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UCLA

UCLA 40 at Colorado 37

COLO
2014 · Week 9 · Oct 25, 2014 · Folsom Field
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Win probability · COLO
modelCOLO aheadUCLA aheadconfidence bandkey playCOLO scoreUCLA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTOT2TDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGFGFGTDEnd of GameFG+24.2COLO 58.3%Will Oliver 35 yd FG GOODAWAY 31 - HOME 31 · Q4 0:36
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Q4 0:36 · Will Oliver 35 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+34.0+17.00−17.0−34.0Q1Q2Q3Q4OTOT2Play 200Pregame prior−0.4Home team on offense+4.6Score differential−1.3Garbage-time factor−1.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q4 7:52: Sefo Liufau pass complete to Bryce Bobo for 3 yds for a TD, (Will Oliver KICK) — COLO win probability +26.6 pts (now 43%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  2. FG · Q4 0:36: Will Oliver 35 yd FG GOOD — COLO win probability +24.2 pts (now 58%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
  3. FG · OT 0:00: Ka'imi Fairbairn 28 yd FG GOOD — UCLA win probability +16.6 pts (now 74%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  4. FG · OT 0:00: Will Oliver 38 yd FG GOOD — COLO win probability +20.8 pts (now 59%) (top driver: defense timeouts not recorded for this play).
  5. TD · OT2 0:00: Brett Hundley run for 8 yds for a TD — UCLA win probability +59.1 pts (now 88%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
COLO made the numbers' call on 6 of 11UCLA made the numbers' call on 7 of 10
  1. Q1 13:10COLO 4th & 1 at COLO 34, tied
    Close callPunted · 22.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.7%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:00COLO 4th & 7 at COLO 49, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.8%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:31UCLA 4th & 1 at UCLA 29, up 7
    Close callPunted · 76.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.8%−0.3
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:12COLO 4th & 13 at COLO 24, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.8%−0.4
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.2%
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:00UCLA 4th & 3 at COLO 13, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 79.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.3%
    50% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    79.0%−0.2
    85% to make
    Punt
    76.3%−2.9
    average punt
  6. Q1 2:03COLO 4th & 3 at COLO 42, down 17
    Close callPunted · 19.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.7%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q1 0:00UCLA 4th & 13 at UCLA 34, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.1%−1.4
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.5%
    average punt
  8. Q2 12:20COLO 4th & 10 at UCLA 47, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.3%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.7%
    average punt
  9. Q2 10:52UCLA 4th & 7 at UCLA 33, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.5%−0.7
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.2%
    average punt
  10. Q2 8:00COLO 4th & 1 at UCLA 24, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 19.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    18.1%−0.8
    68% to make
    Punt
    15.9%−3.0
    average punt
  11. Q3 13:40UCLA 4th & 5 at UCLA 31, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.9%−0.9
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.8%
    average punt
  12. Q3 11:36COLO 4th & 2 at COLO 33, down 10
    Close callPunted · 20.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 9:11UCLA 4th & 9 at UCLA 45, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.8%−1.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.8%
    average punt
  14. Q3 8:04COLO 4th & 2 at COLO 19, down 10
    Close callPunted · 19.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.6%−0.6
    average punt
  15. Q3 6:31UCLA 4th & 3 at UCLA 47, up 10
    Close callPunted · 78.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.0%−0.8
    average punt
  16. Q3 3:57COLO 4th & 1 at COLO 40, down 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.2 ptsPunted · 19.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.8%−2.2
    average punt
  17. Q4 12:59COLO 4th & 2 at UCLA 38, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    6.3%−1.9
    38% to make
    Punt
    6.2%−2.0
    average punt
  18. Q4 11:07UCLA 4th & 7 at UCLA 28, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.8%−1.3
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.2%
    average punt
  19. Q4 6:40UCLA 4th & 3 at UCLA 32, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.2%−0.5
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.7%
    average punt
  20. Q4 2:55UCLA 4th & 1 at COLO 22, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 78.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    77.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    71.4%−6.0
