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WCU

Western Carolina 14 at Alabama 48

ALA
2014 · Week 13 · Nov 22, 2014 · Bryant-Denny Stadium
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Win probability · ALA
modelALA aheadWCU aheadconfidence bandkey playALA scoreWCU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of GameFG—ALA 99.4%Gunnar Raborn 20 yd FG GOODAWAY 7 - HOME 10 · Q1 4:08
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Q1 4:08 · Gunnar Raborn 20 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+50.0+25.00−25.0−50.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 32Pregame prior+47.2Home team on offense+1.3Score differential−0.1Garbage-time factor+0.2Blowout margin−0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:41: Troy Mitchell pass complete to Spearman Robinson for 12 yds for a TD, (Richard Sigmon KICK) — WCU win probability +0.5 pts (now 2%) (top driver: WCU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 6:44: Tyren Jones run for 7 yds for a TD, (Gunnar Raborn KICK) — ALA win probability +0.4 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 3:16: Derrick Henry run for 23 yds for a TD, (Gunnar Raborn KICK) — ALA win probability +0.7 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:48: Blake Sims pass complete to Derrick Henry for 9 yds for a TD, (Gunnar Raborn KICK) — ALA win probability +0.4 pts (now 100%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
  5. FG · Q3 10:10: Gunnar Raborn 28 yd FG GOOD — ALA win probability +0.4 pts (now 100%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ALA made the numbers' call on 4 of 5WCU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 6:25WCU 4th & 3 at WCU 30, tied
    Close callPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:08ALA 4th & 3 at WCU 3, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 98.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.9%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.8%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    98.3%−0.6
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:04WCU 4th & 8 at WCU 17, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:46WCU 4th & 13 at WCU 17, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.3%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:54WCU 4th & 7 at ALA 36, down 10
    Close callPunted · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.6%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    1.6%−<0.1
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    1.6%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:32ALA 4th & 1 at WCU 38, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    97.2%−0.2
    38% to make
    Punt
    97.2%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:46WCU 4th & 10 at WCU 25, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.0%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.1%
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:16ALA 4th & 1 at WCU 23, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    97.4%−0.2
    70% to make
    Punt
    96.9%−0.7
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:54WCU 4th & 9 at WCU 26, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.4%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.5%
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:10ALA 4th & 8 at WCU 11, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.1%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.1%
    87% to make
    Punt
    98.6%−0.5
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:07WCU 4th & 3 at ALA 14, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%−<0.1
    84% to make
    Punt
    -0.3%−0.5
    average punt
  12. Q4 9:26ALA 4th & 6 at WCU 14, up 34
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%
    84% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.4
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:03WCU 4th & 13 at WCU 32, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ALA made the numbers' call on 6 of 6WCU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 11:57WCU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:51ALA Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:31ALA Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 10:41WCU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 6:44ALA Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 3:16ALA Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 0:48ALA Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 1:49ALA Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WCUDrive 1TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 2:590% → 0%
