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WASH

Washington 38 at Colorado 23

COLO
2014 · Week 10 · Nov 1, 2014 · Folsom Field
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Win probability · COLO
modelCOLO aheadWASH aheadconfidence bandkey playCOLO scoreWASH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDFGFGTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 1:41 · Korey Durkee punt for 50 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+45.5+22.80−22.8−45.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 139Home team on offense−17.5Pregame prior−2.4Score differential−5.4Garbage-time factor−5.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−4.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:42: Sefo Liufau pass complete to George Frazier for 1 yd for a TD, (Will Oliver KICK) — COLO win probability +6.0 pts (now 55%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:53: Cyler Miles pass complete to Kendyl Taylor for 9 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK) — WASH win probability +12.4 pts (now 54%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 11:23: Will Oliver 49 yd FG GOOD — COLO win probability +6.8 pts (now 63%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 5:38: Cyler Miles pass complete to Dante Pettis for 28 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK) COLORADO Penalty, OSD ( Yards) declined — WASH win probability +16.1 pts (now 60%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 4:53: Sefo Liufau pass intercepted for a TD Travis Feeney return for 30 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK) — WASH win probability +21.0 pts (now 73%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
COLO made the numbers' call on 9 of 10WASH made the numbers' call on 3 of 7
  1. Q1 15:00WASH 4th & 3 at WASH 20, tied
    Close callPunted · 59.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.0%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:42COLO 4th & 14 at WASH 15, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 48.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.5%−0.9
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    48.4%
    83% to make
    Punt
    45.7%−2.7
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:02WASH 4th & 1 at COLO 24, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 49.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    49.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    48.1%−1.2
    68% to make
    Punt
    44.7%−4.6
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:42WASH 4th & 8 at WASH 27, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.4%−0.8
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:11COLO 4th & 4 at COLO 33, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.6%−0.3
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:55WASH 4th & 4 at COLO 19, down 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 42.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.4%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    42.1%−0.3
    77% to make
    Punt
    36.6%−5.8
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:23COLO 4th & 10 at WASH 21, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 60.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.6%−1.2
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    59.7%
    74% to make
    Punt
    54.4%−5.3
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:23COLO 4th & 7 at WASH 31, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 56.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.5%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    56.5%
    54% to make
    Punt
    55.0%−1.5
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:45WASH 4th & 16 at COLO 37, up 8
    Close callPunted · 72.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.1%−1.4
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    73.6%
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    73.2%−0.3
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:04COLO 4th & 5 at COLO 11, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.5%−1.7
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.2%
    average punt
  11. Q3 1:41WASH 4th & 10 at midfield, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.9%−0.6
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.5%
    average punt
  12. Q4 13:10COLO 4th & 12 at COLO 40, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.0%−2.3
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.3%
    average punt
  13. Q4 13:10COLO 4th & 9 at COLO 37, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.3%−0.9
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 10:41WASH 4th & 1 at WASH 43, up 15
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsPunted · 92.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.4%−1.6
    average punt
  15. Q4 8:21COLO 4th & 1 at COLO 46, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.1%−1.6
    average punt
