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USC

USC 44 at Washington State 17

WSU
2014 · Week 10 · Nov 1, 2014 · Gesa Field
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Win probability · WSU
modelWSU aheadUSC aheadconfidence bandkey playWSU scoreUSC score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 9:54 · Luke Falk pass complete to Vince Mayle for 2 yds to the USC 32 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+58.5+29.30−29.3−58.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 125Home team on offense−17.2Score differential−9.9Pregame prior−8.2Garbage-time factor−6.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.9
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 10:37: Andre Heidari 37 yd FG GOOD — USC win probability +3.9 pts (now 80%) (top driver: USC has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 6:13: Cody Kessler pass complete to JuJu Smith for 22 yds for a TD, (Andre Heidari KICK) — USC win probability +5.1 pts (now 87%) (top driver: USC has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:33: Luke Falk pass complete to Robert Lewis for 9 yds for a TD, (Quentin Breshears KICK) — WSU win probability +4.2 pts (now 22%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 6:10: Quentin Breshears 27 yd FG GOOD — WSU win probability +2.4 pts (now 18%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 5:51: Cody Kessler pass complete to Nelson Agholor for 87 yds for a TD, (Andre Heidari KICK) — USC win probability +10.0 pts (now 97%) (top driver: USC has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WSU made the numbers' call on 10 of 12USC made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00USC 4th & 10 at WSU 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.5%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    66.5%−<0.1
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    66.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:13WSU 4th & 4 at WSU 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.4%−0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:21WSU 4th & 10 at USC 47, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.3%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.4%
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:52USC 4th & 9 at USC 16, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.7%−0.8
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.5%
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:25WSU 4th & 9 at USC 49, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.1%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00USC 4th & 16 at USC 45, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.7%−1.6
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 13:30WSU 4th & 5 at WSU 22, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.9%−0.6
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.5%
    average punt
  8. Q2 10:37USC 4th & 10 at WSU 20, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 74.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.8%−1.0
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    73.8%
    75% to make
    Punt
    68.4%−5.3
    average punt
  9. Q2 10:37WSU 4th & 10 at WSU 25, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.2%−0.9
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.1%
    average punt
  10. Q2 10:06USC 4th & 2 at USC 39, up 17
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.0 ptsPunted · 78.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.4%−1.0
    average punt
  11. Q2 8:37WSU 4th & 2 at WSU 36, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 23.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    23.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    23.6%−0.3
    average punt
  12. Q2 0:43USC 4th & 16 at USC 33, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.7%−2.9
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.6%
    average punt
  13. Q3 14:54WSU 4th & 11 at USC 44, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.4%−0.5
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    19.0%−0.8
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    19.8%
    average punt
  14. Q3 12:45USC 4th & 9 at USC 41, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.7%−1.5
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.2%
    average punt
  15. Q3 9:54WSU 4th & 1 at USC 34, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 17.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    15.2%−2.6
    47% to make
    Punt
    14.5%−3.3
    average punt
  16. Q3 6:10WSU 4th & 10 at USC 10, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 15.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.0%−1.1
