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ARIZ

Arizona 7 at UCLA 17

UCLA
2014 · Week 10 · Nov 1, 2014 · Rose Bowl
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Win probability · UCLA
modelUCLA aheadARIZ aheadconfidence bandkey playUCLA scoreARIZ score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 14:53 · Matt Mengel punt for 41 yds, fair catch by DaVonte' Neal at the Ariz 29
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+27.5+13.80−13.8−27.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 156Pregame prior+4.4Home team on offense+14.4Garbage-time factor+8.8Score differential+2.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.9
This game in five plays
  1. KEY PLAY · Q2 0:00: TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 14 — ARIZ win probability +4.3 pts (now 48%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q3 13:22: Brett Hundley run for 10 yds to the UCLA 38 — ARIZ win probability +3.5 pts (now 45%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 5:34: Paul Perkins 5 Yd Run (Ka'imi Fairbairn Kick) — UCLA win probability +15.4 pts (now 72%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 5:34: Ka'imi Fairbairn kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback — ARIZ win probability +4.6 pts (now 32%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 4:44: Jordan Payton 70 Yd pass from Brett Hundley (Ka'imi Fairbairn Kick) — UCLA win probability +14.7 pts (now 83%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UCLA made the numbers' call on 5 of 10ARIZ made the numbers' call on 10 of 13
  1. Q1 9:39UCLA 4th & 20 at UCLA 44, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.6%−0.4
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:26ARIZ 4th & 6 at ARIZ 12, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.2%−0.2
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:33UCLA 4th & 7 at ARIZ 19, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 59.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.1%−0.2
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    59.3%
    77% to make
    Punt
    57.3%−2.0
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:33ARIZ 4th & 8 at ARIZ 22, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.0%−0.6
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:17UCLA 4th & 6 at ARIZ 6, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 55.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.1%−0.2
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    55.3%
    91% to make
    Punt
    49.5%−5.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:37ARIZ 4th & 10 at UCLA 47, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.7%−0.5
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:58UCLA 4th & 1 at ARIZ 44, down 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.5 ptsPunted · 57.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    53.9%−3.4
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    54.8%−2.5
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:17ARIZ 4th & 7 at UCLA 45, up 4
    Close callPunted · 45.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.3%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    44.2%−1.2
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    45.1%−0.3
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:26UCLA 4th & 4 at UCLA 46, down 4
    Close callPunted · 54.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.6%−0.4
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:05ARIZ 4th & 6 at ARIZ 15, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.7%−1.0
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.7%
    average punt
  11. Q3 11:24UCLA 4th & 5 at UCLA 46, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.4%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.7%
    average punt
  12. Q3 10:16ARIZ 4th & 19 at ARIZ 10, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.9%−3.6
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.5%
    average punt
  13. Q3 4:54ARIZ 4th & 6 at ARIZ 29, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.0%−1.0
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.0%
    average punt
  14. Q3 1:12ARIZ 4th & 10 at UCLA 22, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 17.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.8%−1.4
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    17.1%
    72% to make
    Punt
    9.9%−7.3
    average punt
  15. Q4 14:53UCLA 4th & 2 at UCLA 30, up 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.0 ptsPunted · 83.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.7%−1.0
    average punt
  16. Q4 13:49ARIZ 4th & 18 at ARIZ 21, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.8%−2.9
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.7%
    average punt
