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UTAH

Utah 16 at Arizona State 19

ASU
2014 · Week 10 · Nov 1, 2014 · Mountain America Stadium
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Win probability · ASU
modelASU aheadUTAH aheadconfidence bandkey playASU scoreUTAH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTFGFGFGTDFGTDFGFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 1:40 · Tom Hackett punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Kyle Middlebrooks at the ArzSt 38
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remainingGarbage-time factor
+17.0+8.50−8.5−17.0Q1Q2Q3Q4OTPlay 41Pregame prior+9.0Home team on offense+2.2Score differential+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.8Time remaining+0.1Garbage-time factor+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 7:13: Jaelen Strong 6 Yd pass from Taylor Kelly (Zane Gonzalez Kick) — ASU win probability +6.7 pts (now 74%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 11:24: Devontae Booker 4 Yd pass from Travis Wilson (Andy Phillips Kick) — UTAH win probability +15.0 pts (now 48%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 6:09: Andy Phillips 44 Yd Field Goal — UTAH win probability +4.7 pts (now 50%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 5:47: Zane Gonzalez 30 Yd Field Goal — ASU win probability +14.7 pts (now 60%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
  5. FG · OT 0:00: Zane Gonzalez 36 Yd Field Goal — ASU win probability +17.1 pts (now 79%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ASU made the numbers' call on 8 of 11UTAH made the numbers' call on 9 of 12
  1. Q1 12:12ASU 4th & 3 at UTAH 3, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 58.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.6%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    58.5%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    58.0%−0.6
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:58UTAH 4th & 20 at UTAH 27, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.3%−0.8
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:18ASU 4th & 10 at UTAH 28, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 59.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.2%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    59.6%
    60% to make
    Punt
    57.4%−2.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:40UTAH 4th & 11 at UTAH 14, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.7%−1.0
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:15ASU 4th & 6 at UTAH 44, up 6
    Close callPunted · 63.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    62.6%−0.7
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    63.2%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:17UTAH 4th & 10 at UTAH 1, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.8%−1.9
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:52ASU 4th & 3 at UTAH 36, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 64.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    64.7%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    63.8%−0.9
    42% to make
    Punt
    63.6%−1.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:13UTAH 4th & 7 at ASU 33, down 6
    Close callKicked a field goal · 37.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.4%
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    37.2%−0.2
    49% to make
    Punt
    36.4%−1.0
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:59UTAH 4th & 15 at UTAH 20, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.6%−1.5
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.1%
    average punt
  10. Q2 2:36ASU 4th & 9 at UTAH 32, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 72.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.3%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    71.5%
    51% to make
    Punt
    70.0%−1.5
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:00UTAH 4th & 6 at ASU 19, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 28.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.9%−0.3
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    28.2%
    77% to make
    Punt
    21.8%−6.4
    average punt
  12. Q3 9:02ASU 4th & 10 at ASU 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.0%−2.9
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.9%
    average punt
  13. Q3 6:09UTAH 4th & 14 at ASU 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 43.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.4%−3.2
    18% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    43.6%
    62% to make
    Punt
    34.5%−9.0
    average punt
  14. Q3 4:04ASU 4th & 3 at midfield, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.9 ptsPunted · 50.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.2%−1.9
    average punt
  15. Q3 0:57UTAH 4th & 1 at ASU 41, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 56.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    56.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    49.0%−7.6
    32% to make
    Punt
    49.9%−6.7
    average punt
  16. Q4 14:53ASU 4th & 5 at ASU 47, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.6%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.7%
