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TENN

Tennessee 24 at Vanderbilt 17

VAN
2014 · Week 14 · Nov 29, 2014 · FirstBank Stadium
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Win probability · VAN
modelVAN aheadTENN aheadconfidence bandkey playVAN scoreTENN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:23 · TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 48
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+38.5+19.30−19.3−38.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 5:25: Steven Scheu 36 Yd pass from Patton Robinette (Tommy Openshaw Kick) — VAN win probability +9.5 pts (now 30%) (top driver: VAN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:29: Joshua Dobbs 1 Yd Run (Aaron Medley Kick) — TENN win probability +6.8 pts (now 85%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 3:19: Joshua Dobbs 8 Yd Run (Aaron Medley Kick) — TENN win probability +9.0 pts (now 92%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 0:22: Ralph Webb 3 Yd Run (Tommy Openshaw Kick) — VAN win probability +13.9 pts (now 26%) (top driver: VAN has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 5:40: Joshua Dobbs run for 9 yds to the Tenn 48 — TENN win probability +6.2 pts (now 87%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
VAN made the numbers' call on 6 of 8TENN made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 15:00TENN 4th & 2 at VAN 40, tied
    Close callPunted · 81.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    81.4%−0.2
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    81.5%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:13VAN 4th & 6 at VAN 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.1%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:47TENN 4th & 10 at TENN 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.3%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.4%
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:18VAN 4th & 18 at VAN 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.2%−0.3
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.5%
    average punt
  5. Q1 8:17VAN 4th & 7 at VAN 27, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.8%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:52VAN 4th & 4 at TENN 18, down 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 20.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.8%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    20.7%−0.1
    79% to make
    Punt
    18.1%−2.7
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:52TENN 4th & 10 at TENN 35, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.3%−0.7
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.0%
    average punt
  8. Q3 14:56VAN 4th & 9 at VAN 21, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.5%−1.8
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.2%
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:37TENN 4th & 13 at TENN 23, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.9%−3.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.0%
    average punt
  10. Q4 14:01TENN 4th & 6 at TENN 47, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.5%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.7%
    average punt
  11. Q4 9:46VAN 4th & 7 at VAN 35, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.7%−0.7
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.4%
    average punt
  12. Q4 9:39TENN 4th & 5 at TENN 38, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.1%−0.5
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.5%
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:41VAN 4th & 1 at VAN 11, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.1 ptsPunted · 19.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.2%−3.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:39TENN 4th & 15 at VAN 40, up 7
    Close callPunted · 88.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.4%−0.7
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    88.2%
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    88.0%−0.2
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:37VAN 4th & 10 at TENN 49, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 13.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.5%
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    9.7%−1.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
VAN made the numbers' call on 2 of 2TENN made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 8:18TENN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 5:25VAN Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:29TENN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 3:19TENN Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 0:22VAN Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    20.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    19.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TENNDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 35 yds · 0:0089% → 89%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
11.5%
[SH], Dobbs, J. pass intercepted by Torren McGaster at the VANDY33, Torren McGaster return to the VANDY33, PENALTY VANDY personal foul (Kyle Woestmann) 15 yards to the UT40, 1ST DOWN UT, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+12