  17. Q4 10:37UCLA 4th & 1 at UCLA 48, up 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.9 ptsPunted · 86.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.3%−1.9
    average punt
  18. Q4 9:33ARIZ 4th & 1 at ARIZ 24, down 10
    Close callPunted · 9.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.2%−0.2
    average punt
  19. Q4 6:00UCLA 4th & 13 at ARIZ 48, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.0%−0.9
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.9%
    average punt
  20. Q4 5:24ARIZ 4th & 10 at ARIZ 17, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.9%−0.5
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.5%
    average punt
  21. Q4 2:00ARIZ 4th & 9 at UCLA 9, down 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsKicked a field goal · 6.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.8%
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    5.6%−1.2
    89% to make
    Punt
    3.9%−2.9
    average punt
  22. Q4 0:55UCLA 4th & 4 at ARIZ 45, up 10
    Close callPunted · 95.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    95.0%−0.2
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    95.0%−0.2
    average punt
  23. Q4 0:20ARIZ 4th & 10 at ARIZ 10, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.3%
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.1%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UCLA made the numbers' call on 2 of 2ARIZ made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 12:29ARIZ Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 5:34UCLA Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 4:44UCLA Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ARIZDrive 1TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 2:2432% → 34%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
67.8%
Terris Jones-Grigsby run for 3 yds to the Ariz 28Similar
Q1 14:38
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
67.8%
Anu Solomon pass incomplete to Jarvis McCall Jr.Similar
Q1 14:23
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+10
67.8%
Anu Solomon run for 10 yds to the Ariz 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:18
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
67.7%
Solomon, Anu pass complete to Grant, Samajie for 3 yards to the ARIZONA41, PENALTY UCLA offside 5 yards to the ARIZONA43, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 14:08
1ST & 5
OWN 43
+6
67.6%
Terris Jones-Grigsby run for 6 yds to the Ariz 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
67.5%
Terris Jones-Grigsby run for no gain to the Ariz 49Similar
Q1 13:17
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+4
67.5%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Terris Jones-Grigsby for 4 yds to the UCLA 47Similar
Q1 13:12
3RD & 6
OPP 47
0
67.4%
Anu Solomon pass incomplete to Cayleb JonesSimilar
Q1 13:08
4TH & 6
OPP 47
+15
67.5%
UCLA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Myles Jack) to the UCLA 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:04
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
67.3%
Anu Solomon pass incomplete to Samajie GrantSimilar
Q1 12:52
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+3
67.3%
Terris Jones-Grigsby run for 3 yds to the UCLA 29Similar
Q1 12:40
3RD & 7
OPP 29
+15
67.3%
UCLA Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Myles Jack) to the UCLA 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:29
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
66.4%
Cayleb Jones 14 Yd pass from Anu Solomon (Casey Skowron Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 2PUNT
12 plays · 14 yds · 2:4567% → 65%
Q1 12:24
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
66.6%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Nate Iese for 5 yds to the UCLA 35Similar
Q1 12:15
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+3
66.6%
Paul Perkins run for 3 yds to the UCLA 38Similar
Q1 12:05
3RD & 2
OWN 38
+5
66.6%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Eldridge Massington for 5 yds to the UCLA 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
66.6%
Paul Perkins run for 4 yds to the UCLA 47Similar
Q1 11:30
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+7
66.5%
Brett Hundley run for 7 yds to the Ariz 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:25
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
66.5%
Brett Hundley pass incomplete to Paul PerkinsSimilar
Q1 11:05
2ND & 10
OPP 46
-10
66.4%
UCLA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jake Brendel) to the UCLA 44Similar
Q1 10:55
2ND & 20
OWN 44
0
66.0%
Brett Hundley pass incomplete to Mossi JohnsonSimilar
Q1 10:25
3RD & 20
OWN 44
0
65.4%
Brett Hundley pass incomplete to Zach HernandezSimilar
Q1 9:39
4TH & 20
OWN 44
0
65.1%
