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UTAH

Utah 20 at Stanford 17

STAN
2014 · Week 12 · Nov 15, 2014 · Stanford Stadium
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Win probability · STAN
modelSTAN aheadUTAH aheadconfidence bandkey playSTAN scoreUTAH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTOT2TDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 14:03 · Tom Hackett punt for 54 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Stanf 10
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseTime remainingScore differentialOffense timeoutsDefense timeouts
+28.5+14.30−14.3−28.5Q1Q2Q3Q4OTOT2Play 110Pregame prior+6.4Home team on offense−2.1Time remaining−1.4Score differential−3.7Offense timeouts−0.1Defense timeouts+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 6:02: Travis Wilson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK) — UTAH win probability +10.6 pts (now 36%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q4 1:33: Devontae Booker run for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 6 — UTAH win probability +8.0 pts (now 50%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  3. TD · OT 0:00: Travis Wilson pass complete to Kaelin Clay for 25 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK) — UTAH win probability +33.6 pts (now 79%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  4. TD · OT 0:00: Austin Hooper 14 Yd pass from Kevin Hogan (Jordan Williamson Kick) — STAN win probability +36.6 pts (now 65%) (top driver: defense timeouts not recorded for this play).
  5. TD · OT2 0:00: Travis Wilson pass complete to Kenneth Scott for 3 yds for a TD — UTAH win probability +58.8 pts (now 88%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
STAN made the numbers' call on 7 of 9UTAH made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 12:18STAN 4th & 1 at UTAH 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 70.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    70.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    70.0%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:23UTAH 4th & 11 at STAN 46, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.9%−0.2
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    27.8%−0.3
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    28.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:51STAN 4th & 11 at STAN 15, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.9%−0.8
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.7%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:53UTAH 4th & 13 at STAN 37, down 7
    Close callPunted · 27.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.2%−0.3
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    27.5%
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    27.4%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:36STAN 4th & 3 at STAN 27, up 7
    Close callPunted · 71.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.2%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:11UTAH 4th & 17 at UTAH 21, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.2%−1.6
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:23STAN 4th & 18 at STAN 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.7%−2.2
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.9%
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:11UTAH 4th & 14 at STAN 37, tied
    Close callPunted · 37.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.0%−0.9
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    38.0%
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    37.1%−0.9
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:59UTAH 4th & 1 at UTAH 48, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.6 ptsPunted · 40.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.7%−2.6
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:45STAN 4th & 9 at UTAH 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.0%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    61.7%−1.4
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    63.1%
    average punt
  11. Q3 1:42UTAH 4th & 7 at UTAH 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.5%−1.0
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.5%
    average punt
  12. Q3 0:03STAN 4th & 16 at STAN 10, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.1%−4.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.2%
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:03UTAH 4th & 6 at UTAH 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.8%−1.5
