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COLO

Colorado 20 at Arizona 38

ARIZ
2014 · Week 11 · Nov 8, 2014 · Arizona Stadium
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Win probability · ARIZ
modelARIZ aheadCOLO aheadconfidence bandkey playARIZ scoreCOLO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDFGFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 1:57 · Darragh O'Neill punt for 34 yds, fair catch by DaVonte' Neal at the Ariz 12
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+35.0+17.50−17.5−35.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 155Pregame prior+11.1Home team on offense+3.1Garbage-time factor+0.2Score differential+0.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+1.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:19: Sefo Liufau 7 Yd pass from Nelson Spruce (Will Oliver Kick) — COLO win probability +6.0 pts (now 25%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:11: David Richards 1 Yd pass from Anu Solomon (Casey Skowron Kick) — ARIZ win probability +9.8 pts (now 81%) (top driver: ARIZ has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 12:48: Casey Skowron 37 Yd Field Goal — ARIZ win probability +4.5 pts (now 82%) (top driver: ARIZ has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 9:50: Samajie Grant 27 Yd pass from Anu Solomon (Casey Skowron Kick) — ARIZ win probability +12.5 pts (now 93%) (top driver: ARIZ has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 5:49: Samajie Grant 20 Yd pass from Anu Solomon (Casey Skowron Kick) — ARIZ win probability +4.7 pts (now 98%) (top driver: ARIZ has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ARIZ made the numbers' call on 10 of 10COLO made the numbers' call on 4 of 7
  1. Q1 10:53ARIZ 4th & 2 at COLO 2, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 82.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    82.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    82.8%−0.1
    94% to make
    Punt
    82.3%−0.6
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:18COLO 4th & 6 at COLO 44, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.9%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:53ARIZ 4th & 15 at ARIZ 44, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.3%−0.4
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.7%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:09ARIZ 4th & 10 at midfield, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.9%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:37ARIZ 4th & 10 at ARIZ 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.8%−0.5
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:09COLO 4th & 1 at ARIZ 1, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.9 ptsKicked a field goal · 27.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.0%
    59% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    25.1%−1.9
    94% to make
    Punt
    20.6%−6.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:33ARIZ 4th & 3 at COLO 41, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 71.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    71.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    70.2%−1.5
    32% to make
    Punt
    70.1%−1.6
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:48ARIZ 4th & 7 at COLO 20, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 77.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.1%−0.5
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    77.6%
    75% to make
    Punt
    73.5%−4.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:35COLO 4th & 15 at ARIZ 15, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 18.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.6%−2.1
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    17.7%
    83% to make
    Punt
    11.3%−6.4
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:59ARIZ 4th & 5 at ARIZ 30, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.4%−0.6
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.0%
    average punt
  11. Q3 1:57COLO 4th & 5 at ARIZ 46, down 4
    Close callPunted · 26.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.8%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    24.7%−2.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    26.4%−0.4
    average punt
  12. Q3 0:15ARIZ 4th & 6 at COLO 33, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 77.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    77.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    76.6%−0.8
    49% to make
    Punt
    74.9%−2.4
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:24COLO 4th & 3 at COLO 40, down 4
    Close callPunted · 25.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.9%−0.8
    average punt
  14. Q4 12:32ARIZ 4th & 6 at ARIZ 45, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.6%−0.5
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 8:43COLO 4th & 20 at COLO 15, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.2%−0.9
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.1%
    average punt
  16. Q4 5:05COLO 4th & 2 at COLO 43, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.7%−0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 0:57ARIZ 4th & 1 at COLO 21, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    98.9%−0.1
    74% to make
    Punt
