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WSU

Washington State 31 at Arizona State 52

ASU
2014 · Week 13 · Nov 22, 2014 · Mountain America Stadium
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Win probability · ASU
modelASU aheadWSU aheadconfidence bandkey playASU scoreWSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · Luke Falk pass complete to Vince Mayle for 19 yds to the ArzSt 5 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 3:12: Taylor Kelly pass complete to Cameron Smith for 42 yds for a TD, (Zane Gonzalez KICK) — ASU win probability +9.7 pts (now 69%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 2:31: Taylor Kelly pass complete to Frederick Gammage for 10 yds for a TD, (Zane Gonzalez KICK) — ASU win probability +9.6 pts (now 80%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 6:24: D.J. Foster run for 1 yd for a TD, (Zane Gonzalez KICK) — ASU win probability +11.8 pts (now 82%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 14:18: Zane Gonzalez 47 yd FG GOOD — ASU win probability +7.5 pts (now 86%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 11:45: D.J. Foster run for 18 yds for a TD, (Zane Gonzalez KICK) — ASU win probability +13.9 pts (now 96%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ASU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6WSU made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 11:52WSU 4th & 6 at WSU 42, tied
    Close callWent for it · 14.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.1%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    14.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:35WSU 4th & 11 at ASU 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.5%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    15.5%−0.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    15.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:59ASU 4th & 18 at ASU 12, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.3%−0.4
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.7%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:32WSU 4th & 7 at ASU 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 16.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.8%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    16.8%−<0.1
    51% to make
    Punt
    16.6%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:09ASU 4th & 17 at ASU 24, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.3%−1.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:08ASU 4th & 10 at ASU 16, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.5%−1.2
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:47WSU 4th & 7 at WSU 34, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.8%−0.8
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.5%
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:06ASU 4th & 3 at ASU 35, down 7
    Close callPunted · 69.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.2%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:03WSU 4th & 11 at WSU 24, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.6%−2.3
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.9%
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:46ASU 4th & 9 at WSU 49, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.8%−1.0
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.9%
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:55WSU 4th & 1 at WSU 43, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 37.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    38.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    35.8%−2.7
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:47WSU 4th & 5 at WSU 40, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.3%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.5%
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:18ASU 4th & 13 at WSU 29, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 76.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.3%−2.8
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    76.1%
    58% to make
    Punt
    67.0%−9.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 7:31WSU 4th & 1 at WSU 32, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.9%−0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:24WSU 4th & 2 at ASU 2, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−0.1
    94% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ASU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7WSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 2:45WSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    19.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    19.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:52ASU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:03WSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    25.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    25.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 4:52WSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 3:12ASU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 2:31ASU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 6:24ASU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 11:45ASU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.8%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.8%
