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STAN

Stanford 31 at UCLA 10

UCLA
2014 · Week 14 · Nov 28, 2014 · Rose Bowl
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Win probability · UCLA
modelUCLA aheadSTAN aheadconfidence bandkey playUCLA scoreSTAN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDFGEnd of GameFG-0.2UCLA 63.3%Ka'imi Fairbairn 42 yd FG GOODAWAY 7 - HOME 10 · Q2 11:46
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 11:46 · Ka'imi Fairbairn 42 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+55.5+27.80−27.8−55.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 48Home team on offense+2.2Score differential−0.1Pregame prior+8.1Garbage-time factor+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 6:00: Remound Wright 1 Yd Run (Jordan Williamson Kick) — STAN win probability +3.1 pts (now 40%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 6:24: Michael Rector 22 Yd pass from Kevin Hogan (Jordan Williamson Kick) — STAN win probability +8.2 pts (now 48%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:41: Devon Cajuste 37 Yd pass from Kevin Hogan (Jordan Williamson Kick) — STAN win probability +13.0 pts (now 64%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 9:16: Remound Wright 2 Yd Run (Jordan Williamson Kick) — STAN win probability +13.1 pts (now 84%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q3 1:26: Christian McCaffrey run for 6 yds to the Stanf 26 — STAN win probability +5.4 pts (now 93%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UCLA made the numbers' call on 9 of 9STAN made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 12:45STAN 4th & 10 at STAN 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.6%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:42UCLA 4th & 3 at UCLA 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.9%−<0.1
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.9%
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:54STAN 4th & 10 at STAN 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.0%−0.8
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.8%
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:46UCLA 4th & 10 at STAN 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 62.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.0%−0.4
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    62.3%
    68% to make
    Punt
    60.1%−2.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 4:38UCLA 4th & 10 at STAN 44, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.1%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    53.4%−0.8
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    54.2%
    average punt
  6. Q3 13:05UCLA 4th & 7 at UCLA 40, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.3%−0.4
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.7%
    average punt
  7. Q3 7:52UCLA 4th & 12 at UCLA 15, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.4%−2.6
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.0%
    average punt
  8. Q3 6:17STAN 4th & 5 at STAN 41, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.2%−1.0
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.2%
    average punt
  9. Q3 1:26UCLA 4th & 5 at STAN 30, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 14.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.8%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    13.5%−0.3
    56% to make
    Punt
    11.3%−2.5
    average punt
  10. Q4 10:40STAN 4th & 5 at UCLA 17, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 94.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.1%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.3%
    80% to make
    Punt
    90.0%−4.3
    average punt
  11. Q4 8:10UCLA 4th & 10 at STAN 45, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.4%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    2.3%−0.1
    25% to make
    Punt
    2.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 6:47UCLA 4th & 4 at STAN 4, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    3.0%−0.3
    93% to make
    Punt
    0.8%−2.4
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:00STAN 4th & 1 at STAN 13, up 21
    Close callPunted · 98.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.7%−0.2
    average punt
  14. Q4 3:12UCLA 4th & 10 at UCLA 48, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.0%
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.9%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UCLA made the numbers' call on 1 of 1STAN made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 11:18UCLA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:00STAN Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 6:24STAN Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:41STAN Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 9:16STAN Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
STANDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 2:1538% → 38%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
61.7%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Remound Wright for 9 yds to the Stanf 34Similar
Q1 14:30
2ND & 1
OWN 34
-15
61.6%
Wright, Remound rush for 1 yard to the STANFORD35, PENALTY STANFORD personal foul (Peat, Andrus) 15 yards to the STANFORD19, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 14:10
2ND & 16
OWN 19
+3
61.7%
Barry Sanders run for 3 yds to the Stanf 22Similar
Q1 13:35
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+3
61.7%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Francis Owusu for 3 yds to the Stanf 25Similar
Q1 12:45
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+1
61.8%
Ben Rhyne punt for 40 yds , Ishmael Adams returns for 1 yd to the UCLA 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 2TD
5 plays · 64 yds · 1:2762% → 63%
Q1 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+21
61.7%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Thomas Duarte for 21 yds to the Stanf 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:15
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+8
62.0%
Paul Perkins run for 8 yds to the Stanf 35Similar
Q1 11:50
2ND & 2
OPP 35
+14
62.1%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Devin Fuller for 14 yds to the Stanf 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+6
62.2%
Paul Perkins run for 6 yds to the Stanf 15Similar
Q1 11:18
2ND & 4
OPP 15
+15
63.3%
Thomas Duarte 15 Yd pass from Brett Hundley (Ka'imi Fairbairn Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 3TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 5:1837% → 40%
Q1 11:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
62.8%
Remound Wright run for 6 yds to the Stanf 31 STANFORD Penalty, Offensive Holding (Andrus Peat) to the Stanf 21Similar
Q1 10:30
1ST & 14
OWN 21
+21
63.1%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Christian McCaffrey for 21 yds to the Stanf 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
63.0%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Francis Owusu for 5 yds to the Stanf 47Similar
Q1 9:31
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+4
63.1%
UCLA Penalty, Defensive Offside (Deon Hollins) to the UCLA 49Similar
Q1 9:31
2ND & 1
OPP 49
+25
62.9%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Austin Hooper for 25 yds to the UCLA 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-1
62.6%
Barry Sanders run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 25Similar
Q1 8:30
2ND & 11
OPP 25
+13
62.9%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Austin Hooper for 13 yds to the UCLA 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+4
62.9%
Remound Wright run for 4 yds to the UCLA 8Similar
Q1 7:15
2ND & 6
OPP 8
+4
63.0%
Christian McCaffrey run for 4 yds to the UCLA 4Similar
Q1 6:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
59.9%
Remound Wright 1 Yd Run (Jordan Williamson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:1861% → 60%
Q1 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+3
61.3%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Paul Perkins for 3 yds to the UCLA 19Similar
Q1 5:30
2ND & 7
OWN 19
+4
61.2%
Paul Perkins run for 4 yds to the UCLA 23Similar
Q1 5:00
3RD & 3
OWN 23
0
60.9%
Brett Hundley pass incomplete to Thomas DuarteSimilar
Q1 4:42
4TH & 3
OWN 23
+3
60.4%
Matt Mengel punt for 60 yds , Christian McCaffrey returns for 3 yds to the Stanf 26 STANFORD Penalty, Illegal Block (Francis Owusu) to the Stanf 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 5PUNT
11 plays · 14 yds · 4:4839% → 38%
Q1 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-1
61.1%
Kelsey Young run for a loss of 1 yard to the Stanf 9Similar
Q1 4:05
2ND & 11
OWN 9
+3
61.2%
Kevin Hogan run for 3 yds to the Stanf 12Similar
Q1 3:05
3RD & 8
OWN 12
+5
61.5%
UCLA Penalty, Defensive Offside (Myles Jack) to the Stanf 17Similar
Q1 2:40
3RD & 3
OWN 17
+22
61.3%
Kevin Hogan run for 7 yds to the Stanf 24 for a 1ST down UCLA Penalty, Illegal Use of Hands (Owamagbe Odighizuwa) to the Stanf 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-15
59.7%
STANFORD Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Michael Rector) to the Stanf 24Similar
Q1 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-5
60.4%
STANFORD Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Stanf 19Similar
Q1 1:35
1ST & 15
OWN 19
-2
60.5%
Kelsey Young run for a loss of 2 yards to the Stanf 17Similar
Q1 1:06
2ND & 17
OWN 17
-3
60.9%
Christian McCaffrey run for a loss of 3 yards to the Stanf 14Similar
Q1 0:25
3RD & 20
OWN 14
+10
61.3%
Christian McCaffrey run for 10 yds to the Stanf 24Similar
Q2 14:54
4TH & 10
OWN 24
0
61.7%
Ben Rhyne punt for 25 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Stanf 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 6FG
10 plays · 25 yds · 3:0863% → 63%
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
63.4%
