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WASH

Washington 26 at Arizona 27

ARIZ
2014 · Week 12 · Nov 15, 2014 · Arizona Stadium
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Win probability · ARIZ
modelARIZ aheadWASH aheadconfidence bandkey playARIZ scoreWASH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDFGTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · Casey Skowron 47 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+25.0+12.50−12.5−25.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 1:39: Casey Skowron run for 18 yds for a TD, (Casey Skowron KICK) — ARIZ win probability +11.0 pts (now 62%) (top driver: ARIZ has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:08: Nick Wilson run for 8 yds for a TD, (Casey Skowron KICK) — ARIZ win probability +10.6 pts (now 75%) (top driver: ARIZ has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 2:45: Dwayne Washington 1 Yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed) — WASH win probability +22.0 pts (now 61%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 13:08: Casey Skowron 35 yd FG GOOD — ARIZ win probability +9.3 pts (now 57%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  5. FG · Q4 0:00: Casey Skowron 47 yd FG GOOD — ARIZ win probability +73.4 pts (now 92%) (top driver: ARIZ has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ARIZ made the numbers' call on 8 of 10WASH made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 13:03WASH 4th & 5 at WASH 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.7%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:40ARIZ 4th & 3 at ARIZ 37, tied
    Close callPunted · 72.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:40WASH 4th & 6 at ARIZ 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 27.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.6%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    27.6%
    64% to make
    Punt
    27.1%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:58ARIZ 4th & 8 at WASH 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 71.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    71.6%
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    71.5%−0.1
    40% to make
    Punt
    71.5%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:24WASH 4th & 6 at WASH 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.0%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.1%
    average punt
  6. Q1 2:55ARIZ 4th & 8 at ARIZ 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.0%−0.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 13:09ARIZ 4th & 8 at ARIZ 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.6%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.9%
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:27WASH 4th & 17 at ARIZ 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 31.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.2%−1.2
    13% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    31.4%
    72% to make
    Punt
    28.3%−3.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 8:28ARIZ 4th & 10 at ARIZ 25, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.2%−1.4
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.6%
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:39ARIZ 4th & 4 at WASH 18, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 49.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    48.6%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    48.4%−0.2
    79% to make
    Punt
    43.4%−5.2
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:19WASH 4th & 9 at ARIZ 14, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 29.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.1%−1.0
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    29.1%
    84% to make
    Punt
    22.9%−6.2
    average punt
  12. Q3 0:46ARIZ 4th & 20 at ARIZ 9, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.7%−7.4
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:05WASH 4th & 1 at WASH 30, up 5
    Numbers favored go for it by 5.0 ptsPunted · 59.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.0%−5.0
    average punt
  14. Q4 13:08ARIZ 4th & 6 at WASH 18, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 44.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.5%−1.7
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    44.2%
    79% to make
    Punt
    26.8%−17.4
    average punt
  15. Q4 11:24WASH 4th & 15 at WASH 21, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.2%−9.9
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.1%
    average punt
  16. Q4 9:15ARIZ 4th & 4 at WASH 49, down 2