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 8:55ASU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 3:19ASU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 0:24WSU Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.5%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ASUDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:1586% → 86%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
85.8%
Taylor Kelly pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:40
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+2
85.8%
Demario Richard run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 20Similar
Q1 14:35
3RD & 8
OWN 20
0
85.7%
Taylor Kelly pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 2DOWNS
7 plays · 20 yds · 2:0514% → 15%
Q1 13:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
85.6%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Tyler BakerSimilar
Q1 13:30
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
85.4%
Jamal Morrow run for 4 yds to the WshSt 29Similar
Q1 12:50
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+9
85.3%
Luke Falk pass complete to Isiah Myers for 9 yds to the WshSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
85.1%
Luke Falk pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:21
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+4
85.0%
Jamal Morrow run for 4 yds to the WshSt 42Similar
Q1 12:02
3RD & 6
OWN 42
0
84.9%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Vince MayleSimilar
Q1 11:52
4TH & 6
OWN 42
+3
85.0%
Jordan Dascalo run for 3 yds to the WshSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 3PUNT
3 plays · -10 yds · 0:4085% → 85%
Q1 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-4
85.2%
Taylor Kelly pass complete to D.J. Foster for a loss of 4 yards to the WshSt 49Similar
Q1 11:40
2ND & 14
OPP 49
0
85.0%
Taylor Kelly pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:10
3RD & 14
OPP 49
-6
84.8%
Taylor Kelly sacked by Destiny Vaeao for a loss of 6 yards to the ArzSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 56 yds · 2:5515% → 16%
Q1 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+45
84.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to Vince Mayle for 45 yds to the WshSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+8
84.2%
Luke Falk pass complete to Isiah Myers for 8 yds to the ArzSt 46Similar
Q1 10:00
2ND & 2
OPP 46
+4
84.0%
Jamal Morrow run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
83.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to Dom Williams for 2 yds to the ArzSt 40Similar
Q1 8:50
2ND & 8
OPP 40
-3
83.6%
Jamal Morrow run for a loss of 3 yards to the ArzSt 43Similar
Q1 7:44
3RD & 11
OPP 43
0
83.3%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Isiah MyersSimilar
Q1 7:35
4TH & 11
OPP 43
0
83.6%
Jordan Dascalo punt for 43 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · -8 yds · 1:1183% → 83%
Q1 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
83.4%
Deantre Lewis run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 24Similar
Q1 6:50
2ND & 6
OWN 24
-3
83.3%
Deantre Lewis run for a loss of 3 yards to the ArzSt 21Similar
Q1 6:06
3RD & 9
OWN 21
-9
82.8%
Taylor Kelly sacked by Daniel Ekuale for a loss of 9 yards to the ArzSt 12Similar
Q1 5:59
4TH & 18
OWN 12
0
82.6%
Matt Haack punt for 41 yds, downed at the WshSt 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 6TD
11 plays · 53 yds · 2:4918% → 22%
Q1 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+18
82.3%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tyler Baker for 18 yds to the ArzSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:21
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
82.0%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Tyler BakerSimilar
Q1 5:13
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+3
81.9%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 3 yds to the ArzSt 32Similar
Q1 4:58
3RD & 7
OPP 32
0
82.1%
Luke Falk pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:32
4TH & 7
OPP 32
+10
82.2%
Luke Falk pass complete to Dom Williams for 10 yds to the ArzSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:07
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
81.3%
Jamal Morrow run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 20Similar
Q1 3:40
2ND & 8
OPP 20
+17
81.1%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tyler Baker for 17 yds to the ArzSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
80.9%
Jamal Morrow run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 1Similar
Q1 2:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
80.9%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Rickey GalvinSimilar
Q1 2:45
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
78.2%
Luke Falk run for 1 yd for a TD, (Quentin Breshears KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 1:1179% → 77%
Q1 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