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    15.1%
    88% to make
    Punt
    8.5%−6.6
    average punt
  17. Q3 5:45WSU 4th & 6 at WSU 27, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.5%−0.5
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.0%
    average punt
  18. Q3 3:22USC 4th & 7 at WSU 28, up 21
    Close callWent for it · 96.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.9%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    95.9%
    60% to make
    Punt
    93.9%−2.1
    average punt
  19. Q4 12:11WSU 4th & 8 at USC 8, down 34
    Close callWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.5%−<0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    0.5%
    90% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.4
    average punt
  20. Q4 5:30WSU 4th & 12 at USC 12, down 34
    Close callWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%
    86% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−0.2
    average punt
  21. Q4 3:02USC 4th & 16 at WSU 27, up 27
    Close callWent for it · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.6%−0.1
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%
    62% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 2USC made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 10:33USC Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 6:13USC Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:33WSU Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    16.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    16.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 5:51USC Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 1:33USC Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    98.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 12:18USC Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 5:30WSU Touchdown, down 28 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.3%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.3%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
USCDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 44 yds · 0:0069% → 69%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+20
31.2%
Cody Kessler pass complete to George Farmer for 20 yds to the USC 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+24
31.2%
Cody Kessler pass complete to George Farmer for 24 yds to the WshSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
31.2%
Javorius Allen run for no gain to the WshSt 38Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 38
0
31.2%
Cody Kessler pass incomplete to Javorius AllenSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 38
0
31.2%
Cody Kessler pass incomplete to Javorius AllenSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 10
OPP 38
0
31.2%
Cody Kessler punt for 23 yds, downed at the WshSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 2PUNT RETURN TD
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:2332% → 31%
Q1 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
31.8%
Connor Halliday pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:36
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+6
31.8%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Tyler Baker for 6 yds to the WshSt 21Similar
Q1 13:36
3RD & 4
OWN 21
0
31.8%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Rickey Galvin for no gain to the WshSt 21Similar
Q1 12:13
4TH & 4
OWN 21
+65
31.4%
Jordan Dascalo punt for 44 yds , Nelson Agholor returns for 65 yds for a TD, (Andre Heidari KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 3INT
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:0032% → 32%
Q1 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
31.5%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Theron West for 7 yds to the WshSt 32Similar
Q1 12:07
2ND & 3
OWN 32
-10
31.7%
Morrow, Jamal rush for loss of 1 yard to the WSU31 (Seymour, Kevon), PENALTY WSU holding (Seydel, Jacob) 10 yards to the WSU22, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:07
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+19
31.5%
Connor Halliday pass intercepted Hayes Pullard return for 19 yds to the WshSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 4TD
5 plays · 19 yds · 0:4169% → 70%
Q1 11:14
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+17
31.2%
Cody Kessler pass complete to Nelson Agholor for 17 yds to the WshSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-5
31.2%
USC Penalty, false start (Viane Talamaivao) to the WshSt 7Similar
Q1 10:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-15
31.2%
Allen, Javorius rush for 7 yards to the WSU0, clock 10:45, PENALTY USC personal foul (Banner, Zach) 15 yards to the WSU22, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 22