  16. Q4 8:21COLO 4th & 8 at WASH 39, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.3%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    7.0%−0.3
    36% to make
    Punt
    6.6%−0.7
    average punt
  17. Q4 2:05COLO 4th & 8 at WASH 9, down 15
    Close callWent for it · 4.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.1%−0.4
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    3.5%
    89% to make
    Punt
    2.0%−1.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
COLO made the numbers' call on 2 of 2WASH made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 10:30COLO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:02WASH Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:42COLO Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:53WASH Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 5:38WASH Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 4:53WASH Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WASHDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0059% → 59%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+4
41.1%
Cyler Miles pass complete to DiAndre Campbell for 4 yds to the Wash 17Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 17
+4
41.1%
Shaq Thompson run for 4 yds to the Wash 21Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 21
-1
41.1%
Shaq Thompson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 20Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 20
+6
41.1%
Korey Durkee punt for 56 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Colo 30 , Nelson Spruce returns for 6 yds to the Colo 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 2TD
9 plays · 70 yds · 3:0042% → 45%
Q1 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+8
41.7%
Shay Fields run for 8 yds to the Colo 38Similar
Q1 13:30
2ND & 2
OWN 38
0
41.8%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to Nelson Spruce, broken up by Marcus PetersSimilar
Q1 13:30
3RD & 2
OWN 38
+11
41.7%
Tony Jones run for 11 yds to the Colo 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+8
41.8%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to D.D. Goodson for 8 yds to the Wash 43Similar
Q1 13:30
2ND & 2
OPP 43
-2
41.8%
Donovan Lee run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wash 45Similar
Q1 13:30
3RD & 4
OPP 45
+9
41.8%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Nelson Spruce for 9 yds to the Wash 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
41.8%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to Donovan LeeSimilar
Q1 13:30
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+6
41.8%
Sefo Liufau run for 6 yds to the Wash 30Similar
Q1 10:30
3RD & 4
OPP 30
+30
44.7%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to D.D. Goodson for 30 yds for a TD, (Will Oliver KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 3FUMBLE
8 plays · 63 yds · 0:0056% → 57%
Q1 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
44.1%
Shaq Thompson run for 4 yds to the Wash 29Similar
Q1 10:30
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+4
44.0%
Cyler Miles run for 4 yds to the Wash 33Similar
Q1 10:30
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+3
44.0%
Cyler Miles run for 3 yds to the Wash 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
43.9%
Shaq Thompson run for 6 yds to the Wash 42Similar
Q1 10:30
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+48
43.7%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Dante Pettis for 48 yds to the Colo 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
43.4%
Cyler Miles pass incomplete to John Ross, broken up by Ken CrawleySimilar
Q1 10:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
-2
43.4%
Cyler Miles run for a loss of 2 yards to the Colo 12 Cyler Miles fumbled, recovered by Colo Kenneth OlugbodeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 4FG
11 plays · 72 yds · 4:1646% → 50%
Q1 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+5
46.1%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to D.D. Goodson for 5 yds to the Colo 18Similar
Q1 7:58
2ND & 5
OWN 18
+43
46.1%
Michael Adkins II run for 43 yds to the Wash 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:58
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
46.8%
Christian Powell run for 3 yds to the Wash 36Similar
Q1 7:58
2ND & 7
OPP 36
+2
46.8%
Sefo Liufau run for 2 yds to the Wash 34Similar
Q1 7:58
3RD & 5
OPP 34
+7
46.6%
Michael Adkins II run for 7 yds to the Wash 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:58
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+16
46.9%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Michael Adkins II for 16 yds to the Wash 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:58
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-2
46.9%
Michael Adkins II run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wash 13Similar
Q1 7:58
2ND & 12
OPP 13
-5
46.8%
COLORADO Penalty, false start (Tony Jones) to the Wash 18Similar
Q1 7:58
2ND & 17
OPP 18
+3
