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WSU

Washington State 39 at Oregon State 32

ORST
2014 · Week 11 · Nov 8, 2014 · Reser Stadium
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Win probability · ORST
modelORST aheadWSU aheadconfidence bandkey playORST scoreWSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDFGTDFGFGTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 9:05 · Keith Kostol punt for 28 yds, downed at the WshSt 48
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+41.0+20.50−20.5−41.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 162Pregame prior+3.1Home team on offense−15.3Score differential−4.1Garbage-time factor−7.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−3.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 1:15: Luke Falk pass complete to Vince Mayle for 48 yds for a TD, (Quentin Breshears KICK) — WSU win probability +13.6 pts (now 55%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 6:41: Terron Ward run for 1 yd for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — ORST win probability +14.4 pts (now 63%) (top driver: ORST has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 11:01: Luke Falk pass complete to Dom Williams for 18 yds for a TD, (Luke Falk pass to Rickey Galvin for Two-Point Conversion) — WSU win probability +32.6 pts (now 74%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 5:57: Luke Falk pass complete to Robert Lewis for 9 yds for a TD, (Quentin Breshears KICK) — WSU win probability +14.1 pts (now 96%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 3:00: Terron Ward run for 1 yd for a TD, (Garrett Owens KICK) — ORST win probability +24.1 pts (now 29%) (top driver: ORST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ORST made the numbers' call on 7 of 8WSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 9:05WSU 4th & 14 at ORST 14, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 24.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.5%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    24.7%
    84% to make
    Punt
    24.1%−0.6
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:50ORST 4th & 5 at WSU 7, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 75.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.5%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    75.5%
    91% to make
    Punt
    74.0%−1.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:13ORST 4th & 5 at ORST 19, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.4%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.6%
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:13ORST 4th & 6 at ORST 31, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.7%−0.6
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.3%
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:42WSU 4th & 12 at WSU 36, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.5%−1.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:52ORST 4th & 15 at WSU 20, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 60.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.8%−2.0
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    59.8%
    75% to make
    Punt
    54.4%−5.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:04ORST 4th & 5 at WSU 27, down 8
    Close callKicked a field goal · 51.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.4%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    50.3%−0.1
    62% to make
    Punt
    43.4%−7.0
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:38WSU 4th & 8 at ORST 13, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 49.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.4%−1.3
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    48.7%
    85% to make
    Punt
    37.2%−11.5
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:32WSU 4th & 13 at WSU 24, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.5%−5.5
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.0%
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:10ORST 4th & 4 at ORST 36, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.5%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.6%
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:50WSU 4th & 10 at ORST 28, up 2
    Numbers favored field goal by 2.0 ptsWent for it · 45.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    43.5%−2.0
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    45.5%
    60% to make
    Punt
    32.8%−12.7
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:15ORST 4th & 13 at WSU 29, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 53.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.7%−4.1
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    53.8%
    58% to make
    Punt
    41.1%−12.7
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:05ORST 4th & 15 at ORST 24, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.8%−4.6
