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LSU

LSU 23 at Texas A&M 17

TA&M
2014 · Week 14 · Nov 27, 2014 · Kyle Field
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Win probability · TA&M
modelTA&M aheadLSU aheadconfidence bandkey playTA&M scoreLSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGFGFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 4:05 · Colby Delahoussaye 22 yd FG MISSED
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialPregame priorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+34.0+17.00−17.0−34.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 32Home team on offense+1.4Garbage-time factor−0.1Score differential+0.4Pregame prior−4.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 4:33: Leonard Fournette run for 22 yds for a TD, (Trent Domingue KICK) — LSU win probability +13.8 pts (now 55%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:34: Anthony Jennings pass complete to John Diarse for 10 yds for a TD, (Trent Domingue KICK) — LSU win probability +12.8 pts (now 68%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 7:25: Trent Domingue 27 yd FG GOOD — LSU win probability +6.9 pts (now 79%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 6:42: Kyle Allen pass complete to Speedy Noil for 27 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambo KICK) — TA&M win probability +26.9 pts (now 44%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  5. FG · Q4 2:07: Colby Delahoussaye 43 yd FG GOOD — LSU win probability +8.6 pts (now 88%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TA&M made the numbers' call on 3 of 5LSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 12:44TA&M 4th & 11 at TA&M 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.6%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:05LSU 4th & 4 at TA&M 5, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 47.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    47.7%−0.1
    92% to make
    Punt
    45.9%−1.9
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:03TA&M 4th & 3 at TA&M 27, up 7
    Close callPunted · 53.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.4%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:49LSU 4th & 2 at TA&M 33, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 43.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    43.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    41.7%−1.5
    49% to make
    Punt
    41.0%−2.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:32LSU 4th & 12 at TA&M 46, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.1%−1.0
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    39.8%−1.3
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    41.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:32TA&M 4th & 1 at TA&M 11, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 59.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.9%−1.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:21TA&M 4th & 6 at TA&M 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.1%−0.4
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.5%
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:45LSU 4th & 1 at TA&M 19, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 69.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    69.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    67.6%−2.2
    77% to make
    Punt
    60.8%−8.9
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:25LSU 4th & 2 at TA&M 10, up 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsKicked a field goal · 71.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.2%
    55% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    69.9%−1.3
    88% to make
    Punt
    62.0%−9.2
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:08TA&M 4th & 21 at TA&M 39, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.4%−2.3
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.7%
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:06LSU 4th & 6 at LSU 21, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.1%−1.9
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.0%
    average punt
  12. Q4 9:22LSU 4th & 20 at TA&M 22, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 83.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.8%−3.7
    9% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    83.5%
    72% to make
    Punt
    75.0%−8.6
    average punt
  13. Q4 2:07LSU 4th & 15 at TA&M 26, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 77.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.9%−7.9
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    74.8%
    64% to make
    Punt
    55.6%−19.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TA&M made the numbers' call on 1 of 2LSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 9:13TA&M Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 4:33LSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:34LSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 6:42TA&M Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    30.9%−0.5