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.4 ptsPunted · 54.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.9%−2.4
    average punt
  17. Q4 8:03WASH 4th & 8 at WASH 18, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.2%−4.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.3%
    average punt
  18. Q4 0:00ARIZ 4th & 6 at WASH 30, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 30.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.5%−25.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    50.6%
    56% to make
    Punt
    12.4%−38.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ARIZ made the numbers' call on 3 of 3WASH made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 8:32ARIZ Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:36WASH Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    27.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    27.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 5:16WASH Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:39ARIZ Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:08ARIZ Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 2:45WASH Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    57.0%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    56.8%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WASHDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 1:4225% → 26%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
74.7%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Deontae Cooper for 7 yds to the Wash 32Similar
Q1 14:33
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+8
74.6%
Cyler Miles run for 8 yds to the Wash 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
74.5%
Deontae Cooper run for no gain to the Wash 40Similar
Q1 13:37
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+5
74.4%
Deontae Cooper run for 5 yds to the Wash 45Similar
Q1 13:10
3RD & 5
OWN 45
0
74.2%
Cyler Miles pass incomplete to DiAndre Campbell WASHINGTON Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 13:03
4TH & 5
OWN 45
+45
74.3%
Korey Durkee punt for 55 yds for a touchback WASHINGTON Penalty, Defensive Holding (-10 Yards)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:2074% → 74%
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
74.3%
Nick Wilson run for 4 yds to the Ariz 34Similar
Q1 12:30
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+3
74.3%
Nick Wilson run for 3 yds to the Ariz 37Similar
Q1 12:00
3RD & 3
OWN 37
0
74.2%
Nick Wilson run for no gain to the Ariz 37Similar
Q1 11:40
4TH & 3
OWN 37
+9
73.9%
Drew Riggleman punt for 45 yds , Dante Pettis returns for 9 yds to the Wash 46 WASHINGTON Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Wash 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 3MISSED FG
6 plays · 57 yds · 1:4826% → 27%
Q1 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+5
73.9%
Cyler Miles run for 5 yds to the Wash 22Similar
Q1 11:01
2ND & 5
OWN 22
+48
73.8%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Jaydon Mickens for 48 yds Jaydon Mickens fumbled, forced by Jared Tevis, recovered by WashSimilar
Q1 10:47
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+8
73.3%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Dante Pettis for 8 yds to the Ariz 22Similar
Q1 10:11
2ND & 2
OPP 22
-4
73.1%
Deontae Cooper run for a loss of 4 yards to the Ariz 26Similar
Q1 10:00
3RD & 6
OPP 26
0
73.2%
Cyler Miles pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:40
4TH & 6
OPP 26
+43
73.4%
Cameron Van Winkle 43 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 4TD
5 plays · 74 yds · 0:5874% → 76%
Q1 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+8
73.6%
Anu Solomon pass complete to DaVonte' Neal for 8 yds to the Ariz 34Similar
Q1 9:15
2ND & 2
OWN 34
+6
73.8%
DaVonte' Neal run for 6 yds to the Ariz 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+59
74.0%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Samajie Grant for 57 yds to the ARIZONA 3 for a 1ST down WASHINGTON Penalty, Roughing Passer (2 Yards) to the Wash 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
74.0%
Nick Wilson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 2Similar
Q1 8:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
75.7%
Nick Wilson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Casey Skowron KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 5TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:4925% → 28%
Q1 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
75.2%
Dwayne Washington run for 16 yds to the Wash 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