Paul Perkins run for 2 yds to the Stanf 47Similar
Q2 14:30
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+3
63.6%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Devin Fuller for 3 yds to the Stanf 44Similar
Q2 14:00
3RD & 5
OPP 44
+10
63.4%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Mossi Johnson for 10 yds to the Stanf 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:40
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
64.1%
Paul Perkins run for 2 yds to the Stanf 32Similar
Q2 13:00
2ND & 8
OPP 32
+7
64.3%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Mossi Johnson for 7 yds to the Stanf 25Similar
Q2 12:40
3RD & 1
OPP 25
+1
63.7%
Paul Perkins run for 1 yd to the Stanf 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:15
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
64.4%
Brett Hundley pass incomplete to Eldridge MassingtonSimilar
Q2 12:05
2ND & 10
OPP 24
0
64.3%
Brett Hundley pass incomplete to Paul PerkinsSimilar
Q2 11:58
3RD & 10
OPP 24
0
63.6%
Brett Hundley pass incomplete to Devin FullerSimilar
Q2 11:46
4TH & 10
OPP 24
+42
63.3%
Ka'imi Fairbairn 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 7TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 5:2237% → 48%
Q2 11:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
63.3%
Barry Sanders run for 2 yds to the Stanf 27Similar
Q2 11:15
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+12
63.3%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Jeff Trojan for 12 yds to the Stanf 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
62.3%
Remound Wright run for 3 yds to the Stanf 42Similar
Q2 10:00
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+5
61.8%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Michael Rector for 5 yds to the Stanf 47Similar
Q2 9:30
3RD & 2
OWN 47
+3
61.6%
Remound Wright run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:00
1ST & 10
50
+12
61.1%
Francis Owusu run for 12 yds to the UCLA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
61.5%
Christian McCaffrey run for 4 yds to the UCLA 34Similar
Q2 7:30
2ND & 6
OPP 34
+13
60.7%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Devon Cajuste for 13 yds to the UCLA 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-1
60.6%
Kevin Hogan run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 22Similar
Q2 6:24
2ND & 11
OPP 22
+22
52.5%
Michael Rector 22 Yd pass from Kevin Hogan (Jordan Williamson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 31 yds · 1:4656% → 55%
Q2 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
55.6%
Paul Perkins run for 11 yds to the UCLA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+20
56.3%
Paul Perkins run for 20 yds to the Stanf 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
58.3%
Brett Hundley run for 1 yd to the Stanf 43Similar
Q2 5:00
2ND & 9
OPP 43
-1
58.1%
Brett Hundley sacked by James Vaughters for a loss of 1 yard to the Stanf 44Similar
Q2 4:45
3RD & 10
OPP 44
0
56.2%
Brett Hundley pass incomplete to Devin LucienSimilar
Q2 4:38
4TH & 10
OPP 44
0
55.0%
Adam Searl punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Christian McCaffrey at the Stanf 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 9TD
12 plays · 92 yds · 3:5744% → 64%
Q2 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+4
55.7%
Christian McCaffrey run for 4 yds to the Stanf 12Similar
Q2 4:00
2ND & 6
OWN 12
+2
54.9%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Lee Ward for 2 yds to the Stanf 14Similar
Q2 3:30
3RD & 4
OWN 14
+9
55.2%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Jordan Pratt for 9 yds to the Stanf 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
52.7%
Remound Wright run for 5 yds to the Stanf 28Similar
Q2 2:05
2ND & 5
OWN 28
-5
51.6%
STANFORD Penalty, False Start (Andrus Peat) to the Stanf 23Similar
Q2 1:40
2ND & 10
OWN 23
0
52.6%
Kevin Hogan pass incomplete to Michael RectorSimilar
Q2 1:35
3RD & 10
OWN 23
+11
53.2%
Kevin Hogan run for 11 yds to the Stanf 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+14
51.4%
Hogan, Kevin pass incomplete to Rector, Michael, PENALTY UCLA pass interference (Goodman, Tahaan) 14 yards to the STANFORD48, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN STANFORD. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
49.7%
Kevin Hogan run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 1:05
2ND & 8
50
+13
48.9%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Austin Hooper for 13 yds to the UCLA 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:41
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+37
36.0%
Devon Cajuste 37 Yd pass from Kevin Hogan (Jordan Williamson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 10END OF HALF
3 plays · -7 yds · 0:0640% → 40%
Q2 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
40.4%
Brett Hundley pass incomplete to Thomas DuarteSimilar
Q2 0:35
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-7
40.2%