    72% to make
    Punt
    53.5%−23.9
    average punt
  21. Q4 0:36COLO 4th & 3 at UCLA 18, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 36.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.5%−13.7
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    42.2%
    79% to make
    Punt
    11.7%−30.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
COLO made the numbers' call on 3 of 4UCLA made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 12:47UCLA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:22UCLA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 6:12COLO Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    22.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    22.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 4:48UCLA Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 1:46COLO Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    22.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    22.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 1:22UCLA Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 12:59COLO Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    16.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    16.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 7:52COLO Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    30.4%−0.5
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.9%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
COLODrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:3017% → 17%
Q1 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
16.5%
Tony Jones run for 1 yd to the Colo 26Similar
Q1 14:20
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+1
16.7%
Sefo Liufau run for 1 yd to the Colo 27Similar
Q1 13:40
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+7
17.0%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Tony Jones for 7 yds to the Colo 34Similar
Q1 13:10
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+7
17.2%
Darragh O'Neill punt for 48 yds , Ishmael Adams returns for 7 yds to the UCLA 41 UCLA Penalty, Illegal Block (NA) to the UCLA 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 2TD
2 plays · 85 yds · 0:1683% → 83%
Q1 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-7
17.3%
UCLA Penalty, Offensive Holding (NA) to the UCLA 8Similar
Q1 12:47
1ST & 17
OWN 8
+92
17.0%
Paul Perkins run for 92 yds for a TD, (Ka'imi Fairbairn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 24 yds · 1:3017% → 17%
Q1 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+21
17.1%
Shay Fields pass complete to D.D. Goodson for 21 yds to the Colo 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
17.3%
Phillip Lindsay run for no gain to the Colo 46Similar
Q1 11:40
2ND & 10
OWN 46
0
17.4%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to Shay FieldsSimilar
Q1 11:20
3RD & 10
OWN 46
+3
17.4%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Phillip Lindsay for 3 yds to the Colo 49Similar
Q1 11:00
4TH & 7
OWN 49
0
17.4%
Darragh O'Neill punt for 31 yds, downed at the UCLA 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:1883% → 82%
Q1 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
17.5%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Devin Lucien for 6 yds to the UCLA 26Similar
Q1 10:25
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+3
17.5%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Devin Lucien for 3 yds to the UCLA 29Similar
Q1 10:05
3RD & 1
OWN 29
0
17.6%
Paul Perkins run for no gain to the UCLA 29Similar
Q1 9:31
4TH & 1
OWN 29
+5
17.9%
Matt Mengel punt for 49 yds , Shay Fields returns for 5 yds to the Colo 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 5PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:5818% → 18%
Q1 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
18.0%
Tony Jones run for 1 yd to the Colo 28Similar
Q1 8:45
2ND & 9
OWN 28
-4
18.0%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Tony Jones for a loss of 4 yards to the Colo 24Similar
Q1 8:18
3RD & 13
OWN 24
0
17.9%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to Bryce BoboSimilar
Q1 8:12
4TH & 13
OWN 24
0
17.9%
Darragh O'Neill punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UCLA 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 6TD
8 plays · 55 yds · 2:4382% → 84%
Q1 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
17.8%
Brett Hundley pass incomplete to Mossi JohnsonSimilar
Q1 7:50
2ND & 10
OWN 45
-1
17.9%
Paul Perkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 44Similar
Q1 7:25
3RD & 11
OWN 44
+12
18.0%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Devin Fuller for 12 yds to the Colo 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:55
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
17.8%
Paul Perkins run for 6 yds to the Colo 38Similar
Q1 6:15
2ND & 4
OPP 38
+2
18.0%
Paul Perkins run for 2 yds to the Colo 36Similar
Q1 5:54
3RD & 2
OPP 36
+16
18.1%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Mossi Johnson for 16 yds to the Colo 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:29
