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UTAH

Utah 38 at Colorado 34

COLO
2014 · Week 14 · Nov 29, 2014 · Folsom Field
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Win probability · COLO
modelCOLO aheadUTAH aheadconfidence bandkey playCOLO scoreUTAH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDFGTDFGTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 15:00 · Tom Hackett punt for 45 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differential
+31.5+15.80−15.8−31.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 147Pregame prior−6.6Home team on offense+1.3Garbage-time factor+0.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+1.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.8Score differential+0.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 5:20: Christian Powell run for 33 yds for a TD, (Will Oliver KICK) — COLO win probability +12.5 pts (now 48%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 12:02: Devontae Booker 1 Yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed) — UTAH win probability +10.5 pts (now 60%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 6:37: Travis Wilson pass complete to Westlee Tonga for 28 yds for a TD, (Travis Wilson intercepted ) — UTAH win probability +12.7 pts (now 66%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 5:39: Sefo Liufau pass complete to Nelson Spruce for 66 yds for a TD, (Will Oliver KICK) — COLO win probability +20.4 pts (now 61%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 10:00: Sefo Liufau pass intercepted for a TD Dominique Hatfield return for 20 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK) — UTAH win probability +31.7 pts (now 66%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
COLO made the numbers' call on 6 of 7UTAH made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 9:50UTAH 4th & 4 at COLO 43, down 7
    Close callPunted · 69.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    69.2%−0.2
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    69.3%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:03COLO 4th & 4 at COLO 26, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.2%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:48UTAH 4th & 5 at COLO 37, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 66.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    67.0%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    66.9%−0.2
    40% to make
    Punt
    66.8%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:57UTAH 4th & 5 at COLO 24, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 63.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.0%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    63.1%
    68% to make
    Punt
    60.6%−2.5
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:57COLO 4th & 13 at COLO 22, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.0%−1.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:20UTAH 4th & 15 at UTAH 20, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.6%−2.4
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:16COLO 4th & 9 at UTAH 12, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 50.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.6%−2.3
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    50.8%
    86% to make
    Punt
    43.8%−7.0
    average punt
  8. Q3 15:00UTAH 4th & 9 at UTAH 26, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.5%−2.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.7%
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:53COLO 4th & 8 at UTAH 29, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 49.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.4%−0.6
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    49.0%
    58% to make
    Punt
    41.7%−7.3
    average punt
  10. Q3 1:47UTAH 4th & 8 at COLO 18, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 40.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.4%−1.8
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    40.2%
    79% to make
    Punt
    26.6%−13.6
    average punt
  11. Q3 1:47COLO 4th & 6 at COLO 29, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.7%−1.4
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.1%
    average punt
  12. Q4 15:00UTAH 4th & 4 at COLO 45, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsPunted · 44.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    41.9%−4.0
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    44.4%−1.6
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:49COLO 4th & 2 at UTAH 46, down 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.7 ptsPunted · 36.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    30.0%−6.0
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    32.3%−3.7
    average punt
  14. Q4 8:12UTAH 4th & 5 at UTAH 10, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.0%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.2%
    average punt
  15. Q4 6:37COLO 4th & 11 at COLO 49, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.0%−0.2
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
COLO made the numbers' call on 4 of 4UTAH made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 9:50COLO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    30.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:54UTAH Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 13:06COLO Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 10:14UTAH Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    65.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 5:20COLO Touchdown, up 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 12:02UTAH Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    54.8%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    54.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 5:39COLO Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 10:00UTAH Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.5%−0.4