11.5%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Von Pearson for 12 yds to the Vandy 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
11.5%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Pig Howard for 4 yds to the Vandy 44Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+5
11.5%
Jalen Hurd run for 5 yds to the Vandy 39Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 39
-1
11.5%
Jalen Hurd run for a loss of 1 yard to the Vandy 40Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 40
0
11.5%
Matt Darr punt for 40 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:5613% → 13%
Q1 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
12.8%
Johnny McCrary pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:09
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+2
12.7%
Johnny McCrary run for 2 yds to the Vandy 22Similar
Q1 11:13
3RD & 8
OWN 22
+2
13.0%
Johnny McCrary run for 2 yds to the Vandy 24Similar
Q1 11:13
4TH & 6
OWN 24
0
13.0%
Colby Cooke punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Tenn 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0087% → 87%
Q1 10:47
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
13.2%
Von Pearson run for no gain to the Tenn 37Similar
Q1 10:47
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
13.2%
Joshua Dobbs pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:47
3RD & 10
OWN 37
0
13.4%
Joshua Dobbs pass incomplete to Pig HowardSimilar
Q1 10:47
4TH & 10
OWN 37
0
13.4%
Matt Darr punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 4PUNT TD
6 plays · 2 yds · 1:4814% → 13%
Q1 10:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
13.7%
Ralph Webb run for no gain to the Vandy 25Similar
Q1 10:06
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+10
13.6%
P. Robinette pass complete to Steven Scheu for 9 yards to the VANDY34 (Randolph, B.), PENALTY UT holding (Johnson, Ja.) 10 yards to the VANDY35, 1ST DOWN VANDY, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:06
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
13.7%
Patton Robinette pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:06
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
13.7%
Patton Robinette pass incomplete to Ralph WebbSimilar
Q1 10:06
3RD & 10
OWN 35
-8
13.6%
Patton Robinette sacked by Curt Maggitt for a loss of 8 yards to the Vandy 27 VANDERBILT Penalty, intentional grounding (Patton Robinette) to the Vandy 27Similar
Q1 8:18
4TH & 18
OWN 27
+76
13.0%
Cameron Sutton 76 Yd Punt Return (Aaron Medley Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q1 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
13.2%
Ralph Webb run for 3 yds to the Vandy 27Similar
Q1 8:17
2ND & 7
OWN 27
0
13.2%
Johnny McCrary pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:17
3RD & 7
OWN 27
0
13.1%
Johnny McCrary pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:17
4TH & 7
OWN 27
0
13.0%
Colby Cooke punt for 55 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Tenn 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 6FG
16 plays · 63 yds · 6:3687% → 86%
Q1 7:27
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+14
13.3%
Joshua Dobbs run for 14 yds to the Tenn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:27
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
13.2%
Jalen Hurd run for 3 yds to the Tenn 35Similar
Q1 7:27
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+5
13.1%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Von Pearson for 5 yds to the Tenn 40Similar
Q1 7:27
3RD & 2
OWN 40
+4
13.0%
Joshua Dobbs run for 4 yds to the Tenn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:27
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-5
13.0%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Von Pearson for a loss of 5 yards to the Tenn 39Similar
Q1 7:27
2ND & 15
OWN 39
+6
13.3%
Jalen Hurd run for 6 yds to the Tenn 45Similar
Q1 7:27
3RD & 9
OWN 45
+10
13.1%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Pig Howard for 10 yds to the Vandy 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:27
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+8
12.9%
Jalen Hurd run for 8 yds to the Vandy 37Similar
Q1 3:42
2ND & 2
OPP 37
+2
13.9%
Marlin Lane run for 2 yds to the Vandy 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:42
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+9
13.9%
Joshua Dobbs run for 9 yds to the Vandy 26Similar
Q1 3:42
2ND & 1
OPP 26
+23
13.8%
Joshua Dobbs run for 23 yds to the Vandy 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-4
13.8%
Marlin Lane run for a loss of 4 yards to the Vandy 7Similar
Q1 3:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
13.8%
Joshua Dobbs pass incomplete to Von Pearson, broken up by Oren BurksSimilar
Q1 3:42
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
-12
13.9%
Joshua Dobbs sacked by Zach Cunningham and Vince Taylor for a loss of 12 yards to the Vandy 19Similar
Q1 0:51
4TH & 0
OPP 19
+36
14.5%
Aaron Medley 36 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 7INT
8 plays · 37 yds · 0:4314% → 15%
Q1 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
14.3%
Johnny McCrary run for 4 yds to the Vandy 35Similar
Q1 0:43
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+9