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.3%
    average punt
  14. Q4 12:30STAN 4th & 5 at STAN 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.3%−2.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.5%
    average punt
  15. Q4 10:22UTAH 4th & 19 at UTAH 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.9%−8.6
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.5%
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:38STAN 4th & 7 at UTAH 34, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 7.2 ptsPunted · 59.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.2%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    57.8%−0.4
    47% to make
    PuntTheir call
    51.0%−7.2
    average punt
  17. Q4 0:34UTAH 4th & 1 at UTAH 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.3%−1.7
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.0%
    average punt
  18. Q4 0:00STAN 4th & 3 at STAN 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.4%−3.3
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.7%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
STAN made the numbers' call on 1 of 1UTAH made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 11:18STAN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 6:02UTAH Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
STANDrive 1TD
8 plays · 70 yds · 3:2276% → 77%
Q1 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+14
76.0%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Michael Rector for 14 yds to the Stanf 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
76.0%
Barry Sanders run for 2 yds to the Stanf 46Similar
Q1 13:39
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+2
75.9%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Michael Rector for 2 yds to the Stanf 48Similar
Q1 12:45
3RD & 6
OWN 48
+5
75.7%
Christian McCaffrey run for 5 yds to the Utah 47Similar
Q1 12:18
4TH & 1
OPP 47
+37
75.6%
Christian McCaffrey run for 37 yds to the Utah 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+7
75.8%
Remound Wright run for 7 yds to the Utah 3Similar
Q1 11:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
76.6%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Lee Ward for 3 yds for a TD, (Jordan Williamson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 2PUNT
13 plays · 38 yds · 5:4124% → 23%
Q1 11:04
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
76.2%
Devontae Booker run for 2 yds to the Utah 18Similar
Q1 10:19
2ND & 8
OWN 18
+4
76.2%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Westlee Tonga for 4 yds to the Utah 22Similar
Q1 9:44
3RD & 4
OWN 22
+9
76.4%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Devontae Booker for 9 yds to the Utah 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-1
76.3%
Devontae Booker run for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 30Similar
Q1 8:38
2ND & 11
OWN 30
0
76.4%
Travis Wilson pass incomplete to Siale FakailoatongaSimilar
Q1 8:30
3RD & 11
OWN 30
+12
76.6%
Travis Wilson run for 12 yds to the Utah 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+13
76.2%
Devontae Booker run for 13 yds to the Stanf 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:42
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
75.9%
Devontae Booker run for 4 yds to the Stanf 41Similar
Q1 6:53
2ND & 6
OPP 41
-5
75.8%
UTAH Penalty, False Start (J.J. Dielman) to the Stanf 46Similar
Q1 6:30
2ND & 11
OPP 46
+3
76.0%
Devontae Booker run for 3 yds to the Stanf 43Similar
Q1 5:58
3RD & 8
OPP 43
-3
75.9%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Devontae Booker for a loss of 3 yards to the Stanf 46Similar
Q1 5:23
4TH & 11
OPP 46
0
76.7%
Tom Hackett punt for 41 yds, downed at the Stanf 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 10 yds · 3:2277% → 76%
Q1 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+3
76.6%
Remound Wright run for 3 yds to the Stanf 8Similar
Q1 4:35
2ND & 7
OWN 8
+5
76.5%
Remound Wright run for 5 yds to the Stanf 13Similar
Q1 3:49
3RD & 2
OWN 13
+3
76.3%
Remound Wright run for 3 yds to the Stanf 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+4
76.8%
Ricky Seale run for 4 yds to the Stanf 20Similar
Q1 2:36
2ND & 6
OWN 20
-5
76.6%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Kelsey Young for a loss of 5 yards to the Stanf 15Similar
Q1 1:58
3RD & 11
OWN 15
0
76.1%
Kevin Hogan pass incomplete to Michael Rector, broken up by Eric RoweSimilar
Q1 1:51
4TH & 11
OWN 15
