Try the model
ORST

Oregon State 13 at Washington 37

WASH
2014 · Week 13 · Nov 22, 2014 · Husky Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · WASH
modelWASH aheadORST aheadconfidence bandkey playWASH scoreORST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDFGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 1:29 · Korey Durkee punt for 47 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+34.0+17.00−17.0−34.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 77Home team on offense+8.3Score differential+1.2Pregame prior+4.4Garbage-time factor+3.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.8Time remaining−0.8
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 10:41: Cameron Van Winkle 34 yd FG GOOD — WASH win probability +7.2 pts (now 79%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 2:30: Sean Mannion pass complete to Jordan Villamin for 9 yds for a TD, (Garrett Owens KICK) — ORST win probability +7.6 pts (now 30%) (top driver: ORST has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 10:27: Cameron Van Winkle 41 yd FG GOOD — WASH win probability +5.8 pts (now 83%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 0:54: Sean Mannion pass complete to Jordan Villamin for 11 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — ORST win probability +8.3 pts (now 21%) (top driver: ORST has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 13:07: Jaydon Mickens run for 36 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK) — WASH win probability +10.9 pts (now 96%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WASH made the numbers' call on 6 of 6ORST made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00ORST 4th & 7 at ORST 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.9%−<0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:32ORST 4th & 9 at WASH 34, down 7
    Close callPunted · 35.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.2%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    35.2%
    47% to make
    PuntTheir call
    35.1%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:38ORST 4th & 3 at WASH 17, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 31.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    31.7%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    31.5%−0.2
    80% to make
    Punt
    28.2%−3.5
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:41WASH 4th & 7 at ORST 17, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 75.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.3%−0.6
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    74.9%
    80% to make
    Punt
    68.9%−6.0
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:32ORST 4th & 9 at ORST 28, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.5%−1.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:44WASH 4th & 8 at ORST 48, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.9%−0.5
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:29WASH 4th & 12 at WASH 20, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.2%−1.9
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.1%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:43ORST 4th & 1 at ORST 42, down 10
    Close callPunted · 25.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.4%−0.5
    average punt
  9. Q3 14:52WASH 4th & 6 at WASH 31, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.1%−1.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.3%
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:27WASH 4th & 5 at ORST 24, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 78.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.3%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    77.5%
    68% to make
    Punt
    70.9%−6.6
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:21ORST 4th & 6 at ORST 35, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.2%−0.5
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.7%
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:56WASH 4th & 8 at ORST 8, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 87.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.3%−0.8
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    87.0%
    90% to make
    Punt
    79.4%−7.6
    average punt
  13. Q3 4:46ORST 4th & 4 at ORST 29, down 16
    Close callPunted · 10.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.1%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.9%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 13:07ORST 4th & 17 at ORST 40, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.6%−1.6
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.2%
    average punt
  15. Q4 7:09ORST 4th & 5 at WASH 5, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.3%
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    1.0%−0.3
    92% to make
    Punt
    0.5%−0.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WASH made the numbers' call on 3 of 4ORST made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 11:20WASH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:47WASH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 2:30ORST Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    24.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    24.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 0:54ORST Touchdown, down 10 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    17.3%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    17.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 13:07WASH Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 7:17WASH Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ORSTDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0042% → 42%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-9
