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ARIZ

Arizona 42 at Utah 10

UTAH
2014 · Week 13 · Nov 22, 2014 · Rice-Eccles Stadium
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Win probability · UTAH
modelUTAH aheadARIZ aheadconfidence bandkey playUTAH scoreARIZ score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFUMBLETDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 8:02 · Tom Hackett punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ariz 35
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+57.0+28.50−28.5−57.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 164Home team on offense−53.3Score differential−41.6Garbage-time factor−20.7Pregame prior+1.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−12.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−4.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 3:23: Anu Solomon run for 11 yds for a TD, (Casey Skowron KICK) — ARIZ win probability +5.6 pts (now 47%) (top driver: ARIZ has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 4:12: Nick Wilson run for 17 yds for a TD, (Casey Skowron KICK) — ARIZ win probability +9.7 pts (now 66%) (top driver: ARIZ has the ball).
  3. FUMBLE · Q2 1:17: Bubba Poole run for no gain to the Utah 39, fumbled, forced Tra'Mayne Bondurant, recovered by Ariz Dan Pettinato, Dan Pettinato return for 31 yds, for a TD (Casey Skowron KICK) — ARIZ win probability +10.5 pts (now 76%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:07: Travis Wilson pass complete to Westlee Tonga for 11 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK) — UTAH win probability +9.8 pts (now 34%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 11:50: Nick Wilson run for 75 yds for a TD, (Casey Skowron KICK) — ARIZ win probability +13.6 pts (now 95%) (top driver: ARIZ has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UTAH made the numbers' call on 7 of 9ARIZ made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 13:44ARIZ 4th & 1 at ARIZ 29, tied
    Close callPunted · 39.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.1%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:04ARIZ 4th & 3 at UTAH 21, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 40.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.0%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    39.9%−0.1
    74% to make
    Punt
    38.7%−1.3
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:32UTAH 4th & 5 at UTAH 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.9%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:46UTAH 4th & 7 at UTAH 48, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.0%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:51ARIZ 4th & 20 at ARIZ 33, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.1%−1.9
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:50UTAH 4th & 7 at UTAH 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.2%−0.7
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.9%
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:39ARIZ 4th & 9 at ARIZ 45, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.3%−0.6
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.9%
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:06ARIZ 4th & 8 at ARIZ 33, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.8%−1.4
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.2%
    average punt
  9. Q2 5:39UTAH 4th & 2 at UTAH 28, down 7
    Close callPunted · 47.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.5%−0.4
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:15UTAH 4th & 16 at UTAH 40, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.0%−2.3
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.2%
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:14UTAH 4th & 8 at ARIZ 10, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 24.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.1%−0.8
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    23.9%
    88% to make
    Punt
    16.7%−7.2
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:59ARIZ 4th & 16 at ARIZ 32, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.5%−4.7
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.2%
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:08UTAH 4th & 10 at ARIZ 35, down 11
    Close callPunted · 22.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.9%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    22.0%
    45% to make
    PuntTheir call
    21.2%−0.8
    average punt
  14. Q4 8:02UTAH 4th & 4 at UTAH 31, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  15. Q4 5:37ARIZ 4th & 8 at ARIZ 37, up 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%
    average punt
