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USC

USC 21 at Utah 24

UTAH
2014 · Week 9 · Oct 25, 2014 · Rice-Eccles Stadium
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Win probability · UTAH
modelUTAH aheadUSC aheadconfidence bandkey playUTAH scoreUSC score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FUMBLETDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 7:00 · Tom Hackett punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Nelson Agholor at the USC 11
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+27.0+13.50−13.5−27.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 156Home team on offense−7.4Pregame prior−0.7Garbage-time factor−5.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.5Score differential−1.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 10:11: JuJu Smith 10 Yd pass from Cody Kessler (Andre Heidari Kick) — USC win probability +1.2 pts (now 56%) (top driver: USC has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 0:49: Devontae Booker run for 24 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK) — UTAH win probability +24.1 pts (now 67%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 10:18: Cody Kessler pass complete to Darreus Rogers for 4 yds for a TD, (Andre Heidari KICK) — USC win probability +30.1 pts (now 74%) (top driver: USC has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 0:08: Travis Wilson pass complete to Kaelin Clay for 1 yd for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK) — UTAH win probability +58.2 pts (now 96%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  5. SACK · Q4 0:00: Cody Kessler sacked by Nate Orchard and Hunter Dimick for a loss of 6 yards to the USC 22 — USC win probability +12.8 pts (now 18%) (top driver: USC has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UTAH made the numbers' call on 8 of 8USC made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q2 13:23USC 4th & 1 at UTAH 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 48.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    48.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    47.0%−1.0
    62% to make
    Punt
    44.6%−3.4
    average punt
  2. Q2 10:44UTAH 4th & 7 at UTAH 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.6%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.9%
    average punt
  3. Q2 9:16USC 4th & 4 at USC 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.2%−0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.3%
    average punt
  4. Q2 5:08UTAH 4th & 7 at USC 7, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 55.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.6%−0.4
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    55.0%
    91% to make
    Punt
    49.6%−5.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 1:25UTAH 4th & 16 at UTAH 40, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.8%−1.5
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:47USC 4th & 6 at USC 23, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.3%−2.4
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:22UTAH 4th & 14 at UTAH 29, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.4%−2.3
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.8%
    average punt
  8. Q3 14:18UTAH 4th & 7 at UTAH 28, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.3%−1.3
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.6%
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:36USC 4th & 1 at USC 43, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.5 ptsPunted · 54.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.4%−2.5
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:54UTAH 4th & 12 at UTAH 24, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.5%−3.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.7%
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:30USC 4th & 4 at USC 39, up 4
    Close callPunted · 54.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.5%−0.3
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:08UTAH 4th & 10 at UTAH 34, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.1%−2.5
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.6%
    average punt
  13. Q3 4:50USC 4th & 16 at USC 14, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.2%−5.7
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.9%
    average punt
  14. Q4 7:00UTAH 4th & 11 at USC 47, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.3%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.3%
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:08USC 4th & 2 at UTAH 28, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 83.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    82.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    80.1%−2.5