75.0%
Dwayne Washington run for no gain to the Wash 41Similar
Q1 7:30
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+6
75.0%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Jaydon Mickens for 6 yds to the Wash 47Similar
Q1 7:15
3RD & 4
OWN 47
+5
74.8%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Joshua Perkins for 5 yds to the Ariz 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+12
74.6%
Cyler Miles pass complete to DiAndre Campbell for 12 yds to the Ariz 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:36
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+36
72.0%
Marvin Hall pass complete to Joshua Perkins for 36 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 6DOWNS
9 plays · 26 yds · 1:1773% → 73%
Q1 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
72.8%
Nick Wilson run for 1 yd to the Ariz 33Similar
Q1 6:00
2ND & 9
OWN 33
+17
72.7%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Austin Hill for 17 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:50
1ST & 10
50
0
73.4%
Anu Solomon pass incomplete to Austin HillSimilar
Q1 5:40
2ND & 10
50
+11
73.2%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Samajie Grant for 11 yds to the Wash 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
73.4%
Tyrell Johnson run for 2 yds to the Wash 37Similar
Q1 5:15
2ND & 8
OPP 37
0
73.4%
Anu Solomon pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:00
3RD & 8
OPP 37
0
73.1%
Anu Solomon pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:58
4TH & 8
OPP 37
-5
72.5%
Anu Solomon sacked by Danny Shelton for a loss of 5 yards to the Wash 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:2628% → 28%
Q1 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
71.6%
Cyler Miles pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:30
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+4
71.7%
Dwayne Washington run for 4 yds to the Wash 46Similar
Q1 4:15
3RD & 6
OWN 46
+5
71.5%
Cyler Miles pass complete to DiAndre Campbell for 5 yds to the Ariz 49Similar
Q1 3:50
4TH & 1
OPP 49
-5
71.5%
WASHINGTON Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Wash 46Similar
Q1 3:24
4TH & 6
OWN 46
0
71.9%
Korey Durkee punt for 33 yds, fair catch by DaVonte' Neal at the Ariz 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:1572% → 71%
Q1 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
71.9%
Nick Wilson run for 2 yds to the Ariz 23Similar
Q1 3:07
2ND & 8
OWN 23
0
71.9%
Anu Solomon pass incomplete to DaVonte' NealSimilar
Q1 3:02
3RD & 8
OWN 23
0
71.2%
Anu Solomon pass incomplete to Samajie GrantSimilar
Q1 2:55
4TH & 8
OWN 23
0
70.9%
Drew Riggleman punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wash 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 9FUMBLE
11 plays · 48 yds · 3:4929% → 32%
Q1 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
71.1%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Kasen Williams for 6 yds to the Wash 40Similar
Q1 2:37
2ND & 4
OWN 40
+10
70.2%
Lavon Coleman run for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:15
1ST & 10
50
+13
69.7%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Kasen Williams for 13 yds to the Ariz 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:56
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
69.6%
Lavon Coleman run for 2 yds to the Ariz 35Similar
Q1 1:14
2ND & 8
OPP 35
+5
69.0%
Lavon Coleman run for 5 yds to the Ariz 30Similar
Q1 0:57
3RD & 3
OPP 30
+4
69.1%
Cyler Miles run for 4 yds to the Ariz 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:31
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+7
68.4%
Dwayne Washington run for 7 yds to the Ariz 19Similar
Q1 0:01
2ND & 3
OPP 19
+2
68.2%
Dwayne Washington run for 2 yds to the Ariz 17Similar
Q2 14:56
3RD & 1
OPP 17
+3
68.6%
Lavon Coleman run for 3 yds to the Ariz 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:34
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
67.9%
Lavon Coleman run for no gain to the Ariz 14Similar
Q2 14:00
2ND & 10
OPP 14
-4
67.7%
Cyler Miles run for a loss of 4 yards to the Ariz 18 Cyler Miles fumbled, recovered by Ariz William ParksSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:4671% → 69%
Q2 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
70.8%
Anu Solomon pass incomplete to DaVonte' NealSimilar
Q2 13:49
2ND & 10
OWN 18
0
70.7%
Anu Solomon pass incomplete to Cayleb JonesSimilar
Q2 13:38
3RD & 10
OWN 18
+2
70.0%
Anu Solomon run for 2 yds to the Ariz 20Similar
Q2 13:09
4TH & 8
OWN 20
0
69.4%
Drew Riggleman punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Dante Pettis at the Wash 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 11FG