0
75.8%
Ben Rhyne punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Kaelin Clay at the Utah 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 18 yds · 1:4924% → 23%
Q1 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+21
75.6%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Westlee Tonga for 21 yds to the Stanf 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:11
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
74.7%
Devontae Booker run for 2 yds to the Stanf 32Similar
Q1 0:37
2ND & 8
OPP 32
0
74.6%
Travis Wilson pass incomplete to Kaelin ClaySimilar
Q1 0:27
3RD & 8
OPP 32
-5
75.3%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Devontae Booker for a loss of 5 yards to the Stanf 37Similar
Q2 14:53
4TH & 13
OPP 37
0
76.7%
Tom Hackett punt for 37 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 2:0677% → 76%
Q2 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
76.7%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Ty Montgomery for 2 yds to the Stanf 22Similar
Q2 13:59
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+3
76.6%
Remound Wright run for 3 yds to the Stanf 25Similar
Q2 13:20
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+2
76.3%
Barry Sanders run for 2 yds to the Stanf 27Similar
Q2 12:36
4TH & 3
OWN 27
+8
75.8%
Ben Rhyne punt for 53 yds , Kaelin Clay returns for 8 yds to the Utah 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · -7 yds · 1:1324% → 23%
Q2 12:24
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-5
76.1%
Devontae Booker run for a loss of 5 yards to the Utah 23Similar
Q2 11:54
2ND & 15
OWN 23
0
76.5%
Travis Wilson pass incomplete to Westlee TongaSimilar
Q2 11:44
3RD & 15
OWN 23
-2
77.0%
Travis Wilson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Utah 21Similar
Q2 11:11
4TH & 17
OWN 21
+1
77.4%
Tom Hackett punt for 44 yds for a 1ST down , Ty Montgomery returns for 1 yd to the Utah 36 for a 1ST down UTAH Penalty, Kick Catching Interference (Troy McCormick) to the Utah 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 7FUMBLE
3 plays · 21 yds · 1:1478% → 78%
Q2 11:04
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+11
77.9%
Ty Montgomery run for 11 yds to the Utah 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
78.1%
Kelsey Young run for 2 yds to the Utah 36Similar
Q2 9:50
2ND & 8
OPP 36
+8
78.2%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Austin Hooper for 8 yds Austin Hooper fumbled, forced by Nate Orchard, recovered by Utah Eric Rowe , return for 6 yds to the Utah 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 8TD
9 plays · 66 yds · 3:3424% → 36%
Q2 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
76.1%
Travis Wilson run for 3 yds to the Utah 37Similar
Q2 8:57
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+3
75.9%
Travis Wilson run for 3 yds to the Utah 40Similar
Q2 8:21
3RD & 4
OWN 40
+32
75.8%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Kenneth Scott for 32 yds to the Stanf 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:52
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
74.1%
Devontae Booker run for no gain to the Stanf 28Similar
Q2 7:09
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+11
74.4%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Devontae Booker for 11 yds to the Stanf 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:48
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+5
74.0%
Travis Wilson run for 5 yds to the Stanf 12Similar
Q2 6:45
2ND & 5
OPP 12
+4
74.0%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Bubba Poole for 4 yds to the Stanf 8Similar
Q2 6:20
3RD & 1
OPP 8
+6
74.9%
Travis Wilson run for 6 yds to the Stanf 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
64.3%
Travis Wilson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 5 yds · 2:2470% → 68%
Q2 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+13
69.9%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Christian McCaffrey for 13 yds to the Stanf 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-8
70.1%
Kevin Hogan sacked by Filipo Mokofisi and Nate Orchard for a loss of 8 yards to the Stanf 20Similar
Q2 4:29
2ND & 18
OWN 20
-5
69.4%
STANFORD Penalty, Delay of Game (Kevin Hogan) to the Stanf 15Similar
Q2 4:09
2ND & 23
OWN 15
+5
69.3%
Ty Montgomery run for 5 yds to the Stanf 20Similar
Q2 3:40
3RD & 18
OWN 20
0
68.1%
Kevin Hogan pass incomplete to Remound Wright, broken up by Hunter DimickSimilar
Q2 3:23
4TH & 18
OWN 20
+10
67.5%
