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2014 · Week 13 · Nov 22, 2014 · Sanford Stadium
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Win probability · UGA
modelUGA aheadCHSO aheadconfidence bandkey playUGA scoreCHSO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDFGTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 14:04 · Truett Burns punt for 49 yds, downed at the Geo 23
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 44Pregame prior+45.1Home team on offense+10.4Score differential+6.7Blowout margin+0.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.3Garbage-time factor+1.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 5:18: Justin Scott-Wesley 19 Yd pass from Hutson Mason (Marshall Morgan Kick) — UGA win probability +0.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  2. FG · Q1 0:42: Marshall Morgan 53 Yd Field Goal — UGA win probability +0.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 9:08: Nick Chubb 8 Yd Run (Marshall Morgan Kick) — UGA win probability +0.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 4:18: Chris Conley 23 Yd pass from Hutson Mason (Marshall Morgan Kick) — UGA win probability +0.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UGA made the numbers' call on 1 of 3CHSO made the numbers' call on 9 of 9
  1. Q1 11:14CHSO 4th & 5 at CHSO 47, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:52CHSO 4th & 18 at CHSO 27, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−0.2
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:55CHSO 4th & 12 at CHSO 23, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:42UGA 4th & 2 at CHSO 36, up 21
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.9%−0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    98.9%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:04CHSO 4th & 7 at CHSO 28, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:32CHSO 4th & 10 at CHSO 25, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:44UGA 4th & 3 at CHSO 31, up 31
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.6%−0.1
    54% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:07CHSO 4th & 10 at UGA 28, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.4%
    60% to make
    Punt
    0.2%−0.2
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:46CHSO 4th & 2 at CHSO 41, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:58UGA 4th & 9 at CHSO 10, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%
    88% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.5
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:01CHSO 4th & 6 at CHSO 38, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:05CHSO 4th & 5 at CHSO 30, down 52
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UGA made the numbers' call on 7 of 7CHSO made the numbers' call on 0 of 1
  1. Q1 13:08UGA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 10:33UGA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 5:18UGA Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 9:08UGA Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 4:18UGA Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 11:31UGA Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 0:59UGA Touchdown, up 51 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 9:55CHSO Touchdown, down 46 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CHSODrive 1FUMBLE
4 plays · 10 yds · 1:391% → 1%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.5%
Ben Robinson run for 7 yds to the ChaSo 32Similar
Q1 14:15
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
99.5%
Christian Reyes run for 2 yds to the ChaSo 34Similar
Q1 13:16
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
99.4%
Ben Robinson run for 1 yd to the ChaSo 35 Ben Robinson fumbled, recovered by GeoSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 2TD
1 play · 35 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q1 13:08
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+35
99.5%
Chris Conley 35 Yd pass from Hutson Mason (Marshall Morgan Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CHSODrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 22 yds · 1:461% → 1%
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
99.5%
Mike Holloway run for 2 yds to the ChaSo 27 for a 1ST down GEORGIA Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Quincy Mauger) to the ChaSo 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
99.4%
Austin Brown pass complete to Colton Korn for 4 yds to the ChaSo 46Similar
Q1 12:00
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+1
99.4%