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
COLODrive 1TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 5:0226% → 30%
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
25.5%
Tony Jones run for 5 yds to the Colo 30Similar
Q1 14:52
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
25.5%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to Shay FieldsSimilar
Q1 14:52
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+6
25.5%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Shay Fields for 6 yds to the Colo 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-2
25.5%
Phillip Lindsay run for a loss of 2 yards to the Colo 34Similar
Q1 14:52
2ND & 12
OWN 34
+19
25.5%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Tyler McCulloch for 19 yds to the Utah 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+7
25.5%
Tony Jones run for 7 yds to the Utah 40Similar
Q1 14:52
2ND & 3
OPP 40
0
25.5%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Shay Fields for 10 yds to the Utah 30 COLORADO Penalty, Offensive holding (Tyler McCulloch) to the Utah 40Similar
Q1 14:52
2ND & 3
OPP 40
0
25.5%
Tony Jones run for no gain to the Utah 40Similar
Q1 14:52
3RD & 3
OPP 40
+7
25.5%
Tony Jones run for 7 yds to the Utah 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
25.5%
Christian Powell run for 3 yds to the Utah 30Similar
Q1 14:52
2ND & 7
OPP 30
+28
25.5%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Tyler McCulloch for 28 yds to the Utah 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
30.1%
Christian Powell run for 2 yds for a TD, (Will Oliver KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 32 yds · 0:0071% → 71%
Q1 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
29.4%
Devontae Booker run for 9 yds to the Utah 34Similar
Q1 9:50
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+17
29.1%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Kaelin Clay for 17 yds to the Colo 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:50
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
29.0%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Kaelin Clay for 6 yds to the Colo 43Similar
Q1 9:50
2ND & 4
OPP 43
0
28.9%
Travis Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:50
3RD & 4
OPP 43
0
29.1%
Travis Wilson pass incomplete to Westlee TongaSimilar
Q1 9:50
4TH & 4
OPP 43
0
29.3%
Tom Hackett punt for 43 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0031% → 31%
Q1 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
31.2%
Tony Jones run for 8 yds to the Colo 28Similar
Q1 8:03
2ND & 2
OWN 28
-2
31.4%
Tony Jones run for a loss of 2 yards to the Colo 26Similar
Q1 8:03
3RD & 4
OWN 26
0
31.0%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to Nelson Spruce, broken up by Eric RoweSimilar
Q1 8:03
4TH & 4
OWN 26
+4
30.7%
Darragh O'Neill punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Utah 47 , Chandler Johnson returns for 4 yds to the Utah 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 4FG
12 plays · 29 yds · 4:5169% → 67%
Q1 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
31.4%
Devontae Booker run for 1 yd to the Utah 48Similar
Q1 6:48
2ND & 9
OWN 48
0
31.6%
Travis Wilson pass incomplete to Kaelin ClaySimilar
Q1 6:48
3RD & 9
OWN 48
+10
31.8%
Travis Wilson run for 10 yds to the Colo 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:48
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
31.3%
Devontae Booker run for 3 yds to the Colo 39Similar
Q1 6:48
2ND & 7
OPP 39
+2
31.3%
Devontae Booker run for 2 yds to the Colo 37Similar
Q1 6:48
3RD & 5
OPP 37
0
31.4%
Travis Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:48
4TH & 5
OPP 37
+8
31.7%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Kaelin Clay for 8 yds to the Colo 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:48
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-5
30.9%
UTAH Penalty, false start (Kaelin Clay) to the Colo 34Similar
Q1 6:48
1ST & 15
OPP 34
+1
31.2%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Kaelin Clay for 1 yd to the Colo 33Similar
Q1 6:48
2ND & 14
OPP 33
+7
31.4%
Travis Wilson run for 7 yds to the Colo 26Similar
Q1 6:48
3RD & 7
OPP 26
+2
31.4%
Travis Wilson run for 2 yds to the Colo 24Similar
Q1 1:57
4TH & 5
OPP 24
+41
32.9%
Andy Phillips 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 5PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:0033% → 32%
Q1 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-11
33.3%
Donovan Lee run for a loss of 11 yards to the Colo 14Similar
Q1 1:57
2ND & 21
OWN 14
+8
33.2%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Nelson Spruce for 8 yds to the Colo 22Similar
Q1 1:57
3RD & 13
OWN 22
0
32.7%
Sefo Liufau pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:57
4TH & 13
OWN 22
+19
32.4%
Darragh O'Neill punt for 41 yds , Kaelin Clay returns for 19 yds to the Colo 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 6TD
2 plays · 44 yds · 0:2367% → 71%
Q1 0:17
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+10
32.9%
Devontae Booker run for 10 yds to the Colo 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+34
29.1%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Kaelin Clay for 34 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 7TD
7 plays · 65 yds · 1:4131% → 38%
Q2 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