Ben Rhyne punt for 45 yds , Kaelin Clay returns for 10 yds to the Utah 30 UTAH Penalty, Offensive Holding (Delshawn McClellon) to the Utah 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 28 yds · 2:0434% → 35%
Q2 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
65.7%
Travis Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:08
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+32
66.0%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Kenneth Scott for 32 yds to the Stanf 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:49
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
61.6%
Travis Wilson pass incomplete to Devontae BookerSimilar
Q2 2:42
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+3
61.7%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Devontae Booker for 3 yds to the Stanf 30Similar
Q2 1:48
3RD & 7
OPP 30
-7
61.6%
Devontae Booker run for a loss of 7 yards to the Stanf 37 Devontae Booker fumbled, forced by Kevin Anderson, recovered by Utah Devontae BookerSimilar
Q2 1:11
4TH & 14
OPP 37
0
65.1%
Tom Hackett punt for 35 yds, downed at the Stanf 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 11END OF HALF
6 plays · 25 yds · 1:0667% → 68%
Q2 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+5
67.2%
Kelsey Young run for 5 yds to the Stanf 7Similar
Q2 0:52
2ND & 4
OWN 7
+14
67.7%
Kevin Hogan run for 14 yds to the Stanf 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
68.1%
Kevin Hogan pass incomplete to Austin HooperSimilar
Q2 0:30
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+14
67.9%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Ty Montgomery for 14 yds to the Stanf 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-8
68.3%
Kevin Hogan sacked by Nate Orchard for a loss of 8 yards to the Stanf 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 25 yds · 2:4335% → 37%
Q3 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-4
64.7%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Bubba Poole for a loss of 4 yards to the Utah 19Similar
Q3 14:07
2ND & 14
OWN 19
+20
64.9%
Devontae Booker run for 20 yds to the Utah 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-11
62.5%
Travis Wilson sacked by Henry Anderson for a loss of 11 yards to the Utah 28Similar
Q3 12:49
2ND & 21
OWN 28
+7
64.5%
Devontae Booker run for 7 yds to the Utah 35Similar
Q3 12:14
3RD & 14
OWN 35
+13
65.6%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Devontae Booker for 13 yds to the Utah 48Similar
Q3 11:59
4TH & 1
OWN 48
0
62.9%
Tom Hackett punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Ty Montgomery at the Stanf 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 13PUNT
12 plays · 54 yds · 5:0766% → 65%
Q3 11:52
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+11
66.3%
Kelsey Young run for 11 yds to the Stanf 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:17
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-5
66.3%
STANFORD Penalty, False Start (Eric Cotton) to the Stanf 9Similar
Q3 10:54
1ST & 15
OWN 9
0
66.0%
Christian McCaffrey run for no gain to the Stanf 9Similar
Q3 10:13
2ND & 15
OWN 9
0
65.7%
Kevin Hogan pass incomplete to Devon CajusteSimilar
Q3 10:06
3RD & 15
OWN 9
+19
64.4%
Christian McCaffrey run for 19 yds to the Stanf 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
66.3%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Ty Montgomery for 5 yds Ty Montgomery fumbled, forced by Marcus Williams, recovered by Stanf Kelsey YoungSimilar
Q3 8:36
2ND & 5
OWN 33
+8
67.4%
Christian McCaffrey run for 8 yds to the Stanf 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+15
68.0%
Hogan, Kevin pass incomplete to Cajuste, Devon, PENALTY UTAH pass interference (Williams, Marcus) 15 yards to the UTAH44, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN STANFORD. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:02
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-2
69.5%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Christian McCaffrey for a loss of 2 yards to the Utah 46Similar
Q3 7:05
2ND & 12
OPP 46
+3
67.9%
Remound Wright run for 3 yds to the Utah 43Similar
Q3 6:53
3RD & 9
OPP 43
0
67.9%
Kevin Hogan pass incomplete to Michael RectorSimilar
Q3 6:45
4TH & 9
OPP 43
0
64.9%
Ben Rhyne punt for 39 yds, downed at the Utah 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 14PUNT
10 plays · 35 yds · 4:4737% → 39%
Q3 6:29
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+6
62.6%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Kaelin Clay for 6 yds to the Utah 10Similar
Q3 5:47
2ND & 4
OWN 10