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.7%
Troy Mitchell pass incomplete to Willie PoliceSimilar
Q1 14:51
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
99.7%
Troy Mitchell pass incomplete to Spearman RobinsonSimilar
Q1 14:13
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+11
99.7%
Troy Mitchell pass complete to Spearman Robinson for 11 yds to the WCaro 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
99.7%
Darius Ramsey run for 3 yds to the WCaro 39Similar
Q1 13:46
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+21
99.7%
Troy Mitchell pass complete to Karnorris Benson for 21 yds to the Alab 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:23
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+31
99.7%
Troy Mitchell pass complete to Karnorris Benson for 31 yds to the Alab 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
99.7%
Darius Ramsey run for 1 yd to the Alab 8Similar
Q1 12:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+6
99.7%
Troy Mitchell pass complete to Willie Police for 6 yds to the Alab 2Similar
Q1 11:57
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.6%
Troy Mitchell pass complete to Spearman Robinson for 2 yds for a TD, (Richard Sigmon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 2TD
10 plays · 52 yds · 3:34100% → 100%
Q1 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+6
99.6%
Blake Sims pass complete to Amari Cooper for 6 yds to the WCaro 46Similar
Q1 11:19
2ND & 4
OPP 46
+12
99.6%
Derrick Henry run for 12 yds to the WCaro 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:45
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-1
99.6%
Derrick Henry run for a loss of 1 yard to the WCaro 35Similar
Q1 10:03
2ND & 11
OPP 35
+1
99.6%
Blake Sims pass complete to ArDarius Stewart for 1 yd to the WCaro 34Similar
Q1 9:32
3RD & 10
OPP 34
+13
99.6%
Blake Sims pass complete to Amari Cooper for 13 yds to the WCaro 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:04
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
99.5%
Blake Sims pass incomplete to Amari CooperSimilar
Q1 8:50
2ND & 10
OPP 21
-10
99.5%
Blake Sims run for a loss of 10 yards to the WCaro 31Similar
Q1 8:10
3RD & 20
OPP 31
+27
99.5%
Blake Sims pass complete to Amari Cooper for 27 yds to the WCaro 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.5%
Blake Sims pass complete to Cam Sims for 4 yds for a TD, (Gunnar Raborn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WCUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:001% → 1%
Q1 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+8
99.5%
Troy Mitchell pass complete to Detrez Newsome for 8 yds to the WCaro 31Similar
Q1 7:17
2ND & 2
OWN 31
0
99.5%
Troy Mitchell pass incomplete to Willie PoliceSimilar
Q1 7:03
3RD & 2
OWN 31
-1
99.5%
Detrez Newsome run for a loss of 1 yard to the WCaro 30Similar
Q1 6:25
4TH & 3
OWN 30
+22
99.4%
Blake Metcalf punt for 41 yds , Christion Jones returns for 22 yds to the WCaro 49, WESTRN CAROLINA Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the WCaro 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 4FG
6 plays · 31 yds · 2:11100% → 99%
Q1 6:19
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+12
99.5%
Jalston Fowler run for 12 yds to the WCaro 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:59
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+16
99.5%
Blake Sims pass complete to ArDarius Stewart for 16 yds to the WCaro 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
99.4%
Jalston Fowler run for 3 yds to the WCaro 3Similar
Q1 5:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
99.4%
Blake Sims pass incomplete to ArDarius StewartSimilar
Q1 4:29
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
99.4%
Blake Sims run for no gain to the WCaro 3Similar
Q1 4:08
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
99.4%
Gunnar Raborn 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WCUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:481% → 1%
Q1 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
99.3%
Troy Mitchell pass complete to Darius Ramsey for 2 yds to the WCaro 17Similar
Q1 3:23
2ND & 8
OWN 17
0
99.3%
Troy Mitchell pass incomplete to Willie PoliceSimilar
Q1 3:16
3RD & 8
OWN 17
0
99.3%
Troy Mitchell pass incomplete to Spearman RobinsonSimilar
Q1 3:04
4TH & 8
OWN 17
+12
99.3%
Blake Metcalf punt for 35 yds , Christion Jones returns for 12 yds to the WCaro 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 6INT