    98.2%−0.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ARIZ made the numbers' call on 4 of 5COLO made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 14:49COLO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    15.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    15.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:12ARIZ Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:16ARIZ Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 10:19COLO Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    21.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    21.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:11ARIZ Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 9:50ARIZ Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.9%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.0%
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 5:49ARIZ Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
COLODrive 1TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0015% → 15%
Q1 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
84.7%
Shay Fields 75 Yd pass from Sefo Liufau (Will Oliver Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 2DOWNS
14 plays · 77 yds · 3:3385% → 83%
Q1 14:26
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
84.6%
Terris Jones-Grigsby run for 6 yds to the Ariz 26Similar
Q1 14:19
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+9
84.5%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Cayleb Jones for 9 yds to the Ariz 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+38
84.3%
TEAM run for no gain to the Ariz 35, TEAM fumbled, recovered by Ariz Anu Solomon, Anu Solomon run for 38 yds to the Colo 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:35
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+8
84.3%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Austin Hill for 8 yds to the Colo 19Similar
Q1 13:31
2ND & 2
OPP 19
0
84.3%
Anu Solomon pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:25
3RD & 2
OPP 19
+5
84.2%
Terris Jones-Grigsby run for 5 yds to the Colo 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
83.9%
Terris Jones-Grigsby run for no gain to the Colo 14Similar
Q1 12:30
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+5
83.8%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Nate Phillips for 5 yds to the Colo 9Similar
Q1 12:12
3RD & 5
OPP 9
+7
83.6%
COLORADO Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Ken Crawley) to the Colo 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
83.6%
Terris Jones-Grigsby run for 1 yd to the Colo 1Similar
Q1 11:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
83.4%
Terris Jones-Grigsby run for no gain to the Colo 1Similar
Q1 11:15
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
83.2%
Anu Solomon run for a loss of 1 yard to the Colo 2Similar
Q1 10:53
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
82.9%
Terris Jones-Grigsby run for a loss of 1 yard to the Colo 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 41 yds · 2:1417% → 19%
Q1 10:32
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+1
82.6%
Michael Adkins II run for 1 yd to the Colo 4Similar
Q1 10:07
2ND & 9
OWN 4
+5
82.4%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Bryce Bobo for 5 yds to the Colo 9Similar
Q1 9:55
3RD & 4
OWN 9
+31
82.4%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Michael Adkins II for 16 yds to the Colo 25 for a 1ST down ARIZONA Penalty, Roughing Passer (15 Yards) to the Colo 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-5
81.8%
Tony Jones run for a loss of 5 yards to the Colo 35Similar
Q1 9:25
2ND & 15
OWN 35
+9
82.0%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Nelson Spruce for 9 yds to the Colo 44Similar
Q1 9:00
3RD & 6
OWN 44
0
81.3%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to Shay FieldsSimilar
Q1 8:18
4TH & 6
OWN 44
0
81.1%
Darragh O'Neill punt for 45 yds, fair catch by DaVonte' Neal at the Ariz 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 4PUNT
9 plays · 33 yds · 2:0781% → 80%
Q1 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+3
81.1%
Nick Wilson run for 3 yds to the Ariz 14Similar
Q1 7:45
2ND & 7
OWN 14
+11
80.9%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Samajie Grant for 11 yds to the Ariz 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
80.6%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Samajie Grant for 5 yds to the Ariz 30Similar
Q1 7:10
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
80.7%
Anu Solomon pass incomplete to Tyrell JohnsonSimilar
Q1 6:58
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+19
80.4%
Anu Solomon run for 19 yds to the Ariz 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
80.9%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Austin Hill for 3 yds to the Colo 48Similar
Q1 6:45
2ND & 7
OPP 48
0
81.0%
Anu Solomon pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:20
3RD & 7
OPP 48
-8
80.5%
Anu Solomon sacked by Josh Tupou for a loss of 8 yards to the Ariz 44Similar
Q1 5:53
4TH & 15
OWN 44
+28
79.5%
Drew Riggleman punt for 41 yds , Nelson Spruce returns for 28 yds to the Colo 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 5PUNT
8 plays · -8 yds · 2:4321% → 22%
Q1 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
79.0%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Phillip Lindsay for 3 yds to the Colo 46Similar