-3
62.3%
Travis Wilson sacked by Henry Anderson for a loss of 3 yards to the Utah 7Similar
Q3 5:16
3RD & 7
OWN 7
+15
63.7%
Wilson, Travis pass incomplete to Scott, Kenneth, PENALTY STANFORD pass interference (Carter, Alex) 15 yards to the UTAH22, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN UTAH. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+7
61.4%
Devontae Booker run for 7 yds to the Utah 29Similar
Q3 4:35
2ND & 3
OWN 29
-1
59.1%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Bubba Poole for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 28Similar
Q3 4:04
3RD & 4
OWN 28
+8
60.7%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Devontae Booker for 8 yds to the Utah 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
58.9%
Bubba Poole run for 3 yds to the Utah 39Similar
Q3 3:05
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+1
57.2%
Devontae Booker run for 1 yd to the Utah 40Similar
Q3 2:21
3RD & 6
OWN 40
-1
58.0%
Travis Wilson sacked by Henry Anderson for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 39Similar
Q3 1:42
4TH & 7
OWN 39
0
61.1%
Tom Hackett punt for 45 yds, downed at the Stanf 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 1:3163% → 59%
Q3 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
63.1%
Christian McCaffrey run for 2 yds to the Stanf 18Similar
Q3 0:58
2ND & 8
OWN 18
0
62.7%
Kevin Hogan pass incomplete to Ty MontgomerySimilar
Q3 0:41
3RD & 8
OWN 18
-8
60.6%
Kevin Hogan sacked by Nate Orchard for a loss of 8 yards to the Stanf 10Similar
Q3 0:03
4TH & 16
OWN 10
+4
59.4%
Ben Rhyne punt for 52 yds , Kaelin Clay returns for 4 yds to the Utah 42 UTAH Penalty, Illegal Block (Delshawn McClellon) to the Utah 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:5742% → 40%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
57.6%
Travis Wilson pass incomplete to Kaelin ClaySimilar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+4
58.6%
Devontae Booker run for 4 yds to the Utah 36Similar
Q4 14:13
3RD & 6
OWN 36
0
58.3%
Travis Wilson pass incomplete to Westlee TongaSimilar
Q4 14:03
4TH & 6
OWN 36
0
60.2%
Tom Hackett punt for 54 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Stanf 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:2762% → 58%
Q4 13:57
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
62.0%
Kevin Hogan pass incomplete to Ty Montgomery, broken up by Dominique HatfieldSimilar
Q4 13:46
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+2
61.7%
Christian McCaffrey run for 2 yds to the Stanf 12Similar
Q4 13:05
3RD & 8
OWN 12
+3
59.6%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Michael Rector for 3 yds to the Stanf 15Similar
Q4 12:30
4TH & 5
OWN 15
0
58.3%
Ben Rhyne punt for 30 yds, downed at the Stanf 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · -9 yds · 1:4348% → 41%
Q4 12:05
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-4
52.3%
Travis Wilson sacked by James Vaughters for a loss of 4 yards to the Stanf 49Similar
Q4 11:45
2ND & 14
OPP 49
+3
54.9%
Devontae Booker run for 3 yds to the Stanf 46Similar
Q4 10:59
3RD & 11
OPP 46
-8
54.4%
Travis Wilson sacked by James Vaughters for a loss of 8 yards to the Utah 46Similar
Q4 10:22
4TH & 19
OWN 46
0
58.9%
Tom Hackett punt for 48 yds, downed at the Stanf 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 19PUNT
18 plays · 60 yds · 8:2260% → 58%
Q4 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+9
59.8%
Kelsey Young run for 9 yds to the Stanf 15Similar
Q4 9:32
2ND & 1
OWN 15
+8
60.4%
Kelsey Young run for 8 yds to the Stanf 23 Kelsey Young fumbled, recovered by Stanf Austin Hooper for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
60.4%
Barry Sanders run for 2 yds to the Stanf 25Similar
Q4 8:28
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+6
60.0%
Kevin Hogan run for 6 yds to the Stanf 31Similar
Q4 8:04
3RD & 2
OWN 31
+5
59.5%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Remound Wright for 5 yds to the Stanf 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
61.6%
Kelsey Young run for 8 yds to the Stanf 44Similar
Q4 6:50
2ND & 2
OWN 44
+3
64.2%
Ty Montgomery run for 3 yds to the Stanf 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:16
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+7
64.1%
Ty Montgomery run for 7 yds to the Utah 46Similar
Q4 5:37
2ND & 3
OPP 46
+2
65.1%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Greg Taboada for 2 yds to the Utah 44Similar
Q4 4:56
3RD & 1
OPP 44
+2
64.0%
