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USC

USC 20 at UCLA 38

UCLA
2014 · Week 13 · Nov 22, 2014 · Rose Bowl
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Win probability · UCLA
modelUCLA aheadUSC aheadconfidence bandkey playUCLA scoreUSC score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 3:06 · Matt Mengel punt for 13 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UCLA 30
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+33.5+16.80−16.8−33.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 39Home team on offense+2.1Score differential+0.4Pregame prior+7.0Garbage-time factor+1.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 11:07: Justin Davis 2 Yd pass from Cody Kessler (Andre Heidari Kick) — USC win probability +6.1 pts (now 45%) (top driver: USC has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 5:54: Ka'imi Fairbairn 32 yd FG GOOD — UCLA win probability +3.5 pts (now 63%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:14: Eldridge Massington 13 Yd pass from Brett Hundley (Ka'imi Fairbairn Kick) — UCLA win probability +10.0 pts (now 75%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 11:48: Paul Perkins 10 Yd Run (Ka'imi Fairbairn Kick) — UCLA win probability +10.1 pts (now 87%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 9:22: Brett Hundley 15 Yd Run (Ka'imi Fairbairn Kick) — UCLA win probability +4.9 pts (now 95%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UCLA made the numbers' call on 5 of 7USC made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 12:41USC 4th & 5 at UCLA 45, tied
    Close callPunted · 40.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.6%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    40.5%−0.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    40.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:59UCLA 4th & 7 at USC 48, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.8%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:11USC 4th & 10 at USC 13, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.9%−0.3
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.2%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:34USC 4th & 2 at USC 44, down 7
    Close callPunted · 36.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.7%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:06UCLA 4th & 12 at UCLA 17, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.5%−0.9
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.4%
    average punt
  6. Q1 0:00USC 4th & 2 at UCLA 5, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 36.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    36.5%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    35.9%−0.6
    92% to make
    Punt
    32.5%−4.0
    average punt
  7. Q2 13:33UCLA 4th & 2 at UCLA 13, up 7
    Close callPunted · 64.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.3%−0.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:54UCLA 4th & 4 at USC 14, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 60.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.2%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    60.0%−0.2
    84% to make
    Punt
    54.9%−5.3
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:22USC 4th & 16 at USC 14, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.4%−3.0
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.4%
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:59USC 4th & 12 at USC 46, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.1%−0.6
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.8%
    average punt
  11. Q3 2:50UCLA 4th & 7 at UCLA 32, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.0%−0.5
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.5%
    average punt
  12. Q3 1:11USC 4th & 16 at USC 39, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.0%−0.6
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.6%
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:45UCLA 4th & 7 at UCLA 13, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.7%−0.3
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.0%
    average punt
  14. Q4 12:39USC 4th & 6 at USC 43, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.6%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.7%
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:27UCLA 4th & 17 at midfield, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.8%−0.1