46.7%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Bryce Bobo for 3 yds to the Wash 15Similar
Q1 7:58
3RD & 14
OPP 15
0
46.3%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to Tony Jones, broken up by Evan HudsonSimilar
Q1 3:42
4TH & 14
OPP 15
+32
49.5%
Will Oliver 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 5TD
8 plays · 86 yds · 2:3450% → 54%
Q1 3:36
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+39
49.7%
Shaq Thompson run for 39 yds to the Colo 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:36
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+8
48.6%
Shaq Thompson run for 8 yds to the Colo 39Similar
Q1 3:36
2ND & 2
OPP 39
+6
48.4%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Deontae Cooper for 6 yds to the Colo 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:36
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
48.1%
Deontae Cooper run for 2 yds to the Colo 31Similar
Q1 3:36
2ND & 8
OPP 31
+7
48.1%
Deontae Cooper run for 7 yds to the Colo 24Similar
Q1 3:36
3RD & 1
OPP 24
0
48.4%
Jeff Lindquist run for no gain to the Colo 24Similar
Q1 1:02
4TH & 1
OPP 24
+24
45.9%
Shaq Thompson run for 24 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 6TD
8 plays · 59 yds · 3:1347% → 55%
Q1 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-1
47.4%
Sefo Liufau run for a loss of 1 yard to the Colo 40Similar
Q1 0:55
2ND & 11
OWN 40
+9
46.9%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Kyle Slavin for 9 yds to the Colo 49Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 49
+7
47.7%
D.D. Goodson run for 7 yds to the Wash 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+39
48.5%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Nelson Spruce for 39 yds to the Wash 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
48.8%
Michael Adkins II run for 2 yds to the Wash 3Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
48.8%
Michael Adkins II run for 2 yds to the Wash 1Similar
Q2 12:42
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
54.8%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to George Frazier for 1 yd for a TD, (Will Oliver KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0046% → 44%
Q2 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
54.5%
Cyler Miles pass incomplete to DiAndre Campbell, broken up by Greg HendersonSimilar
Q2 12:42
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-4
54.6%
Cyler Miles sacked by Brady Daigh for a loss of 4 yards to the Wash 21Similar
Q2 12:42
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+6
55.4%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Deontae Cooper for 6 yds to the Wash 27Similar
Q2 12:42
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
55.6%
Korey Durkee punt for 46 yds , Nelson Spruce returns for no gain to the Colo 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0056% → 55%
Q2 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
55.6%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to D.D. Goodson for 2 yds to the Colo 29Similar
Q2 11:11
2ND & 8
OWN 29
0
55.6%
Sefo Liufau pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:11
3RD & 8
OWN 29
+4
54.8%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Tony Jones for 4 yds to the Colo 33Similar
Q2 11:11
4TH & 4
OWN 33
+2
54.5%
Darragh O'Neill punt for 53 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wash 16 , Dante Pettis returns for 2 yds to the Wash 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 9FG
6 plays · 65 yds · 2:0443% → 45%
Q2 9:59
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+3
56.7%
Shaq Thompson run for 3 yds to the Wash 19Similar
Q2 9:59
2ND & 7
OWN 19
+56
56.8%
Shaq Thompson run for 56 yds to the Colo 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:59
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
53.7%
Deontae Cooper run for 3 yds to the Colo 22Similar
Q2 9:59
2ND & 7
OPP 22
+3
53.7%
Kendyl Taylor run for 3 yds to the Colo 19Similar
Q2 9:59
3RD & 4
OPP 19
0
54.7%
Cyler Miles pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:55
4TH & 4
OPP 19
+35
54.8%
Cameron Van Winkle 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 10FUMBLE
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0057% → 58%
Q2 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
57.1%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to D.D. Goodson, broken up by Marcus PetersSimilar
Q2 7:55
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+11
56.9%
Michael Adkins II run for 11 yds to the Colo 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-3
57.8%
Sefo Liufau sacked for a loss of 3 yards to the Colo 33 Sefo Liufau fumbled, recovered by Wash Danny Shelton , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 11FUMBLE
3 plays · -3 yds · 0:0047% → 47%
Q2 7:15
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
53.1%
Cyler Miles run for 1 yd to the Colo 32Similar
Q2 7:15
2ND & 9
OPP 32
-4
53.1%
Cyler Miles run for a loss of 4 yards to the Colo 36 Cyler Miles fumbled, recovered by Colo Jimmie GilbertSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 12FG