0
31.2%
Cody Kessler pass incomplete to Randall Telfer, broken up by Daquawn BrownSimilar
Q1 10:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 22
+22
30.1%
Cody Kessler pass complete to JuJu Smith for 22 yds for a TD, (Andre Heidari KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 5PUNT
13 plays · 45 yds · 0:0030% → 30%
Q1 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+9
30.2%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 9 yds to the WshSt 17Similar
Q1 10:21
2ND & 1
OWN 17
+2
30.3%
Jamal Morrow run for 2 yds to the WshSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
30.2%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Robert Lewis for 4 yds to the WshSt 23Similar
Q1 10:21
2ND & 6
OWN 23
0
30.3%
Connor Halliday pass incomplete to Robert LewisSimilar
Q1 10:21
3RD & 6
OWN 23
+14
30.2%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Vince Mayle for 14 yds to the WshSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
30.4%
Luke Falk pass complete to Vince Mayle for 8 yds to the WshSt 45Similar
Q1 10:21
2ND & 2
OWN 45
+1
30.6%
Jamal Morrow run for 1 yd to the WshSt 46Similar
Q1 10:21
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+7
30.5%
Luke Falk run for 7 yds to the USC 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:21
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
30.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to Vince Mayle for no gain to the USC 47Similar
Q1 10:21
2ND & 10
OPP 47
0
30.6%
Jamal Morrow run for no gain to the USC 47Similar
Q1 10:21
3RD & 10
OPP 47
0
30.5%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Isiah MyersSimilar
Q1 10:21
4TH & 10
OPP 47
0
30.4%
Jordan Dascalo punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Nelson Agholor at the USC 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0072% → 71%
Q1 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+6
28.5%
Cody Kessler pass complete to Nelson Agholor for 6 yds to the USC 21Similar
Q1 5:52
2ND & 4
OWN 21
-10
28.4%
Allen, Javorius rush for 49 yards to the WSU30 (Lemora, Darius), PENALTY USC holding 10 yards to the USC11, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:52
2ND & 14
OWN 11
-1
28.5%
Cody Kessler pass complete to Justin Davis for a loss of 1 yard to the USC 10Similar
Q1 5:52
3RD & 15
OWN 10
+6
28.7%
Justin Davis run for 6 yds to the USC 16Similar
Q1 5:52
4TH & 9
OWN 16
0
28.8%
Kris Albarado punt for 44 yds, downed at the WshSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 0:0029% → 28%
Q1 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
28.5%
Theron West run for 5 yds to the WshSt 45Similar
Q1 3:25
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+5
28.7%
Jamal Morrow run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:25
1ST & 10
50
+2
28.8%
Jamal Morrow run for 2 yds to the USC 48Similar
Q1 3:25
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+6
28.9%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 6 yds to the USC 42Similar
Q1 3:25
3RD & 2
OPP 42
-7
28.8%
Luke Falk run for a loss of 7 yards to the USC 49 Luke Falk fumbled, recovered by WshSt Luke FalkSimilar
Q1 3:25
4TH & 9
OPP 49
0
28.3%
Jordan Dascalo punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Nelson Agholor at the USC 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 8PUNT
9 plays · 35 yds · 0:4673% → 73%
Q1 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
26.9%
Javorius Allen run for 2 yds to the USC 12Similar
Q1 0:46
2ND & 8
OWN 12
-5
27.0%
USC Penalty, false start (Zach Banner) to the USC 7Similar
Q1 0:46
2ND & 13
OWN 7
+8
27.0%
Javorius Allen run for 8 yds to the USC 15Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 15
+17
26.9%
Cody Kessler pass complete to George Farmer for 17 yds to the USC 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+19
26.4%
Javorius Allen run for 19 yds to the WshSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
25.9%
Javorius Allen run for 3 yds to the WshSt 46Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 46
-9
25.9%
Cody Kessler sacked by Jeremiah Allison for a loss of 9 yards to the WASHST 45 USC Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 16
OWN 45
0
26.4%
Cody Kessler pass incomplete to JuJu Smith, broken up by Daquawn BrownSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 16
OWN 45
0
26.8%
Kris Albarado punt for 52 yds, downed at the WshSt 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 19 yds · 0:0027% → 27%
Q2 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+14
26.6%
Theron West run for 14 yds to the WshSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-3
26.8%
Theron West run for a loss of 3 yards to the WshSt 14Similar
Q2 13:30
2ND & 13
OWN 14
+8