Brett Hundley sacked by David Parry and Kevin Palma for a loss of 7 yards to the UCLA 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 1:5539% → 36%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
38.5%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Devin Fuller for 5 yds to the UCLA 30Similar
Q3 14:50
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+7
38.9%
Nate Starks run for 7 yds to the UCLA 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:25
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-1
38.9%
Nate Starks run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 36Similar
Q3 14:05
2ND & 11
OWN 36
+5
38.2%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Devin Fuller for 5 yds to the UCLA 41Similar
Q3 13:40
3RD & 6
OWN 41
-1
38.2%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Nate Starks for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 40Similar
Q3 13:05
4TH & 7
OWN 40
0
36.4%
Matt Mengel punt for 60 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 12TD
8 plays · 80 yds · 3:4963% → 84%
Q3 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
37.2%
Remound Wright run for 2 yds to the Stanf 22Similar
Q3 12:30
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+27
36.6%
Remound Wright run for 27 yds to the Stanf 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+16
34.1%
Kevin Hogan run for 16 yds to the UCLA 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:20
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+29
33.4%
Christian McCaffrey run for 29 yds to the UCLA 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
31.9%
Kelsey Young run for 1 yd to the UCLA 5Similar
Q3 10:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
31.2%
Christian McCaffrey run for 3 yds to the UCLA 2Similar
Q3 9:16
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
15.6%
Remound Wright 2 Yd Run (Jordan Williamson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 13PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:2420% → 18%
Q3 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
20.0%
Brett Hundley pass incomplete to Jordan PaytonSimilar
Q3 9:05
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+4
19.6%
Paul Perkins run for 4 yds to the UCLA 21Similar
Q3 8:20
3RD & 6
OWN 21
-6
18.9%
Brett Hundley sacked by David Parry for a loss of 6 yards to the UCLA 15Similar
Q3 7:52
4TH & 12
OWN 15
0
18.4%
Matt Mengel punt for 49 yds, downed at the Stanf 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:3585% → 86%
Q3 7:52
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
15.1%
Remound Wright run for 3 yds to the Stanf 39Similar
Q3 7:10
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+2
14.2%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Remound Wright for 2 yds to the Stanf 41Similar
Q3 6:35
3RD & 5
OWN 41
0
13.5%
Kevin Hogan pass incomplete to Austin HooperSimilar
Q3 6:17
4TH & 5
OWN 41
+7
13.8%
Ben Rhyne punt for 47 yds , Ishmael Adams returns for 7 yds to the UCLA 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 15INT
14 plays · 51 yds · 4:3417% → 13%
Q3 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+2
17.2%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Devin Fuller for 2 yds to the UCLA 21Similar
Q3 5:30
2ND & 8
OWN 21
+10
16.7%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Mossi Johnson for 10 yds to the UCLA 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+8
16.5%
Paul Perkins run for 8 yds to the UCLA 39Similar
Q3 4:55
2ND & 2
OWN 39
+4
17.4%
Paul Perkins run for 4 yds to the UCLA 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
17.6%
Brett Hundley pass incomplete to Devin FullerSimilar
Q3 4:25
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+11
16.8%
Paul Perkins run for 11 yds to the Stanf 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:05
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
17.5%
Paul Perkins run for 5 yds to the Stanf 41Similar
Q3 3:50
2ND & 5
OPP 41
+6
17.5%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Devin Lucien for 6 yds to the Stanf 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:25
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
17.6%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Devin Fuller for 5 yds to the Stanf 30Similar
Q3 3:00
2ND & 5
OPP 30
-8
17.5%
Brett Hundley sacked by Henry Anderson for a loss of 8 yards to the Stanf 38Similar
Q3 2:15
3RD & 13
OPP 38
+5
14.2%
STANFORD Penalty, Defensive Offside (Alex Carter) to the Stanf 33Similar
Q3 2:00
3RD & 8
OPP 33
+3
13.8%
Brett Hundley run for 3 yds to the Stanf 30Similar
Q3 1:26
4TH & 5
OPP 30
0
12.8%
Jerry Neuheisel pass intercepted, touchback. Jordan Richards return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 16FG
10 plays · 63 yds · 5:4693% → 98%
Q3 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
7.4%
Christian McCaffrey run for 6 yds to the Stanf 26Similar
Q3 0:45
2ND & 4
OWN 26
0
7.0%
Remound Wright run for no gain to the Stanf 26Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+8