Matt Mengel punt for 48 yds, fair catch by DaVonte' Neal at the Ariz 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:5935% → 35%
Q1 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+1
65.3%
Nick Wilson run for 1 yd to the Ariz 9Similar
Q1 9:15
2ND & 9
OWN 9
-4
65.3%
Anu Solomon run for a loss of 4 yards to the Ariz 5Similar
Q1 8:45
3RD & 13
OWN 5
+7
64.8%
Anu Solomon run for 7 yds to the Ariz 12Similar
Q1 8:26
4TH & 6
OWN 12
0
65.0%
Drew Riggleman punt for 45 yds, downed at the UCLA 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 4MISSED FG
10 plays · 38 yds · 3:4365% → 63%
Q1 8:16
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+13
65.0%
Paul Perkins run for 13 yds to the Ariz 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:42
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
64.9%
Paul Perkins run for 1 yd to the Ariz 43Similar
Q1 7:20
2ND & 9
OPP 43
+10
64.8%
Brett Hundley run for 10 yds to the Ariz 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
64.5%
Myles Jack run for 2 yds to the Ariz 31Similar
Q1 6:16
2ND & 8
OPP 31
+9
64.2%
Myles Jack run for 9 yds to the Ariz 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:03
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+8
64.1%
Myles Jack run for 8 yds to the Ariz 14Similar
Q1 5:28
2ND & 2
OPP 14
0
63.8%
Myles Jack run for no gain to the Ariz 14Similar
Q1 4:44
3RD & 2
OPP 14
-5
63.1%
Brett Hundley sacked by Scooby Wright III for a loss of 5 yards to the Ariz 19Similar
Q1 4:33
4TH & 7
OPP 19
+37
62.5%
Ka'imi Fairbairn 37 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:5238% → 38%
Q1 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
62.1%
Terris Jones-Grigsby run for 11 yds to the Ariz 31 ARIZONA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Austin Hill) to the Ariz 21Similar
Q1 4:15
1ST & 9
OWN 21
0
62.0%
Anu Solomon pass incomplete to Austin HillSimilar
Q1 3:45
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+1
61.8%
Terris Jones-Grigsby run for 1 yd to the Ariz 22Similar
Q1 3:40
3RD & 8
OWN 22
0
62.1%
Anu Solomon pass incomplete to Cayleb JonesSimilar
Q1 3:33
4TH & 8
OWN 22
+1
62.4%
Drew Riggleman punt for 53 yds , Ishmael Adams returns for 1 yd to the UCLA 23 UCLA Penalty, Illegal Block (Cameron Judge) to the UCLA 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 6FG
15 plays · 78 yds · 6:0861% → 63%
Q1 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+1
60.9%
Paul Perkins run for 1 yd to the UCLA 17Similar
Q1 3:03
2ND & 9
OWN 17
+7
60.6%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Eldridge Massington for 7 yds to the UCLA 24Similar
Q1 2:52
3RD & 2
OWN 24
+4
60.7%
Brett Hundley run for 4 yds to the UCLA 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-6
61.0%
Paul Perkins run for 4 yds to the UCLA 32 UCLA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Scott Quessenberry) to the UCLA 22Similar
Q1 2:33
1ST & 16
OWN 22
+7
60.8%
Paul Perkins run for 7 yds to the UCLA 29Similar
Q1 1:30
2ND & 9
OWN 29
-2
60.4%
Brett Hundley sacked by Scooby Wright III for a loss of 2 yards to the UCLA 27Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 11
OWN 27
+29
58.8%
Brett Hundley run for 29 yds to the Ariz 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:45
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
61.1%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Jordan Payton for 4 yds to the Ariz 40Similar
Q2 14:25
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+15
60.9%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Jordan Payton for 15 yds to the Ariz 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:03
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+15
61.4%
Paul Perkins run for 15 yds to the Ariz 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+9
61.9%
Brett Hundley run for 9 yds to the Ariz 1Similar
Q2 13:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
61.7%
Paul Perkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ariz 2Similar
Q2 12:40
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
-4
60.6%
Myles Jack run for a loss of 4 yards to the Ariz 6Similar
Q2 12:17
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
62.7%
Ka'imi Fairbairn 24 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 7PUNT
11 plays · 28 yds · 1:2838% → 39%
Q2 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
61.7%
Nick Wilson run for 1 yd to the Ariz 26Similar
Q2 11:27
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+5
61.6%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Austin Hill for 5 yds to the Ariz 31Similar
Q2 11:22
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+10
61.4%
Solomon, Anu pass incomplete, PENALTY UCLA holding (Moreau, Fabian) 10 yards to the ARIZONA41, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ARIZONA. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:17
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