31.2%
Tony Jones run for 3 yds to the Colo 38Similar
Q2 14:47
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+6
32.2%
Tony Jones run for 6 yds to the Colo 44Similar
Q2 14:47
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+3
32.0%
Sefo Liufau run for 3 yds to the Colo 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+52
32.4%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Shay Fields for 52 yds to the Utah 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
37.6%
Christian Powell run for 1 yd for a TD, (Will Oliver KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 8TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:5265% → 69%
Q2 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
35.4%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Kaelin Clay for 10 yds to the Utah 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
34.8%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Devontae Booker for 3 yds to the Utah 38Similar
Q2 13:06
2ND & 7
OWN 38
0
34.3%
Devontae Booker run for no gain to the Utah 38Similar
Q2 13:06
3RD & 7
OWN 38
+55
34.8%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Delshawn McClellon for 55 yds to the Colo 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
32.8%
Wilson, Travis pass incomplete to Tonga, Westlee, PENALTY COLO pass interference (White, Evan) 5 yards to the COLO2, 1ST DOWN UTAH, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
32.8%
Devontae Booker run for no gain to the Colo 2Similar
Q2 13:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
32.8%
Travis Wilson pass incomplete to Westlee TongaSimilar
Q2 10:14
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
30.7%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Kaelin Clay for 2 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 9TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:5434% → 48%
Q2 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
33.6%
Phillip Lindsay run for 1 yd to the Colo 26Similar
Q2 10:14
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-1
33.5%
Sefo Liufau sacked by Jason Fanaika for a loss of 1 yard to the Colo 25Similar
Q2 10:14
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+20
32.7%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Phillip Lindsay for 20 yds to the Colo 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
35.4%
Phillip Lindsay run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 10:14
2ND & 5
50
+4
35.8%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Phillip Lindsay for 4 yds to the Utah 46Similar
Q2 10:14
3RD & 1
OPP 46
+2
35.5%
Christian Powell run for 2 yds to the Utah 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:14
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-1
36.0%
Sefo Liufau sacked by Lowell Lotulelei for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 45Similar
Q2 10:14
2ND & 11
OPP 45
+6
35.6%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Tony Jones for 6 yds to the Utah 39Similar
Q2 10:14
3RD & 5
OPP 39
+6
35.6%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Nelson Spruce for 6 yds to the Utah 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:20
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+33
48.0%
Christian Powell run for 33 yds for a TD, (Will Oliver KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:0058% → 56%
Q2 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
41.9%
Devontae Booker run for a loss of 3 yards to the Utah 22Similar
Q2 5:20
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+2
42.5%
Devontae Booker run for 2 yds to the Utah 24Similar
Q2 5:20
3RD & 11
OWN 24
-4
43.2%
Travis Wilson sacked by Addison Gillam for a loss of 4 yards to the Utah 20Similar
Q2 5:20
4TH & 15
OWN 20
0
43.9%
Tom Hackett punt for 65 yds , Shay Fields returns for no gain to the Colo 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 11FG
12 plays · 73 yds · 3:1447% → 57%
Q2 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+15
46.6%
Powell,Christia rush for loss of 4 yards to the COLO11 (Orchard, Nate), PENALTY UTAH face mask (Orchard, Nate) 15 yards to the COLO30, 1ST DOWN COLO, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-15
47.0%
COLORADO Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-15 Yards) to the Colo 15Similar
Q2 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
46.6%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to Nelson SpruceSimilar
Q2 3:30
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+9
46.3%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Nelson Spruce for 9 yds to the Colo 24Similar
Q2 3:30
3RD & 1
OWN 24
+9
46.0%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Kyle Slavin for 9 yds to the Colo 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
47.2%
Lindsay,Phillip rush for 2 yards to the COLO35 (Norris, Jared), PENALTY UTAH offside defense (Orchard, Nate) 5 yards to the COLO38, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:30
1ST & 5
OWN 38
+49
49.2%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Tyler McCulloch for 36 yds to the COLORADO 26 for a 1ST down UTAH Penalty, face mask (13 yards) (Marcus Williams) to the Utah 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:30
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+1
49.8%
Sefo Liufau run for 1 yd to the Utah 12Similar
Q2 3:30
2ND & 9
OPP 12
0
49.8%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to Christian Powell, broken up by Eric RoweSimilar
Q2 3:30
3RD & 9
OPP 12
0
48.9%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Tony Jones for no gain to the Utah 12Similar
Q2 0:16
4TH & 9
OPP 12
+29
56.9%
Will Oliver 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0045% → 45%