14.4%
Johnny McCrary pass complete to Steven Scheu for 9 yds to the Vandy 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+11
14.8%
Ralph Webb run for 11 yds to the Tenn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
15.1%
Johnny McCrary pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+9
15.0%
Johnny McCrary pass complete to Chandler Dorrell for 9 yds to the Tenn 36Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 36
+4
15.1%
Dallas Rivers run for 4 yds to the Tenn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
15.4%
Johnny McCrary pass intercepted, touchback. Justin Coleman return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 8INT
3 plays · 2 yds · 0:0085% → 85%
Q2 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
15.3%
Joshua Dobbs run for 2 yds to the Tenn 22Similar
Q2 12:57
2ND & 8
OWN 22
0
15.4%
Marlin Lane run for no gain to the Tenn 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 9FG
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:5316% → 17%
Q2 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+4
16.1%
Patton Robinette run for 4 yds to the Tenn 20Similar
Q2 11:45
2ND & 6
OPP 20
-3
16.1%
Ralph Webb run for a loss of 3 yards to the Tenn 23Similar
Q2 11:45
3RD & 9
OPP 23
+5
15.6%
Patton Robinette pass complete to Caleb Scott for 5 yds to the Tenn 18Similar
Q2 9:52
4TH & 4
OPP 18
+36
17.3%
Tommy Openshaw 36 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0084% → 83%
Q2 9:52
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
16.4%
Joshua Dobbs pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:52
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+4
16.6%
Marlin Lane run for 4 yds to the Tenn 39Similar
Q2 9:52
3RD & 6
OWN 39
-4
16.3%
Joshua Dobbs sacked by Adam Butler for a loss of 4 yards to the Tenn 35Similar
Q2 9:52
4TH & 10
OWN 35
+2
17.4%
Matt Darr punt for 55 yds , Trey Ellis returns for 2 yds to the Vandy 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 11TD
9 plays · 88 yds · 2:5217% → 30%
Q2 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
17.0%
Patton Robinette pass incomplete to Steven ScheuSimilar
Q2 8:17
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+11
16.9%
Dallas Rivers run for 11 yds to the Vandy 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
17.1%
Dallas Rivers run for 5 yds to the Vandy 28Similar
Q2 8:17
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+11
17.3%
Patton Robinette pass complete to Nathan Marcus for 11 yds to the Vandy 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
17.6%
Josh Grady pass incomplete to Caleb Scott, broken up by Justin ColemanSimilar
Q2 8:17
2ND & 10
OWN 0
+15
16.5%
P. Robinette rush for 14 yards to the UT47, PENALTY VANDY holding (Jake Bernstein) 10 yards to the VANDY29, NO PLAY, PENALTY UT personal foul (Lane, M.) 15 yards to the VANDY44, 1ST DOWN VANDY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+20
18.1%
Patton Robinette run for 20 yds to the Tenn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:25
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+36
29.5%
Steven Scheu 36 Yd pass from Patton Robinette (Tommy Openshaw Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 12TD
14 plays · 94 yds · 3:4975% → 85%
Q2 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+9
25.5%
Joshua Dobbs run for 9 yds to the Tenn 15Similar
Q2 5:18
2ND & 1
OWN 15
+23
24.8%
Joshua Dobbs run for 8 yds to the Tenn 23 for a 1ST down VANDERBILT Penalty, personal foul (Torren McGaster) to the Tenn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
23.5%
Joshua Dobbs run for 5 yds to the Tenn 43Similar
Q2 5:18
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+4
22.8%
Marlin Lane run for 4 yds to the Tenn 47Similar
Q2 5:18
3RD & 1
OWN 47
+4
22.8%
Marlin Lane run for 4 yds to the Vandy 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:18
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+33
22.3%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Pig Howard for 33 yds to the Vandy 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:18
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+14
21.4%
Marlin Lane run for 14 yds to the Vandy 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
21.4%
Marlin Lane run for no gain to the Vandy 2Similar
Q2 2:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
22.1%
Joshua Dobbs pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:08
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
23.0%
[SH], Dobbs, J. pass incomplete to 16 (Torren McGaster), PENALTY VANDY pass interference (Torren McGaster) 0 yards to the VANDY2, 1ST DOWN UT, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
22.0%
Marlin Lane run for 1 yd to the Vandy 1Similar
Q2 1:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
15.1%
Joshua Dobbs 1 Yd Run (Aaron Medley Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 13END OF HALF
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0019% → 18%
Q2 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
18.5%
Ralph Webb run for 3 yds to the Vandy 28Similar
Q2 1:29
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+1
18.7%
Patton Robinette run for 1 yd to the Vandy 29Similar
Q2 1:29
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+1