60.2%
Anu Solomon pass incomplete to Nate PhillipsSimilar
Q2 11:03
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+9
60.5%
Anu Solomon run for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 11:00
3RD & 1
50
+3
59.8%
Nick Wilson run for 3 yds to the UCLA 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:54
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
59.5%
Anu Solomon pass incomplete to Cayleb Jones, broken up by Anthony JeffersonSimilar
Q2 10:47
2ND & 10
OPP 47
0
59.7%
Anu Solomon pass incomplete to Cayleb JonesSimilar
Q2 10:43
3RD & 10
OPP 47
0
60.2%
Anu Solomon pass incomplete to Austin Hill, broken up by Jaleel WadoodSimilar
Q2 10:37
4TH & 10
OPP 47
0
61.4%
Drew Riggleman punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Ishmael Adams at the UCLA 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 8PUNT
9 plays · 48 yds · 3:3061% → 60%
Q2 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
60.8%
Brett Hundley run for no gain to the UCLA 8Similar
Q2 9:51
2ND & 10
OWN 8
-1
60.1%
Brett Hundley sacked by Scooby Wright III for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 7Similar
Q2 9:21
3RD & 11
OWN 7
+21
59.2%
Nate Starks run for 21 yds to the UCLA 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+9
60.3%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Jordon James for 9 yds to the UCLA 37Similar
Q2 8:35
2ND & 1
OWN 37
+10
61.9%
Jordon James run for 10 yds to the UCLA 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
61.9%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Jordon James for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 7:47
2ND & 7
50
+4
61.2%
Brett Hundley run for 4 yds to the Ariz 46Similar
Q2 7:14
3RD & 3
OPP 46
+2
60.8%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Devin Fuller for 2 yds to the Ariz 44Similar
Q2 6:58
4TH & 1
OPP 44
0
59.8%
Adam Searl punt for 29 yds, fair catch by DaVonte' Neal at the Ariz 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 40 yds · 2:0641% → 43%
Q2 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+22
58.9%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Samajie Grant for 7 yds to the Ariz 22 for a 1ST down UCLA Penalty, Personal Foul (Kenny Clark) to the Ariz 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
57.4%
Terris Jones-Grigsby run for 3 yds to the Ariz 40Similar
Q2 5:50
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+4
56.5%
Jerrard Randall run for 4 yds to the Ariz 44Similar
Q2 5:30
3RD & 3
OWN 44
+8
56.3%
Anu Solomon run for 8 yds to the UCLA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:56
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
55.2%
Terris Jones-Grigsby run for 4 yds to the UCLA 44Similar
Q2 4:38
2ND & 6
OPP 44
-1
54.7%
Anu Solomon run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 45Similar
Q2 4:23
3RD & 7
OPP 45
0
55.2%
Anu Solomon pass incomplete to Austin HillSimilar
Q2 4:17
4TH & 7
OPP 45
0
56.6%
Drew Riggleman punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UCLA 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 10PUNT
9 plays · 34 yds · 2:3557% → 55%
Q2 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+5
56.9%
Brett Hundley run for 5 yds to the UCLA 17Similar
Q2 3:55
2ND & 5
OWN 17
-8
56.8%
Hundley, Brett pass complete to Starks, Nate for 1 yard to the UCLA18, PENALTY UCLA holding (Payton, Jordan) 8 yards to the UCLA9, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:18
2ND & 13
OWN 9
+2
56.2%
Brett Hundley run for 2 yds to the UCLA 11 UCLA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Alex Redmond) declinedSimilar
Q2 3:02
3RD & 11
OWN 11
+14
55.4%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Jordan Payton for 14 yds to the UCLA 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
56.7%
ARIZONA Penalty, Personal Foul (Jourdon Grandon) to the UCLA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
58.4%
Brett Hundley pass incomplete to Devin Fuller, broken up by Jonathan McKnightSimilar
Q2 2:33
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+5
57.1%
Brett Hundley run for 5 yds to the UCLA 45Similar
Q2 1:51
3RD & 5
OWN 45
+1
56.2%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Nate Starks for 1 yd to the UCLA 46Similar
Q2 1:26
4TH & 4
OWN 46
0
55.1%
Matt Mengel punt for 43 yds, downed at the Ariz 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 11DOWNS
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:1344% → 44%
Q2 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+3
55.6%
Nick Wilson run for 3 yds to the Ariz 14Similar
Q2 1:03
2ND & 7
OWN 14
+1
55.5%
Nick Wilson run for 1 yd to the Ariz 15Similar
Q2 0:55
3RD & 6
OWN 15
0
56.5%
Nick Wilson run for no gain to the Ariz 15Similar
Q2 0:05
4TH & 6
OWN 15
0
56.0%
Drew Riggleman punt for 70 yds, downed at the UCLA 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0052% → 52%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-1