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.3%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ORST made the numbers' call on 2 of 3WSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 13:17ORST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:19WSU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    27.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    27.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:21WSU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:15WSU Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 6:41ORST Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    60.3%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    60.0%−0.3
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 11:01WSU Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    62.7%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    62.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 5:57WSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.6%−0.9
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 3:00ORST Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    11.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.0%−1.0
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ORSTDrive 1TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:4370% → 71%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+49
70.3%
Sean Mannion pass complete to Rahmel Dockery for 49 yds to the WshSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+13
70.3%
Xavier Hawkins run for 13 yds to the WshSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-1
70.3%
Terron Ward run for a loss of 1 yard to the WshSt 14Similar
Q1 13:17
2ND & 11
OPP 14
+14
70.7%
Sean Mannion pass complete to Connor Hamlett for 14 yds for a TD, (Garrett Owens KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 2MISSED FG
12 plays · 58 yds · 4:0630% → 29%
Q1 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
70.5%
Marcus Mason run for 2 yds to the WshSt 30Similar
Q1 13:11
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+8
70.5%
Luke Falk pass complete to Rickey Galvin for 8 yds to the WshSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
70.5%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 6 yds to the WshSt 44Similar
Q1 13:11
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+5
70.4%
Luke Falk pass complete to John Thompson for 5 yds to the WshSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+27
70.4%
Luke Falk pass complete to Vince Mayle for 27 yds to the OrgSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:11
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+3
70.3%
Luke Falk pass complete to Isiah Myers for 3 yds to the OrgSt 21Similar
Q1 13:11
2ND & 7
OPP 21
+13
70.3%
Jamal Morrow run for 13 yds to the OrgSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
70.3%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Rickey Galvin, broken up by Ryan MurphySimilar
Q1 13:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
70.3%
Luke Falk pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:11
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
-6
70.4%
Luke Falk sacked by Jaswha James for a loss of 6 yards to the OrgSt 14Similar
Q1 9:05
4TH & GOAL
OPP 14
+31
71.4%
Quentin Breshears 31 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 3FG
9 plays · 73 yds · 3:1571% → 73%
Q1 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+14
71.4%
Sean Mannion pass complete to Chris Brown for 14 yds to the OrgSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+38
71.4%
Sean Mannion pass complete to Victor Bolden for 38 yds to the WshSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:05
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+6
71.9%
Sean Mannion pass complete to Victor Bolden for 6 yds to the WshSt 22Similar
Q1 9:05
2ND & 4
OPP 22
+10
71.9%
Chris Brown run for 10 yds to the WshSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:22
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
72.5%
Sean Mannion pass incomplete to Chris BrownSimilar
Q1 7:22
2ND & 10
OPP 12
-1
72.5%
Chris Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the WshSt 13Similar
Q1 7:22
3RD & 11
OPP 13
+6
72.2%
Sean Mannion pass complete to Jordan Villamin for 6 yds to the WshSt 7Similar
Q1 5:50
4TH & 5
OPP 7
+24
72.8%
Garrett Owens 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 4TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 4:3127% → 32%
Q1 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
72.8%
Jamal Morrow run for 1 yd to the WshSt 26Similar
Q1 5:50
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+5
72.8%
Falk, Luke pass complete to Myers, Isiah for 4 yards to the WSU30 (Nelson, Steven), PENALTY OSU offside defense (Johnson, Jabral) 5 yards to the WSU31, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:50
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-5
72.6%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, delay of game (Luke Falk) to the WshSt 26Similar
Q1 5:50
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+10
72.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to Robert Lewis for 10 yds to the WshSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+11