Q1 5:12
2ND & 7
OWN 46
0
78.7%
Phillip Lindsay run for no gain to the Colo 46Similar
Q1 4:45
3RD & 7
OWN 46
+10
78.5%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Tyler McCulloch for 10 yds to the Ariz 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:58
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-8
77.7%
Sefo Liufau run for a loss of 8 yards to the Colo 48 Sefo Liufau fumbled, recovered by ColoSimilar
Q1 3:48
2ND & 18
OWN 48
-15
78.0%
COLORADO Penalty, Illegal Block (-15 Yards) to the Colo 33Similar
Q1 3:23
2ND & 33
OWN 33
0
78.1%
Sefo Liufau pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:16
3RD & 33
OWN 33
+2
78.2%
Phillip Lindsay run for 2 yds to the Colo 35Similar
Q1 2:55
4TH & 31
OWN 35
0
78.1%
Darragh O'Neill punt for 40 yds, fair catch by DaVonte' Neal at the Ariz 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 25 yds · 0:3678% → 77%
Q1 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
77.8%
Anu Solomon pass complete to David Richards for 12 yds to the Ariz 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:37
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+13
77.7%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Samajie Grant for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:30
1ST & 10
50
0
78.3%
Anu Solomon pass incomplete to David RichardsSimilar
Q1 2:25
2ND & 10
50
0
78.1%
Anu Solomon pass incomplete to David RichardsSimilar
Q1 2:20
3RD & 10
50
0
77.5%
Anu Solomon pass incomplete to David RichardsSimilar
Q1 2:09
4TH & 10
50
0
77.0%
Drew Riggleman punt for 20 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Colo 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 7FUMBLE RETURN TD
3 plays · -8 yds · 0:5023% → 20%
Q1 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
76.8%
Sefo Liufau pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:33
2ND & 10
OWN 30
-1
76.4%
Christian Powell run for a loss of 1 yard to the Colo 29Similar
Q1 1:12
3RD & 11
OWN 29
-22
80.2%
Sefo Liufau sacked by Anthony Lopez for a loss of 7 yards Sefo Liufau fumbled, recovered by Ariz Tra'Mayne Bondurant , return for 0 yards , return for 22 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 8FUMBLE
7 plays · 6 yds · 1:5720% → 22%
Q1 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
79.8%
Tony Jones run for no gain to the Colo 25Similar
Q1 0:45
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
79.7%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Nelson Spruce for 8 yds to the Colo 33Similar
Q1 0:30
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+5
79.4%
Sefo Liufau run for 5 yds to the Colo 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
78.8%
Sefo Liufau run for 1 yd to the Colo 39Similar
Q2 14:30
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+7
78.7%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Shay Fields for 7 yds to the Colo 46Similar
Q2 14:03
3RD & 2
OWN 46
-15
78.2%
Sefo Liufau sacked by Jared Tevis for a loss of 15 yards to the Colo 31 Sefo Liufau fumbled, recovered by ArizSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 9TD
5 plays · 31 yds · 1:3981% → 84%
Q2 13:55
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+8
81.1%
Tyrell Johnson run for 8 yds to the Colo 23Similar
Q2 13:30
2ND & 2
OPP 23
+1
81.0%
Nick Wilson run for 1 yd to the Colo 22Similar
Q2 13:00
3RD & 1
OPP 22
+10
80.4%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Cayleb Jones for 10 yds to the Colo 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+4
80.8%
Anu Solomon run for 4 yds to the Colo 8Similar
Q2 12:16
2ND & 6
OPP 8
+8
84.0%
Tyrell Johnson 8 Yd pass from Anu Solomon (Casey Skowron Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 10TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:4117% → 25%
Q2 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
82.7%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Nelson Spruce for 13 yds to the Colo 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
82.2%
Phillip Lindsay run for 6 yds to the Colo 44Similar
Q2 11:11
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+13
81.6%
Phillip Lindsay run for 13 yds to the Ariz 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:54
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
81.3%
Sefo Liufau pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:33
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+36
81.4%
Phillip Lindsay run for 36 yds to the Ariz 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
75.4%
Sefo Liufau 7 Yd pass from Nelson Spruce (Will Oliver Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 0:3578% → 77%
Q2 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
78.3%
Anu Solomon run for 11 yds to the Ariz 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
78.8%
Anu Solomon pass incomplete to Tyrell JohnsonSimilar
Q2 9:49
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
78.5%
Anu Solomon pass incomplete to Cayleb JonesSimilar
Q2 9:43
3RD & 10
OWN 36
0
77.8%
Anu Solomon pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:37
4TH & 10
OWN 36
0
77.3%
Drew Riggleman punt for 24 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Colo 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 12FG
14 plays · 59 yds · 5:1624% → 31%
Q2 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