51.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 13PUNT
9 plays · 17 yds · 3:0456% → 53%
Q3 14:28
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+9
55.8%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Jordan Payton for 9 yds to the UCLA 38Similar
Q3 14:15
2ND & 1
OWN 38
-10
58.3%
Hundley, Brett pass complete to Fuller, Devin for 16 yards to the ARIZONA46, PENALTY UCLA holding (Scott, Tyler) 10 yards to the UCLA28, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:22
2ND & 11
OWN 28
+10
54.7%
Brett Hundley run for 10 yds to the UCLA 38Similar
Q3 12:58
3RD & 1
OWN 38
+3
56.6%
Paul Perkins run for 3 yds to the UCLA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:41
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
56.9%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Paul Perkins for no gain to the UCLA 41Similar
Q3 12:15
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+5
55.2%
Brett Hundley run for 5 yds to the UCLA 46Similar
Q3 11:44
3RD & 5
OWN 46
0
55.9%
Paul Perkins run for no gain to the UCLA 46Similar
Q3 11:24
4TH & 5
OWN 46
0
53.2%
Matt Mengel punt for 50 yds, downed at the Ariz 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 1:0047% → 45%
Q3 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+15
53.1%
Terris Jones-Grigsby run for 15 yds to the Ariz 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+1
52.4%
Terris Jones-Grigsby run for 1 yd to the Ariz 20Similar
Q3 10:46
2ND & 9
OWN 20
0
52.6%
Anu Solomon pass incomplete to Austin Hill, broken up by Tahaan GoodmanSimilar
Q3 10:35
3RD & 9
OWN 20
-10
53.6%
Solomon, Anu pass complete to Jones-Grigsby, Terris for 26 yards to the ARIZONA46, PENALTY ARIZONA pass interference (Grant, Samajie) 10 yards to the ARIZONA10, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:26
3RD & 19
OWN 10
0
53.8%
Anu Solomon pass incomplete to Nate PhillipsSimilar
Q3 10:16
4TH & 19
OWN 10
+3
54.9%
Drew Riggleman punt for 51 yds , Ishmael Adams returns for 3 yds to the UCLA 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 15TD
12 plays · 58 yds · 4:2956% → 72%
Q3 10:03
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
56.1%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Jordan Payton for 7 yds to the UCLA 49Similar
Q3 9:55
2ND & 3
OWN 49
+4
57.0%
Paul Perkins run for 4 yds to the Ariz 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:28
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
57.2%
Brett Hundley run for 2 yds to the Ariz 45Similar
Q3 8:52
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+5
57.1%
Nate Starks run for 5 yds to the Ariz 40Similar
Q3 8:31
3RD & 3
OPP 40
+5
56.6%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Mossi Johnson for 5 yds to the Ariz 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:03
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+8
58.7%
Nate Starks run for 8 yds to the Ariz 27Similar
Q3 7:43
2ND & 2
OPP 27
+14
57.4%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Nate Starks for 14 yds to the Ariz 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:26
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+9
57.3%
Brett Hundley run for 9 yds to the Ariz 4Similar
Q3 7:03
2ND & 1
OPP 4
0
57.2%
Brett Hundley pass incomplete to Jordan Payton, broken up by Cam DensonSimilar
Q3 6:43
3RD & 1
OPP 4
+1
54.7%
Brett Hundley run for 1 yd to the Ariz 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-2
56.9%
Myles Jack run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ariz 5Similar
Q3 5:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
72.4%
Paul Perkins 5 Yd Run (Ka'imi Fairbairn Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:1834% → 32%
Q3 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
66.1%
Nick Wilson run for 4 yds to the Ariz 29Similar
Q3 5:10
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
65.2%
Anu Solomon pass incomplete to DaVonte' Neal, broken up by Anthony JeffersonSimilar
Q3 5:05
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
66.8%
Anu Solomon pass incomplete to David RichardsSimilar
Q3 4:54
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
68.1%
Drew Riggleman punt for 41 yds, downed at the UCLA 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 17TD
1 play · 70 yds · 0:0083% → 83%
Q3 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+70
82.8%
Jordan Payton 70 Yd pass from Brett Hundley (Ka'imi Fairbairn Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 18MISSED FG
15 plays · 53 yds · 3:1918% → 17%
Q3 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
81.9%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Trey Griffey for 8 yds to the Ariz 33Similar
Q3 4:22
2ND & 2
OWN 33
-5
80.5%
ARIZONA Penalty, False Start (Terris Jones-Grigsby) to the Ariz 28Similar
Q3 3:55