Q2 0:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
54.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 13TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:5844% → 60%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
56.1%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Kaelin Clay for a loss of 3 yards to the Utah 22Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+4
56.6%
Travis Wilson run for 4 yds to the Utah 26Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
57.2%
Travis Wilson pass incomplete to Kaelin Clay, broken up by Terrel SmithSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
58.1%
Tom Hackett punt, punt out-of-bounds at the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+42
52.9%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Westlee Tonga for 42 yds to the Colo 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+7
51.0%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Westlee Tonga for 7 yds to the Colo 1Similar
Q3 12:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
40.5%
Devontae Booker 1 Yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 14FG
8 plays · 36 yds · 2:0247% → 54%
Q3 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+17
46.7%
Christian Powell run for 17 yds to the Utah 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:55
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
49.9%
Christian Powell run for 3 yds to the Utah 45Similar
Q3 11:55
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+14
49.9%
Christian Powell run for 14 yds to the Utah 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:55
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
50.9%
Tony Jones run for 2 yds to the Utah 29Similar
Q3 11:55
2ND & 8
OPP 29
0
50.9%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to Nelson SpruceSimilar
Q3 11:55
3RD & 8
OPP 29
0
49.5%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to Shay Fields, broken up by Brian BlechenSimilar
Q3 9:53
4TH & 8
OPP 29
+46
54.4%
Will Oliver 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 15TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:1649% → 66%
Q3 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
51.5%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Kenneth Scott for 7 yds to the Utah 32Similar
Q3 9:53
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+6
49.0%
Devontae Booker run for 6 yds to the Utah 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
49.9%
Travis Wilson pass incomplete to Kaelin ClaySimilar
Q3 9:53
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+7
50.1%
Devontae Booker run for 7 yds to the Utah 45Similar
Q3 9:53
3RD & 3
OWN 45
+8
48.2%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Devontae Booker for 8 yds to the Colo 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:53
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
47.2%
Travis Wilson pass incomplete to Westlee Tonga, broken up by Ahkello WitherspoonSimilar
Q3 9:53
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+9
48.0%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Kaelin Clay for 9 yds to the Colo 38Similar
Q3 9:53
3RD & 1
OPP 38
+10
47.1%
Devontae Booker run for 10 yds to the Colo 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:37
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+28
34.4%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Westlee Tonga for 28 yds for a TD, (Travis Wilson intercepted )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 16TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 0:5841% → 61%
Q3 6:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
41.0%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to Nelson SpruceSimilar
Q3 6:37
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
40.8%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Christian Powell for 9 yds to the Colo 34Similar
Q3 5:39
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+66
61.1%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Nelson Spruce for 66 yds for a TD, (Will Oliver KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 17FG
12 plays · 57 yds · 3:5243% → 47%
Q3 5:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
57.5%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Troy McCormick for 15 yds to the Utah 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:39
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
55.2%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Kenneth Scott for 7 yds to the Utah 47Similar
Q3 5:39
2ND & 3
OWN 47
+2
53.5%
Devontae Booker run for 2 yds to the Utah 49Similar
Q3 5:39
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+4
53.7%
Devontae Booker run for 4 yds to the Colo 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:39
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
53.1%
Travis Wilson pass incomplete to Siale FakailoatongaSimilar
Q3 5:39
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+2
54.0%
Devontae Booker run for 2 yds to the Colo 45Similar
Q3 5:39
3RD & 8
OPP 45
+25
53.9%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Kenneth Scott for 25 yds to the Colo 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:39
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
50.8%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Devontae Booker for 2 yds to the Colo 18Similar
Q3 5:39
2ND & 8
OPP 18
0
50.8%
Travis Wilson pass incomplete to Devontae Booker, broken up by De'Jon WilsonSimilar
Q3 5:39
3RD & 8
OPP 18
0
53.5%
Travis Wilson pass incomplete to Westlee TongaSimilar
Q3 1:47
4TH & 8
OPP 18
+35
53.1%
Andy Phillips 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0056% → 53%