72.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to Isiah Myers for 11 yds to the WshSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+10
72.3%
Luke Falk pass complete to Isiah Myers for 10 yds to the OrgSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+7
72.1%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 7 yds to the OrgSt 36Similar
Q1 5:50
2ND & 3
OPP 36
+21
72.1%
Luke Falk pass complete to Robert Lewis for 21 yds to the OrgSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+13
71.8%
Jamal Morrow run for 13 yds to the OrgSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-3
71.8%
Jamal Morrow run for a loss of 3 yards to the OrgSt 5Similar
Q1 5:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
71.8%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Marcus MasonSimilar
Q1 1:19
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
68.3%
Luke Falk pass complete to Isiah Myers for 5 yds for a TD, (Quentin Breshears KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0069% → 69%
Q1 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+7
69.4%
Sean Mannion pass complete to Victor Bolden for 7 yds to the OrgSt 21Similar
Q1 1:13
2ND & 3
OWN 21
-2
69.6%
Terron Ward run for a loss of 2 yards to the OrgSt 19Similar
Q1 1:13
3RD & 5
OWN 19
0
68.9%
Sean Mannion pass incomplete to Jordan VillaminSimilar
Q1 1:13
4TH & 5
OWN 19
0
68.6%
Keith Kostol punt for 49 yds , Rickey Galvin returns for no gain to the WshSt 19 WASHINGTON ST Penalty, illegal block (Marcus Mason) to the WshSt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 6TD
7 plays · 79 yds · 2:3931% → 38%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
69.5%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tyler Baker for 3 yds to the WshSt 24Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 24
+4
69.5%
Luke Falk run for 4 yds to the WshSt 28Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 28
+16
69.5%
Luke Falk pass complete to Vince Mayle for 16 yds to the WshSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
68.4%
Jamal Morrow run for 4 yds to the WshSt 48Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 48
+22
68.2%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tyler Baker for 22 yds to the OrgSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+9
67.6%
Luke Falk run for 9 yds to the OrgSt 21Similar
Q2 12:21
2ND & 1
OPP 21
+21
62.4%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tyler Baker for 21 yds for a TD, (Quentin Breshears KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0065% → 64%
Q2 12:13
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
64.8%
Sean Mannion run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 31Similar
Q2 12:13
2ND & 6
OWN 31
0
65.0%
Victor Bolden run for no gain to the OrgSt 31Similar
Q2 12:13
3RD & 6
OWN 31
0
64.3%
Sean Mannion pass incomplete to Jordan VillaminSimilar
Q2 12:13
4TH & 6
OWN 31
0
63.8%
Keith Kostol punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Rickey Galvin at the WshSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 8PUNT
9 plays · 13 yds · 0:0036% → 36%
Q2 10:42
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
63.7%
Jamal Morrow run for 3 yds to the WshSt 26Similar
Q2 10:42
2ND & 7
OWN 26
-1
63.4%
Marcus Mason run for a loss of 1 yard to the WshSt 25Similar
Q2 10:42
3RD & 8
OWN 25
+5
64.1%
OREGON ST Penalty, offside defense (Dylan Wynn) to the WshSt 30Similar
Q2 10:42
3RD & 3
OWN 30
+8
63.4%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tyler Baker for 8 yds to the WshSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:42
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+9
62.5%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 9 yds to the WshSt 47Similar
Q2 10:42
2ND & 1
OWN 47
0
62.2%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Jamal MorrowSimilar
Q2 10:42
3RD & 1
OWN 47
-6
62.4%
Luke Falk sacked by D.J. Alexander for a loss of 6 yards to the WshSt 41Similar
Q2 10:42
4TH & 7
OWN 41
-5
63.9%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, delay of game (Jordan Dascalo) to the WshSt 36Similar
Q2 10:42
4TH & 12
OWN 36
0
64.4%
Jordan Dascalo punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Rahmel Dockery at the OrgSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 9FG
10 plays · 56 yds · 5:3262% → 62%
Q2 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
61.6%
Chris Brown run for 1 yd to the OrgSt 25Similar
Q2 7:24
2ND & 9
OWN 25
+28
61.5%
Sean Mannion pass complete to Jordan Villamin for 28 yds to the WshSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:24
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+13
64.1%
Chris Brown run for 13 yds to the WshSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:24
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
65.1%
Sean Mannion pass complete to Victor Bolden for 4 yds to the WshSt 30Similar
Q2 7:24
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+1
65.2%
Chris Brown run for 1 yd to the WshSt 29Similar
Q2 7:24
3RD & 5
OPP 29
+14
64.1%
Sean Mannion pass complete to Jordan Villamin for 14 yds to the WshSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:24