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+1
81.6%
Anu Solomon run for 1 yd to the Ariz 29Similar
Q3 3:37
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+12
82.4%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Cayleb Jones for 12 yds to the Ariz 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:22
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
80.9%
Anu Solomon pass complete to DaVonte' Neal for 4 yds to the Ariz 45Similar
Q3 3:08
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+8
80.3%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Terris Jones-Grigsby for 8 yds to the UCLA 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:55
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-8
79.7%
Anu Solomon sacked by Ellis McCarthy and Takkarist McKinley for a loss of 8 yards to the Ariz 45Similar
Q3 2:45
2ND & 18
OWN 45
+7
82.1%
Anu Solomon pass complete to DaVonte' Neal for 7 yds to the UCLA 48Similar
Q3 2:22
3RD & 11
OPP 48
+12
81.3%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Trey Griffey for 12 yds to the UCLA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+14
80.0%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Cayleb Jones for 14 yds to the UCLA 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:35
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
78.4%
Anu Solomon pass incomplete to David Richards, broken up by Isaako SavaiinaeaSimilar
Q3 1:20
2ND & 10
OPP 22
0
79.3%
Anu Solomon pass incomplete to Trey GriffeySimilar
Q3 1:19
3RD & 10
OPP 22
0
80.9%
Anu Solomon pass incomplete to DaVonte' NealSimilar
Q3 1:12
4TH & 10
OPP 22
+39
83.0%
Casey Skowron 39 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:1584% → 84%
Q3 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
84.4%
Brett Hundley pass incomplete to Jordan PaytonSimilar
Q3 0:54
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+7
84.3%
Brett Hundley run for 7 yds to the UCLA 29Similar
Q3 0:09
3RD & 3
OWN 29
+1
84.6%
Brett Hundley run for 1 yd to the UCLA 30Similar
Q4 14:53
4TH & 2
OWN 30
0
84.0%
Matt Mengel punt for 41 yds, fair catch by DaVonte' Neal at the Ariz 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · -8 yds · 0:5116% → 13%
Q4 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
84.5%
Nick Wilson run for 2 yds to the Ariz 31Similar
Q4 14:32
2ND & 8
OWN 31
0
84.2%
Anu Solomon pass incomplete to Nick WilsonSimilar
Q4 14:04
3RD & 8
OWN 31
-10
85.9%
Anu Solomon sacked by Owamagbe Odighizuwa for a loss of 10 yards to the Ariz 21Similar
Q4 13:49
4TH & 18
OWN 21
0
87.1%
Drew Riggleman punt for 53 yds, downed at the UCLA 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 21PUNT
8 plays · 22 yds · 2:5986% → 86%
Q4 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-10
85.6%
Starks, Nate rush for 6 yards to the UCLA32, PENALTY UCLA holding (Benenoch, Caleb) 10 yards to the UCLA16, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:20
1ST & 20
OWN 16
0
85.4%
Brett Hundley pass incomplete to Jordan Payton, broken up by Jonathan McKnightSimilar
Q4 13:05
2ND & 20
OWN 16
+4
85.3%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Jordon James for 4 yds to the UCLA 20Similar
Q4 12:25
3RD & 16
OWN 20
+19
85.3%
Brett Hundley run for 19 yds to the UCLA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
87.6%
Nate Starks run for 2 yds to the UCLA 41Similar
Q4 11:30
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+5
87.5%
Nate Starks run for 5 yds to the UCLA 46Similar
Q4 11:02
3RD & 3
OWN 46
+2
87.1%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Jordon James for 2 yds to the UCLA 48Similar
Q4 10:37
4TH & 1
OWN 48
0
86.4%
Matt Mengel punt for 37 yds, downed at the Ariz 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 22FUMBLE
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:4412% → 10%
Q4 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
88.2%
Terris Jones-Grigsby run for 3 yds to the Ariz 18Similar
Q4 10:10
2ND & 7
OWN 18
0
88.6%
Anu Solomon pass incomplete to Cayleb Jones, broken up by Fabian MoreauSimilar
Q4 9:55
3RD & 7
OWN 18
+6
89.2%
Anu Solomon pass complete to David Richards for 6 yds to the Ariz 24Similar
Q4 9:33
4TH & 1
OWN 24
0
90.1%
Drew Riggleman punt for 37 yds , Ishmael Adams returns for no gain to the UCLA 39 Ishmael Adams fumbled, recovered by UCLASimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 23PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 3:2588% → 90%
Q4 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
88.0%
Paul Perkins run for 1 yd to the UCLA 40Similar
Q4 8:57
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+2
89.6%
Paul Perkins run for 2 yds to the UCLA 42Similar
Q4 8:23
3RD & 7
OWN 42
+13
90.0%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Mossi Johnson for 13 yds to the Ariz 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:54