3 plays · 11 yds · 0:4099% → 99%
Q1 2:56
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
99.3%
Derrick Henry run for 2 yds to the WCaro 38Similar
Q1 2:33
2ND & 8
OPP 38
+9
99.3%
Blake Sims pass complete to ArDarius Stewart for 9 yds to the WCaro 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:16
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
99.3%
Blake Sims pass intercepted, touchback. Trey Morgan return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WCUDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:201% → 1%
Q1 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
99.2%
Troy Mitchell pass complete to Karnorris Benson for 6 yds to the WCaro 26Similar
Q1 1:46
2ND & 4
OWN 26
-13
99.2%
Mitchell, Troy pass incomplete to Benson, Karnorris, PENALTY WESTCARLNA chop block 13 yards to the WESTCARLNA13, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:38
2ND & 17
OWN 13
+4
99.2%
Troy Mitchell pass complete to Karnorris Benson for 4 yds to the WCaro 17Similar
Q1 0:55
3RD & 13
OWN 17
0
99.2%
Troy Mitchell pass incomplete to Karnorris BensonSimilar
Q1 0:46
4TH & 13
OWN 17
-7
99.2%
Destry Barnwell punt for 39 yds , Christion Jones returns for a loss of 7 yards to the Alab 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 8TD
9 plays · 63 yds · 3:0399% → 99%
Q1 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+12
99.1%
Derrick Henry run for 12 yds to the Alab 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
99.1%
Derrick Henry run for 3 yds to the WCaro 48Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+9
99.1%
Jalston Fowler run for 9 yds to the WCaro 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:25
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+7
99.1%
Blake Sims pass complete to ArDarius Stewart for 7 yds to the WCaro 32Similar
Q2 14:04
2ND & 3
OPP 32
+6
99.1%
Jalston Fowler run for 6 yds to the WCaro 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:34
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+9
99.0%
Derrick Henry run for 9 yds to the WCaro 17Similar
Q2 13:17
2ND & 1
OPP 17
+5
99.0%
Derrick Henry run for 5 yds to the WCaro 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
99.0%
Blake Sims run for 2 yds to the WCaro 10Similar
Q2 12:31
2ND & 8
OPP 10
+10
99.2%
Derrick Henry run for 10 yds for a TD, (Gunnar Raborn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WCUDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 39 yds · 1:281% → 1%
Q2 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
99.1%
Troy Mitchell pass complete to Karnorris Benson for 9 yds to the WCaro 34 ALABAMA Penalty, Defensive Offside ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 12:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+27
99.0%
Troy Mitchell pass complete to Darius Ramsey for 12 yds to the Alab 46 for a 1ST down ALABAMA Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Alab 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:54
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
99.0%
Troy Mitchell pass incomplete to Darius RamseySimilar
Q2 11:33
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+3
99.0%
Troy Mitchell run for 3 yds to the Alab 36Similar
Q2 11:01
3RD & 7
OPP 36
0
98.9%
Troy Mitchell pass incomplete to Spearman RobinsonSimilar
Q2 10:54
4TH & 7
OPP 36
0
99.0%
Destry Barnwell punt for 30 yds, downed at the Alab 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 10FUMBLE
1 play · 6 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q2 10:46
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+6
99.0%
Derrick Henry run for 6 yds to the Alab 12 Derrick Henry fumbled, forced by Christon Gill, recovered by WCaro John McBethSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WCUDrive 11TD
1 play · 12 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 10:41
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
98.5%
Troy Mitchell pass complete to Spearman Robinson for 12 yds for a TD, (Richard Sigmon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 12TD
12 plays · 69 yds · 3:3799% → 99%
Q2 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+22
98.6%
Blake Sims pass complete to Cam Sims for 22 yds to the WCaro 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:53
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
98.6%
Blake Sims pass incomplete to Brian VoglerSimilar
Q2 9:48
2ND & 10
OPP 47
-5
98.6%
Fowler, Jalston rush for 5 yards to the WESTCARLNA42, PENALTY ALABAMA illegal formation 5 yards to the ALABAMA48, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:14
2ND & 15
OWN 48
