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UCLA

UCLA 44 at Washington 30

WASH
2014 · Week 11 · Nov 8, 2014 · Husky Stadium
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Win probability · WASH
modelWASH aheadUCLA aheadconfidence bandkey playWASH scoreUCLA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDFGFGTDTDFGTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 3:41 · Korey Durkee punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Ishmael Adams at the UCLA 15
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+47.0+23.50−23.5−47.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 83Home team on offense−13.0Pregame prior−12.3Score differential−8.6Garbage-time factor−4.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:35: Brett Hundley 6 Yd Run (Ka'imi Fairbairn Kick) — UCLA win probability +6.4 pts (now 74%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 5:23: Myles Jack 28 Yd Run (Ka'imi Fairbairn Kick) — UCLA win probability +9.9 pts (now 85%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 6:02: Mossi Johnson 15 Yd pass from Brett Hundley (Ka'imi Fairbairn Kick) — UCLA win probability +6.5 pts (now 98%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 5:47: John Ross 100 Yd Kickoff Return (Cameron Van Winkle Kick) — WASH win probability +7.2 pts (now 9%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 13:57: Dwayne Washington 12 Yd Run (Cameron Van Winkle Kick) — WASH win probability +10.2 pts (now 14%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WASH made the numbers' call on 5 of 8UCLA made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 12:53UCLA 4th & 12 at UCLA 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.7%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:37WASH 4th & 3 at WASH 15, tied
    Close callPunted · 39.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:53WASH 4th & 14 at WASH 20, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.5%−0.4
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:30WASH 4th & 3 at UCLA 3, down 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 34.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.3%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    33.7%−0.6
    93% to make
    Punt
    30.3%−4.0
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:05UCLA 4th & 14 at UCLA 22, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.7%−1.5
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:29WASH 4th & 14 at WASH 12, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.8%−1.5
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:41WASH 4th & 7 at WASH 47, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.2%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.4%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:00UCLA 4th & 9 at WASH 12, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 85.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.8%−0.7
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    84.6%
    86% to make
    Punt
    78.1%−6.4
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:40WASH 4th & 28 at UCLA 30, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 10.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.6%−2.2
    7% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    10.8%
    56% to make
    Punt
    9.6%−1.2
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:27UCLA 4th & 1 at WASH 19, up 18
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.9 ptsKicked a field goal · 93.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.2%−1.9
    77% to make
    Punt
    85.4%−7.8
    average punt
  11. Q4 8:30UCLA 4th & 21 at WASH 28, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 92.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.8%−1.9
    8% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    92.7%
    60% to make
    Punt
    88.5%−4.2
    average punt
  12. Q4 5:08WASH 4th & 10 at UCLA 21, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 3.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.4%−0.7
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    4.1%
    74% to make
    Punt
    2.4%−1.7
    average punt
  13. Q4 3:20UCLA 4th & 9 at WASH 43, up 14
    Close callPunted · 96.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.7%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    96.3%−0.3
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    96.5%−0.2