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-9
65.2%
Sean Mannion sacked by Kache Palacio for a loss of 9 yards to the WshSt 24Similar
Q2 7:24
2ND & 19
OPP 24
+5
63.9%
Sean Mannion pass complete to Terron Ward for 5 yds to the WshSt 19Similar
Q2 7:24
3RD & 14
OPP 19
-1
62.4%
Sean Mannion pass complete to Terron Ward for a loss of 1 yard to the WshSt 20Similar
Q2 1:52
4TH & 15
OPP 20
+37
62.4%
Garrett Owens 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 10TD
5 plays · 70 yds · 0:3640% → 55%
Q2 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
60.5%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Tyler BakerSimilar
Q2 1:51
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+11
60.7%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tyler Baker for 11 yds to the WshSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+11
58.5%
Jamal Morrow run for 11 yds to the OrgSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+48
45.0%
Luke Falk pass complete to Vince Mayle for 48 yds for a TD, (Quentin Breshears KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 11FG
11 plays · 25 yds · 1:0352% → 54%
Q2 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
51.5%
Sean Mannion pass incomplete to Hunter JarmonSimilar
Q2 1:07
2ND & 10
OWN 48
-8
51.2%
Sean Mannion sacked by Jeremiah Allison for a loss of 8 yards to the OrgSt 40Similar
Q2 0:54
3RD & 18
OWN 40
+28
48.1%
Sean Mannion pass complete to Hunter Jarmon for 28 yds to the WshSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:54
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+7
54.2%
Sean Mannion pass complete to Caleb Smith for 7 yds to the WshSt 25Similar
Q2 0:54
2ND & 3
OPP 25
-10
54.2%
Sean Mannion sacked by Xavier Cooper for a loss of 10 yards to the WshSt 35Similar
Q2 0:14
3RD & 13
OPP 35
+8
48.7%
Sean Mannion pass complete to Victor Bolden for 8 yds to the WshSt 27Similar
Q2 0:04
4TH & 5
OPP 27
+44
53.8%
Garrett Owens 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0048% → 48%
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
51.7%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Vince MayleSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 13FG
15 plays · 62 yds · 4:1648% → 59%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
52.2%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 4 yds to the WshSt 29Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+21
51.5%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tyler Baker for 21 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
50
+3
49.5%
Luke Falk pass complete to Robert Lewis for 3 yds to the OrgSt 47Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+2
49.6%
Jamal Morrow run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 45Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 5
OPP 45
+5
50.1%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tyler Baker for 5 yds to the OrgSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
49.5%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Vince MayleSimilar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+10
49.6%
Falk, Luke pass incomplete to Galvin, Rickey, PENALTY OSU holding (Nelson, Steven) 10 yards to the OSU30, 1ST DOWN WSU, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
48.7%
Luke Falk pass complete to Marcus Mason for 2 yds to the OrgSt 28Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 8
OPP 28
-1
48.4%
Luke Falk pass complete to Isiah Myers for a loss of 1 yard to the OrgSt 29Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 9
OPP 29
+14
50.1%
Luke Falk pass complete to Rickey Galvin for 14 yds to the OrgSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
48.4%
Jamal Morrow run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 13Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 8
OPP 13
0
48.4%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Isiah MyersSimilar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 8
OPP 13
0
49.6%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Dom WilliamsSimilar
Q3 10:38
4TH & 8
OPP 13
+32
41.2%
Quentin Breshears 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 14TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 3:5743% → 63%
Q3 10:38
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+18
42.8%
Sean Mannion pass complete to Connor Hamlett for 18 yds to the OrgSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:38
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
44.3%
Terron Ward run for 7 yds to the OrgSt 45Similar
Q3 10:38
2ND & 3
OWN 45
+6
46.1%
Sean Mannion pass complete to Terron Ward for 6 yds to the WshSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:38
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+32
46.8%
Terron Ward run for 17 yds to the WshSt 32 for a 1ST down WASHINGTON ST Penalty, personal foul (Daquawn Brown) to the WshSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:38
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+4
48.6%
Terron Ward run for 4 yds to the WshSt 13Similar
Q3 10:38
2ND & 6
OPP 13
+10
48.6%