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UCLA made the numbers' call on 5 of 5USC made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 11:53USC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:40UCLA Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 8:01UCLA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 11:07USC Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:14UCLA Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 11:48UCLA Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 9:22UCLA Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
USCDrive 1PUNT
9 plays · 30 yds · 2:1441% → 41%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
58.8%
Cody Kessler pass complete to Nelson Agholor for 11 yds to the USC 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
58.8%
Javorius Allen run for 5 yds to the USC 41Similar
Q1 14:15
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+1
58.7%
Javorius Allen run for 1 yd to the USC 42Similar
Q1 13:41
3RD & 4
OWN 42
+8
58.7%
Cody Kessler pass complete to Nelson Agholor for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:19
1ST & 10
50
0
58.6%
Cody Kessler pass incomplete to Steven MitchellSimilar
Q1 13:09
2ND & 10
50
+5
58.7%
Adoree' Jackson run for 5 yds to the UCLA 45Similar
Q1 12:49
3RD & 5
OPP 45
0
58.6%
Cody Kessler pass incomplete to Nelson AgholorSimilar
Q1 12:41
4TH & 5
OPP 45
0
58.8%
Cody Kessler punt for 38 yds, downed at the UCLA 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 2INT TD
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:3759% → 58%
Q1 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+3
58.9%
Paul Perkins run for 3 yds to the UCLA 10Similar
Q1 11:53
2ND & 7
OWN 10
+17
57.7%
Brett Hundley pass intercepted for a TD Anthony Sarao return for 17 yds for a TD, (Andre Heidari KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 3FUMBLE
6 plays · 34 yds · 1:3758% → 57%
Q1 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+31
57.6%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Devin Fuller for 31 yds to the UCLA 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+9
57.9%
Paul Perkins run for 9 yds to the USC 42Similar
Q1 11:05
2ND & 1
OPP 42
-3
58.0%
Brett Hundley sacked by Antwaun Woods for a loss of 3 yards to the USC 45Similar
Q1 10:30
3RD & 4
OPP 45
-3
57.7%
Paul Perkins run for a loss of 3 yards to the USC 48Similar
Q1 9:59
4TH & 7
OPP 48
-7
57.1%
Matt Mengel punt for 33 yds , Nelson Agholor returns for a loss of 7 yards to the USC 8 Nelson Agholor fumbled, recovered by UCLA Taylor LagaceSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 4TD
3 plays · 8 yds · 1:1058% → 59%
Q1 9:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-4
57.8%
Myles Jack run for a loss of 4 yards to the USC 12Similar
Q1 9:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
+2
57.8%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Devin Fuller for 2 yds to the USC 10Similar
Q1 8:40
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
59.4%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Devin Lucien for 10 yds for a TD, (Ka'imi Fairbairn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:2241% → 41%
Q1 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
58.7%
Cody Kessler pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:26
2ND & 10
OWN 13
0
58.9%
Cody Kessler pass incomplete to JuJu SmithSimilar
Q1 8:19
3RD & 10
OWN 13
0
59.1%
Cody Kessler pass incomplete to Nelson AgholorSimilar
Q1 8:11
4TH & 10
OWN 13
0
59.3%
Kris Albarado punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UCLA 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 6TD
1 play · 57 yds · 0:0062% → 62%
Q1 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+57
62.1%
Thomas Duarte 57 Yd pass from Brett Hundley (Ka'imi Fairbairn Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 7PUNT
9 plays · 19 yds · 3:2139% → 37%
Q1 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
61.5%
Justin Davis run for 2 yds to the USC 27Similar
Q1 7:30
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+7
61.6%
Justin Davis run for 7 yds to the USC 34Similar
Q1 7:15
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
61.5%
Justin Davis run for 2 yds to the USC 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
61.6%
Cody Kessler pass complete to Justin Davis for 1 yd to the USC 37Similar
Q1 6:25
2ND & 9
OWN 37
-4
61.8%
USC Penalty, False Start (-4 Yards) to the USC 33Similar
Q1 6:00
2ND & 13
OWN 33
+11
62.2%
Cody Kessler pass complete to JuJu Smith for 11 yds to the USC 44Similar
Q1 5:15
3RD & 2