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:13WASH 4th & 10 at WASH 15, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 3.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.0%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WASH made the numbers' call on 3 of 3UCLA made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 9:27UCLA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:44UCLA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:22WASH Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 9:35UCLA Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 5:23UCLA Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 6:02UCLA Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 5:47WASH Touchdown, down 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    9.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 13:57WASH Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    10.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UCLADrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 11 yds · 1:4771% → 70%
Q1 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+9
29.4%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Jordan Payton for 9 yds to the UCLA 43Similar
Q1 14:27
2ND & 1
OWN 43
0
29.5%
Brett Hundley pass incomplete to Thomas DuarteSimilar
Q1 14:15
3RD & 1
OWN 43
+4
29.6%
Paul Perkins run for 4 yds to the UCLA 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
29.6%
Brett Hundley pass incomplete, broken up by John TimuSimilar
Q1 13:52
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+2
29.7%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Paul Perkins for 2 yds to the UCLA 49Similar
Q1 13:30
3RD & 8
OWN 49
-4
29.9%
Brett Hundley sacked by Hau'oli Kikaha for a loss of 4 yards to the UCLA 45Similar
Q1 12:53
4TH & 12
OWN 45
+5
30.3%
Matt Mengel punt for 52 yds , Dante Pettis returns for 5 yds to the Wash 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:0830% → 31%
Q1 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+2
30.3%
Shaq Thompson run for 2 yds to the Wash 10Similar
Q1 12:09
2ND & 8
OWN 10
+5
30.6%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Joshua Perkins for 5 yds to the Wash 15Similar
Q1 11:49
3RD & 3
OWN 15
0
30.6%
Cyler Miles pass incomplete to Dante PettisSimilar
Q1 11:37
4TH & 3
OWN 15
+13
30.6%
Korey Durkee punt for 53 yds , Ishmael Adams returns for 13 yds to the UCLA 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 3TD
7 plays · 55 yds · 2:0169% → 71%
Q1 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+7
30.6%
Paul Perkins run for 7 yds to the Wash 48Similar
Q1 11:20
2ND & 3
OPP 48
+17
30.5%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Jordan Payton for 17 yds to the Wash 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:51
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+13
30.6%
Paul Perkins run for 13 yds to the Wash 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:28
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
30.7%
Paul Perkins run for 3 yds to the Wash 15Similar
Q1 10:00
2ND & 7
OPP 15
+5
30.9%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Paul Perkins for 5 yds Paul Perkins fumbled, recovered by UCLASimilar
Q1 9:43
3RD & 2
OPP 10
+6
31.2%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Devin Fuller for 6 yds to the Wash 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
29.5%
Brett Hundley 4 Yd Run (Ka'imi Fairbairn Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · -4 yds · 1:3430% → 30%
Q1 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-5
30.0%
WASHINGTON Penalty, Delay of Game (Cyler Miles) to the Wash 19Similar
Q1 9:08
1ST & 15
OWN 19
+1
30.0%
Cyler Miles run for 1 yd to the Wash 20Similar
Q1 8:46
2ND & 14
OWN 20
0
29.9%
Cyler Miles pass incomplete to Jaydon MickensSimilar
Q1 8:34
3RD & 14
OWN 20
0
29.7%
Cyler Miles run for no gain to the Wash 20Similar
Q1 7:53
4TH & 14
OWN 20
+10
29.7%
Korey Durkee punt for 47 yds , Ishmael Adams returns for 10 yds to the UCLA 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 5TD
1 play · 57 yds · 0:0073% → 73%
Q1 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+57
27.0%
Kenneth Walker 57 Yd pass from Brett Hundley (Ka'imi Fairbairn Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 6FG
15 plays · 77 yds · 5:0528% → 29%
Q1 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
28.1%
Shaq Thompson run for 9 yds to the Wash 29Similar
Q1 7:16
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+4
28.3%
Shaq Thompson run for 4 yds to the Wash 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
28.0%
Shaq Thompson run for 4 yds to the Wash 37Similar
Q1 6:35
2ND & 6
OWN 37
-15
28.2%
Thompson, Shaq rush for 1 yard to the WASHINGTON38, PENALTY WASHINGTON personal foul (Tanigawa, Colin) 15 yards to the WASHINGTON22, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:58
2ND & 21
OPP 22
+26
28.6%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Deontae Cooper for 36 yds to the WASHINGTON 42 for a 1ST down WASHINGTON Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jaydon Mickens) to the Wash 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
28.3%
Dwayne Washington run for 3 yds to the UCLA 49Similar
Q1 5:14
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+28