Terron Ward run for 10 yds to the WshSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
48.6%
Terron Ward run for 2 yds to the WshSt 1Similar
Q3 6:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
63.0%
Terron Ward run for 1 yd for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:0046% → 42%
Q3 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-1
54.5%
Luke Falk sacked by Siale Hautau for a loss of 1 yard to the WshSt 26Similar
Q3 6:32
2ND & 11
OWN 26
-2
55.0%
Luke Falk pass complete to Rickey Galvin for a loss of 2 yards to the WshSt 24Similar
Q3 6:32
3RD & 13
OWN 24
0
56.6%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Robert LewisSimilar
Q3 6:32
4TH & 13
OWN 24
+2
57.8%
Jordan Dascalo punt for 48 yds , Rahmel Dockery returns for 2 yds to the OrgSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0057% → 55%
Q3 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-10
56.8%
Bolden, Victor rush for 3 yards to the OSU33 (Palacio, Kache), PENALTY OSU holding (Smith, Caleb) 10 yards to the OSU20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:10
1ST & 20
OWN 20
+16
56.1%
Sean Mannion pass complete to Victor Bolden for 16 yds to the OrgSt 36Similar
Q3 5:10
2ND & 4
OWN 36
0
59.7%
Sean Mannion pass incomplete to Caleb SmithSimilar
Q3 5:10
3RD & 4
OWN 36
0
58.1%
Sean Mannion pass incomplete to Jordan VillaminSimilar
Q3 5:10
4TH & 4
OWN 36
+45
55.4%
Keith Kostol punt for 45 yds , Rickey Galvin returns for a loss of 1 yard to the WshSt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 17DOWNS
8 plays · 54 yds · 0:0048% → 48%
Q3 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+5
52.1%
Luke Falk pass complete to Isiah Myers for 5 yds to the WshSt 23Similar
Q3 3:50
2ND & 5
OWN 23
+11
51.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tyler Baker for 11 yds to the WshSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
51.2%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 3 yds to the WshSt 37Similar
Q3 3:50
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+35
50.2%
Luke Falk pass complete to Isiah Myers for 20 yds to the OREGONST 43 for a 1ST down OREGON ST Penalty, roughing passer (Dylan Wynn) to the OrgSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:50
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
46.8%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Vince MayleSimilar
Q3 3:50
2ND & 10
OPP 28
0
47.3%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Vince Mayle, broken up by Larry ScottSimilar
Q3 3:50
3RD & 10
OPP 28
0
49.1%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Vince MayleSimilar
Q3 3:50
4TH & 10
OPP 28
0
52.1%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Vince MayleSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 18FG
8 plays · 43 yds · 2:5155% → 67%
Q3 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+29
55.0%
Sean Mannion pass complete to Jordan Villamin for 29 yds to the WshSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:06
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
59.8%
Terron Ward run for 5 yds to the WshSt 38Similar
Q3 2:06
2ND & 5
OPP 38
+12
59.9%
Sean Mannion pass complete to Victor Bolden for 22 yds to the WshSt 16 for a 1ST down OREGON ST Penalty, Offensive holding (Hunter Jarmon) to the WshSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:41
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
63.3%
Sean Mannion pass complete to Ricky Ortiz for 3 yds to the WshSt 23Similar
Q3 0:41
2ND & 7
OPP 23
-11
63.3%
Sean Mannion sacked by Kache Palacio for a loss of 11 yards to the WshSt 34Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 18
OPP 34
+5
57.2%
Sean Mannion pass complete to Caleb Smith for 5 yds to the WshSt 29Similar
Q4 14:15
4TH & 13
OPP 29
+46
66.8%
Garrett Owens 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 19TD
11 plays · 70 yds · 3:0635% → 74%
Q4 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+11
64.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 11 yds to the WshSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+24
61.9%
Luke Falk pass complete to Vince Mayle for 24 yds to the OrgSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:07
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+7
58.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to Robert Lewis for 7 yds to the OrgSt 28Similar
Q4 14:07
2ND & 3
OPP 28
0
58.7%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Isiah MyersSimilar
Q4 14:07
3RD & 3
OPP 28
+5
60.6%
Luke Falk run for 5 yds to the OrgSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:07
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
58.7%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamal Morrow for no gain to the OrgSt 23Similar
Q4 14:07
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+11
58.9%
Luke Falk pass complete to Rickey Galvin for 11 yds to the OrgSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:07
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
58.7%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Jamal MorrowSimilar
Q4 14:07
2ND & 10
OPP 12
-6
58.7%
