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SAM

Samford 7 at Auburn 31

AUB
2014 · Week 13 · Nov 22, 2014 · Jordan-Hare Stadium
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Win probability · AUB
modelAUB aheadSAM aheadconfidence bandkey playAUB scoreSAM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 6:43 · Greg Peranich punt for 48 yds , Quan Bray returns for 19 yds to the Samf 44
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 66Pregame prior+41.3Home team on offense−0.8Score differential−2.0Garbage-time factor+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 7:49: Michael Eubank pass complete to Tony Philpot for 7 yds for a TD (Warren Handrahan KICK) — SAM win probability +3.2 pts (now 7%) (top driver: SAM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 6:50: Quan Bray run for 23 yds for a TD, (Daniel Carlson KICK) — AUB win probability +1.5 pts (now 96%) (top driver: AUB has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:39: Cameron Artis-Payne run for 7 yds for a TD, (Daniel Carlson KICK) — AUB win probability +1.4 pts (now 97%) (top driver: AUB has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 8:36: Nick Marshall pass complete to Corey Grant for 13 yds for a TD, (Daniel Carlson KICK) — AUB win probability +1.9 pts (now 98%) (top driver: AUB has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 8:44: Roc Thomas run for 1 yd for a TD, (Daniel Carlson KICK) — AUB win probability +1.2 pts (now 100%) (top driver: AUB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
AUB made the numbers' call on 5 of 6SAM made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 15:00AUB 4th & 19 at AUB 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.4%−0.2
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:55SAM 4th & 2 at AUB 43, tied
    Close callPunted · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    1.6%−0.2
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    1.6%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:16SAM 4th & 1 at AUB 13, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    2.3%−0.1
    85% to make
    Punt
    1.9%−0.6
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00AUB 4th & 20 at SAM 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.0%−0.1
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    96.1%−0.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    96.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:48SAM 4th & 15 at SAM 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.7%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:44AUB 4th & 7 at AUB 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.4%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:43SAM 4th & 20 at SAM 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.8%−0.7
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.5%
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:24AUB 4th & 9 at SAM 12, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 92.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.7%−0.2
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.9%
    86% to make
    Punt
    90.3%−1.6
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:34SAM 4th & 4 at SAM 34, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.2%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.3%
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:09SAM 4th & 11 at AUB 17, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 5.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.7%−0.5
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    5.2%
    80% to make
    Punt
    3.2%−2.0
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:36SAM 4th & 8 at SAM 27, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.8%−0.4
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.2%
    average punt
  12. Q3 7:01AUB 4th & 1 at AUB 33, up 17
    Close callPunted · 97.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.5%−0.4
    average punt
  13. Q4 15:00SAM 4th & 11 at SAM 30, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.3%−0.5
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.7%
    average punt
  14. Q4 6:10AUB 4th & 6 at AUB 48, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.4%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
AUB made the numbers' call on 3 of 4SAM made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 7:49SAM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    8.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 6:50AUB Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:39AUB Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 8:36AUB Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 8:44AUB Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
AUBDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · -9 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-8
99.2%
Nick Marshall pass complete to Corey Grant for 2 yds to the Aub 46 AUBURN Penalty, Offensive holding (Quan Bray) to the Aub 36Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 18
OWN 36
0
99.2%
Nick Marshall pass incomplete to C.J. UzomahSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 18
OWN 36
+3
99.2%
Nick Marshall run for 3 yds to the Aub 39Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 15
OWN 39
-4
99.2%
Nick Marshall sacked by Brandon Wilkinson for a loss of 4 yards to the Aub 35Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 19
OWN 35
+4
99.2%
Daniel Carlson punt for 50 yds , Malik Johns returns for 4 yds to the Samf 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SAMDrive 2PUNT
11 plays · 38 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+1
99.1%
Denzel Williams run for 1 yd to the Samf 20Similar
Q1 12:55
2ND & 9
OWN 20
+6
99.1%
Michael Eubank across the middle pass incomplete to Karel Hamilton, QB hurry by Cassanova McKinzy, PENALTY AU pass interference (Jonathon Mincy) 6 yards to the SAM26, 1ST DOWN SAM, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
99.1%
Denzel Williams run for 4 yds to the Samf 30Similar
Q1 12:55
2ND & 6
OWN 30
+4
99.1%
Robert Clark run for 4 yds to the Samf 34Similar
Q1 12:55
3RD & 2
OWN 34
+4
99.1%
Denzel Williams run for 4 yds to the Samf 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
99.1%
Jeremiaha Gates run for 1 yd to the Samf 39Similar
Q1 12:55
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+10
99.1%
Michael Eubank pass complete to Gavin Sinclair for 10 yds to the Samf 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
99.1%
Michael Eubank pass incomplete to Jeremiaha GatesSimilar
Q1 12:55
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+7
99.1%
Michael Eubank pass complete to Denzel Williams for 7 yds to the Aub 44Similar
Q1 12:55
3RD & 3
OPP 44
+1
99.1%
Michael Eubank pass complete to Denzel Williams for 1 yd to the Aub 43Similar
Q1 12:55
4TH & 2
OPP 43
0
99.1%
Greg Peranich punt for 27 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Aub 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 3INT
2 plays · 1 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q1 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+1
98.7%
Cameron Artis-Payne run for 1 yd to the Aub 17Similar
Q1 8:01
2ND & 9
OWN 17
+32
98.7%
Nick Marshall pass intercepted James Bradberry return for 32 yds to the Aub 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SAMDrive 4DOWNS
5 plays · 20 yds · 0:002% → 1%
Q1 7:16
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+11
98.5%
Malik Johns run for 11 yds to the Aub 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:16
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
98.5%
Michael Eubank pass incomplete to Denzel Williams, broken up by Gimel PresidentSimilar
Q1 7:16
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+4
98.6%
Denzel Williams run for 4 yds to the Aub 18Similar
Q1 7:16
3RD & 6
OPP 18
+5
98.6%
Michael Eubank pass complete to Emmanuel Obajimi for 5 yds to the Aub 13Similar
Q1 7:16
4TH & 1
OPP 13
0
98.6%
Jeremiaha Gates run for no gain to the Aub 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 5PUNT
13 plays · 42 yds · 5:3998% → 98%
Q1 5:39
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+9
98.4%
Cameron Artis-Payne run for 9 yds to the Aub 22Similar
Q1 5:39
2ND & 1
OWN 22
+7
98.4%
Cameron Artis-Payne run for 7 yds to the Aub 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:39
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-1
98.4%
Cameron Artis-Payne run for a loss of 1 yard to the Aub 28Similar
Q1 5:39
2ND & 11
OWN 28
+6
98.4%
Nick Marshall run for 6 yds to the Aub 34Similar
Q1 5:39
3RD & 5
OWN 34
+11
98.4%
Nick Marshall right sideline pass incomplete to Marcus Davis (Jamerson Blount), QB hurry by Roosevelt Donaldson, PENALTY SAM pass interference (Jamerson Blount) 11 yards to the AU45, 1ST DOWN AU, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:39
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+10
98.5%
Cameron Artis-Payne run for 10 yds to the Samf 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:39
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