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
91.0%
Paul Perkins run for 5 yds to the Ariz 40Similar
Q4 7:02
2ND & 5
OPP 40
-2
91.6%
Brett Hundley run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ariz 42Similar
Q4 6:20
3RD & 7
OPP 42
-6
91.7%
Brett Hundley sacked by Reggie Gilbert for a loss of 6 yards to the Ariz 48Similar
Q4 6:00
4TH & 13
OPP 48
0
90.3%
Matt Mengel punt for 31 yds, fair catch by DaVonte' Neal at the Ariz 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:288% → 7%
Q4 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
91.9%
Anu Solomon pass incomplete to David Richards, broken up by Anthony JeffersonSimilar
Q4 5:49
2ND & 10
OWN 17
0
92.0%
Anu Solomon pass incomplete to DaVonte' NealSimilar
Q4 5:42
3RD & 10
OWN 17
0
92.6%
Anu Solomon pass incomplete to Cayleb JonesSimilar
Q4 5:24
4TH & 10
OWN 17
+16
93.0%
Drew Riggleman punt for 55 yds , Ishmael Adams returns for 16 yds to the UCLA 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 25FUMBLE
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:4692% → 93%
Q4 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+7
92.3%
Paul Perkins run for 7 yds to the Ariz 49Similar
Q4 4:46
2ND & 3
OPP 49
-2
92.7%
Paul Perkins run for a loss of 2 yards to the UCLA 49Similar
Q4 4:32
3RD & 5
OWN 49
+2
93.4%
Brett Hundley run for 18 yds to the Ariz 35 Brett Hundley fumbled, forced by Tra'Mayne Bondurant, recovered by Ariz Jamar Allah , return for 2 yds to the Ariz 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 26MISSED FG
11 plays · 56 yds · 2:157% → 5%
Q4 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
92.7%
Anu Solomon pass incomplete to Samajie GrantSimilar
Q4 4:05
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+6
92.9%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Cayleb Jones for 6 yds to the Ariz 41Similar
Q4 3:55
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+7
92.2%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Samajie Grant for 7 yds to the Ariz 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+14
92.5%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Trey Griffey for 14 yds to the UCLA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:25
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
92.6%
Anu Solomon pass incomplete to Tyrell JohnsonSimilar
Q4 3:02
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+16
94.0%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Nate Phillips for 16 yds to the UCLA 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+14
93.2%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Trey Griffey for 14 yds to the UCLA 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
93.3%
Nick Wilson run for 3 yds to the UCLA 5Similar
Q4 2:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
93.3%
Anu Solomon pass incomplete to Nate PhillipsSimilar
Q4 2:02
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
-4
93.9%
Anu Solomon sacked by Eric Kendricks for a loss of 4 yards to the UCLA 9Similar
Q4 2:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+39
94.7%
Casey Skowron 26 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Eric Kendricks Anthony Jefferson return for 39 yds to the UCLA 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 27PUNT
7 plays · 6 yds · 0:5996% → 97%
Q4 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
96.3%
Paul Perkins run for 2 yds to the Ariz 49Similar
Q4 1:49
2ND & 8
OPP 49
+1
96.3%
Paul Perkins run for 1 yd to the Ariz 48Similar
Q4 1:03
3RD & 7
OPP 48
+3
96.5%
Paul Perkins run for 3 yds to the Ariz 45Similar
Q4 0:55
4TH & 4
OPP 45
0
96.6%
Matt Mengel punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ariz 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 28INT
6 plays · 17 yds · 0:413% → 3%
Q4 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
97.1%
Anu Solomon pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:46
2ND & 10
OWN 10
0
97.1%
Anu Solomon pass incomplete to Samajie GrantSimilar
Q4 0:40
3RD & 10
OWN 10
0
97.2%
Anu Solomon pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:20
4TH & 10
OWN 10
+17
97.3%
Anu Solomon pass complete to David Richards for 17 yds to the Ariz 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
96.9%
Anu Solomon pass incomplete to Cayleb JonesSimilar
Q4 0:06
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+8
97.0%
Anu Solomon pass intercepted Tahaan Goodman return for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 29END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
50
-1
97.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 5:34
Paul Perkins 5 Yd Run (Ka'imi Fairbairn Kick)
+15.4
TD · Q3 4:44
Jordan Payton 70 Yd pass from Brett Hundley (Ka'imi Fairbairn Kick)
+14.7
KEY PLAY · Q3 5:34
Ka'imi Fairbairn kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
-4.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com