OWN 44
0
61.7%
Soma Vainuku run for no gain to the USC 44Similar
Q1 4:34
4TH & 2
OWN 44
0
62.7%
Kris Albarado punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Ishmael Adams at the UCLA 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 8PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:1963% → 63%
Q1 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-2
62.9%
Paul Perkins run for a loss of 2 yards to the UCLA 17Similar
Q1 4:05
2ND & 12
OWN 17
+7
62.9%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Devin Fuller for 7 yds to the UCLA 24Similar
Q1 3:30
3RD & 5
OWN 24
-7
62.9%
Brett Hundley sacked by Gerald Bowman for a loss of 7 yards to the UCLA 17Similar
Q1 3:06
4TH & 12
OWN 17
0
62.5%
Matt Mengel punt for 13 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UCLA 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 9DOWNS
8 plays · 25 yds · 2:5539% → 38%
Q1 2:55
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
61.3%
Cody Kessler pass complete to Javorius Allen for 5 yds to the UCLA 25Similar
Q1 2:25
2ND & 5
OPP 25
0
61.1%
Cody Kessler pass incomplete to Nelson AgholorSimilar
Q1 2:17
3RD & 5
OPP 25
+12
61.7%
Javorius Allen run for 12 yds to the UCLA 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
61.1%
Javorius Allen run for 3 yds to the UCLA 10Similar
Q1 1:15
2ND & 7
OPP 10
-3
60.7%
Cody Kessler sacked by Deon Hollins for a loss of 3 yards to the UCLA 13Similar
Q1 0:45
3RD & 10
OPP 13
+8
61.9%
Cody Kessler pass complete to Javorius Allen for 8 yds to the UCLA 5Similar
Q1 0:00
4TH & 2
OPP 5
0
62.4%
Javorius Allen run for no gain to the UCLA 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:2263% → 63%
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+5
63.4%
Paul Perkins run for 5 yds to the UCLA 10Similar
Q2 14:25
2ND & 5
OWN 10
+1
63.7%
Paul Perkins run for 1 yd to the UCLA 11Similar
Q2 14:00
3RD & 4
OWN 11
+2
63.3%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Nate Iese for 2 yds to the UCLA 13Similar
Q2 13:33
4TH & 2
OWN 13
0
62.9%
Matt Mengel punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Nelson Agholor at the UCLA 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 11TD
8 plays · 46 yds · 2:1838% → 45%
Q2 13:25
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+16
62.1%
Cody Kessler pass complete to Justin Davis for 16 yds to the UCLA 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:10
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
61.3%
Justin Davis run for no gain to the UCLA 30Similar
Q2 12:32
2ND & 10
OPP 30
0
61.5%
Cody Kessler pass incomplete to George FarmerSimilar
Q2 12:25
3RD & 10
OPP 30
+26
62.3%
Cody Kessler pass complete to JuJu Smith for 26 yds to the UCLA 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
61.1%
Justin Davis run for 3 yds to the UCLA 1Similar
Q2 11:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
61.1%
Cody Kessler run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 2Similar
Q2 11:07
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
55.0%
Justin Davis 2 Yd pass from Cody Kessler (Andre Heidari Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 12FG
16 plays · 62 yds · 5:0159% → 63%
Q2 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
58.7%
Paul Perkins run for 5 yds to the UCLA 29Similar
Q2 10:32
2ND & 5
OWN 29
+10
59.1%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Devin Fuller for 10 yds to the UCLA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
59.8%
Paul Perkins run for 6 yds to the UCLA 45Similar
Q2 10:00
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+5
60.7%
Paul Perkins run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:36
1ST & 10
50
0
61.0%
Brett Hundley pass incomplete to Devin FullerSimilar
Q2 9:30
2ND & 10
50
+6
60.7%
Paul Perkins run for 6 yds to the USC 44Similar
Q2 9:00
3RD & 4
OPP 44
+8
60.7%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Mossi Johnson for 8 yds to the USC 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:34
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+8
61.4%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Myles Jack for 8 yds to the USC 28Similar
Q2 8:10
2ND & 2
OPP 28
+8
61.9%
Myles Jack run for 8 yds to the USC 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:37
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-10
61.8%
UCLA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Conor McDermott) to the USC 30Similar
Q2 7:25
1ST & 20
OPP 30
+2
61.4%
Brett Hundley run for 2 yds to the USC 28Similar
Q2 6:43
2ND & 18