11 plays · 38 yds · 3:2832% → 33%
Q2 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
68.5%
Lavon Coleman run for 4 yds to the Wash 44Similar
Q2 12:25
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+2
68.0%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Kasen Williams for 2 yds to the Wash 46Similar
Q2 12:00
3RD & 4
OWN 46
+28
68.0%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Kendyl Taylor for 28 yds to the Ariz 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:28
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+6
66.5%
Dwayne Washington run for 6 yds to the Ariz 20Similar
Q2 11:01
2ND & 4
OPP 20
+5
66.3%
Cyler Miles run for 5 yds to the Ariz 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:40
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
66.1%
Deontae Cooper run for 3 yds to the Ariz 12Similar
Q2 10:19
2ND & 7
OPP 12
-5
65.9%
WASHINGTON Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Ariz 17Similar
Q2 10:01
2ND & 12
OPP 17
-10
66.1%
Cooper, Deontae rush for 17 yards to the ARIZONA0, PENALTY WASHINGTON holding 10 yards to the ARIZONA27, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:56
2ND & 22
OPP 27
0
66.5%
Cyler Miles pass incomplete to Dwayne WashingtonSimilar
Q2 9:48
3RD & 22
OPP 27
+5
67.5%
Cyler Miles run for 5 yds to the Ariz 22Similar
Q2 9:27
4TH & 17
OPP 22
+39
66.7%
Cameron Van Winkle 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:4266% → 64%
Q2 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
65.8%
Nick Wilson run for no gain to the Ariz 25Similar
Q2 8:44
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
65.4%
Anu Solomon pass incomplete to Austin HillSimilar
Q2 8:40
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
64.6%
Anu Solomon pass incomplete to Cayleb JonesSimilar
Q2 8:28
4TH & 10
OWN 25
-4
63.9%
Drew Riggleman punt for 51 yds , Dante Pettis returns for a loss of 4 yards to the Wash 21 WASHINGTON Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the Wash 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 13TD
9 plays · 90 yds · 3:0634% → 46%
Q2 8:22
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
65.6%
Cyler Miles pass incomplete to DiAndre CampbellSimilar
Q2 8:09
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+9
64.9%
Deontae Cooper run for 9 yds to the Wash 19Similar
Q2 7:59
3RD & 1
OWN 19
+4
64.9%
Deontae Cooper run for 4 yds to the Wash 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-5
64.2%
WASHINGTON Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Wash 18Similar
Q2 7:08
1ST & 15
OWN 18
+6
64.0%
Deontae Cooper run for 6 yds to the Wash 24Similar
Q2 6:49
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+6
63.9%
Cyler Miles run for 6 yds to the Wash 30Similar
Q2 6:21
3RD & 4
OWN 30
+11
63.0%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Kasen Williams for 11 yds to the Wash 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-7
60.9%
Cyler Miles sacked by Jared Tevis for a loss of 7 yards to the Wash 34Similar
Q2 5:16
2ND & 17
OWN 34
+66
54.0%
Dwayne Washington run for 66 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 14TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 3:1553% → 62%
Q2 4:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
52.7%
Anu Solomon pass complete to DaVonte' Neal for 9 yds to the Ariz 34Similar
Q2 4:44
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+2
53.6%
Nick Wilson run for 2 yds to the Ariz 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:22
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+12
53.1%
Nick Wilson run for 12 yds to the Ariz 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
54.1%
Nick Wilson run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 3:45
2ND & 8
50
0
54.0%
Anu Solomon pass incomplete to DaVonte' NealSimilar
Q2 3:39
3RD & 8
50
+11
53.0%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Cayleb Jones for 11 yds to the Wash 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:28
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
54.1%
Nick Wilson run for 1 yd to the Wash 38Similar
Q2 2:59
2ND & 9
OPP 38
+4
53.6%
Anu Solomon run for 4 yds to the Wash 34Similar
Q2 2:29
3RD & 5
OPP 34
0
53.0%
Anu Solomon pass incomplete to Tyrell JohnsonSimilar
Q2 2:23
4TH & 5
OPP 34
+10
51.2%
Solomon, Anu pass incomplete to Neal, DaVonte', PENALTY WASHINGTON holding (Beaver, Brandon) 10 yards to the WASHINGTON24, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ARIZONA. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:11
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+6
53.9%
Nick Wilson run for 6 yds to the Wash 18Similar
Q2 1:52
2ND & 4
OPP 18