78.9%
Taylor Kelly pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:15
2ND & 10
OWN 31
-4
78.8%
Taylor Kelly sacked by Kache Palacio for a loss of 4 yards to the ArzSt 27Similar
Q1 2:00
3RD & 14
OWN 27
-3
78.1%
Taylor Kelly sacked by Xavier Cooper for a loss of 3 yards to the ArzSt 24Similar
Q1 1:09
4TH & 17
OWN 24
0
77.4%
Matt Haack punt for 56 yds, downed at the WshSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 8INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0022% → 22%
Q1 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
77.7%
Luke Falk pass intercepted Damarious Randall return for no gain to the ArzSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 9TD
4 plays · 62 yds · 0:3478% → 83%
Q1 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-3
77.9%
Taylor Kelly run for a loss of 3 yards to the ArzSt 35Similar
Q1 0:17
2ND & 13
OWN 35
+42
77.3%
Taylor Kelly pass complete to D.J. Foster for 42 yds to the WshSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+6
78.9%
Taylor Kelly pass complete to De'Marieya Nelson for 6 yds to the WshSt 17Similar
Q2 14:52
2ND & 4
OPP 17
+17
82.8%
D.J. Foster run for 17 yds for a TD, (Zane Gonzalez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 10TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 4:3220% → 28%
Q2 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+25
80.5%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:25
1ST & 10
50
0
79.3%
Jamal Morrow run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 14:20
2ND & 10
50
+15
79.5%
Luke Falk pass complete to Vince Mayle for 15 yds to the ArzSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:10
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
78.9%
Marcus Mason run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 30Similar
Q2 14:00
2ND & 5
OPP 30
+1
78.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to Vince Mayle for 1 yd to the ArzSt 29Similar
Q2 14:00
3RD & 4
OPP 29
+5
79.2%
ARIZONA ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the ArzSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:50
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-3
78.7%
Luke Falk sacked by Viliami Latu for a loss of 3 yards to the ArzSt 27Similar
Q2 13:20
2ND & 13
OPP 27
+14
78.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to River Cracraft for 14 yds to the ArzSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:10
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+12
78.4%
Luke Falk pass complete to Isiah Myers for 12 yds to the ArzSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
78.3%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Vince MayleSimilar
Q2 13:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
78.3%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Tyler BakerSimilar
Q2 10:03
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
71.7%
Luke Falk pass complete to Rickey Galvin for 1 yd for a TD, (Quentin Breshears KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:4273% → 72%
Q2 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
73.0%
Kalen Ballage run for no gain to the ArzSt 16Similar
Q2 9:23
2ND & 10
OWN 16
0
72.6%
Taylor Kelly pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:18
3RD & 10
OWN 16
0
71.9%
Taylor Kelly pass incomplete to Ellis JeffersonSimilar
Q2 9:08
4TH & 10
OWN 16
0
71.5%
Matt Haack punt for 53 yds, downed at the WshSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:0128% → 29%
Q2 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
71.7%
Luke Falk pass complete to Vince Mayle for 2 yds to the WshSt 33Similar
Q2 8:21
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+1
71.2%
Theron West run for 1 yd to the WshSt 34Similar
Q2 8:10
3RD & 7
OWN 34
0
70.5%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Robert LewisSimilar
Q2 7:47
4TH & 7
OWN 34
0
70.7%
Jordan Dascalo punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Kyle Middlebrooks at the ArzSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:1871% → 70%
Q2 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+7
70.6%
D.J. Foster run for 7 yds to the ArzSt 35Similar
Q2 7:18
2ND & 3
OWN 35
0
71.4%
Taylor Kelly pass incomplete to Cameron SmithSimilar
Q2 7:14
3RD & 3
OWN 35
0
70.5%
Taylor Kelly pass incomplete to Ellis JeffersonSimilar
Q2 7:06
4TH & 3
OWN 35
0
69.7%
Matt Haack punt for 65 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 14TD
12 plays · 80 yds · 2:0831% → 42%
Q2 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
69.5%
ARIZONA ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the WshSt 25Similar
Q2 7:00
1ST & 5
OWN 25
-5
68.7%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the WshSt 20Similar
Q2 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
69.4%
ARIZONA ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the WshSt 25Similar
Q2 6:44
1ST & 5
OWN 25
+20
68.5%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 20 yds to the WshSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
67.1%
Luke Falk pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:15
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