OPP 28
0
60.8%
Brett Hundley pass incomplete to Eldridge MassingtonSimilar
Q2 6:30
3RD & 18
OPP 28
+14
59.6%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Jordan Payton for 14 yds to the USC 14Similar
Q2 5:54
4TH & 4
OPP 14
+32
63.1%
Ka'imi Fairbairn 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 13INT
6 plays · 42 yds · 1:3739% → 43%
Q2 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+31
61.1%
Cody Kessler pass complete to JuJu Smith for 31 yds to the UCLA 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:20
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
58.3%
Cody Kessler pass incomplete to Nelson AgholorSimilar
Q2 5:05
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+6
58.4%
Javorius Allen run for 6 yds to the UCLA 38Similar
Q2 4:30
3RD & 4
OPP 38
+5
58.5%
Javorius Allen run for 5 yds to the UCLA 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:08
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
57.2%
Cody Kessler pass intercepted Eric Kendricks return for no gain to the UCLA 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 14TD
11 plays · 68 yds · 3:4663% → 75%
Q2 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+9
62.7%
Paul Perkins run for 9 yds to the UCLA 41Similar
Q2 3:36
2ND & 1
OWN 41
+13
64.8%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Devin Fuller for 13 yds to the USC 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:15
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
65.5%
Jordon James run for 3 yds to the USC 43Similar
Q2 2:40
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+8
65.1%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Jordan Payton for 8 yds to the USC 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:31
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+9
65.6%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Ahmaad Harris for 9 yds to the USC 26Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 1
OPP 26
0
65.9%
Brett Hundley run for no gain to the USC 26Similar
Q2 1:40
3RD & 1
OPP 26
+2
64.8%
Jordon James run for 2 yds to the USC 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:09
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
66.1%
Brett Hundley pass incomplete to Jordan PaytonSimilar
Q2 0:55
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+9
66.0%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Jordan Payton for 9 yds to the USC 15Similar
Q2 0:41
3RD & 1
OPP 15
+2
65.1%
Brett Hundley run for 2 yds to the USC 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:14
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
75.1%
Eldridge Massington 13 Yd pass from Brett Hundley (Ka'imi Fairbairn Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 15END OF HALF
2 plays · 6 yds · 0:0027% → 27%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
73.5%
Javorius Allen run for 6 yds to the USC 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 16TD
10 plays · 84 yds · 3:0274% → 87%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+3
74.3%
Paul Perkins run for 3 yds to the UCLA 19Similar
Q3 14:38
2ND & 7
OWN 19
0
74.2%
Brett Hundley pass incomplete to Mossi JohnsonSimilar
Q3 14:30
3RD & 7
OWN 19
+10
73.3%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Devin Lucien for 10 yds to the UCLA 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:11
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+11
74.7%
Paul Perkins run for 11 yds to the UCLA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+38
76.1%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Thomas Duarte for 38 yds to the USC 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:20
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+3
76.8%
Paul Perkins run for 3 yds to the USC 19Similar
Q3 12:55
2ND & 7
OPP 19
-1
77.7%
Paul Perkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the USC 20Similar
Q3 12:10
3RD & 8
OPP 20
+10
77.0%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Mossi Johnson for 10 yds to the USC 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
87.1%
Paul Perkins 10 Yd Run (Ka'imi Fairbairn Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 1:1314% → 13%
Q3 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
86.2%
Cody Kessler pass incomplete to Nelson AgholorSimilar
Q3 11:20
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+2
86.6%
Cody Kessler pass complete to Javorius Allen for 2 yds to the USC 22Similar
Q3 10:55
3RD & 8
OWN 22
-8
86.9%
Cody Kessler sacked by Owamagbe Odighizuwa for a loss of 8 yards to the USC 14Similar