98.5%
Cameron Artis-Payne run for 2 yds to the Samf 43Similar
Q1 5:39
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+4
98.5%
Corey Grant run for 4 yds to the Samf 39Similar
Q1 5:39
3RD & 4
OPP 39
+4
98.5%
Nick Marshall pass complete to Quan Bray for 4 yds to the Samf 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:39
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
98.5%
Nick Marshall run for 4 yds to the Samf 31Similar
Q1 5:39
2ND & 6
OPP 31
-4
98.5%
Corey Grant run for a loss of 4 yards to the Samf 35Similar
Q1 5:39
3RD & 10
OPP 35
-10
98.5%
Nick Marshall sacked by Brinson Porter for a loss of 10 yards to the Samf 45Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 20
OPP 45
0
97.6%
Jimmy Hutchinson punt for 22 yds, downed at the Samf 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SAMDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 7 yds · 0:003% → 2%
Q2 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
97.5%
Malik Johns run for no gain to the Samf 23Similar
Q2 14:48
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+12
97.5%
Malik Johns run for 12 yds to the Samf 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
97.5%
Denzel Williams run for 4 yds to the Samf 39Similar
Q2 14:48
2ND & 6
OWN 39
0
97.4%
Michael Eubank pass incomplete to Denzel Williams, broken up by Anthony SwainSimilar
Q2 14:48
3RD & 6
OWN 39
-5
97.5%
SAMFORD Penalty, delay of game (Michael Eubank) to the Samf 34Similar
Q2 14:48
3RD & 11
OWN 34
-4
97.6%
Michael Eubank sacked by Elijah Daniel for a loss of 4 yards to the Samf 30Similar
Q2 14:48
4TH & 15
OWN 30
+11
97.6%
Greg Peranich punt for 54 yds , Quan Bray returns for 11 yds to the Aub 27 Quan Bray fumbled, forced by Trey Wesley, recovered by Aub Marcus Davis , return for no gain to the Aub 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q2 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-1
97.3%
Cameron Artis-Payne run for a loss of 1 yard to the Aub 26Similar
Q2 12:44
2ND & 11
OWN 26
+4
97.2%
Nick Marshall run for 4 yds to the Aub 30Similar
Q2 12:44
3RD & 7
OWN 30
0
97.2%
Nick Marshall pass incomplete to Cameron Artis-PayneSimilar
Q2 12:44
4TH & 7
OWN 30
0
97.1%
Daniel Carlson punt for 44 yds, downed at the Samf 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SAMDrive 8TD
9 plays · 74 yds · 3:463% → 7%
Q2 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+10
96.8%
Michael Eubank pass complete to Karel Hamilton for 10 yds to the Samf 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
96.8%
Denzel Williams run for 5 yds to the Samf 41Similar
Q2 11:35
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+8
96.7%
Michael Eubank pass complete to Karel Hamilton for 8 yds to the Samf 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
96.6%
Michael Eubank right screen pass complete to Denzel Williams for no gain to the SAM49 (Kris Frost), PENALTY AU offside (D'haquille Williams) 5 yards to the AU46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:35
1ST & 5
OPP 46
+15
96.6%
Michael Eubank right deep sideline pass incomplete to Karel Hamilton (Jonathon Mincy), PENALTY AU pass interference (Jonathon Mincy) 15 yards to the AU31, 1ST DOWN SAM, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:35
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
96.5%
Jeremiaha Gates run for 3 yds to the Aub 28Similar
Q2 11:35
2ND & 7
OPP 28
+13
96.5%
Michael Eubank pass complete to Malik Johns for 13 yds to the Aub 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:35
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+8
96.5%
Michael Eubank pass complete to Robert Clark for 8 yds to the Aub 7Similar
Q2 7:49
2ND & 2
OPP 7
+7
93.3%
Michael Eubank pass complete to Tony Philpot for 7 yds for a TD (Warren Handrahan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 9TD
4 plays · 73 yds · 0:5994% → 96%
Q2 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+49
94.1%
Nick Marshall pass complete to Sammie Coates for 49 yds to the Samf 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:49
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
94.8%
Cameron Artis-Payne run for 1 yd to the Samf 23Similar
Q2 6:50
2ND & 9
OPP 23
+23
96.3%
Quan Bray run for 23 yds for a TD, (Daniel Carlson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SAMDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · -10 yds · 0:005% → 4%
Q2 6:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
95.2%
Denzel Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the Samf 23Similar
Q2 6:43