11 plays · 42 yds · 4:1458% → 63%
Q2 6:37
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
58.1%
Sefo Liufau run for 3 yds to the Colo 40Similar
Q2 6:37
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+3
59.1%
Michael Adkins II run for 3 yds to the Colo 43Similar
Q2 6:37
3RD & 4
OWN 43
+24
58.3%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to D.D. Goodson for 24 yds to the Wash 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:37
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
59.8%
Michael Adkins II run for 3 yds to the Wash 30Similar
Q2 6:37
2ND & 7
OPP 30
0
59.8%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to Shay FieldsSimilar
Q2 6:37
3RD & 7
OPP 30
+9
59.0%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Nelson Spruce for 9 yds to the Wash 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:37
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+5
59.8%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to D.D. Goodson for 5 yds to the Wash 16Similar
Q2 6:37
2ND & 5
OPP 16
0
59.8%
Michael Adkins II run for no gain to the Wash 16Similar
Q2 6:37
3RD & 5
OPP 16
0
59.1%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to Nelson SpruceSimilar
Q2 2:29
4TH & 5
OPP 16
-5
60.5%
Oliver, Will field goal attempt from 34 GOOD, clock 02:29, PENALTY COLO illegal formation 5 yards to the WASH21, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:23
4TH & 10
OPP 21
+39
63.2%
Will Oliver 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 13TD
8 plays · 78 yds · 1:2437% → 54%
Q2 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+9
63.1%
Cyler Miles pass complete to DiAndre Campbell for 9 yds to the Wash 31Similar
Q2 2:17
2ND & 1
OWN 31
+8
61.4%
Shaq Thompson run for 8 yds to the Wash 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+41
61.5%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Shaq Thompson for 41 yds to the Colo 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:17
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+6
58.7%
Cyler Miles run for 6 yds to the Colo 14Similar
Q2 2:17
2ND & 4
OPP 14
+5
58.7%
Cyler Miles run for 5 yds to the Colo 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
58.7%
Cyler Miles pass incomplete to Kendyl TaylorSimilar
Q2 0:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
46.4%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Kendyl Taylor for 9 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 14END OF HALF
6 plays · 24 yds · 0:2853% → 56%
Q2 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+7
52.5%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Shay Fields for 7 yds to the Colo 26Similar
Q2 0:46
2ND & 3
OWN 26
0
53.0%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to Nelson SpruceSimilar
Q2 0:46
3RD & 3
OWN 26
+14
51.6%
Christian Powell run for 14 yds to the Colo 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:18
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
55.8%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Christian Powell for 3 yds to the Colo 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 15FG
10 plays · 44 yds · 3:3754% → 63%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
53.7%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Nelson Spruce for 16 yds to the Colo 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
55.6%
Christian Powell run for 2 yds to the Colo 43Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+12
55.9%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Nelson Spruce for 12 yds to the Wash 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
56.9%
Christian Powell run for 5 yds to the Wash 40Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+6
56.9%
Michael Adkins II run for 6 yds to the Wash 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
57.5%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Nelson Spruce for 3 yds to the Wash 31Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 31
0
57.5%
Christian Powell run for no gain to the Wash 31Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 31
0
56.3%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to D.D. GoodsonSimilar
Q3 11:23
4TH & 7
OPP 31
+49
63.1%
Will Oliver 49 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 16FUMBLE
7 plays · 75 yds · 0:0040% → 44%
Q3 11:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
60.2%
Shaq Thompson run for 3 yds to the Wash 28Similar
Q3 11:23
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+28
59.8%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Joshua Perkins for 28 yds to the Colo 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:23
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+22
56.6%
Cyler Miles run for 22 yds to the Colo 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:23
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+5
54.6%
Shaq Thompson run for 5 yds to the Colo 17Similar
Q3 11:23
2ND & 5
OPP 17
+3
54.6%
Cyler Miles run for 3 yds to the Colo 14Similar
Q3 11:23
3RD & 2
OPP 14
+13
56.3%