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.4%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TA&MDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 11 yds · 2:1145% → 46%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
45.1%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Brandon Williams for 9 yds to the TexAM 34Similar
Q1 14:33
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
45.2%
Kyle Allen pass incomplete to Josh ReynoldsSimilar
Q1 14:30
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
45.2%
Brandon Williams run for 3 yds to the TexAM 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
45.3%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Malcome Kennedy for 3 yds to the TexAM 40Similar
Q1 13:45
2ND & 7
OWN 40
-4
45.5%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Tra Carson for a loss of 4 yards to the TexAM 36Similar
Q1 12:56
3RD & 11
OWN 36
0
45.5%
Kyle Allen pass incomplete to Speedy NoilSimilar
Q1 12:44
4TH & 11
OWN 36
0
45.5%
Drew Kaser punt for 41 yds, downed at the LSU 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 2INT
6 plays · 28 yds · 2:2954% → 54%
Q1 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
45.6%
Leonard Fournette run for 5 yds to the LSU 28Similar
Q1 12:00
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+12
45.7%
Anthony Jennings run for 12 yds to the LSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
45.7%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Travin Dural for 6 yds to the LSU 46Similar
Q1 11:10
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+3
45.6%
Terrence Magee run for 3 yds to the LSU 49Similar
Q1 10:30
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+2
45.7%
Anthony Jennings run for 2 yds to the TexAM 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:11
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
45.7%
Anthony Jennings pass intercepted De'Vante Harris return for 5 yds to the LSU 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 3TD
3 plays · 49 yds · 0:5247% → 49%
Q1 10:05
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
46.9%
Tra Carson run for 4 yds to the LSU 45Similar
Q1 9:50
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+4
47.1%
Tra Carson run for 4 yds to the LSU 41Similar
Q1 9:13
3RD & 2
OPP 41
+41
49.3%
Trey Williams run for 41 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 4MISSED FG
15 plays · 70 yds · 5:0451% → 49%
Q1 9:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
48.8%
Anthony Jennings pass incomplete to Connor NeighborsSimilar
Q1 9:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
48.8%
Terrence Magee run for 7 yds to the LSU 32Similar
Q1 8:20
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+5
49.2%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Travis Dickson for 5 yds to the LSU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+14
49.4%
Travin Dural run for 14 yds to the TexAM 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:15
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
49.1%
Anthony Jennings pass incomplete to DeSean SmithSimilar
Q1 7:05
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+5
49.5%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Travin Dural for 5 yds to the TexAM 44Similar
Q1 6:35
3RD & 5
OPP 44
+7
49.6%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to John Diarse for 7 yds to the TexAM 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+26
49.9%
Anthony Jennings run for 26 yds to the TexAM 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:25
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
49.6%
Leonard Fournette run for 3 yds to the TexAM 8Similar
Q1 4:45
2ND & 7
OPP 8
0
49.9%
Anthony Jennings pass incomplete to Travin DuralSimilar
Q1 4:35
3RD & 7
OPP 8
+3
50.2%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Trey Quinn for 3 yds to the TexAM 5Similar
Q1 4:05
4TH & 4
OPP 5
+22
51.0%
Colby Delahoussaye 22 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:5752% → 52%
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
52.1%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Speedy Noil for 1 yd to the TexAM 21Similar
Q1 3:30
2ND & 9
OWN 21
-3
52.3%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Trey Williams for a loss of 3 yards to the TexAM 18Similar
Q1 2:45
3RD & 12
OWN 18
+9
52.2%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Tra Carson for 9 yds to the TexAM 27Similar
Q1 2:03
4TH & 3
OWN 27
0
52.1%
Drew Kaser punt for 54 yds, fair catch by Tre'Davious White at the LSU 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 6PUNT
19 plays · 35 yds · 8:2347% → 39%
Q1 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+9
53.1%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Connor Neighbors for 9 yds to the LSU 28Similar
Q1 1:30
2ND & 1