0
53.9%
Anu Solomon pass incomplete to Cayleb JonesSimilar
Q2 1:47
3RD & 4
OPP 18
0
51.2%
Anu Solomon pass incomplete to DaVonte' NealSimilar
Q2 1:39
4TH & 4
OPP 18
+18
62.3%
Casey Skowron run for 18 yds for a TD, (Casey Skowron KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 15FUMBLE
5 plays · -9 yds · 0:5041% → 43%
Q2 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+12
58.9%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Jaydon Mickens for 12 yds to the Wash 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
56.7%
Cyler Miles pass incomplete to Dwayne WashingtonSimilar
Q2 1:04
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+3
57.3%
Dwayne Washington run for 3 yds to the Wash 43Similar
Q2 0:33
3RD & 7
OWN 43
-5
57.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the Wash 19 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Wash Cyler Miles Cyler Miles run for a loss of 19 yards to the Wash 19 Cyler Miles fumbled, recovered by Ariz Tra'Mayne BondurantSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 16TD
5 plays · 19 yds · 0:1965% → 75%
Q2 0:27
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-2
64.8%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Nick Wilson for a loss of 2 yards to the Wash 21Similar
Q2 0:16
2ND & 12
OPP 21
+13
64.4%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Cayleb Jones for 13 yds to the Wash 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
64.6%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
75.2%
Nick Wilson run for 8 yds for a TD, (Casey Skowron KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 17END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0030% → 30%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-1
70.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 18FUMBLE
6 plays · 31 yds · 0:5472% → 74%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
72.0%
Anu Solomon pass complete to DaVonte' Neal for 6 yds to the Ariz 31Similar
Q3 14:39
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-2
72.8%
Anu Solomon pass complete to DaVonte' Neal for a loss of 2 yards to the Ariz 29Similar
Q3 14:14
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+9
71.1%
Solomon, Anu pass incomplete to Grant, Samajie, PENALTY WASHINGTON pass interference (Baker, Budda) 9 yards to the ARIZONA38, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ARIZONA. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+11
72.9%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Cayleb Jones for 11 yds to the Ariz 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:59
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+7
73.9%
Nick Wilson run for 7 yds to the Wash 44 Nick Wilson fumbled, forced by Budda Baker, recovered by Wash Shaq ThompsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 19FG
10 plays · 42 yds · 3:2031% → 33%
Q3 13:39
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
69.0%
Deontae Cooper run for no gain to the Wash 44Similar
Q3 13:05
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+9
69.1%
Cyler Miles run for 9 yds to the Ariz 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:44
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+20
67.6%
Dwayne Washington run for 20 yds to the Ariz 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:32
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
66.3%
Dwayne Washington run for 3 yds to the Ariz 24Similar
Q3 12:13
2ND & 7
OPP 24
+3
66.2%
Dwayne Washington run for 3 yds to the Ariz 21Similar
Q3 11:53
3RD & 4
OPP 21
+6
67.3%
Cyler Miles run for 6 yds to the Ariz 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:09
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-1
66.8%
Lavon Coleman run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ariz 16Similar
Q3 10:56
2ND & 11
OPP 16
+2
67.9%
Lavon Coleman run for 2 yds to the Ariz 14Similar
Q3 10:23
3RD & 9
OPP 14
0
69.1%
Cyler Miles pass incomplete to Dwayne WashingtonSimilar
Q3 10:19
4TH & 9
OPP 14
+31
67.5%
Cameron Van Winkle 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 20INT
9 plays · 19 yds · 2:0369% → 69%
Q3 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
69.3%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Austin Hill for 4 yds to the Ariz 29Similar
Q3 9:51
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+7
69.4%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Samajie Grant for 7 yds to the Ariz 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
70.1%
Nick Wilson run for 4 yds to the Ariz 40Similar
Q3 8:59
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+9
71.3%