    60% to make
    Punt
    69.4%−13.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UTAH made the numbers' call on 2 of 2USC made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 10:11USC Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 0:49UTAH Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 10:18USC Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 0:08UTAH Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.9%−2.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
USCDrive 1FUMBLE TD
3 plays · 16 yds · 0:2857% → 56%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+23
43.5%
Cody Kessler pass complete to JuJu Smith for 23 yds to the USC 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:27
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+53
43.8%
Darreus Rogers run for a loss of 7 yards Darreus Rogers fumbled, recovered by Utah Davion Orphey , return for 53 yds, (Andy Phillips KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 2TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:1056% → 56%
Q1 14:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
43.9%
Javorius Allen run for 8 yds to the USC 33Similar
Q1 14:00
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+1
44.1%
Javorius Allen run for 1 yd to the USC 34Similar
Q1 13:36
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+5
44.3%
Javorius Allen run for 5 yds to the USC 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+19
44.6%
Cody Kessler pass complete to Nelson Agholor for 19 yds to the Utah 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:48
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+21
44.7%
Cody Kessler pass complete to Randall Telfer for 21 yds to the Utah 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:57
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+4
44.9%
Javorius Allen run for 4 yds to the Utah 17Similar
Q1 11:50
2ND & 6
OPP 17
-5
45.0%
USC Penalty, False Start (Viane Talamaivao) to the Utah 22Similar
Q1 11:23
2ND & 11
OPP 22
+15
45.3%
Cody Kessler pass complete to JuJu Smith for 15 yds to the Utah 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
45.3%
Max Browne pass incomplete to Bryce Dixon, broken up by Eric RoweSimilar
Q1 10:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
-3
45.5%
Javorius Allen run for a loss of 3 yards to the Utah 10Similar
Q1 10:11
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
44.3%
JuJu Smith 10 Yd pass from Cody Kessler (Andre Heidari Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 3FUMBLE
15 plays · 74 yds · 5:2445% → 47%
Q1 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
45.0%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Westlee Tonga for 12 yds to the Utah 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:09
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+17
45.4%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Tim Patrick for 17 yds to the USC 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:57
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
45.9%
Devontae Booker run for no gain to the USC 46Similar
Q1 8:26
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
46.0%
Travis Wilson pass incomplete to Tim PatrickSimilar
Q1 8:13
3RD & 10
OPP 46
+18
45.6%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Westlee Tonga for 18 yds to the USC 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:48
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
46.5%
Travis Wilson run for 3 yds to the USC 25Similar
Q1 7:23
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+1
46.5%
Devontae Booker run for 1 yd to the USC 24Similar
Q1 6:46
3RD & 6
OPP 24
+7
46.5%
Devontae Booker run for 7 yds to the USC 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+5
47.0%
Devontae Booker run for 5 yds to the USC 12Similar
Q1 5:59
2ND & 5
OPP 12
+4
47.1%
Travis Wilson run for 4 yds to the USC 8Similar
Q1 5:50
3RD & 1
OPP 8
+4
46.8%
Devontae Booker run for 4 yds to the USC 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
47.5%
Devontae Booker run for no gain to the USC 4 Devontae Booker fumbled, recovered by Utah Isaac AsiataSimilar
Q1 4:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
47.6%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Westlee Tonga for 3 yds to the USC 1Similar
Q1 4:31
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
47.2%
Devontae Booker run for no gain to the USC 1 Devontae Booker fumbled, forced by J.R. Tavai, recovered by USC Leon McQuaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 4FUMBLE
16 plays · 70 yds · 5:5854% → 54%
Q1 4:21