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
18.1%
Brett Hundley pass incomplete to Mossi JohnsonSimilar
Q1 5:22
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+20
16.0%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Jordan Payton for 20 yds for a TD, (Ka'imi Fairbairn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 7INT
3 plays · 11 yds · 0:1217% → 17%
Q1 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
16.9%
Michael Adkins II run for 11 yds to the Colo 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+21
17.1%
Sefo Liufau pass intercepted Eric Kendricks return for 21 yds to the Colo 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 8FG
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:4284% → 85%
Q1 4:42
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
16.0%
Brett Hundley pass incomplete to Nate IeseSimilar
Q1 4:25
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+7
16.0%
Paul Perkins run for 7 yds to the Colo 13Similar
Q1 4:04
3RD & 3
OPP 13
0
16.1%
Brett Hundley pass incomplete to Jordan PaytonSimilar
Q1 4:00
4TH & 3
OPP 13
+31
15.1%
Ka'imi Fairbairn 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 1:5015% → 16%
Q1 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
15.0%
UCLA Penalty, Defensive Holding (Fabian Moreau) to the Colo 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-10
15.1%
COLORADO Penalty, Offensive Holding (Gerrad Kough) to the Colo 25Similar
Q1 3:25
1ST & 20
OWN 25
+10
14.9%
Michael Adkins II run for 10 yds to the Colo 35Similar
Q1 2:55
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+7
15.0%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Nelson Spruce for 7 yds to the Colo 42Similar
Q1 2:17
3RD & 3
OWN 42
0
15.5%
Sefo Liufau pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:03
4TH & 3
OWN 42
+11
15.5%
Darragh O'Neill punt for 48 yds , Ishmael Adams returns for 11 yds to the UCLA 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 13 yds · 1:4585% → 85%
Q1 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+9
14.7%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Devin Fuller for 9 yds to the UCLA 30Similar
Q1 1:25
2ND & 1
OWN 30
+7
14.2%
Brett Hundley run for 7 yds to the UCLA 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
14.2%
Brett Hundley pass incomplete to Devin FullerSimilar
Q1 0:35
2ND & 10
OWN 37
-10
14.1%
UCLA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jake Brendel) to the UCLA 27Similar
Q1 0:26
2ND & 20
OWN 27
0
14.3%
Brett Hundley pass incomplete to Devin FullerSimilar
Q1 0:05
3RD & 20
OWN 27
+7
14.4%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Ahmaad Harris for 7 yds to the UCLA 34Similar
Q1 0:00
4TH & 13
OWN 34
0
15.0%
Adam Searl punt for 59 yds, downed at the Colo 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 11PUNT
10 plays · 45 yds · 2:0015% → 15%
Q2 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+7
14.9%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Shay Fields for 7 yds to the Colo 15Similar
Q2 14:00
2ND & 3
OWN 15
+4
14.9%
Sefo Liufau run for 4 yds to the Colo 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+9
14.9%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Kyle Slavin for 9 yds to the Colo 28Similar
Q2 13:20
2ND & 1
OWN 28
+14
15.2%
Phillip Lindsay run for 14 yds to the Colo 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+8
15.5%
Phillip Lindsay run for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 12:40
2ND & 2
50
+3
15.7%
Tony Jones run for 3 yds to the UCLA 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:35
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
15.7%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to Kyle SlavinSimilar
Q2 12:28
2ND & 10
OPP 47
0
15.7%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to Tyler McCullochSimilar
Q2 12:25
3RD & 10
OPP 47
0
15.5%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to D.D. GoodsonSimilar
Q2 12:20
4TH & 10
OPP 47
0
15.2%
Darragh O'Neill punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Ishmael Adams at the UCLA 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 1:0886% → 86%
Q2 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
13.6%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Mossi Johnson for 3 yds to the UCLA 18Similar
Q2 11:40
2ND & 7
OWN 18
+12
13.5%
Brett Hundley run for 12 yds to the UCLA 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
13.4%
Paul Perkins run for 3 yds to the UCLA 33Similar
Q2 11:25
2ND & 7
OWN 33
0
13.4%
Brett Hundley pass incomplete to Paul PerkinsSimilar
Q2 11:20
3RD & 7
OWN 33
0
13.5%
Brett Hundley pass incomplete to Jordan PaytonSimilar
Q2 10:52
4TH & 7
OWN 33
0
13.6%
Matt Mengel punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Shay Fields at the Colo 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 13TD
15 plays · 70 yds · 4:3315% → 21%
Q2 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
14.6%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to Nelson SpruceSimilar
Q2 10:20
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+10