  16. Q4 3:16UTAH 4th & 9 at UTAH 23, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:02ARIZ 4th & 10 at ARIZ 48, up 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UTAH made the numbers' call on 1 of 1ARIZ made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 3:23ARIZ Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 4:12ARIZ Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:07UTAH Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 11:50ARIZ Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.0%−0.3
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 10:40ARIZ Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.9%−0.3
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 9:58ARIZ Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ARIZDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:1141% → 41%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
58.8%
Nick Wilson run for 4 yds to the Ariz 24Similar
Q1 14:25
2ND & 6
OWN 24
0
58.8%
Anu Solomon pass incomplete to Cayleb JonesSimilar
Q1 14:04
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+5
58.9%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Austin Hill for 5 yds to the Ariz 29Similar
Q1 13:44
4TH & 1
OWN 29
0
58.9%
Drew Riggleman punt for 40 yds , Kaelin Clay returns for no gain to the Utah 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 2PUNT
3 plays · 9 yds · 1:0659% → 59%
Q1 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-1
58.9%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Kenric Young for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 30Similar
Q1 13:00
2ND & 11
OWN 30
+10
58.9%
Devontae Booker run for 10 yds to the Utah 40Similar
Q1 12:29
3RD & 1
OWN 40
0
59.0%
Travis Wilson pass incomplete to Kaelin ClaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 3MISSED FG
16 plays · 64 yds · 5:0941% → 42%
Q1 12:13
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-5
58.9%
ARIZONA Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (-5 Yards) to the Ariz 10Similar
Q1 12:00
1ST & 15
OWN 10
0
58.9%
Anu Solomon pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:45
2ND & 15
OWN 10
+23
58.9%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Samajie Grant for 23 yds to the Ariz 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+8
58.8%
Terris Jones-Grigsby run for 8 yds to the Ariz 41Similar
Q1 11:07
2ND & 2
OWN 41
+9
58.5%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Tyrell Johnson for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:52
1ST & 10
50
-5
58.4%
ARIZONA Penalty, False Start (Jacob Alsadek) to the Ariz 45Similar
Q1 10:33
1ST & 15
OWN 45
+2
58.7%
Terris Jones-Grigsby run for 2 yds to the Ariz 47Similar
Q1 10:03
2ND & 13
OWN 47
+5
58.7%
Terris Jones-Grigsby run for 5 yds to the Utah 48Similar
Q1 9:26
3RD & 8
OPP 48
+9
58.5%
Anu Solomon run for 9 yds to the Utah 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:12
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+8
58.3%
Terris Jones-Grigsby run for 8 yds to the Utah 31Similar
Q1 8:39
2ND & 2
OPP 31
-2
57.8%
Terris Jones-Grigsby run for a loss of 2 yards to the Utah 33Similar
Q1 8:06
3RD & 4
OPP 33
+5
58.1%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Austin Hill for 5 yds to the Utah 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:50
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
57.8%
Terris Jones-Grigsby run for 2 yds to the Utah 26Similar
Q1 7:32
2ND & 8
OPP 26
+5
57.6%
Terris Jones-Grigsby run for 5 yds to the Utah 21Similar
Q1 7:09
3RD & 3
OPP 21
0
57.9%
Anu Solomon pass incomplete to David RichardsSimilar
Q1 7:04
4TH & 3
OPP 21
+39
58.2%
Casey Skowron 39 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:2359% → 58%
Q1 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
58.8%
Devontae Booker run for 3 yds to the Utah 25Similar
Q1 6:12
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+2
58.9%
Travis Wilson run for 2 yds to the Utah 27Similar
Q1 5:43
3RD & 5
OWN 27
0
58.6%
Travis Wilson pass incomplete to Kenneth ScottSimilar
Q1 5:32
4TH & 5
OWN 27
0
58.1%
Tom Hackett punt for 59 yds, downed at the Ariz 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 5TD
7 plays · 86 yds · 2:0441% → 47%
Q1 5:27
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
58.7%
Anu Solomon pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:15
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+17
58.8%
Nick Wilson run for 17 yds to the Ariz 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+8
58.5%
Nick Wilson run for 8 yds to the Ariz 39Similar
Q1 4:26
2ND & 2
OWN 39
+3
57.8%
Nick Wilson run for 3 yds to the Ariz 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-4
57.8%
Anu Solomon sacked by Hunter Dimick for a loss of 4 yards to the Ariz 38Similar
Q1 3:40
2ND & 14
OWN 38
+51