+14
98.5%
Blake Sims pass complete to Chris Black for 14 yds to the WCaro 38Similar
Q2 8:48
3RD & 1
OPP 38
0
98.5%
Jalston Fowler run for no gain to the WCaro 38Similar
Q2 8:32
4TH & 1
OPP 38
+6
98.4%
Derrick Henry run for 6 yds to the WCaro 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:16
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
98.5%
Blake Sims pass incomplete to ArDarius StewartSimilar
Q2 8:09
2ND & 10
OPP 32
0
98.5%
Blake Sims pass incomplete to Christion JonesSimilar
Q2 8:00
3RD & 10
OPP 32
+18
98.4%
Blake Sims pass complete to ArDarius Stewart for 18 yds to the WCaro 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:21
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+7
98.4%
Blake Sims run for 7 yds to the WCaro 7Similar
Q2 6:44
2ND & 3
OPP 7
+7
98.8%
Tyren Jones run for 7 yds for a TD, (Gunnar Raborn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WCUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:291% → 1%
Q2 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.7%
Detrez Newsome run for no gain to the WCaro 25Similar
Q2 6:03
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
98.6%
Troy Mitchell pass incomplete to Spearman RobinsonSimilar
Q2 5:58
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
98.7%
Troy Mitchell pass incomplete to Karnorris BensonSimilar
Q2 5:46
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+5
98.7%
Destry Barnwell punt for 47 yds , Cyrus Jones returns for 5 yds to the Alab 33 ALABAMA Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the Alab 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 14TD
7 plays · 77 yds · 2:0699% → 99%
Q2 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
98.6%
Blake Sims pass complete to Cam Sims for 7 yds to the Alab 30Similar
Q2 4:59
2ND & 3
OWN 30
+12
98.6%
Tyren Jones run for 12 yds to the Alab 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:22
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+26
98.6%
Blake Sims pass complete to O.J. Howard for 26 yds to the WCaro 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:15
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
98.6%
Blake Sims pass incomplete to Chris BlackSimilar
Q2 4:07
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+5
98.6%
Tyren Jones run for 5 yds to the WCaro 27Similar
Q2 3:35
3RD & 5
OPP 27
+4
98.5%
Tyren Jones run for 4 yds to the WCaro 23Similar
Q2 3:16
4TH & 1
OPP 23
+23
99.2%
Derrick Henry run for 23 yds for a TD, (Gunnar Raborn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WCUDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:131% → 1%
Q2 3:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.0%
Troy Mitchell run for 2 yds to the WCaro 27Similar
Q2 2:37
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-1
99.0%
Troy Mitchell pass complete to Karnorris Benson for a loss of 1 yard to the WCaro 26Similar
Q2 2:02
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
99.0%
Troy Mitchell pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:54
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
99.0%
Destry Barnwell punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Alab 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 16TD
6 plays · 57 yds · 0:5499% → 100%
Q2 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
99.2%
Derrick Henry run for 5 yds to the Alab 48Similar
Q2 1:26
2ND & 5
OWN 48
+7
99.2%
Blake Sims pass complete to O.J. Howard for 7 yds to the WCaro 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:13
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+11
99.2%
Blake Sims pass complete to Christion Jones for 11 yds to the WCaro 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:01
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+25
99.2%
Blake Sims pass complete to Chris Black for 25 yds to the WCaro 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
99.2%
Blake Sims pass incomplete to Cam SimsSimilar
Q2 0:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
99.6%
Blake Sims pass complete to Derrick Henry for 9 yds for a TD, (Gunnar Raborn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WCUDrive 17END OF HALF
3 plays · 6 yds · 0:361% → 1%
Q2 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
99.4%
Darius Ramsey run for 4 yds to the WCaro 24Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+2
99.4%
Darius Ramsey run for 2 yds to the WCaro 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 18FG
12 plays · 51 yds · 4:35100% → 100%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
99.5%
Tyren Jones run for 6 yds to the Alab 44Similar