28.3%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Brayden Lenius for 28 yds to the UCLA 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:47
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-10
28.5%
Jaydon Mickens run for a loss of 10 yards to the UCLA 31Similar
Q1 4:06
2ND & 20
OPP 31
+13
28.5%
Cyler Miles pass complete to DiAndre Campbell for 13 yds to the UCLA 18Similar
Q1 3:37
3RD & 7
OPP 18
+8
27.5%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Kendyl Taylor for 8 yds to the UCLA 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+7
27.6%
Cyler Miles run for 7 yds to the UCLA 3Similar
Q1 3:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
27.6%
Cyler Miles pass incomplete to Joshua PerkinsSimilar
Q1 2:45
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
27.2%
Cyler Miles pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:30
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
28.8%
Cameron Van Winkle 20 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 7PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:2071% → 71%
Q1 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
28.9%
Paul Perkins run for 1 yd to the UCLA 27Similar
Q1 1:55
2ND & 9
OWN 27
-5
28.9%
Jordon James run for a loss of 5 yards to the UCLA 22Similar
Q1 1:17
3RD & 14
OWN 22
0
29.1%
Brett Hundley pass incomplete to Paul PerkinsSimilar
Q1 1:05
4TH & 14
OWN 22
0
29.4%
Matt Mengel punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Dante Pettis at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 8TD
6 plays · 50 yds · 1:3429% → 36%
Q1 0:56
1ST & 10
50
+19
29.4%
Cyler Miles run for 19 yds to the UCLA 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:37
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+7
30.1%
Shaq Thompson run for 7 yds to the UCLA 24Similar
Q1 0:25
2ND & 3
OPP 24
+8
30.1%
Shaq Thompson run for 8 yds to the UCLA 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+7
30.1%
Shaq Thompson run for 7 yds to the UCLA 9Similar
Q2 14:44
2ND & 3
OPP 9
+3
30.2%
Shaq Thompson run for 3 yds to the UCLA 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
35.9%
Cyler Miles 6 Yd Run (Cameron Van Winkle Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 9TD
11 plays · 65 yds · 4:3467% → 74%
Q2 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+10
33.4%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Jordan Payton for 10 yds to the UCLA 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
32.8%
Paul Perkins run for 4 yds to the UCLA 49Similar
Q2 13:24
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+6
32.8%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Devin Fuller for 6 yds to the Wash 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:49
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+17
32.4%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Thomas Duarte for 17 yds to the Wash 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:17
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+6
31.9%
Myles Jack run for 6 yds to the Wash 22Similar
Q2 11:48
2ND & 4
OPP 22
+1
32.0%
Myles Jack run for 1 yd to the Wash 21Similar
Q2 11:06
3RD & 3
OPP 21
+4
32.8%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Paul Perkins for 4 yds to the Wash 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:41
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+12
32.2%
Brett Hundley run for 12 yds to the Wash 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-1
32.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 6 TEAM fumbled, recovered by UCLA Scott QuessenberrySimilar
Q2 9:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
25.8%
Brett Hundley 6 Yd Run (Ka'imi Fairbairn Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:5127% → 25%
Q2 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
27.2%
Deontae Cooper run for no gain to the Wash 16Similar
Q2 8:43
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+4
27.0%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Kendyl Taylor for 4 yds to the Wash 20Similar
Q2 8:05
3RD & 6
OWN 20
-8
25.4%
Cyler Miles sacked by Deon Hollins for a loss of 8 yards to the Wash 12Similar
Q2 7:29
4TH & 14
OWN 12
+6
24.7%
Korey Durkee punt for 52 yds , Ishmael Adams returns for 6 yds to the UCLA 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 11TD
8 plays · 58 yds · 1:5175% → 85%
Q2 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
25.4%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Jordan Payton for 7 yds to the UCLA 49Similar
Q2 7:00
2ND & 3
OWN 49
+4
25.2%
Nate Starks run for 4 yds to the Wash 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
25.2%
Paul Perkins run for 2 yds to the Wash 45Similar
Q2 6:09
2ND & 8
OPP 45
0
25.2%
Brett Hundley pass incomplete to Paul Perkins, broken up by Cory LittletonSimilar
Q2 5:58
3RD & 8
OPP 45
+10