58.5%
Sean Mannion sacked by Hau'oli Kikaha for a loss of 9 yards to the OrgSt 8Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 19
OWN 8
+3
58.5%
Storm Woods run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 11Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 16
OWN 11
+9
58.5%
Storm Woods run for 9 yds to the OrgSt 20Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 7
OWN 20
+5
58.5%
Keith Kostol punt for 41 yds , Dante Pettis returns for 5 yds to the Wash 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 2TD
3 plays · 56 yds · 1:2059% → 60%
Q1 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-3
58.8%
Dwayne Washington run for a loss of 3 yards to the Wash 41Similar
Q1 12:40
2ND & 13
OWN 41
+5
58.7%
Dwayne Washington run for 5 yds to the Wash 46Similar
Q1 11:20
3RD & 8
OWN 46
+54
60.1%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Jaydon Mickens for 54 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 3PUNT
13 plays · 49 yds · 4:4440% → 38%
Q1 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+4
59.9%
Storm Woods run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 21Similar
Q1 11:16
2ND & 6
OWN 21
+5
59.9%
Storm Woods run for 5 yds to the OrgSt 26Similar
Q1 11:16
3RD & 1
OWN 26
+3
59.9%
Storm Woods run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
59.9%
Sean Mannion pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:16
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+6
59.9%
Storm Woods run for 6 yds to the OrgSt 35Similar
Q1 11:16
3RD & 4
OWN 35
+16
59.9%
Sean Mannion pass complete to Victor Bolden for 16 yds to the Wash 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:16
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+14
59.5%
Sean Mannion pass complete to Victor Bolden for 14 yds to the Wash 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:16
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
59.4%
Sean Mannion pass incomplete to Chris BrownSimilar
Q1 11:16
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+1
59.4%
Sean Mannion pass complete to Storm Woods for 1 yd to the Wash 34Similar
Q1 11:16
3RD & 9
OPP 34
0
59.6%
Sean Mannion pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:32
4TH & 9
OPP 34
0
61.8%
Keith Kostol punt for 34 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 4TD
5 plays · 80 yds · 1:3462% → 68%
Q1 6:21
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
62.3%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Jaydon Mickens for 3 yds to the Wash 23Similar
Q1 6:21
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+3
62.3%
Dwayne Washington run for 3 yds to the Wash 26Similar
Q1 6:21
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+6
62.1%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Jaydon Mickens for 6 yds to the Wash 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:21
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
62.4%
Cyler Miles pass incomplete to Dante PettisSimilar
Q1 4:47
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+68
67.8%
Dwayne Washington run for 68 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 5DOWNS
9 plays · 44 yds · 0:0033% → 34%
Q1 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+23
66.7%
Sean Mannion pass complete to Chris Brown for 8 yds to the Wash 49 for a 1ST down WASHINGTON Penalty, personal foul (John Ross) to the Wash 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:38
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+1
66.1%
Chris Brown run for 1 yd to the Wash 35Similar
Q1 4:38
2ND & 9
OPP 35
0
65.7%
Sean Mannion pass incomplete to Connor HamlettSimilar
Q1 4:38
3RD & 9
OPP 35
+11
66.2%
Sean Mannion pass complete to Storm Woods for 11 yds to the Wash 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:38
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
65.6%
Sean Mannion pass incomplete to Victor Bolden, broken up by Kevin KingSimilar
Q1 4:38
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+2
65.7%
Storm Woods run for 2 yds to the Wash 22Similar
Q1 4:38
3RD & 8
OPP 22
+5
66.1%
Sean Mannion pass complete to Connor Hamlett for 5 yds to the Wash 17Similar
Q1 4:38
4TH & 3
OPP 17
+2
66.2%
Sean Mannion pass complete to Storm Woods for 2 yds to the Wash 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 6FG
14 plays · 68 yds · 5:3770% → 79%
Q1 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+1
70.3%
Dwayne Washington run for 1 yd to the Wash 16Similar
Q1 1:18
2ND & 9
OWN 16
+10
70.2%
Cyler Miles run for 10 yds to the Wash 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
70.4%
Dwayne Washington run for 3 yds to the Wash 29Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+6
71.4%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Joshua Perkins for 6 yds to the Wash 35Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 35
+2
71.3%
Dwayne Washington run for 2 yds to the Wash 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
71.6%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Brayden Lenius for 4 yds to the Wash 41Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+5
72.1%
Dwayne Washington run for 5 yds to the Wash 46Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+2
71.7%