Christian Reyes run for 1 yd to the ChaSo 47Similar
Q1 11:30
3RD & 5
OWN 47
0
99.4%
Austin Brown pass incomplete to Nathan PereraSimilar
Q1 11:14
4TH & 5
OWN 47
0
99.4%
Truett Burns punt for 38 yds, downed at the Geo 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 4TD
2 plays · 85 yds · 0:3299% → 99%
Q1 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
99.4%
Nick Chubb run for 2 yds to the Geo 17Similar
Q1 10:33
2ND & 8
OWN 17
+83
99.4%
Nick Chubb 83 Yd Run (Marshall Morgan Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CHSODrive 5PUNT
9 plays · 2 yds · 3:411% → 1%
Q1 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.4%
Christian Reyes run for 3 yds to the ChaSo 28Similar
Q1 10:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
99.4%
Christian Reyes run for 3 yds to the ChaSo 31Similar
Q1 9:05
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+4
99.3%
Austin Brown pass complete to Colton Korn for 4 yds to the ChaSo 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
99.3%
Austin Brown pass incomplete to Chris TheodoreSimilar
Q1 8:30
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+3
99.3%
Austin Brown run for 3 yds to the ChaSo 38Similar
Q1 7:37
3RD & 7
OWN 38
-6
99.3%
Austin Brown sacked by Toby Johnson and Sterling Bailey for a loss of 6 yards to the ChaSo 32Similar
Q1 7:37
4TH & 13
OWN 32
-5
99.3%
CHARLESTON SOU Penalty, False Start (Davion Anderson) to the ChaSo 27Similar
Q1 6:52
4TH & 18
OWN 27
+6
99.3%
Truett Burns punt for 40 yds , Reggie Davis returns for 6 yds to the Geo 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 6TD
6 plays · 61 yds · 1:3299% → 99%
Q1 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+15
99.3%
Mason, Hutson pass incomplete to Mitchell, Malcolm (McGowens, Troy), PENALTY CHASOTHERN pass interference (McGowens, Troy) 15 yards to the CHASOTHERN46, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN GEORGIA. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+17
99.3%
Hutson Mason pass complete to Jonathon Rumph for 17 yds to the ChaSo 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
99.3%
Sony Michel run for 2 yds to the ChaSo 27Similar
Q1 5:48
2ND & 8
OPP 27
0
99.3%
Hutson Mason pass incomplete to Isaiah McKenzieSimilar
Q1 5:36
3RD & 8
OPP 27
+8
99.3%
Hutson Mason run for 8 yds to the ChaSo 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:18
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
99.4%
Justin Scott-Wesley 19 Yd pass from Hutson Mason (Marshall Morgan Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CHSODrive 7PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 2:051% → 1%
Q1 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.4%
Christian Reyes run for no gain to the ChaSo 25Similar
Q1 4:45
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-6
99.4%
Austin Brown sacked by Jordan Jenkins for a loss of 6 yards to the ChaSo 19Similar
Q1 3:45
3RD & 16
OWN 19
+4
99.4%
Christian Reyes run for 4 yds to the ChaSo 23Similar
Q1 2:55
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
99.4%
Truett Burns punt for 41 yds, downed at the Geo 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 8FG
6 plays · 28 yds · 2:0399% → 99%
Q1 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+20
99.3%
Hutson Mason pass complete to Michael Bennett for 20 yds to the ChaSo 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:20
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-1
99.4%
Nick Chubb run for a loss of 1 yard to the ChaSo 45Similar
Q1 2:00
2ND & 11
OPP 45
+7
99.4%
Nick Chubb run for 7 yds to the ChaSo 38Similar
Q1 1:15
3RD & 4
OPP 38
+2
99.3%
Hutson Mason pass complete to Jonathon Rumph for 2 yds to the ChaSo 36Similar
Q1 0:42
4TH & 2
OPP 36
+53
99.4%
Marshall Morgan 53 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CHSODrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:211% → 1%
Q1 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.3%
Austin Brown run for 1 yd to the ChaSo 26 Austin Brown fumbled, recovered by ChaSoSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+2
99.3%
Ben Robinson run for 2 yds to the ChaSo 28Similar
Q2 14:15
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
99.3%
Austin Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:04
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
99.3%
Truett Burns punt for 49 yds, downed at the Geo 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 10TD
13 plays · 77 yds · 4:4899% → 100%
Q2 13:56
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
99.4%
Hutson Mason pass incomplete to Malcolm MitchellSimilar
Q2 13:45
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+3