Cyler Miles pass complete to DiAndre Campbell for 13 yds DiAndre Campbell fumbled, forced by John Walker, recovered by Colo Derek McCartneySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 17FUMBLE
3 plays · 26 yds · 0:0065% → 67%
Q3 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+10
64.6%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Nelson Spruce for 10 yds to the Colo 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
64.8%
Phillip Lindsay run for 9 yds to the Colo 39Similar
Q3 8:42
2ND & 1
OWN 39
+7
67.1%
Phillip Lindsay run for 7 yds to the Colo 46 Phillip Lindsay fumbled, forced by Scott Lawyer, recovered by Wash Andrew HudsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 18TD
5 plays · 46 yds · 2:1942% → 60%
Q3 7:57
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
58.1%
Cyler Miles run for no gain to the Colo 46 Cyler Miles fumbled, recovered by Wash Shaq ThompsonSimilar
Q3 7:57
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+8
58.4%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Jaydon Mickens for 8 yds to the Colo 38Similar
Q3 7:57
3RD & 2
OPP 38
+5
57.9%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Kasen Williams for 5 yds to the Colo 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:57
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
56.5%
Cyler Miles run for 5 yds to the Colo 28Similar
Q3 5:38
2ND & 5
OPP 28
+28
40.4%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Dante Pettis for 28 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK) COLORADO Penalty, OSD ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 19INT TD
3 plays · 2 yds · 0:3848% → 27%
Q3 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
47.9%
Sefo Liufau run for 2 yds to the Colo 29Similar
Q3 4:53
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+30
26.9%
Sefo Liufau pass intercepted for a TD Travis Feeney return for 30 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · -6 yds · 0:0076% → 73%
Q3 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
23.8%
Shaq Thompson run for 2 yds to the Colo 29Similar
Q3 4:45
2ND & 8
OPP 29
-10
23.7%
Thompson, Shaq rush for 7 yards to the COLO22 (Parker, Juda;McCartney,Derek), PENALTY WASH holding 10 yards to the COLO39, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:45
2ND & 18
OPP 39
+2
24.6%
Deontae Cooper run for 2 yds to the Colo 37Similar
Q3 4:45
3RD & 16
OPP 37
0
25.6%
Cyler Miles pass incomplete to Shaq ThompsonSimilar
Q3 4:45
4TH & 16
OPP 37
0
27.5%
Cyler Miles punt for 32 yds, downed at the Colo 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0023% → 22%
Q3 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+4
23.2%
Tony Jones run for 4 yds to the Colo 10Similar
Q3 3:04
2ND & 6
OWN 10
+1
23.7%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Sean Irwin for 1 yd to the Colo 11Similar
Q3 3:04
3RD & 5
OWN 11
0
22.6%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete, broken up by Andrew HudsonSimilar
Q3 3:04
4TH & 5
OWN 11
+7
21.9%
Darragh O'Neill punt for 46 yds , Dante Pettis returns for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0080% → 78%
Q3 1:41
1ST & 10
50
0
19.9%
Jaydon Mickens run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 1:41
2ND & 10
50
0
20.0%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Shaq Thompson for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 1:41
3RD & 10
50
0
20.6%
Cyler Miles pass incomplete to Kendyl TaylorSimilar
Q3 1:41
4TH & 10
50
0
22.5%
Korey Durkee punt for 50 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 24PUNT RETURN TD
8 plays · 20 yds · 2:0123% → 12%
Q3 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
23.1%
Michael Adkins II run for 11 yds to the Colo 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
23.8%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to Shay FieldsSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+2
23.4%
Shay Fields run for 2 yds to the Colo 33Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 33
+9
22.4%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Kyle Slavin for 9 yds to the Colo 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-2
25.9%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Nelson Spruce for a loss of 2 yards to the Colo 40Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 40
0
24.3%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to Shay FieldsSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 40
0
22.5%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to Kyle SlavinSimilar
Q4 13:10
4TH & 12
OWN 40
+87
12.4%
Darragh O'Neill punt for 47 yds , Dante Pettis returns for 87 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 25PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q4 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
12.4%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Nelson Spruce for 11 yds to the Colo 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
13.0%
Michael Adkins II run for 6 yds to the Colo 42Similar
Q4 13:10
2ND & 4
OWN 42
-4