6.8%
Kevin Hogan run for 8 yds to the Stanf 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
6.1%
Christian McCaffrey run for 2 yds to the Stanf 36Similar
Q4 13:40
2ND & 8
OWN 36
-1
5.8%
Remound Wright run for a loss of 1 yard to the Stanf 35Similar
Q4 12:45
3RD & 9
OWN 35
+43
5.7%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Francis Owusu for 43 yds to the UCLA 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:05
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
4.6%
Remound Wright run for 2 yds to the UCLA 20Similar
Q4 11:20
2ND & 8
OPP 20
+3
4.1%
Christian McCaffrey run for 3 yds to the UCLA 17Similar
Q4 11:00
3RD & 5
OPP 17
0
4.1%
Kevin Hogan pass incomplete to Devon CajusteSimilar
Q4 10:40
4TH & 5
OPP 17
+34
2.1%
Jordan Williamson 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 17DOWNS
18 plays · 71 yds · 3:533% → 2%
Q4 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
2.5%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Paul Perkins for no gain to the UCLA 25Similar
Q4 10:10
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
2.3%
Brett Hundley pass incomplete to Devin FullerSimilar
Q4 10:05
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+17
2.3%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Jordan Payton for 17 yds to the UCLA 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
2.5%
Brett Hundley pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:30
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+9
2.3%
Paul Perkins run for 9 yds to the Stanf 49Similar
Q4 9:05
3RD & 1
OPP 49
+4
2.6%
Paul Perkins run for 4 yds to the Stanf 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
2.4%
Brett Hundley pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:45
2ND & 10
OPP 45
0
2.4%
Brett Hundley pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:35
3RD & 10
OPP 45
0
2.3%
Brett Hundley pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:10
4TH & 10
OPP 45
+24
2.1%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Thomas Duarte for 24 yds to the Stanf 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:05
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
2.6%
Brett Hundley pass incomplete to Devin LucienSimilar
Q4 7:55
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+14
2.5%
Paul Perkins run for 14 yds to the Stanf 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
2.5%
Brett Hundley pass incomplete to Devin FullerSimilar
Q4 7:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
2.3%
Jerry Neuheisel pass complete to Thomas Duarte for 3 yds to the Stanf 4Similar
Q4 7:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
2.0%
Jerry Neuheisel pass incomplete to Thomas DuarteSimilar
Q4 6:47
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
0
1.9%
Jerry Neuheisel pass incomplete to Jordan PaytonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:4799% → 99%
Q4 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+6
1.1%
Remound Wright run for 6 yds to the Stanf 10Similar
Q4 6:00
2ND & 4
OWN 10
+1
1.0%
Remound Wright run for 1 yd to the Stanf 11Similar
Q4 5:15
3RD & 3
OWN 11
+2
0.8%
Christian McCaffrey run for 2 yds to the Stanf 13Similar
Q4 5:00
4TH & 1
OWN 13
0
0.8%
Ben Rhyne punt for 51 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UCLA 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 19DOWNS
7 plays · 12 yds · 1:481% → 0%
Q4 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
0.5%
Jerry Neuheisel pass complete to Jordan Payton for 9 yds to the UCLA 45Similar
Q4 4:31
2ND & 1
OWN 45
0
0.5%
Jerry Neuheisel pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:15
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+3
0.4%
Paul Perkins run for 3 yds to the UCLA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
0.5%
Jerry Neuheisel pass complete to Devin Fuller for 4 yds to the Stanf 48Similar
Q4 3:40
2ND & 6
OPP 48
-4
0.5%
Jerry Neuheisel sacked by Peter Kalambayi for a loss of 4 yards to the UCLA 48Similar
Q4 3:25
3RD & 10
OWN 48
0
0.5%
Jerry Neuheisel pass incomplete to Devin FullerSimilar
Q4 3:12
4TH & 10
OWN 48
0
0.4%
Jerry Neuheisel pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 20END OF GAME
4 plays · 11 yds · 2:32100% → 100%
Q4 3:12
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
0.5%
Ricky Seale run for 3 yds to the UCLA 45Similar
Q4 2:20
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+2
0.4%
Ricky Seale run for 2 yds to the UCLA 43Similar
Q4 1:30
3RD & 5
OPP 43
+7
0.3%
Ricky Seale run for 7 yds to the UCLA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:40
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-1
0.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 9:16
Remound Wright 2 Yd Run (Jordan Williamson Kick)
-13.1
TD · Q2 0:41
Devon Cajuste 37 Yd pass from Kevin Hogan (Jordan Williamson Kick)
-13
TD · Q2 6:24
Michael Rector 22 Yd pass from Kevin Hogan (Jordan Williamson Kick)
-8.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com