18.3%
Ralph Webb run for 1 yd to the Vandy 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 14PUNT
9 plays · 12 yds · 0:0019% → 18%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+2
18.7%
Ralph Webb run for 2 yds to the Vandy 11Similar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 8
OWN 11
-5
18.8%
P. Robinette rush for 4 yards to the VANDY15, PENALTY VANDY holding (Jake Bernstein) 5 yards to the VANDY6, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 13
OWN 6
+11
18.6%
Patton Robinette pass complete to Latevius Rayford for 11 yds to the Vandy 17Similar
Q3 14:56
3RD & 2
OWN 17
+3
18.3%
Ralph Webb run for 3 yds to the Vandy 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
18.9%
Patton Robinette pass complete to Davis Dudchock for 4 yds to the Vandy 24Similar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 6
OWN 24
-3
19.2%
Patton Robinette run for a loss of 3 yards to the Vandy 21Similar
Q3 14:56
3RD & 9
OWN 21
0
18.2%
Patton Robinette pass incomplete to Caleb Scott, broken up by Cameron SuttonSimilar
Q3 14:56
4TH & 9
OWN 21
-2
17.7%
Colby Cooke punt for 51 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Tenn 26 , Cameron Sutton returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Tenn 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:0081% → 80%
Q3 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
18.8%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Marlin Lane for no gain to the Tenn 26Similar
Q3 10:37
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+2
19.3%
Marlin Lane run for 2 yds to the Tenn 28Similar
Q3 10:37
3RD & 8
OWN 28
-5
19.7%
[SH], PENALTY UT delay of game (Dobbs, J.) 5 yards to the UT23, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:37
3RD & 13
OWN 23
0
19.9%
Joshua Dobbs pass incomplete to Marlin Lane TENNESSEE Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 10:37
4TH & 13
OWN 23
+4
20.5%
Matt Darr punt for 53 yds , Trey Ellis returns for 4 yds to the Vandy 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 16INT
6 plays · 22 yds · 0:0021% → 23%
Q3 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+11
20.9%
Ralph Webb run for 11 yds to the Vandy 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-5
21.6%
VANDERBILT Penalty, false start (Andrew Jelks) to the Vandy 34Similar
Q3 8:45
1ST & 15
OWN 34
+13
20.5%
Patton Robinette pass complete to Latevius Rayford for 13 yds to the Vandy 47Similar
Q3 8:45
2ND & 2
OWN 47
+3
23.3%
Dallas Rivers run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:45
1ST & 10
50
0
23.4%
Dallas Rivers run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 8:45
2ND & 10
50
0
22.8%
Patton Robinette pass intercepted Todd Kelly Jr. return for no gain to the Tenn 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 17TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:4981% → 92%
Q3 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
19.2%
Joshua Dobbs run for 15 yds to the Tenn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
17.7%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Pig Howard for 6 yds to the Tenn 46Similar
Q3 6:08
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+4
17.7%
Marlin Lane run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:08
1ST & 10
50
+26
17.3%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Marlin Lane for 26 yds to the Vandy 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:08
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+18
16.9%
Marlin Lane run for 18 yds to the Vandy 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-2
16.9%
Marlin Lane run for a loss of 2 yards to the Vandy 8Similar
Q3 3:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
7.9%
Joshua Dobbs 8 Yd Run (Aaron Medley Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 18TD
8 plays · 71 yds · 2:4611% → 26%
Q3 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+32
10.5%
Patton Robinette pass complete to Steven Scheu for 17 yds to the Tenn 46 for a 1ST down TENNESSEE Penalty, personal foul (Curt Maggitt) to the Tenn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:08
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
12.0%
Patton Robinette run for 3 yds to the Tenn 36Similar
Q3 3:08
2ND & 7
OPP 36
-8
12.0%
Patton Robinette sacked by Derek Barnett for a loss of 8 yards to the Tenn 44Similar
Q3 3:08
3RD & 15
OPP 44
+19
10.9%
Patton Robinette run for 19 yds to the Tenn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:08
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+19
12.5%
Ralph Webb run for 19 yds to the Tenn 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
12.5%
Ralph Webb run for 3 yds to the Tenn 3Similar
Q3 0:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
26.4%
Ralph Webb 3 Yd Run (Tommy Openshaw Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 19INT
4 plays · -13 yds · 0:2281% → 79%
Q3 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
19.1%
Joshua Dobbs pass incomplete to Vic Wharton, broken up by Andrew WilliamsonSimilar
Q3 0:22
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-13
19.5%
Joshua Dobbs sacked by Stephen Weatherly for a loss of 13 yards to the Tenn 22Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 23
OWN 22
0
20.8%