13.7%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to D.D. Goodson for a loss of 4 yards to the Colo 38Similar
Q4 13:10
3RD & 8
OWN 38
-14
12.7%
Liufau, Sefo pass complete to Bobo, Bryce for 14 yards to the WASH48 (Feeney, Travis), PENALTY COLO pass interference 14 yards to the COLO24, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:10
3RD & 22
OWN 24
+13
12.1%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Phillip Lindsay for 13 yds to the Colo 37Similar
Q4 13:10
4TH & 9
OWN 37
0
12.3%
Darragh O'Neill punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wash 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 26PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0094% → 93%
Q4 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
6.4%
Deontae Cooper run for 6 yds to the Wash 40Similar
Q4 10:41
2ND & 4
OWN 40
+3
6.0%
Deontae Cooper run for 3 yds to the Wash 43Similar
Q4 10:41
3RD & 1
OWN 43
0
6.3%
Cyler Miles run for no gain to the Wash 43Similar
Q4 10:41
4TH & 1
OWN 43
0
6.7%
Korey Durkee punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Shay Fields at the Colo 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 27DOWNS
21 plays · 66 yds · 6:166% → 3%
Q4 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+17
6.0%
Michael Adkins II run for 17 yds to the Colo 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
6.2%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Nelson Spruce for 3 yds to the Colo 40Similar
Q4 8:21
2ND & 7
OWN 40
-1
6.5%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Christian Powell for a loss of 1 yard to the Colo 39Similar
Q4 8:21
3RD & 8
OWN 39
+7
6.2%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Nelson Spruce for 7 yds to the Colo 46Similar
Q4 8:21
4TH & 1
OWN 46
+2
6.6%
Nelson Spruce run for 2 yds to the Colo 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-4
6.7%
Sefo Liufau sacked by Andrew Hudson for a loss of 4 yards to the Colo 44Similar
Q4 8:21
2ND & 14
OWN 44
+6
6.1%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Christian Powell for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 8:21
3RD & 8
50
+9
6.6%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Nelson Spruce for 9 yds to the Wash 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:21
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
7.0%
Tony Jones run for 2 yds to the Wash 39Similar
Q4 8:21
2ND & 8
OPP 39
-10
7.0%
Liufau, Sefo pass complete to Bobo, Bryce for 7 yards to the WASH32 (Peters, Marcus), PENALTY COLO holding 10 yards to the WASH49, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:21
2ND & 18
OPP 49
+4
6.5%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Shay Fields for 4 yds to the Wash 45Similar
Q4 8:21
3RD & 14
OPP 45
+6
6.3%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Tony Jones for 6 yds to the Wash 39Similar
Q4 8:21
4TH & 8
OPP 39
+18
6.7%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Kyle Slavin for 18 yds to the Wash 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:21
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-2
7.6%
Tony Jones run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wash 23Similar
Q4 8:21
2ND & 12
OPP 23
+12
7.3%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Nelson Spruce for 12 yds to the Wash 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:21
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
7.6%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to Nelson Spruce, broken up by Sidney JonesSimilar
Q4 8:21
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+7
7.6%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Donovan Lee for 7 yds to the Wash 4Similar
Q4 2:05
3RD & 3
OPP 4
0
3.8%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to Tony JonesSimilar
Q4 2:05
4TH & 3
OPP 4
-5
3.7%
COLORADO Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Wash 9Similar
Q4 2:05
4TH & 8
OPP 9
-5
3.1%
Sefo Liufau sacked by Hau'oli Kikaha for a loss of 5 yards to the Wash 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 28END OF GAME
6 plays · 10 yds · 0:0498% → 98%
Q4 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+3
2.0%
Shaq Thompson run for 3 yds to the Wash 17Similar
Q4 1:48
2ND & 7
OWN 17
+10
1.9%
Shaq Thompson run for 10 yds to the Wash 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-1
1.8%
Team run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 26Similar
Q4 1:48
2ND & 11
OWN 26
-1
1.9%
Team run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 25Similar
Q4 1:48
3RD & 12
OWN 25
-1
2.0%
Team run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 4:53
Sefo Liufau pass intercepted for a TD Travis Feeney return for 30 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK)
-21
TD · Q3 5:38
Cyler Miles pass complete to Dante Pettis for 28 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK) COLORADO Penalty, OSD ( Yards) declined
-16.1
TD · Q2 0:53
Cyler Miles pass complete to Kendyl Taylor for 9 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK)
-12.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com