26.7%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tyler Baker for 8 yds to the WshSt 22Similar
Q2 13:30
3RD & 5
OWN 22
0
26.6%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Vince MayleSimilar
Q2 13:30
4TH & 5
OWN 22
0
26.5%
Jordan Dascalo punt for 47 yds, downed at the USC 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 10FG
5 plays · 49 yds · 1:1475% → 80%
Q2 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+49
24.7%
Cody Kessler pass complete to Nelson Agholor for 49 yds to the WshSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:51
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
24.1%
Justin Davis run for no gain to the WshSt 20Similar
Q2 11:51
2ND & 10
OPP 20
0
24.1%
Cody Kessler pass incomplete to Justin DavisSimilar
Q2 11:51
3RD & 10
OPP 20
0
24.4%
Cody Kessler pass incomplete to George FarmerSimilar
Q2 10:37
4TH & 10
OPP 20
+37
20.5%
Andre Heidari 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0023% → 22%
Q2 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
22.8%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Vince Mayle, broken up by Su'a CravensSimilar
Q2 10:37
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
22.7%
Luke Falk pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:37
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
22.5%
Luke Falk pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:37
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
22.4%
Jordan Dascalo punt for 44 yds, downed at the USC 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0080% → 80%
Q2 10:06
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
20.1%
Cody Kessler pass complete to JuJu Smith for 4 yds to the USC 35Similar
Q2 10:06
2ND & 6
OWN 35
0
20.0%
Javorius Allen run for no gain to the USC 35Similar
Q2 10:06
3RD & 6
OWN 35
+4
20.3%
Cody Kessler pass complete to JuJu Smith for 4 yds to the USC 39Similar
Q2 10:06
4TH & 2
OWN 39
0
20.4%
Kris Albarado punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Rickey Galvin at the WshSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 13DOWNS
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0022% → 23%
Q2 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
22.1%
Theron West run for 1 yd to the WshSt 29Similar
Q2 8:37
2ND & 9
OWN 29
-10
22.0%
Falk, Luke pass complete to Myers, Isiah for 5 yards to the WSU34 (Pullard, Hayes), PENALTY WSU holding (Seydel, Jacob) 10 yards to the WSU19, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:37
2ND & 19
OWN 19
+4
21.9%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 4 yds to the WshSt 23Similar
Q2 8:37
3RD & 15
OWN 23
+13
21.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tyler Baker for 13 yds to the WshSt 36Similar
Q2 8:37
4TH & 2
OWN 36
0
22.5%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Rickey Galvin, broken up by Su'a CravensSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 14TD
2 plays · 36 yds · 0:1782% → 87%
Q2 6:30
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+14
18.3%
Cody Kessler pass complete to Nelson Agholor for 14 yds to the WshSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:13
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
13.2%
Cody Kessler pass complete to JuJu Smith for 22 yds for a TD, (Andre Heidari KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 15TD
12 plays · 81 yds · 4:3216% → 22%
Q2 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
16.2%
Luke Falk pass complete to Theron West for 5 yds to the WshSt 24Similar
Q2 6:05
2ND & 5
OWN 24
+19
16.3%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tyler Baker for 19 yds to the WshSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+7
17.3%
Luke Falk pass complete to Robert Lewis for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 6:05
2ND & 3
50
+3
17.7%
Luke Falk run for 3 yds to the USC 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:05
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
17.7%
Jamal Morrow run for 2 yds to the USC 45Similar
Q2 6:05
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+6
17.7%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tyler Baker for 6 yds to the USC 39Similar
Q2 6:05
3RD & 2
OPP 39
+7
17.9%
Luke Falk pass complete to Dom Williams for 7 yds to the USC 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:05
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
18.0%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamal Morrow for no gain to the USC 32Similar
Q2 6:05
2ND & 10
OPP 32
0
17.9%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Rickey GalvinSimilar
Q2 6:05
3RD & 10
OPP 32
+23
17.5%
Luke Falk pass complete to Robert Lewis for 23 yds to the USC 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