75.8%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Shay Fields for 5 yds to the Colo 45Similar
Q2 8:43
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+7
75.1%
Phillip Lindsay run for 7 yds to the Ariz 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:25
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
74.7%
Phillip Lindsay run for 5 yds to the Ariz 43Similar
Q2 8:02
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+11
73.5%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Nelson Spruce for 11 yds to the Ariz 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:50
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+6
73.0%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Donovan Lee for 6 yds to the Ariz 26Similar
Q2 7:35
2ND & 4
OPP 26
+7
72.7%
Christian Powell run for 7 yds to the Ariz 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:25
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
72.6%
Christian Powell run for 3 yds to the Ariz 16Similar
Q2 7:00
2ND & 7
OPP 16
+1
72.3%
Tony Jones run for 1 yd to the Ariz 15Similar
Q2 6:10
3RD & 6
OPP 15
+9
72.5%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Tony Jones for 9 yds to the Ariz 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-1
71.6%
Phillip Lindsay run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ariz 7Similar
Q2 4:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
70.9%
Sefo Liufau run for 2 yds to the Ariz 5Similar
Q2 4:34
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
70.7%
Phillip Lindsay run for 4 yds to the Ariz 1Similar
Q2 4:09
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+19
69.0%
Will Oliver 19 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 13DOWNS
9 plays · 34 yds · 1:1370% → 71%
Q2 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
70.1%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Tyrell Johnson for 4 yds to the Ariz 29Similar
Q2 3:32
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+12
70.2%
Nick Wilson run for 12 yds to the Ariz 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+11
72.0%
COLORADO Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (11 Yards) to the Colo 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:14
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+7
72.6%
Nick Wilson run for 7 yds to the Colo 41Similar
Q2 3:06
2ND & 3
OPP 41
0
72.6%
Anu Solomon pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:45
3RD & 3
OPP 41
0
71.6%
Nick Wilson run for no gain to the Colo 41Similar
Q2 2:33
4TH & 3
OPP 41
0
70.8%
Anu Solomon pass incomplete to Cayleb JonesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 14INT
2 plays · -10 yds · 0:1033% → 32%
Q2 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-10
67.3%
COLORADO Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Colo 31Similar
Q2 2:07
1ST & 20
OWN 31
0
68.4%
Sefo Liufau pass intercepted Jourdon Grandon return for no gain to the Ariz 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 15TD
11 plays · 55 yds · 1:3671% → 81%
Q2 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+35
71.0%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Austin Hill for 35 yds to the Colo 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
72.8%
Terris Jones-Grigsby run for no gain to the Colo 20Similar
Q2 1:10
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+7
72.6%
Anu Solomon pass complete to David Richards for 7 yds to the Colo 13Similar
Q2 1:06
3RD & 3
OPP 13
+7
71.2%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Samajie Grant for 7 yds to the Colo 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
72.5%
Terris Jones-Grigsby run for 2 yds to the Colo 4Similar
Q2 0:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
72.1%
Terris Jones-Grigsby run for 2 yds to the Colo 2Similar
Q2 0:25
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
70.5%
COLORADO Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Greg Henderson) to the Colo 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
72.2%
Anu Solomon run for no gain to the Colo 1 Anu Solomon fumbled, recovered by ArizSimilar
Q2 0:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
81.1%
David Richards 1 Yd pass from Anu Solomon (Casey Skowron Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 16END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0023% → 23%
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
77.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Colo 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 17FG
13 plays · 55 yds · 1:5278% → 82%
Q3 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
77.8%
Nick Wilson run for 4 yds to the Ariz 29Similar
Q3 14:35
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
78.0%
Anu Solomon pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:25
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+15
77.1%
COLORADO Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Ken Crawley) to the Ariz 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
79.2%
Nick Wilson run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 13:50
2ND & 4
50
+10
79.5%
COLORADO Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Ken Crawley) to the Colo 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:45
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
79.7%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Tyrell Johnson for 2 yds to the Colo 38Similar