Dwayne Washington run for 2 yds to the Wash 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+7
72.1%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Dante Pettis for 7 yds to the OrgSt 45Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 45
+25
72.3%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Dante Pettis for 25 yds to the OrgSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
72.3%
Dwayne Washington run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 17Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 17
+2
72.3%
Cyler Miles run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 15Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 15
-2
72.1%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Jaydon Mickens for a loss of 2 yards to the OrgSt 17Similar
Q2 10:41
4TH & 7
OPP 17
+34
79.2%
Cameron Van Winkle 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0023% → 23%
Q2 10:32
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-8
76.7%
Sean Mannion sacked by Joe Mathis for a loss of 8 yards to the OrgSt 19Similar
Q2 10:32
2ND & 18
OWN 19
+3
77.1%
Victor Bolden run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 22Similar
Q2 10:32
3RD & 15
OWN 22
+6
77.2%
Sean Mannion pass complete to Storm Woods for 6 yds to the OrgSt 28Similar
Q2 10:32
4TH & 9
OWN 28
+3
77.2%
Keith Kostol punt for 53 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wash 37 , Dante Pettis returns for 3 yds to the Wash 31 OREGON ST Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Ricky Ortiz) to the Wash 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 8PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 0:0081% → 81%
Q2 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
81.2%
Jaydon Mickens run for 5 yds to the Wash 42Similar
Q2 8:44
2ND & 5
OWN 42
-1
81.7%
Deontae Cooper run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 41Similar
Q2 8:44
3RD & 6
OWN 41
+9
81.2%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Joshua Perkins for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:44
1ST & 10
50
-9
81.8%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Marvin Hall for 6 yds to the WASHINGTON 44 WASHINGTON Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the Wash 41Similar
Q2 8:44
2ND & 19
OWN 41
+11
81.4%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Marvin Hall for 11 yds to the OrgSt 48Similar
Q2 8:44
3RD & 8
OPP 48
-10
81.2%
WASHINGTON Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Wash 42Similar
Q2 8:44
3RD & 18
OWN 42
+10
81.0%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Dwayne Washington for 10 yds to the OrgSt 48Similar
Q2 8:44
4TH & 8
OPP 48
0
80.6%
Korey Durkee punt for 48 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 9TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 3:1320% → 30%
Q2 5:43
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-10
79.6%
Woods, Storm rush for 6 yards to the OSU26 (Bierria, K.), PENALTY OSU holding (Lauina, Fred) 10 yards to the OSU10, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:43
1ST & 20
OWN 10
-5
79.7%
OREGON ST Penalty, delay of game (Sean Mannion) to the OrgSt 5Similar
Q2 5:43
1ST & 25
OWN 5
0
80.2%
Sean Mannion pass incomplete to Storm WoodsSimilar
Q2 5:43
2ND & 25
OWN 5
0
80.3%
Sean Mannion pass incomplete to Connor Hamlett, broken up by John TimuSimilar
Q2 5:43
3RD & 25
OWN 5
+72
80.4%
Sean Mannion pass complete to Victor Bolden for 72 yds to the Wash 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:43
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+2
77.1%
Storm Woods run for 2 yds to the Wash 21Similar
Q2 5:43
2ND & 8
OPP 21
+6
77.1%
Sean Mannion pass complete to Victor Bolden for 6 yds to the Wash 15Similar
Q2 5:43
3RD & 2
OPP 15
+6
77.9%
Storm Woods run for 6 yds to the Wash 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
70.2%
Sean Mannion pass complete to Jordan Villamin for 9 yds for a TD, (Garrett Owens KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 0:5274% → 73%
Q2 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
73.9%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Joshua Perkins for 4 yds to the Wash 26Similar
Q2 2:21
2ND & 6
OWN 26
0
74.1%
Cyler Miles pass incomplete to Joshua PerkinsSimilar
Q2 2:21
3RD & 6
OWN 26
-6
73.2%
Cyler Miles sacked by Dylan Wynn for a loss of 6 yards to the Wash 20 Cyler Miles fumbled, recovered by Wash Cyler Miles , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 1:29
4TH & 12
OWN 20
0
72.6%
Korey Durkee punt for 47 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:3725% → 26%
Q2 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
74.7%
Sean Mannion pass complete to Victor Bolden for 5 yds to the OrgSt 38Similar
Q2 1:20
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+4
73.8%
Sean Mannion pass complete to Storm Woods for 4 yds to the OrgSt 42Similar
Q2 0:50
3RD & 1
OWN 42
0
73.0%
Sean Mannion pass incomplete to Jordan Villamin, broken up by Sidney JonesSimilar
Q2 0:43
4TH & 1
OWN 42
-2
74.4%
Keith Kostol punt for 54 yds , Dante Pettis returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Wash 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · 1 yds · 0:0075% → 75%
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+1
75.2%
Cyler Miles run for 1 yd to the Wash 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:0074% → 73%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+9
74.3%
Dwayne Washington run for 9 yds to the Wash 36Similar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 1
