 35
0
92.6%
Brandon Bridge pass incomplete to Wes Saxton, broken up by T.J. GurleySimilar
Q3 3:12
3RD & 10
OPP 35
-5
93.4%
SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the SCaro 40Similar
Q3 3:12
3RD & 15
OPP 40
-10
94.1%
Brandon Bridge run for no gain to the SAlab 40 SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, Offensive holding (Tre Alford) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 25
50
0
95.1%
Brandon Bridge pass incomplete to Shavarez SmithSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 25
50
0
95.2%
Brandon McKee punt for 42 yds , Pharoh Cooper returns for no gain to the 50 yard line SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (T.J. Gurley) to the SCaro 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 20TD
8 plays · 96 yds · 4:2397% → 100%
Q4 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+5
97.1%
Brandon Wilds run for 5 yds to the SCaro 9Similar
Q4 14:43
2ND & 5
OWN 9
0
97.1%
Brandon Wilds run for no gain to the SCaro 9Similar
Q4 14:43
3RD & 5
OWN 9
+5
97.0%
Brandon Wilds run for 5 yds to the SCaro 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
97.2%
Brandon Wilds run for no gain to the SCaro 14Similar
Q4 14:43
2ND & 10
OWN 14
0
97.2%
Brandon Wilds run for no gain to the SCaro 14Similar
Q4 14:43
3RD & 10
OWN 14
+73
97.1%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Pharoh Cooper for 73 yds to the SAlab 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:43
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+6
97.5%
Brandon Wilds run for 6 yds to the SAlab 7Similar
Q4 10:20
2ND & 4
OPP 7
+7
99.6%
Pharoh Cooper pass complete to Dylan Thompson for 7 yds for a TD, (Elliott Fry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 21INT
5 plays · 20 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
99.1%
Hunter Vaughn pass complete to Jereme Jones for 13 yds to the SAlab 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
99.1%
Terrance Timmons run for 7 yds to the SAlab 45Similar
Q4 10:20
2ND & 3
OWN 45
0
99.1%
Kendall Houston run for no gain to the SAlab 45Similar
Q4 10:20
3RD & 3
OWN 45
+42
99.1%
Hunter Vaughn pass intercepted Skai Moore return for 42 yds to the SAlab 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 22TD
1 play · 14 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 8:11
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
99.9%
David Williams run for 14 yds for a TD, (Landon Ard KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 8:11
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
99.9%
Terrance Timmons run for 4 yds to the SAlab 43Similar
Q4 8:11
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+2
99.9%
Terrance Timmons run for 2 yds to the SAlab 45Similar
Q4 8:11
3RD & 4
OWN 45
0
99.9%
Hunter Vaughn pass complete to Kendall Houston for no gain to the SAlab 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 24FG
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:270% → 1%
Q4 5:51
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+4
99.9%
Terrance Timmons run for 4 yds to the SCaro 13Similar
Q4 5:51
2ND & 6
OPP 13
-1
99.9%
Terrance Timmons run for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 14Similar
Q4 5:51
3RD & 7
OPP 14
0
99.9%
Hunter Vaughn pass incomplete to Danny WoodsonSimilar
Q4 4:24
4TH & 7
OPP 14
+31
99.4%
Aleem Sunanon 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 25PUNT
8 plays · 13 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 4:24
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
99.8%
David Williams run for 3 yds to the SCaro 30Similar
Q4 4:24
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+6
99.8%
David Williams run for 6 yds to the SCaro 36Similar
Q4 4:24
3RD & 1
OWN 36
+1
99.8%
David Williams run for 1 yd to the SCaro 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:24
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
99.8%
Shon Carson run for 3 yds to the SCaro 40Similar
Q4 4:24
2ND & 7
OWN 40
0
99.8%
Connor Mitch pass incomplete to Cody GibsonSimilar
Q4 4:24
3RD & 7
OWN 40
0
99.8%
Connor Mitch pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:24
4TH & 7
OWN 40
0
99.8%
Tyler Hull punt for 43 yds, fair catch by T.J. Glover at the SAlab 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 26END OF GAME
3 plays · 16 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+5
99.6%
Berron Tyson run for 5 yds to the SAlab 22Similar
Q4 1:51
2ND & 5
OWN 22
+1
99.5%
Berron Tyson run for 1 yd to the SAlab 23Similar
Q4 1:51
3RD & 4
OWN 23
+10
99.6%
Berron Tyson run for 10 yds to the SAlab 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 8:58
Hunter Vaughn pass intercepted for a TD Brison Williams return for 21 yds for a TD, (Elliott Fry KICK)
+2.4
FG · Q2 0:02
Aleem Sunanon 20 yd FG GOOD
-2.4
TD · Q4 10:20
Pharoh Cooper pass complete to Dylan Thompson for 7 yds for a TD, (Elliott Fry KICK)
+2.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com