Q3 14:10
2ND & 4
OWN 44
0
99.5%
Jake Coker pass incomplete to Tyren JonesSimilar
Q3 13:48
3RD & 4
OWN 44
+7
99.5%
Jake Coker pass complete to Robert Foster for 7 yds to the WCaro 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:31
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+13
99.5%
Tyren Jones run for 13 yds to the WCaro 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+7
99.5%
Jake Coker pass complete to Chris Black for 7 yds to the WCaro 29Similar
Q3 12:25
2ND & 3
OPP 29
+3
99.5%
Tyren Jones run for 3 yds to the WCaro 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:53
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+13
99.5%
Tyren Jones run for 13 yds to the WCaro 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:20
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
99.5%
Jake Coker pass incomplete to Robert FosterSimilar
Q3 11:09
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+3
99.5%
Tyren Jones run for 3 yds to the WCaro 10Similar
Q3 10:39
3RD & 7
OPP 10
-1
99.5%
Jake Coker pass complete to Malcolm Faciane for a loss of 1 yard to the WCaro 11Similar
Q3 10:10
4TH & 8
OPP 11
+28
99.9%
Gunnar Raborn 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WCUDrive 19DOWNS
10 plays · 68 yds · 2:470% → 0%
Q3 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+10
99.9%
Troy Mitchell pass complete to Spearman Robinson for 10 yds to the WCaro 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+11
99.9%
Troy Mitchell pass complete to Karnorris Benson for 11 yds to the WCaro 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
99.9%
Troy Mitchell pass incomplete to Spearman RobinsonSimilar
Q3 8:51
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+10
99.9%
Troy Mitchell pass complete to Tyler Sexton for 10 yds to the WCaro 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+30
99.9%
Troy Mitchell pass complete to Karnorris Benson for 30 yds to the Alab 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
99.9%
Troy Mitchell pass incomplete to C.J. Goodman Jr.Similar
Q3 7:54
2ND & 10
OPP 21
0
99.9%
Troy Mitchell pass incomplete to Darius RamseySimilar
Q3 7:37
3RD & 10
OPP 21
+7
99.9%
Troy Mitchell pass complete to Karnorris Benson for 7 yds to the Alab 14Similar
Q3 7:07
4TH & 3
OPP 14
0
99.8%
Fake field goal, Richard Sigmon run for no gain to the Alab 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 20TD
11 plays · 85 yds · 5:09100% → 100%
Q3 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+15
99.9%
Coker, Jake pass incomplete to Foster, Robert, PENALTY WESTCARLNA pass interference 15 yards to the ALABAMA30, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ALABAMA. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+25
99.9%
Jake Coker pass complete to Chris Black for 25 yds to the WCaro 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:14
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-1
99.9%
Jake Coker pass complete to Tyren Jones for a loss of 1 yard to the WCaro 46Similar
Q3 5:45
2ND & 11
OPP 46
+3
99.9%
Tyren Jones run for 3 yds to the WCaro 43Similar
Q3 5:04
3RD & 8
OPP 43
+14
99.9%
Jake Coker pass complete to Robert Foster for 14 yds to the WCaro 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:33
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
99.9%
Jake Coker pass complete to Malcolm Faciane for 3 yds to the WCaro 26Similar
Q3 4:17
2ND & 7
OPP 26
-5
99.9%
ALABAMA Penalty, False Start (Alphonse Taylor) to the WCaro 31Similar
Q3 3:47
2ND & 12
OPP 31
+9
99.9%
Jake Coker pass complete to Robert Foster for 9 yds to the WCaro 22Similar
Q3 3:11
3RD & 3
OPP 22
+4
99.9%
Jake Coker pass complete to Chris Black for 4 yds to the WCaro 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:35
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+6
99.9%
Tyren Jones run for 6 yds to the WCaro 12Similar
Q3 1:49
2ND & 4
OPP 12
+12
99.9%
Jake Coker pass complete to Michael Nysewander for 12 yds for a TD, (Gunnar Raborn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WCUDrive 21PUNT
9 plays · -4 yds · 2:320% → 0%
Q3 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
99.9%
Troy Mitchell pass incomplete to Karnorris BensonSimilar
Q3 1:21
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+5
99.9%
Troy Mitchell pass complete to Tyler Sexton for 5 yds to the WCaro 40Similar
Q3 0:48
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+15
99.9%
Mitchell, Troy pass incomplete to Benson, Karnorris, PENALTY ALABAMA pass interference (Sylve, Bradley) 15 yards to the ALABAMA45, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WESTCARLNA. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:38