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+5
46.2%
Javorius Allen run for 5 yds to the USC 6Similar
Q1 3:34
2ND & 5
OWN 6
-1
46.5%
Javorius Allen run for a loss of 1 yard to the USC 5Similar
Q1 2:55
3RD & 6
OWN 5
+16
47.1%
Cody Kessler pass complete to Darreus Rogers for 16 yds to the USC 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
46.3%
Cody Kessler pass incomplete to Javorius AllenSimilar
Q1 2:25
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+3
46.1%
Cody Kessler pass complete to JuJu Smith for 3 yds to the USC 24Similar
Q1 2:20
3RD & 7
OWN 24
+19
46.5%
Cody Kessler pass complete to JuJu Smith for 19 yds to the USC 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-15
45.1%
Kessler, Cody pass incomplete to Davis, Justin, PENALTY USC personal foul (Tuerk, Max) 15 yards to the USC28, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:00
1ST & 25
OWN 28
+9
46.1%
Cody Kessler pass complete to Javorius Allen for 9 yds to the USC 37Similar
Q1 0:56
2ND & 16
OWN 37
+7
46.4%
Cody Kessler pass complete to JuJu Smith for 7 yds to the USC 44Similar
Q1 0:45
3RD & 9
OWN 44
-5
45.9%
USC Penalty, False Start (Zach Banner) to the USC 39Similar
Q1 0:30
3RD & 14
OWN 39
+15
46.6%
Cody Kessler pass complete to Nelson Agholor for 15 yds to the Utah 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+10
45.0%
Javorius Allen run for 10 yds to the Utah 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:47
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
45.0%
Javorius Allen run for 3 yds to the Utah 33Similar
Q2 14:02
2ND & 7
OPP 33
+6
44.4%
Cody Kessler pass complete to Nelson Agholor for 6 yds to the Utah 27Similar
Q2 13:28
3RD & 1
OPP 27
0
45.1%
Javorius Allen run for no gain to the Utah 27Similar
Q2 13:23
4TH & 1
OPP 27
0
45.9%
Cody Kessler run for no gain to the Utah 29 Cody Kessler fumbled, recovered by USC Cody KesslerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 2:3448% → 48%
Q2 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
48.2%
Travis Wilson pass incomplete to Tim PatrickSimilar
Q2 12:55
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+12
48.1%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Dres Anderson for 12 yds to the Utah 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:26
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
49.5%
Devontae Booker run for 3 yds to the Utah 44Similar
Q2 11:58
2ND & 7
OWN 44
-2
50.1%
Travis Wilson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Utah 42Similar
Q2 11:45
3RD & 9
OWN 42
+5
48.5%
Wilson, Travis pass complete to Anderson, Dres for 8 yards to the 50 yardline, PENALTY USC offside (Felix, Scott) 5 yards to the UTAH47, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:20
3RD & 4
OWN 47
-3
49.7%
Travis Wilson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Utah 44Similar
Q2 10:44
4TH & 7
OWN 44
0
48.3%
Tom Hackett punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the USC 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:0152% → 51%
Q2 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+3
47.9%
Justin Davis run for 3 yds to the USC 11Similar
Q2 9:41
2ND & 7
OWN 11
+3
47.6%
Cody Kessler pass complete to Jahleel Pinner for 3 yds to the USC 14Similar
Q2 9:24
3RD & 4
OWN 14
0
48.3%
Cody Kessler pass incomplete to Justin Davis, broken up by Davion OrpheySimilar
Q2 9:16
4TH & 4
OWN 14
0
49.2%
Kris Albarado punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 7FG
13 plays · 43 yds · 3:4952% → 54%
Q2 8:57
1ST & 10
50
+4
51.6%
Bubba Poole run for 4 yds to the USC 46Similar
Q2 8:32
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+15
51.9%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Westlee Tonga for 15 yds to the USC 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:04
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
52.5%
Travis Wilson pass incomplete to Dres Anderson, broken up by Kevon SeymourSimilar
Q2 7:43
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+12
52.5%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Kaelin Clay for 12 yds to the USC 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:30
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
52.7%
Travis Wilson pass incomplete to Kaelin ClaySimilar
Q2 7:06
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+3
52.8%
Bubba Poole run for 3 yds to the USC 16Similar
Q2 6:30
3RD & 7
OPP 16
+8
52.2%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Dres Anderson for 8 yds to the USC 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-1
53.2%
Bubba Poole run for a loss of 1 yard to the USC 9Similar
Q2 5:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
54.8%