Luke Falk sacked by Bud Delva for a loss of 6 yards to the OrgSt 18Similar
Q4 11:01
3RD & 16
OPP 18
+18
26.1%
Luke Falk pass complete to Dom Williams for 18 yds for a TD, (Luke Falk pass to Rickey Galvin for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 20PUNT
8 plays · 9 yds · 1:4933% → 25%
Q4 10:54
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+7
33.0%
Sean Mannion pass complete to Chris Brown for 7 yds to the OrgSt 22Similar
Q4 10:54
2ND & 3
OWN 22
+7
34.1%
Sean Mannion pass complete to Victor Bolden for 7 yds to the OrgSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:54
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-2
34.2%
Sean Mannion run for a loss of 2 yards to the OrgSt 14 Sean Mannion fumbled, forced by Cyrus Coen, recovered by OrgSt Victor BoldenSimilar
Q4 9:05
2ND & 25
OWN 14
+10
27.3%
Sean Mannion pass complete to Terron Ward for 10 yds to the OrgSt 24Similar
Q4 9:05
3RD & 15
OWN 24
0
25.7%
Sean Mannion pass incomplete to Terron WardSimilar
Q4 9:05
4TH & 15
OWN 24
0
24.5%
Keith Kostol punt for 28 yds, downed at the WshSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 21TD
6 plays · 52 yds · 2:0680% → 96%
Q4 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+7
19.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 7 yds to the OrgSt 45Similar
Q4 8:03
2ND & 3
OPP 45
0
18.6%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Tyler Baker, broken up by Tyrequek ZimmermanSimilar
Q4 8:03
3RD & 3
OPP 45
+5
19.4%
Luke Falk pass complete to Robert Lewis for 5 yds to the OrgSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:03
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+20
18.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to Vince Mayle for 20 yds to the OrgSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:03
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+11
18.0%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tyler Baker for 11 yds to the OrgSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
4.0%
Luke Falk pass complete to Robert Lewis for 9 yds for a TD, (Quentin Breshears KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 22TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 2:496% → 29%
Q4 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
5.5%
Sean Mannion pass complete to Victor Bolden for 9 yds to the OrgSt 34Similar
Q4 5:49
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
6.0%
Sean Mannion pass incomplete to Connor HamlettSimilar
Q4 5:49
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+5
6.0%
Terron Ward run for 5 yds to the OrgSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+11
6.0%
Sean Mannion pass complete to Connor Hamlett for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:49
1ST & 10
50
0
6.1%
Sean Mannion pass incomplete to Victor BoldenSimilar
Q4 5:49
2ND & 10
50
+15
6.1%
Mannion, Sean pass incomplete to Ward, Terron, PENALTY WSU targeting (Brown, Daquawn) 15 yards to the WSU35, 1ST DOWN OSU, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:49
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+20
7.0%
Sean Mannion pass complete to Hunter Jarmon for 20 yds to the WshSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:49
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-6
7.3%
Sean Mannion pass complete to Victor Bolden for 9 yds to the WshSt 6 OREGON ST Penalty, personal foul (Sean Harlow) to the WshSt 21Similar
Q4 5:49
2ND & 16
OPP 21
+13
6.9%
Sean Mannion pass complete to Terron Ward for 13 yds to the WshSt 8Similar
Q4 5:49
3RD & 3
OPP 8
+7
7.1%
Sean Mannion pass complete to Jordan Villamin for 7 yds to the WshSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
4.5%
Sean Mannion pass incomplete to Jordan VillaminSimilar
Q4 3:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
28.6%
Terron Ward run for 1 yd for a TD, (Garrett Owens KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 23END OF GAME
8 plays · 16 yds · 0:0990% → 91%
Q4 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
10.3%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 4 yds to the WshSt 34Similar
Q4 2:51
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+8
10.1%
Luke Falk pass complete to Vince Mayle for 8 yds to the WshSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
9.4%
Marcus Mason run for 3 yds to the WshSt 45Similar
Q4 2:51
2ND & 7
OWN 45
-2
9.3%
Marcus Mason run for a loss of 2 yards to the WshSt 43Similar
Q4 2:51
3RD & 9
OWN 43
+5
10.4%
Luke Falk run for a loss of 10 yards to the WshSt 33 for a 1ST down OREGON ST Penalty, personal foul (Larry Scott) to the WshSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-2
9.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the WshSt 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 11:01
Luke Falk pass complete to Dom Williams for 18 yds for a TD, (Luke Falk pass to Rickey Galvin for Two-Point Conversion)
-32.6
TD · Q4 3:00
Terron Ward run for 1 yd for a TD, (Garrett Owens KICK)
+24.1
TD · Q3 6:41
Terron Ward run for 1 yd for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )
+14.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com