Nick Wilson run for 9 yds to the Ariz 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-5
71.8%
Solomon, Anu pass incomplete, PENALTY ARIZONA ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the ARIZONA44, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:39
1ST & 15
OWN 44
0
70.1%
Nick Wilson run for no gain to the Ariz 44Similar
Q3 8:16
2ND & 15
OWN 44
0
69.6%
Anu Solomon pass incomplete to Samajie GrantSimilar
Q3 8:01
3RD & 15
OPP 44
+37
69.4%
Anu Solomon pass intercepted Sidney Jones return for 22 yds to the ARIZONA 34 WASHINGTON Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Wash 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 21TD
13 plays · 74 yds · 5:0432% → 61%
Q3 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
67.9%
Cyler Miles run for 4 yds to the Wash 30Similar
Q3 7:19
2ND & 6
OWN 30
+2
67.1%
Dwayne Washington run for 2 yds to the Wash 32Similar
Q3 6:50
3RD & 4
OWN 32
+7
67.9%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Joshua Perkins for 7 yds to the Wash 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-1
65.7%
Dwayne Washington run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 38Similar
Q3 5:48
2ND & 11
OWN 38
+10
66.5%
Deontae Cooper run for 10 yds to the Wash 48Similar
Q3 5:22
3RD & 1
OWN 48
+9
64.4%
Cyler Miles run for 9 yds to the Ariz 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:51
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
63.1%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Dante Pettis for 5 yds to the Ariz 38Similar
Q3 4:28
2ND & 5
OPP 38
+6
62.5%
Deontae Cooper run for 6 yds to the Ariz 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:01
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
61.4%
Lavon Coleman run for no gain to the Ariz 32Similar
Q3 3:33
2ND & 10
OPP 32
0
61.4%
Cyler Miles pass incomplete to Kasen WilliamsSimilar
Q3 3:26
3RD & 10
OPP 32
+13
63.1%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Marvin Hall for 13 yds to the Ariz 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+18
60.6%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Michael Hartvigson for 18 yds to the Ariz 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
38.6%
Dwayne Washington 1 Yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · -10 yds · 1:4646% → 41%
Q3 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-9
46.1%
Wilson, Nick rush for 12 yards to the ARIZONA31, PENALTY ARIZONA holding 9 yards to the ARIZONA10, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:11
1ST & 19
OWN 10
0
45.7%
Anu Solomon pass incomplete to David RichardsSimilar
Q3 2:04
2ND & 19
OWN 10
+1
45.4%
Nick Wilson run for 1 yd to the Ariz 11Similar
Q3 1:17
3RD & 18
OWN 11
-2
43.1%
Anu Solomon sacked by Andrew Hudson for a loss of 2 yards to the Ariz 9Similar
Q3 0:46
4TH & 20
OWN 9
-3
41.3%
Drew Riggleman punt for 57 yds , Dante Pettis returns for a loss of 3 yards to the Wash 6 WASHINGTON Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the Wash 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:2559% → 59%
Q3 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+7
40.6%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Kasen Williams for 7 yds to the Wash 28Similar
Q3 0:20
2ND & 3
OWN 28
0
38.7%
Lavon Coleman run for no gain to the Wash 28Similar
Q4 14:49
3RD & 3
OWN 28
+2
39.9%
Dwayne Washington run for 2 yds to the Wash 30Similar
Q4 14:05
4TH & 1
OWN 30
0
41.0%
Korey Durkee punt for 55 yds, downed at the Ariz 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 24FG
5 plays · 67 yds · 0:4342% → 57%
Q4 13:51
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+63
42.2%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Trey Griffey for 63 yds to the Wash 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:25
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
49.8%
Anu Solomon run for no gain to the Wash 22Similar
Q4 13:21
2ND & 10
OPP 22
0
49.7%
Anu Solomon pass incomplete to DaVonte' NealSimilar
Q4 13:13
3RD & 10
OPP 22
+4
47.1%
Anu Solomon run for 4 yds to the Wash 18Similar
Q4 13:08
4TH & 6
OPP 18
+35
56.5%
Casey Skowron 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 1:3353% → 50%
Q4 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
47.3%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Jaydon Mickens for 3 yds to the Wash 29Similar
Q4 12:35
2ND & 7
OWN 29
-2
46.2%
Deontae Cooper run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wash 27Similar
Q4 11:56
3RD & 9
OWN 27
-6
48.5%
Cyler Miles sacked by Dan Pettinato for a loss of 6 yards to the Wash 21 Cyler Miles fumbled, forced by Dan Pettinato, recovered by WashSimilar
Q4 11:24
4TH & 15
OWN 21
0
50.3%