67.3%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Tyler BakerSimilar
Q2 6:06
3RD & 10
OWN 45
+5
66.9%
ARIZONA ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 5:59
3RD & 5
50
+34
65.7%
Luke Falk pass complete to Vince Mayle for 34 yds to the ArzSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:59
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-4
64.8%
Luke Falk sacked by Dj Calhoun for a loss of 4 yards to the ArzSt 20 Luke Falk fumbled, recovered by WshStSimilar
Q2 4:52
2ND & 14
OPP 20
+20
58.3%
Luke Falk pass complete to Isiah Myers for 20 yds for a TD, (Quentin Breshears KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 15TD
7 plays · 76 yds · 1:1058% → 69%
Q2 4:22
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
58.3%
D.J. Foster run for no gain to the ArzSt 24Similar
Q2 4:03
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+11
57.7%
Taylor Kelly pass complete to Cameron Smith for 11 yds to the ArzSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
58.0%
D.J. Foster run for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:23
1ST & 10
50
+8
59.5%
D.J. Foster run for 8 yds to the WshSt 42Similar
Q2 3:12
2ND & 2
OPP 42
+42
69.2%
Taylor Kelly pass complete to Cameron Smith for 42 yds for a TD, (Zane Gonzalez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 16INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0033% → 33%
Q2 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
66.6%
Luke Falk pass intercepted Marcus Hardison return for 12 yds to the WshSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 17TD
2 plays · 13 yds · 0:2970% → 80%
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
70.4%
Taylor Kelly pass complete to Cameron Smith for 3 yds to the WshSt 10Similar
Q2 2:31
2ND & 7
OPP 10
+10
80.0%
Taylor Kelly pass complete to Frederick Gammage for 10 yds for a TD, (Zane Gonzalez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 18END OF HALF
11 plays · 65 yds · 2:2526% → 33%
Q2 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
74.4%
Luke Falk run for 3 yds to the WshSt 28Similar
Q2 1:40
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+5
73.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tyler Baker for 5 yds to the WshSt 33Similar
Q2 1:05
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+18
72.9%
Luke Falk pass complete to Rickey Galvin for 18 yds to the ArzSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:25
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-11
69.9%
Luke Falk sacked by Marcus Hardison for a loss of 11 yards to the WshSt 40Similar
Q2 0:11
2ND & 21
OWN 40
+50
72.3%
Luke Falk pass complete to Isiah Myers for 50 yds to the ArzSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
69.7%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to River CracraftSimilar
Q2 0:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
69.6%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Dom WilliamsSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
+27
66.8%
Quentin Breshears 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:2033% → 31%
Q3 14:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-7
67.4%
Luke Falk sacked by Tashon Smallwood for a loss of 7 yards to the WshSt 18Similar
Q3 13:55
2ND & 17
OWN 18
+15
67.5%
Luke Falk pass complete to Vince Mayle for 15 yds to the WshSt 33Similar
Q3 13:10
3RD & 2
OWN 33
-9
65.8%
Luke Falk sacked by Salamo Fiso for a loss of 9 yards to the WshSt 24Similar
Q3 13:03
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
68.6%
Jordan Dascalo punt for 40 yds , Kyle Middlebrooks returns for no gain to the ArzSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 2:0468% → 65%
Q3 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
68.1%
D.J. Foster run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 39Similar
Q3 12:17
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+3
69.1%
D.J. Foster run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 42Similar
Q3 12:00
3RD & 4
OWN 42
+8
68.3%
D.J. Foster run for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:30
1ST & 10
50
+3
69.4%
Taylor Kelly pass complete to Cameron Smith for 3 yds to the WshSt 47Similar
Q3 11:00
2ND & 7
OPP 47
-2
69.3%
Taylor Kelly run for a loss of 2 yards to the WshSt 49Similar
Q3 10:53
3RD & 9
OPP 49
0
66.6%
Taylor Kelly pass incomplete to Cameron SmithSimilar
Q3 10:46
4TH & 9
OPP 49
0
64.8%
Taylor Kelly punt for 49 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 21INT
8 plays · 40 yds · 2:2535% → 41%
Q3 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+14
64.7%
Luke Falk pass complete to Isiah Myers for 14 yds to the WshSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
63.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tyler Baker for 1 yd to the WshSt 35Similar
Q3 9:50
2ND & 9
OWN 35
0
62.2%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to River CracraftSimilar
Q3 9:36
3RD & 9
OWN 35
+8
63.7%
Luke Falk pass complete to River Cracraft for 8 yds to the WshSt 43Similar
Q3 8:55
4TH & 1
OWN 43
+10
62.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to Dom Williams for 10 yds to the ArzSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:18