    average punt
  17. Q4 13:01UTAH 4th & 1 at UTAH 24, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.1 ptsPunted · 53.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.3%−2.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 9:32ASU 4th & 20 at ASU 42, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.3%−6.1
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.4%
    average punt
  19. Q4 8:41UTAH 4th & 8 at UTAH 32, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.9%−5.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.0%
    average punt
  20. Q4 5:47ASU 4th & 7 at UTAH 13, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 41.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.4%−8.0
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    45.4%
    85% to make
    Punt
    24.8%−20.5
    average punt
  21. Q4 2:30UTAH 4th & 8 at ASU 42, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.2 ptsPunted · 49.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.8%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    44.2%−3.6
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    44.6%−3.2
    average punt
  22. Q4 0:27ASU 4th & 17 at midfield, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.4%−4.0
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.5%
    average punt
  23. Q4 0:06UTAH 4th & 9 at UTAH 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.6%−11.8
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.4%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ASU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1UTAH made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 7:13ASU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 11:24UTAH Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ASUDrive 1FG
12 plays · 72 yds · 2:3362% → 62%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
61.6%
Taylor Kelly pass complete to Kody Kohl for 3 yds to the ArzSt 28Similar
Q1 14:32
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+29
61.6%
Taylor Kelly pass complete to Gary Chambers for 29 yds to the Utah 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:15
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
61.7%
D.J. Foster run for 6 yds to the Utah 37Similar
Q1 13:41
2ND & 4
OPP 37
+23
61.8%
D.J. Foster run for 23 yds to the Utah 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
61.9%
Taylor Kelly pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:22
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+12
61.9%
Kalen Ballage run for 12 yds to the Utah 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-5
61.9%
ARIZONA ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Utah 7Similar
Q1 12:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
61.9%
Taylor Kelly pass incomplete to Jaelen StrongSimilar
Q1 12:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
62.0%
Kalen Ballage run for 4 yds to the Utah 3Similar
Q1 12:15
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
61.9%
Taylor Kelly pass incomplete to Jaelen StrongSimilar
Q1 12:12
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
62.0%
Zane Gonzalez 20 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 2PUNT
12 plays · 12 yds · 4:3238% → 37%
Q1 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-3
62.0%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Kaelin Clay for a loss of 3 yards to the Utah 12Similar
Q1 11:05
2ND & 13
OWN 12
+8
62.0%
Devontae Booker run for 8 yds to the Utah 20Similar
Q1 10:31
3RD & 5
OWN 20
+6
62.2%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Kenneth Scott for 6 yds to the Utah 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
62.0%
Travis Wilson pass incomplete to Kenneth ScottSimilar
Q1 10:03
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+2
62.1%
Devontae Booker run for 2 yds to the Utah 28Similar
Q1 9:50
3RD & 8
OWN 28
+9
62.3%
Travis Wilson run for 9 yds to the Utah 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-10
62.1%
Booker, Devontae rush for no gain to the UTAH37, PENALTY UTAH holding 10 yards to the UTAH27, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:48
1ST & 20
OWN 27
+7
62.2%
Devontae Booker run for 7 yds to the Utah 34Similar
Q1 8:13
2ND & 13
OWN 34
+1
62.4%
Devontae Booker run for 1 yd to the Utah 35Similar
Q1 7:40
3RD & 12
OWN 35
-8
62.6%
Travis Wilson sacked by Marcus Hardison for a loss of 8 yards to the Utah 27Similar
Q1 6:58
4TH & 20
OWN 27
0
63.1%
Tom Hackett punt for 58 yds, downed at the ArzSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 3FG
11 plays · 57 yds · 3:2362% → 65%
Q1 6:41
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+22
62.1%
Demario Richard run for 22 yds to the ArzSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
62.4%
Demario Richard run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 39Similar
Q1 6:08
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+6
62.7%
Demario Richard run for 6 yds to the ArzSt 45Similar
Q1 5:39
3RD & 2
OWN 45
+2
62.8%
Demario Richard run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
63.2%
Taylor Kelly pass complete to D.J. Foster for 1 yd to the ArzSt 48Similar
Q1 4:25