14.5%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Tony Jones for 10 yds to the Colo 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+27
15.0%
Tony Jones run for 27 yds to the UCLA 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:40
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
15.8%
Tony Jones run for no gain to the UCLA 33Similar
Q2 9:20
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+1
15.6%
Michael Adkins II run for 1 yd to the UCLA 32Similar
Q2 8:40
3RD & 9
OPP 32
+8
15.3%
Michael Adkins II run for 8 yds to the UCLA 24Similar
Q2 8:00
4TH & 1
OPP 24
+2
16.0%
Michael Adkins II run for 2 yds to the UCLA 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:20
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+20
16.2%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Tony Jones for 20 yds to the UCLA 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
16.5%
Tony Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 3Similar
Q2 7:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
16.2%
COLORADO Penalty, False Start (Daniel Munyer) to the UCLA 8Similar
Q2 7:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
15.9%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to Nelson SpruceSimilar
Q2 7:02
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
15.6%
UCLA Penalty, Roughing Passer (Ellis McCarthy) to the UCLA 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
15.9%
Tony Jones run for 3 yds to the UCLA 1Similar
Q2 6:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
20.9%
Tony Jones run for 1 yd for a TD, (Will Oliver KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 14TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 1:1281% → 89%
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
19.2%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Mossi Johnson for 14 yds to the UCLA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
18.3%
Brett Hundley pass incomplete to Mossi JohnsonSimilar
Q2 5:40
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+15
18.6%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Eldridge Massington for 15 yds to the Colo 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:20
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+12
18.3%
Jordon James run for 12 yds to the Colo 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+10
17.6%
Paul Perkins run for 10 yds to the Colo 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:48
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
11.0%
Paul Perkins run for 24 yds for a TD, (Ka'imi Fairbairn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 15TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 2:4914% → 21%
Q2 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
13.5%
Sefo Liufau run for 6 yds to the Colo 31Similar
Q2 4:05
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+7
13.8%
Michael Adkins II run for 7 yds to the Colo 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+15
14.1%
UCLA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Ishmael Adams) to the UCLA 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:16
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+10
14.4%
UCLA Penalty, Defensive Holding (Ishmael Adams) to the UCLA 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+11
14.5%
Sefo Liufau run for 11 yds to the UCLA 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:35
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-5
14.7%
COLORADO Penalty, False Start (Alex Kelley) to the UCLA 31Similar
Q2 2:10
1ST & 15
OPP 31
+9
14.5%
Michael Adkins II run for 9 yds to the UCLA 22Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 6
OPP 22
+5
14.8%
UCLA Penalty, Defensive Offside (Owamagbe Odighizuwa) to the UCLA 17Similar
Q2 1:46
2ND & 1
OPP 17
+17
20.6%
Michael Adkins II run for 17 yds for a TD, (Will Oliver KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 16FUMBLE
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0081% → 81%
Q2 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
19.0%
Brett Hundley run for 7 yds to the UCLA 32 Brett Hundley fumbled, forced by Derek McCartney, recovered by Colo Kenneth OlugbodeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 17END OF HALF
7 plays · 23 yds · 1:1521% → 20%
Q2 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-2
20.7%
Tony Jones run for a loss of 2 yards to the UCLA 34Similar
Q2 0:59
2ND & 12
OPP 34
+10
20.4%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to D.D. Goodson for 10 yds to the UCLA 24Similar
Q2 0:50
3RD & 2
OPP 24
+5
19.0%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Nelson Spruce for 5 yds to the UCLA 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+9
19.9%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Phillip Lindsay for 9 yds to the UCLA 10Similar
Q2 0:23
2ND & 1
OPP 10
+6
19.8%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to D.D. Goodson for 6 yds to the UCLA 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-5
19.7%
COLORADO Penalty, False Start (Stephane Nembot) to the UCLA 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:0081% → 80%