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+7
59.2%
Jamal Morrow run for 7 yds to the ArzSt 40Similar
Q3 8:02
2ND & 3
OPP 40
0
58.9%
Luke Falk pass intercepted Kweishi Brown return for no gain to the ArzSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 22TD
4 plays · 70 yds · 1:2765% → 82%
Q3 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+67
65.1%
Taylor Kelly pass complete to Cameron Smith for 67 yds to the WshSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
70.1%
Taylor Kelly run for 2 yds to the WshSt 1Similar
Q3 6:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
69.8%
Demario Richard run for no gain to the WshSt 1Similar
Q3 6:24
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
81.5%
D.J. Foster run for 1 yd for a TD, (Zane Gonzalez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 23PUNT
11 plays · 34 yds · 3:0320% → 23%
Q3 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 6
0
80.0%
Theron West run for no gain to the WshSt 6Similar
Q3 5:00
2ND & 10
OWN 6
+19
79.7%
Luke Falk pass complete to Rickey Galvin for 19 yds to the WshSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
78.4%
Luke Falk pass complete to Vince Mayle for 6 yds to the WshSt 31Similar
Q3 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
77.7%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Tyler BakerSimilar
Q3 4:10
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+1
77.1%
Luke Falk run for 1 yd to the WshSt 32Similar
Q3 4:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+3
77.3%
Luke Falk pass complete to River Cracraft for 3 yds to the WshSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:33
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
76.9%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to River CracraftSimilar
Q3 3:21
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+5
78.3%
Luke Falk pass complete to Rickey Galvin for 5 yds to the WshSt 40Similar
Q3 2:47
4TH & 5
OWN 40
0
77.5%
Jordan Dascalo punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ArzSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 24FG
8 plays · 40 yds · 3:1379% → 86%
Q3 2:31
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
78.8%
D.J. Foster run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 33Similar
Q3 2:25
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+4
78.7%
Taylor Kelly pass complete to D.J. Foster for 4 yds to the ArzSt 37Similar
Q3 2:15
3RD & 4
OWN 37
+17
79.2%
Taylor Kelly pass complete to D.J. Foster for 17 yds to the WshSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:02
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+20
80.9%
Taylor Kelly pass complete to Deantre Lewis for 20 yds to the WshSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:24
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+5
81.3%
Frederick Gammage run for 5 yds to the WshSt 21Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 21
-8
81.3%
Taylor Kelly sacked by Ivan McLennan for a loss of 8 yards to the WshSt 29Similar
Q4 14:55
3RD & 13
OPP 29
0
78.8%
Taylor Kelly pass complete to D.J. Foster for no gain to the WshSt 29Similar
Q4 14:18
4TH & 13
OPP 29
+47
86.4%
Zane Gonzalez 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 25FUMBLE
9 plays · 42 yds · 2:0315% → 18%
Q4 13:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
84.9%
Jamal Morrow run for 4 yds to the WshSt 29Similar
Q4 13:30
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+10
84.3%
Luke Falk pass complete to Vince Mayle for 10 yds to the WshSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+13
83.4%
Luke Falk pass complete to Vince Mayle for 13 yds to the ArzSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:49
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
81.7%
Luke Falk pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:41
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+13
82.4%
Jamal Morrow run for 13 yds to the ArzSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
80.1%
Luke Falk pass complete to Theron West for 2 yds to the ArzSt 33Similar
Q4 12:10
2ND & 8
OPP 33
0
80.6%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Vince MayleSimilar
Q4 11:50
3RD & 8
OPP 33
+51
82.5%
Luke Falk sacked by Marcus Hardison for a loss of 6 yards to the WshSt 18 Luke Falk fumbled, recovered by ArzSt Viliami Latu , return for 51 yds to the WshSt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 26TD
1 play · 18 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q4 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
96.4%
D.J. Foster run for 18 yds for a TD, (Zane Gonzalez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 27INT
3 plays · 20 yds · 0:125% → 6%
Q4 11:17
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+20
94.9%
Luke Falk pass complete to Vince Mayle for 20 yds to the WshSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+14
94.5%
Luke Falk pass intercepted Salamo Fiso return for 14 yds to the WshSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 28TD
9 plays · 38 yds · 2:0596% → 100%
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
96.4%
Taylor Kelly pass incomplete to Cameron SmithSimilar