Q3 13:28
2ND & 8
OPP 38
+15
79.6%
COLORADO Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Greg Henderson) to the Colo 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:02
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+1
80.0%
Nick Wilson run for 1 yd to the Colo 22Similar
Q3 12:55
2ND & 9
OPP 22
+7
79.8%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Trey Griffey for 7 yds to the Colo 15Similar
Q3 12:53
3RD & 2
OPP 15
0
78.9%
Anu Solomon pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:53
4TH & 2
OPP 15
-5
77.7%
ARIZONA Penalty, False Start (Lene Maiava) to the Colo 20Similar
Q3 12:48
4TH & 7
OPP 20
+37
82.2%
Casey Skowron 37 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 18FG
14 plays · 60 yds · 5:0519% → 23%
Q3 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
81.5%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Nelson Spruce for 14 yds to the Colo 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
80.4%
Phillip Lindsay run for no gain to the Colo 39Similar
Q3 11:55
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+14
80.6%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Nelson Spruce for 14 yds to the Ariz 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:17
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+6
79.1%
Phillip Lindsay run for 6 yds to the Ariz 41Similar
Q3 10:50
2ND & 4
OPP 41
+15
78.6%
Phillip Lindsay run for 15 yds to the Ariz 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
77.4%
Tony Jones run for 3 yds to the Ariz 23Similar
Q3 9:50
2ND & 7
OPP 23
+1
77.3%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Tony Jones for 1 yd to the Ariz 22Similar
Q3 9:27
3RD & 6
OPP 22
+15
78.6%
ARIZONA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (William Parks) to the Ariz 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
77.2%
Phillip Lindsay run for 3 yds to the Ariz 4Similar
Q3 8:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-15
77.1%
COLORADO Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (-15 Yards) to the Ariz 19Similar
Q3 8:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 19
+2
78.2%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Shay Fields for 2 yds to the Ariz 17Similar
Q3 7:47
3RD & GOAL
OPP 17
+2
80.0%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Nelson Spruce for 2 yds to the Ariz 15Similar
Q3 7:35
4TH & GOAL
OPP 15
+33
77.3%
Will Oliver 33 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 1:1778% → 76%
Q3 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
78.0%
Anu Solomon run for 2 yds to the Ariz 27Similar
Q3 7:07
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-5
77.9%
ARIZONA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Ariz 22Similar
Q3 7:00
2ND & 13
OWN 22
-1
77.5%
Anu Solomon sacked by TEAM for a loss of 1 yard to the Ariz 21Similar
Q3 6:20
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+9
76.3%
Anu Solomon run for 9 yds to the Ariz 30Similar
Q3 5:59
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
76.0%
Drew Riggleman punt for 49 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Colo 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 20PUNT
10 plays · 33 yds · 3:5624% → 27%
Q3 5:53
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+6
76.1%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Donovan Lee for 6 yds to the Colo 27Similar
Q3 5:40
2ND & 4
OWN 27
0
75.2%
Phillip Lindsay run for no gain to the Colo 27Similar
Q3 4:45
3RD & 4
OWN 27
+11
75.9%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Nelson Spruce for 11 yds to the Colo 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
74.0%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Nelson Spruce for 7 yds to the Colo 45Similar
Q3 4:02
2ND & 3
OWN 45
+4
72.0%
Christian Powell run for 4 yds to the Colo 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-3
71.5%
Bryce Bobo run for a loss of 3 yards to the Colo 46Similar
Q3 2:50
2ND & 13
OWN 46
+4
73.8%
Sefo Liufau run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 2:23
3RD & 9
50
+8
73.1%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Tyler McCulloch for 8 yds to the Ariz 42Similar
Q3 2:05
4TH & 1
OPP 42
-4
72.5%
COLORADO Penalty, False Start (-4 Yards) to the Ariz 46Similar
Q3 1:57
4TH & 5
OPP 46
0
73.4%
Darragh O'Neill punt for 34 yds, fair catch by DaVonte' Neal at the Ariz 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 21DOWNS
6 plays · 55 yds · 1:3277% → 77%
Q3 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+33
76.9%
Nick Wilson run for 33 yds to the Ariz 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+18
79.1%
Anu Soloman pass complete to Nick Wilson for 18 yds to the Colo 37Similar
Q3 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
80.0%
Samajie Grant run for 5 yds to the Colo 32Similar
Q3 0:29
2ND & 5
OPP 32
-1
80.6%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Cayleb Jones for a loss of 1 yard to the Colo 33Similar
Q3 0:21
3RD & 6
OPP 33
0
79.4%
Anu Solomon pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:15
4TH & 6
OPP 33
0
77.2%
Anu Solomon pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:3727% → 26%
Q3 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
73.3%
Phillip Lindsay run for 2 yds to the Colo 35Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 8
OWN 35
0
73.3%