Q3 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
19.3%
Jordon James run for 1 yd to the UCLA 27Similar
Q3 14:20
2ND & 9
OWN 27
+4
19.4%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Eldridge Massington for 4 yds to the UCLA 31Similar
Q3 13:50
3RD & 5
OWN 31
0
19.3%
Brett Hundley pass incomplete to Eldridge MassingtonSimilar
Q3 13:40
4TH & 5
OWN 31
0
20.2%
Adam Searl punt for 44 yds , Shay Fields returns for no gain to the Colo 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:4919% → 18%
Q3 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
18.6%
Donovan Lee run for 1 yd to the Colo 26Similar
Q3 12:45
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-1
18.4%
Michael Adkins II run for a loss of 1 yard to the Colo 25Similar
Q3 11:50
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+8
17.6%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Nelson Spruce for 8 yds to the Colo 33Similar
Q3 11:36
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
18.0%
Darragh O'Neill punt for 48 yds, downed at the UCLA 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 26 yds · 2:0981% → 80%
Q3 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+9
19.1%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Devin Fuller for 9 yds to the UCLA 28Similar
Q3 11:00
2ND & 1
OWN 28
+16
18.5%
Brett Hundley run for 16 yds to the UCLA 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
18.0%
Paul Perkins run for 1 yd to the UCLA 45Similar
Q3 10:10
2ND & 9
OWN 45
+6
18.0%
Brett Hundley run for 6 yds to the Colo 49Similar
Q3 9:50
3RD & 3
OPP 49
-15
18.6%
UCLA Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (Mossi Johnson) to the UCLA 36Similar
Q3 9:30
3RD & 18
OWN 36
+9
19.9%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Devin Lucien for 9 yds to the UCLA 45Similar
Q3 9:11
4TH & 9
OWN 45
0
19.6%
Matt Mengel punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Nelson Spruce at the Colo 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:0218% → 17%
Q3 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
18.3%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to Nelson SpruceSimilar
Q3 8:50
2ND & 10
OWN 11
+8
18.3%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Tyler McCulloch for 8 yds to the Colo 19Similar
Q3 8:13
3RD & 2
OWN 19
0
17.8%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to Shay FieldsSimilar
Q3 8:04
4TH & 2
OWN 19
0
17.3%
Darragh O'Neill punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UCLA 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:0982% → 81%
Q3 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
18.2%
Paul Perkins run for 2 yds to the UCLA 42Similar
Q3 7:10
2ND & 8
OWN 42
-3
17.8%
Paul Perkins run for a loss of 3 yards to the UCLA 39Similar
Q3 6:50
3RD & 11
OWN 39
+8
18.9%
Brett Hundley run for 8 yds to the UCLA 47Similar
Q3 6:31
4TH & 3
OWN 47
0
19.0%
Adam Searl punt for 53 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 23PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 2:1818% → 17%
Q3 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
17.5%
Michael Adkins II run for no gain to the Colo 20Similar
Q3 6:00
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+11
17.5%
Michael Adkins II run for 11 yds to the Colo 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
18.1%
Michael Adkins II run for 4 yds to the Colo 35Similar
Q3 5:00
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+3
18.1%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Tony Jones for 3 yds to the Colo 38Similar
Q3 4:30
3RD & 3
OWN 38
+2
18.0%
Tony Jones run for 2 yds to the Colo 40Similar
Q3 3:57
4TH & 1
OWN 40
0
17.3%
Darragh O'Neill punt for 40 yds, downed at the UCLA 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 24TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 2:2382% → 94%
Q3 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
17.6%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Devin Fuller for 8 yds to the UCLA 28Similar
Q3 3:30
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+4
17.0%
Paul Perkins run for 4 yds to the UCLA 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+17
17.2%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Devin Fuller for 2 yds to the UCLA 34 for a 1ST down COLORADO Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Terrel Smith) to the UCLA 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+11
15.9%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Jordan Payton for 11 yds to the Colo 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:35
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+13
15.7%
Paul Perkins run for 13 yds to the Colo 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
15.1%
Paul Perkins run for 3 yds to the Colo 24Similar
Q3 1:51
2ND & 7
OPP 24
+21
15.1%
Brett Hundley run for 21 yds to the Colo 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
14.9%
Brett Hundley pass incomplete to Alex Van DykeSimilar
Q3 1:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
5.9%