2ND & 9
OWN 48
+13
63.1%
Taylor Kelly pass complete to Cameron Smith for 13 yds to the Utah 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:58
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+11
63.5%
Taylor Kelly pass complete to Deantre Lewis for 11 yds to the Utah 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:40
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
63.8%
Taylor Kelly run for no gain to the Utah 28Similar
Q1 3:26
2ND & 10
OPP 28
0
63.8%
Taylor Kelly pass incomplete to Jaelen StrongSimilar
Q1 3:22
3RD & 10
OPP 28
0
63.3%
Taylor Kelly pass incomplete to D.J. FosterSimilar
Q1 3:18
4TH & 10
OPP 28
+45
64.8%
Zane Gonzalez 45 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 1:1036% → 34%
Q1 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-6
64.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 6 yards to the Utah 9 TEAM fumbled, recovered by UtahSimilar
Q1 2:24
2ND & 16
OWN 9
0
64.3%
Travis Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:50
3RD & 16
OWN 9
+5
66.4%
Devontae Booker run for 5 yds to the Utah 14Similar
Q1 1:40
4TH & 11
OWN 14
0
66.4%
Tom Hackett punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Kyle Middlebrooks at the ArzSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 2:0566% → 67%
Q1 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+9
66.4%
Taylor Kelly run for 9 yds to the ArzSt 47Similar
Q1 1:10
2ND & 1
OWN 47
+5
66.9%
Kelly, Taylor pass incomplete, PENALTY UTAH pass interference 5 yards to the UTAH48, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ARIZONAST. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-10
67.0%
ARIZONA ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the ArzSt 42Similar
Q1 0:21
1ST & 20
OWN 42
+6
66.5%
Taylor Kelly run for 6 yds to the ArzSt 48Similar
Q1 0:14
2ND & 14
OWN 48
0
66.5%
Taylor Kelly pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 14
OWN 48
+5
66.1%
UTAH Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Utah 47Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 47
+3
66.7%
Taylor Kelly pass complete to D.J. Foster for 3 yds to the Utah 44Similar
Q2 14:15
4TH & 6
OPP 44
0
66.5%
Taylor Kelly punt for 43 yds, downed at the Utah 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:5433% → 32%
Q2 14:11
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
66.7%
Travis Wilson pass incomplete to Kenneth ScottSimilar
Q2 14:02
2ND & 10
OWN 1
0
66.8%
Devontae Booker run for no gain to the Utah 1Similar
Q2 13:28
3RD & 10
OWN 1
0
67.5%
Travis Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:17
4TH & 10
OWN 1
+8
67.9%
Tom Hackett punt for 50 yds , Kyle Middlebrooks returns for 8 yds to the Utah 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 7INT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:0868% → 68%
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
68.3%
D.J. Foster run for 2 yds to the Utah 41Similar
Q2 12:44
2ND & 8
OPP 41
0
68.4%
Taylor Kelly pass incomplete to Jaelen StrongSimilar
Q2 12:25
3RD & 8
OPP 41
+5
68.0%
Taylor Kelly run for 5 yds to the Utah 36Similar
Q2 11:52
4TH & 3
OPP 36
+10
67.7%
Taylor Kelly pass intercepted Gionni Paul return for 10 yds to the Utah 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 8FG
8 plays · 27 yds · 2:2734% → 38%
Q2 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
65.9%
Devontae Booker run for 3 yds to the Utah 43Similar
Q2 11:11
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+9
65.6%
Travis Wilson run for 9 yds to the ArzSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:44
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
65.2%
Travis Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:26
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+12
65.6%
Devontae Booker run for 12 yds to the ArzSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:08
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
65.3%
Devontae Booker run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 34Similar
Q2 9:33
2ND & 8
OPP 34
0
64.3%
Travis Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:18
3RD & 8
OPP 34
+1
65.4%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Kaelin Clay for 1 yd to the ArzSt 33Similar
Q2 9:13
4TH & 7
OPP 33
+50
62.5%
Andy Phillips 50 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 9TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:5164% → 74%
Q2 9:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+32
63.5%
Demario Richard run for 32 yds to the Utah 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:35
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
65.7%
Taylor Kelly run for 4 yds to the Utah 39Similar
Q2 8:06
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+32
66.5%
Taylor Kelly pass complete to Jaelen Strong for 32 yds to the Utah 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
67.2%
Demario Richard run for 1 yd to the Utah 6Similar
Q2 7:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
73.9%
Jaelen Strong 6 Yd pass from Taylor Kelly (Zane Gonzalez Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · -5 yds · 2:1428% → 26%
Q2 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
72.1%
UTAH Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Utah 20Similar
Q2 7:05