25.3%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Mossi Johnson for 10 yds to the Wash 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
25.0%
Brett Hundley pass incomplete to Devin FullerSimilar
Q2 5:33
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+7
25.0%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Ahmaad Harris for 7 yds to the Wash 28Similar
Q2 5:23
3RD & 3
OPP 28
+28
15.2%
Myles Jack 28 Yd Run (Ka'imi Fairbairn Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 3 yds · 1:2420% → 19%
Q2 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
20.0%
Cyler Miles pass incomplete to Dante Pettis, broken up by Fabian MoreauSimilar
Q2 4:48
2ND & 10
OWN 44
-4
19.7%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Dwayne Washington for a loss of 4 yards Dwayne Washington fumbled, recovered by WashSimilar
Q2 4:22
3RD & 14
OWN 40
+12
18.1%
Cyler Miles run for 12 yds to the UCLA 48Similar
Q2 3:47
4TH & 2
OPP 48
-5
19.0%
WASHINGTON Penalty, Delay of Game (Jeff Lindquist) to the Wash 47Similar
Q2 3:41
4TH & 7
OWN 47
0
18.8%
Korey Durkee punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Ishmael Adams at the UCLA 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 13END OF HALF
16 plays · 73 yds · 3:3185% → 90%
Q2 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+7
15.2%
Paul Perkins run for 7 yds to the UCLA 22Similar
Q2 2:57
2ND & 3
OWN 22
+9
14.8%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Devin Lucien for 9 yds to the UCLA 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
15.1%
Brett Hundley pass incomplete to Devin FullerSimilar
Q2 2:29
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+8
15.1%
Jordon James run for 8 yds to the UCLA 39Similar
Q2 2:03
3RD & 2
OWN 39
+4
14.6%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Devin Fuller for 4 yds to the UCLA 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
13.2%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Thomas Duarte for 5 yds to the UCLA 48Similar
Q2 1:09
2ND & 5
OWN 48
+17
12.8%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Jordon James for 17 yds to the Wash 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:48
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-2
12.1%
Brett Hundley run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wash 37Similar
Q2 0:41
2ND & 12
OPP 37
+5
13.1%
Brett Hundley run for 5 yds to the Wash 32Similar
Q2 0:34
3RD & 7
OPP 32
+19
12.9%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Eldridge Massington for 19 yds to the Wash 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
11.9%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:21
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+3
12.4%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Eldridge Massington for 3 yds to the Wash 10Similar
Q2 0:05
3RD & 7
OPP 10
-2
11.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wash 12 TEAM fumbled, recovered by UCLA Paul PerkinsSimilar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 9
OPP 12
+30
9.9%
Ka'imi Fairbairn 30 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 14FG
16 plays · 57 yds · 6:1313% → 13%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+4
12.6%
Shaq Thompson run for 4 yds to the Wash 17Similar
Q3 14:26
2ND & 6
OWN 17
+5
12.4%
Shaq Thompson run for 5 yds to the Wash 22Similar
Q3 14:06
3RD & 1
OWN 22
+8
12.5%
Shaq Thompson run for 8 yds to the Wash 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:53
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
12.5%
Shaq Thompson run for 5 yds to the Wash 35Similar
Q3 13:28
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+10
12.7%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Joshua Perkins for 10 yds to the Wash 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+15
13.3%
Deontae Cooper run for 15 yds to the UCLA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:58
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
13.3%
Deontae Cooper run for 4 yds to the UCLA 36Similar
Q3 12:39
2ND & 6
OPP 36
+8
13.3%
Deontae Cooper run for 8 yds to the UCLA 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:09
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
13.4%
Dwayne Washington run for 2 yds to the UCLA 26Similar
Q3 11:33
2ND & 8
OPP 26
+1
13.2%
Cyler Miles run for 1 yd to the UCLA 25Similar
Q3 11:08
3RD & 7
OPP 25
+13
12.6%
Deontae Cooper run for 1 yd to the UCLA 24 for a 1ST down UCLA Penalty, Face Mask (12 yards) (Myles Jack) to the UCLA 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:36
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-3
12.8%
Jaydon Mickens run for a loss of 3 yards to the UCLA 15Similar
Q3 10:05
2ND & 13
OPP 15
+1
11.9%
Deontae Cooper run for 1 yd to the UCLA 14Similar
Q3 9:10
3RD & 12
OPP 14
-16
11.1%