Q4 10:35
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+3
96.5%
Deantre Lewis run for 3 yds to the WshSt 35Similar
Q4 10:26
3RD & 7
OPP 35
+5
96.4%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the WshSt 30Similar
Q4 10:18
3RD & 2
OPP 30
+2
96.4%
D.J. Foster run for 2 yds to the WshSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:18
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+17
96.5%
D.J. Foster run for 6 yds to the WshSt 22 for a 1ST down WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Daniel Ekuale) to the WshSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+5
97.3%
D.J. Foster run for 5 yds to the WshSt 6Similar
Q4 9:12
2ND & 5
OPP 6
+1
97.3%
D.J. Foster run for 1 yd to the WshSt 5Similar
Q4 8:55
3RD & 4
OPP 5
+5
99.5%
Taylor Kelly pass complete to Cameron Smith for 5 yds for a TD, (Zane Gonzalez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 29DOWNS
6 plays · 7 yds · 1:241% → 1%
Q4 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-5
99.1%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, False Start (Eduardo Middleton) to the WshSt 18Similar
Q4 8:50
1ST & 15
OWN 18
0
99.2%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Tyler BakerSimilar
Q4 8:40
2ND & 15
OWN 18
+12
99.2%
Luke Falk pass complete to Vince Mayle for 12 yds to the WshSt 30Similar
Q4 7:44
3RD & 3
OWN 30
+2
99.1%
Luke Falk run for 2 yds to the WshSt 32Similar
Q4 7:31
4TH & 1
OWN 32
-2
99.2%
Luke Falk pass complete to Isiah Myers for a loss of 2 yards to the WshSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 30TD
7 plays · 30 yds · 3:55100% → 100%
Q4 7:14
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+6
99.6%
Deantre Lewis run for 6 yds to the WshSt 24Similar
Q4 6:40
2ND & 4
OPP 24
+5
99.6%
Deantre Lewis run for 5 yds to the WshSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
99.7%
Taylor Kelly run for 4 yds to the WshSt 15Similar
Q4 4:55
2ND & 6
OPP 15
+7
99.7%
Deantre Lewis run for 7 yds to the WshSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
99.7%
Deantre Lewis run for 1 yd to the WshSt 7Similar
Q4 3:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
99.7%
Deantre Lewis run for 1 yd to the WshSt 6Similar
Q4 3:19
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
100.0%
Taylor Kelly pass complete to Kody Kohl for 6 yds for a TD, (Zane Gonzalez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 31TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 2:550% → 0%
Q4 3:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-12
100.0%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (Tyler Baker) to the WshSt 13Similar
Q4 3:00
1ST & 22
OWN 13
0
100.0%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Dom WilliamsSimilar
Q4 2:50
2ND & 22
OWN 13
+10
100.0%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 10 yds to the WshSt 23Similar
Q4 1:55
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+30
100.0%
Luke Falk pass complete to Vince Mayle for 30 yds to the ArzSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
100.0%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Vince MayleSimilar
Q4 1:40
2ND & 10
OPP 47
0
100.0%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Dom WilliamsSimilar
Q4 1:27
3RD & 10
OPP 47
+12
100.0%
Luke Falk pass complete to Dom Williams for 12 yds to the ArzSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:05
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+25
100.0%
Luke Falk pass complete to Robert Lewis for 25 yds to the ArzSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
100.0%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Vince MayleSimilar
Q4 0:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
100.0%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Tyler BakerSimilar
Q4 0:27
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
+8
100.0%
Luke Falk pass complete to River Cracraft for 8 yds to the ArzSt 2Similar
Q4 0:24
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.7%
Luke Falk pass complete to Dom Williams for 2 yds for a TD, (Quentin Breshears KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 32END OF GAME
6 plays · 49 yds · 0:150% → 0%
Q4 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+14
99.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to Vince Mayle for 14 yds to the ArzSt 40Similar
Q4 0:13
2ND & 4
OPP 40
0
99.7%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:10
3RD & 4
OPP 40
+16
99.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to Vince Mayle for 16 yds to the ArzSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:05
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
99.8%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+19
99.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to Vince Mayle for 19 yds to the ArzSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 11:45
D.J. Foster run for 18 yds for a TD, (Zane Gonzalez KICK)
+13.9
TD · Q3 6:24
D.J. Foster run for 1 yd for a TD, (Zane Gonzalez KICK)
+11.8
TD · Q2 3:12
Taylor Kelly pass complete to Cameron Smith for 42 yds for a TD, (Zane Gonzalez KICK)
+9.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com