58.4%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Austin Hill for 51 yds to the Utah 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:23
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
52.8%
Anu Solomon run for 11 yds for a TD, (Casey Skowron KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:3455% → 53%
Q1 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
55.3%
Devontae Booker run for 6 yds to the Ariz 49Similar
Q1 2:25
2ND & 4
OPP 49
-3
55.2%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Devontae Booker for a loss of 3 yards to the Utah 48Similar
Q1 1:54
3RD & 7
OWN 48
0
54.1%
Travis Wilson pass incomplete to Westlee TongaSimilar
Q1 1:46
4TH & 7
OWN 48
0
53.3%
Tom Hackett punt for 52 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 13 yds · 1:4447% → 47%
Q1 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
53.1%
Terris Jones-Grigsby run for no gain to the Ariz 20Similar
Q1 1:07
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+12
53.0%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Samajie Grant for 12 yds to the Ariz 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+11
52.3%
Nick Wilson run for 11 yds to the Ariz 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
51.5%
Nick Wilson run for 1 yd to the Ariz 44Similar
Q1 0:30
2ND & 9
OWN 44
-15
51.4%
ARIZONA Penalty, Personal Foul (Cayleb Jones) to the Ariz 29Similar
Q1 0:20
2ND & 24
OWN 29
0
52.7%
Anu Solomon pass incomplete to Trey GriffeySimilar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 24
OWN 29
+4
53.0%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Cayleb Jones for 4 yds to the Ariz 33Similar
Q2 14:51
4TH & 20
OWN 33
0
53.2%
Drew Riggleman punt for 44 yds , Kaelin Clay returns for no gain to the Utah 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:5053% → 51%
Q2 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
52.6%
Devontae Booker run for 4 yds to the Utah 27Similar
Q2 14:05
2ND & 6
OWN 27
+2
52.6%
Devontae Booker run for 2 yds to the Utah 29Similar
Q2 14:00
3RD & 4
OWN 29
-3
52.0%
Travis Wilson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Utah 26 Travis Wilson fumbled, recovered by Utah Travis WilsonSimilar
Q2 12:50
4TH & 7
OWN 26
0
50.7%
Tom Hackett punt for 63 yds , DaVonte' Neal returns for no gain to the Ariz 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 34 yds · 2:0748% → 49%
Q2 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
51.6%
Anu Solomon pass incomplete to Cayleb JonesSimilar
Q2 12:30
2ND & 10
OWN 11
+33
51.5%
Nick Wilson run for 33 yds to the Ariz 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-1
50.4%
Nick Wilson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ariz 43Similar
Q2 11:24
2ND & 11
OWN 43
0
50.5%
Anu Solomon pass incomplete to Austin HillSimilar
Q2 11:12
3RD & 11
OWN 43
+2
51.0%
Terris Jones-Grigsby run for 2 yds to the Ariz 45Similar
Q2 10:39
4TH & 9
OWN 45
0
51.5%
Drew Riggleman punt for 55 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 10INT
5 plays · 57 yds · 2:0552% → 53%
Q2 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
51.5%
Devontae Booker run for 5 yds to the Utah 25Similar
Q2 10:00
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+48
51.7%
Travis Wilson run for 33 yds to the Ariz 42 for a 1ST down ARIZONA Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Ariz 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
54.4%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Kaelin Clay for 5 yds to the Ariz 22Similar
Q2 9:00
2ND & 5
OPP 22
-1
54.2%
Devontae Booker run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ariz 23Similar
Q2 8:25
3RD & 6
OPP 23
0
52.9%
Travis Wilson pass intercepted, touchback. Jourdon Grandon return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 1:0950% → 51%
Q2 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
50.2%
Terris Jones-Grigsby run for 5 yds to the Ariz 25Similar
Q2 8:01
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+6
48.2%
Anu Solomon run for 6 yds to the Ariz 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
48.0%
Terris Jones-Grigsby run for 2 yds to the Ariz 33Similar
Q2 7:22
2ND & 8
OWN 33
0
47.7%
Anu Solomon pass incomplete to Cayleb JonesSimilar
Q2 7:16
3RD & 8
OWN 33
0
48.4%
Anu Solomon pass incomplete to DaVonte' NealSimilar
Q2 7:06
4TH & 8
OWN 33
0
49.2%
Drew Riggleman punt for 67 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:2049% → 47%
Q2 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
48.6%
Travis Wilson pass incomplete to Kenneth ScottSimilar
Q2 6:30
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+2
48.4%
Devontae Booker run for 2 yds to the Utah 22Similar
Q2 6:05
3RD & 8
OWN 22
+6
47.4%
Travis Wilson run for 6 yds to the Utah 28Similar
Q2 5:39
4TH & 2
OWN 28
0
47.4%