Remound Wright run for 2 yds to the Utah 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:55
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-15
64.8%
STANFORD Penalty, Personal Foul (Remound Wright) to the Stanf 43Similar
Q4 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+20
62.8%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Ty Montgomery for 20 yds to the Utah 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:38
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-10
64.5%
Montgomery, Ty rush for 5 yards to the UTAH32, PENALTY STANFORD holding (Ward, Lee) 10 yards to the UTAH47, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:15
1ST & 20
OPP 47
+9
61.7%
Kelsey Young run for 9 yds to the Utah 38Similar
Q4 2:30
2ND & 11
OPP 38
0
63.9%
Kevin Hogan pass incomplete to Remound WrightSimilar
Q4 2:21
3RD & 11
OPP 38
+4
59.6%
Christian McCaffrey run for 4 yds to the Utah 34Similar
Q4 1:38
4TH & 7
OPP 34
0
58.0%
Ben Rhyne punt for 27 yds, downed at the Utah 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 0:5950% → 47%
Q4 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 7
-1
49.9%
Devontae Booker run for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 6Similar
Q4 1:28
2ND & 11
OWN 6
+4
50.8%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Kenneth Scott for 4 yds to the Utah 10Similar
Q4 1:20
3RD & 7
OWN 10
+6
50.0%
Devontae Booker run for 6 yds to the Utah 16Similar
Q4 0:34
4TH & 1
OWN 16
0
52.7%
Tom Hackett punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Ty Montgomery at the Stanf 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:2256% → 54%
Q4 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
56.3%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Michael Rector for 7 yds to the Stanf 42Similar
Q4 0:17
2ND & 3
OWN 42
0
61.1%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:10
3RD & 3
OWN 42
0
58.5%
Kevin Hogan pass incomplete to Michael Rector, broken up by Eric RoweSimilar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 3
OWN 42
0
54.4%
Ben Rhyne punt for 36 yds, downed at the Utah 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 22TD
1 play · 25 yds · 0:0079% → 79%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
20.8%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Kaelin Clay for 25 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 23TD
3 plays · 25 yds · 0:0028% → 65%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+11
28.1%
Remound Wright run for 11 yds to the Utah 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
28.1%
Remound Wright run for no gain to the Utah 14Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+14
64.7%
Austin Hooper 14 Yd pass from Kevin Hogan (Jordan Williamson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 24FG
4 plays · -9 yds · 0:0065% → 65%
OT2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-8
64.7%
Kevin Hogan sacked by Nate Orchard for a loss of 8 yards to the Utah 33Similar
OT2 0:00
2ND & 18
OPP 33
0
61.0%
Kevin Hogan pass incomplete to Devon CajusteSimilar
OT2 0:00
3RD & 18
OPP 33
-1
58.1%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Christian McCaffrey for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 34Similar
OT2 0:00
4TH & 19
OPP 34
+51
65.1%
Jordan Williamson 51 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 25TD
6 plays · 25 yds · 0:0029% → 88%
OT2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
70.9%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Devontae Booker for no gain to the Stanf 25Similar
OT2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+3
72.9%
Travis Wilson run for 3 yds to the Stanf 22Similar
OT2 0:00
3RD & 7
OPP 22
+10
77.7%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Westlee Tonga for 10 yds to the Stanf 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+4
70.9%
Travis Wilson run for 4 yds to the Stanf 8Similar
OT2 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 8
+5
70.9%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Devontae Booker for 5 yds to the Stanf 3Similar
OT2 0:00
3RD & 1
OPP 3
+3
12.1%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Kenneth Scott for 3 yds for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · OT2 0:00
Travis Wilson pass complete to Kenneth Scott for 3 yds for a TD
-58.8
TD · OT 0:00
Austin Hooper 14 Yd pass from Kevin Hogan (Jordan Williamson Kick)
+36.6
TD · OT 0:00
Travis Wilson pass complete to Kaelin Clay for 25 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK)
-33.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com