Q3 10:22
4TH & 16
OWN 14
0
87.4%
Kris Albarado punt for 52 yds, downed at the UCLA 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 18TD
4 plays · 66 yds · 0:5389% → 95%
Q3 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+15
88.9%
Brett Hundley pass incomplete to Paul Perkins for a 1ST down USC Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Leonard Williams) to the UCLA 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
89.6%
Paul Perkins run for no gain to the UCLA 49Similar
Q3 9:35
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+36
90.2%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Mossi Johnson for 21 yds to the USC 30 for a 1ST down USC Penalty, Personal Foul (Gerald Bowman) to the USC 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:22
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
95.0%
Brett Hundley 15 Yd Run (Ka'imi Fairbairn Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 19PUNT
11 plays · 25 yds · 4:096% → 4%
Q3 9:08
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
94.5%
Javorius Allen run for 4 yds to the USC 25Similar
Q3 8:35
2ND & 6
OWN 25
+13
94.6%
Cody Kessler pass complete to Javorius Allen for 13 yds to the USC 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-5
94.7%
USC Penalty, False Start (Viane Talamaivao) to the USC 33Similar
Q3 7:45
1ST & 15
OWN 33
+4
95.0%
Javorius Allen run for 4 yds to the USC 37Similar
Q3 7:05
2ND & 11
OWN 37
-6
95.0%
Cody Kessler sacked by Takkarist McKinley for a loss of 6 yards to the USC 31Similar
Q3 6:30
3RD & 17
OWN 31
+17
95.7%
Cody Kessler pass complete to George Farmer for 17 yds to the USC 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
95.4%
Cody Kessler pass complete to George Farmer for 4 yds to the UCLA 48Similar
Q3 5:40
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+5
95.6%
Javorius Allen run for 5 yds to the UCLA 43Similar
Q3 5:14
3RD & 1
OPP 43
-11
95.8%
Cody Kessler sacked by Eddie Vanderdoes for a loss of 11 yards to the USC 46Similar
Q3 4:59
4TH & 12
OWN 46
0
96.5%
Kris Albarado punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UCLA 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 2:0097% → 97%
Q3 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+4
96.5%
Paul Perkins run for 4 yds to the UCLA 16Similar
Q3 4:25
2ND & 6
OWN 16
+4
97.1%
Paul Perkins run for 4 yds to the UCLA 20Similar
Q3 3:50
3RD & 2
OWN 20
+9
97.2%
Paul Perkins run for 9 yds to the UCLA 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
97.4%
Paul Perkins run for 3 yds to the UCLA 32Similar
Q3 3:05
2ND & 7
OWN 32
0
97.5%
Brett Hundley pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:00
3RD & 7
OWN 32
0
97.5%
Brett Hundley pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:50
4TH & 7
OWN 32
+10
97.3%
Matt Mengel punt for 48 yds for a 1ST down , Nelson Agholor returns for 10 yds to the USC 42 for a 1ST down UCLA Penalty, Personal Foul (Taylor Lagace) to the USC 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · -6 yds · 1:293% → 2%
Q3 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-10
96.8%
USC Penalty, Offensive Holding (Zach Banner) to the USC 35Similar
Q3 2:25
1ST & 20
OWN 35
+2
97.1%
Justin Davis run for 2 yds to the USC 37Similar
Q3 1:52
2ND & 18
OWN 37
0
97.7%
Cody Kessler pass incomplete to Randall TelferSimilar
Q3 1:40
3RD & 18
OWN 37
+2
97.8%
Cody Kessler run for 2 yds to the USC 39Similar
Q3 1:11
4TH & 16
OWN 39
0
97.7%
Kris Albarado punt for 51 yds, downed at the UCLA 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:1999% → 99%
Q3 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
98.8%
Brett Hundley pass incomplete to Jordan PaytonSimilar
Q3 0:55
2ND & 10
OWN 10
0
98.8%
Jordon James run for no gain to the UCLA 10Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 10
OWN 10
+3
98.9%
Jordon James run for 3 yds to the UCLA 13Similar
Q4 14:45
4TH & 7
OWN 13
-8
98.8%
Matt Mengel punt for 40 yds , Nelson Agholor returns for a loss of 8 yards to the USC 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:562% → 2%
Q4 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-2
98.1%
Cody Kessler pass complete to Javorius Allen for a loss of 2 yards to the USC 37Similar
Q4 14:15
2ND & 12
OWN 37
+1
98.2%
Javorius Allen run for 1 yd to the USC 38Similar
Q4 13:30
3RD & 11
OWN 38
+5
98.5%
Cody Kessler pass complete to Javorius Allen for 5 yds to the USC 43Similar
Q4 12:39
4TH & 6
OWN 43
0
98.5%