21.7%
Luke Falk pass complete to Robert Lewis for 9 yds for a TD, (Quentin Breshears KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 16PUNT
10 plays · 14 yds · 0:4285% → 85%
Q2 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
15.4%
Cody Kessler pass incomplete to Javorius AllenSimilar
Q2 1:25
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+2
15.5%
Javorius Allen run for 2 yds to the USC 21Similar
Q2 1:15
3RD & 8
OWN 21
+18
15.4%
Cody Kessler pass complete to Javorius Allen for 18 yds to the USC 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
14.2%
Cody Kessler pass incomplete to Randall TelferSimilar
Q2 1:15
2ND & 10
OWN 39
-6
14.5%
Cody Kessler sacked by Kache Palacio for a loss of 6 yards to the USC 33Similar
Q2 0:43
3RD & 16
OWN 33
0
15.2%
Cody Kessler pass incomplete to Javorius Allen, broken up by Taylor TaliuluSimilar
Q2 0:43
4TH & 16
OWN 33
0
15.4%
Kris Albarado punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WshSt 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 17INT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:1018% → 21%
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+7
18.0%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tyler Baker for 7 yds to the WshSt 40Similar
Q2 0:20
2ND & 3
OWN 40
0
21.6%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Vince MayleSimilar
Q2 0:20
3RD & 3
OWN 40
+22
20.6%
Luke Falk pass intercepted Leon McQuay return for 22 yds to the USC 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 26 yds · 0:0018% → 18%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+27
17.9%
Luke Falk pass complete to Rickey Galvin for 27 yds to the USC 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-6
19.7%
Jamal Morrow run for a loss of 6 yards to the USC 49Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 16
OPP 49
-9
18.8%
Luke Falk sacked by Greg Townsend Jr. for a loss of 9 yards to the WshSt 42Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 25
OWN 42
+14
18.2%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tyler Baker for 14 yds to the USC 44Similar
Q3 14:54
4TH & 11
OPP 44
0
18.4%
Jordan Dascalo punt for 26 yds, fair catch by Nelson Agholor at the USC 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 19PUNT
8 plays · 23 yds · 0:0084% → 84%
Q3 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
15.7%
Javorius Allen run for no gain to the USC 18Similar
Q3 12:45
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+11
15.7%
Cody Kessler pass complete to Nelson Agholor for 11 yds to the USC 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-4
15.6%
Cody Kessler sacked by Destiny Vaeao for a loss of 4 yards to the USC 25Similar
Q3 12:45
2ND & 14
OWN 25
+15
15.8%
Cody Kessler pass complete to Nelson Agholor for 15 yds to the USC 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-1
14.8%
Javorius Allen run for a loss of 1 yard to the USC 39Similar
Q3 12:45
2ND & 11
OWN 39
+2
15.0%
Javorius Allen run for 2 yds to the USC 41Similar
Q3 12:45
3RD & 9
OWN 41
0
15.2%
Cody Kessler pass incomplete to Randall TelferSimilar
Q3 12:45
4TH & 9
OWN 41
0
16.0%
Kris Albarado punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Rickey Galvin at the WshSt 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 20FG
13 plays · 74 yds · 3:4415% → 18%
Q3 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+9
14.9%
Luke Falk pass complete to Vince Mayle for 9 yds to the WshSt 25Similar
Q3 9:54
2ND & 1
OWN 25
+32
15.5%
Luke Falk pass complete to Vince Mayle for 32 yds to the USC 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:54
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
16.7%
Luke Falk run for 4 yds to the USC 39Similar
Q3 9:54
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+5
17.0%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 5 yds to the USC 34Similar
Q3 9:54
3RD & 1
OPP 34
0
17.0%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Rickey GalvinSimilar
Q3 9:54
4TH & 1
OPP 34
+2
16.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to Vince Mayle for 2 yds to the USC 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:54
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+12
17.1%
Luke Falk pass complete to Theron West for 12 yds to the USC 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:54
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+11
17.3%
Luke Falk pass complete to Dom Williams for 11 yds to the USC 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-1
17.3%
Theron West run for a loss of 1 yard to the USC 10Similar
Q3 9:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
17.3%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Vince MayleSimilar
Q3 6:19
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