OWN 28
+2
52.7%
Leonard Fournette run for 2 yds to the LSU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-10
53.4%
LSU Penalty, Offensive Holding (Ethan Pocic) to the LSU 20Similar
Q1 0:25
1ST & 20
OWN 20
+9
54.2%
Leonard Fournette run for 9 yds to the LSU 29Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 11
OWN 29
+6
54.5%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Terrence Magee for 6 yds to the LSU 35Similar
Q2 13:39
3RD & 5
OWN 35
+12
56.4%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to John Diarse for 12 yds to the LSU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
55.5%
Leonard Fournette run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 12:40
2ND & 7
50
+9
55.1%
Leonard Fournette run for 9 yds to the TexAM 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
55.4%
Leonard Fournette run for 3 yds to the TexAM 38Similar
Q2 11:20
2ND & 7
OPP 38
+3
55.7%
Terrence Magee run for 3 yds to the TexAM 35Similar
Q2 10:40
3RD & 4
OPP 35
+2
55.8%
Terrence Magee run for 2 yds to the TexAM 33Similar
Q2 9:49
4TH & 2
OPP 33
+4
58.1%
Leonard Fournette run for 4 yds to the TexAM 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:49
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-15
55.5%
LSU Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (La'el Collins) to the TexAM 44Similar
Q2 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
57.2%
Leonard Fournette run for 3 yds to the TexAM 41Similar
Q2 8:48
2ND & 7
OPP 41
0
57.6%
Anthony Jennings pass incomplete to Travin DuralSimilar
Q2 8:44
3RD & 7
OPP 41
0
57.8%
Anthony Jennings pass incomplete to Darrel WilliamsSimilar
Q2 8:44
4TH & 7
OPP 41
-5
59.6%
LSU Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the TexAM 46Similar
Q2 8:32
4TH & 12
OPP 46
0
60.9%
Jamie Keehn punt for 44 yds, downed at the TexAM 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:5360% → 60%
Q2 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+1
59.7%
Tra Carson run for 1 yd to the TexAM 3Similar
Q2 7:55
2ND & 9
OWN 3
+7
60.6%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Josh Reynolds for 7 yds to the TexAM 10Similar
Q2 7:20
3RD & 2
OWN 10
+1
60.6%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Ricky Seals-Jones for 1 yd to the TexAM 11Similar
Q2 6:32
4TH & 1
OWN 11
0
60.3%
Drew Kaser punt for 39 yds, downed at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 8TD
4 plays · 50 yds · 1:5041% → 55%
Q2 6:23
1ST & 10
50
+4
59.4%
Anthony Jennings run for 4 yds to the TexAM 46Similar
Q2 5:50
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+19
59.8%
Travin Dural run for 19 yds to the TexAM 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:10
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
58.4%
Leonard Fournette run for 5 yds to the TexAM 22Similar
Q2 4:33
2ND & 5
OPP 22
+22
44.6%
Leonard Fournette run for 22 yds for a TD, (Trent Domingue KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 1:0453% → 50%
Q2 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
53.3%
Brandon Williams run for 2 yds to the TexAM 28Similar
Q2 3:50
2ND & 8
OWN 28
+2
53.5%
Brandon Williams run for 2 yds to the TexAM 30Similar
Q2 3:31
3RD & 6
OWN 30
0
52.9%
Kyle Allen pass incomplete to Ricky Seals-JonesSimilar
Q2 3:21
4TH & 6
OWN 30
0
50.2%
Drew Kaser punt for 43 yds, downed at the LSU 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 10TD
10 plays · 73 yds · 2:4252% → 68%
Q2 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
48.3%
Anthony Jennings run for 4 yds to the LSU 31Similar
Q2 2:55
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+5
47.8%
Leonard Fournette run for 5 yds to the LSU 36Similar
Q2 2:30
3RD & 1
OWN 36
+2
46.9%
Leonard Fournette run for 2 yds to the LSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
47.1%
Anthony Jennings pass incomplete to Malachi DupreSimilar
Q2 1:41
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+36
47.3%
Anthony Jennings run for 36 yds to the TexAM 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+10
42.5%
Anthony Jennings run for 10 yds to the TexAM 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+7
42.5%
Terrence Magee run for 7 yds to the TexAM 9Similar
Q2 0:40
2ND & 3
OPP 9
-1
42.5%
Terrence Magee run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexAM 10Similar
Q2 0:34
3RD & 4
OPP 10
+10
31.6%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to John Diarse for 10 yds for a TD, (Trent Domingue KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 11FG
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0969% → 72%
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+10
30.7%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, Personal Foul (Armani Watts) to the TexAM 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
30.6%
Anthony Jennings pass incomplete to John DiarseSimilar
Q2 0:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
-5
30.6%
LSU Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TexAM 14Similar