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+2
72.3%
Travis Wilson run for 2 yds to the Utah 22Similar
Q2 6:02
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+5
72.9%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Westlee Tonga for 5 yds to the Utah 27Similar
Q2 5:12
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-7
73.5%
Travis Wilson sacked by Armand Perry for a loss of 7 yards to the Utah 20Similar
Q2 4:59
4TH & 15
OWN 20
+33
74.3%
Tom Hackett punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Kyle Middlebrooks at the ARIZONAST 32 UTAH Penalty, Kick Catching Interference (-15 Yards) to the ArzSt 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 11MISSED FG
6 plays · 21 yds · 2:1675% → 75%
Q2 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
74.6%
Taylor Kelly pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:39
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+20
74.5%
D.J. Foster run for 20 yds to the Utah 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:27
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
75.4%
D.J. Foster run for 1 yd to the Utah 32Similar
Q2 3:41
2ND & 9
OPP 32
+5
75.5%
Taylor Kelly pass complete to D.J. Foster for 5 yds to the Utah 27Similar
Q2 2:50
3RD & 4
OPP 27
-5
76.3%
Taylor Kelly sacked by Hunter Dimick for a loss of 5 yards to the Utah 32Similar
Q2 2:36
4TH & 9
OPP 32
+50
75.1%
Zane Gonzalez 50 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 12END OF HALF
14 plays · 49 yds · 2:0926% → 29%
Q2 2:09
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+7
74.4%
Devontae Booker run for 7 yds to the Utah 39Similar
Q2 1:45
2ND & 3
OWN 39
+2
73.4%
Devontae Booker run for 2 yds to the Utah 41Similar
Q2 1:27
3RD & 1
OWN 41
+12
73.4%
Devontae Booker run for 12 yds to the ArzSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:26
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+13
72.7%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Tim Patrick for 13 yds to the ArzSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:05
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
71.8%
Travis Wilson run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 31Similar
Q2 0:56
2ND & 7
OPP 31
0
71.6%
Travis Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:49
3RD & 7
OPP 31
+8
72.9%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Tim Patrick for 8 yds to the ArzSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:33
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-2
71.5%
Devontae Booker run for a loss of 2 yards to the ArzSt 25Similar
Q2 0:26
2ND & 12
OPP 25
+1
72.6%
Travis Wilson run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 24Similar
Q2 0:17
3RD & 11
OPP 24
+5
74.3%
Devontae Booker run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 19Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 6
OPP 19
+36
71.4%
Andy Phillips 36 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 13TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:2929% → 48%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
70.7%
Devontae Booker run for 3 yds to the Utah 28Similar
Q3 14:27
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+12
70.5%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Tim Patrick for 12 yds to the Utah 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
69.5%
Travis Wilson run for 1 yd to the Utah 41Similar
Q3 13:56
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+5
69.8%
Devontae Booker run for 5 yds to the Utah 46Similar
Q3 13:29
3RD & 4
OWN 46
+5
69.1%
Travis Wilson run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+8
68.3%
Devontae Booker run for 8 yds to the ArzSt 41Similar
Q3 12:36
2ND & 2
OPP 41
+1
67.9%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Westlee Tonga for 1 yd to the ArzSt 40Similar
Q3 12:00
3RD & 1
OPP 40
+32
68.3%
Travis Wilson run for 32 yds to the ArzSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
66.7%
Travis Wilson run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 4Similar
Q3 11:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
51.6%
Devontae Booker 4 Yd pass from Travis Wilson (Andy Phillips Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 2:0960% → 57%
Q3 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
59.6%
Taylor Kelly run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 28Similar
Q3 10:48
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-9
59.9%
Kalen Ballage run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 29 ARIZONA ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the ArzSt 19Similar
Q3 10:05
2ND & 16
OWN 19
-5
59.2%
Taylor Kelly sacked by Viliseni Fauonuku for a loss of 5 yards to the ArzSt 14Similar
Q3 9:40
3RD & 21
OWN 14
+11
57.7%
Taylor Kelly run for 11 yds to the ArzSt 25Similar
Q3 9:02
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+22
57.0%
Matt Haack punt for 44 yds , Kaelin Clay returns for 22 yds to the ArzSt 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 15FG
6 plays · 20 yds · 2:4148% → 50%
Q3 8:50
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+8
52.5%
Devontae Booker run for 8 yds to the ArzSt 39Similar
Q3 8:15
2ND & 2
OPP 39
+16
52.0%
Devontae Booker run for 16 yds to the ArzSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:36