OWN 36
0
75.1%
Dwayne Washington run for no gain to the Wash 36Similar
Q3 14:52
3RD & 1
OWN 36
0
74.3%
Dwayne Washington run for no gain to the Wash 36 Dwayne Washington fumbled, forced by Michael Doctor, recovered by Wash Dexter CharlesSimilar
Q3 14:52
4TH & 1
OWN 36
-5
73.3%
WASHINGTON Penalty, delay of game (Jeff Lindquist) to the Wash 31Similar
Q3 14:52
4TH & 6
OWN 31
0
72.6%
Korey Durkee punt for 38 yds, downed at the OrgSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 14INT
2 plays · 46 yds · 0:0025% → 29%
Q3 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+46
74.6%
Sean Mannion pass complete to Rahmel Dockery for 46 yds to the Wash 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:42
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+59
71.5%
Sean Mannion pass intercepted Travis Feeney return for 59 yds to the OrgSt 29 Travis Feeney fumbled, forced by Josh Mitchell, recovered by WashSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 15FG
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:2478% → 83%
Q3 11:51
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
78.0%
Marvin Hall run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 25Similar
Q3 11:51
2ND & 6
OPP 25
+1
78.0%
Lavon Coleman run for 1 yd to the OrgSt 24Similar
Q3 11:51
3RD & 5
OPP 24
0
77.1%
Cyler Miles pass incomplete to Joshua PerkinsSimilar
Q3 10:27
4TH & 5
OPP 24
+41
82.9%
Cameron Van Winkle 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0019% → 17%
Q3 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
81.5%
Storm Woods run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 34Similar
Q3 10:21
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+4
81.1%
Storm Woods run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 38Similar
Q3 10:21
3RD & 3
OWN 38
-3
81.1%
Sean Mannion pass complete to Storm Woods for a loss of 3 yards to the OrgSt 35Similar
Q3 10:21
4TH & 6
OWN 35
0
82.8%
Keith Kostol punt for 30 yds, downed at the Wash 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 17FG
9 plays · 57 yds · 3:1085% → 91%
Q3 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+23
84.9%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Jaydon Mickens for 23 yds to the OrgSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:06
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+6
85.7%
Lavon Coleman run for 6 yds to the OrgSt 36Similar
Q3 8:06
2ND & 4
OPP 36
+12
85.6%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Joshua Perkins for 12 yds to the OrgSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:06
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
85.7%
Cyler Miles pass incomplete to Dwayne WashingtonSimilar
Q3 8:06
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+15
85.6%
Lavon Coleman run for 15 yds to the OrgSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-1
85.7%
Lavon Coleman run for a loss of 1 yard to the OrgSt 10Similar
Q3 8:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
85.7%
Deontae Cooper pass complete to Cyler Miles for 2 yds to the OrgSt 8Similar
Q3 8:06
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
85.2%
Cyler Miles pass incomplete to Brayden Lenius, broken up by Larry ScottSimilar
Q3 4:56
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+26
90.7%
Cameron Van Winkle 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0012% → 11%
Q3 4:46
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
88.5%
Damien Haskins run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 27Similar
Q3 4:46
2ND & 6
OWN 27
+2
87.6%
Damien Haskins run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 29Similar
Q3 4:46
3RD & 4
OWN 29
0
87.8%
Sean Mannion pass incomplete to Jordan VillaminSimilar
Q3 4:46
4TH & 4
OWN 29
+4
88.9%
Keith Kostol punt for 49 yds , Dante Pettis returns for 4 yds to the Wash 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 19FUMBLE
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:0092% → 91%
Q3 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
91.6%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Joshua Perkins for 1 yd to the Wash 27Similar
Q3 3:18
2ND & 9
OWN 27
+2
91.4%
Dwayne Washington run for 2 yds to the Wash 29 Dwayne Washington fumbled, forced by Bud Delva, recovered by OrgSt Jaswha JamesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 20TD
4 plays · 29 yds · 2:0513% → 21%
Q3 2:59
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+13
87.0%
Damien Haskins run for 13 yds to the Wash 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:59
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
87.0%
Damien Haskins run for 3 yds to the Wash 13Similar
Q3 2:59
2ND & 7
OPP 13
+2
87.0%
Damien Haskins run for 2 yds to the Wash 11Similar
Q3 0:54
3RD & 5
OPP 11
+11
78.7%
Sean Mannion pass complete to Jordan Villamin for 11 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 21TD
7 plays · 62 yds · 2:3984% → 96%
Q3 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
84.3%
Lavon Coleman run for 5 yds to the Wash 43Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+6
85.3%
Cyler Miles pass complete to DiAndre Campbell for 6 yds to the Wash 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-4
85.3%
Lavon Coleman run for a loss of 4 yards to the Wash 45Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 45
+12
84.6%
Lavon Coleman run for 12 yds to the OrgSt 43Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 43
+7
84.8%
Deontae Cooper run for 7 yds to the OrgSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:07