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+4
95.3%
Michael Eubank pass complete to Emmanuel Obajimi for 4 yds to the Samf 27Similar
Q2 6:43
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-12
95.4%
Michael Eubank sacked by Montravius Adams for a loss of 12 yards to the Samf 15Similar
Q2 6:43
4TH & 20
OWN 15
+19
95.6%
Greg Peranich punt for 48 yds , Quan Bray returns for 19 yds to the Samf 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 11FG
7 plays · 32 yds · 2:1396% → 95%
Q2 4:37
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+11
95.6%
Quan Bray run for 11 yds to the Samf 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:37
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+9
95.7%
Cameron Artis-Payne run for 9 yds to the Samf 24Similar
Q2 4:37
2ND & 1
OPP 24
+11
95.7%
Cameron Artis-Payne run for 11 yds to the Samf 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:37
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+8
95.7%
Cameron Artis-Payne run for 8 yds to the Samf 5Similar
Q2 4:37
2ND & 2
OPP 5
-1
95.7%
Cameron Artis-Payne run for a loss of 1 yard to the Samf 6Similar
Q2 4:37
3RD & 3
OPP 6
-6
95.5%
Nick Marshall run for a loss of 6 yards to the Samf 12Similar
Q2 2:24
4TH & 9
OPP 12
+29
94.9%
Daniel Carlson 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SAMDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 0:445% → 6%
Q2 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
94.7%
Denzel Williams run for 3 yds to the Samf 31Similar
Q2 2:18
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+3
94.6%
Denzel Williams run for 3 yds to the Samf 34Similar
Q2 1:34
3RD & 4
OWN 34
0
94.3%
Michael Eubank pass incomplete to Denzel WilliamsSimilar
Q2 1:34
4TH & 4
OWN 34
0
94.5%
Greg Peranich punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Aub 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 13TD
6 plays · 68 yds · 0:4494% → 97%
Q2 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+12
94.4%
Cameron Artis-Payne run for 12 yds to the Aub 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+40
94.9%
Nick Marshall pass complete to Quan Bray for 40 yds to the Samf 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:23
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+5
95.2%
Cameron Artis-Payne run for 5 yds to the Samf 11Similar
Q2 0:52
2ND & 5
OPP 11
+4
95.1%
Corey Grant run for 4 yds to the Samf 7Similar
Q2 0:39
3RD & 1
OPP 7
+7
96.5%
Cameron Artis-Payne run for 7 yds for a TD, (Daniel Carlson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SAMDrive 14END OF HALF
3 plays · 7 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q2 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
96.1%
Denzel Williams run for 5 yds to the Samf 35Similar
Q2 0:34
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+2
96.0%
Denzel Williams run for 2 yds to the Samf 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SAMDrive 15MISSED FG
13 plays · 58 yds · 2:514% → 4%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
96.2%
Robert Clark run for 15 yds to the Samf 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
96.0%
Michael Eubank left sideline pass incomplete to Denzel Williams, QB hurry by LaDarius Owens, PENALTY AU offside (Dontravis Russell) 5 yards to the SAM45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 5
OWN 45
+4
95.8%
Michael Eubank pass complete to Gavin Sinclair for 4 yds to the Samf 49Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 49
+5
95.7%
Denzel Williams run for 5 yds to the Aub 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+15
95.8%
AUBURN Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Jonathon Mincy) to the Aub 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
95.6%
Michael Eubank pass incomplete to Krondis LarrySimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+1
95.6%
Denzel Williams run for 1 yd to the Aub 30Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 30
+14
95.8%
Michael Eubank pass complete to Karel Hamilton for 14 yds to the Aub 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
95.5%
Michael Eubank pass incomplete to Emmanuel ObajimiSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 16
-1
95.5%
Malik Johns run for a loss of 1 yard to the Aub 17Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 17
0
95.8%
Michael Eubank pass incomplete to Malik JohnsSimilar
Q3 12:09
4TH & 11
OPP 17
+34
95.9%
Warren Handrahan 34 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 16TD
10 plays · 80 yds · 3:3396% → 98%
Q3 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