Kris Albarado punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UCLA 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 24FUMBLE
10 plays · 67 yds · 3:4699% → 100%
Q4 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
99.1%
Nate Starks run for 1 yd to the UCLA 25Similar
Q4 12:00
2ND & 9
OWN 25
+4
99.2%
Nate Starks run for 4 yds to the UCLA 29Similar
Q4 11:30
3RD & 5
OWN 29
+18
99.2%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Mossi Johnson for 18 yds to the UCLA 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
99.3%
Mossi Johnson run for 5 yds to the USC 48Similar
Q4 10:35
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+3
99.4%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Mossi Johnson for 3 yds to the USC 45Similar
Q4 10:15
3RD & 2
OPP 45
+8
99.3%
Nate Starks run for 8 yds to the USC 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
99.4%
Jordon James run for 5 yds to the USC 32Similar
Q4 9:35
2ND & 5
OPP 32
+5
99.4%
Nate Starks run for 5 yds to the USC 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:05
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+25
99.4%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Nate Starks for 25 yds to the USC 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-7
99.5%
Brett Hundley run for a loss of 7 yards to the USC 9 Brett Hundley fumbled, recovered by USC Leonard WilliamsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 25DOWNS
17 plays · 93 yds · 5:271% → 2%
Q4 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+6
99.0%
Justin Davis run for 6 yds to the USC 15Similar
Q4 8:15
2ND & 4
OWN 15
+11
99.0%
Justin Davis run for 11 yds to the USC 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
99.0%
Cody Kessler pass incomplete to Nelson AgholorSimilar
Q4 7:40
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+5
99.2%
Cody Kessler pass complete to Nelson Agholor for 5 yds to the USC 31Similar
Q4 7:10
3RD & 5
OWN 31
+11
99.2%
Cody Kessler pass complete to JuJu Smith for 11 yds to the USC 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+11
99.2%
Cody Kessler pass complete to Darreus Rogers for 11 yds to the UCLA 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-4
99.3%
Cody Kessler sacked by Ellis McCarthy for a loss of 4 yards to the USC 49Similar
Q4 6:00
2ND & 14
OWN 49
+4
99.3%
Justin Davis run for 4 yds to the UCLA 47Similar
Q4 5:40
3RD & 10
OPP 47
+10
99.3%
UCLA Penalty, Defensive Holding (Fabian Moreau) to the UCLA 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:20
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+6
99.3%
Cody Kessler pass complete to Justin Davis for 6 yds to the UCLA 31Similar
Q4 5:00
2ND & 4
OPP 31
-9
99.2%
Cody Kessler sacked by Owamagbe Odighizuwa for a loss of 9 yards to the UCLA 40Similar
Q4 4:20
3RD & 13
OPP 40
+12
99.4%
Cody Kessler pass complete to Bryce Dixon for 12 yds to the UCLA 28Similar
Q4 3:50
4TH & 1
OPP 28
+14
99.3%
UCLA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Marcus Rios) to the UCLA 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:25
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+11
99.3%
Cody Kessler pass complete to Javorius Allen for 11 yds to the UCLA 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
97.6%
Javorius Allen run for 3 yds for a TDSimilar
Q4 3:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
97.8%
Cody Kessler pass incomplete to Bryce DixonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 26PUNT
7 plays · -7 yds · 2:3399% → 100%
Q4 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-10
99.1%
UCLA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Poasi Moala) to the UCLA 47Similar
Q4 2:30
1ST & 20
OWN 47
+2
99.1%
Paul Perkins run for 2 yds to the UCLA 49Similar
Q4 1:50
2ND & 18
OWN 49
+1
99.2%
Paul Perkins run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 1:20
3RD & 17
50
0
99.2%
Paul Perkins run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 0:27
4TH & 17
50
0
99.6%
Matt Mengel punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Nelson Agholor at the USC 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 27END OF GAME
1 play · 5 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
98.6%
Javorius Allen run for 5 yds to the USC 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 11:48
Paul Perkins 10 Yd Run (Ka'imi Fairbairn Kick)
+10.1
TD · Q2 0:14
Eldridge Massington 13 Yd pass from Brett Hundley (Ka'imi Fairbairn Kick)
+10
TD · Q2 11:07
Justin Davis 2 Yd pass from Cody Kessler (Andre Heidari Kick)
-6.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com