Bubba Poole run for 2 yds to the USC 7 Bubba Poole fumbled, forced by Leonard Williams, recovered by Utah Tim PatrickSimilar
Q2 5:12
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
52.7%
Travis Wilson pass incomplete to Tim PatrickSimilar
Q2 5:08
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+24
53.9%
Andy Phillips 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 8PUNT
11 plays · 27 yds · 3:0743% → 43%
Q2 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+6
43.2%
Travis Wilson run for 6 yds to the Utah 19Similar
Q2 4:04
2ND & 4
OWN 19
+7
43.3%
Devontae Booker run for 7 yds to the Utah 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
43.6%
Devontae Booker run for 4 yds to the Utah 30Similar
Q2 3:05
2ND & 6
OWN 30
+16
43.7%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Westlee Tonga for 16 yds to the Utah 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
45.9%
Devontae Booker run for 2 yds to the Utah 48Similar
Q2 1:45
2ND & 8
OWN 48
-11
46.0%
Travis Wilson sacked by Su'a Cravens for a loss of 11 yards to the Utah 37Similar
Q2 1:35
3RD & 19
OWN 37
+3
42.1%
Devontae Booker run for 3 yds to the Utah 40Similar
Q2 1:25
4TH & 16
OWN 40
0
43.0%
Tom Hackett punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the USC 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:3557% → 56%
Q2 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
43.2%
Javorius Allen run for 4 yds to the USC 23Similar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 6
OWN 23
0
42.4%
Cody Kessler pass incomplete to JuJu SmithSimilar
Q2 0:54
3RD & 6
OWN 23
0
43.3%
Javorius Allen run for no gain to the USC 23Similar
Q2 0:47
4TH & 6
OWN 23
0
44.0%
Kris Albarado punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Kaelin Clay at the Utah 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:1942% → 41%
Q2 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
41.7%
Travis Wilson pass incomplete to Dres AndersonSimilar
Q2 0:36
2ND & 10
OWN 33
0
41.6%
Travis Wilson pass incomplete to Dres AndersonSimilar
Q2 0:32
3RD & 10
OWN 33
-4
40.3%
Devontae Booker run for a loss of 4 yards to the Utah 29Similar
Q2 0:22
4TH & 14
OWN 29
+2
40.8%
Tom Hackett punt for 53 yds , Adoree' Jackson returns for 2 yds to the USC 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 11END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0058% → 58%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
42.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the USC 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:3543% → 41%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
43.3%
Travis Wilson run for 3 yds to the Utah 28Similar
Q3 14:36
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
43.5%
Travis Wilson pass incomplete to Dres Anderson, broken up by Antwaun WoodsSimilar
Q3 14:24
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
42.1%
Travis Wilson pass incomplete to Dres Anderson, broken up by Kevon SeymourSimilar
Q3 14:18
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
41.3%
Tom Hackett punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the USC 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:2159% → 59%
Q3 13:57
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
40.9%
Javorius Allen run for 1 yd to the USC 35Similar
Q3 13:27
2ND & 9
OWN 35
+6
40.9%
Javorius Allen run for 6 yds to the USC 41Similar
Q3 12:52
3RD & 3
OWN 41
+2
39.9%
Javorius Allen run for 2 yds to the USC 43Similar
Q3 12:36
4TH & 1
OWN 43
+67
41.5%
Kris Albarado punt for 57 yds for a touchback UTAH Penalty, Offensive Holding (Eric Rowe)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 1:1643% → 40%
Q3 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+16
42.5%
Travis Wilson run for 16 yds to the Utah 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-5
43.0%
UTAH Penalty, False Start (Junior Salt) to the Utah 21Similar
Q3 11:20
1ST & 15
OWN 21
+3
42.5%
Devontae Booker run for 3 yds to the Utah 24Similar
Q3 11:07
2ND & 12
OWN 24
0
42.5%
Travis Wilson pass incomplete to Westlee Tonga, broken up by Su'a CravensSimilar
Q3 11:02
3RD & 12
OWN 24
0
41.0%
Travis Wilson pass incomplete to Kaelin Clay, broken up by John PlattenburgSimilar
Q3 10:54
4TH & 12
OWN 24
0
40.4%
Tom Hackett punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Nelson Agholor at the USC 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:0159% → 58%
Q3 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
40.7%
Cody Kessler pass complete to Nelson Agholor for 4 yds to the USC 37Similar
Q3 9:43
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+2
40.0%
Javorius Allen run for 2 yds to the USC 39Similar
Q3 9:39
3RD & 4
OWN 39
0
39.8%
Cody Kessler pass incomplete to Nelson AgholorSimilar
Q3 9:30
4TH & 4