0
15.6%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Vince Mayle, broken up by Adoree' JacksonSimilar
Q3 6:10
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+27
18.0%
Quentin Breshears 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 21TD
3 plays · 87 yds · 0:1787% → 97%
Q3 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
13.4%
Cody Kessler pass incomplete to George FarmerSimilar
Q3 5:51
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+87
3.4%
Cody Kessler pass complete to Nelson Agholor for 87 yds for a TD, (Andre Heidari KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q3 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
6.2%
Luke Falk run for 5 yds to the WshSt 28Similar
Q3 5:45
2ND & 5
OWN 28
-1
6.4%
Luke Falk pass complete to Dom Williams for a loss of 1 yard to the WshSt 27Similar
Q3 5:45
3RD & 6
OWN 27
0
6.2%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Tyler Baker, broken up by Hayes PullardSimilar
Q3 5:45
4TH & 6
OWN 27
+6
6.1%
Jordan Dascalo punt for 51 yds , Nelson Agholor returns for 6 yds to the USC 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 23TD
9 plays · 72 yds · 2:5497% → 99%
Q3 4:27
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
3.0%
Javorius Allen run for 2 yds to the USC 30Similar
Q3 4:27
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+17
3.0%
Javorius Allen run for 17 yds to the USC 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:27
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+22
2.8%
Justin Davis run for 22 yds to the WshSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:22
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-1
2.3%
Justin Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the WshSt 32Similar
Q3 3:22
2ND & 11
OPP 32
+3
2.4%
Justin Davis run for 3 yds to the WshSt 29Similar
Q3 3:22
3RD & 8
OPP 29
+1
2.4%
Justin Davis run for 1 yd to the WshSt 28Similar
Q3 3:22
4TH & 7
OPP 28
+21
2.8%
Cody Kessler pass complete to Nelson Agholor for 21 yds to the WshSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
1.1%
Cody Kessler pass complete to JuJu Smith for 7 yds for a TD, (Andre Heidari PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 24FUMBLE
9 plays · 45 yds · 1:332% → 2%
Q3 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
1.7%
Theron West run for 1 yd to the WshSt 26Similar
Q3 1:33
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+26
1.6%
Theron West run for 26 yds to the USC 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:33
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
1.9%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 2 yds to the USC 46Similar
Q3 1:33
2ND & 8
OPP 46
+8
1.9%
Luke Falk pass complete to Vince Mayle for 8 yds to the USC 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
2.0%
Luke Falk pass complete to Vince Mayle for 1 yd to the USC 37Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 37
0
1.9%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Vince Mayle, broken up by Leon McQuaySimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 37
+18
1.9%
Luke Falk pass complete to Theron West for 18 yds to the USC 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-11
2.1%
Luke Falk run for a loss of 11 yards to the USC 30 Luke Falk fumbled, recovered by USC Scott FelixSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 25TD
8 plays · 70 yds · 1:3999% → 100%
Q4 13:57
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+13
0.6%
Javorius Allen run for 13 yds to the USC 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:57
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+9
0.5%
Javorius Allen run for 9 yds to the WshSt 48Similar
Q4 13:57
2ND & 1
OPP 48
+15
0.5%
Cody Kessler pass complete to JuJu Smith for 15 yds to the WshSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:08
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+15
0.4%
Kessler, Cody pass incomplete to Farmer, George, PENALTY WSU pass interference (Porter, Pat) 15 yards to the WSU18, 1ST DOWN USC, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:08
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-10
0.4%
Allen, Javorius rush for 2 yards to the WSU16 (Porter, Pat), PENALTY USC holding (Banner, Zach) 10 yards to the WSU28, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:08
1ST & 20
OPP 28
+23
0.5%
Cody Kessler pass complete to Steven Mitchell for 23 yds to the WshSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
0.4%
Cody Kessler pass complete to Steven Mitchell for 5 yds for a TD, (Andre Heidari KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 26DOWNS
16 plays · 71 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+8
0.2%
Luke Falk pass complete to Isiah Myers for 8 yds to the WshSt 29Similar