Joshua Dobbs pass intercepted Torren McGaster return for no gain to the Tenn 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 20INT
2 plays · -13 yds · 0:0025% → 22%
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-9
25.0%
Ralph Webb run for a loss of 9 yards to the Vandy 41 Ralph Webb fumbled, recovered by Vandy Patton RobinetteSimilar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 23
OWN 41
0
21.8%
Patton Robinette pass intercepted Brian Randolph return for no gain to the Tenn 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0084% → 82%
Q4 14:01
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
16.3%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Pig Howard for 2 yds to the Tenn 45Similar
Q4 14:01
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+4
16.3%
Marlin Lane run for 4 yds to the Tenn 49Similar
Q4 14:01
3RD & 4
OWN 49
-2
16.3%
Joshua Dobbs run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tenn 47Similar
Q4 14:01
4TH & 6
OWN 47
0
17.8%
Matt Darr punt for 53 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 2:3921% → 20%
Q4 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
21.0%
Ralph Webb run for 9 yds to the Vandy 29Similar
Q4 12:25
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+3
23.0%
Patton Robinette run for 3 yds to the Vandy 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
21.7%
Patton Robinette pass incomplete to Chandler DorrellSimilar
Q4 12:25
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+5
21.4%
Patton Robinette pass complete to Chandler Dorrell for 5 yds to the Vandy 37Similar
Q4 12:25
3RD & 5
OWN 37
-2
21.1%
Patton Robinette sacked by Curt Maggitt for a loss of 2 yards to the Vandy 35Similar
Q4 9:46
4TH & 7
OWN 35
0
20.4%
Colby Cooke punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Tenn 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0084% → 83%
Q4 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+8
16.5%
Pig Howard run for 8 yds to the Tenn 41Similar
Q4 9:39
2ND & 2
OWN 41
-2
15.1%
Marlin Lane run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tenn 39Similar
Q4 9:39
3RD & 4
OWN 39
-1
15.4%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Marlin Lane for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 38Similar
Q4 9:39
4TH & 5
OWN 38
0
17.1%
Matt Darr punt for 60 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Vandy 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0021% → 19%
Q4 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+3
20.8%
Ralph Webb run for 3 yds to the Vandy 5Similar
Q4 7:41
2ND & 7
OWN 5
+6
20.8%
Patton Robinette run for 6 yds to the Vandy 11Similar
Q4 7:41
3RD & 1
OWN 11
0
20.1%
Ralph Webb run for no gain to the Vandy 11Similar
Q4 7:41
4TH & 1
OWN 11
0
19.3%
Colby Cooke punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Cameron Sutton at the Tenn 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 25PUNT
11 plays · 21 yds · 3:0187% → 90%
Q4 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+9
13.0%
Joshua Dobbs run for 9 yds to the Tenn 48Similar
Q4 5:40
2ND & 1
OWN 48
+5
13.0%
Joshua Dobbs run for 5 yds to the Vandy 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
12.3%
Marlin Lane run for 2 yds to the Vandy 45Similar
Q4 4:10
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+10
10.2%
Joshua Dobbs run for 10 yds to the Vandy 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:10
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
9.9%
Joshua Dobbs run for 2 yds to the Vandy 33Similar
Q4 4:10
2ND & 8
OPP 33
-1
9.7%
Joshua Dobbs run for a loss of 1 yard to the Vandy 34Similar
Q4 2:39
3RD & 9
OPP 34
-1
7.6%
Joshua Dobbs run for a loss of 1 yard to the Vandy 35Similar
Q4 2:39
4TH & 10
OPP 35
-5
9.2%
TENNESSEE Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Vandy 40Similar
Q4 2:39
4TH & 15
OPP 40
0
9.8%
Matt Darr punt for 40 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 26DOWNS
9 plays · 31 yds · 1:0713% → 9%
Q4 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
12.5%
Patton Robinette pass complete to Latevius Rayford for 11 yds to the Vandy 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
13.5%
Patton Robinette run for 2 yds to the Vandy 33Similar
Q4 1:44
2ND & 8
OWN 33
0
13.5%
Patton Robinette pass incomplete to Ralph Webb, broken up by Emmanuel MoseleySimilar
Q4 1:44
3RD & 8
OWN 33
+18
12.5%
Patton Robinette pass complete to Kris Kentera for 18 yds to the Tenn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:44
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
16.5%
Patton Robinette pass complete to Ralph Webb for no gain to the Tenn 49Similar
Q4 0:37
2ND & 10
OPP 49
0
10.3%
Patton Robinette pass incomplete to Kris KenteraSimilar
Q4 0:37
3RD & 10
OPP 49
0
9.5%
Patton Robinette pass incomplete to Ralph WebbSimilar
Q4 0:37
4TH & 10
OPP 49
0
8.8%
Patton Robinette pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 27END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q4 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-1
4.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 0:22
Ralph Webb 3 Yd Run (Tommy Openshaw Kick)
+13.9
TD · Q2 5:25
Steven Scheu 36 Yd pass from Patton Robinette (Tommy Openshaw Kick)
+9.5
TD · Q3 3:19
Joshua Dobbs 8 Yd Run (Aaron Medley Kick)
-9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com