99.4%
Sony Michel run for 3 yds to the Geo 26Similar
Q2 13:15
3RD & 7
OWN 26
+10
99.4%
Hutson Mason pass complete to Chris Conley for 10 yds to the Geo 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
99.5%
Sony Michel run for 4 yds to the Geo 40Similar
Q2 12:15
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+4
99.5%
Sony Michel run for 4 yds to the Geo 44Similar
Q2 11:45
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+4
99.4%
CHARLESTON SOU Penalty, Defensive Offside (Dylan Black) to the Geo 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+8
99.5%
Sony Michel run for 8 yds to the ChaSo 44Similar
Q2 11:00
2ND & 2
OPP 44
+3
99.5%
Nick Chubb run for 3 yds to the ChaSo 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+22
99.5%
Hutson Mason pass complete to Jonathon Rumph for 22 yds to the ChaSo 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:05
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+9
99.5%
Nick Chubb run for 9 yds to the ChaSo 10Similar
Q2 10:00
2ND & 1
OPP 10
+2
99.5%
Nick Chubb run for 2 yds to the ChaSo 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
99.5%
Nick Chubb run for no gain to the ChaSo 8Similar
Q2 9:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
99.6%
Nick Chubb 8 Yd Run (Marshall Morgan Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CHSODrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:150% → 0%
Q2 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
99.6%
Austin Brown run for a loss of 4 yards to the ChaSo 21 Austin Brown fumbled, forced by Amarlo Herrera, recovered by ChaSo Austin BrownSimilar
Q2 8:30
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+4
99.6%
Austin Brown pass complete to Chris Theodore for 4 yds to the ChaSo 25Similar
Q2 7:47
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
99.6%
Austin Brown pass incomplete to Chris Theodore, broken up by Aaron DavisSimilar
Q2 7:32
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
99.6%
Truett Burns punt for 43 yds, downed at the Geo 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 12MISSED FG
7 plays · 37 yds · 2:36100% → 100%
Q2 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+30
99.6%
Hutson Mason pass complete to Michael Bennett for 30 yds to the ChaSo 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+9
99.7%
Hutson Mason pass complete to Quayvon Hicks for 9 yds to the ChaSo 29Similar
Q2 6:20
2ND & 1
OPP 29
-1
99.7%
Brendan Douglas run for a loss of 1 yard to the ChaSo 30Similar
Q2 6:00
3RD & 2
OPP 30
-10
99.7%
Hicks, Quayvon rush for 5 yards to the CHASOTHERN25, PENALTY GEORGIA holding (Andrews, David) 10 yards to the CHASOTHERN40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:00
3RD & 12
OPP 40
+9
99.7%
Brendan Douglas run for 9 yds to the ChaSo 31Similar
Q2 4:44
4TH & 3
OPP 31
+49
99.7%
Marshall Morgan 49 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CHSODrive 13INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:120% → 0%
Q2 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
99.7%
Austin Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:26
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+13
99.7%
Austin Brown pass intercepted Quincy Mauger return for 13 yds to the ChaSo 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 14TD
1 play · 23 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q2 4:18
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+23
99.8%
Chris Conley 23 Yd pass from Hutson Mason (Marshall Morgan Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CHSODrive 15FG
16 plays · 47 yds · 3:540% → 0%
Q2 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
99.8%
Christian Reyes run for 16 yds to the ChaSo 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
99.8%
Christian Reyes run for 1 yd to the ChaSo 42Similar
Q2 3:00
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+6
99.8%
Alexander Cruz run for 6 yds to the ChaSo 48Similar
Q2 2:15
3RD & 3
OWN 48
+3
99.8%
Austin Brown pass complete to Mike Holloway for 3 yds to the Geo 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+11
99.8%
Austin Brown run for 11 yds to the Geo 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
99.8%
Christian Reyes run for 3 yds to the Geo 35Similar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+6
99.8%
Austin Brown run for 6 yds to the Geo 29Similar
Q2 0:35
3RD & 1
OPP 29
+1
99.8%
Christian Reyes run for 1 yd to the Geo 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:25
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
99.8%
Daniel Croghan III pass incomplete to Mike HollowaySimilar
Q2 0:19
2ND & 10
OPP 28
0
99.9%