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+36
95.7%
Jaydon Mickens run for 36 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 22PUNT
10 plays · 15 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q4 13:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
94.7%
Sean Mannion pass complete to Caleb Smith for 4 yds to the OrgSt 29Similar
Q4 13:07
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
94.4%
Sean Mannion pass complete to Tyler Anderson for no gain to the OrgSt 29Similar
Q4 13:07
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+8
94.5%
Sean Mannion pass complete to Victor Bolden for 8 yds to the OrgSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:07
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-10
94.3%
Mannion, Sean pass incomplete, PENALTY OSU illegal block (Haskins, Damien) 10 yards to the OSU27, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:07
1ST & 20
OWN 27
+20
94.7%
Sean Mannion pass complete to Jordan Villamin for 20 yds to the OrgSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:07
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
94.3%
Sean Mannion pass incomplete to Victor Bolden, broken up by Budda Baker OREGON ST Penalty, illegal motion ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 13:07
2ND & 10
OWN 47
0
94.3%
Sean Mannion pass incomplete to Damien Haskins, broken up by Shaq ThompsonSimilar
Q4 13:07
3RD & 10
OWN 47
-7
94.4%
Sean Mannion sacked by Andrew Hudson for a loss of 7 yards to the OrgSt 40Similar
Q4 13:07
4TH & 17
OWN 40
0
94.9%
Keith Kostol punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Dante Pettis at the Wash 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 23TD
4 plays · 77 yds · 2:2296% → 99%
Q4 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-10
95.9%
Coleman, Lavon rush for 9 yards to the WASH32 (Mageo, Rommel), PENALTY WASH holding (Charles, Dexter) 10 yards to the WASH13, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:39
1ST & 20
OWN 13
+19
95.9%
Lavon Coleman run for 19 yds to the Wash 32Similar
Q4 9:39
2ND & 1
OWN 32
0
96.1%
Lavon Coleman run for no gain to the Wash 32Similar
Q4 7:17
3RD & 1
OWN 32
+68
99.1%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Darrell Daniels for 68 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 24DOWNS
18 plays · 70 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 7:09
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
99.2%
Sean Mannion pass complete to Caleb Smith for 3 yds to the OrgSt 21Similar
Q4 7:09
2ND & 7
OWN 21
+8
99.2%
Sean Mannion pass complete to Victor Bolden for 8 yds to the OrgSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:09
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
99.2%
Sean Mannion pass complete to Damien Haskins for 2 yds to the OrgSt 31Similar
Q4 7:09
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+7
99.2%
Sean Mannion pass complete to Victor Bolden for 7 yds to the OrgSt 38Similar
Q4 7:09
3RD & 1
OWN 38
+9
99.2%
Sean Mannion pass complete to Jordan Villamin for 9 yds to the OrgSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:09
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
99.2%
Damien Haskins run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 7:09
2ND & 7
50
+11
99.1%
Sean Mannion pass complete to Damien Haskins for 11 yds to the Wash 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:09
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
99.1%
Sean Mannion pass complete to Victor Bolden for 5 yds to the Wash 34Similar
Q4 7:09
2ND & 5
OPP 34
0
99.0%
Sean Mannion pass incomplete to Damien HaskinsSimilar
Q4 7:09
3RD & 5
OPP 34
+12
99.1%
Sean Mannion pass complete to Jordan Villamin for 12 yds to the Wash 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:09
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+8
99.0%
Sean Mannion pass complete to Caleb Smith for 8 yds to the Wash 14Similar
Q4 7:09
2ND & 2
OPP 14
0
99.0%
Sean Mannion pass incomplete to Victor BoldenSimilar
Q4 7:09
3RD & 2
OPP 14
+5
99.1%
Mannion, Sean pass incomplete to Villamin, J., PENALTY WASH offside defense (Kikaha, Hau'oli) 5 yards to the WASH9, 1ST DOWN OSU, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
99.0%
Sean Mannion pass incomplete to Caleb SmithSimilar
Q4 7:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
99.0%
Sean Mannion pass incomplete to Caleb SmithSimilar
Q4 7:09
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
99.1%
Sean Mannion pass complete to Victor Bolden for 4 yds to the Wash 5Similar
Q4 7:09
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
-7
99.1%
Sean Mannion sacked by Andrew Hudson for a loss of 7 yards to the Wash 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 25END OF GAME
4 plays · 15 yds · 0:48100% → 100%
Q4 2:04
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+5
99.5%
Lavon Coleman run for 5 yds to the Wash 17Similar
Q4 1:16
2ND & 5
OWN 17
+11
99.7%
Lavon Coleman run for 11 yds to the Wash 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-1
99.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 13:07
Jaydon Mickens run for 36 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK)
+10.9
TD · Q3 0:54
Sean Mannion pass complete to Jordan Villamin for 11 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )
-8.3
TD · Q2 2:30
Sean Mannion pass complete to Jordan Villamin for 9 yds for a TD, (Garrett Owens KICK)
-7.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com