OWN 39
0
42.2%
Kris Albarado punt for 61 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 3:0343% → 38%
Q3 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
42.7%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Westlee Tonga for 7 yds to the Utah 27Similar
Q3 8:36
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+7
42.7%
Devontae Booker run for 7 yds to the Utah 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-11
41.3%
Travis Wilson sacked by Su'a Cravens for a loss of 11 yards to the Utah 23Similar
Q3 7:01
2ND & 21
OWN 23
+1
40.0%
Travis Wilson run for 1 yd to the Utah 24Similar
Q3 6:45
3RD & 20
OWN 24
+10
38.6%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Kaelin Clay for 10 yds to the Utah 34Similar
Q3 6:08
4TH & 10
OWN 34
0
38.2%
Tom Hackett punt for 66 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 1:1262% → 58%
Q3 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
38.4%
Cody Kessler pass incomplete to JuJu SmithSimilar
Q3 5:19
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-6
38.8%
Cody Kessler sacked by Hunter Dimick for a loss of 6 yards to the USC 14Similar
Q3 5:08
3RD & 16
OWN 14
0
41.3%
Cody Kessler pass incomplete to Steven MitchellSimilar
Q3 4:50
4TH & 16
OWN 14
+51
41.8%
Kris Albarado punt for 53 yds , Kaelin Clay returns for 51 yds to the USC 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 18FUMBLE
3 plays · 15 yds · 0:5447% → 43%
Q3 4:43
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+6
47.1%
Devontae Booker run for 6 yds to the USC 10Similar
Q3 4:25
2ND & 4
OPP 10
-2
47.2%
Devontae Booker run for a loss of 2 yards to the USC 12Similar
Q3 3:49
3RD & 6
OPP 12
+11
43.1%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Tim Patrick for 11 yds Tim Patrick fumbled, forced by Adoree' Jackson, recovered by USC Adoree' JacksonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 19INT
4 plays · 15 yds · 0:5864% → 66%
Q3 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
36.3%
Javorius Allen run for 6 yds to the USC 26Similar
Q3 3:15
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+8
34.7%
Javorius Allen run for 8 yds to the USC 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:01
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
34.4%
Javorius Allen run for 1 yd to the USC 35Similar
Q3 2:30
2ND & 9
OWN 35
+3
33.8%
Cody Kessler pass intercepted Jason Fanaika return for 3 yds to the USC 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 20TD
4 plays · 38 yds · 1:3143% → 67%
Q3 2:20
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
43.1%
Devontae Booker run for 3 yds to the USC 35Similar
Q3 1:27
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+3
45.3%
Travis Wilson run for 3 yds to the USC 32Similar
Q3 1:07
3RD & 4
OPP 32
+8
43.0%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Kenneth Scott for 8 yds to the USC 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:49
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
67.1%
Devontae Booker run for 24 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 21TD
14 plays · 73 yds · 5:2739% → 74%
Q3 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
61.2%
Cody Kessler pass complete to Nelson Agholor for 5 yds to the USC 32Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 5
OWN 32
0
60.1%
Cody Kessler pass complete to Nelson Agholor for no gain to the USC 32Similar
Q4 14:44
3RD & 5
OWN 32
+15
62.1%
Cody Kessler pass complete to Javorius Allen for 15 yds to the USC 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
58.8%
Javorius Allen run for 2 yds to the USC 49Similar
Q4 13:38
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+12
58.7%
Javorius Allen run for 12 yds to the Utah 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:04
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
58.4%
Cody Kessler pass complete to Javorius Allen for 2 yds to the Utah 37Similar
Q4 12:52
2ND & 8
OPP 37
-5
58.7%
USC Penalty, False Start (Toa Lobendahn) to the Utah 42Similar
Q4 12:16
2ND & 13
OPP 42
+14
61.3%
Cody Kessler pass complete to Nelson Agholor for 14 yds to the Utah 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:56
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+9
56.3%
Cody Kessler pass complete to Nelson Agholor for 9 yds to the Utah 19Similar
Q4 11:24
2ND & 1
OPP 19
+13
56.6%
Javorius Allen run for 13 yds to the Utah 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
56.6%
Javorius Allen run for 4 yds to the Utah 2Similar
Q4 11:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-2
56.5%
Justin Davis run for a loss of 2 yards to the Utah 4Similar
Q4 10:18
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
26.4%