Tom Hackett punt for 45 yds , DaVonte' Neal returns for no gain to the Ariz 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 13TD
4 plays · 73 yds · 1:1253% → 66%
Q2 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
47.1%
Nick Wilson run for 7 yds to the Ariz 34Similar
Q2 5:00
2ND & 3
OWN 34
+49
46.1%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Trey Griffey for 49 yds to the Utah 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:40
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
44.2%
Anu Solomon run for no gain to the Utah 17Similar
Q2 4:12
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+17
34.5%
Nick Wilson run for 17 yds for a TD, (Casey Skowron KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 14FUMBLE TD
8 plays · 19 yds · 2:3936% → 24%
Q2 3:56
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
36.4%
Devontae Booker run for 2 yds to the Utah 22Similar
Q2 3:16
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+7
35.9%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Westlee Tonga for 7 yds to the Utah 29Similar
Q2 2:55
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+1
36.4%
Devontae Booker run for 1 yd to the Utah 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-5
35.5%
Devontae Booker run for 5 yds to the Utah 35 UTAH Penalty, Offensive Holding (Westlee Tonga) to the Utah 25Similar
Q2 2:15
1ST & 15
OWN 25
+7
34.4%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Kenneth Scott for 7 yds to the Utah 32Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+7
34.4%
Bubba Poole run for 7 yds to the Utah 39Similar
Q2 1:17
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+31
23.8%
Bubba Poole run for no gain to the Utah 39, fumbled, forced Tra'Mayne Bondurant, recovered by Ariz Dan Pettinato, Dan Pettinato return for 31 yds, for a TD (Casey Skowron KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 15TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 1:0123% → 34%
Q2 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
22.9%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Kaelin Clay for 13 yds to the Utah 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
23.7%
Travis Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:46
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+12
23.0%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Kenneth Scott for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
50
+1
24.6%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Devontae Booker for 1 yd to the Ariz 49Similar
Q2 0:30
2ND & 9
OPP 49
0
24.6%
Travis Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:25
3RD & 9
OPP 49
+10
24.0%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Kenneth Scott for 10 yds to the Ariz 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:13
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+28
24.2%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Kaelin Clay for 16 yds to the Ariz 23 for a 1ST down ARIZONA Penalty, Personal Foul (Jarvis McCall Jr.) to the Ariz 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:07
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
34.0%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Westlee Tonga for 11 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 16END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0072% → 72%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
28.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ariz 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 17PUNT
12 plays · 15 yds · 3:3931% → 27%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
31.4%
Travis Wilson pass incomplete to Kaelin ClaySimilar
Q3 14:45
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
31.2%
Devontae Booker run for 6 yds to the Utah 31Similar
Q3 14:15
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+4
31.3%
Devontae Booker run for 4 yds to the Utah 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
30.9%
Devontae Booker run for 4 yds to the Utah 39Similar
Q3 13:16
2ND & 6
OWN 39
0
31.8%
Travis Wilson pass incomplete to Kenneth ScottSimilar
Q3 13:07
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+15
31.3%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Westlee Tonga for 15 yds to the Ariz 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-3
32.0%
Travis Wilson run for 7 yds to the Ariz 39 UTAH Penalty, Offensive Holding (Kenneth Scott) to the Ariz 49Similar
Q3 12:35
1ST & 13
OPP 49
+4
31.0%
Devontae Booker run for 4 yds to the Ariz 45Similar
Q3 12:15
2ND & 1
OPP 45
0
31.4%
Travis Wilson pass incomplete to Kaelin ClaySimilar
Q3 11:30
3RD & 1
OPP 45
-15
30.8%
Travis Wilson sacked by Jourdon Grandon for a loss of 15 yards to the Utah 40Similar
Q3 11:15
4TH & 16
OWN 40
0
27.4%
Tom Hackett punt for 44 yds, fair catch by DaVonte' Neal at the Ariz 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 18FUMBLE