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-11
50.6%
Travis Wilson sacked by Lloyd Carrington for a loss of 11 yards to the ArzSt 34Similar
Q3 7:16
2ND & 21
OPP 34
+5
52.7%
Devontae Booker run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 29Similar
Q3 6:30
3RD & 16
OPP 29
+2
54.9%
Devontae Booker run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 27Similar
Q3 6:09
4TH & 14
OPP 27
+44
50.2%
Andy Phillips 44 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 25 yds · 1:5150% → 51%
Q3 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
50.4%
Demario Richard run for 14 yds to the ArzSt 39 ARIZONA ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the ArzSt 29Similar
Q3 5:40
1ST & 6
OWN 29
+14
52.8%
Taylor Kelly run for 14 yds to the ArzSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+8
53.7%
Demario Richard run for 8 yds to the Utah 49Similar
Q3 5:10
2ND & 2
OPP 49
-5
55.0%
ARIZONA ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ArzSt 46Similar
Q3 4:50
2ND & 7
OWN 46
0
53.5%
Taylor Kelly pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:25
3RD & 7
OWN 46
+4
51.5%
Taylor Kelly pass complete to Jaelen Strong for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 4:04
4TH & 3
50
0
50.8%
Taylor Kelly punt for 19 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Utah 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 17DOWNS
7 plays · 27 yds · 2:5954% → 56%
Q3 3:56
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
45.8%
Devontae Booker run for 2 yds to the Utah 33Similar
Q3 3:12
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+2
45.3%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Devontae Booker for 2 yds to the Utah 35Similar
Q3 2:28
3RD & 6
OWN 35
+15
46.0%
ARIZONA ST Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:05
1ST & 10
50
+2
42.1%
Travis Wilson run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 48Similar
Q3 1:47
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+4
42.0%
Devontae Booker run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 44Similar
Q3 1:15
3RD & 4
OPP 44
+3
42.3%
Devontae Booker run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 41Similar
Q3 0:57
4TH & 1
OPP 41
-1
44.4%
Devontae Booker run for a loss of 1 yard to the ArzSt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:5552% → 47%
Q3 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
51.6%
D.J. Foster run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 46Similar
Q3 0:26
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+1
52.1%
D.J. Foster run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 47Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 5
OWN 47
0
51.2%
Taylor Kelly pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:53
4TH & 5
OWN 47
0
47.3%
Matt Haack punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Utah 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:4055% → 53%
Q4 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+5
45.1%
Devontae Booker run for 5 yds to the Utah 20Similar
Q4 14:13
2ND & 5
OWN 20
+1
44.7%
Devontae Booker run for 1 yd to the Utah 21Similar
Q4 13:32
3RD & 4
OWN 21
+3
46.0%
Devontae Booker run for 3 yds to the Utah 24Similar
Q4 13:01
4TH & 1
OWN 24
0
46.9%
Tom Hackett punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Kyle Middlebrooks at the ArzSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 20PUNT
9 plays · 15 yds · 3:2348% → 39%
Q4 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
47.5%
D.J. Foster run for no gain to the ArzSt 27Similar
Q4 12:33
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+8
45.0%
Taylor Kelly pass complete to Cameron Smith for 8 yds to the ArzSt 35Similar
Q4 11:57
3RD & 2
OWN 35
+5
46.7%
Taylor Kelly pass complete to Kody Kohl for 5 yds to the ArzSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
48.7%
Demario Richard run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 43Similar
Q4 11:00
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+9
48.2%
Taylor Kelly pass complete to Jaelen Strong for 9 yds to the Utah 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:49
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
49.6%
Taylor Kelly pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:32
2ND & 10
OPP 48
-5
47.1%
Kalen Ballage run for a loss of 5 yards to the ArzSt 47Similar
Q4 9:44
3RD & 15
OWN 47
-5
41.6%
Taylor Kelly sacked by Hunter Dimick for a loss of 5 yards to the ArzSt 42Similar
Q4 9:32
4TH & 20
OWN 42
0
39.2%
Matt Haack punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Utah 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:5164% → 62%
Q4 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-5
35.8%
UTAH Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Utah 25Similar
Q4 9:25
1ST & 15
OWN 25
+4
36.7%
Devontae Booker run for 4 yds to the Utah 29Similar
Q4 9:10
2ND & 11
OWN 29
0
36.5%
Travis Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:00
3RD & 11
OWN 29
+3
37.8%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Bubba Poole for 3 yds to the Utah 32Similar
Q4 8:41
4TH & 8
OWN 32
0
38.5%
Tom Hackett punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Kyle Middlebrooks at the ArzSt 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 22FG