Myles Jack run for 3 yds for a TD, (Ka'imi Fairbairn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 25TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:119% → 17%
Q3 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
9.4%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Nelson Spruce for 4 yds to the Colo 29Similar
Q3 1:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
9.5%
UCLA Penalty, Defensive Offside (Owamagbe Odighizuwa) to the Colo 34Similar
Q3 0:30
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+7
9.1%
Michael Adkins II run for 7 yds to the Colo 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
9.3%
Michael Adkins II run for 2 yds to the Colo 43Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 8
OWN 43
0
9.3%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to Tyler McCullochSimilar
Q4 14:40
3RD & 8
OWN 43
+11
8.9%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Nelson Spruce for 11 yds to the UCLA 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:10
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+9
8.5%
Donovan Lee run for 9 yds to the UCLA 37Similar
Q4 13:45
2ND & 1
OPP 37
-1
8.1%
Tony Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 38Similar
Q4 13:09
3RD & 2
OPP 38
0
8.0%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to Bryce BoboSimilar
Q4 12:59
4TH & 2
OPP 38
+38
17.2%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Bryce Bobo for 38 yds for a TD, (Will Oliver KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 26PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 1:3884% → 84%
Q4 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-6
15.8%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Devin Fuller for a loss of 6 yards to the UCLA 19Similar
Q4 12:00
2ND & 16
OWN 19
+5
16.3%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Devin Lucien for 5 yds to the UCLA 24Similar
Q4 11:50
3RD & 11
OWN 24
-5
16.9%
UCLA Penalty, False Start (Malcolm Bunche) to the UCLA 19Similar
Q4 11:15
3RD & 16
OWN 19
+9
15.7%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Paul Perkins for 9 yds to the UCLA 28Similar
Q4 11:07
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
15.7%
Matt Mengel punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Shay Fields at the Colo 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 27TD
8 plays · 64 yds · 2:5816% → 43%
Q4 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+10
16.0%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Tyler McCulloch for 10 yds to the Colo 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
14.7%
Tony Jones run for 2 yds to the Colo 48Similar
Q4 10:00
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+2
14.2%
Sefo Liufau run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 9:20
3RD & 6
50
+28
14.1%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Nelson Spruce for 28 yds to the UCLA 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:53
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+8
17.0%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Bryce Bobo for 8 yds to the UCLA 14Similar
Q4 8:25
2ND & 2
OPP 14
+3
16.4%
Michael Adkins II run for 3 yds to the UCLA 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:55
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+8
16.4%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Kyle Slavin for 8 yds to the UCLA 3Similar
Q4 7:52
2ND & 2
OPP 3
+3
43.0%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Bryce Bobo for 3 yds for a TD, (Will Oliver KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 28PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:0071% → 70%
Q4 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
28.8%
Brett Hundley run for 5 yds to the UCLA 30Similar
Q4 7:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
26.5%
Paul Perkins run for 2 yds to the UCLA 32Similar
Q4 6:47
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
27.5%
Brett Hundley pass incomplete to Jordan PaytonSimilar
Q4 6:40
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
29.7%
Adam Searl punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Shay Fields at the Colo 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 29INT
3 plays · 16 yds · 0:4234% → 36%
Q4 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+19
34.4%
Michael Adkins II run for 19 yds to the Colo 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-3
39.2%
Michael Adkins II run for a loss of 3 yards to the Colo 46Similar
Q4 5:48
2ND & 13
OWN 46
+9
35.8%
Sefo Liufau pass intercepted Marcus Rios return for 9 yds to the UCLA 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 30DOWNS
8 plays · 30 yds · 2:2578% → 78%
Q4 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
22.2%
Brett Hundley run for 3 yds to the Colo 49Similar
Q4 5:00
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+3
21.5%
Paul Perkins run for 3 yds to the Colo 46Similar
Q4 4:30
3RD & 4
OPP 46
+15
21.6%
COLORADO Penalty, Roughing Passer (NA) to the Colo 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:10
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
18.7%