96.0%
Cameron Artis-Payne run for no gain to the Aub 20Similar
Q3 12:09
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
96.0%
Nick Marshall pass incomplete to Brandon FulseSimilar
Q3 12:09
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+27
95.7%
Nick Marshall pass complete to Melvin Ray for 27 yds to the Aub 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+15
96.3%
Nick Marshall pass complete to Sammie Coates for 15 yds to the Samf 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:09
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+9
96.4%
Cameron Artis-Payne run for 9 yds to the Samf 29Similar
Q3 12:09
2ND & 1
OPP 29
0
96.4%
Nick Marshall run for no gain to the Samf 29Similar
Q3 12:09
3RD & 1
OPP 29
+5
96.2%
Cameron Artis-Payne run for 5 yds to the Samf 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:09
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+11
96.4%
Quan Bray run for 11 yds to the Samf 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:09
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
96.4%
Cameron Artis-Payne run for no gain to the Samf 13Similar
Q3 8:36
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+13
98.3%
Nick Marshall pass complete to Corey Grant for 13 yds for a TD, (Daniel Carlson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SAMDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q3 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
97.7%
Denzel Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the Samf 24Similar
Q3 8:36
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+3
97.7%
Krondis Larry run for 3 yds to the Samf 27Similar
Q3 8:36
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
97.7%
Michael Eubank pass incomplete to Karel HamiltonSimilar
Q3 8:36
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
97.8%
Greg Peranich punt for 49 yds, downed at the Aub 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q3 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
98.1%
Nick Marshall pass complete to Roc Thomas for 5 yds to the Aub 29Similar
Q3 7:01
2ND & 5
OWN 29
0
98.1%
Nick Marshall pass incomplete to Quan Bray, broken up by James BradberrySimilar
Q3 7:01
3RD & 5
OWN 29
+4
98.1%
Nick Marshall pass complete to Marcus Davis for 4 yds to the Aub 33Similar
Q3 7:01
4TH & 1
OWN 33
0
98.0%
Daniel Carlson punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Malik Johns at the Samf 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SAMDrive 19INT
3 plays · -5 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q3 5:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.8%
Michael Eubank pass incomplete to Krondis LarrySimilar
Q3 5:39
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-5
97.8%
Michael Eubank run for a loss of 5 yards to the Samf 20Similar
Q3 5:39
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+6
97.9%
Michael Eubank pass intercepted Kris Frost return for 6 yds to the Samf 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · -20 yds · 0:3498% → 98%
Q3 4:47
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+10
98.2%
Cameron Artis-Payne run for 10 yds to the Samf 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:13
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-15
98.2%
Nick Marshall right endzone pass complete to Sammie Coates for 15 yards to the SAM0, clock 04:13, PENALTY AU pass interference (Sammie Coates) 15 yards to the SAM30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:13
1ST & 25
OPP 30
0
98.2%
Nick Marshall pass incomplete to Sammie Coates, broken up by Trey WesleySimilar
Q3 4:13
2ND & 25
OPP 30
+5
98.1%
Nick Marshall pass complete to Quan Bray for 5 yds to the Samf 25Similar
Q3 4:13
3RD & 20
OPP 25
-15
98.1%
Nick Marshall sacked by Justin Cooper for a loss of 15 yards to the Samf 40Similar
Q3 4:13
4TH & 35
OPP 40
-5
97.8%
AUBURN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Samf 45Similar
Q3 4:13
4TH & 40
OPP 45
0
97.8%
Daniel Carlson punt for 45 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SAMDrive 21PUNT
8 plays · 10 yds · 2:222% → 2%
Q3 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
97.8%
Robert Clark run for 7 yds to the Samf 27Similar
Q3 2:22
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+2
97.6%
Jeremiaha Gates run for 2 yds to the Samf 29Similar
Q3 2:22
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+2
97.7%
Robert Clark run for 2 yds to the Samf 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
97.8%
Michael Eubank pass incomplete to Devon SchmittSimilar