Cody Kessler pass complete to Darreus Rogers for 4 yds for a TD, (Andre Heidari KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 22PUNT
8 plays · 21 yds · 3:0538% → 34%
Q4 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+7
37.8%
Devontae Booker run for 7 yds to the Utah 39Similar
Q4 9:11
2ND & 3
OWN 39
+15
40.6%
Devontae Booker run for 15 yds to the USC 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
42.3%
Devontae Booker run for 3 yds to the USC 43Similar
Q4 8:35
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+3
42.2%
Devontae Booker run for 3 yds to the USC 40Similar
Q4 7:19
3RD & 4
OPP 40
-2
41.2%
Devontae Booker run for a loss of 2 yards to the USC 42Similar
Q4 7:07
4TH & 6
OPP 42
-5
37.5%
UTAH Penalty, Delay of Game (NA) to the USC 47Similar
Q4 7:00
4TH & 11
OPP 47
0
33.9%
Tom Hackett punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Nelson Agholor at the USC 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 23DOWNS
12 plays · 62 yds · 4:2573% → 86%
Q4 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+2
26.8%
Javorius Allen run for 2 yds to the USC 13Similar
Q4 6:11
2ND & 8
OWN 13
+10
27.0%
Cody Kessler pass complete to Nelson Agholor for 10 yds to the USC 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
25.0%
Javorius Allen run for no gain to the USC 23Similar
Q4 5:17
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+2
25.6%
Javorius Allen run for 2 yds to the USC 25Similar
Q4 4:35
3RD & 8
OWN 25
+28
23.7%
Cody Kessler pass complete to Nelson Agholor for 28 yds to the Utah 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:55
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+7
18.3%
Cody Kessler pass complete to Steven Mitchell for 7 yds to the Utah 40Similar
Q4 3:16
2ND & 3
OPP 40
+4
15.1%
Javorius Allen run for 4 yds to the Utah 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+7
13.5%
Justin Davis run for 7 yds to the Utah 29Similar
Q4 2:17
2ND & 3
OPP 29
+1
12.5%
Justin Davis run for 1 yd to the Utah 28Similar
Q4 2:13
3RD & 2
OPP 28
0
11.8%
Cody Kessler pass incomplete to Jahleel PinnerSimilar
Q4 2:08
4TH & 2
OPP 28
+1
13.8%
Nelson Agholor run for 1 yd to the Utah 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 24TD
14 plays · 73 yds · 1:5525% → 96%
Q4 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+9
25.0%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Kenneth Scott for 9 yds to the Utah 36Similar
Q4 1:47
2ND & 1
OWN 36
0
26.7%
Travis Wilson pass incomplete to Kenneth ScottSimilar
Q4 1:43
3RD & 1
OWN 36
+3
24.8%
Devontae Booker run for 3 yds to the Utah 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-5
25.0%
UTAH Penalty, False Start (Salesi Uhatafe) to the Utah 34Similar
Q4 1:16
1ST & 15
OWN 34
+13
20.2%
Wilson, Travis pass incomplete to Anderson, Dres (Seymour, Kevon), PENALTY USC pass interference (Seymour, Kevon) 13 yards to the UTAH47, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN UTAH. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
22.7%
Travis Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:01
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+17
22.1%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Devontae Booker for 17 yds to the USC 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:55
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
25.9%
Travis Wilson pass incomplete to Tim Patrick, broken up by Adoree' JacksonSimilar
Q4 0:49
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+10
24.0%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Dres Anderson for 10 yds to the USC 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:32
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+7
30.5%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Kenneth Scott for 7 yds to the USC 19Similar
Q4 0:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
31.2%
Devontae Booker run for no gain to the USC 1Similar
Q4 0:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
95.5%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Kaelin Clay for 1 yd for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 25END OF GAME
2 plays · -6 yds · 0:0018% → 18%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-6
81.7%
Cody Kessler sacked by Nate Orchard and Hunter Dimick for a loss of 6 yards to the USC 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:08
Travis Wilson pass complete to Kaelin Clay for 1 yd for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK)
+58.2
TD · Q4 10:18
Cody Kessler pass complete to Darreus Rogers for 4 yds for a TD, (Andre Heidari KICK)
-30.1
TD · Q3 0:49
Devontae Booker run for 24 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK)
+24.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com