7 plays · 77 yds · 2:1874% → 80%
Q3 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+1
26.1%
Nick Wilson run for 1 yd to the Ariz 17Similar
Q3 10:45
2ND & 9
OWN 17
+18
26.0%
Jesse Scroggins run for 18 yds to the Ariz 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
25.4%
Nick Wilson run for 2 yds to the Ariz 37Similar
Q3 10:01
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+10
22.8%
Jesse Scroggins pass complete to Samajie Grant for 10 yds to the Ariz 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+43
21.9%
Jesse Scroggins pass complete to Samajie Grant for 43 yds to the Utah 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
21.2%
Jesse Scroggins run for 2 yds to the Utah 8, fumbled, forced by Brian Blechen, recovered by Ariz Jesse Scroggins at Utah 7Similar
Q3 8:42
2ND & 0
OPP 7
+7
20.4%
Jesse Scroggins run for no gain to the Utah 7, fumbled, recovered by Utah Justin Thomas , return for 7 yds to the Utah 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 19FG
8 plays · 76 yds · 3:2625% → 30%
Q3 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+6
24.5%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Devontae Booker for 6 yds to the Utah 20Similar
Q3 8:15
2ND & 4
OWN 20
+5
23.9%
Devontae Booker run for 5 yds to the Utah 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
23.7%
Devontae Booker run for 2 yds to the Utah 27Similar
Q3 7:30
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+61
23.3%
Devontae Booker run for 61 yds to the Ariz 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+1
26.9%
Devontae Booker run for 1 yd to the Ariz 11Similar
Q3 6:00
2ND & 9
OPP 11
+1
25.9%
Travis Wilson run for 1 yd to the Ariz 10Similar
Q3 5:17
3RD & 8
OPP 10
0
24.5%
Travis Wilson pass incomplete to Kenneth ScottSimilar
Q3 5:14
4TH & 8
OPP 10
+28
29.5%
Andy Phillips 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 20PUNT
8 plays · 7 yds · 2:0173% → 72%
Q3 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
27.5%
Nick Wilson run for 2 yds to the Ariz 27Similar
Q3 4:45
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
27.2%
Jesse Scroggins pass incomplete to Samajie GrantSimilar
Q3 4:30
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+11
27.8%
Jesse Scroggins pass complete to Cayleb Jones for 11 yds to the Ariz 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-1
25.3%
Nick Wilson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ariz 37Similar
Q3 3:52
2ND & 11
OWN 37
0
26.0%
Jesse Scroggins pass incomplete to Cayleb JonesSimilar
Q3 3:30
3RD & 11
OWN 37
-5
26.6%
Jesse Scroggins sacked by Nate Orchard for a loss of 5 yards to the Ariz 32Similar
Q3 2:59
4TH & 16
OWN 32
0
27.9%
Drew Riggleman punt for 55 yds , Kaelin Clay return 87 yards for a TD, Utah penalty holding 6 yards to the Utah 7, NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 21PUNT
10 plays · 52 yds · 3:4225% → 21%
Q3 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 7
-1
25.3%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Kaelin Clay for 5 yards to the Utah 12Similar
Q3 2:20
2ND & 5
OWN 12
+7
25.4%
Devontae Booker run for 7 yds to the Utah 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+35
24.8%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Westlee Tonga for 35 yds to the Ariz 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
27.9%
Travis Wilson run for 3 yds to the Ariz 43Similar
Q3 0:58
2ND & 7
OPP 43
0
27.1%
Travis Wilson pass incomplete to Westlee TongaSimilar
Q3 0:50
3RD & 7
OPP 43
+8
26.3%
Travis Wilson run for 8 yds to the Ariz 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:15
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
28.4%
Devontae Booker run for 4 yds to the Ariz 31Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 31
+3
28.6%
Devontae Booker run for 3 yds to the Ariz 28Similar
Q4 14:55
3RD & 3
OPP 28
-7
26.8%
Fumbled snap, Travis Wilson sacked by William Parks for a loss of 7 yards to the Ariz 35Similar
Q4 14:08
4TH & 10
OPP 35
0
21.2%
Tom Hackett punt for 30 yds, downed at the Ariz 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 22TD
5 plays · 95 yds · 2:1078% → 95%
Q4 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+6
22.0%
Nick Wilson run for 6 yds to the Ariz 11Similar
Q4 13:30
2ND & 4
OWN 11
+6
20.4%
Nick Wilson run for 6 yds to the Ariz 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+5
19.7%
Nick Wilson run for 5 yds to the Ariz 22Similar
Q4 12:15
2ND & 5
OWN 22
+3
19.1%
Nick Wilson run for 3 yds to the Ariz 25Similar
Q4 11:50
3RD & 2
OWN 25
+75
5.5%
Nick Wilson run for 75 yds for a TD, (Casey Skowron KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 23INT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:546% → 6%
Q4 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