Cyler Miles sacked by Takkarist McKinley for a loss of 16 yards to the UCLA 30 Cyler Miles fumbled, forced by Takkarist McKinley, recovered by Wash James Atoe , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 8:40
4TH & 28
OPP 30
+47
12.8%
Cameron Van Winkle 47 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 15TD
9 plays · 74 yds · 2:0690% → 98%
Q3 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+8
10.3%
Paul Perkins run for 8 yds to the UCLA 34Similar
Q3 8:01
2ND & 2
OWN 34
+2
10.2%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Devin Fuller for 2 yds to the UCLA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
9.7%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Paul Perkins for 8 yds to the UCLA 44Similar
Q3 7:18
2ND & 2
OWN 44
+12
9.3%
Paul Perkins run for 12 yds to the Wash 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:58
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+11
9.1%
Jordon James run for 11 yds to the Wash 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:35
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
8.8%
Jordon James run for 5 yds to the Wash 28Similar
Q3 6:14
2ND & 5
OPP 28
+13
8.0%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Jordan Payton for 13 yds to the Wash 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
1.6%
Mossi Johnson 15 Yd pass from Brett Hundley (Ka'imi Fairbairn Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 17FG
11 plays · 48 yds · 3:0691% → 97%
Q3 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+15
8.7%
Hundley, Brett pass incomplete to Walker, Kenneth, PENALTY WASHINGTON pass interference (Hale, Naijiel) 15 yards to the UCLA48, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN UCLA. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
8.1%
Myles Jack run for 3 yds to the Wash 49Similar
Q3 4:49
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+9
7.6%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Eldridge Massington for 9 yds to the Wash 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:33
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
7.6%
Brett Hundley pass incomplete to Eldridge MassingtonSimilar
Q3 4:26
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+12
7.5%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Thomas Duarte for 12 yds to the Wash 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:03
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
7.0%
Paul Perkins run for no gain to the Wash 28Similar
Q3 3:30
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+8
6.0%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Kenneth Walker for 8 yds to the Wash 20Similar
Q3 3:04
3RD & 2
OPP 20
+1
5.3%
Paul Perkins run for 1 yd to the Wash 19Similar
Q3 2:27
4TH & 1
OPP 19
+37
2.9%
Ka'imi Fairbairn 37 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 18TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 3:194% → 14%
Q3 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
4.3%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Dante Pettis for 9 yds to the Wash 34Similar
Q3 1:58
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+7
4.3%
Cyler Miles run for 7 yds to the Wash 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
4.4%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Jaydon Mickens for 2 yds to the Wash 43Similar
Q3 1:27
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+6
4.1%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Dante Pettis for 6 yds to the Wash 49Similar
Q3 1:08
3RD & 2
OWN 49
+5
4.1%
Cyler Miles run for 5 yds to the UCLA 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:55
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+11
4.2%
Shaq Thompson run for 11 yds to the UCLA 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:38
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
4.3%
Shaq Thompson run for 1 yd to the UCLA 34Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 9
OPP 34
+8
4.0%
Dwayne Washington run for 8 yds to the UCLA 26Similar
Q4 14:53
3RD & 1
OPP 26
+13
4.2%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Joshua Perkins for 13 yds to the UCLA 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:28
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+1
4.0%
Cyler Miles run for 1 yd to the UCLA 12Similar
Q4 13:57
2ND & 9
OPP 12
+12
14.2%
Dwayne Washington 12 Yd Run (Cameron Van Winkle Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 19FG
15 plays · 35 yds · 5:1392% → 96%
Q4 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
8.3%
Paul Perkins run for 7 yds to the UCLA 44Similar
Q4 13:17
2ND & 3
OWN 44
+10
7.9%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Devin Fuller for 10 yds to the Wash 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:01
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
7.4%
Perkins, Paul rush for loss of 2 yards to the WASHINGTON48, PENALTY WASHINGTON substitution infraction 5 yards to the WASHINGTON41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:40