Sefo Liufau pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:40
3RD & 8
OWN 35
+5
74.8%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Donovan Lee for 5 yds to the Colo 40Similar
Q4 14:24
4TH & 3
OWN 40
0
74.4%
Darragh O'Neill punt for 38 yds, fair catch by DaVonte' Neal at the Ariz 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 23PUNT
6 plays · 23 yds · 1:3677% → 75%
Q4 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+19
76.6%
Nick Wilson run for 19 yds to the Ariz 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+9
78.6%
Anu Solomon run for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 13:22
2ND & 1
50
-5
79.4%
ARIZONA Penalty, Illegal Motion (-5 Yards) to the Ariz 45Similar
Q4 12:51
2ND & 6
OWN 45
0
78.7%
Nick Wilson run for no gain to the Ariz 45Similar
Q4 12:40
3RD & 6
OWN 45
0
77.3%
Anu Solomon pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:32
4TH & 6
OWN 45
0
75.2%
Drew Riggleman punt for 30 yds, downed at the Colo 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 24INT
5 plays · 13 yds · 0:5527% → 27%
Q4 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
73.4%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Shay Fields for 5 yds to the Colo 30Similar
Q4 11:53
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+8
72.2%
Phillip Lindsay run for 8 yds to the Colo 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
71.5%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to Nelson SpruceSimilar
Q4 11:27
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
71.7%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to Nelson SpruceSimilar
Q4 11:16
3RD & 10
OWN 38
+16
73.4%
Sefo Liufau pass intercepted Devin Holiday return for 16 yds to the Colo 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 25TD
4 plays · 31 yds · 1:1080% → 93%
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-8
80.1%
Nick Wilson run for 7 yds to the Colo 24 ARIZONA Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the Colo 39Similar
Q4 10:45
2ND & 18
OPP 39
+22
77.7%
Anu Solomon run for 22 yds to the Colo 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-10
80.1%
ARIZONA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Colo 27Similar
Q4 9:50
1ST & 20
OPP 27
+27
92.6%
Samajie Grant 27 Yd pass from Anu Solomon (Casey Skowron Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 26PUNT
5 plays · -10 yds · 1:019% → 7%
Q4 9:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
91.2%
Jordan Gehrke pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:38
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
91.3%
Jordan Gehrke pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:56
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-10
92.4%
Jordan Gehrke sacked by Scooby Wright III for a loss of 10 yards to the Colo 15Similar
Q4 8:43
4TH & 20
OWN 15
+1
92.8%
Darragh O'Neill punt for 46 yds , DaVonte' Neal returns for 1 yd to the Ariz 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 27TD
6 plays · 60 yds · 2:3293% → 98%
Q4 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
92.6%
Nick Wilson run for no gain to the Ariz 40Similar
Q4 8:05
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
92.5%
Anu Solomon pass incomplete to Tyrell JohnsonSimilar
Q4 7:45
3RD & 10
OWN 40
+39
92.2%
Nick Wilson run for 39 yds to the Colo 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+1
93.3%
Anu Solomon run for 1 yd to the Colo 20Similar
Q4 6:18
2ND & 9
OPP 20
0
93.7%
Nick Wilson run for no gain to the Colo 20Similar
Q4 5:49
3RD & 9
OPP 20
+20
98.3%
Samajie Grant 20 Yd pass from Anu Solomon (Casey Skowron Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 28DOWNS
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:302% → 2%
Q4 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
98.0%
Phillip Lindsay run for 8 yds to the Colo 43Similar
Q4 5:20
2ND & 2
OWN 43
0
98.0%
Jordan Gehrke pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:15
3RD & 2
OWN 43
0
98.1%
Jordan Gehrke pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:05
4TH & 2
OWN 43
0
98.1%
Jordan Gehrke pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 29END OF GAME
9 plays · 23 yds · 4:2599% → 99%
Q4 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
98.6%
Nick Wilson run for no gain to the Colo 43Similar
Q4 3:58
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+3
98.6%
Nick Wilson run for 3 yds to the Colo 40Similar
Q4 3:15
3RD & 7
OPP 40
+10
98.7%
Nick Wilson run for 10 yds to the Colo 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:25
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
98.8%
Terris Jones-Grigsby run for 3 yds to the Colo 27Similar
Q4 1:50
2ND & 7
OPP 27
+3
99.0%
Nick Wilson run for 3 yds to the Colo 24Similar
Q4 1:19
3RD & 4
OPP 24
+3
99.0%
Nick Wilson run for 3 yds to the Colo 21Similar
Q4 0:57
4TH & 1
OPP 21
+2
99.2%
Nick Wilson run for 2 yds to the Colo 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:20
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-1
99.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Colo 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 9:50
Samajie Grant 27 Yd pass from Anu Solomon (Casey Skowron Kick)
+12.5
TD · Q2 0:11
David Richards 1 Yd pass from Anu Solomon (Casey Skowron Kick)
+9.8
TD · Q2 10:19
Sefo Liufau 7 Yd pass from Nelson Spruce (Will Oliver Kick)
-6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com