Daniel Croghan III pass incomplete to Nathan PereraSimilar
Q2 0:14
3RD & 10
OPP 28
0
99.9%
Daniel Croghan III pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:07
4TH & 10
OPP 28
+45
99.8%
David Kennedy 45 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 16END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-1
99.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Geo 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 17TD
12 plays · 74 yds · 3:19100% → 100%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
99.8%
Brendan Douglas run for 5 yds to the Geo 31Similar
Q3 14:15
2ND & 5
OWN 31
+8
99.8%
Brendan Douglas run for 8 yds to the Geo 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
99.8%
Brendan Douglas run for 1 yd to the Geo 40Similar
Q3 13:30
2ND & 9
OWN 40
0
99.8%
Brice Ramsey pass incomplete to Isaiah McKenzieSimilar
Q3 13:20
3RD & 9
OWN 40
+20
99.8%
Brice Ramsey pass complete to Jeb Blazevich for 20 yds to the ChaSo 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
99.9%
Brice Ramsey pass complete to Kenneth Towns for no gain to the ChaSo 40Similar
Q3 12:10
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+15
99.9%
Ramsey, Brice pass incomplete to Rumph, Jonathon, PENALTY CHASOTHERN pass interference (Jackson, Malcolm) 15 yards to the CHASOTHERN25, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN GEORGIA. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+13
99.9%
Brice Ramsey pass complete to Shakenneth Williams for 13 yds to the ChaSo 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:38
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
99.9%
Brice Ramsey pass incomplete to Shakenneth WilliamsSimilar
Q3 11:31
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+12
99.9%
Jonathon Rumph 12 Yd pass from Brice Ramsey (Marshall Morgan Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CHSODrive 18DOWNS
8 plays · 18 yds · 3:140% → 0%
Q3 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
99.9%
Christian Reyes run for 2 yds to the ChaSo 24Similar
Q3 10:35
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+5
99.9%
Ben Robinson run for 5 yds to the ChaSo 29Similar
Q3 9:50
3RD & 3
OWN 29
+4
99.9%
Alexander Cruz run for 4 yds to the ChaSo 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
99.9%
Christian Reyes run for 5 yds to the ChaSo 38Similar
Q3 8:35
2ND & 5
OWN 38
0
99.9%
Daniel Croghan III pass incomplete to Stephen CagleSimilar
Q3 8:00
3RD & 5
OWN 38
+3
99.9%
Daniel Croghan III pass complete to Mike Holloway for 3 yds to the ChaSo 41Similar
Q3 7:46
4TH & 2
OWN 41
-1
99.9%
Mike Holloway run for a loss of 1 yard to the ChaSo 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 19FG
8 plays · 30 yds · 2:37100% → 100%
Q3 7:35
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+14
99.9%
Brice Ramsey pass complete to Jonathon Rumph for 14 yds to the ChaSo 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:20
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
99.9%
Brice Ramsey pass incomplete to Jonathon RumphSimilar
Q3 7:00
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+15
99.9%
Brendan Douglas run for 15 yds to the ChaSo 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:30
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+9
99.9%
Brendan Douglas run for 9 yds to the ChaSo 2Similar
Q3 6:20
2ND & 1
OPP 2
-5
99.9%
GEORGIA Penalty, False Start (Hunter Long) to the ChaSo 7Similar
Q3 6:00
2ND & 6
OPP 7
+2
99.9%
Brendan Douglas run for 2 yds to the ChaSo 5Similar
Q3 5:25
3RD & 4
OPP 5
-5
99.9%
Brice Ramsey pass complete to Brendan Douglas for a loss of 5 yards to the ChaSo 10Similar
Q3 4:58
4TH & 9
OPP 10
+27
99.9%
Marshall Morgan 27 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CHSODrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:540% → 0%
Q3 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
100.0%
Christian Reyes run for 6 yds to the ChaSo 40Similar
Q3 3:55
2ND & 4
OWN 40
-2
99.9%
Daniel Croghan III run for a loss of 2 yards to the ChaSo 38Similar
Q3 3:30
3RD & 6
OWN 38
0
100.0%
Daniel Croghan III pass incomplete to Mike HollowaySimilar
Q3 3:01
4TH & 6
OWN 38
+35
100.0%
Truett Burns punt for 35 yds , Isaiah McKenzie returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Geo 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 21TD
5 plays · 74 yds · 1:46100% → 100%
Q3 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+24
99.9%
Brice Ramsey pass complete to Jordan Davis for 24 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:25
1ST & 10
50
+10
99.9%
Brendan Douglas run for 10 yds to the ChaSo 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