Q4 12:11
2ND & 2
OWN 29
+21
0.2%
Luke Falk run for 6 yds to the WshSt 35 for a 1ST down USC Penalty, personal foul (Anthony Sarao) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:11
1ST & 10
50
-5
0.2%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, delay of game (Luke Falk) to the WshSt 45Similar
Q4 12:11
1ST & 15
OWN 45
+6
0.2%
Luke Falk pass complete to Theron West for 6 yds to the USC 49Similar
Q4 12:11
2ND & 9
OPP 49
+10
0.2%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tyler Baker for 10 yds to the USC 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:11
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+7
0.2%
Luke Falk pass complete to Rickey Galvin for 7 yds to the USC 32Similar
Q4 12:11
2ND & 3
OPP 32
0
0.2%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Vince MayleSimilar
Q4 12:11
3RD & 3
OPP 32
+10
0.2%
Falk, Luke pass incomplete to Myers, Isiah, PENALTY USC holding (Hawkins, Chris) 10 yards to the USC22, 1ST DOWN WSU, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:11
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-3
0.3%
Theron West run for a loss of 3 yards to the USC 25Similar
Q4 12:11
2ND & 13
OPP 25
+7
0.3%
Luke Falk pass complete to Robert Lewis for 7 yds to the USC 18Similar
Q4 12:11
3RD & 6
OPP 18
+9
0.2%
Luke Falk pass complete to Vince Mayle for 9 yds to the USC 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
0.3%
Theron West run for 1 yd to the USC 8Similar
Q4 12:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
0.3%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Dom WilliamsSimilar
Q4 12:11
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
0.3%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Vince MayleSimilar
Q4 12:11
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
0
0.3%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Dom Williams, broken up by Adoree' JacksonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 27FUMBLE
1 play · -1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 8
-1
0.3%
Javorius Allen run for a loss of 1 yard to the USC 7 Javorius Allen fumbled, forced by Darryl Paulo, recovered by WshSt Darryl PauloSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 28TD
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:520% → 0%
Q4 7:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-6
0.1%
Luke Falk sacked by Charles Burks for a loss of 6 yards to the USC 13Similar
Q4 7:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 13
+6
0.1%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tyler Baker for 6 yds to the USC 7Similar
Q4 7:22
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
-5
0.1%
Luke Falk sacked by Delvon Simmons for a loss of 5 yards to the USC 12Similar
Q4 5:30
4TH & GOAL
OPP 12
+12
0.1%
Luke Falk pass complete to Isiah Myers for 12 yds for a TD, (Quentin Breshears KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 29DOWNS
10 plays · 40 yds · 2:19100% → 100%
Q4 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
0.2%
Javorius Allen run for 8 yds to the USC 48Similar
Q4 5:21
2ND & 2
OWN 48
+9
0.2%
Javorius Allen run for 9 yds to the WshSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:21
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
0.2%
Javorius Allen run for 6 yds to the WshSt 37Similar
Q4 5:21
2ND & 4
OPP 37
+16
0.1%
Javorius Allen run for 16 yds to the WshSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:02
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+1
0.1%
Justin Davis run for 1 yd to the WshSt 20Similar
Q4 3:02
2ND & 9
OPP 20
+5
0.1%
Justin Davis run for 5 yds to the WshSt 15Similar
Q4 3:02
3RD & 4
OPP 15
-12
0.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 12 yards to the WshSt 27 TEAM fumbled,Similar
Q4 3:02
4TH & 16
OPP 27
+7
0.1%
Justin Davis run for 7 yds to the WshSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 30END OF GAME
3 plays · 43 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
0.0%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Tyler BakerSimilar
Q4 0:41
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+7
0.0%
Luke Falk pass complete to Theron West for 7 yds to the WshSt 27Similar
Q4 0:41
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+36
0.0%
Luke Falk pass complete to Theron West for 36 yds to the USC 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 5:51
Cody Kessler pass complete to Nelson Agholor for 87 yds for a TD, (Andre Heidari KICK)
-10
TD · Q2 6:13
Cody Kessler pass complete to JuJu Smith for 22 yds for a TD, (Andre Heidari KICK)
-5.1
TD · Q2 1:33
Luke Falk pass complete to Robert Lewis for 9 yds for a TD, (Quentin Breshears KICK)
+4.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com