Q3 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
55.7%
Tony Jones run for 5 yds to the Colo 30Similar
Q3 1:47
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-1
56.4%
Christian Powell run for a loss of 1 yard to the Colo 29Similar
Q3 1:47
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
54.5%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to Donovan LeeSimilar
Q3 1:47
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
52.6%
Darragh O'Neill punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Utah 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 19PUNT
11 plays · 27 yds · 0:2844% → 46%
Q3 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+6
55.8%
Devontae Booker run for 6 yds to the Utah 34Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 34
+5
53.5%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Kenneth Scott for 5 yds to the Utah 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-5
54.4%
UTAH Penalty, false start (Delshawn McClellon) to the Utah 34Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 34
+10
56.7%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Kenneth Scott for 10 yds to the Utah 44Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+4
52.1%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Kaelin Clay for 4 yds to the Utah 48Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 48
+1
52.3%
Devontae Booker run for 1 yd to the Utah 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-8
51.9%
Travis Wilson sacked by N/A and Derek McCartney for a loss of 8 yards to the Utah 41Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 18
OWN 41
+5
56.1%
Booker,Devontae rush for 4 yards to the UTAH45 (Tupou, Josh;McCartney,Derek), PENALTY COLO offside defense 5 yards to the UTAH46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 13
OWN 46
+6
55.2%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Devontae Booker for 6 yds to the Colo 48Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 48
+3
52.3%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Devontae Booker for 3 yds to the Colo 45Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 4
OPP 45
0
54.2%
Tom Hackett punt for 45 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 20INT TD
2 plays · 1 yds · 0:3966% → 34%
Q4 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
65.6%
Christian Powell run for 1 yd to the Colo 21Similar
Q4 10:00
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+20
33.9%
Sefo Liufau pass intercepted for a TD Dominique Hatfield return for 20 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0038% → 36%
Q4 9:49
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
37.7%
Tony Jones run for 1 yd to the Colo 47Similar
Q4 9:49
2ND & 9
OWN 47
+7
37.6%
Sefo Liufau run for 7 yds to the Utah 46Similar
Q4 9:49
3RD & 2
OPP 46
0
38.3%
Tony Jones run for no gain to the Utah 46Similar
Q4 9:49
4TH & 2
OPP 46
0
35.6%
Darragh O'Neill punt for 42 yds, downed at the Utah 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0072% → 70%
Q4 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 5
-2
27.7%
UTAH Penalty, false start (-2 Yards) to the Utah 3Similar
Q4 8:12
1ST & 12
OWN 3
+2
27.7%
Devontae Booker run for 2 yds to the Utah 5Similar
Q4 8:12
2ND & 10
OWN 5
+5
28.1%
Devontae Booker run for 5 yds to the Utah 10Similar
Q4 8:12
3RD & 5
OWN 10
0
29.1%
Travis Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:12
4TH & 5
OWN 10
+3
30.5%
Tom Hackett punt for 70 yds , Shay Fields returns for 3 yds to the Colo 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 23PUNT
7 plays · 26 yds · 0:0033% → 31%
Q4 6:37
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+8
32.8%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to D.D. Goodson for 8 yds to the Colo 31Similar
Q4 6:37
2ND & 2
OWN 31
+1
35.7%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Shay Fields for 1 yd to the Colo 32Similar
Q4 6:37
3RD & 1
OWN 32
+18
33.9%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Tyler McCulloch for 18 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:37
1ST & 10
50
+2
38.0%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Nelson Spruce for 2 yds to the Utah 48Similar
Q4 6:37
2ND & 8
OPP 48
-3
38.7%
Sefo Liufau sacked by Pita Taumoepenu for a loss of 3 yards to the Colo 49Similar
Q4 6:37
3RD & 11
OWN 49
0
33.4%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to Nelson SpruceSimilar
Q4 6:37
4TH & 11
OWN 49
+36
30.8%
Darragh O'Neill punt for 36 yds , Kaelin Clay returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 24END OF GAME
10 plays · 24 yds · 2:3078% → 92%
Q4 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+3
21.6%
Devontae Booker run for 3 yds to the Utah 17Similar
Q4 3:48
2ND & 7
OWN 17
+5
21.7%
Devontae Booker run for 5 yds to the Utah 22Similar
Q4 2:55
3RD & 2
OWN 22
+4
16.4%
Devontae Booker run for 4 yds to the Utah 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
14.7%
Devontae Booker run for 2 yds to the Utah 28Similar
Q4 2:50
2ND & 8
OWN 28
0
14.5%
Travis Wilson run for no gain to the Utah 28Similar
Q4 1:18
3RD & 8
OWN 28
+11
9.8%
Devontae Booker run for 11 yds to the Utah 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-1
7.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 10:00
Sefo Liufau pass intercepted for a TD Dominique Hatfield return for 20 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK)
-31.7
TD · Q3 5:39
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Nelson Spruce for 66 yds for a TD, (Will Oliver KICK)
+20.4
TD · Q3 6:37
Travis Wilson pass complete to Westlee Tonga for 28 yds for a TD, (Travis Wilson intercepted )
-12.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com