Q3 0:58
2ND & 10
OWN 31
-1
97.9%
Michael Eubank pass complete to Gavin Sinclair for a loss of 1 yard to the Samf 30Similar
Q3 0:58
3RD & 11
OWN 30
0
97.9%
Michael Eubank pass incomplete to Karel HamiltonSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 11
OWN 30
0
97.9%
Greg Peranich punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Aub 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 22TD
12 plays · 65 yds · 6:0898% → 100%
Q4 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
98.2%
Nick Marshall pass incomplete to Sammie CoatesSimilar
Q4 14:52
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+8
98.2%
Cameron Artis-Payne run for 8 yds to the Aub 43Similar
Q4 14:52
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+6
98.3%
Cameron Artis-Payne run for 6 yds to the Aub 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+8
98.3%
Cameron Artis-Payne run for 8 yds to the Samf 43Similar
Q4 14:52
2ND & 2
OPP 43
+4
98.4%
Cameron Artis-Payne run for 4 yds to the Samf 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
98.3%
Roc Thomas run for 4 yds to the Samf 35Similar
Q4 14:52
2ND & 6
OPP 35
+8
98.4%
Nick Marshall run for 8 yds to the Samf 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
98.4%
Nick Marshall run for 2 yds to the Samf 25Similar
Q4 14:52
2ND & 8
OPP 25
+7
98.4%
Nick Marshall pass complete to Quan Bray for 7 yds to the Samf 18Similar
Q4 14:52
3RD & 1
OPP 18
+13
98.4%
Roc Thomas run for 13 yds to the Samf 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
98.4%
Roc Thomas run for 4 yds to the Samf 1Similar
Q4 8:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.6%
Roc Thomas run for 1 yd for a TD, (Daniel Carlson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SAMDrive 23INT
7 plays · 40 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.5%
Krondis Larry run for 2 yds to the Samf 27Similar
Q4 8:44
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+2
99.4%
Michael Eubank pass complete to Karel Hamilton for 2 yds to the Samf 29Similar
Q4 8:44
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+33
99.4%
Michael Eubank pass complete to Karel Hamilton for 33 yds to the Aub 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:44
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
99.4%
Michael Eubank pass incomplete to Jeremiaha GatesSimilar
Q4 8:44
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+3
99.4%
Denzel Williams run for 3 yds to the Aub 35Similar
Q4 8:44
3RD & 7
OPP 35
0
99.4%
Michael Eubank pass intercepted Jonathon Mincy return for no gain to the Aub 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 24PUNT
7 plays · 23 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
99.6%
Jeremy Johnson pass complete to Roc Thomas for a loss of 3 yards to the Aub 22Similar
Q4 6:10
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+4
99.6%
Peyton Barber run for 4 yds to the Aub 26Similar
Q4 6:10
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+18
99.6%
Jeremy Johnson pass complete to Jonathan Wallace for 18 yds to the Aub 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
99.6%
Roc Thomas run for 4 yds to the Aub 48Similar
Q4 6:10
2ND & 6
OWN 48
0
99.6%
Jeremy Johnson pass incomplete to Roc ThomasSimilar
Q4 6:10
3RD & 6
OWN 48
0
99.6%
Jeremy Johnson pass incomplete to Jonathan WallaceSimilar
Q4 6:10
4TH & 6
OWN 48
0
99.6%
Daniel Carlson punt for 43 yds, downed at the Samf 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SAMDrive 25END OF GAME
6 plays · 32 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 3:27
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+1
99.6%
Jeremiaha Gates run for 1 yd to the Samf 10Similar
Q4 3:27
2ND & 9
OWN 10
+5
99.6%
Jeremiaha Gates run for 5 yds to the Samf 15Similar
Q4 3:27
3RD & 4
OWN 15
+7
99.6%
Jeremiaha Gates run for 7 yds to the Samf 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:27
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-2
99.6%
Krondis Larry run for a loss of 2 yards to the Samf 20Similar
Q4 3:27
2ND & 12
OWN 20
+11
99.6%
Jeremiaha Gates run for 11 yds to the Samf 31Similar
Q4 3:27
3RD & 1
OWN 31
+10
99.6%
Jeremiaha Gates run for 10 yds to the Samf 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 7:49
Michael Eubank pass complete to Tony Philpot for 7 yds for a TD (Warren Handrahan KICK)
-3.2
TD · Q3 8:36
Nick Marshall pass complete to Corey Grant for 13 yds for a TD, (Daniel Carlson KICK)
+1.9
TD · Q2 6:50
Quan Bray run for 23 yds for a TD, (Daniel Carlson KICK)
+1.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com