8 plays · 61 yds · 2:2842% → 60%
Q4 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
42.1%
Kalen Ballage run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 29Similar
Q4 7:45
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+13
42.2%
Demario Richard run for 13 yds to the ArzSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:23
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+11
45.2%
Taylor Kelly pass complete to D.J. Foster for 11 yds to the Utah 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+31
45.6%
Taylor Kelly pass complete to Gary Chambers for 31 yds to the Utah 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-2
48.1%
D.J. Foster run for a loss of 2 yards to the Utah 18Similar
Q4 6:21
2ND & 12
OPP 18
+5
47.6%
Demario Richard run for 5 yds to the Utah 13Similar
Q4 5:51
3RD & 7
OPP 13
0
44.8%
Taylor Kelly pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:47
4TH & 7
OPP 13
+30
59.5%
Zane Gonzalez 30 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 23PUNT
8 plays · 13 yds · 2:4353% → 50%
Q4 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
46.7%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Westlee Tonga for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 4:53
2ND & 5
50
+3
45.3%
Devontae Booker run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 47Similar
Q4 4:02
3RD & 2
OPP 47
+3
45.3%
Devontae Booker run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:53
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
44.9%
Travis Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:28
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+3
44.6%
Devontae Booker run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 41Similar
Q4 3:06
3RD & 7
OPP 41
-1
45.3%
Devontae Booker run for a loss of 1 yard to the ArzSt 42Similar
Q4 2:30
4TH & 8
OPP 42
0
50.2%
Tom Hackett punt for 37 yds, downed at the ArzSt 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 24PUNT
9 plays · 45 yds · 1:4756% → 57%
Q4 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+13
55.7%
Taylor Kelly run for 13 yds to the ArzSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+1
56.7%
Taylor Kelly pass complete to D.J. Foster for 1 yd to the ArzSt 19Similar
Q4 1:37
2ND & 9
OWN 19
+26
56.1%
Taylor Kelly pass complete to Jaelen Strong for 26 yds to the ArzSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+12
61.5%
Taylor Kelly run for 12 yds to the Utah 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:08
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
63.6%
Taylor Kelly pass incomplete to Jaelen StrongSimilar
Q4 0:48
2ND & 10
OPP 43
0
63.4%
Demario Richard run for no gain to the Utah 43Similar
Q4 0:35
3RD & 10
OPP 43
-7
61.1%
Taylor Kelly sacked by Nate Orchard for a loss of 7 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 0:27
4TH & 17
50
0
56.7%
Matt Haack punt for 36 yds, downed at the Utah 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 25PUNT
7 plays · 1 yds · 0:1648% → 44%
Q4 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
51.8%
Devontae Booker run for no gain to the Utah 14Similar
Q4 0:17
2ND & 10
OWN 14
-1
53.6%
Devontae Booker run for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 13Similar
Q4 0:12
3RD & 11
OWN 13
+2
54.7%
Travis Wilson run for 2 yds to the Utah 15Similar
Q4 0:06
4TH & 9
OWN 15
0
56.0%
Tom Hackett punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Kyle Middlebrooks at the ArzSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 26INT
2 plays · 7 yds · 0:0260% → 62%
Q4 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
59.7%
Taylor Kelly pass complete to D.J. Foster for 7 yds to the ArzSt 47Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 3
OWN 47
+6
61.9%
Mike Bercovici pass intercepted Marcus Williams return for 6 yds to the Utah 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 27MISSED FG
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0060% → 51%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
40.5%
Devontae Booker run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 21Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 21
+3
40.5%
Devontae Booker run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 18Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 3
OPP 18
0
42.7%
Travis Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
OT 0:00
4TH & 3
OPP 18
+35
49.4%
Andy Phillips 35 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 28FG
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0065% → 79%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
64.7%
Demario Richard run for 4 yds to the Utah 21Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 21
+4
64.7%
Demario Richard run for 4 yds to the Utah 17Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 2
OPP 17
-2
62.3%
D.J. Foster run for a loss of 2 yards to the Utah 19Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & 4
OPP 19
+36
79.4%
Zane Gonzalez 36 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+20.6
FG · OT 0:00
Zane Gonzalez 36 Yd Field Goal
+17.1
TD · Q3 11:24
Devontae Booker 4 Yd pass from Travis Wilson (Andy Phillips Kick)
-15
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com