Korey Durkee punt for 46 yds, downed at the Ariz 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 26PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 1:5653% → 54%
Q4 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
53.1%
Nick Wilson run for 2 yds to the Ariz 35Similar
Q4 10:46
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+10
52.9%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Samajie Grant for 10 yds to the Ariz 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
56.6%
Nick Wilson run for 2 yds to the Ariz 47Similar
Q4 9:49
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+4
57.4%
Nick Wilson run for 4 yds to the Wash 49Similar
Q4 9:24
3RD & 4
OPP 49
0
57.0%
Anu Solomon pass incomplete to Austin HillSimilar
Q4 9:15
4TH & 4
OPP 49
0
53.7%
Anu Solomon punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wash 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 27PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:5955% → 52%
Q4 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-9
44.8%
Dwayne Washington run for 1 yd to the Wash 17 WASHINGTON Penalty, Offensive Holding (Siosifa Tufunga) to the Wash 7Similar
Q4 8:56
1ST & 19
OWN 7
+6
45.6%
Dwayne Washington run for 6 yds to the Wash 13Similar
Q4 8:38
2ND & 13
OWN 13
+5
45.1%
Dwayne Washington run for 5 yds to the Wash 18Similar
Q4 8:11
3RD & 8
OWN 18
0
46.7%
Cyler Miles pass incomplete to DiAndre CampbellSimilar
Q4 8:03
4TH & 8
OWN 18
0
48.2%
Korey Durkee punt for 36 yds, fair catch by DaVonte' Neal at the Ariz 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 28INT
9 plays · 37 yds · 3:2956% → 53%
Q4 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
56.1%
Anu Solomon pass incomplete to Cayleb JonesSimilar
Q4 7:45
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+11
53.3%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Cayleb Jones for 11 yds to the Wash 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:26
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+7
57.2%
Nick Wilson run for 7 yds to the Wash 36Similar
Q4 7:09
2ND & 3
OPP 36
+4
56.8%
Nick Wilson run for 4 yds to the Wash 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:38
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
59.3%
Nick Wilson run for 3 yds to the Wash 29Similar
Q4 5:57
2ND & 7
OPP 29
+1
58.9%
Nick Wilson run for 1 yd to the Wash 28Similar
Q4 5:28
3RD & 6
OPP 28
+9
53.5%
Nick Wilson run for 9 yds to the Wash 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+2
55.9%
Nick Wilson run for 2 yds to the Wash 17Similar
Q4 4:25
2ND & 8
OPP 17
0
53.1%
Anu Solomon pass intercepted, touchback. Sidney Jones return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 29FUMBLE
9 plays · 25 yds · 2:4968% → 86%
Q4 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
32.3%
Lavon Coleman run for 6 yds to the Wash 26Similar
Q4 3:32
2ND & 4
OWN 26
0
29.2%
Lavon Coleman run for no gain to the Wash 26Similar
Q4 2:50
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+7
30.2%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Joshua Perkins for 7 yds to the Wash 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
26.0%
Cyler Miles run for 5 yds to the Wash 38Similar
Q4 2:13
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+2
21.5%
Dwayne Washington run for 2 yds to the Wash 40Similar
Q4 2:06
3RD & 3
OWN 40
+4
20.9%
Cyler Miles run for 4 yds to the Wash 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
14.5%
Deontae Cooper run for 1 yd to the Wash 45 Deontae Cooper fumbled, forced by Tra'Mayne Bondurant, recovered by Ariz Derrick TurituriSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 30END OF GAME
8 plays · 15 yds · 1:1842% → 92%
Q4 1:18
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
41.8%
Anu Solomon pass incomplete to Samajie GrantSimilar
Q4 1:11
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+8
36.5%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Cayleb Jones for 8 yds to the Wash 37Similar
Q4 1:07
3RD & 2
OPP 37
+3
38.7%
Nick Wilson run for 3 yds to the Wash 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:44
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+4
39.2%
Nick Wilson run for 4 yds to the Wash 30Similar
Q4 0:20
3RD & 6
OPP 30
0
32.3%
Anu Solomon run for no gain to the Wash 30Similar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 6
OPP 30
+47
91.5%
Casey Skowron 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 0:00
Casey Skowron 47 yd FG GOOD
+73.4
TD · Q3 2:45
Dwayne Washington 1 Yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)
-22
TD · Q2 1:39
Casey Skowron run for 18 yds for a TD, (Casey Skowron KICK)
+11
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com