Q2 0:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 14
+31
28.4%
Trent Domingue 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · 5 yds · 0:0033% → 33%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
32.5%
Brandon Williams run for 5 yds to the TexAM 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 13FG
14 plays · 70 yds · 7:2567% → 79%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
32.9%
Terrence Magee run for 1 yd to the LSU 21Similar
Q3 14:25
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+15
32.9%
Anthony Jennings run for 15 yds to the LSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+26
31.2%
Terrence Magee run for 26 yds to the TexAM 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:05
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+7
29.8%
Terrence Magee run for 7 yds to the TexAM 31Similar
Q3 12:35
2ND & 3
OPP 31
+3
29.0%
Leonard Fournette run for 3 yds to the TexAM 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
28.8%
Leonard Fournette run for 2 yds to the TexAM 26Similar
Q3 11:10
2ND & 8
OPP 26
+6
28.5%
Travin Dural run for 6 yds to the TexAM 20Similar
Q3 10:25
3RD & 2
OPP 20
+1
29.1%
Terrence Magee run for 1 yd to the TexAM 19Similar
Q3 9:45
4TH & 1
OPP 19
+1
29.8%
Anthony Jennings run for 1 yd to the TexAM 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
27.8%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Connor Neighbors for 4 yds to the TexAM 14Similar
Q3 9:00
2ND & 6
OPP 14
+2
27.7%
Leonard Fournette run for 2 yds to the TexAM 12Similar
Q3 8:20
3RD & 4
OPP 12
+2
28.1%
Anthony Jennings run for 2 yds to the TexAM 10Similar
Q3 7:25
4TH & 2
OPP 10
+27
21.1%
Trent Domingue 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 0 yds · 2:0225% → 20%
Q3 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+11
25.2%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Edward Pope for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:55
1ST & 10
50
+2
26.0%
Trey Williams run for 2 yds to the LSU 48Similar
Q3 6:30
2ND & 8
OPP 48
-4
26.0%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Trey Williams for a loss of 4 yards to the TexAM 48Similar
Q3 5:50
3RD & 12
OWN 48
-9
23.3%
Kyle Allen sacked by Kwon Alexander and Kendell Beckwith for a loss of 9 yards to the TexAM 39Similar
Q3 5:08
4TH & 21
OWN 39
+7
20.3%
Drew Kaser punt for 51 yds , Tre'Davious White returns for 7 yds to the LSU 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:5483% → 84%
Q3 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-1
17.1%
Terrence Magee run for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 16Similar
Q3 4:30
2ND & 11
OWN 16
+6
16.9%
Terrence Magee run for 6 yds to the LSU 22Similar
Q3 3:50
3RD & 5
OWN 22
-1
16.0%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Terrence Magee for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 21Similar
Q3 3:06
4TH & 6
OWN 21
+1
16.1%
Jamie Keehn punt for 48 yds , Speedy Noil returns for 1 yd to the TexAM 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 16FG
14 plays · 52 yds · 4:2220% → 21%
Q3 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
19.8%
Tra Carson run for 5 yds to the TexAM 37Similar
Q3 2:40
2ND & 5
OWN 37
-1
20.0%
Tra Carson run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexAM 36Similar
Q3 1:52
3RD & 6
OWN 36
+42
18.2%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Boone Niederhofer for 42 yds to the LSU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-8
21.5%
Tra Carson run for 2 yds to the LSU 20 TEXAS A&M Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the LSU 30Similar
Q3 1:16
1ST & 18
OPP 30
0
20.4%
Kyle Allen pass incomplete to Malcome KennedySimilar
Q3 1:16
2ND & 18
OPP 30
-5
19.9%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, Delay of Game (Kyle Allen) to the LSU 35Similar
Q3 1:10
2ND & 23
OPP 35
0
19.9%
Brandon Williams run for no gain to the LSU 35Similar
Q3 0:35
3RD & 23
OPP 35
+15
18.2%
LSU Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Jalen Collins) to the LSU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:25
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
21.0%
Tra Carson run for 4 yds to the LSU 16Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 16
+6
20.8%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Speedy Noil for 6 yds to the LSU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-2
20.8%
Tra Carson run for a loss of 2 yards to the LSU 12Similar
Q4 14:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
-4
19.5%
Kyle Allen sacked by Jermauria Rasco for a loss of 4 yards to the LSU 16Similar
Q4 13:42
3RD & GOAL
OPP 16
0
17.1%
Kyle Allen pass incomplete to Josh ReynoldsSimilar
Q4 13:38
4TH & 0
OPP 16
+34
21.0%
Josh Lambo 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 17MISSED FG
11 plays · 53 yds · 4:0878% → 85%
Q4 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
21.9%
Anthony Jennings run for 9 yds to the LSU 34Similar
Q4 13:15