6.4%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Devontae Booker for 4 yds to the Utah 29Similar
Q4 11:11
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
5.9%
Devontae Booker run for 2 yds to the Utah 31Similar
Q4 10:46
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+9
5.7%
Travis Wilson pass intercepted Jared Tevis return for 9 yds to the Utah 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 24TD
1 play · 19 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 10:40
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
0.6%
Nick Wilson run for 19 yds for a TD, (Casey Skowron KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 25INT TD
6 plays · 11 yds · 0:371% → 0%
Q4 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
0.7%
Conner Manning pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:32
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
0.7%
Conner Manning pass incomplete to Kaelin ClaySimilar
Q4 10:15
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+11
0.7%
Conner Manning pass complete to Kenneth Scott for 11 yds to the Utah 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
0.7%
Conner Manning pass incomplete to Westlee TongaSimilar
Q4 9:58
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+39
0.3%
Conner Manning pass intercepted for a TD Tra'Mayne Bondurant return for 39 yds for a TD, (Casey Skowron KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 26PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:480% → 0%
Q4 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-13
0.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 13 yards to the Utah 12, fumble recovered by Utah Devontae Booker at Utah 9Similar
Q4 9:30
2ND & 26
OWN 9
+17
0.3%
Conner Manning pass complete to Jameson Field for 17 yds to the Utah 26Similar
Q4 9:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+5
0.3%
Troy McCormick run for 5 yds to the Utah 31Similar
Q4 8:02
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
0.2%
Tom Hackett punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ariz 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 27PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 2:23100% → 100%
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
0.3%
Terris Jones-Grigsby run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ariz 34Similar
Q4 7:45
2ND & 11
OWN 34
+6
0.3%
Terris Jones-Grigsby run for 6 yds to the Ariz 40Similar
Q4 6:20
3RD & 5
OWN 40
-3
0.2%
Terris Jones-Grigsby run for a loss of 3 yards to the Ariz 37Similar
Q4 5:37
4TH & 8
OWN 37
0
0.2%
Drew Riggleman punt for 62 yds, downed at the Utah 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 28PUNT
5 plays · 22 yds · 2:140% → 0%
Q4 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+21
0.2%
Bubba Poole run for 21 yds to the Utah 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
0.2%
Bubba Poole run for 3 yds to the Utah 25Similar
Q4 4:45
2ND & 7
OWN 25
-5
0.2%
Conner Manning sacked by Calvin Allen for a loss of 5 yards to the Utah 20 Conner Manning fumbled, recovered by Utah Conner ManningSimilar
Q4 4:35
3RD & 12
OWN 20
+3
0.1%
Troy McCormick run for 3 yds to the Utah 23Similar
Q4 3:16
4TH & 9
OWN 23
0
0.1%
Tom Hackett punt for 29 yds, fair catch by DaVonte' Neal at the Ariz 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 29PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 2:08100% → 100%
Q4 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
0.2%
Jared Baker run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 2:35
2ND & 8
50
+2
0.1%
Jerrard Randall run for 2 yds to the Utah 48Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 6
OPP 48
+1
0.1%
Jared Baker run for 1 yd to the Utah 47Similar
Q4 1:45
4TH & 5
OPP 47
-5
0.1%
ARIZONA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Ariz 48Similar
Q4 1:02
4TH & 10
OWN 48
0
0.1%
Drew Riggleman punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Kaelin Clay at the Utah 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 30END OF GAME
2 plays · 26 yds · 0:450% → 0%
Q4 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+12
0.1%
Troy McCormick run for 12 yds to the Utah 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+14
0.1%
Troy McCormick run for 14 yds to the Utah 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 11:50
Nick Wilson run for 75 yds for a TD, (Casey Skowron KICK)
-13.6
FUMBLE · Q2 1:17
Bubba Poole run for no gain to the Utah 39, fumbled, forced Tra'Mayne Bondurant, recovered by Ariz Dan Pettinato, Dan Pettinato return for 31 yds, for a TD (Casey Skowron KICK)
-10.5
TD · Q2 0:07
Travis Wilson pass complete to Westlee Tonga for 11 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK)
+9.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com