Jordon James run for 3 yds to the Colo 28Similar
Q4 3:40
2ND & 7
OPP 28
+6
18.4%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Jordan Payton for 6 yds to the Colo 22Similar
Q4 3:05
3RD & 1
OPP 22
0
18.1%
Jordon James run for no gain to the Colo 22Similar
Q4 2:55
4TH & 1
OPP 22
0
21.8%
Eddie Vanderdoes run for no gain to the Colo 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 31FG
11 plays · 59 yds · 2:0432% → 58%
Q4 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
31.9%
Tony Jones run for no gain to the Colo 23Similar
Q4 2:20
2ND & 9
OWN 23
+7
31.3%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Shay Fields for 7 yds to the Colo 30Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 2
OWN 30
+10
31.6%
UCLA Penalty, Defensive Holding (Marcus Rios) to the Colo 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+12
34.2%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to D.D. Goodson for 12 yds to the UCLA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:25
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+12
35.9%
Tony Jones run for 12 yds to the UCLA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+11
35.2%
Tony Jones run for 11 yds to the UCLA 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:09
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
41.6%
Sefo Liufau run for 2 yds to the UCLA 23Similar
Q4 0:50
2ND & 8
OPP 23
+5
37.0%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Bryce Bobo for 5 yds to the UCLA 18Similar
Q4 0:41
3RD & 3
OPP 18
0
34.1%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to Bryce BoboSimilar
Q4 0:36
4TH & 3
OPP 18
+35
58.3%
Will Oliver 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 32END OF GAME
8 plays · 20 yds · 0:2952% → 46%
Q4 0:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
48.5%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Jordan Payton for 17 yds to the UCLA 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
43.8%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Paul Perkins for 3 yds to the UCLA 45Similar
Q4 0:17
2ND & 7
OWN 45
0
45.2%
Brett Hundley pass incomplete to Jordan PaytonSimilar
Q4 0:17
3RD & 7
OWN 45
-5
47.0%
UCLA Penalty, False Start (Scott Quessenberry) to the UCLA 40Similar
Q4 0:05
3RD & 12
OWN 40
-10
51.2%
UCLA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Caleb Benenoch) to the UCLA 30Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 22
OWN 30
+15
54.2%
Paul Perkins run for 15 yds to the UCLA 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 33FG
7 plays · 15 yds · 0:0060% → 74%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
40.5%
Brett Hundley pass incomplete to Jordan PaytonSimilar
OT 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 25
0
41.1%
Brett Hundley pass incomplete to Jordan PaytonSimilar
OT 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 25
+11
43.7%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Jordan Payton for 11 yds to the Colo 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+7
40.5%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Devin Fuller for 7 yds to the Colo 7Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 3
OPP 7
0
40.5%
Brett Hundley run for no gain to the Colo 7Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 3
OPP 7
-3
42.7%
Paul Perkins run for a loss of 3 yards to the Colo 10Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & 6
OPP 10
+28
26.1%
Ka'imi Fairbairn 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 34FG
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0041% → 59%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
41.3%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to D.D. Goodson for 4 yds to the UCLA 21Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 21
0
41.3%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to Nelson SpruceSimilar
OT 0:00
3RD & 6
OPP 21
0
37.8%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to Tony JonesSimilar
OT 0:00
4TH & 6
OPP 21
+38
58.6%
Will Oliver 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 35FG
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0065% → 79%
OT2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+7
64.7%
Tony Jones run for 7 yds to the UCLA 18Similar
OT2 0:00
2ND & 3
OPP 18
+2
64.7%
Tony Jones run for 2 yds to the UCLA 16Similar
OT2 0:00
3RD & 1
OPP 16
0
62.3%
Sefo Liufau pass incompleteSimilar
OT2 0:00
4TH & 1
OPP 16
+34
78.8%
Will Oliver 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 36TD
2 plays · 25 yds · 0:0029% → 88%
OT2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+17
70.9%
Brett Hundley run for 17 yds to the Colo 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT2 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
11.8%
Brett Hundley run for 8 yds for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · OT2 0:00
Brett Hundley run for 8 yds for a TD
-59.1
TD · Q4 7:52
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Bryce Bobo for 3 yds for a TD, (Will Oliver KICK)
+26.6
FG · Q4 0:36
Will Oliver 35 yd FG GOOD
+24.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com