1ST & 5
OPP 41
+13
7.0%
Paul Perkins run for 13 yds to the Wash 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:27
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-5
6.7%
UCLA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Wash 33Similar
Q4 12:07
1ST & 15
OPP 33
+2
6.8%
Jordon James run for 2 yds to the Wash 31Similar
Q4 11:27
2ND & 13
OPP 31
+11
6.5%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Jordon James for 11 yds to the Wash 20Similar
Q4 10:57
3RD & 2
OPP 20
+3
6.1%
Paul Perkins run for 3 yds to the Wash 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:29
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-15
5.8%
UCLA Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (Devin Lucien) to the Wash 32Similar
Q4 10:17
1ST & 25
OPP 32
-3
5.8%
Brett Hundley run for a loss of 3 yards to the Wash 35Similar
Q4 9:53
2ND & 28
OPP 35
0
5.6%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Devin Fuller for no gain to the Wash 35Similar
Q4 9:13
3RD & 28
OPP 35
+7
5.6%
Paul Perkins run for 7 yds to the Wash 28Similar
Q4 8:30
4TH & 21
OPP 28
+46
3.8%
Ka'imi Fairbairn 46 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 20FG
12 plays · 54 yds · 3:145% → 5%
Q4 8:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
5.1%
Cyler Miles run for 3 yds to the Wash 28Similar
Q4 8:03
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+17
5.0%
Shaq Thompson run for 17 yds to the Wash 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:36
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
5.4%
Shaq Thompson run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 7:07
2ND & 5
50
+4
5.3%
Dwayne Washington run for 4 yds to the UCLA 46Similar
Q4 6:47
3RD & 1
OPP 46
+4
5.7%
Dwayne Washington run for 4 yds to the UCLA 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:27
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
5.0%
Dwayne Washington run for no gain to the UCLA 42Similar
Q4 5:47
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+21
4.3%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Joshua Perkins for 21 yds to the UCLA 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:29
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
5.0%
Cyler Miles pass incomplete to Dante Pettis, broken up by Anthony JeffersonSimilar
Q4 5:21
2ND & 10
OPP 21
0
3.8%
Cyler Miles pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:13
3RD & 10
OPP 21
0
3.6%
Cyler Miles pass incomplete to Dante PettisSimilar
Q4 5:08
4TH & 10
OPP 21
+38
5.3%
Cameron Van Winkle 38 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 1 yds · 1:4397% → 98%
Q4 5:03
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
3.2%
Paul Perkins run for 1 yd to the Wash 43Similar
Q4 4:21
2ND & 9
OPP 43
-1
2.9%
Paul Perkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 44Similar
Q4 4:09
3RD & 10
OPP 44
+6
2.7%
Paul Perkins run for 6 yds to the Wash 38Similar
Q4 3:26
4TH & 4
OPP 38
-5
2.1%
UCLA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Wash 43Similar
Q4 3:20
4TH & 9
OPP 43
0
2.2%
Matt Mengel punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Dante Pettis at the Wash 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 22INT
8 plays · 18 yds · 2:053% → 2%
Q4 3:07
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
2.8%
Cyler Miles run for 3 yds to the Wash 18Similar
Q4 2:56
2ND & 7
OWN 18
0
2.7%
Cyler Miles pass incomplete to Dante PettisSimilar
Q4 2:43
3RD & 7
OWN 18
-3
2.6%
Cyler Miles sacked by Deon Hollins for a loss of 3 yards to the Wash 15Similar
Q4 2:13
4TH & 10
OWN 15
+11
2.5%
Cyler Miles run for 11 yds to the Wash 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+13
2.3%
Cyler Miles run for 13 yds to the Wash 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-10
2.3%
Miles, Cyler pass incomplete to Lenius, Brayden, PENALTY WASHINGTON holding (Hatchie, Micah) 10 yards to the WASHINGTON29, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:18
1ST & 20
OWN 29
+4
2.2%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Deontae Cooper for 4 yds to the Wash 33Similar
Q4 1:02
2ND & 16
OWN 33
0
2.1%
Cyler Miles pass intercepted Fabian Moreau return for no gain to the UCLA 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 23END OF GAME
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:5799% → 99%
Q4 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-1
1.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 37Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 11
OWN 37
-1
1.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 13:57
Dwayne Washington 12 Yd Run (Cameron Van Winkle Kick)
+10.2
TD · Q2 5:23
Myles Jack 28 Yd Run (Ka'imi Fairbairn Kick)
-9.9
TD · Q3 5:47
John Ross 100 Yd Kickoff Return (Cameron Van Winkle Kick)
+7.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com