99.9%
Brendan Douglas run for 3 yds to the ChaSo 37Similar
Q3 1:35
2ND & 7
OPP 37
+4
99.9%
Brendan Douglas run for 4 yds to the ChaSo 33Similar
Q3 0:59
3RD & 3
OPP 33
+33
99.9%
Quayvon Hicks 33 Yd Run (Marshall Morgan Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CHSODrive 22FUMBLE
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:350% → 0%
Q3 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
100.0%
Mike Holloway run for 1 yd to the ChaSo 26Similar
Q3 0:03
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+3
100.0%
Christian Reyes run for 3 yds to the ChaSo 29Similar
Q4 14:55
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+1
100.0%
Christian Reyes run for 1 yd to the ChaSo 30Similar
Q4 14:05
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+4
100.0%
Truett Burns punt for 29 yds , Isaiah McKenzie returns for 4 yds to the Geo 45 Isaiah McKenzie fumbled, recovered by GeoSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 23INT
3 plays · 15 yds · 0:47100% → 100%
Q4 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
100.0%
Brendan Douglas run for 1 yd to the Geo 46Similar
Q4 13:25
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+14
100.0%
Brice Ramsey pass complete to Justin Scott-Wesley for 14 yds to the ChaSo 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:58
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+6
100.0%
Brice Ramsey pass intercepted Malcolm Jackson return for 6 yds to the ChaSo 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CHSODrive 24TD
7 plays · 71 yds · 2:550% → 0%
Q4 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+14
100.0%
Christian Reyes run for 14 yds to the ChaSo 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+26
100.0%
Ben Robinson run for 26 yds to the Geo 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
100.0%
Ben Robinson run for no gain to the Geo 31Similar
Q4 11:15
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+4
100.0%
Daniel Croghan III run for 4 yds to the Geo 27Similar
Q4 10:05
3RD & 6
OPP 27
+25
100.0%
Ben Robinson run for 25 yds to the Geo 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
100.0%
Christian Reyes 2 Yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 25FUMBLE
11 plays · 61 yds · 5:27100% → 100%
Q4 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
100.0%
Kyle Karempelis run for 7 yds to the Geo 37Similar
Q4 9:00
2ND & 3
OWN 37
+7
100.0%
Kyle Karempelis run for 7 yds to the Geo 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
100.0%
Kyle Karempelis run for 4 yds to the Geo 48Similar
Q4 7:45
2ND & 6
OWN 48
-2
100.0%
Kyle Karempelis run for a loss of 2 yards to the Geo 46Similar
Q4 7:00
3RD & 8
OWN 46
+18
100.0%
Faton Bauta pass complete to Jordan Davis for 18 yds to the ChaSo 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:30
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
100.0%
Kyle Karempelis run for 3 yds to the ChaSo 33Similar
Q4 6:05
2ND & 7
OPP 33
+3
100.0%
Kyle Karempelis run for 3 yds to the ChaSo 30Similar
Q4 5:30
3RD & 4
OPP 30
+13
100.0%
Faton Bauta pass complete to Shakenneth Williams for 13 yds to the ChaSo 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
100.0%
Faton Bauta run for 3 yds to the ChaSo 14Similar
Q4 4:18
2ND & 7
OPP 14
+5
100.0%
Kyle Karempelis run for 5 yds to the ChaSo 10 Kyle Karempelis fumbled, recovered by ChaSo JaJuan Perkins , return for 1 yd to the ChaSo 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CHSODrive 26END OF GAME
8 plays · 41 yds · 4:000% → 0%
Q4 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
100.0%
Christian Reyes run for 2 yds to the ChaSo 12Similar
Q4 3:30
2ND & 8
OWN 12
0
100.0%
Mike Holloway run for no gain to the ChaSo 12Similar
Q4 2:30
3RD & 8
OWN 12
+14
100.0%
Mike Holloway run for 14 yds to the ChaSo 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
100.0%
Darius Hammond run for 2 yds to the ChaSo 28Similar
Q4 1:45
2ND & 8
OWN 28
+6
100.0%
Christian Reyes run for 6 yds to the ChaSo 34Similar
Q4 1:00
3RD & 2
OWN 34
+2
100.0%
Daniel Croghan III run for 2 yds to the ChaSo 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
100.0%
Daniel Croghan III pass complete to Mike Holloway for 3 yds to the ChaSo 39Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+12
100.0%
Mike Holloway run for 12 yds to the Geo 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 5:18
Justin Scott-Wesley 19 Yd pass from Hutson Mason (Marshall Morgan Kick)
+0.1
FG · Q1 0:42
Marshall Morgan 53 Yd Field Goal
+0.1
TD · Q2 9:08
Nick Chubb 8 Yd Run (Marshall Morgan Kick)
+0.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com