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+13
21.0%
Leonard Fournette run for 13 yds to the LSU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
19.3%
Terrence Magee run for no gain to the LSU 47Similar
Q4 12:30
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+41
17.3%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Malachi Dupre for 41 yds to the TexAM 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:58
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-5
16.1%
LSU Penalty, False Start (Evan Washington) to the TexAM 17Similar
Q4 11:30
1ST & 15
OPP 17
+4
15.9%
Terrence Magee run for 4 yds to the TexAM 13Similar
Q4 10:51
2ND & 11
OPP 13
-10
14.7%
LSU Penalty, Offensive Holding (La'el Collins) to the TexAM 23Similar
Q4 10:20
2ND & 21
OPP 23
+1
13.1%
Anthony Jennings run for 1 yd to the TexAM 22Similar
Q4 9:27
3RD & 20
OPP 22
0
13.3%
Anthony Jennings pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:22
4TH & 20
OPP 22
+39
15.4%
Trent Domingue 39 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 18TD
9 plays · 77 yds · 2:3314% → 44%
Q4 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+22
14.4%
Trey Williams run for 22 yds to the TexAM 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+9
16.2%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Josh Reynolds for 9 yds to the LSU 46Similar
Q4 8:30
2ND & 1
OPP 46
-3
17.0%
Trey Williams run for a loss of 3 yards to the LSU 49Similar
Q4 8:00
3RD & 4
OPP 49
+6
16.1%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Ben Compton for 6 yds to the LSU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:40
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
16.5%
Brandon Williams run for 4 yds to the LSU 39Similar
Q4 7:23
2ND & 6
OPP 39
0
16.6%
Kyle Allen pass incomplete to Speedy NoilSimilar
Q4 7:10
3RD & 6
OPP 39
+10
15.9%
LSU Penalty, Defensive Holding (Tre'Davious White) to the LSU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:57
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
17.3%
Brandon Williams run for 2 yds to the LSU 27Similar
Q4 6:42
2ND & 8
OPP 27
+27
44.2%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Speedy Noil for 27 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 19FG
11 plays · 57 yds · 4:2371% → 88%
Q4 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
29.1%
Travin Dural run for 10 yds to the LSU 27 LSU Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the LSU 17Similar
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+5
26.7%
Anthony Jennings run for 5 yds to the LSU 22Similar
Q4 5:23
2ND & 5
OWN 22
+46
25.7%
Leonard Fournette run for 46 yds to the TexAM 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
20.1%
Leonard Fournette run for 5 yds to the TexAM 27Similar
Q4 4:20
2ND & 5
OPP 27
+6
19.0%
Terrence Magee run for 6 yds to the TexAM 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:40
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+1
17.8%
Terrence Magee run for 1 yd to the TexAM 20Similar
Q4 3:00
2ND & 9
OPP 20
+2
16.1%
Terrence Magee run for 2 yds to the TexAM 18Similar
Q4 2:15
3RD & 7
OPP 18
-8
15.5%
Anthony Jennings sacked by Devonta Burns for a loss of 8 yards to the TexAM 26 Anthony Jennings fumbled, forced by Devonta Burns, recovered by LSU Jerald Hawkins , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 2:07
4TH & 15
OPP 26
+43
11.6%
Colby Delahoussaye 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 20INT
8 plays · 24 yds · 0:4023% → 17%
Q4 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
22.5%
Kyle Allen pass incomplete to Malcome KennedySimilar
Q4 1:54
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+12
17.9%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Boone Niederhofer for 12 yds to the TexAM 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+12
19.8%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Speedy Noil for 12 yds to the TexAM 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
22.2%
Kyle Allen pass incomplete to Boone NiederhoferSimilar
Q4 1:33
2ND & 10
OWN 49
0
19.7%
Kyle Allen pass incomplete to Boone NiederhoferSimilar
Q4 1:21
3RD & 10
OWN 49
+4
16.8%
Kyle Allen pass intercepted Jalen Collins return for 4 yds to the LSU 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 21END OF GAME
4 plays · -4 yds · 0:4594% → 94%
Q4 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-1
5.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 17Similar
Q4 1:10
2ND & 11
OWN 17
-2
6.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the LSU 15Similar
Q4 0:30
3RD & 13
OWN 15
-1
6.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 6:42
Kyle Allen pass complete to Speedy Noil for 27 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambo KICK)
+26.9
TD · Q2 4:33
Leonard Fournette run for 22 yds for a TD, (Trent Domingue KICK)
-13.8
TD · Q2 0:34
Anthony Jennings pass complete to John Diarse for 10 yds for a TD, (Trent Domingue KICK)
-12.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com