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-15
99.9%
Mitchell, Troy pass complete to Newsome, Detrez for 12 yards to the ALABAMA33, PENALTY WESTCARLNA personal foul 15 yards to the WESTCARLNA40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:13
1ST & 25
OWN 40
0
99.9%
Troy Mitchell pass incomplete to Tyler SextonSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 25
OWN 40
+8
99.9%
Troy Mitchell pass complete to Detrez Newsome for 8 yds to the WCaro 48Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 17
OWN 48
-17
99.9%
Troy Mitchell sacked by Tim Williams for a loss of 17 yards to the WCaro 31Similar
Q4 14:09
4TH & 34
OWN 31
0
99.9%
Destry Barnwell punt for 51 yds, downed at the Alab 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 22MISSED FG
12 plays · 68 yds · 4:34100% → 100%
Q4 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
99.9%
Jake Coker pass incomplete to Raheem FalkinsSimilar
Q4 13:40
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+1
99.9%
Altee Tenpenny run for 1 yd to the Alab 19Similar
Q4 13:14
3RD & 9
OWN 19
+26
99.9%
Jake Coker pass complete to Chris Black for 26 yds to the Alab 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
99.9%
Jake Coker pass incomplete to Robert FosterSimilar
Q4 12:36
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+23
99.9%
Altee Tenpenny run for 23 yds to the WCaro 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:05
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-2
99.9%
Altee Tenpenny run for a loss of 2 yards to the WCaro 34Similar
Q4 11:26
2ND & 12
OPP 34
+10
99.9%
Jake Coker pass complete to Robert Foster for 10 yds to the WCaro 24Similar
Q4 10:51
3RD & 2
OPP 24
+6
99.9%
Altee Tenpenny run for 6 yds to the WCaro 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:17
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
99.9%
Jake Coker pass incomplete to Dakota BallSimilar
Q4 10:00
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+4
99.9%
Altee Tenpenny run for 4 yds to the WCaro 14Similar
Q4 9:32
3RD & 6
OPP 14
0
99.9%
Jake Coker pass incomplete to Robert FosterSimilar
Q4 9:26
4TH & 6
OPP 14
+31
99.9%
Gunnar Raborn 31 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WCUDrive 23PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 4:130% → 0%
Q4 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
100.0%
Troy Mitchell run for a loss of 1 yard to the WCaro 19Similar
Q4 8:34
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+6
100.0%
Troy Mitchell pass complete to Shaun Warren for 6 yds to the WCaro 25Similar
Q4 7:56
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+10
100.0%
Troy Mitchell pass complete to Spearman Robinson for 10 yds to the WCaro 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-12
100.0%
Troy Mitchell sacked by Josh Frazier for a loss of 12 yards to the WCaro 23Similar
Q4 6:31
2ND & 22
OWN 23
+8
100.0%
Troy Mitchell run for 8 yds to the WCaro 31Similar
Q4 5:45
3RD & 14
OWN 31
+1
100.0%
Troy Mitchell pass complete to Shaun Warren for 1 yd to the WCaro 32Similar
Q4 5:03
4TH & 13
OWN 32
0
100.0%
Destry Barnwell punt for 27 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Alab 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 24END OF GAME
8 plays · 47 yds · 4:55100% → 100%
Q4 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
100.0%
Altee Tenpenny run for 3 yds to the Alab 44Similar
Q4 4:09
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+3
100.0%
Altee Tenpenny run for 3 yds to the Alab 47Similar
Q4 3:29
3RD & 4
OWN 47
+8
100.0%
Altee Tenpenny run for 8 yds to the WCaro 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+8
100.0%
Altee Tenpenny run for 8 yds to the WCaro 37Similar
Q4 2:10
2ND & 2
OPP 37
+6
100.0%
Altee Tenpenny run for 6 yds to the WCaro 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:26
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+4
100.0%
Altee Tenpenny run for 4 yds to the WCaro 27Similar
Q4 0:42
2ND & 6
OPP 27
+7
100.0%
Buddy Pell run for 7 yds to the WCaro 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+8
100.0%
Buddy Pell run for 8 yds to the WCaro 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 3:16
Derrick Henry run for 23 yds for a TD, (Gunnar Raborn KICK)
+0.7
TD · Q2 10:41
Troy Mitchell pass complete to Spearman Robinson for 12 yds for a TD, (Richard Sigmon KICK)
-0.5
TD · Q2 6:44
Tyren Jones run for 7 yds for a TD, (Gunnar Raborn KICK)
+0.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com